UK energy price cap to rise in January 2024 piling more pressure on households

UK energy price cap

The UK energy price cap is expected to rise by 5% in January 2024, which means that a typical household who pays by Direct Debit will face an annual bill of £1,931, up from £1,834 in the previous quarter. 

This increase comes at a “difficult period” for struggling households, as many are already facing higher costs of living due to the pandemic, Brexit, and inflation.

Designed to protect customers

The energy price cap is designed to protect customers from unfair price hikes and ensure that they pay a fair price for their energy. However, it does not limit the total bill, which depends on how much energy is actually used.

Therefore, customers are advised to shop around for better deals and switch to cheaper tariffs if possible. This, however, is easier said than done. 

It is also recommended that struggling customers contact suppliers if they have difficulty paying their bills and seek help from schemes, grants, and benefits.

The UK energy price cap is a limit on the maximum amount that energy suppliers can charge customers on standard or default tariffs for each unit of gas and electricity they use. It is set by Ofgem, the energy regulator, every three months based on the underlying costs of energy and inflation.

See Ofgem analysis here. 

Retail trouble – UK sales hit lowest level since 2021 lockdowns

UK retail spending slows in October 2023

Shoppers bought less food and fuel in October 2023 as they were hit by rising living costs and poor weather, according to ONS data.

The volume of products sold last month fell by 0.3% to the lowest level since February 2021 when large parts of the UK were in Covid lockdowns. Retail sales had been expected to grow in October 2023.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said fuel purchases may have been ‘affected by increasing prices’.

Demand for other goods was also lower, the ONS reported.

The CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor, which tracks card transactions, also reported a drop in consumer spending in October 2023, with retail sales, excluding autos and petrol/diesel, falling by 0.08%, and core retail, which also removes restaurants, declining by 0.03%. 

The report suggested that the consumer took a spending break ahead of the holiday season, amid rising inflation, supply chain disruptions, and labour shortages.

UK inflation presented a bigger drop in October 2023 than expected – this will likely drive higher retail spending through the holiday period.

Higher pay and lower inflation will provide a lift through the Christmas 2023 holidays.