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Analysts had expected the 2.3% annual rate for the month, up from 2% in October.
Markets have fully priced in a 0.25% interest rate cut from the ECB in December 2024, which would mark the institution’s fourth cut of the year.
Both core inflation and services inflation reportedly remained the same as the previous month.
The markets are anticipating a 0.25% reduction in interest rates by the European Central Bank in December 2024, while analysts have suggested that the latest figures could sway the argument against a more substantial cut.
A reduction of 0.5% has been muted but is now less likely.
Economists had anticipated a growth of 0.2%, following a 0.3% increase in the second quarter.
Analysts predict that euro zone growth may pick up cautiously in the upcoming months, in light of lower interest rates and subsiding inflation.
At its October 2024 meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced rates for the third time this year, following a final reading of September’s EU headline inflation at 1.8%.
The ECB pointed to sustained indications of sluggish activity in the euro area as a significant reason for the rate cut in October.
Markets have completely factored in another 0.25% reduction by the ECB for its final meeting of the year in December 2024.
Germany, the largest economy in the euro zone, reported an unexpected 0.2% growth in the third quarter, as per figures released on Wednesday 30th October 2024. This growth helped the country steer clear of the recession predicted by some economists.
Excluding the more volatile prices of energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, the core inflation rate stood at 2.7%, marginally below the anticipated forecasts.
This inflation figure matched the predictions of economists.
The core inflation rate, which excludes the volatile elements of energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, dropped to 2.8% in August from July’s 2.9%, aligning with predictions.
Market expectations have fully incorporated a 0.25% rate cut by the ECB in September 2024, following its initial rate reduction in June 2024, with anticipation of an additional 0.25% reduction before year-end.
This follows a slowdown in price increases in Germany, the largest economy in the eurozone, which cooled to an unexpected 2% for the month, according to the index of consumer prices.
Core EU inflation, which omits the more volatile prices of energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, reached 2.9% in July, surpassing expectations.
Services inflation, a closely monitored indicator, registered at 4% for July, marking a slight decrease from the 4.1% figure in June.
However, core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, remained at 2.9% from the prior month, just missing the 2.8% forecast.
The rate of price rises in services also failed to move sticking at 4.1%.
Headline inflation at 2.4% aligned with economists’ forecasts, while monthly inflation registered at 0.6%. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, fell to 2.7% from March’s 2.9%.
Energy prices’ year-on-year decline softened to -0.6% from -1.8% in March. Meanwhile, the gross domestic product increased by 0.3% in the first quarter, slightly exceeding economists’ expectations.
However, the GDP for the fourth quarter of 2023 was revised from no growth to a contraction of 0.1%, indicating a technical recession in the euro zone for the latter half of the year.
There is growing anticipation that the European Central Bank (ECB) may reduce interest rates at the upcoming monetary policy meeting on 6th June 2024.
Euro zone inflation eased to 2.6% in February figures showed on Friday 1st March 2024, but both the headline and core figures were higher than expected.
Core inflation, removing the volatile elements of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco was 3.1% above the 2.9% rate expected.
The February figures will be a headache for EU policymakers, as core inflation is still holding above 3% even as the headline rate moves toward the ECB’s 2% target.
Annual inflation in the euro zone sank to 2.4% in November 2023 from 2.9% in October 2023, data showed Thursday 30th November 2023.
Core inflation was also below expectations at 3.6%.
The European Central Bank has stressed that it is too early to declare victory in the 20-member euro zone bloc, as they monitor potential pressures from wage increases and energy markets.
Headline inflation has now fallen significantly from the peak levels of 10.6% in October 2022.
Target of 2% and is well within reach.
Euro zone inflation fell in July, and new growth figures showed economic activity picking up in the second quarter of this year, but economists still fear a recession.
Headline inflation in the EU was 5.3% in July, according to preliminary data released end of July 2023, lower than the 5.5% registered in June. However, it still remains substantially above the European Central Bank’s 2% target.
GDP growth accelerated in the second quarter, expanding by 0.3%, higher than the 0.2% expected by analysts.