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This marks the second consecutive cut in 2025 amid economic uncertainty and a government data blackout. In a move aimed at supporting growth, the Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% following its October policy meeting. The decision, reportedly backed by a 10–2 vote from the Federal Open Market Committee, reflects growing concern …
The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady at 4.25% – 4.50% on 7th May 2025, citing economic uncertainty and the potential impact of tariffs. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that the central bank is in wait-and-see mode, monitoring inflation and employment risks. The decision follows concerns that Trump’s trade policies could lead to …
The Federal Reserve’s favourite recession indicator, the inverted yield curve, is flashing a danger sign once again. This occurs when the U.S. yield on the 10-year Treasury note falls below that of the 3-month note. Historically, this has been a reliable predictor of economic downturns, with a strong track record over a 12-18-month timeframe. The …
Continue reading “Federal Reserve’s preferred recession indicator is flashing red again!”
Recent inflation data suggests that the Federal Reserve is fast approaching its goal, if not already there – following the central bank’s significant interest rate reduction of 0.50% a few weeks ago Both consumer and producer price indexes for September 2024 aligned with forecasts, indicating a decline in inflation towards the central bank’s 2% target. …
Continue reading “Is it job done for the Federal Reserve now?”
Jerome Powell on Tuesday 9th July 2024 reportedly expressed concern that holding interest rates too high for too long could jeopardize economic growth. This comment came ahead of the consumer price index reading due this week. Preparing for a two-day session on Capitol Hill, the central bank chief stated that the economy and labour market …
The Fed in March 2024, indicated for the markets to expect three interest rate cuts by the end of 2024 – but what if this didn’t happen? The Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates in 2024 could have significant implications for the U.S. economy. Fed cred – credibility would be the first to go! …
Continue reading “What if the Federal Reserve decided to hold interest rates in 2024?”
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a U.S. TV interview on Sunday 4th January 2024 that the central bank will proceed carefully with interest rate cuts this year and likely will move at a considerably slower pace than the market expects. Election year rate cuts? In the interview and after last week’s Federal Open …
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held interest rates steady and indicated a willingness stop raising interest rates. But a cut anytime soon is unlikely until inflation is brought fully under control and nearer to the Fed’s 2% inflation target. The Federal Reserve sent a signal that it is finished with raising interest rates but …
The latest U.S. jobs report underscored a clear cooling in labour market momentum, with June’s 2026 nonfarm payrolls rising by just 57,000, well below economists’ expectations and marking the weakest gain in four months. And this despite an expected job boost as the U.S. hosts a highly successful record-breaking Football World Cup. Although the headline …
South Korea’s KOSPI index suffered a severe shock on Monday, 8th June, plunging more than 8% in early trading and triggering an automatic 20‑minute circuit breaker as panic selling swept through the market. The index briefly fell to the mid‑7,400s, marking its third circuit‑breaker event of the year and underscoring the fragility of sentiment after …
The Nasdaq Composite endured a bruising session on Friday, 5th June 2026, tumbling more than 4% in its steepest single‑day decline since April 2025. The sell‑off was triggered by a powerful combination of surging Treasury yields and a violent unwinding in semiconductor and mega‑cap technology stocks, following a far stronger‑than‑expected U.S. jobs report. Employers added …
Continue reading “Nasdaq’s Rally Snaps as Hot Jobs Data Slams Tech”
The Dow Jones Industrial Average pushed into uncharted territory on Friday 22nd May 2026, closing at a new all‑time high as investors leaned into the resilience of the U.S. economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average last finished at 50,579.70 — the closing level from Friday, 22nd May 2026, which was the most recent trading day. …
Continue reading “Dow breaks to a fresh record – with more to come?”
Wall Street ended April on a strong note as both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closed at new record highs on 30th April 2026. Investors pushed major indices higher for a second consecutive session, encouraged by resilient corporate earnings and renewed confidence in the technology sector. The S&P 500 finished at 7,209, surpassing …
Continue reading “Wall Street Closes at Fresh Record Highs as AI Tech Stocks Surge”
Global equities have staged a striking recovery, erasing the losses triggered by the U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict and pushing into fresh record territory. On the surface, this looks counter‑intuitive: the ceasefire remains fragile, diplomatic progress is uneven, and the threat of renewed escalation still hangs over the Strait of Hormuz. Yet markets have not only stabilised — …
Continue reading “Why Global Stocks Are Hitting Records Despite an Uncertain Middle East Backdrop”
America’s latest inflation figures show price pressures proving far stickier than the Federal Reserve would like, with the core PCE index — the Fed’s preferred gauge — holding at 3% in February 2026. Headline inflation came in slightly lower at 2.8%, but both measures remain well above the central bank’s 2% target. What makes this …
Continue reading “U.S. Inflation Stays Stubborn at 3% as Geopolitical Tensions Rise”
U.S. wholesale prices rose far more sharply than expected in February 2026, underscoring the persistence of inflationary pressures across the economy and complicating the Federal Reserve’s path on interest rates. The Producer Price Index (PPI), which tracks the prices businesses receive for goods and services, climbed 0.7% on the month—more than double economists’ forecasts. Annual …
Continue reading “U.S. wholesale prices jump – signalling stubborn inflation pressures”
Markets rarely sit still without reason. When they do — as they have in recent sessions, grinding sideways in an ultra‑tight range — it signals not calm but compression. Price action becomes like a coiled spring: energy building, tension rising, and traders waiting for the moment when restraint snaps into motion. This week’s narrow trading …
Continue reading “The Market’s Coiled Spring: Why Ultra‑Tight Ranges Rarely End Quietly”
U.S. inflation eased to 2.4% in February, offering the Federal Reserve a rare moment of calm after two years of stubborn price pressures. The latest CPI report showed a steady 0.3% monthly rise, perfectly in line with expectations, while core inflation held at 2.5%. It’s the clearest sign yet that the disinflation trend remains intact, …
Continue reading “U.S. Inflation Cools to 2.4% — Just as a New Oil Shock Looms”
The latest U.S. payroll figures delivered an unexpected jolt to markets, with February’s nonfarm employment falling by 92,000 — a far deeper contraction than economists had anticipated. Consensus forecasts had pointed to a modest 50,000 decline, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report revealed a labour market losing traction for the third time in five …
U.S. core wholesale prices rose 0.8% in January 2026, a sharper-than-expected acceleration that has renewed concerns about lingering inflationary pressures across the American economy. The increase, reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, exceeded both December 2025’s 0.6% rise and the consensus expectation of 0.3%, marking one of the strongest monthly gains in recent months. …
The United States economy lost momentum at the end of 2025, with fourth‑quarter GDP rising just 1.4%, a sharp deceleration from the 4.4% expansion recorded in the previous quarter. The first estimate from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis underscored a cooling backdrop that contrasts with the resilience seen through much of last year. The …
Continue reading “U.S. Growth Slows Sharply as Q4 GDP at 1.4% – badly missed target”
The precious metals market has endured one of its most dramatic reversals in modern trading history, with gold and silver plunging from last week’s extraordinary peaks to deep intraday lows. Gold, which surged to an unprecedented $5,600 per ounce, fell back to around $4,500, while silver has retreated from highs near $120 per ounce to …
Continue reading “The ups and downs of Gold and Silver as prices collapse from record highs”
Bitcoin has officially entered a bear market, having fallen more than 25% from its October peak of $126,000. This downturn is rippling across the wider crypto sector, dragging Ethereum, Solana, and other altcoins into steep declines as investor sentiment turns risk-off. Bitcoin’s recent plunge below $95,000 marks a decisive shift into bear market territory. After …
Continue reading “Bitcoin’s Bear Market and Its Impact on Crypto in General”
October 2025 saw a notable upswing in global equity markets, with artificial intelligence (AI) emerging as a key driver of investor enthusiasm. In the United States, major indices closed the month firmly in the green, buoyed by strong third-quarter earnings and renewed confidence in AI’s transformative potential. Tech giants such as Nvidia, Amazon, and Palantir …
Continue reading “AI optimism fuels October’s stock surge, with tech leading the charge”
The latest U.S. inflation figures show a modest increase in consumer prices. The annual rate rose to 3.0% in September 2025, up from 2.9% in August. 2025. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.3% month-on-month, slightly below economists’ expectations. Core inflation—which excludes volatile food and energy …
Continue reading “U.S. Inflation Slows Slightly in September, Easing Pressure on Fed”
Influential figures and institutions are sounding the AI alarm—or at least raising eyebrows—about the frothy valuations and speculative fervour surrounding artificial intelligence. Who’s Warning About the AI Bubble? 🏛️ Bank of England – Financial Policy Committee 🏦 Jerome Powell – Chair, U.S. Federal Reserve 🧮 Lisa Shalett – Chief Investment Officer, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management …
Continue reading “AI Crash! Correction or pullback? Something is coming…”