The end of globalisation or a fresh start with a new world order?

Global trade

Globalisation is a process that has woven the world together, creating interconnected networks of trade, culture, technology, and governance.

At its core, globalisation refers to the increased interaction and integration between people, companies, and governments across the globe.

This phenomenon has profound economic, political, and cultural implications, shaping the way we live and think.

Historically speaking

Historically, globalisation is not a recent occurrence; it has been evolving for centuries. The roots of globalisation can be traced back to ancient civilizations when trade routes like the Silk Road emerged around 130 BCE during the Han Dynasty of China.

The Silk Road connected Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and North Africa, facilitating the exchange of goods, ideas, religions, and innovations. While it was primarily a trade route, it also marked the first notable instances of cross-cultural interaction on a global scale.

However, the modern wave of globalisation began much later. Many historians point to the Age of Exploration in the late 15th and early 16th centuries as a pivotal moment.

European explorers like Christopher Columbus and Vasco da Gama sought new trade routes to Asia and the Americas, leading to the establishment of colonial empires.

These explorations were driven by ambitions of trade, wealth, and power, further intertwining economies and cultures.

Adam Smith, the 18th-century economist and philosopher, can also be credited with significantly influencing globalisation through his ideas. His seminal work, The Wealth of Nations (1776), laid the foundation for modern economics and advocated for free-market trade.

His philosophies supported the idea of open international markets, which became a cornerstone of globalisation in later years.

Industrial revolution

Fast forward to the 19th and 20th centuries, the Industrial Revolution and advancements in technology supercharged globalisation.

Railroads, steamships, telegraphs, and later airplanes and the internet, reduced distances and enhanced global connectivity.

This period also saw the establishment of international organisations such as the United Nations and the World Trade Organisation, further embedding globalisation into global policies.

Evolution

Today, globalisation continues to evolve. While it has brought unparalleled access to goods, services, and information, it has also sparked debates about its impact on inequality, environmental sustainability, and cultural homogenisation.

As nations and individuals grapple with its implications, globalisation remains a defining characteristic of our interconnected world. Its history is a testament to humanity’s constant quest to connect, collaborate, and innovate.

Tariffs

The introduction of ‘protectionist’ policies and ideals will likely lead back to globalisation in the end. Are Trump’s protectionist tariff ideals about protectionism or more about a drive to level the imbalance of global trade differences? Gobal trade will not end!

The tariffs are more about aiming to settle trade imbalances, at least according to U.S. President Trump.

Trump’s tariffs have had a significant impact on globalisation, challenging its trajectory. By imposing sweeping tariffs on imports, including a baseline 10% on goods from various countries, Trump aimed to reduce the U.S. trade deficit and reshore U.S. manufacturing.

While this approach sought to protect domestic industries, it disrupted global trade networks and raised concerns about inflation and economic instability.

These tariffs marked a shift away from decades of free trade policies that had fostered globalisation. Critics argue that such measures could lead to higher consumer prices and strained international relations.

On the other hand, proponents believe they might encourage self-reliance and industrial growth within the U.S.

The long-term effects on globalisation remain uncertain. While some see this as a step toward de-globalisation, others view it as a recalibration of trade dynamics.

The future will likely depend on how nations adapt to these changes and whether they seek collaboration or confrontation in global trade.

Globalisation is too big for it to simply… stop!

Gold or Bitcoin?

Gold or Bitcoin

Gold or Bitcoin: Which Is a Better Investment?

When it comes to investing, two assets often come to mind: gold and Bitcoin.

Both have their unique advantages and disadvantages, and choosing between them depends on your investment goals, risk tolerance, and market outlook.

Historical performance

Gold has been a reliable store of value for thousands of years. Its price has seen steady growth, with a notable increase of 60% from 2010 to 20241.

During the 1970s inflation crisis, gold rose by 2,300%, showcasing its ability to hedge against inflation. Gold ETFs have grown to around $270 billion in assets under management (AUM) by 2024.

Impressive growth some would say but wait… there’s a new kid on the block.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a relatively new asset, introduced in 2009. Despite its short history, Bitcoin has seen explosive growth, surging from $4 in 2011 to over $106,000 in 2024 – a growth of more than 2 million percent.

During the 2020-2024 inflationary cycle, Bitcoin increased by 1,185%, highlighting its potential as an inflation hedge.

Volatility and risk

Gold is known for its stability and long-term value preservation. Its volatility index (VIX) is relatively low, making it a safe haven during economic downturns. Investors with long-term goals often prefer gold for its consistent performance and lower risk.

Bitcoin, however, is highly volatile. Its price can fluctuate dramatically within short periods, making it a riskier investment. While Bitcoin offers the potential for high returns, it also comes with the possibility of significant losses. Investors must be prepared for the market’s ups and downs and have a higher risk tolerance.

Inflation hedging

Both gold and Bitcoin are considered effective hedges against inflation. Gold has a long history of maintaining its value during inflationary periods, making it a trusted asset for wealth preservation.

Bitcoin, as a digital asset, has gained recognition as ‘digital gold’ and is increasingly seen as a viable alternative for hedging against inflation.

Regulatory environment

Gold is a well-established asset with a clear regulatory framework. Central banks worldwide hold significant gold reserves, underscoring its role in financial stability. Bitcoin, however, operates in a relatively new and evolving regulatory landscape.

While some countries have embraced Bitcoin, others have imposed restrictions or bans, adding an element of uncertainty to its future.

Accessibility and liquidity

Gold is a tangible asset that can be easily bought and sold. It is widely accessible and has a liquid market, allowing investors to enter and exit positions with ease.

Bitcoin, while also highly liquid, requires a digital wallet and an understanding of cryptocurrency exchanges. Its accessibility can be limited by regulatory and technological barriers.

Is there a conclusion?

Choosing between gold and Bitcoin depends on your investment goals and risk tolerance. Gold offers stability, long-term value preservation, and a lower risk profile, making it suitable for conservative investors.

Bitcoin, with its potential for high returns and inflation hedging, appeals to those with a higher risk tolerance and a belief in the future of digital assets.

Ultimately, diversifying your portfolio with both assets can provide a balanced approach, combining the stability of gold with the growth potential of Bitcoin.

The mystery surrounding the origin of Bitcoin

Origin of Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s origin is one of the most captivating mysteries of the digital age. The cryptocurrency was created in 2008 by an unknown individual or group under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto.

Despite numerous investigations, the true identity of Nakamoto remains shrouded in secrecy.

Story

The story of Bitcoin begins with the release of a whitepaper titled “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.” This document outlined a new kind of decentralised digital currency, one that relied on cryptographic principles to ensure security and prevent double-spending.

Nakamoto’s revolutionary vision was to create a financial system free from the control of traditional banks and government interference.

Genesis block

In January 2009, Nakamoto mined the first block of the Bitcoin blockchain, known as the ‘genesis block,’ marking the birth of the cryptocurrency. Over the next couple of years, Nakamoto continued to work on the project, communicating with other developers via email and online forums.

The mystery surrounding the origin of Bitcoin

However, by 2011, Nakamoto had largely stepped away from active involvement in the project, leaving behind a legacy that would forever change the financial landscape.

Speculation

Speculation about Nakamoto’s true identity has been rampant. Some believe Nakamoto is a single, exceptionally talented individual, while others theorise that it could be a group of developers working under a collective pseudonym.

Over the years, various names have been proposed as possible candidates, including renowned cryptographers, developers, and even eccentric entrepreneurs. Yet, none of these theories have been definitively proven, and Nakamoto’s identity remains a closely guarded secret.

Intrigue

The intrigue surrounding Nakamoto is not just a matter of curiosity but also of financial significance. As the creator of Bitcoin, Nakamoto is estimated to own around one million Bitcoins. At current market values, this makes Nakamoto one of the wealthiest individuals in the world.

Bitcoin chart from inception as of 7th November 2024 touching $75,000

Bitcoin chart from inception as of 7th November 2024 touching $75,000

However, these Bitcoins have never been moved or spent, adding to the enigma of Nakamoto’s motives and intentions.

Myth?

The myth of Satoshi Nakamoto has taken on a life of its own, becoming a symbol of the power and potential of decentralized technology. The anonymity of Nakamoto also serves as a reminder of the core principles behind Bitcoin: privacy, decentralisation, and freedom from traditional financial systems.

In a world increasingly dominated by surveillance and control, the mystery of Nakamoto provides a compelling counter-narrative, one that continues to inspire and intrigue both technologists and libertarians alike.

In the end, the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto may never be revealed, and perhaps that is as it should be. The enduring mystery adds to the allure of Bitcoin, ensuring that its origins will forever be a topic of fascination and debate.

Don’t waste your money on expensive jeans – so says this study!

Jeans

A recent study by the University of Leeds, in collaboration with Primark, found that a pair of women’s jeans costing just £15 were more durable than a pair costing £150.

The research tested 65 clothing items, including jeans, hoodies, and T-shirts, to set standards on how long clothing should last. They used equipment that can simulate years of wear and tear in a matter of hours.

Interestingly, the study revealed no correlation between price and durability. This means that higher-priced items aren’t necessarily more durable than cheaper ones. Primark plans to use these findings to improve the durability of their products and provide better value for customers.

So, for durability… buy the cheaper option. I have no idea about the design and style though.

Is it worth investing in gold and if so, what are the many different and best ways to do it?

Gold

Gold has been a popular investment for centuries. The allure of gold endures in today’s varied financial environment. We will delve into the advantages and disadvantages of investing in gold, as well as the different methods by which you can incorporate this valuable metal into your investment portfolio.

Pros of investing in gold

Protection against market downturns

Gold is viewed as a safe-haven asset. In times of market crashes or economic instability, investors tend to turn to gold to protect their savings and investments. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008, the price of gold soared by more than 100%, contrasting sharply with the losses experienced by other assets.

One year gold price chart as of 26th July 2024

One year gold price chart as of 26th July 2024

Inflation hedge

As inflation increases, the purchasing power of the dollar diminishes. During periods of high inflation, gold often appreciates, offering a potential return for investors.

Diversification

Diversifying an investment portfolio across various assets can help in minimizing losses. Gold, which usually has a low correlation with stocks and bonds, can bolster diversification and diminish overall risk.

Cons of investing in gold

No income generation

In contrast to stocks, which distribute dividends, or bonds, which accrue interest and can appreciate (or depreciate) in value, gold does not produce income. It’s worth is dependent entirely on its appreciation in price.

Additional costs

Owning and storing physical gold involves various expenses. These include transportation costs, storage fees, and insurance, especially if the gold is kept at home.

Ways to invest in gold

Physical gold

You can buy gold bars or coins. Owning physical gold provides tangible ownership and is a classic tried and tested way to invest.

Gold Mining Stocks

Investing in shares of gold mining companies can be a strategic move, as these stocks are impacted by gold prices and the operational performance of the mines.

Gold Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)

ETFs track the price of gold. They’re an efficient way to invest without holding physical gold.

Gold mutual funds

These funds aggregate investors’ capital to invest in assets related to gold.

Options and futures contracts

For more advanced investors, trading gold options and futures can provide exposure to price movements.

Conclusion

Gold can be a valuable addition to your investment strategy, especially for long-term goals. Consider your risk tolerance, financial objectives, and the role gold plays in diversifying your portfolio. Remember that while gold has held its value over time, it’s not a guaranteed path to wealth. As with any investment, thorough research and a well-thought-out approach are essential. 

Remember: always, always do your research…

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Common investing mistakes to avoid

Wise stock selection

Avoiding common investing and trading pitfalls is crucial. Here are some typical investing errors you should try to avoid.

Warren Buffett wisely cautions against investing in businesses that are not well understood. It is crucial to have a deep understanding of the company, its market sector, the broader industry, and its financial stability before committing to an investment.

Understand your investment

Take time to research whether it be a company, fund, unit trust or savings account. Make sure you understand what you are doing. Not understanding the investment is a massive failing.

Love the company, but resist falling in love with it. An emotional attachment to a specific stock can obscure your judgement. Keep in mind that investing should be a process of making rational decisions based on data, not on personal emotions.

Patience

Successful investing demands patience. Don’t anticipate immediate results; give your investments the necessary time to mature. Resist the urge to frequently check the markets and make hasty uninformed decisions.

Investment turnover

Excessive trading, known as churning, can result in significant transaction fees and tax consequences. It is advisable to adopt a long-term investment strategy and minimize superfluous trades.

Attempting to time the market

Consistently timing the market is a difficult task. Instead, the emphasis should be on the duration of market involvement. Steady contributions and maintaining investments yield benefits in the long-term.

Getting even

Clinging to underperforming investments with the hope of just breaking even can be harmful. It’s crucial to assess each investment on its own merits and be prepared to take losses when needed. Run the winners!

Diversify

Investing all your funds in a single stock or asset class heightens the risk. Mitigate this by diversifying your investments across various asset types, industries, sectors and regions.

Cut emotions

Fear and greed often result in unwise decisions. It’s crucial to remain disciplined, adhere to your investment plan, and resist the urge to make hasty decisions driven by emotions.

You

Always maintain honesty with yourself when investing. Do not persuade yourself of anything other than the FACTS regarding your investment choices!

Keep in mind that investing is a journey where learning from mistakes is an integral part of the experience. By steering clear of these common pitfalls, you’ll set yourself up for greater long-term success.

Spread out your investments. Diversify. Aim for the long term. Remove emotion. Let the winners run. And doe your RESEARCH!

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Have you heard of the ‘Sahm Rule’ recession indicator?

Rules in a book

The ‘Sahm Rule’ serves as a heuristic indicator employed by the Federal Reserve to ascertain the onset of a recession in the economy.

The Sahm Rule is a real-time evaluation tool based on monthly unemployment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Named after economist Claudia Sahm, it forecasts the onset of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate (U3) increases by 0.50% or more compared to its lowest point in the preceding 12 months.

This simple yet effective indicator helps policymakers monitor economic cycles and respond accordingly

Time to cut according to the ‘Sahm Rule’

Sahm has reportedly stated that the Fed is taking a significant risk by not implementing gradual rate cuts now. Last week, Federal Reserve officials significantly reduced their forecasts for rate cuts this year, shifting from three anticipated reductions noted in the March 2024 meeting to just one.

According to the creator of a well-established rule for predicting recessions, the Federal Reserve is risking an economic contraction by not lowering interest rates immediately.

The unloved stock market rally: exploring why many investors are hesitant to embrace this record-breaking run

Unloved rally

The unloved rally: A paradox

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been reaching all-time highs with remarkable frequency, notching nearly thirty record days in 2024, including four in the past week. Despite this stellar performance, a considerable number of investors remain hesitant. Let’s explore the reasons behind this paradox.

Lingering recession fears

The recollection of the 2022 bear market continues to trouble investors. The swift escalation of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve at that time generated widespread uncertainty and apprehension. This has led many investors to maintain a cautious stance, concerned that the past may repeat, even amidst a surging market. Maybe less of us expected the AI driven stock buying frenzy to scale such highs so quickly?

Scepticism

Investors are inherently sceptical. Amidst a relentless market rally, uncertainty emerges. Can this be sustained? Is a correction looming? This scepticism may hinder investors from wholeheartedly participating in a bull market, despite what the statistics indicate.

Emotional baggage

Investment isn’t solely a game of numbers; it’s equally a matter of emotions (although it shouldn’t be). Investors bearing the scars of past losses may find their emotional baggage weighing heavily on their decisions. The fear of experiencing another market crash can cloud rational judgement, leading them to forgo opportunities for potential gains.

The ‘easy money’

The stock market’s significant rise from the lows of 2022 has convinced some that the phase of ‘easy money’ is over. Investors who did not capitalize on the early stages of the rally might think they have missed out, causing hesitation to engage fully. That’s where I am right now – but waiting for a ‘pullback’.

Navigating the dilemma

For individuals caught between caution and the fear of missing out (FOMO), the following strategies could be considered.

Diversification

Distribute your investments among various asset classes. Diversification serves to reduce risk and acts as a safeguard against the unpredictability of the market.

Long-term perspective

Keep in mind that investing is akin to a marathon, not a sprint. It’s important to concentrate on long-term objectives instead of short-term market movements.

Education

Inform yourself about market cycles, historical patterns, and the effects of monetary policy. This should empower more informed decision-making.

Professional advice

Consult a financial advisor who can guide you based on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.

Conclusion

The current stock market rally, though not widely embraced, offers both opportunities and challenges. Investors are tasked with finding the right balance between exercising caution and capitalizing on potential growth. As the market climbs, it’s essential to be aware of our biases and emotions. Only then can we approach the rally with a more informed viewpoint.

Disclaimer: This article provides general insights and should not be considered personalised financial advice. Always consult a professional before making investment decisions.

Remember: Always do your own diligent and careful research.

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Is the diamond industry ‘in trouble’ as lab-grown gems gain market share?

Lab diamonds

The demand for diamonds has declined as its allure fades in a key consumer market, China.

“Diamonds don’t really fit in anymore despite the strong legacy of De Beers under Anglo,” independent diamond industry analyst Paul Zimnisky reportedly said.

According to Zimnisky’s rough diamond index, diamond prices have decreased by 5.7% this year, marking a decline of over 30% from their peak in 2022.

Lab-grown diamonds, potentially up to 85% less expensive than natural ones, are created in a controlled environment using high pressure and heat to mimic the formation of natural diamonds in the Earth’s mantle.

Sales of lab-grown diamonds have increased from a mere 2% of the global diamond jewellery market in 2017 to 18.4% in 2023, as reported by Zimnisky.

A fall in marriage rates as well as growing popularity for gold and lab-grown gems all drove down Chinese demand for diamonds, according to market research firm Daxue Consulting.

The lifting of pandemic restrictions has led consumers to redirect their spending towards travel experiences rather than diamond products.

The preference for lab-grown diamonds plays a critical role in driving down prices of natural diamonds.

Quality investing advice from one of the best, if not the best investor the world has ever seen!

A Wise Owl

Warren Buffett, renowned as one of history’s most successful investors, has imparted invaluable insights that can help steer you on your investment path.

Rule No. 1 is never lose money. Rule No. 2 is never forget Rule No. 1

This straightforward statement has significant connotations. Although the aim of investing is to make a profit, it is just as important to avoid losses.

By reducing choices that put your portfolio at risk, you enhance the chance of earning profits. Consider it protecting your capital before pursuing returns. In contrast to those who gamble on the stock market, Buffett prioritizes careful risk management.

It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price 

Rather than concentrating only on low-priced stocks, it’s wise to invest in outstanding companies with robust economic foundations and competitive edges. Although top-notch companies seldom seem inexpensive, their enduring profitability may warrant a fair premium. Notable firms that Buffett has backed include Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola.

Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble 

Be ready to grasp opportunities as they come. Instead of a small thimble, arm yourself with a bucket to gather the metaphorical riches. That is, capitalize on favorable market conditions and make smart investments when suitable chances emerge.

Invest in yourself 

Buffett advocates for self-improvement, highlighting the importance of effective communication, both written and verbal. Developing this skill can greatly enhance your value.

Diversify

Diversify your investments among various assets to mitigate risk. Look into index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) – unit trusts, stocks and shares, gold and hold cash to achieve widespread diversification.

Start early

The effectiveness of compounding is maximized when you start investing early. Being consistently invested over time is more beneficial than attempting to predict market movements.

Automate

Establish automatic contributions to your investment accounts. Regular investments over time can result in significant growth.

The principles that capture the influence of fear and greed on investing were articulated by Warren Buffett.

Buffet advises: ‘Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful.‘ 

Fear and Greed

Fear

When investors collectively succumb to fear from ongoing stock market declines, they often resort to selling their shares, which in turn exacerbates the fall in prices.

Greed

In bull markets, it’s common for investors to exhibit excessive greed, pursuing rapid wealth and speculative trends.

Buffett’s wisdom

Warren Buffett, often referred to as the ‘Oracle of Omaha’, is known for his disciplined, long-term approach to investing. He specializes in value investing, which involves purchasing companies that seem to be undervalued by the market.

The rule

When others exhibit greed (buying aggressively), it’s prudent to exercise caution. On the flip side, when others are fearful (selling in a panic), it may be an opportune time to be greedy (buying at reduced prices).

Application

Fearful times

In times when fear prevails in the market, prices might plummet as a result of panic selling. Buffett advises exercising caution in these situations.

Greedy times

When others display excessive optimism (greed), it presents an opportunity to acquire undervalued assets.

Successful investing requires maintaining balance, adhering to fundamental principles, and steering clear of emotional extremes.

Investing is a marathon, not a sprint; hence, patience, discipline, and ongoing education are crucial.

Remember… ALWAYS do your own careful research! Or better still, take professional financial advice. Actually – just do both!

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Disclaimer: this article is for informative purposes only! Do not trade nor invest unless you FULLY understand what you are doing – even then it is wise to take qualified financial advice.

Possible read: Buffet – The Biography (Amazon listing – other good outlets available)

Wikipedia: Warren Buffet

What is the Hindenburg Omen? A recent report suggests it has been triggered…

Red Stock market

The Hindenburg Omen is a technical indicator that signals a higher likelihood of a stock market crash.

It measures the percentage of new 52-week highs and lows against a set reference percentage. The simultaneous occurrence of new highs and lows suggests a statistical anomaly from the norm, potentially foreshadowing a stock market downturn.

The four main criteria for a Hindenburg Omen signal

  • The daily number of new 52-week highs and 52-week lows in a stock market index must be greater than a threshold amount (typically around 2.2%).
  • The ratio of 52-week highs to 52-week lows cannot be more than two times.
  • The stock market index must still be in an uptrend (determined using a 10-week moving average or the 50-day rate of change indicator).
  • The McClellan Oscillator (MCO), which measures the shift in market sentiment, must be negative.

Once the criteria are satisfied, the Hindenburg Omen remains active for 30 trading days, and any subsequent signals within this time frame should be disregarded.

Confirmation of the Hindenburg Omen occurs if the McClellan Oscillator (MCO) stays negative throughout this period, while a positive MCO invalidates it.

Traders typically employ this indicator alongside other technical analysis methods to determine optimal selling times. However, it’s crucial to remember that the Hindenburg Omen is not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other market factors.

IMF recommends UK interest rates should be cut to 3.5% by end of 2025

UK Charts

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) advises that the Bank of England should contemplate reducing its interest rates to 3.5% by the end of 2025.

This suggestion is made as the UK’s economy steadily recovers from the recession caused by the pandemic, while policymakers are dealing with inflationary challenges.

The ‘thinking’ behind the recommendation

Economic Recovery and Inflation Outlook

The IMF’s recommendation is grounded in its assessment of the UK’s economic trajectory.

Growth Forecast

The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its growth forecast for the UK in 2024, signaling a positive outlook. It anticipates growth of 0.7% this year and 1.5% in 2025.

Inflation

The IMF anticipates that UK inflation will decline to near the Bank of England’s target of 2% and stabilise at this rate in early 2025, indicating that inflationary pressures are within manageable limits.

Soft Landing

The UK economy is said to be approaching a ‘soft landing‘ following the mild recession of the previous year. Policymakers are focused on finding a balance between fostering growth and managing inflation.

Monetary Policy Considerations

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has been closely monitoring economic indicators and inflation trends. Here’s why the IMF’s recommendation matters:

Interest Rate Peaks

The Monetary Policy Committee has indicated that interest rates might have reached their peak. The current restrictive monetary policy is having an impact on the actual economy and the dynamics of inflation.

Market Expectations

Analysts anticipate the first interest rate cut by September 2024 at the latest. Market expectations align with this projection, with the base interest rate likely to be lowered to 4% by the end of 2025.

Balancing Act

Policymakers face the delicate task of supporting economic recovery while preventing runaway inflation. The IMF’s suggestion aims to strike this balance.

Implications for Borrowers and Savers

Mortgage Holders

Variable Rate Mortgages

If you have a variable rate mortgage, a rate cut could reduce your monthly payments. However, keep an eye on your lender’s response to any rate changes.

Fixed Rate Mortgages

Fixed-rate borrowers won’t immediately benefit from rate cuts, but they should still monitor the situation. If rates continue to fall, refinancing might become attractive.

Savers

Savings Accounts

Lower interest rates typically lead to diminished returns on savings accounts. It may be wise to diversify your investments to seek potentially higher yields in other areas.

Fixed-Term Deposit

Current fixed-term deposits will remain unaffected; however, new deposits might generate lower yields. It is advisable to carefully assess your alternatives.

Conclusion

The IMF’s recommendation highlights the intricate balance between fostering economic recovery and managing inflation. As the Bank of England considers its next steps, it is crucial for borrowers and savers to remain informed and adjust their financial strategies as needed.

For homeowners, investors, and savers alike, grasping the potential consequences of rate cuts is key to making well-informed choices in an ever-changing economic environment.

Disclaimer: The information provided here is based on current projections and should not be considered financial advice. It is not given as financial advice – it is for discussion and analysis only!

Consult a professional advisor for personalised recommendations.

Remember – always do your careful research first!

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Update

The Bank of England has given its strongest hint yet that interest rates could be cut this summer. This comment was observed in a recent speech given by the deputy governor of the Bank of England.

How to Pick Stocks: A Beginner’s Guide

Investing in individual stocks can be both thrilling and profitable, yet it carries inherent risks. To make informed decisions, it’s important to adhere to some fundamental steps.

Define Your Goals

Before diving into stock picking, consider your investment goals

Invest for the longer-term, it works!

KIS – Keep It Simple! Keep your investment strategies as simple as possible.

Generate income – For regular payouts, consider focusing on dividend-paying stocks.

Preserve capital – If your primary goal is to keep pace with inflation and safeguard your savings, consider opting for lower-risk investments.

Grow capital – If you’re a young investor aiming for long-term growth, you might consider higher-risk stocks, being cautious with your selections.

Invest for the long-term

Choose your investment strategy

Value Investing – Consider purchasing stocks that are undervalued and have been neglected by the market.

Growth Investing – Invest in companies that exhibit signs of success and have the potential for further advancement.

Momentum Investing – Dispose of underperforming assets and invest in successful ones by following market trends. Be ruthless – there is no room for emotion!

Pound-Cost Averaging – Gradually invest money into the market to reduce the impact of volatility. Look into investing in funds or unit trusts.

Stay informed

Before selecting individual stocks, it’s crucial to stay informed about broader economic trends. Consult financial news websites and specialized magazines to gauge the performance of various industries. For example, economic volatility or significant global incidents, such as the emergence of a new virus variant, can affect the stock market.

Pay close attention to economic announcements from central banks, like interest rate changes. Monitor the newswires regularly and track market trends.

Explore industries you understand

Focus on investing in sectors you understand well. For instance, if your expertise lies in technology, look towards tech companies. If renewable energy is your area of interest, consider stocks in that domain. Knowledge of the industry can lead to more informed evaluations of companies.

Assess company fundamentals

When evaluating a specific stock, consider the following

Financial Health – Examine the company’s balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow. Scrutinize the levels of company debt. Observe the sales and purchases by directors. Determine if they are financially stable.

Earnings Growth – Verify whether the company has demonstrated consistent growth in its earnings over time.

Valuation – Comparing a stock’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio with that of its industry peers is crucial for assessing its market value relative to its earnings.

Competitive Advantage – A company’s competitive edge can stem from a unique product, a strong brand, or other distinctive factors. These elements can set a business apart and enable it to outperform its rivals in the market.

After a general market downturn – there is usually a good opportunity to pick-up good companies at a knock down bargain price.

Diversify your portfolio

It’s wise not to concentrate all your resources in a single area. Diversify your investments across various sectors and asset classes. Look into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds to gain wider market exposure. Consider precious metals such as gold maybe and keep cash on the sidelines for those occasional deals that crop up from time to time.

In summary

Selecting stocks involves thorough research, patience, and a vision for the long-term. Keep in mind that all investments carry some level of risk – past performance is not indicative of future outcomes. It is advisable to seek guidance from a financial advisor prior to making any investment choices.


Remember, investing involves risk, and it’s essential to do thorough research and consider professional advice before making any investment decisions. 

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Good luck with your stock-picking choices.

UK mortgage rates fall in January 2024

Mortgage rates down

Mortgage lenders have started 2024 by cutting interest rates.

The UK’s biggest lender, the Halifax, has cut some interest rates by nearly a full 1%, with other lenders expected to follow suit. HSBC has announced it will also make cuts in January.

Halifax is reducing its rates, with interest on a two-year fixed deal being cut by up to 0.83%. HSBC is due to reduce rates on its two-year fixed rate for remortgages (for someone with at least 40% equity in their home) falling below 4.5% for the first time since early June last year.

Mortgage rate chart October 2021 – January 2024

The Bank of England’s (BoE) benchmark interest rate has been held three times at 5.25%, analysts now expect the next move to be down.

New HMRC UK tax rules for online sellers

Tax

Are you selling online and making a little extra income?

Well, if you are, as from 1st January 2024 you will now fall foul of UK tax rules if you do not declare the income generated from these sales.

Companies like Etsy, eBay, Vinted, Airbnb etc. are obliged to collect and share details of such transactions with the tax authorities. That will allow HMRC to zero in on anyone who should be declaring the extra income but isn’t.

While HMRC was already able to request information from UK-based online operators, from the start of this year there are new rules that the UK has signed up to in cooperation with the OECD – Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, as part of a global effort to clamp down on tax evasion.

New rules

The new rules require digital platforms to report the income sellers are getting through their site on a regular basis.

It will apply to sales of goods such as second-hand clothes and items that have been handcrafted, but also services such as: food delivery, taxi hire, freelance work and accommodation lets or even renting out your driveway for parking.

Rule summary

  • Online sellers already paying tax do not need to alter what they are already doing.
  • Individuals have a £1,000 tax-free allowance for money made through property.
  • There is also a £1,000 allowance for trading income – for example, if you offer tutoring or gardening, or if you are selling new or second-hand items online.
  • People earning below those thresholds may not have to fill in a tax return, but should keep records in case they are asked for them.

The information will be shared between countries that have signed up to the OECD tax rules.

The UK government said the new rules would help it ‘bear down on tax evasion’, as sellers on digital platforms would now be treated more like traditional businesses.

Is the stock market on the verge of a big go green buy signal for a ‘mini’ rally?

Buy signal?

Inflation and interest rate correlation

The stock market is influenced by many factors, such as economic data, earnings reports, geopolitical events, investor sentiment, and technical indicators. 

Some analysts have suggested that the recent sell-off in the market may have created some oversold conditions that could lead to a relief rally or a bounce back in the near future.

Stochastics oscillation

One of the technical indicators that some traders use to identify buy and sell signals is the stochastics oscillator, which measures the momentum of price movements. The stochastics oscillator consists of two lines: the %K line and the %D line.

The %K line shows the current position of the price relative to its high and low range over a certain period of time, usually 14 days. The %D line is a moving average of the %K line, usually a three-day average. When the %K line crosses above the %D line, it is considered a bullish signal, indicating that the price may be reversing from a downtrend to an uptrend. 

When the %K line crosses below the %D line, it is considered a bearish signal, indicating that the price may be reversing from an uptrend to a downtrend.

80/20 analysis

The stochastics oscillator also has two levels: 20 and 80. When the %K line falls below 20, it means that the price is oversold, meaning that it has fallen too much and may be due for a rebound. When the %K line rises above 80, it means that the price is overbought, meaning that it has risen too much and may be due for a pullback.

Careful research before buying is paramount to successful trade

The FTSE 100 index, which tracks the performance of 100 large companies listed on the London Stock Exchange, has recently fallen below 20 on the stochastics oscillator, indicating that it may be oversold and ready for a bounce back.

No guarantee

However, this is not a guarantee, as other factors may also affect the market direction. Therefore, it is advisable to use stochastics in conjunction with other tools, such as trend lines, support and resistance levels, moving averages, and other technical indicators. 

Additionally, some traders use different settings for the stochastics oscillator, such as changing the time period or the smoothing factor, to suit their own trading style and preferences. Always though, long term investing produces far better results over time as it smooths out the ‘ups and downs’.

In summary, there is no definitive answer to whether the stock market is building up to a major buy signal again right now, as different traders will have different opinions and strategies and views. But one possible way to gauge the market sentiment and momentum is to use the stochastics oscillator, which can provide some clues about potential reversals and opportunities in the market.

Note

This indicator should not be used in isolation, but rather in combination with other tools and analysis – it is just that, a tool. Good well-established companies that have good track records over many many years are a good place to look for long term returns. But even then, do your thorough research first.

So, what next?

The interest-rate/inflation correlation is crucial, because nominal company earnings grow faster when inflation is higher. That does not mean investors should welcome inflation, since higher inflation also means that future years’ earnings must be discounted at a higher rate.

But for many behavioural reasons, investors place greater weight on the negative impact of the greater discount rate than on the higher nominal earnings-growth rate that typically accompanies higher inflation.

Inflation illusion

Economists refer to this investor error as ‘inflation illusion’. Perhaps the seminal study documenting how this error impacts the stock market was conducted by Jay Ritter of the University of Florida and Richard Warr of North Carolina State University. They found that investors systematically undervalue stocks in the presence of high inflation.

Investors will make the same error, in reverse, when inflation and interest rates start to come down. That’s why the foundation of a likely big buy signal is currently being built.

Maybe the buy signal is about to go green for a quick buying opportunity. But be careful, in this environment it can switch again very quickly.

Remember, always do your own research carefully before buying.

Read: Bull market 1982 -1999 and decline of inflation. Jay Ritter of the University of Florida and Richard Warr of North Carolina State University.

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Money waiting to go into tech, turn it on

Tech money

Reports suggest as much as $3 trillion is waiting on the sidelines to be invested in tech’.

AI FOMO

The reasoning is that AI is driving a fear of missing out (FOMO). We could very well be experiencing the fourth industrial revolution right now, and it is AI-driven. Strategically, companies can’t just sit around and wait. There’s a window where if they don’t join in or realise the potential and grab the opportunity, they’ll miss out.

IPO’s

Three of the biggest initial public offerings (IPO) in the tech’ sector in nearly two years raised some $6 billion collectively in less than a week. Nvidia has attracted much attention with the AI driven interest it has created recently.

While a handful of tech IPOs and one big acquisition wouldn’t have been much cause for celebration in previous years, they are a welcome return after the drought of pandemic-era hit investment.

The IPO market for tech was effectively shut down until Arm Holdings, Instacart and Klaviyo opened the investors door again. Merger activity such as that driven by Microsoft Corp., OpenAI ChatGPT and Activision Blizzard Inc. is helping to lift up the appetitie for investment again. And it’s pretty much AI induced.

Money ready to go

Some analysts suggest there is $3 trillion sitting on the sidelines ready to invest, mostly held by Big Tech and private equity companies. The fascination with artificial intelligence (AI) and fear of missing out (FOMO) will create massive AI led tech investing opportunities. Everyone will want a slice of this cake.

This could very well be the biggest transformational spending wave that we’ve seen in years and certainly since the internet arrived in 1995.

Just look out for that ‘bubble’ again – it will pop! But much money will be made before that happens and then again after.

U.S. holds interest rates at 5.25% – 5.5%, but expect higher rates for longer

Central banker

Fed holds steady

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady in a decision released Wednesday 20th September 2023, while also indicating it still expects one more hike before the end of the year and fewer cuts than previously indicated next year.

That final increase, if realised, would be it for now according to data released at the end of the Fed two-day meeting. If the Fed goes ahead with the move, it would be the twelfth rate hike since policy tightening began in March 2022.

No change priced in

Markets had fully priced in no move at this meeting, which kept the fed funds rate targeted in a range between 5.25%-5.5%, the highest in some 22 years. The rate fixes what banks charge each other for overnight lending but also affects many other forms of consumer debt too.

While the no-hike was expected, there was plenty of uncertainty over where the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), would go from here.

Judging from reports released Wednesday 20th September 2023, the bias appears towards more restrictive policy and a higher-for-longer approach to interest rates.

AI pumped technology can surpass human intelligence ‘big time’ – according to SoftBank’s CEO

Arm AI chip

Masayoshi Son says AI to surpass human intelligence and that SoftBank will ‘rule the world’. Oh dear…!

Main points in brief

  • Masayoshi Son reportedly said AI is capable of helping solve the world’s biggest problems and could potentially surpass the intelligence of humans.
  • He said he was a ‘big believer’ in AI and that Arm, a chip design company owned by Softbank, was a ‘core’ beneficiary of the AI revolution.
  • He said AI would supercharge human ability and that Softbank would ‘rule the world’ and win the latest generative-AI race thanks to its heavy investment in startups and its majority stake in Arm.
  • He also acknowledged that AI posed some threats to humanity if mishandled and that society should regulate it to protect humankind.

Masayoshi Son and SoftBank

The 66-year-old founded SoftBank, which still controls about 90% of Arm Holdings after the IPO, back in 1981 after graduating from the University of California, Berkeley. Forbes estimates his net worth at more than $24 billion, making him the world’s 69th richest person.

Son made his early reputation as an investor in Japan’s mobile phone industry, and went on to become one of the first backers of Yahoo as well as Alibaba. Son continues to serve as the chairman of Arm’s board of directors.

AI does pose some threats to humanity if mishandled, Son said, likening its potential misuse to the dangers of speeding, or drinking alcohol while driving a car. But, more positively, AI can also help solve key world problems like diseases or help mitigate or recover from natural disasters, he reportedly said.

‘AI, society should regulate to protect humankind’, Son said. ‘However, it has more merit than the demerits. So, I think I’m a believer. I’m optimistic that AI is going to solve the issues that mankind couldn’t solve in the past‘.

Bitcoin billionaires

Bitcoin billionaire

According to a report by Henley & Partners, a professional consultancy firm, there are 22 people who have crypto holdings worth at least $1 billion as of September 2023. Six of them hold their investments in Bitcoin, the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.

Six Bitcoin billionaires reported net worth

  • Micree Zhan, the co-founder of Bitmain, a leading manufacturer of Bitcoin mining hardware. He has a reported net worth of $3.2 billion as of January 2021.
  • Chris Larsen, the co-founder and executive chairman of Ripple, a blockchain platform that facilitates cross-border payments. He has a reported net worth of $2.9 billion as of January 2021.
  • Michael Saylor, the founder and CEO of MicroStrategy, a business intelligence company that has invested over $1 billion in Bitcoin since 2020. He has a reported net worth of $2.3 billion as of January 2021.
Bitcoin billionaire pile
  • Changpeng Zhao, the founder and CEO of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. He has a reported net worth of $1.9 billion as of January 2021.
  • Tim Draper, a venture capitalist and early investor in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. He has a reported net worth of $1.5 billion as of January 2021.
  • Brian Armstrong, the co-founder and CEO of Coinbase, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the U.S. He has a reported net worth of $1.3 billion as of January 2021.

Satoshi Nakamoto

There are also likely to be some anonymous Bitcoin billionaires who have not disclosed their identities or holdings to the public. 

One of them could be Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious ‘likely’ creator of Bitcoin, who is estimated to have mined over one million Bitcoins in the early days of the network. 

If he still owns them, his fortune would be worth over $40 billion at current prices. However, there is no conclusive evidence that he is still alive or in control of his bitcoins, or even that he was the originator of Bitcoin.

UK Superfund plan – KNOWHOW

Let the winners run!

The UK superfund plan is a new initiative launched by the Prime Minister and the Technology Secretary on 6 March 2023, with the aim of making the UK a global science and technology superpower by 2030.

The plan outlines key actions that will involve every part of the government

  • Identifying and pursuing strategic advantage in the technologies that are most critical to achieving UK objectives
  • Showcasing the UK’s S&T strengths and ambitions at home and abroad to attract talent, investment and boost our global influence
  • Boosting private and public investment in research and development for economic growth and better productivity
  • Building on the UK’s already enviable talent and skills base
  • Financing innovative science and technology start-ups and companies
  • Capitalising on the UK government’s buying power to boost innovation and growth through public sector procurementSshaping the global science and tech landscape through strategic international engagement, diplomacy and partnerships
  • Ensuring researchers have access to the best physical and digital infrastructure for R&D that attracts talent, investment and discoveries.

Government funding

The plan is backed by over £370 million in new government funding to support infrastructure, investment and skills for the UK’s most exciting growing technologies, such as quantum and supercomputing, AI, biotechnology, clean energy, space and robotics. The plan is expected to create high-paid jobs of the future, grow the economy in cutting-edge industries, and improve people’s lives from better healthcare to security.

Government funding for Superfund

The funding sources for the UK superfund plan are mainly from the government’s budget allocation for science and technology, which has increased by 50% since 2020 to reach £22 billion per year by 2024/25. The government has also committed to increase public spending on R&D to 2.4% of GDP by 2027, which is expected to leverage additional private sector investment. Moreover, the government has established a new agency called Advanced Research & Invention Agency (ARIA), which will have a budget of £800 million over four years to fund high-risk, high-reward research projects that could lead to breakthroughs in science and technology.

Foreign investment

The UK superfund plan also aims to attract more foreign direct investment (FDI) into the UK’s science and technology sector, by promoting the UK as a leading destination for innovation and showcasing its world-class research facilities, talent pool, regulatory environment and market opportunities. The government has set a target of increasing FDI stock in R&D from £45 billion in 2018 to £67 billion by 2025.

The UK superfund plan is a separate initiative from the superfund consolidators for defined benefit (DB) pensions, which are a new innovation in the UK pension industry. Transferring a DB pension scheme to a superfund can improve the security of members’ benefits by replacing a weak employer covenant with a capital buffer. The Pensions Regulator (TPR) has published guidance for trustees and sponsoring employers of UK DB pension schemes considering transacting with a superfund.

GB Savings One Fund

The GB Savings One Fund is a proposal by the Tony Blair Institute (TBI) to create the country’s first superfund for pensions. According to the TBI, the superfund would be an expansion of the Pension Protection Fund (PPF), which is a statutory fund that provides compensation to members of eligible defined benefit (DB) pension schemes in the UK when their employers become insolvent.

The UK Superfund

The Tony Blair Institute suggests that sponsors of the smallest 4,500 UK DB schemes would be offered the voluntary option of transferring to the PPF on a benefit preserving basis, which would improve the security and efficiency of their pensions.

The institute also proposes that the PPF model should be replicated and rolled out throughout the UK in a series of regional, not-for-profit entities that sit within a master governance structure under the existing fund or participate in consolidation in parallel with and modelled on the original GB Savings. 

The TBI argues that this approach would result in a modernised pension system that would generate better returns for pensioners, attract more investment and talent, and strengthen pensions for the entire generation stuck with inadequate provision since the closure of the DB funds over the past two decades.

GB Bank

The GB Savings One Fund is not related to GB Bank, which is a bank that offers competitive savings accounts that support residential and commercial developments in communities that need them most. GB Bank has a full UK banking licence and offers the same level of protection as the traditional high street banks. 

When you save with GB Bank, your money is protected up to £85,000 by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS).

There are two I’s in Inflation…

THERE ARE TWO I'S IN INFLATION!

Interest rates and inflation in the UK

The UK is facing a cost of living crisis as inflation has soared to its highest level in decades. The Bank of England has raised interest rates 13 times since December 2021 in an attempt to bring inflation back down to its original target of 2%. But what does this mean for consumers, savers and borrowers?

What is inflation and why is it rising?

The current UK interest rate is now: 5.0%

Inflation is the term used to describe rising prices. How quickly prices go up is called the rate of inflation. Inflation affects the purchasing power of money, meaning that the same amount of money buys less goods and services over time.

The rate of inflation in the UK is measured by two main indicators: the consumer price index (CPI) and the retail price index (RPI). The CPI is based on a basket of products and services that people typically buy, while the RPI also includes mortgage interest payments.

According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the CPI inflation rate was 8.7% in the year to May 2023, while the RPI inflation rate was 11.4%. This means that on average, prices were 8.7% and 11.4% higher respectively than they were a year ago.

The main drivers of inflation in the UK are:

  • Energy bills: Wholesale gas prices have surged due to global supply disruptions since the pandemic hit in 2020, geopolitical tensions, the war in Ukraine and increased demand. The government introduced an energy price guarantee to freeze energy prices for six months, but prices still went up 27% in October 2022. The energy price guarantee has been extended.
  • Shortages: The pandemic and Brexit have caused labour and supply chain issues that have affected many sectors, such as food, clothing, construction and hospitality. This has led to higher costs and lower availability of some goods and services.
  • Demand: As the economy recovers from the lockdowns, consumer spending has picked up, especially on leisure and travel activities. This has increased the demand for some goods and services, pushing up their prices.

How do interest rates affect inflation?

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money or the reward for saving money. The Bank of England sets the bank rate, which is the interest rate it charges to commercial banks that borrow from it. The bank rate influences other interest rates in the economy, such as mortgage rates, loan rates and savings rates.

Interest rates climbed ever higher as the Bank of England lost control of inflation

The Bank of England uses interest rates as a tool to control inflation. The Bank has a target to keep inflation at 2%, but the current rate is more than five times that. When inflation rises, the Bank increases interest rates to make borrowing more expensive and saving more attractive. This reduces the amount of money circulating in the economy and slows down rising prices.

The Bank has raised interest rates 13 times since December 2021, from 0.1% to 5.0%. This is the highest level since March 2009, when interest rates were cut to a record low of 0.5% following the global financial crisis.

What does higher inflation mean for your money?

Higher inflation means that your money loses value over time. For example, if you had £100 in April 2022 and inflation was 8.7%, you would need £108.70 in April 2023 to buy the same amount of goods and services.

Higher inflation also affects your income, spending, saving and borrowing decisions.

  • Income: If your income does not keep up with inflation, you will have less purchasing power and lower living standards. For example, if your salary was £30,000 in April 2022 and increased by 2% in April 2023, you would earn £30,600. But if inflation was 8.7%, you would need £32,610 to maintain your purchasing power.
  • Spending: Higher inflation may encourage you to spend more now rather than later, as you expect prices to rise further in the future. However, this may also reduce your savings and increase your debt.
  • Saving: Higher inflation reduces the real return on your savings, meaning that your savings grow slower than prices. For example, if you had £10,000 in a savings account that paid 1% interest in April 2022, you would have £10,100 in April 2023. But if inflation was 8.7%, your savings would be worth only £9,300 in real terms.
  • Borrowing: Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive, meaning that you have to pay more interest on your loans and mortgages. For example, if you had a £200,000 mortgage with a 25-year term and a 2% interest rate in April 2022, your monthly payment would be £848. But if the interest rate rose to 4.5% in April 2023, your monthly payment would increase to £1,111. Mortgage interest rates hit 6% in July 2023.

How can you protect your money from inflation?

There are some steps you can take to protect your money from inflation, such as:

  • Review your budget: Track your income and expenses and see where you can cut costs or increase income. Try to save more and spend less, especially on non-essential items.
  • Shop around: Compare prices and deals for the goods and services you need or want. Look for discounts, vouchers and cashback offers. Switch providers or suppliers if you can find better value elsewhere.
  • Pay off debt: This is a priority! If you have high-interest debt, such as credit cards or overdrafts, try to pay it off as soon as possible. This will reduce the amount of interest you pay and free up more money for saving or investing.
  • Save smartly: Look for savings accounts or products that offer interest rates higher than inflation (tricky to find). Consider diversifying your savings into different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, property or gold. These may offer higher returns than cash in the long term, but bear in mind they also carry more risk and volatility.
  • Invest wisely: If you have a long-term goal, such as retirement or buying a house, you may want to invest some of your money in the stock market or other assets that can grow faster than inflation. However, you should only invest what you can afford to lose and be prepared for the ups and downs of the market. You should also seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion

Inflation and interest rates are two important factors that affect the UK economy and your personal finances. The UK is currently experiencing high inflation due to various factors, such as energy prices, shortages and demand. The Bank of England has raised interest rates to try to bring inflation back down to its target of 2%. Higher inflation and interest rates have implications for your income, spending, saving and borrowing decisions. You can take some steps to protect your money from inflation, such as reviewing your budget, shopping around, paying off debt, saving smartly and investing wisely.

How well has the Bank of England done to keep inflation at or close to 2%?

See next article…