China’s position on open-source artificial intelligence (AI) is upending the global AI race

AI

China’s embrace of open-source artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionising the global AI landscape, challenging traditional notions of innovation and competitiveness in this rapidly evolving field.

Traditionally, the AI sector has been dominated by proprietary models and closed-source systems, particularly in the U.S.

However, China has made a strategic pivot towards open-source initiatives, driven by trailblazers like the AI startup DeepSeek.

DeepSeek’s R1 model, released earlier this year, has become a symbol of China’s open-source movement. Distributed under the permissive MIT licence, the R1 model allows unrestricted use, modification and distribution.

This approach has disrupted traditional business models by democratising access to cutting-edge AI tools. Companies from tech giants like Baidu and Tencent to emerging players like ManusAI have followed suit, releasing their own open-source models and fostering a collaborative environment for AI innovation.

This shift is seen by some as China’s ‘Android moment’ in AI – a reference to the impact of Google’s open-source Android operating system on the mobile app ecosystem.

The move towards open-source has enabled rapid cost reductions, increased accessibility, and accelerated product development. Chinese firms have leveraged these advantages to narrow the perceived technological gap with the U.S., with some analysts suggesting that the disparity has shrunk from years to mere months.

Despite these advancements, the open-source approach also raises questions about intellectual property, security, and sustainable business models.

While it has catalysed innovation, it remains to be seen whether open-source strategies can sustain long-term competitiveness against well-funded proprietary systems.

China’s open-source embrace exemplifies a bold shift in AI strategy, emphasizing collaboration and accessibility over exclusivity.

This paradigm shift could redefine global dynamics in artificial intelligence, fostering a more inclusive and innovative future for the industry.

Baidu, once China’s generative AI leader – is battling to regain its position

A Chatbot

Chinese tech giant Baidu has released two new free-to-use artificial intelligence models as it vies to regain its leading position in the country’s fiercely competitive AI space

The Baidu models launched on Sunday 16th March 2025 included the company’s first reasoning-focused model and come ahead of plans to move towards an open-source strategy. 

However, analysts reportedly said that while the release of the models is a positive development for Baidu, they also highlight how it is playing catch up as its Ernie bot – one of China’s earliest versions of a ChatGPT-like chatbot – struggles to gain widespread adoption. 

‘The new models make Baidu more competitive since the company has been lagging behind in a reasoning model release’, one expert is reported as saying.

A reasoning model is a large language model that breaks down tasks into smaller pieces and considers multiple approaches before generating a response. It is designed to process complex problems in a similar way to humans.

Chinese startup DeepSeek upended the global AI race and transformed China’s ecosystem in January when it released its R1 reasoning model, which rivalled American competitors despite costing a fraction of the price.

China’s AI vs U.S. AI – competition heats up – and that’s good for business – isn’t it?

DeepSeek AI

The escalating AI competition between the U.S. and China has taken a new turn with the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that has introduced a low-cost AI model capable of rivaling the performance of OpenAI’s models.

This development has significant implications for data centres and the broader technology sector.

The rise of DeepSeek

DeepSeek’s recent breakthrough involves the development of two AI models, V3 and R1, which have been created at a fraction of the cost compared to their Western counterparts.

The total training cost for these models is estimated at around $6 million, significantly lower than the billions spent by major U.S. tech firms. This has challenged the prevailing assumption that developing large AI models requires massive financial investments and access to cutting-edge hardware.

Impact on data centres

The introduction of cost-effective AI models like those developed by DeepSeek could lead to a shift in how data centers operate.

Traditional AI models require substantial computational power and energy, leading to high operational costs for data centers. DeepSeek’s models, which are less energy-intensive, could reduce these costs and make AI technology more accessible to a wider range of businesses and organizations.

Technological advancements

DeepSeek’s success also highlights the potential for innovation in AI without relying on the most advanced hardware.

This could encourage other companies to explore alternative approaches to AI development, fostering a more diverse and competitive landscape. Additionally, the open-source nature of DeepSeek’s models promotes collaborative innovation, allowing developers worldwide to customise and improve upon these models2.

Competitive dynamics

The competition between DeepSeek and OpenAI underscores the broader U.S.-China rivalry in the AI space. While DeepSeek’s models pose a limited immediate threat to well-funded U.S. AI labs, they demonstrate China’s growing capabilities in AI innovation.

This competition could drive both countries to invest more in AI research and development, leading to faster technological advancements and more robust AI applications.

Broader implications

The rise of DeepSeek and similar Chinese and other AI startups could have far-reaching implications for the global technology sector.

As AI becomes increasingly integrated into various industries, the ability to develop and deploy AI models efficiently will be crucial.

Data centres will need to adapt to these changes, potentially investing in more energy-efficient infrastructure and exploring new ways to support AI workloads.

Where from here?

DeepSeek’s emergence as a significant player in the AI race highlights the dynamic nature of technological competition between the U.S. and China.

While the immediate impact on data centres and technology may be limited, the long-term implications could be profound.

As AI continues to evolve, the ability to innovate cost-effectively and collaborate across borders will be key to driving progress and maintaining competitiveness in the global technology landscape.

Chinese tech giant Baidu to release next-generation AI model soon as DeepSeek leads Chinese AI tech

AI

China’s Baidu reportedly plans to release the next generation of its artificial intelligence model in the second half of this year, according to information recently reported.

The planned update comes as Chinese companies race to develop innovative AI models to compete with OpenAI and other U.S. based companies.

Baidu was the first major Chinese tech company to roll out a ChatGPT-like chatbot called Ernie in March 2023.

However, despite initial momentum, the product has since been eclipsed by other Chinese chatbots from large tech companies such as Alibaba and ByteDance, as well as startups.

Musk is everywhere!

Elon Musk

Elon Musk is the world’s richest person and the leader of Tesla, SpaceX, X, The Boring Company, x.AI, and Neuralink.

He is also the co-founder of PayPal and Zip2 and now the co-leader of DOGE – of U.S. Department of Government Efficiency and also recently led a group of investors in a bid to acquire OpenAI.

From a business perspective, Musk’s achievements are undeniable and even astonishing. The companies he leads are not only market leaders but also pioneers in their respective fields – consider how Tesla initiated the electric vehicle industry or how SpaceX successfully commercialised spaceflight.

Paradoxically, achieving success on a broad scale can have adverse effects. Investors appear to be increasingly concerned that Musk, despite his business acumen, is becoming distracted.

Tesla shares have declined over the past five trading days, dropping more than 6% on Tuesday 11th February 2025 as Chinese competitor BYD seems to be surpassing the company in AI-enabled autonomous driving.

If hands-free driving becomes a reality at Tesla, it could allow Musk to engage in other ventures without negatively impacting the company’s shares.

What you need to know today

BYD is a Tesla threat – but this is Elon Musk we’re talking about

Tesla shares fell 6.3% Tuesday 11th February 2025 after Chinese EV maker BYD said it will integrate DeepSeek into its autonomous driving technology and offer it in nearly all its vehicles.

There are also concerns over Musk’s distractions, such as his bid for OpenAI and his role at the ‘DOGE’ – Department of Government Efficiency in the White House.

Tesla’s stock price has fallen over 16% in the past five trading days

Tesla’s stock price has fallen over 16% in the past five trading days (5-day chart as of 11th February 2025)

BYD shares hit record as the EV maker rolls out advanced driver tech with DeepSeek’s AI assistance

BYD with DeepSeek AI (fictitious image)

Shares of BYD, the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) giant, surged to a record high on Tuesday 11th February 2025, following the announcement of its new driver assistance technology.

The company revealed its latest ‘DiPilot’ assisted driving system, which integrates artificial intelligence (AI) from Chinese startup DeepSeek.

This move is expected to significantly enhance the driving experience and safety features of BYD’s vehicles.

BYD’s founder and chairman, Wang Chuanfu, announced the launch of the DiPilot system at a livestreamed event, emphasizing that advanced smart driving will become a standard safety feature, akin to seatbelts and airbags (time will tell on that statement).

The system includes features such as remote parking and autonomous highway navigation. These features reportedly are being integrated into over 20 models. Budget-friendly options priced below 70,000 yuan ($9,555) will also have the system.

DeepSeek AI integration

The integration of DeepSeek’s AI technology is a game-changer for BYD. DeepSeek, known for its innovative chatbot that rivals U.S. competitors such as OpenAI and others brings high-quality AI capabilities to BYD’s autonomous driving systems.

This partnership allows BYD to offer advanced intelligent features at a competitive price, putting it ahead of its rivals in the fiercely competitive Chinese EV market.

Analysts have praised BYD’s strategic shift from price-cutting to upgrading vehicle functions and have noted that BYD is now dictating the pace of technological features in the market.

The company’s stock rose by 4.5% to a record high in Hong Kong, reflecting investor optimism about the new technology.

BYD’s move to integrate advanced driver assistance systems into budget models is expected to intensify the EV price war. The company’s aggressive pricing strategy, combined with cutting-edge technology, positions it well to capture a larger market share.

With more than 20 models featuring the new driver assistance tech, BYD is set to lead the way in smart vehicle innovation.

As BYD continues to expand its presence globally, the integration of DeepSeek’s AI technology marks a significant milestone in the company’s journey towards becoming a leader in the EV industry.

The future looks promising for BYD as it continues to innovate and push the boundaries of automotive technology.

One Year BYD charts as of 11th February 2025

One Year BYD charts as of 11th February 2025

Is Nvidia share price at risk as DeepSeek creates an alternative lower cost AI direction?

China and U.S. AI

Nvidia’s share price has been on a rollercoaster ride recently. After experiencing a significant drop due to concerns over the Chinese startup DeepSeek’s AI models, Nvidia’s stock saw a sharp recovery.

On Tuesday 28th January 2025 Nvidia shares ended 8.82% higher at $128.86 on Nasdaq, following a 17% drop the previous day.

However, there are mixed opinions about the potential for more downside. Some analysts believe that Nvidia’s stock still looks weak on the technical charts and may face further declines.

Some analysts suggest that Nvidia shares may trade in the range of $105 to $135 and recommend a ‘sell on rise’ strategy. Some also pointed out signs of technical deterioration, suggesting that Nvidia’s stock may be entering an intermediate-term corrective phase.

On the other hand, some investors are optimistic about Nvidia’s long-term growth prospects, especially with its strong fundamentals and continued advancements in AI technology.

The market remains dynamic, and the stock’s performance will likely depend on various factors, including broader market trends and developments in the AI industry.

Nvidia meteoric will likely change dramatically when face with an alternative AI chip manufacturer.

Doubt cast

DeepSeek, has made significant advancements in AI technology. There are claims and speculations that DeepSeek may have used some U.S. technology to enhance its capabilities.

For instance, it was reported that DeepSeek acquired a substantial number of Nvidia’s high-performance A100 graphics processor chips before the U.S. imposed restrictions on their sales to China. Additionally, there have been allegations that DeepSeek copied some technology developed by U.S. rival OpenAI.

However, these are unfounded claims and it’s important to point out that DeepSeek has also been praised for its innovation and efficiency, developing AI models at a fraction of the cost compared to leading U.S. tech companies.

This may even aid Nvidia as it could drive the cost of AI down bringing it to a wider audience more quickly thus enhancing Nvidia’s future sales.

The aftermath from the arrival of Deepseek

Deepseek AI

Nvidia, the renowned American technology company, recently experienced the largest one-day loss in U.S. history. On January 27, 2025, Nvidia’s stock plummeted by 17%, resulting in a staggering market cap loss of nearly $600 billion.

This unprecedented drop was primarily triggered by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup that has been making waves in the tech industry.

DeepSeek, founded in 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, has developed open-source large language models that rival some of the best AI models in the world. The company’s latest model, DeepSeek-V3, has demonstrated impressive performance at a fraction of the cost of its competitors.

This has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of Nvidia’s dominance in the AI chip market.

The release of DeepSeek’s latest technology has caused significant anxiety among U.S. tech giants, leading to a massive sell-off in the stock market. Companies that rely heavily on Nvidia’s GPUs, such as Dell, Oracle, and Super Micro Computer, also saw their stock prices plummet.

The ripple effect of Nvidia’s loss was felt across the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which dropped by 3.1% on the same day.

Nvidia one-month chart 27th January 2025

In response to this market upheaval, former President Donald Trump commented on the situation, stating that DeepSeek’s emergence should serve as a ‘wake-up call’ for American companies.

Trump emphasised the need for U.S. industries to remain competitive and innovative in the face of rising competition from Chinese tech firms. He acknowledged the impressive advancements made by DeepSeek and suggested that American companies could benefit from adopting more cost-effective methods in their AI development.

Trump’s remarks highlight the growing concern among U.S. policymakers and industry leaders about the rapid advancements in AI technology coming from China.

The success of DeepSeek has demonstrated that significant breakthroughs can be achieved with relatively modest investments, challenging the notion that massive capital expenditure is necessary for top-tier AI performance.

As the AI race continues to heat up, it is clear that companies like Nvidia will need to adapt and innovate to maintain their competitive edge. The emergence of DeepSeek has not only disrupted the market but also underscored the importance of staying ahead in the rapidly evolving field of artificial intelligence.

For American tech giants, this wake-up call serves as a reminder that the global AI landscape is becoming increasingly competitive, and complacency is not an option.

Has the U.S. spent wisely on AI development?

The emergence of DeepSeek has indeed raised questions about the spending strategies of U.S. tech companies on AI development. DeepSeek’s ability to develop high-performing AI models at a fraction of the cost has led to concerns about the necessity of the massive capital expenditures by large U.S. tech firms.

For instance, companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon have collectively spent over $1 trillion on AI investments in recent years. This significant spending has been driven by the belief that larger models and more computing power would lead to better performance.

However, DeepSeek’s success with more cost-effective methods challenges this notion and suggests that efficient innovation might be more important than sheer scale.

The impressive performance and lower costs of DeepSeek’s models have prompted some analysts to question whether the billions of dollars spent by U.S. tech companies on AI development are justified. This has led to a re-evaluation of AI spending strategies and a push for more efficient and innovative approaches to AI development.

In summary, while U.S. tech companies have invested heavily in AI, the success of DeepSeek highlights the potential for achieving cutting-edge results with fewer resources. This has sparked a broader discussion about the most effective and efficient ways to advance AI technology.

Asking ChatGPT – ‘Do you see Deepseek as a competitor or a threat?’

The reply:

As an AI, I don’t have personal opinions or feelings. However, I can share that DeepSeek’s rapid rise and impressive performance in the AI field are noteworthy. Their ability to develop high-performing models at a lower cost is a significant achievement and has certainly shaken up the industry. It’s a reminder of the dynamic and competitive nature of the AI landscape, where innovation can come from unexpected places.

Asking ChatGPT – ‘What do you think of Deepseek?’

The reply:

DeepSeek is a fascinating and disruptive player in the AI landscape. Founded in 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, this Chinese startup has quickly gained attention for its open-source large language models, which rival some of the best AI models in the world at a fraction of the cost. Their latest models, DeepSeek-V3 and DeepSeek-R1, have demonstrated impressive performance and efficiency, challenging the dominance of established tech giants2.

DeepSeek’s emergence has caused significant market upheaval, leading to substantial drops in the stock prices of major AI-related firms, including Nvidia. The company’s success highlights the potential for innovation and cost-effectiveness in AI development, which has prompted industry leaders and policymakers to re-evaluate their strategies.

Overall, DeepSeek’s rapid rise and impact on the AI industry underscore the importance of staying competitive and innovative in this fast-evolving field. It’s a reminder that breakthroughs can come from unexpected places and that the AI landscape is becoming increasingly dynamic and competitive.

It would not be drawn on these questions but, one thing is for sure the U.S. has spent billions developing their systems and charge fortunes for using it.

This is about to change.

And further…

The Deepseek website reportedly crashed on 27th January 2025 due to heavy global demand. There were also reports of unrelenting cyberattacks on its systems…?

Curious. From minnow to centre stage in just one day!

China’s DeepSeek low-cost challenger to AI rattles tech U.S. markets

China Deepseek AI

U.S. technology stocks plunged as Chinese startup DeepSeek sparked concerns over competitiveness in AI and America’s lead in the sector, triggering a global sell-off

DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large-language model in late December 2024, claiming it was developed in just two months at a cost of under $6 million.

The developments have stoked concerns about the large amounts of money big tech companies have been investing in AI models and data centres.

DeepSeek is a Chinese artificial intelligence startup that has recently gained significant attention in the AI world. Founded in 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, DeepSeek develops open-source large language models. The company is funded by High-Flyer, a hedge fund also founded by Wenfeng.

The AI models from DeepSeek have demonstrated impressive performance, rivaling some of the best chatbots in the world at a fraction of the cost. This has caused quite a stir in the tech industry, leading to significant drops in the stock prices of major AI-related firms.

The company’s latest model, DeepSeek-V3, is known for its efficiency and high performance across various benchmarks.

DeepSeek’s emergence challenges the notion that massive capital expenditure is necessary to achieve top-tier AI performance.

The company’s success has led to a re-evaluation of the AI market and has put pressure on other tech giants to innovate and reduce costs.