U.S. annual inflation rate increases to 2.7% in November 2024 – as expected

U.S. consumer prices rose at a faster annual pace in November 2024, a reminder that inflation remains an issue both for households and policymakers.

The consumer price index (CPI) showed a 12-month inflation rate of 2.7% after increasing 0.3% on the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday 11th November 2024. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than October 2024.

Excluding food and energy costs, the core CPI was at 3.3% on an annual basis and 0.3% monthly. The 12-month core number was unchanged from a month ago.

All of the numbers were in line with consensus estimates.

The data comes with Federal Reserve deciding over what to do at their policy meeting next week. Markets strongly expect the Fed to lower its benchmark short-term borrowing rate by 0.25% at the meeting on 18th December 2024.

It is unlikely now that a January rate cut will happen as the FOMC measures the impact recent cuts have had on the economy.

Odds are of a 99% certainty of a cut in December 2024.

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