TSMC first-quarter profit rises 58%, beats estimates as AI demand holds steady

TSMC Profit Increase

TSMC’s 58% surge in first‑quarter profit is the clearest sign yet that the AI boom is no longer a cyclical uplift but a structural shift reshaping the entire semiconductor industry.

The Taiwanese chipmaker delivered record earnings, comfortably beating analyst expectations, as demand for advanced processors continued to outstrip supply.

Net income reportedly reached NT$572.48 billion, marking a fourth consecutive quarter of record profits, while revenue climbed to NT$1.134 trillion, driven overwhelmingly by high‑performance computing and AI‑related orders.

What stands out is the composition of that growth. Roughly three‑quarters of TSMC’s wafer revenue reportedly came from advanced nodes, with 3‑nanometre chips alone accounting for a quarter of shipments.

Nvidia

Nvidia has now overtaken Apple as TSMC’s largest customer, underscoring how AI accelerators have become the industry’s most valuable real estate.

TSMC’s executives described AI demand as “extremely robust”, with customers signalling multi‑year achievements rather than the usual stop‑start ordering cycle.

The company also moved to reassure investors over supply‑chain risks linked to the Middle East conflict, saying it has diversified sources for critical gases such as helium and hydrogen.

With capacity running hot and capital spending set to hit the top end of guidance, TSMC is positioning itself as the indispensable chipmaker in the AI era.

ASML raises 2026 guidance as AI chips demand remains strong

ASML guidance for 2026 raised

ASML’s decision to raise its 2026 guidance underlines a simple reality: demand for advanced AI chips is not easing, and the world’s most important semiconductor equipment maker remains at the centre of that surge.

The company signalled stronger-than-expected orders for its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and next‑generation high‑NA systems, driven by chipmakers racing to expand capacity for AI accelerators, data‑centre processors and cutting‑edge logic nodes.

Bottleneck

The upgrade matters because ASML sits at the bottleneck of global chip production. Only a handful of firms can even buy its most advanced machines, and those firms – chiefly TSMC, Intel and Samsung – are all scaling up AI‑focused manufacturing.

Their capital expenditure plans have held firm despite broader economic uncertainty, suggesting that AI infrastructure is becoming a non‑discretionary investment rather than a cyclical one.

Two forces are driving the momentum. First, hyperscalers continue to pour billions into AI clusters, creating sustained demand for the most advanced lithography tools.

Long-term lock in

Second, geopolitical pressure to secure domestic chip capacity is pushing governments and manufacturers to lock in long‑term equipment orders.

ASML’s raised outlook reinforces the sense that the semiconductor cycle is diverging: consumer electronics remain patchy, but AI‑related manufacturing is entering a multi‑year expansion.

The key question now is whether supply can keep pace with the ambition of its customers.

Water scarcity and its impact on semiconductor production

Water scarcity

Water scarcity is a pressing global issue and has far-reaching consequences across various industries. One sector significantly affected is semiconductor manufacturing.

How does water scarcity pose a threat to the production of essential microchips.

Water in Semiconductor Manufacturing

Ultra-pure water is a critical resource in semiconductor fabrication plants (fabs). It is used for cleaning, cooling, and various processing steps during chip production.

Microchips power our devices—computers, smartphones, sensors, and LEDs—all of which rely on water-intensive manufacturing processes.

Global Water Scarcity

Freshwater availability is unevenly distributed worldwide. While oceans contain 97% of water (mostly saline), accessible freshwater constitutes only a small fraction.

Approximately four billion people experience severe water scarcity for at least one month annually, and half a billion face it year-round.

Taiwan’s Drought and Chip Production

Taiwan, a semiconductor manufacturing hub, faces a severe drought. Over 20% of global microchips are produced there.

Water shortages threaten supply chains, potentially impacting chip production.

Cost and Sustainability

Creating fully self-sufficient local supply chains would cost $1 trillion. Such self-reliance could increase semiconductor costs by up to 65%.

Urgent action is needed to ensure sustainable water management in fabs, as chips control everything from cars to appliances.

In conclusion, water scarcity poses a real danger to semiconductor production. Addressing this challenge requires strategic planning, conservation efforts, and global cooperation.

AI a problem or a solution?

Will the problem of water scarcity exacerbate the uneven distribution of water around the world as the rich have easier access to the precious resource.

Will the explosion of AI tech push the imbalance – water is a basic necessity to maintain human life. Will AI have a hand in controlling the distribution of water – even for its own needs?