Inflation saw a modest rise in September 2024, edging closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, as reported by the Commerce Department on Thursday 31st October 2024. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index recorded a seasonally adjusted increase of 0.2% for the month, and the year-over-year inflation rate stood atRead More →

Germany data

In October 2024, Germany’s inflation rate rose to 2.4%, as per the preliminary figures from the Federal Statistical Office, Destatis This increase defied the expectations of analysts, who had predicted a 0.1% decrease, thus narrowly preventing Germany from entering a technical recession, defined by two successive quarters of economic decline.Read More →

Russia bank rate

On Friday 25th October 2024, Russia’s central bank increased its key interest rate by 2% (200 basis points) to 21%, attributing the decision to consumer price increases significantly exceeding its projections and cautioning about persistent high inflation risks in the medium term This rate hike surpasses the 1% (100 basis-point)Read More →

UK Inflation down below target

UK inflation fell unexpectedly to 1.7% in the year to September 2024, the lowest rate in three-and-a-half years This indicates that inflation, which is the rate at which prices increase over time, is currently below the Bank of England’s target of 2%, potentially leading to further reductions in interest ratesRead More →

Federal Reserve

Recent inflation data suggests that the Federal Reserve is fast approaching its goal, if not already there – following the central bank’s significant interest rate reduction of 0.50% a few weeks ago Both consumer and producer price indexes for September 2024 aligned with forecasts, indicating a decline in inflation towardsRead More →

U.S. CPI

Over the past year, the rate of U.S. price increases accelerated unexpectedly in September 2024, as policymakers considered their decision on interest rates, as indicated in a U.S. Labor Department report on Thursday 10th October 2024. Sticky U.S. inflation The consumer price index (CPI), which measures the cost of goodsRead More →

New Zealand Central Bank

New Zealand’s central bank has reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.50% points following its monetary policy meeting, resulting in a consecutive interest rate reduction This decrease sets the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s interest rate at 4.75%, down from 5.25%. Economists surveyed by Reuters had anticipated this move. PreviouslyRead More →

CPI data Germany

In September 2024, the German consumer price index softened to 1.8%, falling below expectations based on preliminary data from Destatis, the national statistics office. Month-on-month, the preliminary harmonized CPI saw a slight decrease of 0.1%. According to recent analysis, the last instance of the German harmonized CPI falling below 2%,Read More →

U.S. Core PCE inflation measure

In August 2024, U.S. inflation edged closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, potentially paving the way for future reductions in interest rates, according to a report from the U.S. Commerce Department released Friday 27th September 2024 The personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE), which is the Fed’s preferred gauge forRead More →

U.S. interest rate

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has voted to reduce the interest rate by 0.50% after having maintained its benchmark rate within the range of 5.25% to 5.50% since July 2023 The previous rate was the highest seen for 23 years and remained unchanged even though the Fed’s favoured inflationRead More →

UK inflation

UK inflation was reported at 2.2% for August 2024, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) data released on Wednesday 18th August 2024 The consumer price index (CPI) figure aligned with the forecasts of analysts and remained consistent with July’s inflation rate of 2.2%. Previously, the headline CPI hadRead More →

U.S. PPI data

In August 2024, wholesale prices saw an increase that was roughly in line with expectations, marking the final inflation data point before the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest rate cut due on 18th September 2024 The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Thursday 12th September 2024 that the producer price indexRead More →

U.S. CPI statistics

As anticipated in the U.S., prices rose in August 2024, while the annual inflation rate fell to its lowest point since February 2021, according to a Labor Department report on Wednesday 11th September 2024. This development likely now paves the way for a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction next weekRead More →

Federal Reserve

Is the U.S. economy already weaker than the headline data suggests and should the U.S. Federal Reserve already be easing? In the U.S. recent data (Friday 30th August 2024) showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation, ticked up 0.2% last month, asRead More →

U.S. inflation

U.S. consumer prices (CPI) increased at the slowest rate in over three years last month, further supporting the argument for the Fed to begin reducing interest rates. According to the U.S. Labor Department, prices climbed 2.9% in the 12 months leading up to July 2024, marking the smallest yearly riseRead More →

Witches' stocks cauldron

The stock markets mix of toil and trouble is in the cauldron ready for a bear market in 2025, if not before. Why? These concerns are now all combining, and it will likely add-up to a bear market of around 25% in 2025 (this is my best guess). Remember –Read More →