The Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap U.S. stocks, has officially entered bear market territory.
This means the index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time high in late November 2024. The decline was accelerated by the recent rollout of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, which have raised concerns about rising costs, economic softening, and global supply chain disruptions3.
Small-cap stocks, which were initially seen as beneficiaries of Trump’s policies due to their domestic focus, are now facing significant challenges. Many of these companies are particularly vulnerable to input cost shocks and lack the financial flexibility of larger firms.
Analysts warn that the combination of higher costs and a slowing economy is squeezing profits, leaving small caps in a precarious position.
The Russell 2000’s downturn highlights the broader market volatility triggered by the tariff measures. While other major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are in correction territory, the Russell 2000 was the first to enter a bear market.
Russell 2000 index
This development underscores the heightened risks for small-cap stocks in the current economic climate.
Despite the challenges, some strategists believe there could be opportunities for recovery, particularly if the Federal Reserve takes steps to cut interest rates.
However, Trump’s tariffs have introduced uncertainty into this policy, as inflation is likely to increase, casting doubt on the possibility of further interest rate cuts.
For now, the Russell 2000’s performance serves as a stark reminder of the delicate balance between protectionist policies and market stability.
The Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap U.S. stocks, has officially entered bear market territory.
Dow Jones decline – the ripple effects of tariff policies
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has seen a sharp decline, falling from its all-time high of 45,073.63 points in December 2024 to its current level of 38,314.86 points—a drop of approximately 15%.
Dow Jones one-year chart
This downturn reflects a mix of economic challenges, including the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies.
Trump’s sweeping tariffs, introduced as part of his ‘Liberation Day‘ initiative, aimed to bolster American manufacturing by imposing taxes on imported goods. While the policy sought to ‘level the playing field’, it triggered significant disruptions in global trade.
Retaliatory tariffs from key trading partners, including China and the European Union, compounded the issue, ultimately leading to higher costs for U.S. businesses and consumers.
The tariffs have also strained supply chains, particularly in industries reliant on international components. This has contributed to inflationary pressures, further dampening investor sentiment.
The tech sector, already grappling with regulatory scrutiny, has been hit hard, with companies facing increased production costs.
Nasdaq tech 100 one-year chart
While some view the market’s decline as a natural correction, others warn of prolonged economic challenges, especially with the uncertainty surround Trump’s tariff agenda.
For investors, the key lies in navigating these turbulent times with caution and a focus on long-term fundamentals.
As the Dow adjusts to these pressures, its performance underscores the far-reaching consequences of trade policies on global markets.
S&P 500 one-year chart
