Elon Musk wants to make Tesla a $25 trillion company by 2040

Autonomous vehicle

Elon Musk’s Vision for Tesla’s Trillion Dollar Future

Elon Musk, the visionary CEO of Tesla, has consistently set ambitious goals for the company. Among his most audacious claims is that Tesla could potentially become a multi trillion-dollar company and even reach a valuation of $25 trillion, largely driven by the deployment of robotaxis.

Robotaxi vision

Tesla’s robotaxi concept is centred around autonomous vehicles that can operate as self-driving taxis. These vehicles are equipped with Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which Musk believes will revolutionize transportation. By transforming Tesla cars into autonomous ride-sharing vehicles, the company could generate significant revenue without increasing the number of cars sold.

Projections

Musk’s financial projections are based on the immense potential of the robotaxi market

  1. Revenue Generation: Each Tesla vehicle could earn substantial income as a robotaxi. If Tesla owners opt into the robotaxi network, Tesla could take a share of the revenue generated from these rides.
  2. Cost Efficiency: Autonomous driving reduces the need for human drivers, leading to lower operational costs. This efficiency could make robotaxis more affordable for users and highly profitable for Tesla.
  3. Reduced pollution: will help meet green energy goals.
  4. Market Penetration: As autonomous technology matures, the adoption of robotaxis could grow rapidly, capturing a significant share of the global transportation market.

Market potential

The global ride-hailing market is already valued at hundreds of billions of dollars, and with the introduction of autonomous vehicles, this market is expected to expand further. Tesla’s early entry and continuous advancements in FSD technology position it to be a dominant player in this space.

Challenges

While the potential is enormous, there are several challenges and scepticism surrounding Musk’s projections

  1. Regulatory Hurdles: Autonomous vehicles must navigate a complex regulatory landscape. Approval processes and safety standards vary by region, which could delay widespread adoption.
  2. Technical Milestones: Achieving full autonomy is a significant technical challenge. Tesla’s FSD technology is still in development, and perfecting it for widespread use requires overcoming numerous technical obstacles.
  3. Market Competition: Tesla is not the only player in the autonomous vehicle market. Competitors like Waymo, Cruise, and traditional automakers are also investing heavily in autonomous technology.

Conclusion

Elon Musk’s vision of making Tesla a trillion-dollar and eventually a $25 trillion company through robotaxis is both bold and captivating. The success of this vision hinges on the successful deployment and adoption of autonomous driving technology. While there are significant challenges to overcome, Musk’s track record of defying odds and achieving groundbreaking innovations keeps the possibility within the realm of achievable dreams.

The future of transportation, as envisioned by Musk, could fundamentally reshape how we move and how Tesla thrives as a pioneer in autonomous mobility.

Tesla’s future does seem promising with the introduction of Optimus, their humanoid robot, as well as their advancements in solar energy and battery technology.

The future looks very bright for Tesla.

Tesla shares dropped 9% on Friday 11th October 2024 after Cybercab Robotaxi event disappointed investors

Elon Musk's Sci-Fi vision

Tesla’s stock declined on Friday 11th October 2024 following the electric vehicle maker’s highly anticipated robotaxi event, which left investors unimpressed

£60 billion was wiped off Tesla market cap

CEO Elon Musk showcased the Cybercab concept vehicle, announcing that it would be available for purchase at a price below $30,000.

Analysts reportedly commented that the event did not emphasise any immediate opportunities for Tesla, focusing instead on Musk’s long-term vision for fully autonomous driving.

At the ‘We, Robot’ event on Thursday 10th October 2024, CEO Elon Musk presented the Cybercab, a sleek, silver two-seater without steering wheels or pedals, underscoring his company’s goal to develop a fleet of self-driving vehicles and robots.

Musk expressed his hope for Tesla to start producing the Cybercab by 2027, though he did not specify the manufacturing locations. He reiterated that the Tesla Cybercab would be sold for less than $30,000.

Furthermore, he anticipated that Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles would feature ‘unsupervised FSD’ operational in Texas and California by next year. FSD, standing for Full Self-Driving, is Tesla’s advanced driver assistance system, currently available in a supervised format.

Investors and analysts were underwhelmed by the event. Tesla shares fell.

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Elon Musk’s wealth

Elon Musk is projected to become the world’s first trillionaire by 2027, as per a recent report by Informa Connect Academy. Among global billionaires, Musk is nearest to reaching the 13-figure threshold, with his wealth continuing to increase.

Bloomberg Billionaire Index

Tesla shares fall after weaker-than-expected results

Tesla stock

Tesla’s shares dropped in U.S. pre-market trading following the electric car maker’s Q2 earnings report, which fell short of expectations.

The company saw a 7% year-on-year decrease in automotive revenue for the June 2024 quarter, down to $19.9 billion, and a decline in its ‘adjusted’ earnings margin.

Investors are divided on Tesla’s stock, with some concerned that the core car business is struggling, while others remain optimistic about Musk’s vision for autonomous driving.

Tesla continues to lead in U.S. electric vehicle sales, yet it’s facing declining market share as competitors emerge, partly due to its older range on offer and Elon Musk’s occasional controversial public statements.

Attention has shifted to other aspects of Tesla’s narrative, such as the anticipated introduction of a new mass-market vehicle to refresh its vehicle lineup. Musk reportedly re-affirmed that Tesla plans to launch an ‘affordable’ car in the upcoming year.

Tesla 3-year share price chart as at: 23rd July 2024

Tesla 3 year share price chart as at: 23rd July 2024

The earnings also highlighted his robotaxi vision. Musk shared his ‘expectation’ of a future where Tesla owners could allow their vehicles to operate in an Uber-like ride-hailing environment, with the cars driving autonomously.

And then we have the prospect for the greatly hyped arrival of Tesla’s humanoid robot due in 2025.

As we all know – Musk does much more than EVs.

Tesla’s robot-taxi is coming!

Robot Taxi

The CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk recently made an announcement regarding the company’s robotaxi.

According to his social media post on X, Tesla will unveil its robotaxi product on 8th August 2024. This project has been a topic of discussion for several years and could potentially represent a significant new business venture for Tesla. 

The robotaxi initiative aims to allow Tesla vehicles to use self-driving technology for autonomous ride-hailing services, picking up passengers without human intervention.

Previous predictions

Elon Musk has made bold predictions regarding the timeline for robotaxis. In 2019, he anticipated having over a million robotaxis in operation by 2020. Currently, Tesla’s advanced driver-assistance systems, such as Autopilot and the premium Full Self-Driving option, still necessitate human oversight.

Nonetheless, amidst the competitive landscape of autonomous vehicles, Tesla remains steadfast in its pursuit of a fully autonomous future.

Tesla One year Chart

Tesla one year chart

Mass production?

Musk stated that a robotaxi model lacking a steering wheel or pedals is expected to enter mass production by 2024. The aim is to make the cost of a journey in the Tesla robotaxi lower than that of a public bus or underground train ticket.