Tax Reforms
Increase in VAT: Adjusting the Value Added Tax (VAT) rate could generate substantial revenue.
Pension Tax Relief: Limiting pension tax relief to the basic rate of income tax could raise around £15 billion per year. Pension tax relief raid.
Windfall Tax: Increasing the windfall tax on the profits of oil and gas companies could also contribute significantly.
General Tax Increases: N.I., Income Tax, Capital Gains Tax, Inheritance Tax,
Public Sector Efficiency
Improving Productivity: Enhancing public sector productivity by just 5% could deliver up to £20 billion in benefits annually.
New Taxes or Levies
Green Taxes: Introducing or increasing taxes on carbon emissions and other environmental levies could help raise funds while promoting sustainability.
Digital Services Tax: Expanding the scope of the digital services tax to cover more online businesses could also be a potential revenue source.
Electric vehicle tax: new tax bands for electric cars
Spending Cuts
Reducing Public Expenditure: Identifying and cutting down on non-essential public spending could help balance the budget.
Economic Growth
Stimulating Growth: Policies aimed at boosting economic growth, such as investing in infrastructure and innovation, could increase tax revenues indirectly by expanding the tax base. But this will take time to fully materialise.
Each of these measures comes with its own set of challenges and implications, so the government would need to carefully consider the economic and social impacts before implementation.
Black hole?
The Chancellor has recently pointed to a ‘black hole’ in the public finances, referencing the recent uncovering of an ‘unbudgeted’ £22bn overspend in the current tax year following her tenure commencement at No. 11 Downing Street in July.
The reality of this newfound deficit is subject to debate. However, given that the Chancellor has ruled out the possibility of borrowing for day-to-day expenses, it seems she very likely she might be compelled to raise taxes to offset these expenditures.
N.I. and Pension raid?
In its last year, the Conservative government cut taxes by £20 billion by reducing the National Insurance rate. Reversing this cut would be a direct way to increase revenue, taking us back to the financial situation before last November.
Currently, many people receive a 40% tax relief on pension contributions but are taxed at 20% when they withdraw. This ‘inconsistency’ could easily become a target for the Chancellor.
Additionally, employers’ National Insurance contributions are not applied to pension contributions or withdrawals, and individuals can even take a tax-free lump sum from their pension after having received tax relief on their contributions.
Understanding the complexities is not necessary to see that a chancellor in search of extra tax revenue may consider pension contributions as a significant source of additional income.
The UK budget is due on: 30th October 2024 – let’s see just by how much UK taxes are increased – because they will be.
