Tag: AI

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Nvidia reports 122% revenue growth

Data centre

Nvidia has announced earnings surpassing Wall Street forecasts and has issued guidance for the current quarter that exceeds expectations.

As the artificial intelligence boom continues, Nvidia remains a major beneficiary. Despite a stock price dip, after trading hours, the stock has risen approximately 150% this year. The question remains whether Nvidia can sustain this growth trajectory.

Nvidia said it expects about $32.5 billion in current-quarter revenue, versus $31.7 billion expected by analysts, according to analysis That would be an increase of 80% from a year earlier.

Revenue continues to surge, rising 122% on an annual basis during the quarter, following three straight periods of year-on-year growth in excess of 200%.

Nvidia’s data centre business, which encompasses its AI processors, saw a 154% increase in revenue from the previous year, reaching $26.3 billion and representing 88% of the company’s total sales.

However, not all these sales were from AI chips. Nvidia reported that its networking products contributed $3.7 billion in revenue.

The company primarily serves a select group of cloud service providers and consumer internet firms, including Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla. Nvidia’s chips, notably the H100 and H200, are integral to the majority of generative AI applications, like OpenAI‘s ChatGPT.

Nvidia also announced a $50 billion stock buyback.

Nvidia shares dropped close to 5% in after-hours pre-market trade (29th August 2024).

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Company says it can cut data centre energy use by 50% as AI boom places increased strain on power grids

Power hungry data centre

Major technology corporations such as Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are channelling billions into data centre infrastructures to bolster generative AI, which is causing a spike in energy demand.

Sustainable Metal Cloud has announced that its immersion cooling technology is 28% less expensive to install compared to other liquid-based cooling methods and can cut energy use by up to 50%.

The surge in artificial intelligence has increased the need for more robust processors and the energy to cool data centres.

This presents an opportunity for Sustainable Metal Cloud, which runs ‘sustainable AI factories’ consisting of HyperCubes located in Singapore and Australia.

These HyperCubes house servers equipped with Nvidia processors immersed in a synthetic oil known as polyalphaolefin, which is more effective at dissipating heat than air. The company claims this technology can reduce energy consumption by as much as 50% when compared to the conventional air-cooling systems found in most data centres.

Additionally, the Singapore-based company states that its immersion cooling technology is more cost-effective to install by 28% than other liquid cooling options. The HyperCubes are modular and can be integrated into any data centre, utilising spaces that are currently unoccupied within existing facilities.

What is a Hypercube?

  • Structure: A hypercube topology connects nodes in a way that each node is connected to others in a manner similar to the geometric hypercube. For example, in a 3-dimensional hypercube (a cube), each node is connected to three other nodes.
  • Scalability: This structure allows for efficient scaling. As the number of dimensions increases, the number of nodes that can be connected grows exponentially.
  • Fault Tolerance: Hypercube networks are known for their robustness. If one connection fails, there are multiple alternative paths for data to travel, ensuring reliability.

Benefits in data centres

  • High Performance: The multiple pathways in a hypercube network reduce latency and increase data transfer speeds, which is crucial for big tech companies handling vast amounts of data.
  • Efficient Resource Utilisation: The topology allows for better load balancing and resource allocation, optimising the performance of data centres.
  • Flexibility: Hypercube networks can easily adapt to changes in the network, such as adding or removing nodes, without significant reconfiguration.
  • Big Tech Companies: Companies like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft likely use hypercube topologies in their data centres to ensure high performance and reliability.
  • High-Performance Computing (HPC): Hypercube networks are also used in supercomputers and other HPC environments where efficient data transfer is critical.
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How frothy is the AI data centre market for investors?

AI market froth?

Nvidia investors have been on a rocket ride to the stars. But recently they have come back down to Earth, and it has become more of a roller coaster ride.

Benefiting significantly from the artificial intelligence surge, Nvidia’s market cap has increased approximately ninefold since late 2022 – a massive market cap gain.

However, after achieving a peak in June 2024 and momentarily claiming the title of the world’s most valuable public company, Nvidia then experienced close to a 30% decline in value over the subsequent seven weeks, resulting in an approximate $800 billion loss in market capitalisation.

Currently, the stock is experiencing a rally, bringing it within approximately 6% of its all-time peak. The chipmaker surpassed the $3 trillion market cap milestone in early June 2024, aligning with Microsoft and Apple. The question remains whether the company can reclaim and sustain that title.

Investors are closely monitoring Nvidia’s forecast for the October quarter, with the company anticipated to report a growth of approximately 75%. Positive guidance would imply that Nvidia’s affluent clients continue to invest heavily in AI development, whereas a lacklustre forecast might suggest that infrastructure investment is becoming excessive.

Should there be any signs of diminishing demand for AI or if a major cloud customer is reducing spending, it could lead to a notable decline in revenue.

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Microsoft to release Windows Recall AI search feature for testing as soon as October 2024

AI enabled local device

Microsoft announced on Wednesday 21st August 2024 that it will release the contentious Recall AI search feature for Windows users to test starting in October

Recall captures screenshots of on-screen activity, enabling users to search for previously seen information. Security experts raised immediate concerns about the potential risks of Windows capturing images automatically without user consent. In response, researchers developed open-source software demonstrating how attackers could easily access personal information.

Microsoft addressed these concerns in June 2024, stating that Recall would be disabled by default and promising security improvements for the feature.

While Microsoft has not provided a specific timeline for a wider release, it has introduced a new category of Windows PCs, termed Copilot+ PCs, which meet the system requirements for Recall. These PCs, produced by various manufacturers, are designed to handle AI workloads, and Microsoft has demonstrated Recall operating on these devices.

*Manufacturers are eager to demonstrate that AI models can run on local PCs, offering an alternative to cloud-based servers from companies like OpenAI. Following this trend, Apple has launched MacBooks capable of running AI models, and Microsoft’s latest Surface Pro is also a Copilot+ PC with local AI capabilities.

The timing of Recall’s broader release could be pivotal, as consumer interest in new computers may spike during the holiday season if Microsoft extends Recall to all compatible devices by that time.

*Is this a move away from AI cloud-based operations to some extent? AI tasks can easily be run in the cloud – why do we need an AI enabled device?

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OpenAI cements deal with Vogue owner Condé Nast

Magazine AI data

OpenAI has partnered with the global magazine conglomerate Condé Nast to enable ChatGPT and its search engine, SearchGPT, to showcase content from renowned publications such as Vogue, The New Yorker and GQ.

The agreement represents the most recent in a series of deals made by OpenAI with prominent media companies.

The material generated by media organizations is coveted by tech companies for training their AI (Artificial Intelligence) models.

Several media companies, such as the New York Times and the Chicago Tribune, have opposed this practice and have pursued legal measures to safeguard their content.

The financial details of the contract between OpenAI and Condé Nast were not revealed.

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Slower and smaller-than-expected rate cuts. A slowing U.S. economy and a potential AI bubble – does this all add up to a coming bear market?

Witches' stocks cauldron

The stock markets mix of toil and trouble is in the cauldron ready for a bear market in 2025, if not before.

Why?

  • Fed to resist reducing rates to the market’s desired 3.50%.
  • Profits unlikely from now on to fulfill expectations, because the U.S. economy is slowing.
  • AI sector is in or close to ‘bubble territory’.
  • Debt.
  • Geopolitical concerns.

These concerns are now all combining, and it will likely add-up to a bear market of around 25% in 2025 (this is my best guess).

Remember – make your own decisions and always, always do your own careful research. Seek professional financial advice if in doubt.

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

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U.S. stocks recovery attempt fizzles out

Fizzle

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday 7th August 2024, failing to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 234 points to 38763.45. The S&P 500 fell to 5199.50, while the Nasdaq Composite closed at 16195.81.

During the day, the Dow had surged around 480 points, the S&P 500 had climbed 1.73%, and the Nasdaq had risen over 2%.

Dow Jones one day chart 7th August 2024

Dow Jones one day chart 7th August 2024

S&P 500 one day chart 7th August 2024

S&P 500 one day chart 7th August 2024

Nasdaq Composite one day chart 7th August 2024

Nasdaq Composite one day chart 7th August 2024

However, a downturn in Nvidia and other major tech stocks, after an initial rise, led to a significant drop in the afternoon. Nvidia retracted by 5.1%, Super Micro Computer plummeted 20.1% following its fiscal Q4 earnings missing analyst predictions, Tesla fell 4.4%, and Meta Platforms decreased by 1%.

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

One month chart Super Micro Computer 7th August 2024

One month chart Super Micro Computer 7th August 2024

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

The U.S.10-year Treasury yield continued to rise, increasing by about six basis points to 3.95%, returning to its level before the disappointing job figures last Friday, which had sparked concerns of an economic slowdown.

The Volatility Index (CBOE), the so called ‘fear gauge‘ was trading at around 29, having dropped to as low as 22 earlier in the day. This sharp decrease from Monday 5th August 2024 suggests that investor fears are subsiding, however, they remain higher than at the beginning of the month.

The Volatility Index (CBOE) on 7th August 2024

The Volatility Index (CBOE) on 7th August 2024
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Judge ruling says Google’s monopoly of online searches is illegal

Judge

Too much monopolistic power held by too few

A U.S. judge has ruled that Google illegally maintained a monopoly in online searches and related advertising. The lawsuit, brought by the Department of Justice, charged Google with controlling around 90% of the online search market.

It was reportedly noted by the judge that Google’s billions of dollars in investments to become the default search engine on smartphones and browsers could be anticompetitive.

The decision, issued on Monday 5th August 2024, could potentially change how tech giants operate.

It was reported that in his extensive 277-page decision, Judge Mehta remarked, “Google has acted as a monopolist and engaged in anticompetitive practices to maintain its monopoly.”

This represents a significant victory for federal antitrust enforcers who have pursued similar cases against other leading technology companies for illegal monopolistic behaviours.

Companies like Meta Platforms, which operate Facebook and WhatsApp, as well as companies like Amazon and Apple., have also faced lawsuits from federal regulators.

The judgment comes after a 10-week trial where it was argued that Google’s substantial payments to remain the primary search engine have impeded the competition’s ability to challenge effectively.

This is a seismic shift in the way search engines and advertising may operate in the future. Already with the advent of AI, search engines look and feel different.

Recently, OpenAI launched ‘SearchGPT’ – and Microsoft have named it a competitor in the world of search engines.

Times are changing.

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Global stock market rout intensifies as Dow futures dip over 1200 points

Stock rout

U.S. stock futures slumped Monday 5th August 2024 as global markets sell-off centered around potential U.S. recession fears.

About one hour before U.S. stocks open – here’s the situation

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 1250 points following a 611point loss on Friday 2nd August 2024.

S&P 500 futures are down 4.6% after the benchmark lost 1.8% on Friday 2nd August 2024.

Nasdaq-100 futures lost 6% as big tech stocks take a hit in early trading.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 plunged 12% in its worst day since the 1987 Black Monday crash.

If the Dow Jones decline continues it would be the first 1000 point decline since September 2022.

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Short-sighted policy U-turn as the UK Labour government cancels £1.3 billion of computing projects

AI supercomputer mainframe

A real set-back for UK AI global ambition

The new Labour government has withdrawn £1.3bn in funding previously pledged by the Conservatives for technology and Artificial Intelligence (AI) initiatives.

This includes £800m allocated for the development of an exascale supercomputer at Edinburgh University and an additional £500m for the AI Research Resource, which provides computing power for AI. These funds were announced less than a year ago.

The Department for Science, Innovation and Technology (DSIT) stated that although the funds were promised by the former administration, they were not included in its budget. The decision has faced criticism from some within the industry.

Another blow for the UK’s homegrown tech sector.

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Amazon, Intel, Meta, Nintendo, Apple, Snap, Qualcomm and others report – here’s a brief round-up

Reports summary 31st July 2024 -1st August 2024

Amazon offers weak guidance citing Olympics and the Trump assassination attempt as cause (consumers are distracted). However, Amazon’s cloud unit reports 19% revenue growth, topping estimates and a 20% increase in business in Q2. Amazon stocks pull back after guidance update.

Intel endures a 22% share plunge dragging down other global microchip stocks from TSMC, ASML to Samsung. Company to cut 15% of workforce, reports quarterly guidance miss.

Meta shares climb 6% on positive earnings data and good revenue forecast. Zuckerberg enthused over AI and how it’s helping create profits suggesting ‘Meta’s advertising growth is proof that BIG AI spending is already paying off.’ However, Meta’s Reality Labs posts $4.5 billion loss in second quarter.

Nintendo profit falls 55% as sales of its ageing Switch console plunge. Nintendo revenue and profit plunged in Q1 as sales of its ageing Switch console decline. Nintendo sold 2.1 million units of its Switch consoles, down 46% on the year. Investors are seeking news surrounding a successor to the Nintendo Switch console.

Apple sales climbed 5%, topping estimates as iPad and services revenue lift despite ongoing issues with iPhone sales slipping in China. Apple is spending more on AI but remains way behind its peers.

Snap shares plunge more than 20% on weak guidance.

Qualcomm beats estimates as phone microchip sales up 12%.

Samsung Q2 revenue and profit comes in above estimates amid strong AI demand.

AMD jumps 5% as global microchip stocks rally. Data centre sales doubled.

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Microsoft says OpenAI is now a competitor search and AI

AI competition

Microsoft’s list of competitors, which is updated regularly, now features OpenAI, previously a long-term strategic ally.

This development follows OpenAI’s announcement of a search engine prototype.

As OpenAI’s exclusive cloud provider, Microsoft leverages OpenAI’s AI models for products aimed at commercial clients and consumers. Microsoft, OpenAI’s largest investor, has reportedly invested some $13 billion in the firm.

Microsoft’s filing lists OpenAI, the entity behind the ChatGPT chatbot, as a competitor in AI solutions, as well as in the realms of search and news advertising. OpenAI recently unveiled a search engine prototype named SearchGPT.

However, recent developments suggest a shift, with both companies encroaching on each other’s domains.

While some opt to directly pay OpenAI for model access, others utilise Microsoft’s Azure OpenAI Service. Additionally, Microsoft offers the Copilot chatbot as an alternative to ChatGPT, accessible via the Bing search engine and Windows operating systems.

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Microsoft shares drop on cloud miss as Azure revenue disappoints

In the cloud

Microsoft reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for Q4

In extended trading on 30th July 2024, the stock experienced a quick decline as attention was drawn to the less-than-expected Azure revenue, despite management’s forecast for growth in the upcoming quarters.

The company’s total revenue saw a 15% increase compared to the previous year.

Despite surpassing earnings and revenue expectations, Microsoft’s shares dropped by up to 7% in extended trading on Tuesday, with investors concentrating on the underwhelming cloud revenue. However, executives offered a positive outlook, anticipating an acceleration in cloud growth during the first half of 2025.

Microsoft one day chart 30th July 2024

Microsoft one day chart 30th July 2024

Microsoft’s cloud division holds significant interest for investors, as it competes with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Google in the artificial intelligence (AI) work arena. These three tech giants are pouring substantial resources into enhancing AI capabilities, aiming to attract both startups and established companies as generative AI technology swiftly progresses.

For Amazon, AWS has served as a vital profit centre for the past ten years.

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Apple’s iPhone crown slips again in China

Mobile

Apple has been ousted from the top five smartphone vendors in China during Q2, as local brands like Huawei continue to escalate competition

Apple is no longer among the top five smartphone vendors in China as local brands take over the market.

Apple’s market share in China has declined, falling to 14% in the second quarter from 15% in the first quarter and 16% 2023.

For the first time in history, domestic vendors have taken over all top five positions in China.

According to reports, incorporating Apple’s Intelligence systems in its products in mainland China will be crucial over the next 12 months, as Chinese brands are rapidly integrating generative AI into their designs.

This is not good news for Apple. The company is facing challenges, notably lagging behind in the AI innovation race, and compounded by a rapidly falling share of the mobile market in China.

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Dow rises more than 400 points to hit intra-day of 42000 then trims back before close

Stock rotation

Let the rotation begin

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged on Friday 12th July 2024 as investors began to diversify beyond the technology sector.

The Dow closed at 40,000.90, after hitting a new all-time high of 40,257.

The Dow closed at 40,000.90, after hitting a new all-time high of 40,257.

The S&P 500 added 0.55% to 5,615, and the Nasdaq Composite went up 0.63% to 18,398. However, on Thursday 11th July 2024 the S&P 500 experienced its worst day since late April due to a major market rotation, with Nvidia dropping 5.6%.

Investors rotated from tech to industrial stocks in the Dow on Friday, hoping that slowing inflation might lead to a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.

The Dow gained 1.6% for the week, spurred by a report showing a 0.1% decline in the consumer price index for June. Recent reports suggest that the Federal Reserve might indeed consider a rate cut in September if inflation continues to slow.

While the AI growth has been dominant, other market catalysts, such as potential rate cuts, can also drive different sectors, including utilities.

Good earnings, improving economic news and the promise of a rate cut are combining to become the perfect storm for U.S. stocks.

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Big Tech and AI stocks push S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new all-time highs!

Record highs

On Wednesday, 10th July 2024, the S&P 500 reached a new record high, surpassing 5,600 for the first time, propelled by a significant surge in semiconductor stocks.

The S&P 500 index rose by 1.02%, ending the day at 5,633 and marking its seventh consecutive day of gains. The Nasdaq Composite increased, achieving a new all-time high closing at 18,647.

This year has seen the S&P 500 close at record highs some 37 times, with the Nasdaq following closely with 27 record high finishes.

S&P 500

S&P 500

Nasdaq Composite

Nasdaq Composite

The Dow Jones Industrial Average grew by 429 points, finishing at 39,721.

Note: figures rounded

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Japan’s Nikkei blast through 42000 to reach all-time high

Nikkei Lift Off!

Japan’s Nikkei 225 surpassed the 42,000 threshold for the first time ever during a widespread increase in Asia-Pacific markets on Thursday 11th July 2024.

This surge followed a rally in U.S. Big Tech stocks, fueled by optimism over a potential Federal Reserve rate cut moving ever closer.

The Nikkei climbed almost 1% to close at 42,224 driven by gains in technology shares, while the comprehensive Topix index advanced to finish at 2,929.

Nikkei index

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An important rare Earth metal

Tungsten rare Earth metal

Tungsten is a critically important rare earth metal, renowned for its unique and valuable properties.

Tungsten has the highest melting point among all metals, which makes it exceptionally suitable for high-temperature applications.

Key aspects of its importance

Industrial and technological applications

Tungsten is used in many industries where hardness, high density, high wear resistance, and high-temperature resistance are required. This includes mining, construction, energy generation, electronics, aerospace, and defence sectors. It is used in weapons, autos, electric car batteries, semiconductors and industrial machinery.

Fact: approximately 2Kg of tungsten goes into every electric vehicle.

Alloys

Metals are frequently alloyed with Tungsten to enhance their strength without substantially adding to their weight. This property is vital for uses like arc-welding electrodes and heating elements in high-temperature furnaces.

Significance

Tungsten is acknowledged as a critical metal because of its economic significance and the scarcity of its sources. It is reported that China produces the majority of the world’s tungsten, controlling approximately 80% of the supply of this rare earth metal.

Durability and flexibility

Tungsten’s durability, flexibility, and resistance to corrosion contribute to its popularity across various industries and applications. It ranks among the hardest and most resilient materials found in nature.

These characteristics render tungsten not just crucial but also indispensable for numerous high-tech applications. The rarity of tungsten and the intricate nature of its extraction and refinement processes enhance its value even further.

World suppliers of tungsten

According to Statista.com the global tungsten market was valued at over $5 billion USD in 2022. It’s projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could reach over $9.5 billion USD by 2030

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Nasdaq and S&P 500 both hit new highs as markets close early for U.S. Independence Day!

U.S. Independence Day

The S&P 500 reached new heights in a shortened trading session on Wednesday 3rd July 2024, with investors seemingly dismissing lacklustre economic data.

The S&P 500 closed at a new high of 5537, while the Nasdaq Composite finished the session at 18188, buoyed by rallies in technology and AI stocks like Tesla and Nvidia. Both indices reached new all-time highs during the session and closed at record levels.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost just closed down at 39308.

Trading volume was subdued as the New York Stock Exchange closed early at 1 p.m. ET. The exchange will remain closed on Thursday 4th July 2024 for Independence Day celebrations.

S&P 500: One-year chart – index closed at a new record high

S&P 500 One-year chart closed at new record high

Nasdaq Composite: One-year chart closed at new record high

Nasdaq Composite: One-year chart closed at new record high
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Nvidia rebounds after half a trillion market cap slump

Hot AI

To put this figure into some perspective, the loss is comparable to the GDP output of a small country, such as Norway, Singapore, or the UAE, for example.

Global semiconductor stocks experienced volatility on Tuesday following a decline in Nvidia’s shares from the previous trading sessions.

Shares of chip firms in Europe and Asia fell in early trade as investors reacted to Nvidia losing more than $500 billion in market capitalization over three trading days. Some of the stocks recouped losses, however, as shares in the U.S. chipmaking giant recovered around 6 – 6.5% as of Tuesday 25th June 2024.

This follows a significant drop in Nvidia’s share value, which fell 13% over three consecutive sessions from the record highs achieved on Thursday 20th June 2024.

On Monday 24th June 2024, Nvidia’s stock closed down 6.7%, marking its second-largest decline of the year, yet the shares began to recover in early trading on Tuesday 25th June 2024.

Last week, the company surpassed Apple and Microsoft to become the most valuable U.S. company, achieving a market capitalization of over $3.4 trillion. However, by the end of Monday, Nvidia’s market value had declined by more than $540 billion from its intraday record on Thursday 20th June 2024.

Nvidia reported that the demand for its highly sought-after artificial intelligence graphics processing units (GPUs) continues to be strong.

Companies such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta are investing billions of dollars in these chips to enhance their data centres and cloud services.

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Nvidia slips by 13% in three days after momentarily becoming most valuable company

AI on fire

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained as investors rotated out of ‘hot’ chip stocks, including Nvidia.

Nvidia shares fell a little under 7% on Monday 24th June 2024, the chipmaker’s third down day in a row. The stock is down 13% from its peak last week.

Other stocks that also experienced drops on Monday were some of the biggest gainers of late due to their exposure to the artificial intelligence (AI) feeding frenzy.

Investors may be taking profits and locking in gains in Nvidia and similar momentum stocks after a number of extremely busy trading months.

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Nvidia briefly surpassed the individual stock market values of Germany, France and the UK

Market Cap up

The little-known company, Nvidia, now stands alongside Apple and Microsoft in market cap valuation thanks to AI.

In just a little over a year it has all but tripled its market valuation and become a go to investment on Wall Street and around the world.

Nvidia’s market capitalization has recently individually surpassed the total value of the German, French, and U.K. stock markets.

With a market cap exceeding $3.4 trillion, Nvidia now stands above these significant European stock markets in valuation.

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S&P 500 breaches 5500 but closes slightly lower as Nvidia pulls back from its meteoric rise

S&P 500

The S&P 500 retreated on Thursday 20th June 2024, having momentarily surpassed the 5500 for the first time ever, as Nvidia, a favourite stock with Wall Street investors, relinquished its earlier gains.

The S&P 500 index fell 0.25% to end at 5473. Earlier in the session, the S&P 500 gained around 0.34% to hit a new all-time high.

S&P 500 one day chart 20th June 2024

S&P 500 one day chart 20th June 2024

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.79% to finish at 17721. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) jumped around 299 points, to close at 39134.

Nvidia lost ground and handed the Market Cap crown back to Microsoft after briefly enjoying the accolade for just 2 days. At one point, Nvidia trimmed around $240 billion off its Market Cap as investors took profits.

Will Nvidia regain the crown in the coming weeks? Probably.

Nvidia one day chart 20th June 2024

Nvidia one day chart 20th June 2024
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Anthropic releases its most powerful AI Chatbot

Chatbot

Anthropic, a rival to OpenAI, unveiled Claude 3.5 Sonnet on Thursday, touting it as their most advanced AI model to date.

Claude has joined the ranks of widely used chatbots such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Gemini. Founded by former OpenAI research leaders, Anthropic has secured backing from major tech entities like Google, Salesforce, and Amazon. Over the past year, the company has completed numerous funding rounds, reportedly amassing approximately $7.3 billion.

The announcement comes after Anthropic introduced its Claude 3 series of models in March, followed by OpenAI’s GPT-4o in May 2024. Anthropic has stated that Claude 3.5 Sonnet, the initial model from the new Claude 3.5 series, surpasses the speed of its predecessor, Claude 3 Opus.

“It shows marked improvement in grasping nuance, humour, and complex instructions, and is exceptional at writing high-quality content with a natural, relatable tone,” the company said in a blog post.

It can also write, edit and execute code in a real time workspace open for the user to engage.

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The unloved stock market rally: exploring why many investors are hesitant to embrace this record-breaking run

Unloved rally

The unloved rally: A paradox

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been reaching all-time highs with remarkable frequency, notching nearly thirty record days in 2024, including four in the past week. Despite this stellar performance, a considerable number of investors remain hesitant. Let’s explore the reasons behind this paradox.

Lingering recession fears

The recollection of the 2022 bear market continues to trouble investors. The swift escalation of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve at that time generated widespread uncertainty and apprehension. This has led many investors to maintain a cautious stance, concerned that the past may repeat, even amidst a surging market. Maybe less of us expected the AI driven stock buying frenzy to scale such highs so quickly?

Scepticism

Investors are inherently sceptical. Amidst a relentless market rally, uncertainty emerges. Can this be sustained? Is a correction looming? This scepticism may hinder investors from wholeheartedly participating in a bull market, despite what the statistics indicate.

Emotional baggage

Investment isn’t solely a game of numbers; it’s equally a matter of emotions (although it shouldn’t be). Investors bearing the scars of past losses may find their emotional baggage weighing heavily on their decisions. The fear of experiencing another market crash can cloud rational judgement, leading them to forgo opportunities for potential gains.

The ‘easy money’

The stock market’s significant rise from the lows of 2022 has convinced some that the phase of ‘easy money’ is over. Investors who did not capitalize on the early stages of the rally might think they have missed out, causing hesitation to engage fully. That’s where I am right now – but waiting for a ‘pullback’.

Navigating the dilemma

For individuals caught between caution and the fear of missing out (FOMO), the following strategies could be considered.

Diversification

Distribute your investments among various asset classes. Diversification serves to reduce risk and acts as a safeguard against the unpredictability of the market.

Long-term perspective

Keep in mind that investing is akin to a marathon, not a sprint. It’s important to concentrate on long-term objectives instead of short-term market movements.

Education

Inform yourself about market cycles, historical patterns, and the effects of monetary policy. This should empower more informed decision-making.

Professional advice

Consult a financial advisor who can guide you based on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.

Conclusion

The current stock market rally, though not widely embraced, offers both opportunities and challenges. Investors are tasked with finding the right balance between exercising caution and capitalizing on potential growth. As the market climbs, it’s essential to be aware of our biases and emotions. Only then can we approach the rally with a more informed viewpoint.

Disclaimer: This article provides general insights and should not be considered personalised financial advice. Always consult a professional before making investment decisions.

Remember: Always do your own diligent and careful research.

RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!

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Nvidia passes Microsoft in market cap – should investors be concerned about the meteoric rise?

GPU power for AI

Nvidia, traditionally recognised within the gaming community for its graphics chips, has become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company.

On Tuesday 18th June 2024, Nvidia’s shares rose by 3.6%, increasing its market cap to $3.34 trillion and overtaking Microsoft, now valued at $3.32 trillion. Earlier in the month, Nvidia’s valuation reached $3 trillion for the first time, surpassing Apple.

Nvidia $3.34 trillion market cap

Nvidia $3.34 trillion market cap

So far this year, Nvidia’s shares have surged over 170% and saw further gains after announcing first-quarter earnings in May 2024. Since the close of 2022, the stock has increased more than ninefold, paralleling the rise of generative artificial intelligence.

Apple’s shares dropped by 1.1% on Tuesday, resulting in a market value of $3.29 trillion for the tech giant.

Nvidia commands roughly 80% of the market share for AI chips in data centres, a sector that has expanded rapidly as companies like OpenAI, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta have competed to acquire the necessary processors for constructing AI models and managing growing workloads.

In the latest quarter, Nvidia’s data centre business saw a 427% increase in revenue from the previous year, reaching $22.6 billion and comprising approximately 86% of the company’s total sales.

Established in 1991, Nvidia initially focused on hardware, selling gaming chips for running 3D games. The company has also ventured into cryptocurrency mining chips and cloud gaming services.

However, in the last two years, Nvidia’s stock has soared as investors recognised its pivotal role in the AI boom, a trend that continues to accelerate. This surge has increased the net worth of co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang to an estimated $117 billion, ranking him as the 11th richest individual globally, according to Forbes.

But is the rise too fast and is it time for a share price valuation adjustment in its meteoric rise, to bring it back down to Earth?

Nvidia share price one year chart 18th June 2024

Nvidia share price one year chart 18th June 2024