Month: August 2024

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Euro zone inflation falls to 2.2% – a 3-year low

EU inflation drops

Inflation in the Euro zone decreased to a three-year low of 2.2% in August 2024, according to preliminary data from Eurostat released on Friday 30th August 2024

The core inflation rate, which excludes the volatile elements of energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, dropped to 2.8% in August from July’s 2.9%, aligning with predictions.

Market expectations have fully incorporated a 0.25% rate cut by the ECB in September 2024, following its initial rate reduction in June 2024, with anticipation of an additional 0.25% reduction before year-end.

This follows a slowdown in price increases in Germany, the largest economy in the eurozone, which cooled to an unexpected 2% for the month, according to the index of consumer prices.

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U.S. AI Safety Institute to evaluate OpenAI and Anthropic new AI models before release to the general public

U.S. AI Safety Inspection

On Thursday 29th August 2024, the U.S. AI Safety Institute announced a testing and evaluation agreement with OpenAI and Anthropic

This agreement reportedly grants the institute access to significant new AI models from each company before and after their public release.

Recently, several AI developers and researchers have voiced concerns regarding safety and ethics within the growing profit-driven AI industry.

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Berkshire Hathaway at $1 trillion market cap – the first U.S. non tech company to do so

$1 trillion club

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway achieved a $1 trillion market capitalisation on Wednesday 28th August 2024, becoming the first non-technology company in the U.S. to reach this business accolade.

The shares of the conglomerate, headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, have surged over 28% in 2024, outperforming the S&P 500’s 18% increase. This major achievement came just two days before Buffett, often referred to as the ‘Oracle of Omaha,’ was due to celebrate his 94th birthday.

On Wednesday, the company’s shares rose by 0.8% to $696,502.02, surpassing the $1 trillion mark, as reported. The shares soared even further in the subsequent trading session.

One year chart for Berkshire Hathaway

One year chart for Berkshire Hathaway

The milestone serves as a testament to the firm’s financial robustness and the value of its franchise. It is particularly noteworthy given that Berkshire stands as one of the few remaining conglomerates today.

Buffett, serving as chairman and CEO, assumed command of Berkshire, a floundering textile enterprise, in the 1960s. He revolutionised the firm into a vast conglomerate covering insurance, railroads, retail, manufacturing, and energy sectors, boasting an unparalleled balance sheet and a formidable cash reserve.

Unlike the six other companies in the trillion-dollar club (Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta), Berkshire is known for its old-economy focus as the owner of: BNSF Railway, Geico Insurance and Dairy Queen. (Although its sizable Apple position has helped drive recent gains.)

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Nvidia reports 122% revenue growth

Data centre

Nvidia has announced earnings surpassing Wall Street forecasts and has issued guidance for the current quarter that exceeds expectations.

As the artificial intelligence boom continues, Nvidia remains a major beneficiary. Despite a stock price dip, after trading hours, the stock has risen approximately 150% this year. The question remains whether Nvidia can sustain this growth trajectory.

Nvidia said it expects about $32.5 billion in current-quarter revenue, versus $31.7 billion expected by analysts, according to analysis That would be an increase of 80% from a year earlier.

Revenue continues to surge, rising 122% on an annual basis during the quarter, following three straight periods of year-on-year growth in excess of 200%.

Nvidia’s data centre business, which encompasses its AI processors, saw a 154% increase in revenue from the previous year, reaching $26.3 billion and representing 88% of the company’s total sales.

However, not all these sales were from AI chips. Nvidia reported that its networking products contributed $3.7 billion in revenue.

The company primarily serves a select group of cloud service providers and consumer internet firms, including Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla. Nvidia’s chips, notably the H100 and H200, are integral to the majority of generative AI applications, like OpenAI‘s ChatGPT.

Nvidia also announced a $50 billion stock buyback.

Nvidia shares dropped close to 5% in after-hours pre-market trade (29th August 2024).

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Company says it can cut data centre energy use by 50% as AI boom places increased strain on power grids

Power hungry data centre

Major technology corporations such as Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are channelling billions into data centre infrastructures to bolster generative AI, which is causing a spike in energy demand.

Sustainable Metal Cloud has announced that its immersion cooling technology is 28% less expensive to install compared to other liquid-based cooling methods and can cut energy use by up to 50%.

The surge in artificial intelligence has increased the need for more robust processors and the energy to cool data centres.

This presents an opportunity for Sustainable Metal Cloud, which runs ‘sustainable AI factories’ consisting of HyperCubes located in Singapore and Australia.

These HyperCubes house servers equipped with Nvidia processors immersed in a synthetic oil known as polyalphaolefin, which is more effective at dissipating heat than air. The company claims this technology can reduce energy consumption by as much as 50% when compared to the conventional air-cooling systems found in most data centres.

Additionally, the Singapore-based company states that its immersion cooling technology is more cost-effective to install by 28% than other liquid cooling options. The HyperCubes are modular and can be integrated into any data centre, utilising spaces that are currently unoccupied within existing facilities.

What is a Hypercube?

  • Structure: A hypercube topology connects nodes in a way that each node is connected to others in a manner similar to the geometric hypercube. For example, in a 3-dimensional hypercube (a cube), each node is connected to three other nodes.
  • Scalability: This structure allows for efficient scaling. As the number of dimensions increases, the number of nodes that can be connected grows exponentially.
  • Fault Tolerance: Hypercube networks are known for their robustness. If one connection fails, there are multiple alternative paths for data to travel, ensuring reliability.

Benefits in data centres

  • High Performance: The multiple pathways in a hypercube network reduce latency and increase data transfer speeds, which is crucial for big tech companies handling vast amounts of data.
  • Efficient Resource Utilisation: The topology allows for better load balancing and resource allocation, optimising the performance of data centres.
  • Flexibility: Hypercube networks can easily adapt to changes in the network, such as adding or removing nodes, without significant reconfiguration.
  • Big Tech Companies: Companies like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft likely use hypercube topologies in their data centres to ensure high performance and reliability.
  • High-Performance Computing (HPC): Hypercube networks are also used in supercomputers and other HPC environments where efficient data transfer is critical.
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How frothy is the AI data centre market for investors?

AI market froth?

Nvidia investors have been on a rocket ride to the stars. But recently they have come back down to Earth, and it has become more of a roller coaster ride.

Benefiting significantly from the artificial intelligence surge, Nvidia’s market cap has increased approximately ninefold since late 2022 – a massive market cap gain.

However, after achieving a peak in June 2024 and momentarily claiming the title of the world’s most valuable public company, Nvidia then experienced close to a 30% decline in value over the subsequent seven weeks, resulting in an approximate $800 billion loss in market capitalisation.

Currently, the stock is experiencing a rally, bringing it within approximately 6% of its all-time peak. The chipmaker surpassed the $3 trillion market cap milestone in early June 2024, aligning with Microsoft and Apple. The question remains whether the company can reclaim and sustain that title.

Investors are closely monitoring Nvidia’s forecast for the October quarter, with the company anticipated to report a growth of approximately 75%. Positive guidance would imply that Nvidia’s affluent clients continue to invest heavily in AI development, whereas a lacklustre forecast might suggest that infrastructure investment is becoming excessive.

Should there be any signs of diminishing demand for AI or if a major cloud customer is reducing spending, it could lead to a notable decline in revenue.

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What evidence is there that the U.S. stock market is overvalued right now?

U.S. overvalued stocks

High Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio

The P/E ratio of the market is a common measure of valuation. Currently, the P/E ratio is significantly higher than historical averages, indicating that stocks are priced much higher relative to their earnings.

Rapid price increases without corresponding earnings growth

When stock prices rise rapidly without a corresponding increase in earnings, it often signals overvaluation. This has been observed recently, especially with some of the major tech stocks.

Comparison to historical market tops

The current market valuations are almost as high as they were at the peak in January 2022, which was followed by a significant correction.

Buffet valuation metric

Metrics like the Buffett Indicator (market capitalisation to GDP ratio) and Tobin’s Q (market value of assets divided by replacement cost) also suggest that the market is overvalued.

While these indicators point towards overvaluation, it’s important to note that markets can remain overvalued for extended periods, and other factors like strong earnings growth can sustain high valuations for some time

U.S. stock market could be overvalued by as much as 68%

The U.S. stock market, according to some analysts suggests that the current market appears to be overvalued by around 68%.

By comparison, at the peak of the Dot-com bubble, on 24th March 2000, the market was 89.5% overvalued. When the market bottomed out 2.5 years later, it had dropped around 50% from its previous all-time high and was undervalued by nearly 21%.

The fact that the market currently appears overvalued does not necessarily mean it will correct any time soon. The forces pulling the market toward the long-run equilibrium are relatively weak and allow the market to stay over or undervalued for extended periods of time.

From 1954 to 1970, the market stayed continuously overvalued for over some 15 years, and from 1973 until 1987, it stayed undervalued for about 14 years.

The analysis clearly suggests that U.S. stocks are overvalued – but that doesn’t necessarily mean a downturn any time soon – but it will, in time, adjust.

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Dow Jones hits new record high

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) reached a new record high on Monday 26th August 2024, closing at 41240. 

Investors have responded positively to the Federal Reserve’s recent indications that interest rate cuts are highly probable to commence in September 2024.

Market dynamics and sentiment

The rise of the DJIA was propelled by advances in sectors like materials, utilities, and energy. Conversely, the broader market exhibited mixed outcomes. The S&P 500 declined by 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.8%, contrasting with the Dow’s notable performance. This disparity is largely due to the lagging of technology stocks, especially with significant drops in firms such as Nvidia and Tesla.

Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent address at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium was pivotal in bolstering investor confidence. Powell’s remarks indicated that the Fed is ready to cut interest rates, which many investors believe will foster economic growth and stabilise the markets. The expectation of rate cuts has played a significant role in the recent market rally, with predictions of potential reductions up to 1% by the end of 2024.

Dow Jones one day chart at record high

Dow Jones 1 day chart

Despite varied performances across sectors, the Dow reaching a new high signals a wider optimism in the market. As the year unfolds, the dynamics among Federal Reserve policies, corporate earnings, and economic indicators will continue to influence market directions.

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Second-largest diamond ever recently discovered in Botswana

Rough diamond

One of the largest diamonds ever excavated was recently discovered in Botswana at a mine operated by the Canadian company Lucara Diamond

The discovery of the 2,492-carat diamond marks the world’s second-largest find, over a century since the unearthing of the 3,106-carat diamond in South Africa in 1905.

It was found in a Botswana mine owned by Canadian firm Lucara Diamond.

The 2,492-carat diamond is the world’s second-largest discovery and comes more than a century after a 3,106-carat gem was found in South Africa in 1905. That stone, known as the Cullinan Diamond, was cut into nine large pieces, many of which were incorporated into the British Crown Jewels.

Lucara reported that the diamond was unearthed at the Karowe Diamond Mine in northeastern Botswana, utilizing X-ray technology.

The mining company has not disclosed a value for the newly found stone.

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U.S. jobs data revision creates economic concern and political argument

U.S> jobs data revision

Job growth in the US last year was weaker than previously believed, according to a statement from the Labor Department on Wednesday 21st August 2024.

This revelation has intensified the ongoing debate regarding the health of the U.S. economy. The department’s updated figures indicate that there were approximately 818,000 fewer jobs added over the 12 months leading up to March than initially estimated.

This preliminary revision suggests a 30% decrease in the total number of jobs created during that period, marking the most significant adjustment since 2009.

The revised data points to an average monthly job increase of about 174,000, a reduction from the previously estimated 240,000.

Downward revisions affected most sectors, including information, media, technology, retail, manufacturing, and the broad category of professional and business services.

Analysis by Oxford Economics noted that this indicates the job growth for the period relied more heavily on government and education/healthcare sectors than previously understood.

Despite the revisions, hiring remained robust, albeit not at levels sufficient to match the growth of the working-age population.

The U.S. Labor Department issues monthly job creation estimates based on employer surveys and regularly updates these figures as more data becomes available, with an annual reset at the beginning of each year.

The report from Wednesday offered a glimpse into this process, incorporating data from county-level unemployment insurance tax records. This year’s revision is notably larger than those of previous years.

The Biden administration has highlighted strong job growth as evidence that its policies have positioned the U.S. as the world’s leading economy post-pandemic.

However, Republicans have used the latest figures to contend that the Democrats have misled the public about the economic situation. The Republican Party took to social media to announce: “BREAKING: 818,000 jobs that the Biden-Harris administration claimed to have ‘created’ do not actually exist.”

Over the past year, the U.S. has consistently reported robust job growth, defying both economists’ expectations and public sentiment. These gains have been particularly surprising given the highest borrowing costs in a generation, which typically hinder economic growth.

The recent revisions have lent weight to the argument that the labour market is less stable than previously thought, as highlighted by the Republican response.

Analysts believe these new figures will reinforce the case for the U.S. Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its upcoming September 2024 meeting, a move that is widely anticipated to prevent further weakening of the job market.

These revisions have not caused widespread concern

Despite earlier economic anxieties this month, financial markets have largely absorbed the latest data without significant turmoil.

But that doesn’t mean there will be zero fallout – turmoil may follow. The data believed to be correct is incorrect – so, can we believe the data? Are there cracks appearing in the U.S labour market?

This data helped the U.S. economy – but it wasn’t right?

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Microsoft to release Windows Recall AI search feature for testing as soon as October 2024

AI enabled local device

Microsoft announced on Wednesday 21st August 2024 that it will release the contentious Recall AI search feature for Windows users to test starting in October

Recall captures screenshots of on-screen activity, enabling users to search for previously seen information. Security experts raised immediate concerns about the potential risks of Windows capturing images automatically without user consent. In response, researchers developed open-source software demonstrating how attackers could easily access personal information.

Microsoft addressed these concerns in June 2024, stating that Recall would be disabled by default and promising security improvements for the feature.

While Microsoft has not provided a specific timeline for a wider release, it has introduced a new category of Windows PCs, termed Copilot+ PCs, which meet the system requirements for Recall. These PCs, produced by various manufacturers, are designed to handle AI workloads, and Microsoft has demonstrated Recall operating on these devices.

*Manufacturers are eager to demonstrate that AI models can run on local PCs, offering an alternative to cloud-based servers from companies like OpenAI. Following this trend, Apple has launched MacBooks capable of running AI models, and Microsoft’s latest Surface Pro is also a Copilot+ PC with local AI capabilities.

The timing of Recall’s broader release could be pivotal, as consumer interest in new computers may spike during the holiday season if Microsoft extends Recall to all compatible devices by that time.

*Is this a move away from AI cloud-based operations to some extent? AI tasks can easily be run in the cloud – why do we need an AI enabled device?

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All roads lead to Fed rate cut as minutes point to ‘likely’ September 2024 reduction

Fed prediction

No surprise here then as the Fed have been signalling a cut for some time now

The Fed summary stated: “The vast majority” of participants at the July 30-31 meeting “observed that, if the data continued to come in about as expected, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the next meeting.”

Markets have fully factored in a rate cut for September, marking the first such move since the initial emergency reductions during the early stages of the Covid crisis.

See more about Fed rate cut signals here

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OpenAI cements deal with Vogue owner Condé Nast

Magazine AI data

OpenAI has partnered with the global magazine conglomerate Condé Nast to enable ChatGPT and its search engine, SearchGPT, to showcase content from renowned publications such as Vogue, The New Yorker and GQ.

The agreement represents the most recent in a series of deals made by OpenAI with prominent media companies.

The material generated by media organizations is coveted by tech companies for training their AI (Artificial Intelligence) models.

Several media companies, such as the New York Times and the Chicago Tribune, have opposed this practice and have pursued legal measures to safeguard their content.

The financial details of the contract between OpenAI and Condé Nast were not revealed.

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U.S. stocks extend gains as S&P 500 and Nasdaq post eighth positive day

U.S. stocks

Highs and lows of one volatile week in the U.S. stock market

U.S. stocks climbed on Monday 19th August 2024, continuing the market’s rebound as investors prepared for the highly anticipated Federal Reserve symposium at Jackson Hole later in the week.

The S&P 500 ended the day at 5608

The S&P 500 ended the day at 5608

The Nasdaq Composite surged to finish at 17876

Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieved their eighth consecutive day of gains, a record for 2024

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 236 points closing at 40896.

The day’s activity extended the recent rally, signalling another twist in what has been a volatile period for stocks. Last week saw the largest gains of the year for the three major indexes.

August began shakily with disappointing data igniting recession fears and intensifying concerns that the Federal Reserve was lagging in interest rate reductions. This led to a worldwide sell-off, culminating in the S&P 500’s worst day since 2022 on 5th August.

However, encouraging data last week appeared to calm the markets and raised hopes for a ‘soft landing’ of the economy. Positive figures in retail sales and initial jobless claims, along with robust earnings from Walmart, contributed to this optimism. Additionally, the annual inflation rate for July’s consumer price index reached its lowest point in over three years.

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U.S. and China reportedly reach agreement to cooperate on financial stability

U.S. & China flags

The U.S. and China recently signed an agreement to cooperate on financial stability. This agreement was part of a meeting of the U.S. – China Financial Working Group held in Shanghai. 

The discussions were reportedly described as professional, pragmatic, candid, and constructive.

The agreement includes measures for both countries to collaborate on capital markets, cross-border payments, and monetary policy. Representatives from various financial institutions and regulatory bodies from both nations participated in the meeting.

This cooperation aims to enhance financial stability and address potential financial risks more effectively. It’s a significant step towards fostering economic collaboration between the two largest economies in the world.

See full report here

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People leave New Zealand in record numbers seeking better opportunities

Leaving New Zealand

Record numbers of people are leaving New Zealand as unemployment increases, interest rates stay elevated, and economic growth remains weak, according to government statistics.

Statistics New Zealand’s data released on Tuesday 13th August 2024 indicates that 131,200 individuals left New Zealand in the year ending June 2024, tentatively the highest annual figure on record. Approximately one-third of these individuals were bound for Australia.

Although net migration is still high, economists anticipate a decline as fewer foreign nationals show interest in moving to New Zealand due to the weaker economy.

The statistics reveal that 80,174 of those who left were citizens, nearly twice the number that left before the Covid-19 pandemic.

During the pandemic, New Zealanders abroad returned in large numbers, spurred by the government’s response to the crisis.

However, for some, the appeal of the 5.3 million-strong country has waned. Economists note that New Zealanders, vexed by living costs, high interest rates, and limited job prospects, are considering relocation to Australia, the UK, and other countries.

New Zealand’s economy is floundering following the central bank’s 521 basis point increase in cash rates, the most substantial hike since the official cash rate’s inception in 1999.

The economy grew by only 0.2% in the first quarter, unemployment climbed to 4.7% in the second quarter, and inflation continues to be high at 3.3%.

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Video game industry experiences slow growth in 2024

Game console

The video game industry is experiencing sluggish growth in 2024 for several reasons

Slow console sales

Gaming console sales have not met expectations. For example, sales of Sony’s PlayStation 5 have decreased from 3.3 million units in the same period last year to 2.4 million units in the fiscal first quarter of 2024.

Post-Pandemic

The gaming industry experienced a substantial increase during the COVID-19 pandemic due to people staying indoors more often. Yet, with the easing of restrictions, there has been a noticeable change in consumer habits, with a trend towards increased outdoor activities.

Economic considerations

Increased interest rates and inflation have diminished discretionary income, leading to a decrease in consumer spending on games.

Challenges

The industry has faced mass layoffs and other operational challenges, which have impacted growth.

Despite these challenges, there are optimistic projections for 2025 with anticipated major releases like the eagerly awaited successor to Nintendo’s Switch console and Grand Theft Auto (GTA) VI.

Future

Predictions for 2025 suggest that the new Nintendo console and GTA VI will make a significant impact, potentially revitalizing the industry.

The U.S. and China account for around half of consumer spending on games.

The gaming industry as a whole is currently estimated to be worth around $188 billion globally and this is projected to grow in 2025.

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Intel sells stake in UK chip designer Arm

Circuit board microchip

Intel has divested its 1.18 million share stake in the British chip company Arm Holdings, according to a regulatory filing.

Intel is undergoing significant restructuring and cost-cutting to address competitive challenges in the semiconductor industry.

The recent transaction, disclosed on Tuesday 13th August 2024, is believed to have earned Intel approximately $147 million, based on Arm’s average share price between April and June 2024.

This move away from Arm occurs during a challenging financial phase for Intel, as it embarks on what CEO Pat Gelsinger reportedly describes as “the most extensive restructuring of Intel since the memory microprocessor transition four decades ago.”

In early August, Intel announced a cost-reduction plan designed to save $10 billion. This includes the layoff of about 15,000 employees, the elimination of the fiscal fourth-quarter dividend, and a reduction in capital expenditures.

At the same time, Intel disclosed quarterly figures that fell short of expectations and provided conservative guidance for the upcoming quarter.

This announcement precipitated the steepest single-day decline in Intel’s stock value in half a century, plummeting 26%.

Intel one year chart as of 15th August 2024

Intel one year chart as of 15th August 2024
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UK retailers reported a 0.5% rebound in July 2024

Retail UK

UK retail sales up

The rise came after a significant drop in sales volumes, which track the amount purchased, in June due to unfavorable weather affecting demand.

Last month, department stores and retailers of sports equipment saw an uptick in the volume of goods sold thanks to the Euro football tournament.

However, the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which provided the data, noted that it was a challenging month for clothing and furniture retailers, with fuel sales declining even as prices at the pump decreased.

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Nikkei rises 3% to lead gains in Asia

Japan shares

Japanese stocks led gains across Asia on Friday 16th August 2024, poised for their best week in four years, with the Nikkei 225 climbing over 3% following a Wall Street rally.

The surge came as new economic data alleviated concerns of a U.S. recession.

In the U.S., retail sales saw a 1% increase in July, significantly exceeding the Dow Jones estimate of a 0.3% rise. Additionally, weekly jobless claims experienced a decline.

The rise in the Nikkei came after the biggest fall in history just days ago where it hit historic lows last seen in 1987 making it a remarkably fast recovery.

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Comeback rally gains steam – Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow up

U.S. stocks rally

U.S. stocks surged on Thursday, buoyed by investor confidence bolstered by positive consumer and labour data, which alleviated fears of a recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 554 points to close at 40563 – one year chart

The S&P 500 ended up 1.61% at 5,543.22, marking its sixth consecutive gain. The S&P 500 index has risen approximately 8% from its intraday low on 5th August 2024 – one year chart

The Nasdaq Composite escalated 2.34% to 17594 – one year chart

Positive U.S. economic data

Retail sales saw a 1% increase in July 2024, significantly exceeding the prediction of a 0.3% rise. Additionally, the number of weekly jobless claims dropped. This data provided a boost to investors and the broader market, which is recovering from an August downturn linked to worries over a slowing economy, sparked by a disappointing U.S. jobs report on 2nd August 2024.

With over a 3% increase this week, the S&P 500 is now just about 2% shy of its record high. All three major U.S. indexes are trading above their 2nd August closing levels, which preceded the global stock market plunge on 5th August.

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U.S. consumer spending improved in July 2024 as retail sales increased by 1% – better than forecast

U.S. retail

In July 2024, U.S. consumer spending exceeded expectations, and inflation pressures continued to ease, as reported by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Thursday 15th August 2024.

Retail sales in the U.S. rose by 1% for the month, with advanced figures adjusted for seasonality but not for inflation. This surpassed the 0.3% increase anticipated. The initially flat reported sales for June 2024 were revised to a 0.2% decrease.

Removing auto-related items, sales saw a 0.4% rise, which was substantially more favourable than the predicted 0.1%.

The number of weekly jobless claims fell to 227,000, a drop of 7,000 from the preceding week, and was below the forecasted 235,000.

Markets have responded positively to all this good news, and together with other favourable developments, it appears increasingly likely that the Federal Reserve will have no reason other than to cut rates in September 2024.

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UK economy grows 0.6% in second quarter 2024

UK GDP growth

The U.K. economy grew by 0.6% in the second quarter of 2024, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday 15th August 2024, in line with expectations.

The data release follows an expansion of 0.7% in the first quarter of 2024.

Economic growth was flat in June, in line with forecasts.

The UK economy has shown modest yet consistent growth each month this year, marking an exit from a mild ‘technical’ recession. Additionally, GDP remained unchanged in April, influenced by wet weather that impacted retail sales and construction activity.

Growth was led by the services sector, in particular the IT industry, legal services and scientific research.

ONS data for UK economic growth
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U.S. inflation slows in July 2024

U.S. inflation

U.S. consumer prices (CPI) increased at the slowest rate in over three years last month, further supporting the argument for the Fed to begin reducing interest rates.

According to the U.S. Labor Department, prices climbed 2.9% in the 12 months leading up to July 2024, marking the smallest yearly rise since March 2021 and a decrease from 3% in June 2024.

The monthly inflation report was under intense scrutiny following indications of weaker-than-anticipated job growth in July, which earlier this month led to upheaval in the stock market and concerns about a recession.

Analysts have suggested that these figures should persuade the Federal Reserve that the elevated borrowing costs are effectively bringing inflation back to its target levels, despite the recent increases in housing and food prices.