NVIDIA reportedly introduced about twenty or so new AI-driven tools tailored for healthcare at its 2024 GTC AI conference, securing partnerships with Johnson & Johnson and GE Healthcare for surgical and medical imaging applications.
For the AI chip pioneer, venturing into healthcare represents a decade-long development effort with substantial revenue possibilities.
The adoption of AI in drug discovery and research, a process that traditionally takes up to 12 years and costs billions, is accelerating rapidly.
The opportunities will be far reaching.
Nvidia one year chart
Dramatic price movement for Nvidia over a one-year period
The EV named ‘Seagull’ sub $10,000 price tag. This vehicle will likely take-off!
Global automakers are becoming increasingly concerned that Chinese competitors, such as the Warren Buffett-endorsed BYD, might saturate their EV market with cheaper EVs, potentially undermining local production and reducing vehicle prices.
Concerns have been raised that this could damage national automotive industries, and balance sheets. However, it would undoubtedly benefit consumers by providing more affordable entry-level electric vehicles.
The BYD Seagull, an all-electric hatchback manufactured in China, is priced at only 69800 yuan (under $10,000) and is said to be profitable for the rapidly growing Chinese automaker.
There’s fear among global automakers that BYD and other Chinese rivals could flood their markets, undercutting domestic production and vehicle prices.
The Chinese are coming to a town near you – it’s just business.
Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), the world’s largest pension fund, is reportedly considering Bitcoin as a potential investment.
With an impressive $1.4 trillion in assets under management, the GPIF’s exploration of Bitcoin represents a notable departure from its conventional investment approach.
This development occurs during a significant increase in Bitcoin’s value, showcasing its potential as a profitable asset, despite its volatility. The GPIF is gathering information on Bitcoin, seeking academic research, analytical tools, and examples of investments. This inquiry demonstrates the GPIF’s willingness to consider innovative financial tools.
It is important to appreciate that although the GPIF is researching Bitcoin, it is not certain that they will invest in it. The decision will likely hinge on various elements, such as risk evaluation, market fluctuations, and regulatory factors.
The GPIF’s actions may influence other institutional investors to contemplate including cryptocurrencies in their portfolios. This event could significantly impact the global financial scene. With the world’s largest pension fund examining Bitcoin, the debate over cryptocurrencies as valid investments continues.
The U.S. has reportedly initiated a significant lawsuit against Apple, alleging that the technology giant has monopolised the smartphone market and stifled competition.
The Justice Department claims that Apple has misused its dominance over the iPhone App Store to ‘lock in’ customers and developers. The company is also accused of taking unlawful measures to obstruct applications perceived as competitive threats and to degrade the appeal of competing products.
Apple has pledged to ‘vigorously’ contest the lawsuit and refutes the allegations.
A slowdown in iPhone sales in China, the reported dumping of an EV project, no iPhone AI interface to speak of and now a U.S. lawsuit to defend. Is Apple’s ‘crown of dominance‘ slipping ever-so-slightly?
The surge in gold prices continues, reaching a new peak on Thursday 21st March 2024, with predictions of further increases as central banks around the world persist in acquiring significant amounts of bullion.
Some analysts believe the gold price could climb as high as $2300 per ounce in the latter half of 2024, particularly if the U.S. Federal Reserve lowers interest rates as anticipated. Currently, gold reached around $2209 on Thursday morning 21st March 2024.
Gold price movement over 1 month
Gold price movement over 1 month
Typically, gold prices have an inverse correlation with interest rates. When interest rates fall, gold becomes more attractive than fixed-income investments like bonds, which offer lower returns when rates are low.
Bitcoin extended its slide on Tuesday 19th March 2024, dropping more than $10,000 from its all-time high last week.
The cryptocurrency went below $63000. Last week it climbed to a record $73679.
The move helped drag other cryptocurrencies lower. Ether lost more than 5% and was recently trading at $3,287.58 after topping $4,000 last week for – a drop some analysts predicted following the network’s *Dencun upgrade. The token tied to Solana fell 8%, Dogecoin lost 7% and XRP slipped 2%.
*Dencun introduces a scaling technology called proto-danksharding. This feature aims to drastically reduce transaction fees on Layer 2 (L2) rollups like Pontem’s SuperLumio, Optimism, and Arbitrum. By efficiently managing large data chunks, *proto-danksharding streamlines transaction processing, particularly for L2 solutions.
*Proto-Danksharding, also known as EIP-4844, is an intermediate step toward achieving a truly scalable Ethereum blockchain. Proto-Danksharding aims to make transactions on Layer 2 as cheap as possible for users and ultimately scale Ethereum to handle over 100,000 transactions per second. It serves as a precursor to full Danksharding.
In summary, Proto-Danksharding paves the way for more efficient and cost-effective Layer 2 solutions, enhancing Ethereum’s scalability and usability.
Bitcoin volatile pullback – profit taking
Bitcoin’s decline started last week when traders began to capitalize on profits following its approximately 70% surge from the beginning of the year to its peak last Wednesday. Data from CryptoQuant indicates a significant increase in investors liquidating their Bitcoin holdings for profit on 12th March 2024.
CoinMarketCap chart demonstrating Bitcoin volatility over 7-day period dropping below $63000
CoinMarketCap chart demonstrating Bitcoin volatility over 7-day perioddropping below $63000
Moreover, the act of securing profits resulted in a surge of long position liquidations for leveraged Bitcoin investments. Centralised exchanges witnessed approximately $122 million in long position liquidations on Monday, as per analysis from Bitcoin exchanges.
The previous week saw nearly $372 million worth of long liquidations over the span of three days.
Bitcoin ETFs
The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. earlier this year has significantly contributed to the rally of Bitcoin. This surge began even before the ETFs were officially launched, spurred by the anticipation of their regulatory approval. Concurrently, growing interest from investors and a higher demand for Bitcoin have led to increased leverage and amplified volatility.
Investors and analysts caution that traders ought to proceed with care in March due to the anticipated volatile price movements and a surge in trading volumes, which could result in a deviation from Bitcoin’s sustained upward trend.
Tread with extreme care – or DON’T TREAD AT ALL! Bitcoin is an extremely volatile asset and too unpredictable to trade for my liking.
In a move that reverberated across global financial markets, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently bid farewell to its negative interest rate policy – the last of its kind in the world. This decision marks a pivotal moment in the realm of central banking and has far-reaching implications for economies and investors worldwide.
The Negative Interest Rate Saga
To understand the significance of this shift, let’s rewind the clock. Japan, grappling with deflation for years, embarked on an ambitious economic experiment known as ‘Abenomics’ in 2013. The strategy combined massive government spending with unconventional monetary measures. The BOJ, under the leadership of then-Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, injected liquidity into the system by purchasing bonds and other assets. The goal? Achieve a 2% inflation target and kickstart growth.
Among these measures was the adoption of negative interest rates. The idea was simple: discourage banks from hoarding excess reserves and encourage lending. However, the path to higher inflation proved elusive, and the BOJ found itself navigating uncharted waters.
The Change
Fast forward to 2024. Japan’s economy has experienced a moderate recovery, prompting policymakers to reassess their strategic options. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has elevated its short-term interest rate from minus 0.1% to a range between zero and 0.1%. This adjustment marks the first increase in rates since 2007, representing a significant, even a ‘seismic’ policy shift.
The Effect
Policy Pivot: The BOJ acknowledges that negative rates have played their part. With improving wages and corporate profits, the time is ripe for a change. The new rate range signals a departure from the era of ultra-accommodative policies.
Global Implications: Japan now stands as the last central bank to exit negative rates. For years, central bankers worldwide wielded cheap money and unconventional tools. Now, the tide turns. The era of negative rates draws to a close, and other central banks take note.
Market Response: Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index responded positively, gaining 0.7%. The Japanese yen weakened against the dollar. Investors recalibrate their strategies, adjusting to a world where negative rates are no longer the norm. The Nikkei is sitting close to or at its all-time high!
Nikkei 225 3 month chart at: 40003 – close to its recent new all-time high of 40109
Nikkei 225 3 month chart at: 40003 – close to its recent new all-time high of 40109
The future?
As the BOJ takes its first step toward policy normalization, questions abound. Will further rate adjustments follow? How will markets adapt? And what does this mean for global liquidity?
One thing is certain: The decision of the Bank of Japan resonates beyond the confines of the nation. It heralds the beginning of a new era in which central banks adjust their strategies, economies establish stability, and investors once more chart a course through unfamiliar territory.
Within the chronicles of monetary history, the cessation of negative rates at the Bank of Japan will be marked as a pivotal moment. As the final details of this policy transition are solidified, the global community observes, prepared for the forthcoming developments.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article do not constitute financial advice. Readers are encouraged to consult professional advisors before making any investment decisions.
Nvidia have announced a new generation of artificial intelligence chips and software for running AI models. It’s called: The Blackwell B200 GPU
Blackwell B200 GPU
The Blackwell B200 is the successor to Nvidia’s Hopper H100 and H200 GPUs.
It represents a massive generational leap in computational power.
AI Performance: The B200 GPU delivers 4 times the AI training performance and 30 times the inference performance compared to its predecessor.
Transistor Count: It packs an impressive 208 billion transistors, more than doubling the transistor count of the existing H100.
Memory: The B200 features 192GB of HBM3e memory with an impressive bandwidth of 8 TB/s.
Architecture: The Blackwell architecture takes over from H100/H200.
*Dual-Die Configuration: The B200 is not a single GPU in the traditional sense. Instead, it consists of two tightly coupled die, functioning as one unified CUDA GPU. These chips are linked via a 10 TB/s NV-HBI connection to ensure coherent operation.
*Dual-die packaging technology is used to pack two integrated circuit chips in one single package module. It doubles functionality levels.
Process Node: The B200 utilizes TSMC’s 4NP process node, a refined version of the 4N process used by Hopper H100 and Ada Lovelace architecture GPUs.
The Blackwell B200 is designed for data centres and AI workloads but will likely be available to expect consumer in the future, although these may differ significantly from the data centre model.
Grace Blackwell GB200 Superchip:
Nvidia’s GB200 Grace Blackwell Superchip, with two B200 graphics processors and one Arm-based central processor
This superchip pairs the Grace CPU architecture with the updated Blackwell GPU.
It’s another addition to Nvidia’s lineup, combining CPU and GPU power for advanced computing tasks.
Nvidia continues to push the boundaries of accelerated computing, and these new GPUs promise remarkable performance improvements for AI and other workloads.
Onwards and upwards for Nvidia and the advancement of AI.
Apple is reportedly engaged in negotiations to acquire a licence for Google’s Gemini, a generative AI platform, with the intention of integrating it into iPhones. These ongoing discussions may result in Gemini enhancing iPhone software with new features later this year.
The terms, branding, and implementation details have not been finalised. This potential partnership could significantly impact the AI capabilities of future iPhones.
Bitcoin has been on a remarkable ascent! It soared past the $72,000 mark on Monday 11th March 2024, setting a new all-time record.
This surge is attributed to a growing demand for new spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have been approved for listing in the U.S. by some of the world’s largest financial firms.
The market for these ETFs is expected to reach $62 billion in the next two or three years. The cryptocurrency keeps surprising everyone with its value, which has grown to an amazing $1.42 trillion and is still rising… again!
Bitcoin moved off its all-time record shortly after achieving it.
UK chancellor Jeremy Hunt revealed the British ISA as part of the Spring Budget 2024.
The British ISA aims to boost demand for UK businesses and encourage investment in UK-focused assets.
Key Features
Additional Allowance
The British ISA provides a separate £5,000 annual allowance in addition to the existing £20,000 ISA allowance.
Tax Advantages
Like other ISAs, investors in the British ISA will not pay tax on capital gains or income.
Investment Focus
While it’s not yet clear whether the new ISA will be exclusively for UK shares, it is expected to support UK-focused funds and investment trusts.
Eligibility Uncertainty
The inclusion of UK gilts or UK corporate bonds remains uncertain.
Consultation Period
The consultation period for the British ISA runs until June 6, 2024.
Potential Impact – Reviving UK Stock Market
The British ISA aims to revive interest in the UK stock market, which has faced challenges since the Brexit vote in 2016.
Supporting UK Companies
By providing tax-free savings opportunities, the ISA encourages investment in UK businesses.
Fund Industry Support
Fund management firms, including Premier Miton, lobbied for the British ISA’s creation.
Historical Context
The British ISA draws parallels with its predecessor, the personal equity plan (PEP), which focused on UK shares and funds.
ISAs replaced PEPs in 1999.
Conclusion
In summary, the British ISA introduces an additional allowance for UK-focused investments, supporting savers and UK companies alike. Its impact on the stock market and investor sentiment remains to be seen, but it represents a step toward bolstering the UK’s economic landscape
By ensuring that companies are valued fairly, a stronger stock market will facilitate the capital raising process for companies that seek to grow and attract more listings. This will have a positive impact on the economy and employment and is ultimately in everyone’s interest.
According to recent analysis, Apple’s iPhone sales in China dropped some 24% in the first six weeks of 2024 compared to the same period last year.
Apple faces stiff competition from local rivals in one of its biggest markets.
Meanwhile, Huawei, a Chinese company, saw its sales soar by 64% in its home market during the same period, the analysis demonstrated. But we do not have sales data of other countries for comparison.
The report also said that overall smartphone sales in China shrank by 7% in the same period.
Huawei, which suffered for years from US sanctions, boosted its sales after launching its Mate 60 series of 5G smartphones in August 2023.
Is this a worry for Apple, after all, the iPhone is Apple’s flagship product? Also, Apple recently junked its electric vehicle project and has been left behind in AI. Is the crown ever-so-slightly slipping?
Apple 3 month share price with 50 day moving average
Apple 3 month share price with 50 day moving average
Figure AI is a robotics company that aims to create the first commercially viable humanoid robot. The plan is for the robot to perform various tasks in different industries.
Brett Adcock, a former software engineer and entrepreneur, founded the company in 2023. He envisioned a way to enhance the quality of life by integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and humanoid engineering.
Figure AI, a startup that has created a humanoid robot for commercial use, has secured $675 million in funding. Some of the investors include Jeff Bezos, Nvidia, Microsoft and OpenAI.
The company plans to use the funds to speed up the development of its general-purpose robot, named Figure 01. This robot resembles and behaves like a human.
Figure AI was founded in 2022 and has been working on creating a versatile robot that can perform multiple tasks.
Flagship product
Figure AI’s flagship product is a human-like robot called Figure 01. This robot can mimic human appearance and motion. It uses sophisticated AI techniques to acquire new skills, adjust to changing situations, and communicate with its surroundings.
Figure 01 can perform tasks that require dexterity, mobility, and intelligence, such as manufacturing, logistics, warehousing, and retail. The humanoid robot is designed to work safely and efficiently alongside humans, complementing their skills and capabilities.
Figure 01
Investment
Some of the world’s leading technology companies, such as Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, and Amazon, have invested in Figure AI.
The company also collaborates with BMW, a major global automaker, to use Figure 01 in its production facilities. Figure AI aims to transform the automotive industry by introducing more flexibility, productivity, and innovation to the manufacturing process.
Vision
The vision is for the company to build a future where humans and humanoids can coexist and cooperate to accomplish more than ever before.
Figure AI is to create humanoids that can help humans address the urgent challenges of the 21st century. These tasks will likely include climate change, population growth and social inequality. The company’s goal is to develop a versatile humanoid that can be marketed and accessible for everyone.
The relentless volatile march of Bitcoin continues… again!
Bitcoin jumped gain, edging ever closer to its all-time high after the rally took a breather over the weekend. Last week, Bitcoin surged $10,000 in the space of a couple of days.
It looks very much like the ETFs are kicking in during normal weekly trading moving Bitcoin other than just at weekends. The market also has an eye on the halving event due in April.
Bitcoin 7 day chart showing it above $69000 on 5th March 2024 – CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin 7 day chart showing it above $69000 on 5th March 2024– from CoinMarketCap.
Gold futures for April settled at $2126 per ounce, the highest-level going back to the *contract’s creation in 1974.
Analysts suggest that, adjusting for inflation, gold set an all-time high of approximately $3200 in 1980 and bodes well for big gold increases to come in the future.
Why is gold going up?
The outlook for interest rates. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in 2024 to further stimulate the economy as the inflation fight comes to an end. Lower interest rates make gold more attractive as an alternative asset that does not pay any income.
The geopolitical and economic uncertainty. The U.S.-China trade and political tensions, the conflicts in the Middle East, the Russia/Ukraine war, other conflicts around the world and the upcoming U.S. presidential election are all sources of risk and volatility for the global markets. Investors seek gold as a safe haven asset that can preserve wealth and hedge against inflation.
The supply and demand dynamics. The demand for gold has been rising from central banks, investors, and consumers, especially in China and India, the world’s largest gold consumers. The supply of gold, on the other hand, has been constrained by the pandemic-related disruptions, environmental regulations, and declining ore grades.
Gold price as at 08:20 GMT 5th March 2024 in U.S. dollars per ounce
Gold price per ounce as at 08:20 GMT 5th March 2024in U.S. dollars
The above are some of the reasons why the price of gold is climbing to touch an all-time high. However, the future performance of gold may depend on how the economic and political situation evolves, as well as the market sentiment and expectations.
Gold is a complex and dynamic asset that can be influenced by many factors, both fundamental and psychological.
*Gold contract creation 1974
The gold futures contract for April 1974 was the first gold contract to be traded on the U.S. futures market, and it settled at $126.30 per ounce on its first day of trading. The contract was created after the U.S. ended the gold standard in 1971 and allowed the price of gold to fluctuate according to markets.
As tech giant Nvidia soars on hype around artificial intelligence (AI), and as global stock indexes claim record highs, debate has grown about whether the stock market has entered a ‘bubble.’
An AI bubble of boom
We are reminded of the dotcom bubble where investment was rife in anything tech – so, are we now potentially facing a new tech bubble – an AI bubble of boom?
That’s generally seen as a period in which asset prices inflate rapidly, potentially beyond their core value; and risk crashing just as fast.
Other AI stocks are chasing the dream too adding to the hype. However, some are in the slow lane playing catch-up and this may suggest there is much, much more to come.
The likes of AMD, Intel, Amazon, OpenAI, Arm and a myriad of other tech companies big and small have much more AI to bring to the tech table.
Let’s use Nvidia as an example of a potential stock bubble
If we look at the valuation of Nvidia, justifiably it is actually very high, too high even – that’s the first sign of a potential problem, valuation. The second issue is investor positioning – whenever you have a market bubble, investors are very clustered or very concentrated, either in one market or in one sector as a whole.
Nvidia one year chart as of 29th February 2024. Price 791
Nvidia one year chart as of 29th February 2024. Price 791
Sectors
It doesn’t matter which markets you look at – the U.S., Europe or Asia markets – the problem is the same. We now have an historic valuation between the tech sector, the AI sub-sector of the tech sector, and the rest of the market.
Investors are very clustered in this tech sector. However, some leading commentators say of tech that this is not hype – this is real. It most probably is, for now, and with much more to come from the smaller tech and AI companies that have yet to show their true AI value. But all bubbles burst in the end.
Pop!
There is certainly plenty of room for AI to grow – it’s in its infancy – but the question is: ‘how and when will the bubble burst? Because, in my humble opinion, it most certainly will.
We may not see a dramatic market crash like 1999-2000 or 2007/2008, but an investor rotation out of areas of concentration into the broader market will likely happen.
If you look at the bubbles of 1999-2000, and then in 2007/2008, one key characteristic was investor leverage. And we had, whether it was retail investors or institutional investors, a very high level of leverage, and that was either through borrowings or it was through derivatives.
The AI tech boom has legs but there will almost inevitably be a rotation from AI to other sectors – that will then adjust the overvalued AI sector. And it could pullback quite hard.
India is ‘easily’ the fastest growing economy in the world according to the IMF, as the country’s Q3 GDP growth soared past analysts’ estimates.
The world’s fastest growing major economy expanded 8.4% in the last three months of 2023.
8.4% GDP growth in Q3
At 8.4%, India’s economy expanded at its fastest pace in six quarters, data showed late Thursday, on strong private consumption and upbeat manufacturing and construction activity. Reuters estimates had pegged growth in the October to December period at 6.6%.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi posted on the social media platform X, that it shows ‘the strength of Indian economy and its potential.’
India economy due to jump ahead of Japan and Germany
India is forecast to leap ahead of Japan and Germany as the world’s third biggest economy in the next few years.
The better-than-expected growth was led by a strong performance by the country’s manufacturers, with the sector expanding by 11.6% in the period.
Private consumption, which makes up almost two-thirds of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), also rose by 3.5%.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index hit a new all-time high on Monday 26th February 2024. In contrast China markets slipped after a nine-day winning streak.
The Nikkei 225 ended 0.4% higher at 39233 comfortably above its previous closing record of 39,098.68. The index breached its 1989 all-time high of 38915 on Thursday 22nd February 2024.
Nikkei 225 hit new all-time high Monday 26th February 2024 – one year chart
Nikkei 225 hit new all-time high Monday 26th February 2024
Rolls-Royce, a prominent jet engine manufacturer for commercial aircraft along with power systems for ships and submarines and other major projects posted an underlying operating profit of £1.6 billion in 2023, compared to £652 million in 2022.
Rolls-Royce was the top performer in the UK’s FTSE 100 in 2023, climbing over 200% on the back of a profit forecast upgrade and the announcement in November 2023 that profits ‘could‘ quadruple by 2027.
The S&P 500 surged to a new all-time high on Thursday 22nd February 2024
Microchip maker Nvidia reported much stronger-than-expected quarterly results, lifting tech sector and markets higher.
S&P 500
The S&P 500 gained just over 2% to close at 5087, notching its best day since January 2023. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 2.96% for its best day since February 2023, closing at 16041 and ever closer to its all-time high.
Nasdaq
The tech-heavy index is very close now to its all-time closing high of 16,057.44.
Dow
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 456 points to surpass 39000 for the first time ever and close at a new high of 39069.
Shares of Nvidia climbed around 16% to an all-time high after the company said total revenue rose a massive 265% from a year ago.
Nvidia, which has become one of the largest U.S. companies by market capitalization, also forecast another stellar revenue gain for the current quarter.
The excitement surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) technology appears to show few signs of abating
The technology company at the heart of the AI chip boom reported its Q4 earnings after the stock market’s close on Wednesday 21st February 2024, beating expectations for both earnings and sales. The company’s total revenue is up 265% from a year ago.
Investors are looking to Nvidia’s latest quarterly earnings report to see whether the company’s meteoric growth can last.
Nvidia one year share price as at 22nd February 2024
Nvidia one year share price as at 22nd February 2024
AI chips
Nvidia makes powerful computer chips that power popular AI tools like OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Microsoft’s Copilot. High demand for those chips has propelled the company into the exclusive trillion-dollar club.
As of market close on 21st February 2024 the company’s market cap sat at $1.667 trillion, putting it behind Alphabet’s $1.779 trillion market cap. It’s also behind Microsoft and Apple, which hold market caps of $2.988 trillion and $2.819 trillion, respectively.
Nvidia’s stock price has been on an upward trajectory so far this year. Shares have gained by nearly 40% since the beginning of 2024. On top of that, they’ve soared by over 225% in the last 12 months.
Although short-term demand for Nvidia’s AI chips has been strong, major companies such as Microsoft and Meta have indicated interest in buying them from other companies.
If you had invested $1,000 in Nvidia
If you had invested $1,000 in Nvidia five, 10 or 24 years ago, here’s how much your investment would be worth now.
$1,000 in Nvidia five years ago, your investment would have increased by an eye-watering 1,015% and be worth around $17,542 as of 20th February 2024.
If you had invested $1,000 in Nvidia 10 years ago, your investment would have soared by about 22,340% and be worth around $148,226 as of 20th February 2024.
But, if you had invested $1,000 in Nvidia in January 1999, when Nvidia first went public, your investment would have grown by around 277,708% and be worth close to $2,784,065 as of 20th February 2024.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 hit a record high of: 39098 on Thursday 22nd February 2024.
The rally was propelled by electronics, banking and consumer stocks as robust earnings and investor-friendly measures fuel a blistering rally in Japanese equities.
The Nikkei 225 jumped 2%, surpassing the previous record high of 38,915.87 reached in 1989.
Standout performance
Both the Nikkei and the broader Topix have been standout performers in Asia up more than 10% so far in 2024 after surging more than 25% in 2023. Their best annual gains in at least a decade.
Japan Inc’s solid third-quarter corporate earnings have prompted Bank of America analysts to upgrade their 2024 year-end forecasts for the Nikkei 225 to 41000 from 38500. They raised their forecasts for the Topix to 2,850 from 2,715.
The rally has also been supported by a weaker yen.
The Magnificent Seven, or MAMA ANT, is a term coined by Bank of America to describe the seven most dominant tech companies in the world
The Seven are: Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, and Alphabet. These companies have not only led the tech sector in terms of innovation, growth, and profitability, but have also become some of the most valuable entities in the world by market capitalization.
Valuation at $15 trillion
Market capitalization, or market cap, is the total value of all the shares of a company that are traded on the stock market. It reflects the market’s perception of the company’s future prospects and earnings potential.
As of January 2023, the Magnificent Seven had a combined market cap of about $15 trillion, which was more than the gross domestic product (GDP) of almost every country in the world, except for the United States, China and Japan (just).
Magnificent Seven
The Magnificent Seven have achieved such a remarkable feat by leveraging their core competencies in various fields of technology, such as artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, social media, e-commerce, gaming, electric vehicles, and online advertising. They have also diversified their revenue streams by acquiring or developing new products and services, such as Activision Blizzard, AWS, Oculus, iPhone, GeForce, SpaceX, and YouTube. They have also benefited from the increased demand for digital solutions amid the Covid-19 pandemic, which accelerated the adoption of online platforms, remote work, and entertainment.
Challenges
However, the Magnificent Seven also face some challenges and risks that could threaten their dominance and valuation. These include increasing competition from other tech companies, especially from China, such as Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu, and Huawei.
They also face regulatory scrutiny and pressure from governments and consumers over issues such as antitrust, privacy, taxation, content moderation, and environmental impact. Furthermore, they may encounter technical difficulties, security breaches, or ethical dilemmas that could damage their reputation and customer trust.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the Magnificent Seven are the most powerful and influential tech companies in the world, and their market cap surpasses that of almost every country in the world.
List of 10 countries by stock market capitalization
List of 10 countries by stock market capitalisation
The meteoric rise in the profits and market capitalisations of the Magnificent 7 U.S. tech giants: Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla – outstrip those of all listed companies in almost every G20 country. Of the non-U.S. G20 countries, only China and Japan (and the latter, only just) have greater profits when their listed companies are combined.
They have achieved this by exploiting their competitive advantages in various domains of technology and expanding their offerings and markets. However, they also need to overcome some challenges and risks that could hamper their growth and value in the future.
A forced size reduction to stop the monopolising of market share could help tame these beasts too and open up fairer competition.
Should we worry?
Basically, yes, we should be concerned about the size and dominance of these companies.
This level of wealth and power concentrated in just a handful of companies has led some analysts to voice concerns over related risks in the U.S. and global stock markets.
Economists and stock market analysts have cautioned that the U.S. stock market is rivalling 2000 and 1929 in terms of being at its most concentrated in history.
Shares of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase soared 12% Friday 16th February 2024 after the company reported its first profit in two years.
Coinbase, the largest U.S. venue for buying and selling cryptocurrencies, said that net income totalled $273 million in Q4.
This is the first time that the company has reported positive net income since the fourth quarter of 2021.
Net revenue
Coinbase reported its net revenue was $905 million in the Q4 of 2023, up almost 50% from $605 million in the same period of the previous year.
Bitcoin ETFs
Cryptocurrencies saw a huge amount of interest from investors in the fourth quarter of 2023, following news of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approving the first Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Bitcoin ETFs enable retail investors to access the cryptocurrency as a share that’s traded on a regulated exchange without directly exposing them to the underlying asset.
The news has driven demand for cryptocurrencies due to anticipation that it could drive interest from retail investors.