Tesla’s European market meltdown – sales plunge 49% amid brand damage and fierce competition

Tesla's European sales fall!

Tesla’s vehicle sales in Europe plummeted by 49% in April 2025, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline.

Despite an overall 27.8% rise in battery-electric vehicle sales, Tesla struggled to maintain its foothold in the region.

The drop in sales has been attributed to increasing competition from Chinese automakers, a shift in consumer preferences towards hybrid vehicles, and growing backlash against CEO Elon Musk’s political affiliations.

Tesla’s market share in Europe nearly halved, falling from 1.3% to 0.7%. The company’s aging lineup, particularly the Model Y, has failed to attract new buyers, while rivals such as BYD have overtaken Tesla in European EV sales for the first time.

Additionally, European carmakers are cutting costs and adapting to U.S. tariffs on auto imports, further intensifying competition. Chinese EV manufacturers are also cutting EV prices.

While Tesla faces challenges in Europe, the broader EV market continues to expand, driven by government incentives and stricter emission targets.

However, unless Tesla refreshes its lineup and rebuilds consumer trust, its dominance in the European market may continue to erode.

The company’s future remains uncertain as it navigates political controversies and shifting market dynamics

China’s electric vehicle boom is becoming increasingly focused on hybrids

Hybrid vehicle

Hybrid-powered vehicles are becoming more popular than battery-only ones in China, according to latest full-year reports, even as consumers move away from fossil-fuel-only cars.

Market leader BYD reported that well over half of the 4.3 million passenger cars it sold in 2024 were hybrid-powered, marking a significant reversal from 2023.

Chinese electric car start-ups that have exclusively sold battery-powered vehicles generally delivered fewer cars in 2024 compared companies that also offered hybrid models.

Elon Musk wants to make Tesla a $25 trillion company by 2040

Autonomous vehicle

Elon Musk’s Vision for Tesla’s Trillion Dollar Future

Elon Musk, the visionary CEO of Tesla, has consistently set ambitious goals for the company. Among his most audacious claims is that Tesla could potentially become a multi trillion-dollar company and even reach a valuation of $25 trillion, largely driven by the deployment of robotaxis.

Robotaxi vision

Tesla’s robotaxi concept is centred around autonomous vehicles that can operate as self-driving taxis. These vehicles are equipped with Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which Musk believes will revolutionize transportation. By transforming Tesla cars into autonomous ride-sharing vehicles, the company could generate significant revenue without increasing the number of cars sold.

Projections

Musk’s financial projections are based on the immense potential of the robotaxi market

  1. Revenue Generation: Each Tesla vehicle could earn substantial income as a robotaxi. If Tesla owners opt into the robotaxi network, Tesla could take a share of the revenue generated from these rides.
  2. Cost Efficiency: Autonomous driving reduces the need for human drivers, leading to lower operational costs. This efficiency could make robotaxis more affordable for users and highly profitable for Tesla.
  3. Reduced pollution: will help meet green energy goals.
  4. Market Penetration: As autonomous technology matures, the adoption of robotaxis could grow rapidly, capturing a significant share of the global transportation market.

Market potential

The global ride-hailing market is already valued at hundreds of billions of dollars, and with the introduction of autonomous vehicles, this market is expected to expand further. Tesla’s early entry and continuous advancements in FSD technology position it to be a dominant player in this space.

Challenges

While the potential is enormous, there are several challenges and scepticism surrounding Musk’s projections

  1. Regulatory Hurdles: Autonomous vehicles must navigate a complex regulatory landscape. Approval processes and safety standards vary by region, which could delay widespread adoption.
  2. Technical Milestones: Achieving full autonomy is a significant technical challenge. Tesla’s FSD technology is still in development, and perfecting it for widespread use requires overcoming numerous technical obstacles.
  3. Market Competition: Tesla is not the only player in the autonomous vehicle market. Competitors like Waymo, Cruise, and traditional automakers are also investing heavily in autonomous technology.

Conclusion

Elon Musk’s vision of making Tesla a trillion-dollar and eventually a $25 trillion company through robotaxis is both bold and captivating. The success of this vision hinges on the successful deployment and adoption of autonomous driving technology. While there are significant challenges to overcome, Musk’s track record of defying odds and achieving groundbreaking innovations keeps the possibility within the realm of achievable dreams.

The future of transportation, as envisioned by Musk, could fundamentally reshape how we move and how Tesla thrives as a pioneer in autonomous mobility.

Tesla’s future does seem promising with the introduction of Optimus, their humanoid robot, as well as their advancements in solar energy and battery technology.

The future looks very bright for Tesla.

Tesla beats earnings forecast in third quarter 2024

Tesla


Tesla shares climbed 12% in extended trading after the company’s third-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates, following a long slump.

However, Tesla’s revenue for that period, up 8% year on year, marginally missed expectations. “Vehicle growth” will hit up to 20%-30% next year, said CEO Elon Musk, thanks to “lower cost vehicles” and the “advent of autonomy.” Apparently, this was presented as a ‘best guess’.

Profit margins reportedly received a boost from $739 million in automotive regulatory credit revenue during the quarter. Automakers must acquire a certain number of regulatory credits annually. Those unable to meet the requirement can buy credits from companies like Tesla, which has a surplus due to its exclusive production of electric vehicles.

Automotive revenue reportedly rose 2% to $20 billion, up from $19.63 billion in the same quarter the previous year, and has remained roughly stable since late 2022. Energy generation and storage revenue reportedly surged 52% to $2.38 billion, while services and other revenue, which includes income from non-warranty Tesla vehicle repairs, increased by 29% to $2.79 billion.

Tesla quarterly revenues by business section

Tesla quarterly revenues by business section

Tesla share price and close and ‘after hours’ trading 23rd October 2024 (09:15 BST)

Tesla share price and close and ‘after hours’ trading 23rd October 2024 (09:15 BST)

Are new electric car sales stalling in the UK?

Electric car sales to private buyers are 6.3% lower so far in 2024 despite £2 billion of manufacturers discounts

Electric car sales in the UK are facing challenges despite the growth in the number of electric vehicles (EVs) on the roads. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) has indicated that the proportion of EV sales has not surpassed 18%, with the market mainly propelled by fleet operators, not private consumers.

It has been suggested that the industry will struggle to meet the government target of 22% of new car sale in 2024 being ‘zero-emission vehicles’.

Contributing factors to this slowdown include the high costs, a limited public charging infrastructure, and range anxiety.

Nonetheless, September 2024 saw a record number of new electric car registrations, exceeding 56,000. Yet, the long-term viability of these figures is uncertain, as they were bolstered by substantial discounts.

And yet the electric car still remains an equally expensive option by direct comparison.

European Union vote to slap tariff charge on Chinese EV imports

EU EV Charge

On Friday 4th October 2024, the European Union voted to implement definitive tariffs on battery electric vehicles (BEVs) made in China

‘The European Commission’s proposal to levy definitive countervailing duties on imports of Chinese battery electric vehicles has garnered the requisite support from EU Member States to proceed with the imposition of tariffs,‘ stated the EU.

Initially, the EU announced in June its intention to impose higher tariffs on imports of Chinese electric vehicles, citing substantial unfair subsidies that threaten economic harm to European electric vehicle manufacturers.

The EU disclosed specific duties for companies based on their level of cooperation and the information provided during the bloc’s investigation into China’s EV production, which commenced last year. Provisional duties have been in effect since early July.

Following the receipt of ‘substantiated comments on the provisional measures‘ from stakeholders, the European Commission updated its tariff strategy in September 2024.

A spokesperson from China’s Ministry of Commerce indicated that Beijing maintains its stance that the EU’s investigation into China’s electric vehicle industry subsidies has led to predetermined outcomes – suggesting that the EU is fostering unfair competition.

China responded by vowing a suitable response.

Tesla misses delivery estimates – stock drops

Tesla EV

Tesla posted its third-quarter vehicle production and deliveries report on Wednesday 2nd October 2024 – the stock fell 3.7%.

Total deliveries Q3 2024: 462,890 – Total production Q3 2024: 469,796

Analysts had projected Tesla would deliver 463,310 vehicles by the end of September 2024. However, other sources indicated a larger shortfall; the average analyst predictions were at 469,828 vehicles, while an independent researcher known as ‘Troy Teslike,‘ popular among Tesla enthusiasts, estimated 472,000 deliveries for the quarter.

Comparatively, Tesla reported 435,059 deliveries and 430,488 EVs produced in the same period last year. In the previous quarter, the company achieved 443,956 deliveries and produced 410,831 vehicles.

In the U.S., competitors such as Rivian are advancing, and traditional automakers like Ford and General Motors are increasing their electric vehicle sales, albeit scaling back earlier electrification targets.

Ford announced a 12% increase in EV sales for the third quarter, totaling 23,509 vehicles on Wednesday 2nd October 2024.

General Motors reported a 60% rise in EV sales for the same quarter compared to the previous year, with 32,100 units sold, which represents 4.9% of its total sales volume.

Tesla’s reputation in the U.S. has faced challenges, partly due to CEO Elon Musk’s controversial actions, including endorsing former President Donald Trump and disseminating what has reportedly been described by the White House as ‘racist hate“, along with alleged misinformation about immigration and election fraud on X, his social media platform.

Despite these issues, Tesla remains the leading seller of battery electric vehicles in the U.S., with Hyundai trailing significantly behind.

Tesla -year chart as of 2nd October 2024

Tesla -year chart as of 2nd October 2024

BYD sales hit record high in August 2024

BYD EV

In August 2024, Chinese electric car behemoth BYD set a new sales record for passenger vehicles, with hybrid models outpacing battery-only vehicles in growth.

Zeekr, supported by Geely, experienced a rise in deliveries to 18,015 for August, although this was a decrease from the 20206 deliveries reported in June 2024.

Li Auto, renowned for its range-extender vehicles, saw a decrease in deliveries to 48,122 in August, a drop from the July record of 51,000.

Tesla shares fall after weaker-than-expected results

Tesla stock

Tesla’s shares dropped in U.S. pre-market trading following the electric car maker’s Q2 earnings report, which fell short of expectations.

The company saw a 7% year-on-year decrease in automotive revenue for the June 2024 quarter, down to $19.9 billion, and a decline in its ‘adjusted’ earnings margin.

Investors are divided on Tesla’s stock, with some concerned that the core car business is struggling, while others remain optimistic about Musk’s vision for autonomous driving.

Tesla continues to lead in U.S. electric vehicle sales, yet it’s facing declining market share as competitors emerge, partly due to its older range on offer and Elon Musk’s occasional controversial public statements.

Attention has shifted to other aspects of Tesla’s narrative, such as the anticipated introduction of a new mass-market vehicle to refresh its vehicle lineup. Musk reportedly re-affirmed that Tesla plans to launch an ‘affordable’ car in the upcoming year.

Tesla 3-year share price chart as at: 23rd July 2024

Tesla 3 year share price chart as at: 23rd July 2024

The earnings also highlighted his robotaxi vision. Musk shared his ‘expectation’ of a future where Tesla owners could allow their vehicles to operate in an Uber-like ride-hailing environment, with the cars driving autonomously.

And then we have the prospect for the greatly hyped arrival of Tesla’s humanoid robot due in 2025.

As we all know – Musk does much more than EVs.

Tesla shares recover 2024 losses with a 27% rally in one week

EV

Following a dismal beginning to 2024, Tesla’s stock has experienced a sharp rally, erasing its losses for 2023.

Tesla’s shares ended on Friday at $251.55, marking a 27% increase for the week.

The automaker announced on Tuesday 2nd July 2024 that its second-quarter vehicle deliveries surpassed forecasts.

Tesla 5-day chart – share price closed at 251.55

Tesla 5-day chart – share price closed at 251.55

An important rare Earth metal

Tungsten rare Earth metal

Tungsten is a critically important rare earth metal, renowned for its unique and valuable properties.

Tungsten has the highest melting point among all metals, which makes it exceptionally suitable for high-temperature applications.

Key aspects of its importance

Industrial and technological applications

Tungsten is used in many industries where hardness, high density, high wear resistance, and high-temperature resistance are required. This includes mining, construction, energy generation, electronics, aerospace, and defence sectors. It is used in weapons, autos, electric car batteries, semiconductors and industrial machinery.

Fact: approximately 2Kg of tungsten goes into every electric vehicle.

Alloys

Metals are frequently alloyed with Tungsten to enhance their strength without substantially adding to their weight. This property is vital for uses like arc-welding electrodes and heating elements in high-temperature furnaces.

Significance

Tungsten is acknowledged as a critical metal because of its economic significance and the scarcity of its sources. It is reported that China produces the majority of the world’s tungsten, controlling approximately 80% of the supply of this rare earth metal.

Durability and flexibility

Tungsten’s durability, flexibility, and resistance to corrosion contribute to its popularity across various industries and applications. It ranks among the hardest and most resilient materials found in nature.

These characteristics render tungsten not just crucial but also indispensable for numerous high-tech applications. The rarity of tungsten and the intricate nature of its extraction and refinement processes enhance its value even further.

World suppliers of tungsten

According to Statista.com the global tungsten market was valued at over $5 billion USD in 2022. It’s projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could reach over $9.5 billion USD by 2030

Chinese EV makers continue their BIG push into European markets

EV

This expansion occurs as the European Union investigates subsidies provided to Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers, a situation that may lead to the imposition of tariffs.

In May 2024 Nio opened a new EV showroom in Amsterdam, while Xpeng introduced its G9 and G6 sports utility vehicles in France.

Over the years, China’s electric vehicle industry has flourished due to the government’s incentives and support, raising concerns among politicians in Europe and the U.S.

Public marketing campaigns are unfolding against the backdrop of a European Commission investigation into subsidies provided to Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers. The outcome of this inquiry may result in EU tariffs being imposed on Chinese EV imports.

The United States has preempted such measures, with the Biden administration enacting a 100% tariff on Chinese EV imports.

Meanwhile, Chinese EV producers are intensifying their international expansion efforts, aiming to compete with Elon Musk’s Tesla on a global scale and secure an early advantage over traditional car manufacturers.

BYD profits and sales fall

Electric vehicle

Chinese automotive giant BYD has experienced a decline in profits amid a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) demand and a price war in the largest car market globally.

The company reported earnings of $630 million (£502 million) for the first quarter, a drop of over 47% from the previous quarter.

Competing with Elon Musk’s Tesla for the title of the world’s top EV seller, BYD recently fell behind as Tesla regained the lead earlier this month.

In the first quarter, BYD’s sales of battery-only vehicles fell to just over 300,000, a decrease from the last quarter of 2023’s record high of 526,000 units.

Tesla to lay off over 10% of global workforce

Tesla charge EV point

The company intends to reduce its global workforce by over 10%, amounting to roughly 14,000 employees

As of December, Tesla had a total of 140,473 employees worldwide.

This decision is believed to be a response to the obstacles Tesla is encountering with slowing growth and operational effectiveness and cheaper competition.

In an internal memo, billionaire owner Elon Musk addressed the layoffs, acknowledging that it was a difficult decision but necessary for the company’s future. He emphasized the need to streamline operations and prepare for the next phase of growth. 

The layoffs have already begun and also include some key executives. 

Why?

Analysts offer diverse interpretations of the layoffs. Some perceive them as indicative of cost pressures stemming from Tesla’s investments in new models and artificial intelligence (AI).

The company’s delay in updating its aging vehicle lineup, coupled with high interest rates, has weakened consumer demand. Moreover, the influx of affordable electric vehicles, especially from China, such as BYD, has intensified the competition.

Efficiency drive?

While the layoffs indicate challenges, they also highlight Tesla’s dedication to adaptability and efficiency. As the electric vehicle (EV) industry progresses, Tesla strives to stay lean, innovative, and strategically positioned for ongoing growth. The company is scheduled to announce its quarterly earnings later this month, which analysts will scrutinize in the context of the recent workforce reductions.

In summary, Tesla’s layoffs are indicative of the intricate dynamics within the automotive sector, where innovation, cost control, and market forces converge.

The company’s capacity to steer through these complexities will determine its future prosperity.

Tesla share price year-to-date (April 2024)

Tesla share price year-to-date (April 2024)

Why are big name EV makers worried about a… ‘Seagull’

Small generic electric car

The EV named ‘Seagull’ sub $10,000 price tag. This vehicle will likely take-off!

Global automakers are becoming increasingly concerned that Chinese competitors, such as the Warren Buffett-endorsed BYD, might saturate their EV market with cheaper EVs, potentially undermining local production and reducing vehicle prices.

Concerns have been raised that this could damage national automotive industries, and balance sheets. However, it would undoubtedly benefit consumers by providing more affordable entry-level electric vehicles.

The BYD Seagull, an all-electric hatchback manufactured in China, is priced at only 69800 yuan (under $10,000) and is said to be profitable for the rapidly growing Chinese automaker.

There’s fear among global automakers that BYD and other Chinese rivals could flood their markets, undercutting domestic production and vehicle prices.

The Chinese are coming to a town near you – it’s just business.

Tyre companies love electric vehicles

EV tyres

The tyre industry is marked by fierce competition, static growth, and slim profit margins. But that is about to change.

In recent years, the total market value has consistently hovered around $50 billion, with an annual growth rate of approximately 2%, according to research. However, the advent of electric vehicles (EVs) is creating new possibilities.

Due to their substantial weight and rapid acceleration, EVs typically wear out tires around 20% quicker than vehicles with internal combustion engines, research suggests. Additionally, the cost of these tyres is roughly 50% higher.

Additional technical challenges encompass mitigating tyre noise, which becomes significantly more discernible inside of an otherwise quiet electric vehicle (EV) and enhancing an EV’s driving range. Research conducted by Michelin reportedly indicates that tyre selection can influence an EV’s range by 10% to 15%.

Summary Electric Vehicle (EV) Tyre Wear

Weight and Acceleration: EVs are heavier due to their batteries, and they often have quick acceleration.

Wear Rate: On average, EV tyres tend to wear down about 20% faster than internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle tyres.

Cost: EV-specific tyres can be more expensive, costing approximately 50% more than regular tyres.

EV tyres are more expensive, and you get less use from them – remember to factor this into your purchasing decision.