Neuralink implants brain tech device in human for the first time

Brain tech implant

Elon Musk’s neurotech startup Neuralink implanted its device in a human for the first time on Sunday 28th January 2024, and the patient is ‘recovering well,‘ the entrepreneur said in a post on X, on Monday 29th January 2024.

The company is developing a brain implant that aims to help patients with severe paralysis control external technologies using only neural signals.

Neuralink began recruiting patients for its first in-human clinical trial in the autumn after it received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to conduct the study back in May 2023, according to a blog post.

Musk, in an X post on Monday 29th January 2024 said that Neuralink’s first product is called Telepathy.

If the technology functions well, patients with severe degenerative diseases such as motor neurone disease could someday use the implant to communicate or access social media by moving cursors and typing with their minds.

World’s largest sovereign wealth fund announces record $213 billion profit

Fund manager

Norway’s giant sovereign wealth fund reported record profit of 2.22 trillion kroner ($213 billion) in 2023, supported by returns on its investments in technology stocks.

Despite high inflation and geopolitical unrest, the equity market in 2023 was strong, compared to a very weak year in 2022. It follows a record loss of 1.64 trillion Norwegian kroner for the whole of 2022, which the fund attributed to ‘very unusual’ market conditions at the time.

Norway’s sovereign wealth fund on Tuesday 30th January 2024 reported a record profit of 2.22 trillion kroner ($213 billion) in 2023, supported by robust returns on its investments in technology stocks.

Government Pension Fund Global

The ‘Government Pension Fund Global’, one of the world’s largest investors, reportedly said the fund marked its highest return in kroner ever, with the fund’s return on investment last year coming in at 16% for the year.

Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the world’s largest, was established in the 1990s to invest the surplus revenues of the country’s oil and gas sector. To date, the fund has put money in more than 8,500 companies in 70 countries around the world.

See wealth fund rankings table here

What is Quiet Luxury?

Quiet Luxury

Quiet luxury is a fashion trend that emphasizes understated elegance, timeless style, and high-quality materials.

It is the opposite of flashy logos, loud colors, and fast fashion. Quiet luxury is about investing in pieces that are durable, versatile, and refined. 

Some examples of quiet luxury brands are Hermes, Prada-owned Miu Miu, Brunello Cucinelli, Compagnie Financière Richemont and Swatch Group, The Row, Totême, Tove and LVMH. Quiet luxury is also influenced by social changes, popular culture, and economic factors. It reflects a desire for simplicity, sophistication, and sustainability in a seemingly never-ending chaotic world.

Quiet luxury was one of last year’s biggest viral fashion trends, but unlike other short-lived fads on TikTok or Instagram, this one has made its way into investor portfolios and shown lucrative returns.

Luxury stocks have long been regarded by some as an effective hedge against inflation.

LVMH success – one way to invest in luxury

LVMH shares jumped more than 8% on Friday 26th January 2024, after the world’s largest luxury group posted higher-than-expected sales for 2023 and raised its annual dividend.

The owner of Louis Vuitton, Moët & Chandon and Hennessy, as well as brands including Givenchy, Bulgari and Sephora, on Thursday night 25th January 2024 reported sales amounting to 86.15 billion euros ($93.34 billion) for 2023, forecasts. This equated to a 13% growth from the previous year.

The result was boosted in particular by 14% annual growth in the critical fashion and leather goods sector, along with 11% growth in perfumes and cosmetics. Wines and spirits meanwhile posted a 4% decline.

Bernard Arnault is one of the top 10 wealthiest people in the world.

Is there room in your portfolio for a luxury brand?

‘What on EARTH is that smell – was it you?’ ‘No, it’s just the smell of space.’

Space smell

Space smells – fact or fiction?

It’s true, space has a smell. Space is a vacuum, so no one can smell it directly. But astronauts can smell the things that have been in space, such as their suits or tools. 

They report that space smells like hot metal, diesel fumes, barbecue, or burning hydrocarbons. These smells are believed to be caused by the by-products of dying stars, such as hydrocarbons.

Space smell
‘What on EARTH is that smell – was it you?’ ‘No, it’s just the smell of space.’

Samsung joins forces with Baidu’s Earnie AI chatbot

Baidu Ernie Chatbot

Chinese tech giant Baidu will partner Samsung to integrate its Ernie chatbot capabilities into Galaxy S24 smartphones.

The collaboration with Baidu will facilitate Samsung’s latest Galaxy S24 smartphone series with advanced features such as advanced typesetting, real-time call translation and intelligent summarization.

Samsung recently revealed its latest Galaxy S24 lineup with AI-powered features as it attempts to overtake the Apple iPhone.

Apple takes top spot in China’s smartphone market

Apple iphone

In 2023 Apple became the biggest smartphone vendor by shipments in China for the first time.

Last year, Honor, a spin-off from Chinese company Huawei, held the second spot with almost a 17% market share, followed by Vivo, Huawei and then Oppo.

One of the biggest changes in 2023 was Huawei’s return to the top five in China in the Q4. The iphone has been one of the world’s best-selling selling products of all time.

Since the introduction of the Apple iphone in 2007 by Steve Jobs, its inventor and company joint founder, it has gone on to sell 2.3 billion and has over 1.5 billion ‘active’ users. Not bad for a product that investors initially called ‘dead on arrival’ due to lack of interest and sales.

Nokia 3310

In 2007 the Nokia 3310 was the clear market leader and easily king of the mobile phone market. Nokia sold 7.4 million units in 2007 – Apple sold just 1.4 million. Nokia was the ‘go to product’. But not for long.

Oh my, how things have changed. Apple is the now the world’s best-selling product (not just the world’s best-selling phone) – with Nokia and many others left trailing in the dust.

Apple app store

It was the apps that done it; having a product that could be any number of different ‘products’ in one and held in your hand was a game changer – and that changed the world.

The rest is history.

Apple share price chart from 1984 (the year the Apple Macintosh was introduced)

Apple share price chart from 1984 (the year the Apple mac was introduced)

The U.S. GDP up in Q4 as economy grew at a 3.3%

U.S. GDP

The U.S. economy grew at a much faster pace than expected in the final three months of 2023.

The U.S. easily avoided a recession that many had forecast as inevitable, the U.S. Commerce Department reported Thursday 25th January 2024.

Gross domestic product (GDP), a measure of all the goods and services produced, increased at a 3.3% annualised rate in the final quarter of 2023, according to data from the Commerce Department.

Wall Street consensus was for a figure of 2%.

U.S. BEA Bureau of Economic Analysis

Bureau of Economic Analysis

U.S. inflation pullback

U.S. Inflation down

Progress on U.S. inflation

Core prices for personal consumption expenditures (PCE), a preferred measure by the Federal Reserve as a longer-term inflation calculation, rose 2% for the period, while the rate was 1.7%.

On an annual basis, the PCE price index rose 2.7%, down from 5.9% a year ago, while the core figure excluding food and energy posted a 3.2% increase annually, compared with 5.1%.

Good news

Inflation falling, GDP rising, stabilizing interest rates and no recession thus far the U.S. economy is looking rock-solid despite all the negativity.

Turkey hikes interest rate to 45% after inflation touches 65%

Turkey inflation high

Turkey’s central bank on Thursday 25th January 2024 hiked its key interest rate to 45%.

It comes amid an ongoing struggle against double-digit inflation for Turkey’s policymakers, with the rate hike the latest step in that ongoing fight.

30 Turkish Lira to 1 U.S. dollar

Inflation in Turkey increased nearly 65% year-on-year in December 2023, up from 62% in November, and the country’s currency, the lira, hit a new record low against the U.S. dollar earlier in January 2024 at 30 Lira to $1.

Analysts predict this will be the last hike for some time, especially with local elections approaching in March 2024

Tax cuts are coming, it must be election time again

Tax man

Spinning the benefits of a tax cut scenario as Chancellor Jeremy Hunt hints at further tax cuts

The Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, has given strong hints that he wants to cut taxes in the spring Budget.

Mr Hunt reportedly said that countries with lower taxes have more ‘dynamic, faster growing economies.‘ Didn’t Liz Truss say something like that too? But of course, she didn’t ‘cost it out’ in her mini budget apparently – but she also wanted lower taxes for growth none-the-less.

Autumn statement

In the Autumn Statement, the chancellor reduced national insurance for workers by 2% and announced tax relief for businesses. If inflation falls, followed by lower interest rates, Mr Hunt may consider he has scope for further tax cuts.

At the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland – he was also reported to have said that the: ‘direction of travel’ indicates that economies growing faster than the UK, in North America and Asia tend to have lower taxes. ‘I believe fundamentally that low-tax economies are more dynamic, more competitive and generate more money for public services like the NHS,’ he reportedly said.

It is widely expected that the chancellor will focus on income tax in the upcoming Budget due on 6th March 2024

Lower than expected government borrowing last month has increased the possibility of tax cuts in the Budget, analysts say.

UK Borrowing fell to £7.8bn in December 2023, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) indicated. Interest payments dropped sharply due to a faster than expected decline in inflation. Analysts said the latest figures could give the chancellor more wiggle room for tax cuts.

December’s borrowing figure was £8.4bn less than a year earlier, and the lowest figure for the month since 2019.

Interest payments on government debt fell to £4bn, down by £14.1bn from December 2022.

Tax man
‘I hope you have some juicy tax cuts for me?’

Microsoft hits $3 trillion market cap in intraday trading

Microsoft market cap of $3 trillion

Microsoft’s market cap surpassed $3 trillion in intraday trading Wednesday after the stock climbed more than 1% and hit around $404 per share. The stock lost some ground throughout the day to close at: $402 per share.

The achievement comes nearly two weeks after Microsoft eclipsed Apple as the world’s most valuable public company on 12th January 2024. However, Apple has reclaimed top spot – its market cap closed at around $3.01 trillion on Wednesday 24th January 2024.

Microsoft share price 24th January 2024 – $402.00, 1year chart

Microsoft share price 24th January 2024 – $402.00, 1 year chart

Microsoft shares are up more than 7% year to date as investors remain bullish about the company’s investments in artificial intelligence.

It is strongly expected that Microsoft will deliver good results in the Q2 earnings report, because of its leadership position gained in generative AI.

Microsoft due to announce Q2 figures on 30th January 2024

Microsoft due to announce Q2 figures on 30th January 2024

Bitcoin, the SEC, ETFs and Volatility

Bitcoin

What a difference a day makes

Bitcoin climbed to touch $49,000 after the SEC recently gave the go ahead for the Bitcoin ETF. The last time I checked it was at $39,000 (23rd January 2024). Oh, dear me – the dramatic pain of volatility.

Bitcoin volatility has increased after the launch of the first spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rocked wildly, reaching a high of $49,000 and a low of $46,000 in just hours of trading. 

Liquidation

This caused liquidations of millions in the Bitcoin market. Some analysts predict that the ETFs will bring more institutional investors and liquidity to the Bitcoin market, while others warn of the risks and challenges of the new investment vehicle. 

Bitcoin ETFs are funds that track the price of Bitcoin and trade on stock exchanges, allowing investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without buying or storing it directly.

Bitcoin chart – 3 months 24th January 2024 at 15:26

Bitcoin chart – 3 months 24th January 2024 at 15:26

Stephen Hawking organised a time travel party in 2009

Time travel

A time travel party organised by Stephen Hawking in 2009.

This was an experiment that Hawking conducted to test the possibility of backward time travel. He invited people from the future to attend a reception at his university, but he did not send out the invitations until after the party. He hoped that someone from the future would find the invitation and use a wormhole time machine to come back and prove that time travel is possible.

However, no one showed up at his party. He said that he liked simple experiments and champagne. He also said that he had experimental evidence that time travel is not possible. He explained that warping space and time could trigger a bolt of radiation that would destroy the spaceship and maybe the space-time itself.

Is time travel to the future possible?

Based on the current scientific understanding, time travel to the past seems to be very unlikely, if not impossible. There are many paradoxes and inconsistencies that arise from the idea of changing the past.

Time travel
Stephen Hawking organised a time travel party in 2009

Time travel to the future, however, may be possible, but only in a limited sense. According to the theory of relativity, time passes at different rates depending on the speed and gravity of the observer. This means that someone who travels very fast or near a massive object could experience less time than someone who stays still or far away from the mass.

Time dilation

This is called time dilation, and it has been experimentally confirmed. However, this does not allow the traveller to return to their original time, as they would have aged less than the rest of the world.

So, in summary, time travel is unlikely, but it is acknowledged that there are some intriguing possibilities and mysteries that remain to be explored.

Never say never!

A new powerful AI is coming but the techies have no clue as to what it will look like

AGI

That’s reassuring then, and they are creating it

Leaders at some of the world’s leading artificial intelligence (AI) companies are expecting a form of AI on a par with, or even exceeding human intelligence to arrive sometime in the near future. But what it will eventually look like and how it will be applied are unknown.

Artificial General Intelligence or AGI is coming soon

Leaders from OpenAI, Microsoft and Google’s DeepMind, and many other major tech companies debated the risks and opportunities presented by AI at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland in January 2024.

AI has become the talk of ‘town’ around the world through 2023, mainly due to the success of ChatGPT, OpenAI’s popular generative AI chatbot, brought to us by Microsoft. Generative AI tools, like ChatGPT, are powered large language models, algorithms trained on vast quantities of data, but are not AGI.

Executives at some of the world’s leading artificial intelligence companies see ‘artificial general intelligence,’ or AGI, a hypothesized form of AI with intelligence on a par or better than humans. This prospect is both exciting and worrying.

Concern

AI and AGI have created concern among governments, corporations and public consultation groups worldwide, owing to the risks around the lack of transparency of AI systems; social manipulation through computer algorithms; job losses due to increased automation; surveillance; and data privacy and worse… the lack of human control!

Extinction event possible

Many industry leaders in technology have warned that AI could lead to an ‘extinction-level’ event where machines become so powerful they get out of control and wipe out humanity.

A new powerful AI is coming but the techies have no clue as to what it will look like

Several prominent technology leaders, including Elon Musk and Steve Wozniak for example, have called for a pause in AI development, stating that a moratorium would be beneficial in allowing society to catch up.

Turing test

AI chatbots like ChatGPT have passed the Turing test, a test called the ‘imitation game,’ which was developed by British computer scientist Alan Turing to determine whether someone is communicating with a machine and a human. The one big area where AI is lacking is common sense.

It has been reported on many occasions, that the tech world is taking steps to ensure that the AI race doesn’t lead to a ‘Hiroshima moment.

Will AGI be created in the image of humans?

Let’s hope not.

Dow hits new record high breaching 38000 for the first time ever

Dow Jones index up

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) reached a new high on 22nd January 2024, closing at 38,001.81 points

One year chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) reached a new high on 22nd January 2024, closing at 38,001.81 points

The index reached 38109.20 points in intraday trading. Recently the S&P500 and the Nasdaq set new highs.

The Dow

The Dow Jones is a market index that tracks the performance of 30 large US companies. It is also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply ‘the Dow’.

The DJIA is one of the oldest and most widely followed stock market indicators in the world. It reflects the health and sentiment of the U.S. economy and business sector.

The index was created in 1896 by Charles Dow and Edward Jones, who were journalists at The Wall Street Journal. The first calculation was done on 30th June 1896, with a base value of 40.

Some 128 years later, the index has a value of 38001 – a record high!

Nasdaq 100 hits new record high 19th January 2024

Chart up

The Nasdaq 100 climbed to a new high of: 17314 on 19th January 2024

Nasdaq 100 hits new record high 19th January 2024

The NASDAQ 100 Index is a widely used benchmark for the performance of the technology sector in the U.S. market. 

It consists of 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Some of the top components of the index are Apple Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Amazon.com Inc., Alphabet Inc., and Meta Inc.

Some analysts however are warning that the Nasdaq is due a correction.  

It is up around 20% from a low point in late October 2023 and some analysts warn that the tech sector is overvalued and may face a correction.

S&P 500 hits new record high 19th January 2024

Chart up

The S&P 500 index reached a new all-time high of 4,839.81 on Friday, January 19, 2024. 

This was the first time the index closed above its previous high set January 3rd 2022. The rally was driven by strong earnings from the magnificent 7 tech giants such as Nvidia and Microsoft.

The expectation of a Fed interest rate cut later this year also helped the S&P500 break new ground.

S&P 500 One Year Chart – New High 4839.81

S&P 500 One Year Chart – New High 4839.81

A billion is a big number – but just how big is it?

A billion

1000,000,000 (1 billion)

or

109 10 to the power of 9 (1 billion)

In the short scale system, which is commonly used in the UK, United States and most English-speaking countries, 1 billion is written as 1,000,000,000 or 109. This means that 1 billion is equal to 1 thousand million.

In the long scale system, which is commonly used in continental Europe and some other parts of the world, 1 billion is written as 1,000,000,000,000 or 1012. This means that 1 billion is equal to 1 million million.

Fun facts

If you tried to count to 1 million at an approximate rate of 1 number per second, it would take around 11 days. And that would be without sleeping or taking a rest in between the marathon quest. But if you were to count to 1 billion it would take you… wait for it… a cool 32 years!

But just imagine this, if you attempted to count to 1 trillion (1000,000,000,000) or 1012 at the same rate of 1 number per second and without sleep, rest or mistakes – it would take you about… 31,710 years! Give or take a year.

A little bit more

A million and 1 billion sound like BIG numbers, they are. But just how big…

Imagine this: 1 million seconds is roughly equal to 1 week. But, 1 billion seconds equates to about 33 years!

1 billion is a BIG number!

UK retail sales fall. Sharpest rate since Covid lockdowns

UK retail

Retail sales volumes fell by 3.2% in December in the sharpest drop since the UK was in a Covid lockdown says the ONS.

Official figures revealed a sharp decline in demand for goods, but surprisingly food sales also declined in the run-up to Christmas.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said it appeared people did their shopping earlier in November, taking advantage of Black Friday sales.

The latest ONS data indicates that sales tumbled at the fastest rate since January 2021.

Monthly change in UK retail sales 2019 – 2023

UK retail sales fall at sharpest rate since Covid lockdowns

Fact or fiction? There was no news on 18th April 1930

No news

It’s true – or at least it was for a 1930’s BBC broadcaster

Apparently, the story goes that the most boring news day was 18th April 1930. Imagine turning on your radio ready to hear the news bulletin only to hear a BBC radio presenter announce, ‘There is no news!’

Can’t ever imagine that happening now – 24 hour news nonsense fills up all the gaps!