China’s economy showed signs of slowing in April 2025, with both retail sales and industrial output missing expectations.
Retail sales grew 5.1% year-on-year, falling short of analysts’ forecasts of 5.5% growth. The slowdown reflects weak consumer sentiment, driven by deflationary pressures and uncertainty in the housing market.
While categories like gold and jewellery (+25.3%) and furniture (+26.9%) saw strong growth, car sales stagnated at just 0.7%.
Industrial production expanded 6.1% year-on-year, down from 7.7% in March 2025. The decline was largely attributed to tariff trade war tensions, which have disrupted exports.
However, fixed-asset investment rose 4% in the first four months of 2025, signalling continued infrastructure spending.
Despite the slowdown, China remains confident in achieving its 5% GDP growth target for the year. The government has introduced stimulus measures, including interest rate cuts and liquidity injections, to stabilise the economy.
With global trade uncertainties and domestic economic challenges, China’s policymakers face a delicate balancing act to sustain growth while addressing structural weaknesses.