Russell 2000 goes into bear territory as Dow Jones – S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit correction!

Stocks fall

The Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap U.S. stocks, has officially entered bear market territory.

This means the index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time high in late November 2024. The decline was accelerated by the recent rollout of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, which have raised concerns about rising costs, economic softening, and global supply chain disruptions3.

Small-cap stocks, which were initially seen as beneficiaries of Trump’s policies due to their domestic focus, are now facing significant challenges. Many of these companies are particularly vulnerable to input cost shocks and lack the financial flexibility of larger firms.

Analysts warn that the combination of higher costs and a slowing economy is squeezing profits, leaving small caps in a precarious position.

The Russell 2000’s downturn highlights the broader market volatility triggered by the tariff measures. While other major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are in correction territory, the Russell 2000 was the first to enter a bear market.

Russell 2000 index

Russell 2000 index

This development underscores the heightened risks for small-cap stocks in the current economic climate.

Despite the challenges, some strategists believe there could be opportunities for recovery, particularly if the Federal Reserve takes steps to cut interest rates.

However, Trump’s tariffs have introduced uncertainty into this policy, as inflation is likely to increase, casting doubt on the possibility of further interest rate cuts.

For now, the Russell 2000’s performance serves as a stark reminder of the delicate balance between protectionist policies and market stability.

The Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap U.S. stocks, has officially entered bear market territory.

Dow Jones decline – the ripple effects of tariff policies

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has seen a sharp decline, falling from its all-time high of 45,073.63 points in December 2024 to its current level of 38,314.86 points—a drop of approximately 15%.

Dow Jones one-year chart

Dow Jones one-year chart

This downturn reflects a mix of economic challenges, including the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.

Trump’s sweeping tariffs, introduced as part of his ‘Liberation Day‘ initiative, aimed to bolster American manufacturing by imposing taxes on imported goods. While the policy sought to ‘level the playing field’, it triggered significant disruptions in global trade.

Retaliatory tariffs from key trading partners, including China and the European Union, compounded the issue, ultimately leading to higher costs for U.S. businesses and consumers.

The tariffs have also strained supply chains, particularly in industries reliant on international components. This has contributed to inflationary pressures, further dampening investor sentiment.

The tech sector, already grappling with regulatory scrutiny, has been hit hard, with companies facing increased production costs.

Nasdaq tech 100 one-year chart

Nasdaq tech 100 one-year chart

While some view the market’s decline as a natural correction, others warn of prolonged economic challenges, especially with the uncertainty surround Trump’s tariff agenda.

For investors, the key lies in navigating these turbulent times with caution and a focus on long-term fundamentals.

As the Dow adjusts to these pressures, its performance underscores the far-reaching consequences of trade policies on global markets.

S&P 500 one-year chart

S&P 500 one-year chart

Dow drops 2200 points Friday 4th April 2025 – S&P 500 loses 10% in 2 days as Trump’s tariff rout deepens – just two days after ‘Liberation Day!’

Stocks down

The stock market was smashed for a second day Friday 4th April 2025 after China retaliated with new tariffs on U.S. goods, sparking fears President Donald Trump has ignited a global trade war that will lead to a global recession.

Stock market damage

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2,231.07 points, or 5.5%, to 38,314.86 on Friday 4th April 2025, the biggest decline since June 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic.

This follows a 1,679-point decline on Thursday 3rd April 2025 and marks the first time ever that it has shed more than 1,500 points on consecutive days.

The S&P 500 collapsed 5.97% to 5,074.08, the biggest decline since March 2020. The benchmark shed 4.84% on Thursday 3rd April 2025 and is now down more than 17% off its recent high.

The Nasdaq Composite, home to many well-known tech companies that sell to China and manufacture there as well, dropped 5.8%, to 15,587.79.

This follows a nearly 6% drop on Thursday 3rd April 2025 and takes the index down by 22% from its December 2024 record – pushing it into a bear market.

The selling was wide ranging with only 14 members of the S&P 500 higher on the day. Major market indexes closed at their lows of the session.

China’s commerce ministry said the country will impose a 34% levy on all U.S. products, disappointing investors who had hoped countries would negotiate with Trump before retaliating.

Technology stocks led the massive rout Friday

Apple shares slumped 7%, bringing its loss for the week to 13%.

Nvidia dropped 7% during the session.

Tesla fell 10%.

All three companies have large exposure to China and are among the hardest hit from Beijing’s retaliatory tariffs.

The bull market is dead, and it was destroyed by self-inflicted wounds!

China to impose 34% retaliatory tariff on all goods imported from the U.S.

Trade war

China has reportedly announced a significant escalation in its trade dispute with the United States, declaring a 34% retaliatory tariff on all U.S. goods.

This move, set to take effect on 10th April 2025 and comes in response to the sweeping tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration earlier this week.

The Chinese Ministry of Finance reportedly stated that these measures are aimed at safeguarding China’s economic interests and countering what it describes as ‘unilateral bullying’ by the U.S. government.

The tariffs will apply across a wide range of American exports, potentially impacting industries such as agriculture, technology, and manufacturing.

This development has heightened global market uncertainty, with investors bracing for further economic disruptions.

The ongoing tit-for-tat measures between the two economic giants underscore the fragility of international trade relations in the current climate.

Markets dropped on the news!

Dow dives 1600 points after Trump’s tariff attack – S&P 500 and Nasdaq drop the most since 2020

Stocks markets fall

The U.S. stock market experienced a dramatic plunge following President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariffs, marking one of the most significant market downturns since 2020.

On 3rd April 2025, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted by 1,600 points, a staggering 4% drop, closing at 40,546.

Dow Jones one day chart

The S&P 500 fell by 4.8%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite suffered a 6% decline, reflecting widespread investor anxiety.

S&P 500 one day chart

Trump’s tariffs, which include a baseline 10% levy on imports from all trading partners and higher rates for specific countries, have sparked fears of a global trade war.

The effective tariff rate for China, for instance, has risen to 54%, raising concerns about supply chain disruptions and inflation. Major industries, including technology, retail, and manufacturing, were hit hard.

Apple shares dropped nearly 10%, while companies like Nike and Nvidia saw significant losses.

Apple one day chart

The market reaction underscores the uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of these tariffs. Analysts warn that the measures could dampen consumer spending, increase inflation, and slow economic growth.

The ripple effects were felt globally, with European and Asian markets also experiencing declines. The Nikkei index declined a further 3%.

Nikkei Index five-day chart

Despite the turmoil, Trump defended the tariffs, likening them to a necessary ‘operation’ for the economy. He expressed confidence that the markets would eventually rebound, emphasising the long-term benefits of reshoring manufacturing and generating federal revenue.

As investors grapple with the implications of these policies, the focus remains on potential retaliatory measures from affected countries and the broader impact on global trade dynamics.

The sharp market sell-off serves as a stark reminder of the delicate balance between protectionist policies and economic stability in an interconnected world.

The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether these tariffs lead to lasting economic shifts or temporary market volatility.

U.S. companies are experiencing more harm from Trump’s tariffs. He wants manufacturing to come back to America – but after decades of globalization fine tuning – that is no easy task.

Are markets underestimating the impact of the tariffs on inflation?

Are markets pricing in the fact that Trump’s tariff policy will not be fully followed through?

The U.S. would be lucky to see a single rate cut from the Federal Reserve this year – and that will unsettle investors.

The U.S. economy could now only expand by between 1% and 1.5% this year – this would be a significant change in the growth outlook when compared with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) projection of 2.7% U.S. growth made earlier this year.

If we get close to 1%, we get close to ‘stall’ speed and then it could just stop – and that will mean recession or worse for the U.S.

U.S. so-called Liberation Day arrives – It’s tariff time baby! Do you like my chart?

Trumps tariffs

Tariffs are terrific, according to Trump – it’s his most favourite word.

Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs have sent shockwaves through global trade, marking a dramatic escalation in his tariff trade war strategy. The day of economic independence.

The President of the United States proudly showed off his tariff agenda neatly displayed on a chart akin to a ‘pub quiz scoreboard’.

In the White House Rose Garden on 2nd April 2025 Trump happily unleashed tariff turmoil on a global scale.

Announced with his usual characteristic bravado, these tariffs were ‘calculated’ to impose ‘reciprocal’ charges on imports from over 180 countries, including allies like the UK, the European Union and Canada.

It’s not fair

Trump claims this move will restore fairness in global trade and bolster American manufacturing, but critics warn of dire economic consequences.

The tariffs vary by country, with the UK facing a 10% levy on all exports to the U.S., while the EU faces a 20% tariff. China, already subject to existing tariffs, now faces a combined rate of 54%.

The automotive industry has been hit particularly hard, with a 25% tariff on foreign-made vehicles, threatening thousands of jobs around the world.

Trump’s announcement, delivered in the White House Rose Garden, was accompanied by a chart comparing tariffs imposed by other countries on U.S. goods.

He argued that these measures are necessary to counter years of unfair trade practices and to ‘make America wealthy again’.

However, economists and analysts have expressed concerns that these tariffs could plunge the global economy into a downturn, disrupt decades-old trade alliances, and spark retaliatory measures from affected nations.

Keep calm and carry on

The UK government, led by Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has reportedly vowed to take a calm and pragmatic approach, emphasizing the importance of securing a wider economic prosperity deal with the U.S.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves acknowledged that the UK would not be ‘out of the woods’ even if exemptions are secured, citing the broader impact of global tariffs.

As nations brace for the fallout, Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs may well redefine the landscape of international trade, for better or worse. The world watches as the ripple effects unfold.

Understandably stock markets reacted badly as futures tumbled. The Dow Jones was down 1000 points. Nikkei down 4%. S&P 500 down 3%.

UK and EU markets opened down too

Trump’s tariff gambit will most likely damage an already fragile looking U.S. economy

Broken

President Donald Trump is to begin the biggest gamble of his second term – ‘Liberation Day’ wagering that broad-based global hitting tariffs on imports will instigate a new era for the U.S. economy.

The concern right now is no one outside the administration knows quite how those goals will be achieved, and what will be the price to pay.

Basically, tariffs are a tax on imports and, theoretically, are inflationary. In practice, though, it doesn’t always work that way.

The U.S. economy is showing potential signs of stagflation where growth is slowing, and inflation is proving stickier than expected.

Trump’s Liberation Day is here – we will see what that actually means in practice.

Dow closed 700 points lower Friday 28th March 2025 as inflation and tariff fears worsen

Dow down

Stocks sold off sharply on Friday 28th March 2025, pressured by growing uncertainty on U.S. trade policy as well as a grim outlook on inflation

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 715 points at 41,583. The S&P 500 lost 1.97% to close 5,580 ending the week down for the fifth time in the last six weeks. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.7% to 17,322.

Shares of several technology giants also fell putting pressure on the broader market. Google-parent Alphabet lost 4.9%, while Meta and Amazon each shed 4.3%.

This week, the S&P 500 lost 1.53%, while the 30-stock Dow shed 0.96%. The Nasdaq declined by 2.59%. With this latest losing week, Nasdaq is now on pace for a more than 8% monthly decline, which would be its worst monthly performance since December 2022.

Dow Jones one-day chart (28th March 2025)

Dow Jones one-day chart (28th March 2025)

Stocks took a leg lower on Friday after the University of Michigan’s final read on consumer sentiment for March 2025 reflected the highest long-term inflation expectation since 1993.

Friday’s core personal consumption expenditures price index also came in hotter-than-expected, rising 2.8% in February and reflecting a 0.4% increase for the month, stoking concerns about persistent inflation.

Economists had reportedly been looking for respective numbers of 2.7% and 0.3%. Consumer spending accelerated 0.4% for the month, below the 0.5% forecast, according to fresh data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The market is getting squeezed by both sides. There is uncertainty about reciprocal tariffs hitting the major exporting sectors like tech alongside concerns about a weakening consumer facing higher prices

Trump’s tariffs push will hit the U.S. harder than Europe in the short term, it has been reported.

Japan’s Nikkei enters correction as Trump’s tariff assault drives sell-off in Asia markets

Trump announces 25% tariffs on car imports to U.S. and pledges pharma tariffs to come

Trump's Tariffs

Trump’s tariffs have been a cornerstone of his trade policy, aimed at protecting American industries and reducing trade deficits

These measures include tariffs on steel, aluminum, and a wide range of goods from countries like China, Canada, and the European Union.

While supporters argue that these tariffs have bolstered domestic manufacturing and created jobs, critics highlight the retaliatory tariffs imposed by other nations, which have affected American exporters.

President Donald Trump said he will soon announce tariffs targeting automobiles and pharmaceuticals.

Trump later added the timber and semiconductor industries to his list.

It was unclear whether the newly announced sector-specific tariffs would take effect after the tit-for-tat ‘reciprocal tariffs’ – which are set to take effect on for 2nd April 2025

The president’s latest comments at a Cabinet meeting came hours after he unveiled a plan to place 25% tariffs on all countries that buy oil and gas from Venezuela.

Trump’s tariffs have had widespread economic effects, both domestically and globally

Higher Prices for Consumers

Tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, which often leads to higher prices for consumers. This can reduce purchasing power and affect living standards.

Impact on Businesses

Companies relying on imported materials face higher production costs due to tariffs. Some businesses may pass these costs onto consumers, while others might struggle to remain competitive.

Retaliatory Measures

Countries affected by U.S. tariffs often impose their own tariffs on American goods. This can hurt U.S. exporters and lead to trade wars.

Economic Growth

Studies suggest that tariffs can reduce GDP growth. For example, the U.S. GDP has been estimated to decrease by 0.4% due to these measures.

Employment

While tariffs aim to protect domestic jobs, they can also lead to job losses in industries affected by higher input costs or reduced export opportunities.

Global Trade Dynamics

Tariffs disrupt international trade relationships, leading to uncertainty and reduced investment in affected sectors.

These measures have sparked retaliatory tariffs from other countries, creating a complex web of trade disputes further sowing chaos and unrest.

Markets have reacted negatively to Trumps tariffs.

One thing is certain regarding the imposition of Trump’s tariffs – consumers suffer!

Trump Media shares gain after Crypto.com announce ETF deal

Crypto ETF

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) has made headlines with its latest announcement of a partnership with Crypto.com to launch a series of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and related products.

This news has sparked a surge in TMTG’s stock, which rose by approximately 9% in after-hours trading, despite a challenging year that saw the stock down 38% prior to this development. Will the gain hold?

The ETFs, branded under TMTG’s fintech arm are set to focus on a ‘Made in America’ theme, incorporating a mix of digital assets like Bitcoin and Cronos (Crypto.com’s native token) alongside traditional securities.

Crypto.com will play a pivotal role in this venture, providing backend technology, custody, and cryptocurrency supply for the ETFs.

The products are expected to be available internationally, including in Europe and Asia, through major brokerage platforms and the Crypto.com app, which boasts a global user base of 140 million.

This partnership marks another step in TMTG’s foray into the digital asset space, following previous ventures into non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and meme coins.

The move also highlights the growing intersection between traditional finance and cryptocurrency, as companies seek to innovate and diversify their offerings in a competitive market.

While the announcement has generated excitement, it also raises questions about the regulatory landscape and the sustainability of such ventures.

As TMTG and Crypto.com prepare to launch these ETFs later this year, pending regulatory approval, the financial world will be watching closely to see how this collaboration unfolds and its impact on the broader market

Fallout from Trump’s self-imposed tariffs and DOGE cuts is visibly damaging the U.S.

DOGE and U.S. Tariffs

The economic impact of tariffs and budget cuts by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is becoming increasingly evident

Major corporations like Nike and Accenture, for example have recently reported significant challenges stemming from these policies. Nike has warned of a sharp decline in sales for the current quarter, attributing this to tariffs and weakened consumer sentiment.

Similarly, Accenture has experienced a reduction in revenue due to cuts in U.S. government contracts, highlighting the ripple effects of reduced federal spending. It is a good guide to U.S. consumer sentiment.

The tariffs, part of a broader economic strategy, aim to protect domestic industries but have led to higher production costs and strained international trade relations.

The European Union has postponed its own tariffs on U.S. goods, seeking to negotiate a more favourable agreement and mitigate potential economic fallout.

These developments underscore the delicate balance between protecting domestic interests and maintaining a respectable global economic position.

Some argue that the U.S. tariffs and budget cuts may ultimately harm both businesses and consumers, as higher costs are passed down the supply chain.

As the 2nd April 2025 implementation date for new tariffs approaches, businesses and policymakers alike face mounting pressure to address these challenges and find solutions that support economic growth while minimizing adverse effects.

The coming months will be crucial in determining the long-term impact of these policies.

S&P 500 slides into correction territory

S&P 500 enters correction

The S&P 500 has officially entered correction territory, marking a significant shift in market sentiment

The index, widely regarded as a benchmark for the health of large U.S. companies, has fallen over 10% from its February 2025 peak.

This downturn follows a series of escalating trade tensions, with President Donald Trump announcing a 200% tariff on European alcoholic products in response to the European Union’s levies on American whiskey.

The correction reflects growing investor concerns over the potential economic fallout of these trade disputes. The Nasdaq Composite, another major index, had already entered correction territory earlier, signaling broader market unease. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also experienced a decline, marking its fourth consecutive day of losses.

Economists warn that the ongoing trade war could exacerbate fears of a recession, as businesses face rising costs and uncertainty. The Federal Reserve’s recent inflation reports suggest price growth remains elevated, adding to the challenges.

While corrections are not uncommon, they often serve as a wake-up call for investors. Historically, only a fraction of corrections evolve into bear markets, but the current environment of trade tensions and inflationary pressures has heightened concerns.

As markets navigate these turbulent waters, all eyes remain on policymakers and their next moves to stabilise the economy.

‘A pig in lipstick’ – Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve criticised

Pig in lipstick

The announcement of Donald Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has sparked a wave of criticism and debate, with detractors likening the initiative to ‘a pig in lipstick’ – a superficial attempt to dress up a flawed concept.

The reserve, which aims to stockpile or create a strategic reserve Bitcoin seized through criminal and civil forfeitures, has been touted as a bold move to position the United States as a leader in the cryptocurrency space. However, critics argue that the plan is fraught with risks and questionable motives.

One of the primary concerns is Bitcoin’s notorious volatility. Unlike traditional reserve assets such as gold or oil, Bitcoin’s value can fluctuate wildly, making it a precarious choice for a national reserve.

Economists warn that integrating such an unpredictable asset into government holdings could destabilise financial strategies rather than strengthen them.

Moreover, the initiative has raised eyebrows over its potential conflicts of interest. Critics point out that Trump’s administration has shown a growing affinity for cryptocurrency, with some officials previously holding stakes in digital assets.

This has led to accusations that the reserve could serve as a vehicle for personal or political gain rather than a genuine effort to bolster national economic security.

Supporters of the reserve argue that it represents a forward-thinking approach to embracing digital assets as ‘digital gold.’ They believe that retaining seized Bitcoin, rather than auctioning it off, could provide long-term financial benefits and signal the U.S.’s commitment to innovation in the crypto space.

However, even some crypto enthusiasts are skeptical, questioning whether the reserve’s creation is more about optics than substance.

In the end, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has ignited a broader conversation about the role of cryptocurrency in national policy. Whether it proves to be a visionary move, or a misguided gamble remains to be seen.

For now, the debate goes on.

U.S. markets tumble as Trump and his administration dismiss stock slump and economic concern

U.S. stocks fall

The Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency claims to be streamlining the federal government’s spending

But it has so far sown confusion, with the Trump administration attempting to rehire employees it had previously fired.

DOGE presents a distorted reflection of the current state of the U.S. economy. U.S. President Trump has implemented a series of policies to try to stimulate effect, frequently modifying them mid-course, resulting in collateral damage within the country’s own borders.

U.S. markets have been on a downward trend and were significantly impacted on. Tesla shares have lost some 50% since Trump’s election. Consumers are also boycotting Tesla vehicles.

Tariffs, according to Trump, are meant to protect U.S. businesses and punish trade partners. But so far, it seems that the world’s biggest economy is the one suffering.

Dismal day in the markets

U.S. stocks experienced a rout Monday 10th March 2025 as fears of a recession gripped investors. The S&P 500 dropped 2.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 2.08% and the Nasdaq Composite sank 4% in its worst session since September 2022.

The White House downplayed the market slump, saying it’s not as ‘meaningful’ as business activity (what does that mean exactly)? 

Asia markets also retreated Tuesday 11th March 2025. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell around 1% amid a weaker-than-expected showing for its fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP).

Tesla shares have declined every week since Elon Musk joined team Trump

Tesla in the red

For seven consecutive weeks since Elon Musk travelled to Washington to join the Trump administration, shares in his automaker have declined, closing on Friday at $270.48.

This marks the longest losing streak for Tesla in its 15 years as a public company.

Tesla shares concluded the week a decline of over 10%, reaching their lowest level since 5th November 2024, U.S. Election Day, when they closed at $251.44.

Since their peak at $480 on 17th December 2024, Tesla has lost over $800 billion in market capitalisation.

EU cuts interest rates again down to 2.5%

ECB interest rate cut

The European Central Bank (ECB) on 6th March 2025 reduced its interest rates to 2.5%, marking the sixth reduction since June 2024

The bank stuck to its plan in the face of economic challenges, including threats of U.S. tariffs and plans to boost European military spending.

This move reflects a shift in focus from combating inflation to supporting economic growth in the Eurozone.

Inflation has eased to 2.4% in February, and the ECB expects it to stabilise around its 2% target.

Economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered to 0.9% and 1.2%, respectively.

Trump’s U.S. Bitcoin reserve plan falls short of expectations

National U.S. crypto reserve

The cryptocurrency market faced a significant downturn following the announcement of President Donald Trump’s U.S. Bitcoin reserve plan

The initiative aimed to position the United States as a global digital asset leader fell short of market expectations, triggering a wave of selloffs.

Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, experienced a 3% drop, trading at $87,586.86 before dipping further to $84,688.13. Other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, XRP, and Solana, also saw declines, with Cardano’s ADA token suffering a sharp 13% drop.

The market’s reaction underscores the gap between investor hopes and the plan’s immediate implications.

The executive order established a strategic bitcoin reserve funded exclusively by assets seized in criminal and civil proceedings. While this approach ensures no taxpayer burden, it disappointed investors who anticipated direct government purchases to bolster Bitcoin’s value.

White House Crypto and AI Czar David Sacks emphasised the reserve’s role as a ‘digital Fort Knox’, but the lack of immediate buy pressure dampened market sentiment.

The broader economic context also played a role. Weakness in equities and ongoing tariff concerns added to the uncertainty, compounding the market’s reaction.

Analysts noted that while the reserve plan is a step toward legitimising cryptocurrencies, its short-term impact on prices was underwhelming.

Despite the initial disappointment, the strategic reserve could have long-term benefits. By centralising and securing digital assets, the U.S. government aims to strengthen its position in the global financial system.

However, for now, the market remains volatile, reflecting the challenges of balancing innovation with investor expectations.

As the crypto landscape evolves, the success of such initiatives will depend on their ability to deliver tangible value to both the market and the broader economy.

Will the U.S. government create a strategic crypto reserve by directly buying the digital asset and holding it as a national reserve?

At this moment in time, only Trump has that ‘key’.

Global markets slide into chaos as Trump pushes his ‘America First Agenda’

U.S. tariffs

Global markets have been thrown into turmoil following the announcement of sweeping tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump

U.S. tariffs, which include a 25% levy on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% increase on Chinese goods, have sparked fears of a global trade war. Retaliatory measures from Canada and China have only added to the uncertainty, sending shockwaves through financial markets worldwide.

The FTSE 100, London’s blue-chip index, fell by 1.3%, marking its steepest decline since October last year. Across the Atlantic, Wall Street saw significant losses, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 1.7%. European markets were not spared, as Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 plunged by 3.5% and 2.1%.

Investors are increasingly concerned about the long-term implications of these tariffs. The measures threaten to disrupt global supply chains, inflate costs, and dampen economic growth. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could push the global economy closer to a recession.

The tariffs have also had a notable impact on currency markets. The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies, with the pound rising to a six-week high of $1.27. Meanwhile, safe-haven assets like gold saw a surge in demand, with prices climbing above $2,900 per ounce.

Oil markets were not immune to the fallout, as Brent crude futures dropped to a three-month low of $70.65 per barrel. The decline reflects growing concerns over reduced demand amid escalating trade tensions.

As the world braces for further economic uncertainty, the focus now shifts to how global leaders will navigate these turbulent waters.

The stakes are high, and the path forward remains uncertain.

Trump’s tariffs tumble markets!

Stocks go red!

Trump’s tariffs have created fresh concern and new volatility in the markets forcing a stock market reversal.

The tariffs, which include a 25% duty on imports from Mexico and Canada, as well as a 10% levy on Chinese goods, have led to significant market volatility.

Investors remain cautious as they assess the long-term implications of these trade restrictions. The tariffs are expected to raise inflation in the U.S. and could potentially lead to a severe market correction.

It’s a complex situation with far-reaching consequences for global trade and the economy.

The S&P 500 retreated on Monday, extending February’s rout and turning red for the year after President Donald Trump’s confirmation of forthcoming tariffs.

The S&P 500 index fell to end at 5849, marking its worst day since December 2024 and bringing its year-to-date performance to a loss of about 0.5%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 649 points to finish at 43191. The Nasdaq Composite slid to close at 18350, weighed down by Nvidia’s decline of more than 8%.

Stocks took a notable leg down in the afternoon following President Trump’s reiteration that 25% levies on imports from Mexico and Canada would go into effect on Tuesday 5th March 2025, dashing investors’ hopes of a last-minute deal to avert the full tariffs on the two U.S. allies.

All three indexes traded in positive territory earlier in the day, with the Dow rising nearly 200 points at session highs.

China retaliated with reciprocal tariffs of 15% on some U.S. goods due to take effect 10th. March 2025.

Is the world order being dramatically upended?

Trump announces strategic crypto reserve to including Bitcoin – Solana – XRP – Cardano and Ethereum

Crypto reserve

President Donald Trump has announced the creation of a ‘strategic crypto reserve’ that will include Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano.

This move aims to position the United States as the ‘crypto capital of the world’ and has already led to significant price increases for these cryptocurrencies.

The announcement was made on Truth Social, where Trump emphasised the importance of elevating the crypto industry after what he described as years of corrupt attacks by the previous administration.

This is the first time Trump has specified his support for a crypto ‘reserve’ versus a ‘stockpile’.

Many crypto investors feel strongly that a crypto reserve should hold only Bitcoin, while some reject the idea of a reserve holding digital assets altogether.

Cryptocurrencies instantly rallied after President Donald Trump announced the creation of a strategic crypto reserve.

Crypto coins have since lost some of those initial gains.

Tesla’s market cap falls below $1 trillion

Tesla

Tesla shares sank 8% on Tuesday 25th February 2025 and have now lost most of their gains that followed President Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024.

The stock has plunged 25% this year, while the Nasdaq is down 1.5%.

It was also reported on that the company’s long-awaited upgrade of its partially automated driving system in China left owners unimpressed.

Tesla 3-month chart as of 25th February 2025

Tesla 3-month chart as of 25th February 2025

Bump to slump?

The ‘Trump Bump’ – a term referring to the surge in stocks and other assets, such as cryptocurrency, following Donald Trump’s election and inauguration seems to have plateaued.

This is most evident in Tesla shares, which plummeted Tuesday 25th February 2025, wiping out most of the post-election gains linked to CEO Elon Musk’s association with Trump.

Concerns about Tesla pertain to the company’s and Musk’s significant amount of time spent in Washington, D.C.

Investors are increasingly worried about impact of Trump’s tariffs on the economy. A U.S. Conference Board survey indicated pessimism regarding job availability, business conditions, and future income, along with heightened expectations for inflation in 2025.

The 10-year Treasury yield, considered an indicator of growth expectations, declined on this news. Stocks continued to fall. If this trend does not reverse soon, we could be facing a ‘Trump Slump.’

S&P 500 hits new record high

S&P 500 record

The S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday 18th February 2025 after investors shook off headwinds on the global trade and inflation

The S&P 500 index gained 0.24% to close at a record of 6129 on 18th February 2025. The Nasdaq Composite closed up at 20041 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added finished the day at 44556.

S&P 500 hits new record high to close at 6129 as of 18th February 2025
S&P 500 hits new record high to close at 6129 as of 18th February 2025

The energy sector was the top performer in the S&P 500, increasing by 1.9%. Halliburton and Valero Energy spearheaded the gains. Technology stocks also gained.

The general consensus is that the market is still trying to break out of the consolidation it’s been in since early December. This week we see retail earnings, but news on Trumps tariffs could continue to be a wild card for the markets.

Wall Street is coming off a winning week. The Dow Jones gained around 0.6% last week, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.5%. The Nasdaq rose 2.6%.

Much of last week’s gains occurred later in the week after President Donald Trump’s proposal for reciprocal tariffs on countries that impose levies on U.S. goods reassured investors who were concerned that the tariffs would be more severe.

Waning enthusiasm around Trump – AI and crypto

Lack of enthusiasm

As we progress through 2025, it’s evident that the initial excitement surrounding Donald Trump’s election win, artificial intelligence (AI), and cryptocurrency has begun to wane – but for how long?

Investors and the general public seem to be growing more cautious, reflecting a shift in sentiment towards these once highly anticipated topics.

Trump’s tariffs

In the realm of politics, Trump’s influence on the stock market has been notably erratic. His tariff threats and new policies have created uncertainty and volatility, leading investors to react negatively. Trump’s riviera suggestion for the Gaza strip, his interest in Canada and fixation for Greenland ownership have all tilted ‘standard’ political logic.

Recent announcements of additional tariffs on steel and aluminum imports have only heightened concerns, causing stock market fluctuations and dampening investor enthusiasm. The initial optimism that Trump’s policies would bolster the economy has been replaced by a more cautious outlook.

AI

Artificial intelligence, once hailed as the technological revolution of the century, is also experiencing a cooling of enthusiasm. While AI continues to make strides in various industries, the initial hype has given way to a more measured perspective.

Investors are now more wary of the long-term potential and the substantial investments required to develop AI technologies. Companies like DeepSeek, which have claimed cost efficiencies, are causing big tech firms to reevaluate their spending on AI projects, leading to a more tempered approach.

Crypto

Cryptocurrency, too, has seen mixed sentiments. Despite ongoing enthusiasm from dedicated supporters, the market’s volatility and regulatory challenges have tempered the initial excitement.

The dramatic price swings and uncertain regulatory landscape have made investors more cautious. While there are still significant investments and innovations in the crypto space, the euphoria that once surrounded it has subdued.

The excitement around Trump, AI, and cryptocurrency is not as fervent as it once was. The reality of market volatility, regulatory challenges, and the substantial investments required has led to a more cautious and measured approach.

As we move forward, it will be interesting to see how these areas evolve and whether they regain the heightened enthusiasm they once enjoyed.

Tariff Man – Trumps tariffs take affect – markets fall!

U.S. Tariffs

U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs have moved from threat to reality.

U.S. President Donald Trump launched a series of tariffs on Saturday. U.S. imports from Mexico and Canada will face a 25% duty, while those from China will be subject to a 10% tariff. Energy resources from Canada will face a lower 10% tariff.

Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced on the same day retaliatory tariffs of 25% against $155 billion in U.S. goods. Industry leaders in the U.S. have expressed concern over those tariffs.

They cap off a wild start to the new year during which a new U.S. president entered the White House and a new Chinese artificial intelligence player, DeepSeek upended the industry.

Indices at new highs

Something else that was new in January: the highest-ever closing level for the S&P 500, Dow Jones and new FTSE 100 highs were enjoyed too.

With tariffs now in effect and the possibility of a trade war looming markets may struggle to new heights in the short term.

Even Big Tech earnings and the jobs numbers coming out this week, typically market-moving reports, are likely to play second fiddle to policy developments.

Markets react

Markets are already responding to the news. Prices of oil and gold, which typically rise during periods of volatility, have increased, but Bitcoin is trading lower. It remains uncertain whether these will be a temporary shock or a sustained trend.

China’s factory activity experienced slower growth in January 2025 compared to December 2024 and is expected to be adversely affected as U.S. companies seek to reduce their dependence on Chinese imports.

Trump’s current tariffs may be targeted, but it’s hard to see any country or sector escaping the tariff turmoil.

The EU is also in line for a tariff attack and maybe the UK after.

Fed holds rates steady – calculates a less confident view on inflation

Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve maintained its key interest rate on Wednesday 29th January 2025, reversing a recent trend of policy easing as it assesses the likely turbulent political and economic landscape ahead.

As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left its borrowing rate unchanged in a range between 4.25% and 4.50%.

The decision followed three consecutive cuts since 2024 and marked the first Federal Reserve meeting since frequent Fed critic Donald Trump assumed the presidency last week. He almost immediately expressed his intention for the central bank to cut rates.

The post-meeting statement scattered a few clues about the reasoning behind the decision to hold rates steady. It offered a more optimistic view on the U.S. labour market while losing a key and telling reference from the December 2024 statement that inflation ‘has made progress toward’ the Fed’s 2% inflation goal.

Statement

Text appearing for the first time in the new statement is in red and underlined. Black text appears in both statements.

Text appearing for the first time in the new statement is in red and underlined. Black text appears in both statements.

The decision comes against a volatile political backdrop.

In just over a week, Trump has disrupted Washington’s policy and norms by signing hundreds of orders aimed at implementing an aggressive agenda.

The U.S. president has endorsed tariffs instruments of economic and foreign policy, authorised a wave of deportations for those crossing the border illegally, and a series of deregulatory initiatives.

Trump spoke of his confidence that he will bring down inflation and said he would ‘demand’ that interest rate be lowered ‘immediately.’

Although the president lacks authority over Fed beyond nominating board members, Trump’s statement indicated a potentially contentious relationship with policymakers, similar to his first term.

Inflation has moved down sharply from the 40-year peak it hit in mid-2022, but the Fed’s 2% goal has remained elusive.

In fact, the central bank’s preferred pricing gauge showed headline inflation ticked higher to 2.4% in November, the highest since July, while the core measure excluding food and energy held at 2.8%.

Trump’s SEC prepares new ‘crypto task force’ to regulate the industry

Crypto regulation

On 21st January 2025, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced the formation of a new cryptocurrency task force under the leadership of President Donald Trump.

This initiative marks a significant shift in the regulatory landscape for digital assets, aiming to provide a comprehensive and clear framework for the industry.

Task force

The task force, led by Commissioner Hester Peirce, also known as ‘Crypto Mom,’ is designed to address the regulatory challenges that have plagued the crypto industry for years.

The primary objectives of the task force include drawing clear regulatory lines, providing realistic paths to registration, crafting sensible disclosure frameworks, and deploying enforcement resources judiciously.

This approach contrasts sharply with the previous administration’s reliance on enforcement actions, which often left the industry in a state of confusion and uncertainty.

The announcement has generated a wave of optimism among crypto enthusiasts and investors. The price of Bitcoin, for instance, saw a notable increase following the news, reflecting the market’s positive reception.

But before this announcement, Bitcoin was already in an upward trajectory following the positive news swirling around Trump after he won the U.S. election.

Industry leaders are hopeful that the new regulatory environment will foster innovation while protecting investors and maintaining market integrity.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

One of the key aspects of the task force’s mandate is to collaborate with other government agencies, Congress, and international bodies to ensure a cohesive regulatory approach.

This includes working closely with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and other federal departments to harmonize regulations and provide technical assistance to Congress as it considers changes to the existing legal framework.

The task force’s formation is seen as a pivotal moment for the crypto industry, signalling a more welcoming and structured regulatory environment. As the task force begins its work, the industry eagerly anticipates the development of clear and practical guidelines that will support the growth and maturation of the digital asset market.

Trump announces massive U.S. AI investment backed by Oracle, OpenAI and Softbank

U.S. AI investment

President Donald Trump announced a joint venture with OpenAI, Oracle and Softbank to invest billions of dollars in artificial intelligence infrastructure in the U.S.

The project, dubbed Stargate, was unveiled at the White House by Trump, Softbank CEO Masayoshi Son, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison.

The executives committed to invest an initial $100 billion and up to $500 billion over the next four years in the project, which will be set up as a separate company.

Softbank’s Son had reportedly already promised a four-year, $100-billion investment when he recently visited then-President-elect Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort.

And this new AI investment is over and above the investments from the likes of Microsoft, Google, Apple, Anthropic and many others already in progress.