NHS Strike action again, with nearly 8 million waiting in the queue

Consultants and doctors joint strike

British Medical Association-organised strike

Consultants and junior doctors in England are holding their first joint strike in the history of the NHS.

Waiting list

The latest data from NHS England, states the number of people waiting to start routine hospital treatment is at a record high of 7.68 million at the end of July 2023. This is up from 7.57 million in June 2023 and the highest since records began in August 2007. 

The waiting list has increased by more than 3 million since February 2020, the last full month before the start of the pandemic. The NHS is facing many different challenges due to the impact of Covid-19 on its services, staff and resources. This data suggests that the waiting list was already at 4 million even before the pandemic hit.

The latest strike action is a major factor now contributing to the NHS waiting list. Some reports suggest that over 850,000 routine operations and procedures have been cancelled so far this year, 2023 due to strike action alone.

Factors that may have contributed to the historical rise in the waiting list

  • The suspension or reduction of non-urgent care during the peak of the pandemic to free up capacity for Covid-19 patients.
  • The ongoing infection prevention and control measures that limit the number of patients that can be treated safely in hospitals.
NHS Strike action again, with nearly 8 million waiting in the queue
  • The staff shortages and burnout that affect the availability and productivity of the workforce.
  • The increased demand for health services as people seek help for conditions that were delayed or worsened by the pandemic.
  • Strike action.

The NHS is working hard to tackle the backlog and improve access to care for patients

  • Increasing funding and capacity for elcare, such as by opening more operating theatres, expanding community services and using the independent sector.
  • Implementing new models of care, such as virtual consultations, digital triage and shared decision making, to reduce unnecessary referrals and appointments.
  • Prioritising patients based on clinical urgency and need, rather than waiting time alone, to ensure that those who would benefit most from treatment are seen first.
  • Supporting staff wellbeing and retention, such as by offering flexible working, training and development opportunities and mental health support.

What about health education?

Government action

The government has also pledged to invest an extra £36 billion over the next three years to help the NHS recover from the pandemic and reform social care. However, some experts have warned that this may not be enough to address the underlying issues that affect the NHS performance and quality, such as workforce planning, public health funding and health inequalities.

How did it get so bad?

Lack of money or management failures? It has to one of these two. Throwing funds at an already badly managed ‘business’ will just amplify the problem allowing even more waste. And as the ‘system’ tackles the problem, more and more people will needlessly continue to suffer.

Fix our health service by fixing the people first!

‘What’s the point of HS2 if there is no one to run it?’ ‘Beats me… guess we’re stuck with it!’

Train strikes

‘Is this the end of the line’?

Yet more strike action continues to create chaos for travellers

Much of the UK will have no train services on Friday 1st Septemebr 2023 as the latest major strike action takes place.

Members of Aslef, the train drivers’ union, who work at more than a dozen train companies, have walked out and have refused to work.

Up to 20,000 RMT union members at 14 operators will also strike on Saturday in a long-running dispute

Meanwhile, a consultation closing most ticket offices in England ends.

Ticket office closures

Unions and disability groups have also taken action against other proposed working practices in the industry, such as ticket office closures.

Currently, nearly 300 stations in England run by train companies with Department for Transport contracts have a full-time staffed ticket office – 708 are staffed part-time. Under the proposals, most would close.

Train strikes
‘What’s the point in HS2 if there is no one to run it’? ‘Beats me… guess we’re stuck with it!’

Ongoing dispute

The UK train strikes are part of an ongoing dispute between the rail unions and the train operators over pay and conditions.

  • ASLEF members at 16 rail operators will strike again on Friday, 1st September 2023 and Saturday, 2nd September 2023.
Strike action
‘What year is it? Strike action continues to hold inflation higher. Been here too many times before’.
  • RMT members at 14 train companies will strike again on 2nd September 2023. This will severely affect the timetables.

Pay dispute and working practices

The rail unions are demanding a pay rise that reflects the rising cost of living, as well as job security and improved working conditions. The train operators say they need to make changes to the ways of working in order to save money and improve efficiency, especially after the pandemic hit their finances hard. 

The Rail Delivery Group, which represents the train operators, has offered a 5% pay rise for 2022, but the unions have rejected it as insufficient and conditional on reforms they oppose.

The train strikes have caused significant disruption and frustration for millions of passengers, especially during the peak summer holiday season. The government has urged both sides to resume talks and find a resolution

Train strikes
‘Does this train go north’?

UK strike action and wage growth – repeats

Strike action

Wages grew at a record annual pace between April and June 2023, according to new figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Regular pay grew by 7.8%, the highest annual growth rate since comparable records began in 2001.Inflation, which measures the pace at which prices are rising, has eased but remains relatively high at 7.9%. Thhe ONS suggested these latest figures demonstrates ‘people’s real pay is recovering‘ and that basic pay is growing at its fastest since current records began’.

However, wage growth is still not quite outstripping the pace of price rises and inflation is still high. Figures suggest that, taking into account the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) measure of inflation, average regular pay fell by 0.6%.

There are signs in the ONS’s data that the UK employment market is easing. The jobless rate rose from 4% to 4.2%, while the number of people in employment ticked lower.

Backward stats..?

The fall in employment in the three months to June and the further rise in the unemployment rate will be welcomed by the Bank of England as a sign labour market conditions are cooling. These comments from an analyst were presented as welcome news – but they are odd really when an economy needs good levels of employment (not unemployment). We live in weird times! Good news! Bad news!

The Bank of England is still generally expected by many pundits to increase its key interest rate again to 5.5% before ending the current run of rate rises.

The number of vacancies in the UK jobs market fell again, down 66,000 between May and July 2023. However, there are still more than one million vacancies.

Strike action adds to inflationary pressure

List of workers striking for higher pay

  • Teachers
  • Tube staff
  • Railway workers
  • Doctors
  • Nurses
  • NHS staff
  • Ambulance workers
  • Passport Office workers
  • Border control staff
  • Airport workers
  • Civil servants
  • University staff
  • Barristers

This is by no means an exhaustive list – just a sample of the demands placed on resources through strike action that impacts inflation through a period of fast wage growth.