Big tech companies are increasingly adopting nuclear power to meet the high energy demands of their AI data centres

Data centre powered by nuclear reactors

Why?

Elevated Energy Needs

AI systems, particularly generative AI, necessitate substantial computational power, leading to significant energy use. Conventional energy sources might not meet these growing demands.

Environmental Commitments

Numerous tech firms have pledged to lower their carbon emissions. Nuclear power, a low-emission energy source, supports these environmental commitments.

Dependability

Nuclear energy offers a consistent and uninterrupted power supply, essential for data centres that operate around the clock.

Technological Advancements

Progress in nuclear technologies, such as small modular reactors (SMRs), has enhanced the feasibility and appeal of nuclear power for extensive use.

For example, Google has entered into an agreement with Kairos Power for electricity from small modular reactors to bolster its AI operations. In a similar vein, Microsoft has collaborated with Constellation to refurbish an inactive reactor at the Three Mile Island nuclear facility.

These collaborations mark a notable transition in the energy strategies of the tech sector, as they pursue dependable, eco-friendly, and robust power solutions to support their AI initiatives.

UK inflation in surprise fall to 1.7%

UK Inflation down below target

UK inflation fell unexpectedly to 1.7% in the year to September 2024, the lowest rate in three-and-a-half years

This indicates that inflation, which is the rate at which prices increase over time, is currently below the Bank of England’s target of 2%, potentially leading to further reductions in interest rates next month.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that petrol and diesel prices saw a notable decrease, falling by 10.4% in September 2024compared to the same month the previous year.

Additionally, the cost of fares for domestic, European, and long-haul flights contributed to the lower inflation rate. While fares typically decrease after the summer peak, this year they have reduced more than usual.

UK interest rate at 1.7% below the Bank of England target of 2%

UK interest rate at 1.7% below the Bank of England target of 2%

With inflation dropping below economists’ expectations, the markets are anticipating a cut in interest rates at the Bank of England’s upcoming meeting in November 2024. The present rate stands at 5%, and a reduction of 0.25% is now deemed highly probable.

China stocks drop after trade data disappoints Hang Seng falling 4%

China stocks drop

Chinese stocks declined on Tuesday 15th October 2024, contrasting with the broader gains in other Asia markets, which followed record highs reached by the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 on Wall Street

The CSI 300 index in Mainland China fell to close at 3,855.99, and the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong decreased by 3.67% to finish at 20,318.79.

After the markets closed on Monday 14th October 2024, China reported disappointing trade figures for September 2024, with exports increasing by only 2.4% from the previous year and imports rising a mere 0.3%, both significantly below expectations.

China CSI 300 index one-day chart

China CSI 300 index one-day chart as of 15th October 2024

Labour tries to attract new business investment to the UK

Union Jack Flag UK

The UK Labour government aimed to attract foreign investment on Monday 14th October by hosting its first International Investment Summit in London

Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Chancellor Rachel Reeves, and Business Minister Jonathan Reynolds headed the one-day event at London’s Guildhall, with an attendance of approximately 200 executives from both the UK and abroad.

Notable attendees were former Google Chairman Eric Schmidt, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, and GSK CEO Emma Walmsley. Poppy Gustafsson, the newly appointed Investment Minister and co-founder of the British cybersecurity company Darktrace, were also present to advocate for the UK as a favourable business environment.

The UK government unveiled a relaxation of regulations and announced investment deals worth billions of pounds in sectors such as artificial intelligence, life sciences, and infrastructure, while Starmer proclaimed it’s ‘a great moment to back Britain.’

‘We will rip out the bureaucracy that blocks investment and we will make sure that every regulator in this country take growth as seriously as this room does,‘ Starmer reportedly told delegates.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on Monday 14th October 2024 vowed to slash regulatory red tape to boost investment in the country.

“We’ve got to look at regulation across the piece, and where it is needlessly holding back investment … mark my words, we will get rid of it,” he reportedly told delegates at the UK’s International Investment Summit.

The government on Sunday 13th October 2024 announced the launch of a new industrial strategy, designed to focus on eight “growth-driving sectors.”

The prime minister reportedly restated that growth was the “No. 1 test of this government,” and reiterated plans for the U.K. to become the fastest-growing G7 economy.

Starmer also outlined stability, strategy, regulation and improving Britain’s global standing as “four crucial areas” in his pitch for Britain.

“Private sector investment is the way we rebuild our country and pay our way in the world,” Starmer said

In a panel discussion with Starmer, Google’s ex-CEO Eric Schmidt expressed his surprise upon learning that the Labour party had shifted to ‘strongly’ support growth.

Schmidt is eager to see the execution of this approach and encouraged the government to increase investment in artificial intelligence to fulfill broader growth objectives.

Nvidia hits new record high with new $3.4 trillion market cap

AI chips

Nvidia’s shares have reached a record peak as the company continues to benefit from the surging demand for its AI chips

Tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon are acquiring Nvidia’s GPUs in large volumes to create extensive AI computing clusters.

Nvidia, with a market capitalisation of around $3.4 trillion, ranks as the second most valuable publicly traded company in the U.S., trailing behind Apple, which has a market cap of approximately $3.55 trillion.

And to think… just 6 weeks ago Nvidia hit the news with this headline: Nvidia $279 billion market cap wipeout — the biggest in U.S. history for just ONE company.

Oh, the volatility of tech stocks, don’t you just love it?

The company’s stock rose by 2.4% to close at $138.07, exceeding the previous high of $135.58 set on 18th June 2023. The shares have increased by nearly 180% this year and have experienced a more than ninefold increase since early 2023.

Regarded as the leading supplier in the AI revolution, Nvidia has gained significantly from the generative AI surge initiated by OpenAI’s ChatGPT release in November 2022. Nvidia’s GPUs are instrumental in developing and running sophisticated AI models, including those that operate ChatGPT and related platforms.

You can’t go far wrong when big players such as Microsoft, Meta, Google and Amazon are buying your stuff.

New records for Dow Jones and S&P 500

Record highs!

On Monday, 14th October 2024, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both reached new record highs

The S&P 500 climbed to 5,859.85, and the Dow Jones, composed of 30 stocks, increased by 201.36 points to 43,065.22.

Both indices achieved all-time highs and closed at record levels, with the Dow Jones surpassing 43,000 for the first time at the close of the session.

Dow Jones Industrial Average one-year chart

Dow Jones Industrial Average one-year chart

S&P 500 one-year chart

S&P 500 one-year chart

Tesla shares dropped 9% on Friday 11th October 2024 after Cybercab Robotaxi event disappointed investors

Elon Musk's Sci-Fi vision

Tesla’s stock declined on Friday 11th October 2024 following the electric vehicle maker’s highly anticipated robotaxi event, which left investors unimpressed

£60 billion was wiped off Tesla market cap

CEO Elon Musk showcased the Cybercab concept vehicle, announcing that it would be available for purchase at a price below $30,000.

Analysts reportedly commented that the event did not emphasise any immediate opportunities for Tesla, focusing instead on Musk’s long-term vision for fully autonomous driving.

At the ‘We, Robot’ event on Thursday 10th October 2024, CEO Elon Musk presented the Cybercab, a sleek, silver two-seater without steering wheels or pedals, underscoring his company’s goal to develop a fleet of self-driving vehicles and robots.

Musk expressed his hope for Tesla to start producing the Cybercab by 2027, though he did not specify the manufacturing locations. He reiterated that the Tesla Cybercab would be sold for less than $30,000.

Furthermore, he anticipated that Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles would feature ‘unsupervised FSD’ operational in Texas and California by next year. FSD, standing for Full Self-Driving, is Tesla’s advanced driver assistance system, currently available in a supervised format.

Investors and analysts were underwhelmed by the event. Tesla shares fell.

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Elon Musk’s wealth

Elon Musk is projected to become the world’s first trillionaire by 2027, as per a recent report by Informa Connect Academy. Among global billionaires, Musk is nearest to reaching the 13-figure threshold, with his wealth continuing to increase.

Bloomberg Billionaire Index

“Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world.” – Archimedes

Archimedes mathematics

Archimedes of Syracuse (c. 287 – c. 212 BC) was an extraordinary ancient Greek mathematician, physicist, engineer, inventor, and astronomer.

Coming from Syracuse, Sicily, he contributed immensely to various disciplines, including mathematics, physics, and engineering.

Some of his most renowned works include

Archimedes’ Principle

This principle asserts that a body submerged in a fluid is subjected to a buoyant force equivalent to the weight of the fluid it displaces. According to legend, he made this discovery during a bath and is said to have shouted “Eureka!” in excitement.

Archimedes’ Screw

A clever mechanism for lifting water, which remains in use even today.

Law of the Lever

He articulated the principle of the lever, forming the groundwork for classical mechanics.

Indivisibles

He foresaw the concepts of modern calculus by employing the notion of infinitely small quantities.

Archimedes’ contributions have profoundly influenced science and engineering, earning him recognition as one of history’s most eminent mathematicians and scientists.

China’s PPI deflation deepens in September 2024

Economic data China

In September 2024, China witnessed a decline in consumer inflation rates and an intensification of producer price deflation, despite efforts to implement additional stimulus measures aimed at reviving weak demand and stabilizing economic activity

The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.4% from the previous year, a slowdown from the 0.6% increase observed in August, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Sunday 13th October 2024. This increase was below the 0.6% rise economists had forecasted.

Month-on-month, the CPI remained unchanged, contrasting with the 0.4% increase in August and missing the expected 0.4% rise.

The producer price index (PPI) registered a year-on-year fall of 2.8% in September 2024, a sharper decline than the 1.8% decrease in the previous month and exceeding the 2.5% drop projected by analysts.

China’s exports and imports came in less than expected in September 2024 – missing targets

China exports and imports

China’s exports increased by 2.4% in September 2024 compared to the previous year when measured in U.S. dollars, and imports saw a rise of 0.3%, customs data showed Monday 14th October 2024

The figures fell short of expectations. China’s exports were predicted to rise by 6% year-on-year in September 2024, measured in U.S. dollars, as per reported analysts’ data. This increase would be less than the 8.7% rise seen in August 2024.

Imports were also projected to grow by 0.9% in September from the previous year, based on analysts’ data, which would be a slight uptick from the 0.5% growth in August 2024.

Exports have been a highlight for China’s economy amidst subdued consumer spending and a downturn in real estate.

According to reported analysis of the official data, China’s exports to the U.S., its biggest trading partner, went up by 2.2% in September year-on-year, while imports from the U.S. saw a 6.7% increase.

Is it job done for the Federal Reserve now?

Federal Reserve

Recent inflation data suggests that the Federal Reserve is fast approaching its goal, if not already there – following the central bank’s significant interest rate reduction of 0.50% a few weeks ago

Both consumer and producer price indexes for September 2024 aligned with forecasts, indicating a decline in inflation towards the central bank’s 2% target.

Economists believe the Fed may have already achieved that target.

Last Friday, it was predicted that the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for September 2024 would reveal an annual inflation rate of 2.04% upon its release later in the month.

Should economists’ estimates prove accurate, the figure would be rounded to 2%, aligning precisely with the Fed’s longstanding goal, marking a significant shift from the 40-year inflation peak over two years ago, which led to a series of substantial interest rate hikes.

The Fed favours the PCE as its measure of inflation, although it considers various factors in its decision-making process.

Inflation has significantly decreased over the past 18 months, and the job market has settled at a level that may represent full employment.

The U.S. economy several obstacles in reaching and sustaining the 2% inflation target

Supply chain disruptions

Persistent supply chain problems can escalate the costs of goods and services, potentially increasing inflation.

Labour market tightness

A constrained labour market may result in rising wages, which companies typically offset by raising prices for consumers.

Global economic factors

International events, like geopolitical conflicts or other countries’ economic statuses, can influence inflation via alterations in trade and commodity costs.

Consumer expectations

Anticipations of higher inflation might prompt consumers to increase spending now, which can elevate prices and lead to a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Monetary policy timing

The economy takes time to respond to monetary policy adjustments, leading to a lag between policy implementation and its effects on inflation.

These elements pose difficulties for the Federal Reserve in precisely managing inflation to meet its goal.

While managing inflation is challenging, recent data suggests that although prices haven’t fallen from their peak levels of a few years ago, the rate of increase is slowing down.

The 12-month consumer price index for all items stood at 2.4% in September, while the producer price index, indicative of wholesale inflation and a precursor to pipeline pressures, was at an annual rate of 1.8%.

The 0.50% cut in September 2024to a federal funds rate range of 4.75% to 5% was extraordinary for a growing economy, and it is anticipated that the Federal Reserve will revert to its standard quarter-point adjustment.

Excessive monetary loosening could trigger a surge in consumer demand just as it begins to reach a manageable rate.

Could we witness deflation if the 2% target is overshot?

Ripple diversifies to launch crypto storage service for banks

XRP Ripple system

Ripple has announced the launch of a range of features designed to assist banks and fintech’s with the storage of digital tokens, marking a significant expansion into the realm of crypto custody.

Crypto custody services, which support clients in managing their crypto assets, represent a new venture for Ripple, now unified under the brand Ripple Custody.

The company is best known for its XRP cryptocurrency and RippleNet, a distributed ledger platform facilitating fast interbank payments.

October – a notorious month for volatility and for stock market crashes

Stock crash and depression 1929

October has historically been a month of significant stock market volatility, with notable crashes occurring in 1929 and 1987

Now we are already part way through October 2024, investors are understandably cautious, wondering if history might repeat itself.

1929

The Wall Street Crash of 1929, also known as the Great Crash, began on 24th October 1929, with Black Thursday, followed by Black Tuesday on 29th October 1929. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummeted nearly 13% on Black Monday and an additional 12% on Black Tuesday.

This crash marked the beginning of the Great Depression, a period of severe economic downturn that lasted for over a decade. The 1929 crash was precipitated by a combination of speculative investments, excessive leverage, and a lack of regulatory oversight, leading to a massive sell-off as panic spread among investors.

The 1929 crash marked the beginning of the Great Depression, a period of severe economic downturn that lasted for over a decade

1987

In contrast, the stock market crash of 1987, known as Black Monday, occurred on 19th October 1987, when the DJIA dropped by 22.6% in a single day. Unlike the 1929 crash, the 1987 crash did not lead to a prolonged economic depression. Instead, it was a sharp correction in an otherwise strong bull market. The causes of the 1987 crash included program trading, overvaluation, and market psychology.

The rapid recovery following the crash was aided by swift intervention from the Federal Reserve, which provided liquidity to stabilize the markets.

Comparing these historical crashes to today’s stock market, several differences and similarities emerge. The current market environment is characterized by high valuations, geopolitical tensions, and concerns about inflation and interest rates.

However, today’s markets are also more resilient due to advanced technology, better regulatory frameworks, and more sophisticated risk management practices.

The likelihood of a significant stock market crash in October 2024 is difficult to predict. While some analysts argue that the market is due for a correction, others believe that the underlying economic fundamentals remain strong.

The lessons from 1929 and 1987 highlight the importance of investor psychology and the impact of external shocks on market stability.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while October has a notorious reputation for stock market crashes, the probability of a crash in October 2024 is uncertain. Investors should remain vigilant, diversify their portfolios, and avoid speculative investments to mitigate potential risks.

By learning from past crashes, we can better navigate the uncertainties of the current market environment and prepare for any potential downturns.

Are new electric car sales stalling in the UK?

Electric car sales to private buyers are 6.3% lower so far in 2024 despite £2 billion of manufacturers discounts

Electric car sales in the UK are facing challenges despite the growth in the number of electric vehicles (EVs) on the roads. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) has indicated that the proportion of EV sales has not surpassed 18%, with the market mainly propelled by fleet operators, not private consumers.

It has been suggested that the industry will struggle to meet the government target of 22% of new car sale in 2024 being ‘zero-emission vehicles’.

Contributing factors to this slowdown include the high costs, a limited public charging infrastructure, and range anxiety.

Nonetheless, September 2024 saw a record number of new electric car registrations, exceeding 56,000. Yet, the long-term viability of these figures is uncertain, as they were bolstered by substantial discounts.

And yet the electric car still remains an equally expensive option by direct comparison.

UK economy grows 0.2% in August 2024

UK GDP economic data

In August 2024, the U.K. economy experienced a 0.2% growth on a month-on-month basis, according to preliminary figures released by the Office for National Statistics on Friday 11th October 2024.

But there is a warning of a potential UK slowdown despite the August pick-up.

The gross domestic product (GDP) matched the 0.2% growth anticipated by economists.

Over the three months leading to August, Britain’s economic growth also registered a 0.2% increase, which was marginally below the expectations of economists.

A rebound in construction and a robust month for accountancy, manufacturing, and retail sectors contributed to a 0.2% boost in the economy, following a stagnation in growth over the prior two months.

However, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) noted that economic growth has been weaker relative to the first half of the year and of a potential slowdown.

U.S. consumer prices rose by 0.2% in September 2024 – higher than expected at 2.4%

U.S. CPI

Over the past year, the rate of U.S. price increases accelerated unexpectedly in September 2024, as policymakers considered their decision on interest rates, as indicated in a U.S. Labor Department report on Thursday 10th October 2024.

Sticky U.S. inflation

The consumer price index (CPI), which measures the cost of goods and services throughout the U.S. economy, rose by 0.2% for the month, resulting in an annual inflation rate of 2.4%. Both figures were 0.1% than ‘forecast’.

When food and energy are excluded, the core prices saw a 0.3% increase for the month, leading to an annual rate of 3.3%. These core figures were also 0.1% above the ‘forecast’.

The report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics noted that the majority of the inflation rise – over three quarters of the increase was due to a 0.4% surge in food prices and a 0.2% rise in shelter costs.

S&P 500 and Dow hit new all-time

All time high

Stocks broadly climbed for a second consecutive session on 9th October 2024 with Dow & S&P 500 reaching new record highs

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closing at record highs, buoyed by a surge in technology stocks and a dismissal of geopolitical worries.

The S&P 500 increased to 5792, marking a new all-time high, while the Nasdaq Composite rose to end at 18291. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 431 points to close at a record 42512.

Leading the rally were technology stocks, with Amazon and Apple each gaining over 1%. Super Micro Computer saw a significant 4% increase. The gains helped offset a rocky start to October, propelling the major indices into positive territory for the month.

Following the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September meeting, which showed a 0.50% interest rate cut, stocks held onto their gains. The minutes indicated that a ‘substantial majority of participants‘ were in favour of the more significant rate reduction.

Record high reached for the S&P 500 on 9th October 2024

Record high reached for the S&P 500 on 9th October 2024

Record high reached for the Dow Jones on 9th October 2024

Record high reached for the Dow Jones on 9th October 2024

U.S. DOJ indicates it is contemplating Google break-up following monopoly ruling

Potential legal Google break-up

On Tuesday, October 8, 2024, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) indicated that it might consider the break-up of Google as an antitrust action.

The DOJ is considering both behavioural and structural options to prevent Google from using products like Chrome, Play, and Android to favour Google Search.

The decision regarding the remedies is still outstanding, and it is anticipated that Google will appeal, potentially extending the process for years.

See details of recent ruling here

Dividend stocks in the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 – a basic overview

Passive income from dividend stocks

The FTSE 100 index comprises the 100 largest companies by market capitalisation. These companies are typically well-established and financially stable, making them reliable dividend payers. 

The average dividend yield for the FTSE 100 is around 3.97%.

Here are ten dividend stocks in the FTSE 100

British American Tobacco (BATS) – Known for its high dividend yield, often exceeding 7%. Not an ethical choice.

Rio Tinto (RIO) – A mining giant with a strong dividend history.

Imperial Brands (IMB) – Another tobacco company with a robust dividend yield. Not an ethical choice.

Legal & General Group (LGEN) – A financial services company with a consistent dividend payout.

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) – A pharmaceutical company with a reliable dividend.

Vodafone Group (VOD) – A telecommunications company with a solid dividend yield.

HSBC Holdings (HSBA) – One of the largest banking institutions with a strong dividend.

BP (BP) – An oil and gas company known for its high dividend yield.

Unilever (ULVR) – A consumer goods company with a consistent dividend payout.

National Grid (NG) – An energy company with a reliable dividend history.

FTSE 250 Dividend Stocks

The FTSE 250 index includes the next 250 largest companies after the FTSE 100. These mid-cap companies often offer higher growth potential and, in some cases, higher dividend yields. The average dividend yield for the FTSE 250 is around 3.30%.

Here are ten dividend stocks in the FTSE 250

Harbour Energy (HBR) – An oil and gas company with a yield of 7.24%.

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) – A real estate investment trust with a yield of 4.76%.

Investec (INVP) – A financial services company with a yield of 6.21%.

Greencoat UK Wind (UKW) – A renewable energy company with a yield of 7.48%.

IG Group Holdings (IGG) – A financial services company with a yield of 5.02%.

ITV (ITV) – A media company with a yield of 6.43%.

Abrdn (ABDN) – An investment company with a yield of 9.45%.

HICL Infrastructure (HICL) – An infrastructure investment company with a yield of 6.37%.

Direct Line Insurance Group (DLG) – An insurance company with a yield of 3.30%.

Drax Group (DRX) – An energy company with a yield of 3.81%.

Passive dividend income

Passive income from dividends
Dividend stocks in the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 – a basic overview

Buying dividend stocks can offer several benefits to investors – key advantages are…

Regular Income

Dividend stocks provide a steady stream of income through regular dividend payments. This can be particularly appealing for retirees or those seeking passive income.

Potential for Capital Appreciation

In addition to dividends, these stocks can also appreciate in value over time, offering the potential for capital gains. This dual benefit can enhance overall returns.

Reinvestment Opportunities

Dividends can be reinvested to purchase more shares, a strategy known as dividend reinvestment. This can compound returns over time, significantly boosting the value of your investment.

Lower Volatility

Dividend-paying stocks tend to be less volatile than non-dividend-paying stocks. Companies that pay dividends are often more established and financially stable, which can provide a cushion during market downturns.

Tax Advantages

In many jurisdictions, dividends are taxed at a lower rate than regular income. This can make dividend stocks a tax-efficient investment option.

Inflation Hedge

Dividend growth can help protect against inflation. Companies that consistently increase their dividends can provide a rising income stream that keeps pace with or exceeds inflation.

Signal of Financial Health

A company that pays regular dividends is often seen as financially healthy and confident in its future earnings. This can be a positive signal to investors about the company’s stability and profitability.

Diversification

Including dividend stocks in your portfolio can add diversification. They often belong to various sectors, providing exposure to different parts of the economy.

Compounding Effect

The combination of regular dividends and potential capital gains can create a powerful compounding effect over time, significantly enhancing long-term returns.

Psychological Benefits

Receiving regular dividends can provide psychological comfort, especially during market volatility. Knowing that you are earning income regardless of market conditions can help maintain a long-term investment perspective.

Investing in dividend stocks can be a strategic way to build wealth and generate income. However, it’s important to research and choose companies with a strong track record of dividend payments and financial stability. 

Conclusion

Investing in dividend stocks from the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 can be a strategic way to generate passive income while also benefiting from potential capital gains. These indices offer a diverse range of companies, each with its own strengths and dividend yields, making them attractive options for income-focused investors.

These are NOT recommendations – just observations. Go do your research. Interest rates will/do change quickly – go check. Thanks.

Remember to ALWAYS do your own careful and considered research…

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

Prices listed as of 9th October 2024

The Fed says smaller rate cuts not bigger to come

Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that the latest half-percent reduction in interest rates should not be interpreted as a sign that future measures will be equally as aggressive.

The Fed suggests that subsequent adjustments will likely be more ‘modest’.

In his address, the central bank’s chief highlighted their goal to balance curbing inflation with maintaining a robust labour market, basing future decisions on data insights.

‘Moving forward, should the economy evolve as widely expected, our policy stance will progressively adjust towards neutrality. Yet, we are not bound to a fixed course,‘ he clarified during in his statement. ‘Risks are two-way, and our resolutions will be determined one meeting at a time.

The Federal Reserve believe, as noted in a recent update, that they are just millimetres away from that ‘elusive’ economic soft landing.

Chinese stocks tumble amid stimulus benefit scepticism

China stocks drop

On Wednesday 9th October 2024, Chinese stocks experienced a sharp decline, with the Shanghai benchmark plummeting by 6.6%

Hong Kong’s index fell by 1.5%, in contrast to the mostly positive performance of other global markets.

Beijing’s recently detailed economic stimulus plans did not meet the high expectations set after the central bank and other agencies announced measures aimed at revitalising the struggling property sector and accelerating economic growth.

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 6.6% reversing a 4.6% gain from Tuesday 8th October 2024 when it re-opened following a weeklong national holiday.

The CSI 300 Index, which follows the top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges, relinquished 7.1% – ending a 10-day winning streak.

In Shenzhen’s smaller market, the benchmark tumbled by 8.7%.

The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong dropped 1.5% – and this coming after a steep decline of over 9% the previous day.

New Zealand central bank cuts rates by 0.50%

New Zealand Central Bank

New Zealand’s central bank has reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.50% points following its monetary policy meeting, resulting in a consecutive interest rate reduction

This decrease sets the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s interest rate at 4.75%, down from 5.25%. Economists surveyed by Reuters had anticipated this move.

Previously in August, the RBNZ made an ‘unexpected’ interest rate cut of 25 basis points. The central bank indicated that the extent of future reductions would hinge on its confidence in maintaining a low inflation environment.

In a statement, the central bank stated that it ‘assesses that annual consumer price inflation is within its 1% to 3% inflation target range and converging on the 2 percent midpoint.

New Zealand’s annual inflation rate reached 7.3% in the June quarter 2022, its highest level in over some 30 years. NZ inflation has since dropped to 3.3% as of June 2024, but still remains above the central banks medium term target range of between 1% and 3%.

Analysts are expecting a further cut in November 2024.

The U.S. modern economy is number one in the world by GDP

U.S. economy number one

The U.S. economy, often considered the largest globally, is characterised by a dynamic mix of sectors. It is propelled by strong industrial production and a vibrant service sector, offering a varied economic environment

The United States possesses a highly developed mixed economy. It stands as the world’s largest economy by nominal GDP and the second largest by purchasing power parity (PPP), following China. As of 2024, it holds the sixth highest per capita GDP (nominal) and the eighth highest per capita GDP (PPP) globally.

In 2023, the U.S. constituted 26% of the world’s economy in nominal terms and approximately 15.5% in PPP terms.

The U.S. dollar, the most utilised currency in international transactions, serves as the global reserve currency, supported by the extensive U.S. treasuries market, its pivotal role in the petrodollar system, and its connection to the eurodollar.

It is the official currency of several countries and the de facto currency in many others. Following World War II, the U.S. economy has seen consistent growth, maintained low unemployment and inflation rates, and experienced rapid technological advancements.

Manufacture

Manufacturing, traditionally fundamental, has transformed with technological advancements. While the automotive and aerospace industries continue to be important, there has been a significant shift toward advanced manufacturing, such as semiconductors and renewable technologies. This change mirrors the wider trend of innovation, which is synonymous with the U.S. economy.

Service

The service sector, which includes finance, healthcare, and information technology, is critical. The financial markets, with New York City at their core, are vital to global finance. Silicon Valley remains the hub of tech innovation, pushing the boundaries in artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and financial technology.

Nonetheless, the U.S. economy faces challenges. Income disparity persists, a situation worsened by the COVID-19 pandemic, which exposed weaknesses in healthcare and social support systems. The pandemic hastened the shift to digital, underscoring the necessity for investments in digital infrastructure and education to close the digital gap.

Policy

Fiscal and monetary policies are key to navigating the economy. The Federal Reserve aims to manage inflation and unemployment through interest rate adjustments and quantitative easing. Government spending and tax policies are also instrumental in ensuring economic stability and expansion.

Future

Looking to the future, the emphasis on sustainability is increasing. Investment in green energy and eco-friendly practices are not only environmental mandates but also avenues for economic growth. As international competition grows, the U.S. economy’s capacity for innovation and adaptation will be vital.

Fundamentally, the U.S. economy is a multifaceted and dynamic system. Its robustness stems from its ability to innovate and adapt, despite facing systemic obstacles and shifts in the global landscape.

Failed crypto firm FTX set to pay customer refunds

Crypto exchange desk workser

Creditors of the disgraced cryptocurrency exchange FTX are set to receive up to $16.5 billion (£12.6 billion) following a bankruptcy plan sanctioned in the U.S. on Monday

This settlement concludes a tumultuous period that began with the company’s bankruptcy in November 2022, which left millions of customers without access to their funds.

Last year, the exchange’s former chief, Sam Bankman-Fried, was found guilty of misappropriating customer funds before the collapse and was subsequently sentenced to 25 years in prison.

Under the terms of the agreement, former clients will be able to reclaim approximately 119% of the value held in their accounts at the time of the bankruptcy, as per FTX’s statement.

Creditors expect to receive their compensation within 60 days after the plan becomes operative, although the exact date remains to be determined.

European Union vote to slap tariff charge on Chinese EV imports

EU EV Charge

On Friday 4th October 2024, the European Union voted to implement definitive tariffs on battery electric vehicles (BEVs) made in China

‘The European Commission’s proposal to levy definitive countervailing duties on imports of Chinese battery electric vehicles has garnered the requisite support from EU Member States to proceed with the imposition of tariffs,‘ stated the EU.

Initially, the EU announced in June its intention to impose higher tariffs on imports of Chinese electric vehicles, citing substantial unfair subsidies that threaten economic harm to European electric vehicle manufacturers.

The EU disclosed specific duties for companies based on their level of cooperation and the information provided during the bloc’s investigation into China’s EV production, which commenced last year. Provisional duties have been in effect since early July.

Following the receipt of ‘substantiated comments on the provisional measures‘ from stakeholders, the European Commission updated its tariff strategy in September 2024.

A spokesperson from China’s Ministry of Commerce indicated that Beijing maintains its stance that the EU’s investigation into China’s electric vehicle industry subsidies has led to predetermined outcomes – suggesting that the EU is fostering unfair competition.

China responded by vowing a suitable response.

UK house prices closing in on new high according to Halifax

UK House Prices

Last month, the average UK house price nearly reached a record high, buoyed by decreasing mortgage rates that have lifted buyer confidence, Halifax reports.

Halifax, the UK’s largest mortgage lender, noted that the average house price climbed to £293,399 in September 2024, narrowly missing the record of £293,507 set in June 2022.

According to Halifax, house prices have been on an upward trend for three consecutive months as market conditions have improved.

Easier mortgage affordability, driven by robust wage increases and declining interest rates, has enhanced confidence among buyers, leading to a rise in the number of mortgages agreed upon over the past year.

Halifax has recorded a 4.7% increase in house prices compared to the previous year, marking the most rapid growth rate since November 2022.