Stock markets see three-day recovery as U.S. tech boost offsets trade worries – but for how long?

Tech gains

Global markets have shown resilience in the past three days, rebounding from recent downturns as technology stocks rally amid cautious optimism.

The boost in investor confidence follows strong earnings reports from major tech firms, highlighting their ability to weather economic uncertainty.

However, lingering concerns about international trade tensions raise questions about how sustainable this recovery truly is.

Technology stocks have led the charge, with companies in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and semiconductor production posting better-than-expected growth figures.

Investors have flocked to these sectors, hoping that innovation will drive forward profitability even amid broader market volatility.

This renewed enthusiasm has helped offset concerns over ongoing global trade disputes, which have led to tariffs and economic slowdowns in key sectors such as manufacturing and consumer goods.

Yet, beneath this recovery, risks persist. Geopolitical uncertainties, including unresolved trade negotiations between major economies, continue to cast a shadow over financial markets.

Inflationary pressures, alongside tightening monetary policies by central banks, also threaten to cool investor enthusiasm. Analysts warn that without concrete progress on trade agreements; the rebound may be short-lived.

As investors weigh the competing forces of technological optimism and trade anxieties, the market remains in a delicate balance.

The question remains: Is this recovery a sign of renewed growth, or merely a temporary respite before further economic turbulence?

With the next wave of financial reports and policy decisions on the horizon, market makers will be closely monitoring whether the tech sector’s momentum can sustain broader economic confidence – or whether trade headwinds will ultimately pull markets back into uncertainty again.

Tech gains ground again


Stocks jumped Thursday 24th April 2024 thanks to strong gains in Mega Cap tech names.

The S&P 500 ended up 2.03%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 2.74%.

The S&P 500 index was able to exit correction territory, ending at least 10% above its recent low set in the wake of President Donald Trump’s 2nd April 2025 ‘liberation day’ tariffs.

For the S&P 500 to maintain its rapid exit from correction territory – it now has to witness Trump’s tariff walk-back and the ‘cooling’ of a potential Fed fight.

Trump seems to be the first to have ‘blinked’ on his self-imposed tariffs suggesting the tariffs are too high and will not go any higher – thy are high enough!

China has reportedly said there are no ‘ongoing’ trade talks?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged the other two indexes but still added 1.23% and retook the 40,000 for the first time since 15th April 2025.

 Japan’s Nikkei 225 up almost 2% and leading gains.

Alphabet shares climb after better than expected results


Alphabet reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter growth on Thursday 24th April 2025.

Alphabet’s search and advertising units are still showing strong growth despite AI competition heating up, according to its first-quarter earnings report.

The company’s overall revenue grew 12% year-on-year, higher than the 10% Wall Street expected.

Shares rose more than 5% in after-hours trading. 

However, Alphabet reportedly indicated to expect ‘slight headwind’ to ads business this year.

Intel also posts results beat, but warns of tariff impact


Intel reported first-quarter results on 24th April 2025 that beat analysts’ estimates but also reportedly issued disappointing guidance. 

Second-quarter revenue will come in below estimates due to elevated uncertainty driven by the macro environment, the company warned.

Intel was reported saying that President Donald Trump’s tariffs and retaliation from other countries had increased the likelihood of a U.S. recession.

Big tech gains drive markets but the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs remain.

World’s largest sovereign wealth fund reports $40 billion loss

Wealth

Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the largest in the world, has reported a first-quarter loss of $40 billion, largely due to a downturn in the technology sector.

The fund, managed by Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), saw its value drop to 18.53 trillion kroner by the end of March 2025, with 70% of its investments in equities, which recorded a 1.6% loss.

CEO Nicolai Tangen attributed the decline to significant market fluctuations, particularly in tech stocks, which have faced recent sell-offs. The fund holds major stakes in Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, and Microsoft, all of which have experienced volatility.

Additionally, currency movements played a role, with the Norwegian krone strengthening against key currencies, contributing to an 879 billion kroner (around $84.5 billion) decrease in the fund’s value.

Despite the losses, NBIM maintains a diversified portfolio, with fixed-income investments returning 1.6% and unlisted real estate yielding 2.4% gains.

This downturn follows a record $222 billion profit in 2024, driven by the AI boom, highlighting the fund’s exposure to tech sector fluctuations.

As global markets remain uncertain, NBIM continues to navigate economic shifts while managing Norway’s oil and gas revenues.

British Fintech Revolut Surpasses $1 Billion in Profit – Eyes UK Banking Expansion

Revolut banking revolution

British fintech giant Revolut has achieved a major financial milestone, reporting £1.1 billion ($1.5 billion) in net profit for 2024, marking a 149% increase from the previous year.

The company’s revenue also saw significant growth, surging 72% to £3.1 billion, driven by a combination of subscription services, wealth management, and interest income.

One of the standout contributors to this success was Revolut’s wealth unit, which includes stock trading, boasting a 298% jump in revenue. The firm’s loan book also expanded 86% to £979 million, further strengthening its financial position.

This growth comes at a pivotal moment for Revolut, as it prepares to launch its UK bank later this year after securing a banking licence in 2024.

Once fully operational, the bank will enable Revolut to offer traditional financial services, including loans, overdrafts, and mortgages, enhancing its appeal as a primary banking option.

Revolut’s UK CEO has emphasised that securing full banking authorisation is a crucial step toward global expansion and an eventual IPO.

As the company continues to evolve, it faces stiff competition from established players such as Monzo and Starling, both of whom secured banking licences years earlier.

Revolut’s remarkable financial performance signals its ambitions to become a dominant force in banking – a fintech powerhouse redefining modern finance.

About Revolut

Revolut is a British fintech company that provides digital banking services, including currency exchange, stock trading, cryptocurrency transactions, and personal finance management.

The name ‘Revolut’ suggests a revolution in financial services, aiming to simplify and modernise banking through technology.

Founded in 2015 by Nikolay Storonsky and Vlad Yatsenko, Revolut started as a platform offering fee-free foreign exchange and has since expanded into a global financial super app.

It operates in multiple countries and serves millions of customers, offering both free and subscription-based banking services.

Tesla and Musk struggle against Trump’s Tariff Tidalwave

Tesla

Tesla has been making headlines with a series of major developments, from financial setbacks to strategic shifts by CEO Elon Musk.

The electric vehicle giant recently reported a 20% drop in automotive revenue, a significant decline that has raised concerns among investors.

Meanwhile, Musk has announced that he will be spending much less time on the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), a move that could signal a renewed focus on Tesla.

Additionally, Tesla’s ambitious Optimus humanoid robot project has hit a roadblock due to China’s restrictions on rare earth materials, further complicating the company’s future plans.

Tesla’s Revenue Decline

Tesla’s first-quarter earnings report revealed a 20% drop in automotive revenue, with total revenue sliding 9% year-on-year.

The company attributed the decline to factory retooling for a refreshed Model Y, lower average selling prices, and increased sales incentives.

Net income plummeted 71%, reflecting the broader challenges Tesla faces in a competitive EV market.

Tesla 3 month share price chart 2025

The company has refrained from promising growth this year, stating that it will revisit its 2025 guidance in its Q2 update.

Musk’s Shift Away from DOGE

Elon Musk’s involvement in the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been a controversial topic, with critics arguing that his political commitments have distracted him from Tesla’s operations.

However, Musk has now confirmed that his time allocation to DOGE will drop significantly, allowing him to focus more on Tesla.

He stated that he will likely spend only one or two days per week on government matters, a shift that could reassure investors concerned about his divided attention.

Reports of his popularity in recent U.S. polls suggest he is out of favour with the American people and is now low in people’s opinion around the world because of his contentious DOGE role.

Optimus Robots and China’s Rare Earth Restrictions

Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots, which Musk has touted as a revolutionary step toward automation, have encountered a major obstacle due to China’s export restrictions on rare earth materials.

The restrictions, imposed as part of an escalating trade war, have disrupted Tesla’s supply chain, particularly affecting the rare earth magnets used in Optimus actuators.

Musk has expressed hope that Tesla will secure an export licence, but the uncertainty surrounding the restrictions could delay production.

Looking Ahead

Tesla is navigating a challenging landscape, balancing financial setbacks, Musk’s shifting priorities, and geopolitical hurdles.

While the company remains a leader in EV innovation, its ability to adapt to market pressures and geopolitical challenges will be crucial in determining its future success.

Investors and industry watchers will be closely monitoring Tesla’s next moves as it works to regain momentum.

U.S. stocks slide again as Trump publicly criticises Fed Chair Powell

Jerome Powell criticised

President Donald Trump’s recent criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has sent shockwaves through the financial markets, reigniting concerns about the central bank’s independence.

On Monday 21st April 2025, Trump took to social media to publicly call Powell a ‘major loser’ and demanded immediate interest rate cuts, warning of an economic slowdown if his demands were not met.

This public rebuke, coupled with Trump’s earlier threats to terminate Powell, has unsettled investors and triggered another sharp sell-off in U.S. stocks.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged nearly 1,000 points, or 2.48%, closing at 38170. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also suffered significant losses, falling 2.36% and 2.55%.

Dow Jones one-year chart

Dow Jones one-year chart

Trump continues to create uncertainty

Analysts attribute this market turmoil to fears that Trump’s rhetoric could undermine the Federal Reserve’s ability to operate independently, a cornerstone of its credibility.

‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies dragged the major indexes lower, with Tesla and Nvidia respectively losing 5.8% and more than 4%. Amazon shed 3%, and Meta Platforms suffered losses too.

Tesla one-year chart

Tesla one-year chart

Adding to the uncertainty, Trump’s tariff policies have already strained investor confidence. The combination of trade tensions and doubts about the Fed’s autonomy has led to a flight from U.S. assets.

The dollar hit a three-year low, while gold prices soared to record highs above $3,400 per ounce as investors sought safe-haven assets.

Market experts warn that prolonged uncertainty could have far-reaching implications. ‘The market is okay with rates coming down,’ reportedly said Thierry Wizman, a global currency strategist. ‘What the market is not okay with is having the president or politicians tell the Fed that the rates need to come down’.

As Trump’s public rebuttal of Powell continues, investors observe the potential implications. The stakes are high, not just for the U.S. economy but for global markets that rely on the stability of American financial institutions.

Investors are left grappling with a volatile landscape, where political pressures and economic policies collide.

The Trump ‘turmoil’ continues.

Tech driven sell-off gained at pace as Nasdaq dropped 3% and Dow Jones down 700 points

Tech in the red

The stock market experienced another sharp Trump tariff related downturn Wednesday 16th April 2025, driven by a tech-heavy sell-off continuing to rattle investors.

The Nasdaq Composite plunged by 3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed nearly 700 points, marking one of the most significant declines in recent months.

Concerns over tariffs and inflation were amplified by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks about the tariff uncertainty, which highlighted the challenging economic landscape.

Tech stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off, with semiconductor companies like Nvidia and AMD leading the decline. Nvidia’s announcement of a $5.5 billion quarterly charge related to export restrictions on its chips to China added to the sector’s woes.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF dropped over 4%, reflecting broader uncertainty in the industry.

Powell’s comments on tariffs exacerbated market fears, as he warned of potential stagflation—a scenario where inflation rises while economic growth slows.

This sentiment was echoed across trading floors, with investors grappling with the implications of ongoing trade tensions and restrictive policies.

As the market inches closer to bear territory, the focus remains on navigating these turbulent times.

The sell-off underscores the fragility of investor confidence and the pivotal role of technology in shaping market dynamics

Tech stocks propel market rally amid Trump’s tariff pause

Stocks move back up

On Monday 14th April 2025, the stock market experienced a notable mini rally, driven by the tech sector’s resurgence following a weekend announcement of a temporary tariff pause.

President Trump’s decision to exempt smartphones, computers, and other electronics from steep tariffs provided a much-needed reprieve for the industry, sparking optimism among investors.

Major tech companies like Apple, Nvidia, and Amazon saw significant gains, with Apple shares surging by 7.5%. The Nasdaq Composite, heavily weighted with tech stocks, climbed 1.9%, while the S&P 500 rose 1.5%.

This rally marked a stark contrast to the volatility of the previous week, where tariff uncertainties had sent shockwaves through the market.

The tariff pause, although temporary and restricted to 20%, helped to alleviate immediate concerns about rising costs for consumers and businesses.

Importers were spared from choosing between absorbing higher expenses or passing them on to customers. This relief was particularly impactful for companies reliant on Chinese manufacturing, as the exemptions covered a wide range of tech products.

Market analysts noted that the rally was not just a reaction to the tariff news but also a reflection of the tech sector’s resilience.

Despite facing challenges earlier in the year, tech companies have continued to innovate and adapt, maintaining their position as a driving force in the U.S. and world economies.

However, the rally’s sustainability remains uncertain. The administration’s mixed messages about future tariffs have left investors cautious.

While Monday’s gains were encouraging, the broader market continues to grapple with the unpredictability of trade policies.

Trump takes wrecking ball to global trade – sets stock markets on fire and plays golf – all in one week

Reckless tariffs

Is this a fair ‘take’ on the last weeks tariff turmoil?

President Trump’s tariffs have left a significant mark on global trade and financial markets, creating waves that continue to shape global economic dynamics.

The tariffs, initially aimed at reducing the U.S. trade deficit and protecting domestic industries, triggered a rollercoaster ride for stock markets and strained international relations.

Highs to lows

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 experienced sharp declines following the announcement of sweeping tariffs. At their lowest points, the Dow fell to 37226, the Nasdaq dropped to 15266, and the S&P 500 sank to 4956.

These figures marked significant losses, with trillions of dollars wiped off the market in just a few days.

The volatility was exacerbated by fears of a global trade war and the uncertainty surrounding the tariffs’ implementation.

Tariff turmoil and 90 day pause

In response to the market turmoil, President Trump announced a 90-day pause on most tariffs, providing temporary relief to investors and businesses. This decision led to a rebound in stock markets, with indices recovering some of their losses.

However, the relief was short-lived, as tensions with China escalated. While tariffs on many trading partners were paused, China’s tariff rate was increased to a staggering 125%.

This move further strained U.S.-China relations and added pressure on industries reliant on Chinese imports.

Tech garners favour

The tech sector, heavily dependent on global supply chains, was among the hardest hit. Tariffs on components like microchips and finished products such as smartphones and computers disrupted production and increased costs.

Companies faced challenges in maintaining profitability and passing on the increased costs to consumers. The eventual reduction and cancellation of some tariffs provided a lifeline to the tech industry, allowing businesses to stabilize operations and reduce prices.

However, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies continued to pose challenges for the sector.

Market turmoil?

Was this the ultimate in market ‘management’ as President Trump posted on his social media platform, Truth Social, that it was a ‘great time to buy’ just hours before announcing the 90-day tariff pause.?

This statement, made at 9:37 am., came shortly before the announcement, which caused stock markets to surge significantly. The timing of his post raised eyebrows and sparked discussions about potential insider trading concerns

China retaliates

China’s response to the tariffs was swift and retaliatory. Beijing imposed its own tariffs on U.S. imports, raising rates to 125%. This retaliation targeted key U.S. industries, including agriculture and technology, further escalating the trade conflict.

The Chinese yuan also hit its lowest level against the dollar since the global financial crisis. These measures highlighted the deepening economic rift between the world’s two largest economies.

The effects of President Trump’s tariffs underscore the complexities of modern trade policies. While intended to protect domestic industries, the tariffs created significant economic disruptions, both domestically and globally.

The stock market volatility, strained international relations, and challenges faced by industries like technology illustrate the far-reaching consequences of such policies.

As the world continues to navigate the aftermath of these tariffs, the importance of balanced and strategic trade policies becomes increasingly evident.

Markets moved up, unsurprisingly, after Trump announced the tech tariff adjustment

Over the weekend, President Trump reportedly made several statements about tariffs on tech products, creating some confusion.

Initially, it was announced that smartphones, computers, and other electronics would be temporarily excluded from the steep tariffs.

However, Trump later clarified that these products were not entirely exempt but had been moved to a different ‘tariff bucket.’ He reportedly stated that they would still face a 20% tariff as part of broader measures targeting Chinese goods.

Trump also hinted at upcoming tariffs on semiconductors and the entire electronics supply chain, emphasising the need for the U.S. to produce more of these components domestically.

President Trump reportedly described this as part of a ‘National Security Tariff Investigation’. These announcements have left tech companies and investors uncertain about the long-term implications for the industry.

Tariffs are like a spider’s web cast over the world with the spider, crawling around collecting from its prey.

Trump’s tariffs continue to ‘infect’ world trade, and they will be here for a while yet.

Just a thought…

Fickleness of the stock market

Do you believe in the ‘collective unconscious’, a universal mind to which all humanity is connected?

In the context of the financial world, the stock market is based on unwavering fundamental mathematics… numbers. However, is often driven by sentiment, instinct, hopes and fears.

They both function in a similar manner.

In other words, it is essentially a sentiment tracker.

This was very evident in the stock market movement during ‘normal’ trading hours immediately preceding U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff plan unveiling, contrasted with extended trading.

Investors had time to digest the sheer weight of the heavy tariffs on countries across the globe – we then witnessed an instant stock reversal after almost ‘normal’ trading before.

The point

Trump hinted at leniency on tariffs days before revealing his true intentions. However, that sense of mercy was absent, as the tariffs were sweeping and severe.

To describe Trump’s plan as a seismic shift in the economic and financial order might be understatement.

It will take time for tariff price changes to filter into the economy, but the stock market, reflecting the collective unconscious of investors, registered this shock instantly – just minutes after a stock climb.

That’s the markets for you.

The end of globalisation or a fresh start with a new world order?

Global trade

Globalisation is a process that has woven the world together, creating interconnected networks of trade, culture, technology, and governance.

At its core, globalisation refers to the increased interaction and integration between people, companies, and governments across the globe.

This phenomenon has profound economic, political, and cultural implications, shaping the way we live and think.

Historically speaking

Historically, globalisation is not a recent occurrence; it has been evolving for centuries. The roots of globalisation can be traced back to ancient civilizations when trade routes like the Silk Road emerged around 130 BCE during the Han Dynasty of China.

The Silk Road connected Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and North Africa, facilitating the exchange of goods, ideas, religions, and innovations. While it was primarily a trade route, it also marked the first notable instances of cross-cultural interaction on a global scale.

However, the modern wave of globalisation began much later. Many historians point to the Age of Exploration in the late 15th and early 16th centuries as a pivotal moment.

European explorers like Christopher Columbus and Vasco da Gama sought new trade routes to Asia and the Americas, leading to the establishment of colonial empires.

These explorations were driven by ambitions of trade, wealth, and power, further intertwining economies and cultures.

Adam Smith, the 18th-century economist and philosopher, can also be credited with significantly influencing globalisation through his ideas. His seminal work, The Wealth of Nations (1776), laid the foundation for modern economics and advocated for free-market trade.

His philosophies supported the idea of open international markets, which became a cornerstone of globalisation in later years.

Industrial revolution

Fast forward to the 19th and 20th centuries, the Industrial Revolution and advancements in technology supercharged globalisation.

Railroads, steamships, telegraphs, and later airplanes and the internet, reduced distances and enhanced global connectivity.

This period also saw the establishment of international organisations such as the United Nations and the World Trade Organisation, further embedding globalisation into global policies.

Evolution

Today, globalisation continues to evolve. While it has brought unparalleled access to goods, services, and information, it has also sparked debates about its impact on inequality, environmental sustainability, and cultural homogenisation.

As nations and individuals grapple with its implications, globalisation remains a defining characteristic of our interconnected world. Its history is a testament to humanity’s constant quest to connect, collaborate, and innovate.

Tariffs

The introduction of ‘protectionist’ policies and ideals will likely lead back to globalisation in the end. Are Trump’s protectionist tariff ideals about protectionism or more about a drive to level the imbalance of global trade differences? Gobal trade will not end!

The tariffs are more about aiming to settle trade imbalances, at least according to U.S. President Trump.

Trump’s tariffs have had a significant impact on globalisation, challenging its trajectory. By imposing sweeping tariffs on imports, including a baseline 10% on goods from various countries, Trump aimed to reduce the U.S. trade deficit and reshore U.S. manufacturing.

While this approach sought to protect domestic industries, it disrupted global trade networks and raised concerns about inflation and economic instability.

These tariffs marked a shift away from decades of free trade policies that had fostered globalisation. Critics argue that such measures could lead to higher consumer prices and strained international relations.

On the other hand, proponents believe they might encourage self-reliance and industrial growth within the U.S.

The long-term effects on globalisation remain uncertain. While some see this as a step toward de-globalisation, others view it as a recalibration of trade dynamics.

The future will likely depend on how nations adapt to these changes and whether they seek collaboration or confrontation in global trade.

Globalisation is too big for it to simply… stop!

Market pessimism – a contrarian’s opportunity?

Investing

The stock market is no stranger to volatility, and recent events have left investors grappling with uncertainty.

However, for those who embrace a contrarian mindset, the current wave of pessimism might just be the golden opportunity they’ve been waiting for.

Historically, extreme market pessimism has often preceded significant rebounds. The contrarian philosophy – buying when others are selling – rests on the belief that markets tend to overreact to negative news.

This overreaction creates opportunities for savvy investors to capitalise on undervalued assets.

Recent market turbulence, fueled by concerns over global trade policies and economic slowdowns, has pushed sentiment to new lows. Yet, history suggests that such moments of despair often mark the beginning of recovery.

For instance, during similar periods of heightened pessimism, indices like the S&P 500 have shown remarkable gains in subsequent months.

The last time stock investors were so pessimistic was in October 2023, and then the S&P 500 rose 19% over the next three months

While risks remain, including the potential for prolonged economic challenges, the contrarian approach offers a glimmer of hope. By focusing on long-term fundamentals and resisting the urge to follow the herd, investors may find themselves well-positioned to benefit from the market’s eventual rebound.

In the end, the key lies in patience and perspective. As the saying goes, ‘Fortune favours the bold’ – and in the world of investing, boldness often means going against the grain.

However, this market shock has been created by the introduction of Trump’s tariffs and the real unknown is just how far the U.S. President with push his tariff agenda.

What’s a tariff?

Trump's tariffs

Some of the strangest locations affected by Trump’s tariffs include an uninhabited island near Antarctica?

U.S. President Donald Trump’s ‘reciprocal tariffs‘ hit major trading partners around the world, but some tiny islands and remote locations were also unlikely targets.

These ‘odd’ choices have cast doubt on the validity of the calculation used to fire off these tariff salvos.

President Donald Trump set a baseline tariff rate of 10% across the board, with a raft of levies affecting over 180 countries.

Meanwhile global markets, but especially U.S. stocks continue to tumble in a freefall rout!

Russell 2000 goes into bear territory as Dow Jones – S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit correction!

Stocks fall

The Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap U.S. stocks, has officially entered bear market territory.

This means the index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time high in late November 2024. The decline was accelerated by the recent rollout of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, which have raised concerns about rising costs, economic softening, and global supply chain disruptions3.

Small-cap stocks, which were initially seen as beneficiaries of Trump’s policies due to their domestic focus, are now facing significant challenges. Many of these companies are particularly vulnerable to input cost shocks and lack the financial flexibility of larger firms.

Analysts warn that the combination of higher costs and a slowing economy is squeezing profits, leaving small caps in a precarious position.

The Russell 2000’s downturn highlights the broader market volatility triggered by the tariff measures. While other major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are in correction territory, the Russell 2000 was the first to enter a bear market.

Russell 2000 index

Russell 2000 index

This development underscores the heightened risks for small-cap stocks in the current economic climate.

Despite the challenges, some strategists believe there could be opportunities for recovery, particularly if the Federal Reserve takes steps to cut interest rates.

However, Trump’s tariffs have introduced uncertainty into this policy, as inflation is likely to increase, casting doubt on the possibility of further interest rate cuts.

For now, the Russell 2000’s performance serves as a stark reminder of the delicate balance between protectionist policies and market stability.

The Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap U.S. stocks, has officially entered bear market territory.

Dow Jones decline – the ripple effects of tariff policies

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has seen a sharp decline, falling from its all-time high of 45,073.63 points in December 2024 to its current level of 38,314.86 points—a drop of approximately 15%.

Dow Jones one-year chart

Dow Jones one-year chart

This downturn reflects a mix of economic challenges, including the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.

Trump’s sweeping tariffs, introduced as part of his ‘Liberation Day‘ initiative, aimed to bolster American manufacturing by imposing taxes on imported goods. While the policy sought to ‘level the playing field’, it triggered significant disruptions in global trade.

Retaliatory tariffs from key trading partners, including China and the European Union, compounded the issue, ultimately leading to higher costs for U.S. businesses and consumers.

The tariffs have also strained supply chains, particularly in industries reliant on international components. This has contributed to inflationary pressures, further dampening investor sentiment.

The tech sector, already grappling with regulatory scrutiny, has been hit hard, with companies facing increased production costs.

Nasdaq tech 100 one-year chart

Nasdaq tech 100 one-year chart

While some view the market’s decline as a natural correction, others warn of prolonged economic challenges, especially with the uncertainty surround Trump’s tariff agenda.

For investors, the key lies in navigating these turbulent times with caution and a focus on long-term fundamentals.

As the Dow adjusts to these pressures, its performance underscores the far-reaching consequences of trade policies on global markets.

S&P 500 one-year chart

S&P 500 one-year chart

Dow drops 2200 points Friday 4th April 2025 – S&P 500 loses 10% in 2 days as Trump’s tariff rout deepens – just two days after ‘Liberation Day!’

Stocks down

The stock market was smashed for a second day Friday 4th April 2025 after China retaliated with new tariffs on U.S. goods, sparking fears President Donald Trump has ignited a global trade war that will lead to a global recession.

Stock market damage

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2,231.07 points, or 5.5%, to 38,314.86 on Friday 4th April 2025, the biggest decline since June 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic.

This follows a 1,679-point decline on Thursday 3rd April 2025 and marks the first time ever that it has shed more than 1,500 points on consecutive days.

The S&P 500 collapsed 5.97% to 5,074.08, the biggest decline since March 2020. The benchmark shed 4.84% on Thursday 3rd April 2025 and is now down more than 17% off its recent high.

The Nasdaq Composite, home to many well-known tech companies that sell to China and manufacture there as well, dropped 5.8%, to 15,587.79.

This follows a nearly 6% drop on Thursday 3rd April 2025 and takes the index down by 22% from its December 2024 record – pushing it into a bear market.

The selling was wide ranging with only 14 members of the S&P 500 higher on the day. Major market indexes closed at their lows of the session.

China’s commerce ministry said the country will impose a 34% levy on all U.S. products, disappointing investors who had hoped countries would negotiate with Trump before retaliating.

Technology stocks led the massive rout Friday

Apple shares slumped 7%, bringing its loss for the week to 13%.

Nvidia dropped 7% during the session.

Tesla fell 10%.

All three companies have large exposure to China and are among the hardest hit from Beijing’s retaliatory tariffs.

The bull market is dead, and it was destroyed by self-inflicted wounds!

Dow dives 1600 points after Trump’s tariff attack – S&P 500 and Nasdaq drop the most since 2020

Stocks markets fall

The U.S. stock market experienced a dramatic plunge following President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariffs, marking one of the most significant market downturns since 2020.

On 3rd April 2025, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted by 1,600 points, a staggering 4% drop, closing at 40,546.

Dow Jones one day chart

The S&P 500 fell by 4.8%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite suffered a 6% decline, reflecting widespread investor anxiety.

S&P 500 one day chart

Trump’s tariffs, which include a baseline 10% levy on imports from all trading partners and higher rates for specific countries, have sparked fears of a global trade war.

The effective tariff rate for China, for instance, has risen to 54%, raising concerns about supply chain disruptions and inflation. Major industries, including technology, retail, and manufacturing, were hit hard.

Apple shares dropped nearly 10%, while companies like Nike and Nvidia saw significant losses.

Apple one day chart

The market reaction underscores the uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of these tariffs. Analysts warn that the measures could dampen consumer spending, increase inflation, and slow economic growth.

The ripple effects were felt globally, with European and Asian markets also experiencing declines. The Nikkei index declined a further 3%.

Nikkei Index five-day chart

Despite the turmoil, Trump defended the tariffs, likening them to a necessary ‘operation’ for the economy. He expressed confidence that the markets would eventually rebound, emphasising the long-term benefits of reshoring manufacturing and generating federal revenue.

As investors grapple with the implications of these policies, the focus remains on potential retaliatory measures from affected countries and the broader impact on global trade dynamics.

The sharp market sell-off serves as a stark reminder of the delicate balance between protectionist policies and economic stability in an interconnected world.

The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether these tariffs lead to lasting economic shifts or temporary market volatility.

U.S. companies are experiencing more harm from Trump’s tariffs. He wants manufacturing to come back to America – but after decades of globalization fine tuning – that is no easy task.

Are markets underestimating the impact of the tariffs on inflation?

Are markets pricing in the fact that Trump’s tariff policy will not be fully followed through?

The U.S. would be lucky to see a single rate cut from the Federal Reserve this year – and that will unsettle investors.

The U.S. economy could now only expand by between 1% and 1.5% this year – this would be a significant change in the growth outlook when compared with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) projection of 2.7% U.S. growth made earlier this year.

If we get close to 1%, we get close to ‘stall’ speed and then it could just stop – and that will mean recession or worse for the U.S.

Dow closed 700 points lower Friday 28th March 2025 as inflation and tariff fears worsen

Dow down

Stocks sold off sharply on Friday 28th March 2025, pressured by growing uncertainty on U.S. trade policy as well as a grim outlook on inflation

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 715 points at 41,583. The S&P 500 lost 1.97% to close 5,580 ending the week down for the fifth time in the last six weeks. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.7% to 17,322.

Shares of several technology giants also fell putting pressure on the broader market. Google-parent Alphabet lost 4.9%, while Meta and Amazon each shed 4.3%.

This week, the S&P 500 lost 1.53%, while the 30-stock Dow shed 0.96%. The Nasdaq declined by 2.59%. With this latest losing week, Nasdaq is now on pace for a more than 8% monthly decline, which would be its worst monthly performance since December 2022.

Dow Jones one-day chart (28th March 2025)

Dow Jones one-day chart (28th March 2025)

Stocks took a leg lower on Friday after the University of Michigan’s final read on consumer sentiment for March 2025 reflected the highest long-term inflation expectation since 1993.

Friday’s core personal consumption expenditures price index also came in hotter-than-expected, rising 2.8% in February and reflecting a 0.4% increase for the month, stoking concerns about persistent inflation.

Economists had reportedly been looking for respective numbers of 2.7% and 0.3%. Consumer spending accelerated 0.4% for the month, below the 0.5% forecast, according to fresh data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The market is getting squeezed by both sides. There is uncertainty about reciprocal tariffs hitting the major exporting sectors like tech alongside concerns about a weakening consumer facing higher prices

Trump’s tariffs push will hit the U.S. harder than Europe in the short term, it has been reported.

Japan’s Nikkei enters correction as Trump’s tariff assault drives sell-off in Asia markets

S&P 500 slides into correction territory

S&P 500 enters correction

The S&P 500 has officially entered correction territory, marking a significant shift in market sentiment

The index, widely regarded as a benchmark for the health of large U.S. companies, has fallen over 10% from its February 2025 peak.

This downturn follows a series of escalating trade tensions, with President Donald Trump announcing a 200% tariff on European alcoholic products in response to the European Union’s levies on American whiskey.

The correction reflects growing investor concerns over the potential economic fallout of these trade disputes. The Nasdaq Composite, another major index, had already entered correction territory earlier, signaling broader market unease. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also experienced a decline, marking its fourth consecutive day of losses.

Economists warn that the ongoing trade war could exacerbate fears of a recession, as businesses face rising costs and uncertainty. The Federal Reserve’s recent inflation reports suggest price growth remains elevated, adding to the challenges.

While corrections are not uncommon, they often serve as a wake-up call for investors. Historically, only a fraction of corrections evolve into bear markets, but the current environment of trade tensions and inflationary pressures has heightened concerns.

As markets navigate these turbulent waters, all eyes remain on policymakers and their next moves to stabilise the economy.

Trump and his tariff agenda

Trade tariffs

The United States has intensified its tariff policies, marking a significant shift in global trade dynamics

On 4th March 2025, President Donald Trump announced a sweeping increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, raising them to 25% across the board. This move, aimed at bolstering domestic industries, has sparked widespread reactions both domestically and internationally.

The tariffs, which now include a broader range of products such as nuts, bolts, and soda cans, have drawn sharp criticism from key U.S. allies, including Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia.

U.S and the EU

The European Union has responded with countermeasures, imposing tariffs on $28 billion worth of American goods, set to take effect on 1st April 2025. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen expressed regret over the U.S. decision but emphasised the need to protect European consumers and businesses.

Domestically, the tariffs have been met with mixed reactions. While U.S. steel and aluminum producers have welcomed the measures, citing potential job creation and increased investment, downstream manufacturers that rely on these metals are bracing for higher costs.

Economists warn that the tariffs could lead to increased prices for consumers and potential disruptions in supply chains. Trump has indicated many times that the tariffs levelled at the U.S. are unfair and unequal.

The Trump administration has justified the tariffs as a means to encourage foreign companies to establish manufacturing facilities in the United States. However, critics argue that the policy could backfire, leading to retaliatory measures from trading partners and a potential slowdown in global economic growth.

As the global trade landscape continues to evolve, the long-term impact of these tariffs remains uncertain. Businesses and policymakers alike are closely monitoring the situation, weighing the potential benefits of protecting domestic industries against the risks of escalating trade tensions.

The coming weeks and months will be crucial in determining the effectiveness of this bold and possibly misguided economic strategy.

U.S. and Canada

The trade relationship between the U.S. and Canada has recently faced significant strain due to escalating tariff policies.

President Donald Trump announced a sharp increase in tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, raising them from 25% to 50%. This decision was reportedly in response to Ontario’s provincial government imposing higher electricity prices on U.S. customers.

However, after discussions between Ontario Premier Doug Ford and U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Ontario agreed to pause the electricity surcharge.

As a result, the U.S. decided to maintain the original 25% tariff rate instead of doubling it. Despite this temporary resolution, tensions remain high, with Canada preparing to implement retaliatory tariffs on $30 billion worth of American goods.

These developments highlight the ongoing challenges in U.S. – Canada trade relations, with both nations navigating the complexities of economic and political interests.

U.S. and China

The U.S. – China trade tensions have escalated significantly in recent months. President Donald Trump recently imposed a 20% tariff on all imports from China, reportedly citing concerns over China’s role in the flow of fentanyl into the U.S.

This move has reignited the trade war that began during Trump’s first term.

In response, China has implemented retaliatory measures, including a 15% tariff on U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) and coal, as well as a 10% tariff on crude oil, agricultural machinery, and large-engine cars.

Additionally, China has restricted the export of rare earth minerals and metals, which are critical for U.S. tech and green energy industries.

Both nations have expressed a willingness to engage in dialogue, but the situation remains tense. The economic impact of these tariffs is being closely monitored, as they have the potential to disrupt global supply chains and affect industries worldwide.

U.S. and Mexico

The U.S. – Mexico trade conflict has intensified with the U.S. imposing a 25% tariff on Mexican imports, excluding oil and energy products, which face a 10% tariff.

This decision, aimed at addressing trade deficits and border concerns, prompted Mexico to announce retaliatory tariffs targeting $20 billion worth of U.S. goods. Critics argue these measures undermine the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) and could disrupt supply chains.

Both nations are bracing for the economic impact, with businesses and consumers facing potential cost increases. This trade dispute highlights the challenges of balancing domestic priorities while maintaining strong international partnerships in a connected global economy.

And there’s more…

Russia and Ukraine peace deal according to Trump. Taking rare earth and other minerals from Ukraine in a ‘deal’. The potential reshaping of Gaza to become the riviera of the middle east. Talk of taking over Greenland. Making Canada the 51st state. etc. etc.

And this is just what we already know after 8 weeks of Trump in power!

U.S. markets tumble as Trump and his administration dismiss stock slump and economic concern

U.S. stocks fall

The Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency claims to be streamlining the federal government’s spending

But it has so far sown confusion, with the Trump administration attempting to rehire employees it had previously fired.

DOGE presents a distorted reflection of the current state of the U.S. economy. U.S. President Trump has implemented a series of policies to try to stimulate effect, frequently modifying them mid-course, resulting in collateral damage within the country’s own borders.

U.S. markets have been on a downward trend and were significantly impacted on. Tesla shares have lost some 50% since Trump’s election. Consumers are also boycotting Tesla vehicles.

Tariffs, according to Trump, are meant to protect U.S. businesses and punish trade partners. But so far, it seems that the world’s biggest economy is the one suffering.

Dismal day in the markets

U.S. stocks experienced a rout Monday 10th March 2025 as fears of a recession gripped investors. The S&P 500 dropped 2.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 2.08% and the Nasdaq Composite sank 4% in its worst session since September 2022.

The White House downplayed the market slump, saying it’s not as ‘meaningful’ as business activity (what does that mean exactly)? 

Asia markets also retreated Tuesday 11th March 2025. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell around 1% amid a weaker-than-expected showing for its fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP).

Tesla shares plunge 15% in one day – X goes off -line and Space X test flight explodes

Tesla shares down 50%

Tesla’s sell-off on Wall Street intensified on Monday, with shares of the electric vehicle maker plunging a whopping 15%, marking their worst trading day on the market since September 2020

On Friday, Tesla wrapped up a seventh straight week of losses, its longest losing streak since debuting on the Nasdaq in 2010. The stock has fallen every week since CEO Elon Musk went to Washington, D.C., to take on a major role in the Trump ‘2’ White House.

Since peaking at $479.86 on 17th December 2024 Tesla shares have lost more than 50% of their value, wiping out upward of $800 billion in market cap. Monday 10th March 2025 marked the stock’s seventh worst day on record.

Tesla 3 month share chart as of close 10th March 2025 – down a total of 50% and 15% in one day

Tesla 3 month share chart as of close 10th March 2025 – down a total of 50% and 15% in one day

Tesla led a broader slump in U.S. equities, with the Nasdaq tumbling almost 4%, its steepest decline since 2022.

During an interview on Monday 10th March 2025, Musk was reportedly asked how he manages to run his businesses while fulfilling his role in the Trump White House. He reportedly said he’s doing so – ‘with great difficulty’.

In addition to Tesla’s troubles, Musk’s social network X experienced several outages throughout the day on Monday 10th March 2025, and his company SpaceX is investigating two explosions in a row that occurred during test flights of its massive Starship rocket.

Elon Musk is also reported as saying that he expects to remain in the Trump administration for another year. He posted on X that ‘It will be fine long-term’, referencing Tesla’s steep stock price decline.

Tesla shares have declined every week since Elon Musk joined team Trump

Tesla in the red

For seven consecutive weeks since Elon Musk travelled to Washington to join the Trump administration, shares in his automaker have declined, closing on Friday at $270.48.

This marks the longest losing streak for Tesla in its 15 years as a public company.

Tesla shares concluded the week a decline of over 10%, reaching their lowest level since 5th November 2024, U.S. Election Day, when they closed at $251.44.

Since their peak at $480 on 17th December 2024, Tesla has lost over $800 billion in market capitalisation.

Global markets slide into chaos as Trump pushes his ‘America First Agenda’

U.S. tariffs

Global markets have been thrown into turmoil following the announcement of sweeping tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump

U.S. tariffs, which include a 25% levy on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% increase on Chinese goods, have sparked fears of a global trade war. Retaliatory measures from Canada and China have only added to the uncertainty, sending shockwaves through financial markets worldwide.

The FTSE 100, London’s blue-chip index, fell by 1.3%, marking its steepest decline since October last year. Across the Atlantic, Wall Street saw significant losses, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 1.7%. European markets were not spared, as Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 plunged by 3.5% and 2.1%.

Investors are increasingly concerned about the long-term implications of these tariffs. The measures threaten to disrupt global supply chains, inflate costs, and dampen economic growth. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could push the global economy closer to a recession.

The tariffs have also had a notable impact on currency markets. The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies, with the pound rising to a six-week high of $1.27. Meanwhile, safe-haven assets like gold saw a surge in demand, with prices climbing above $2,900 per ounce.

Oil markets were not immune to the fallout, as Brent crude futures dropped to a three-month low of $70.65 per barrel. The decline reflects growing concerns over reduced demand amid escalating trade tensions.

As the world braces for further economic uncertainty, the focus now shifts to how global leaders will navigate these turbulent waters.

The stakes are high, and the path forward remains uncertain.

Trump’s tariffs tumble markets!

Stocks go red!

Trump’s tariffs have created fresh concern and new volatility in the markets forcing a stock market reversal.

The tariffs, which include a 25% duty on imports from Mexico and Canada, as well as a 10% levy on Chinese goods, have led to significant market volatility.

Investors remain cautious as they assess the long-term implications of these trade restrictions. The tariffs are expected to raise inflation in the U.S. and could potentially lead to a severe market correction.

It’s a complex situation with far-reaching consequences for global trade and the economy.

The S&P 500 retreated on Monday, extending February’s rout and turning red for the year after President Donald Trump’s confirmation of forthcoming tariffs.

The S&P 500 index fell to end at 5849, marking its worst day since December 2024 and bringing its year-to-date performance to a loss of about 0.5%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 649 points to finish at 43191. The Nasdaq Composite slid to close at 18350, weighed down by Nvidia’s decline of more than 8%.

Stocks took a notable leg down in the afternoon following President Trump’s reiteration that 25% levies on imports from Mexico and Canada would go into effect on Tuesday 5th March 2025, dashing investors’ hopes of a last-minute deal to avert the full tariffs on the two U.S. allies.

All three indexes traded in positive territory earlier in the day, with the Dow rising nearly 200 points at session highs.

China retaliated with reciprocal tariffs of 15% on some U.S. goods due to take effect 10th. March 2025.

Is the world order being dramatically upended?

Rolls-Royce shares jump 15% on impressive earnings report

Rolls-Royce accouts

Rolls-Royce’s share price surged by 15% following the announcement of its impressive full-year earnings and positive outlook.

The British aerospace giant reported a 57% increase in operating profit, reaching £2.46 billion for 2024. This exceeded analyst expectations and was driven by strong performance in its jet engine and power systems divisions.

In addition to the robust earnings, Rolls-Royce reinstated its dividend, proposing a 6 pence per share payout, and launched a £1 billion share buyback program.

The company also upgraded its mid-term guidance, projecting operating profit to rise to between £3.6 billion and £3.9 billion.

The market reacted positively to these developments, with Rolls-Royce’s stock hitting a new 52-week high.

Rolls-Royce one-year chart (as of 28th February 2025 09:50 GMT)

Rolls-Royce one-year chart (as of 28th February 2025 09:50 GMT)

The company’s CFO, Helen McCabe, highlighted the significant progress made in their multi-year transformation journey, emphasising the expanding earnings potential and improving balance sheet.

Nvidia sales grow 78% on AI demand – gives strong guidance

AI

Nvidia recently reported its Q4 results, showcasing impressive growth driven by strong demand for AI technology.

The company achieved a record quarterly revenue of $39.3 billion, marking a 78% increase from the previous year.

This growth was primarily fuelled by the success of Nvidia’s Blackwell AI supercomputers, which saw billions of dollars in sales in their first quarter.

The data centre segment, which constitutes the bulk of Nvidia’s revenue, also performed exceptionally well, generating $35.60 billion, up 16% from the previous quarter. Nvidia’s adjusted earnings per share for Q4 were $0.89, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $0.84.

Looking ahead, Nvidia provided strong guidance for Q1, forecasting revenue of $43 billion, which exceeds market expectations of $42.05 billion. The company also projected a gross margin of 70.60% for the upcoming quarter.

The first-quarter forecast indicates a year-over-year growth of approximately 65%, a deceleration from the 262% annual growth recorded in the same period the previous year.

Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang reportedly highlighted the rapid advancements in AI technology and the company’s successful ramp-up of Blackwell AI supercomputers as key drivers of this growth.

Despite facing competition from Chinese AI firms like DeepSeek, Nvidia remains optimistic about the demand for its AI chips.

The company’s robust performance and positive outlook signal continued growth and innovation in the AI sector.

Tesla’s market cap falls below $1 trillion

Tesla

Tesla shares sank 8% on Tuesday 25th February 2025 and have now lost most of their gains that followed President Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024.

The stock has plunged 25% this year, while the Nasdaq is down 1.5%.

It was also reported on that the company’s long-awaited upgrade of its partially automated driving system in China left owners unimpressed.

Tesla 3-month chart as of 25th February 2025

Tesla 3-month chart as of 25th February 2025

Bump to slump?

The ‘Trump Bump’ – a term referring to the surge in stocks and other assets, such as cryptocurrency, following Donald Trump’s election and inauguration seems to have plateaued.

This is most evident in Tesla shares, which plummeted Tuesday 25th February 2025, wiping out most of the post-election gains linked to CEO Elon Musk’s association with Trump.

Concerns about Tesla pertain to the company’s and Musk’s significant amount of time spent in Washington, D.C.

Investors are increasingly worried about impact of Trump’s tariffs on the economy. A U.S. Conference Board survey indicated pessimism regarding job availability, business conditions, and future income, along with heightened expectations for inflation in 2025.

The 10-year Treasury yield, considered an indicator of growth expectations, declined on this news. Stocks continued to fall. If this trend does not reverse soon, we could be facing a ‘Trump Slump.’