Prices across a wide spectrum of goods and services moved slightly higher in November 2023 but were mostly in line with expectations, thus further easing pressure on the Federal Reserve.
The consumer price index, a closely watched inflation gauge, increased 0.1% in November, and was up 3.1% from a year ago, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday 12th December 2023.
While the monthly rate indicated a pickup from the flat CPI reading in October 2023, the annual rate showed another decline after hitting 3.2% a month earlier.
European Union officials have reached a provisional deal on the world’s first comprehensive laws to regulate the use of artificial intelligence (AI).
The EU agreed guidelines around AI in systems like ChatGPT and facial recognition.
The European Parliament will vote on the AI Act proposals early next year, but any legislation will not take effect until 2025 at the earliest. The U.S., UK and China are all rushing to publish their own guidelines.
Safeguards
The proposals include safeguards on the use of AI within the EU as well as limitations on its adoption into law.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the AI Act would help the development of technology that does not threaten people’s safety and rights. Consumers would have the right to launch complaints and fines could be imposed for violations.
Unique framework
In a social media post, she said it was a ‘unique legal framework for the development of AI you can trust’.
The European Parliament defines AI as software that can ‘for a given set of human-defined objectives, generate outputs such as content, predictions, recommendations or decisions influencing the environments they interact with.’
This is a significant step towards ensuring that AI development and deployment are aligned with ethical standards and respect for human rights.
Will the EU, UK, U.S., China and other countries AI rules conflict?
Henry Wadsworth Longfellow: (1807 – 1882) was an American poet and educator. He was a beloved American poet of the 19th century, known for his lyrical and narrative poems.
Bitcoin fell 7% Monday 11th December 2023 after touching $45,000 demonstrating its aptitude for volatility. A $5000 fall in 24 hours.
The move comes after a 12% tear for Bitcoin in December 2023 as expectations grew that the U.S. could soon approve its first spot bitcoin ETF.
Bitcoin has been on a steady climb in recent weeks, following a long period of market apathy that witnessed the price trade in a narrow range for months.
Bitcoin price as of Tuesday 12th December 2023
Bitcoin is a volatile investment – be VERY careful.
The sudden pullback triggered a spike in liquidations. Bitcoin: $146 million in long liquidations on Monday, and Ether: $100 million.
Other Altcoins such as: ADA, XRP fell in unison.
Bitcoin’s volatility will likely see it climb back to the $45,000 level quite quickly.
NOTE: Bitcoin can damage your wealth. Do your research!
The two most significant events for gold demand in 2023 were the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the Hamas attack on Israel, the World Gold Council(WGC) said, estimating that geopolitics added between 3% and 6% to gold’s performance over the year.
The WGC estimated that central bank demand added 10% or more to gold’s performance in 2023 and said even if 2024 does not reach the same heights, above-trend buying should still offer an extra boost to gold prices.
The precious metal broke through $2,100 per ounce on Monday 4th December 2023 in intra-day trading, before moderating slightly. Spot gold prices were hovering at around $2,030 per ounce Friday 8th December 2023.
Gold price year to date chart
What is the World Gold Council
The World Gold Council (WGC) is a market development organization for the gold industry. It works across all parts of the industry, from gold mining to investment, with the aim of stimulating and sustaining demand for gold. The council sets standards, strengthens markets, and shapes the global conversation about gold. It was established to promote the use of and demand for gold through marketing, research, and lobbying.
The council includes 33 members, many of which are gold mining companies.
The world’s richest 1% of people are responsible for around the same percentage of global carbon emissions as the 5 billion people who represent the 66% poorest, according to a report published by Oxfam.
In the report he wealthiest 10% were responsible for 50% of global emissions, it found, while the bottom 50% were responsible for just 8%.
The top 1% represents 77 million people and is defined in the report as having an estimated income threshold of $140,000 per year, and an average income of $310,000.
The report states that personal consumption varies depending on factors such as location, use of renewable energy and transport where the very wealthiest contribute significantly more due to the use of private jets and yachts.
It also includes between 50% and 70% of emissions by the 1% coming through investments in companies, measured by taking firms’ reported emissions and distributing that proportionate to shareholder ownership of those firms by the 1%.
The latest U.S. job data indicates that job growth accelerated in November 2023, with seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls increasing by 199,000.
The unemployment rate has dropped to 3.7%, even as more workers entered the labour market. This points to underlying strength in the labour market and is a positive sign for the U.S. economy.
U.S. job creation chart January 2022 – November 2023
U.S. job creation chart January 2022 – November 2023
Stocks had risen as investors awaited these latest employment figures, which are closely watched as an indicator of potential moves by the central bank on interest rates.
Mixed reaction
Markets showed a mixed reaction to the report, with stock market futures modestly negative while Treasury yields surged. Job creation showed little signs of slowing as payrolls grew even faster than expected and the unemployment rate fell despite signs of a weakening economy.
Good news for the U.S. economy but Treasury yields are on the up again.
Charles John Huffam Dickens, 1812 – 1870 was an English novelist and social critic who created some of the world’s best-known fictional characters and is regarded by many as the greatest novelist of the Victorian era.
Arguably, one of his best-known novels is: A Christmas Carol.
Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft said they will use AMD’s newest AI chip, the Instinct MI300X.
An indication that tech companies want alternatives to the expensive Nvidia graphics processors that have been essential for artificial intelligence (AI).
If the MI300X is good enough and inexpensive enough when it starts shipping early next year, it will likely lower costs for developing AI models.
AMD CEO Lisa Su projected the market for AI chips will amount to $400 billion or more in 2027, and she said she hopes AMD has a sizable part of that market.
Wall Street rallies on AMD and Google AI news
Wall Street resumed its rally after a short break as technology giants intensified their AI race, pushing up tech stocks.
When you witness Google launching a new AI model (Gemini) and AMD chasing a slice of the hot AI chip market, you know a pre-Christmas cheer will wash over investors.
To think, just a handful of years ago, other than in Science Fiction novels, the term ‘artificial intelligence’ didn’t exist in our vocabulary and now it is becoming more and more integrated with our day-to-day lives.
Stockmarkets love it. AI is fast becoming a business necessity and not just an option.
Wall Streets love affair with AI – how long will it last?
Pertaining to someone’s ability to attract another person through style, charm, or attractiveness, this term is from the middle part of the word ‘charisma’, which is an unusual word formation pattern.
This new survival game will allow players to explore vast, open worlds where the magic of LEGO building and Fortnite collide. It’s designed for people of all ages and encourages creativity, experimentation, and collaboration through play. It seems to be based on Minecraft– a Lego-style block-building and crafting game – which is the best-selling game of all time.
Additionally, there are some LEGO Fortnite-themed products available for purchase, such as realistic LEGO guns and other building sets compatible with LEGO.
Popular Battle Royale
Fortnite technically has multiple game modes, but its online Battle Royale is by far its most popular, where up to 100 players compete to be the last one standing.
But the extraordinary popularity of Fortnite‘s Battle Royale completely dwarfed the game’s other modes, and Fortnite is now known to most as an online ultimate shooter game with crafting elements.
Minecraft
Minecraft, which is owned by Microsoft, is a survival game in which players build structures as well as craft tools and weapons. When Fortnite first released it came with a similar crafting survival mode, named Fortnite: Save the World, which was released before its battle royale mode even existed.
Pressure mounts on the Google to demonstrate how it plans monetize AI.
Google has launched its largest and most capable (by its own admission) artificial intelligence (AI) model on Wednesday 6th December 2023 pressure mounts on the company to answer how it’ll monetize AI.
Gemini
The large language model Gemini will include a suite of three different sizes: Gemini Ultra, its largest, most capable category; Gemini Pro, which scales across a wide range of tasks; and Gemini Nano, which it will use for specific tasks and mobile devices.
Cloud
Google is reportedly planning to licence Gemini to clients through Google Cloud to use in their own applications. Developers and enterprise customers can access Gemini Pro via the Gemini API in Google AI Studio or Google Cloud Vertex AI.
Android
Android developers will also be able to build with Gemini Nano. Gemini will also be used to power Google products like its Bard Chatbot and Search Generative Experience, which tries to answer search queries with conversational-style text.
Ultra
Gemini Ultra is reportedly the first model to outperform human experts on MMLU(massive multitask language understanding), which uses a combination of 57 subjects such as math, physics, history, law, medicine and ethics for testing both world knowledge and problem-solving abilities, the company said in a blog post Wednesday 6th December 2023.
It can supposedly understand nuance and reasoning in complex subjects.
Advanced
The company gave examples demonstrating Gemini being able to take a screenshot of a chart and analyse hundreds of pages from research and then updating the chart.
Another example was analyzing a photo of a person’s math homework and identifying correct answers and pointing out incorrect ones.
The future is artificial.
Definition of the word Gemini: Constellation, Astrological Sign or Twins in Latin.
U.S. citizens have accumulated a record-breaking $1 trillion in credit card debt.
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes through 2023 have caused average interest rates for credit cards to spike to more than 22%. Rates on retail credit cards are even higher, nearing 29% on average.
Despite rising costs and higher borrowing rates, a record number of consumers shopped over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. The National Retail Federation found that more than 200 million consumers went shopping that weekend, more than the 196.7 million shoppers who turned out in 2022.
Retailers Macy’s and other larger retailers have issued warnings about a slowdown in repayments on their credit cards, highlighting a potential risk to retail revenue this holiday season.
The resilience of the American consumer will continue to be tested by the still-rising costs of groceries, fuel, energy and housing.
Interesting fact
The U.S. credit card debt is approximately equal to the size of Apple’s market cap of $1 trillion.
McDonald’s has announced its new restaurant idea, CosMc’s, which would operate in the same market section as Starbucks.
Its pilot will open this month in a part of Chicago, with a plan to be in about ten locations by the end of 2024. The fast-food chain also plans to open about 10,000 McDonald’s restaurants globally by 2027, with many of those in China.
The first CosMc’s is due to open in Illinois, U.S. later this week, with about 10 more to open in Texas in 2024.
The expansion would boost the number of stores to about 50,000.
Water is a precious Earth resource. It is becoming increasingly scarce due to climate change, population growth, pollution and waste. Without water we are nothing.
According to some sources, Big Tech and AI are contributing to the water crisis by using large amounts of water to cool their data systems and AI computations.
Researchers estimate that Microsoft used 1.7 billion gallons of water for AI alone in 2022, a 34% increase from 2021. Google also reported a 20% increase in water usage, mostly due to its AI work. One of the most water-intensive AI models is ChatGPT, which is estimated to use half a litre of water for every series of prompts.
These numbers are alarming, considering that water is a finite and vital resource for humans and ecosystems.
ChatGPT is estimated to use the equivalent of one 16-ounce bottle of water (approx’ half a litre) for every 20-50 queries according to a study by Shaolei Ren, an associate professor of electrical and computer engineering at the University of California.
BIG Tech aware of environmental impact
Some tech companies are aware of the environmental impact of their AI activities and are trying to find ways to reduce their water consumption and carbon footprint. For example, Microsoft has pledged to become water positive, carbon negative, and waste-free by 2030.
Is there a water crisis looming and could BIG Tech make things worse?
Google has also set a goal to operate on 24/7 carbon-free energy by 2030. OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, has stated that it is working on improving the efficiency of its AI models. Some possible solutions include using renewable energy sources, developing better algorithms and hardware, and locating data centres in colder climates.
Too much
Some argue that Big Tech and AI are using too much water, and that they should be regulated. They should be held accountable for their environmental impact.
Others may contend that Big Tech and AI are providing valuable services and innovations and they are taking steps to mitigate their water usage and become more sustainable.
Iceberg A23-A is the world’s biggest iceberg that has been stuck to the ocean floor for more than 30 years.
Scientists believe the A23-A’s breakaway from Antarctica was a natural occurrence, but say it provides a stark reminder of the potentially disastrous implications as global sea levels rise.
It split away from the Antarctic coastline in 1986 and became an ice island in the Weddell Sea. It is about 4,000 sq km (1,500 sq miles) in area, which is more than twice the size of Greater London, and 400m (1,312 ft) thick, which is taller than the London Shard.
On the move
Recently, it has started to move at a faster pace and is now about to leave the Antarctic waters. Scientists believe it has lost its grip on the sea floor and is being pushed by winds and currents. It is likely to follow the path of other icebergs from the Weddell Sea and head towards the South Atlantic, where it will eventually melt and break apart.
Map of Antartica showing Weddell Sea
A23-A Iceberg moving through the Weddell Sea
Ecosystem
Icebergs are important for the ocean ecosystem, as they carry fresh water and nutrients that support marine life. They also affect the climate, as they reflect sunlight and cool the air. Iceberg A23-A is a remarkable natural phenomenon that has been observed for decades by researchers and satellites.
This is not happening because of climate change – it is a natural process of nature.
Britcoin is a potential British digital currency that would be issued by the Bank of England and backed by the Government.
It would be tied to the pound and have a stable value, unlike cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It would be accessible through digital wallets and interchangeable with cash and bank deposits. The Treasury and the Bank of England are consulting on its launch, which could take place by 2030.
Britcoin could be used for everyday transactions, both in-store and online, and could make payments more efficient and enable innovation. However, some MPs have warned that Britcoin could cause severe financial damage and undermine the role of banks.
Some MPs have warned that Britcoin could cause severe financial damage and undermine the role of banks for several reasons.
Concerns about introducing a digital pound
Britcoin could increase the chance of bank runs, if customers were able to quickly and easily switch their bank deposits into digital pounds, especially during times of financial stress or panic. This could reduce the liquidity and solvency of banks and make them more vulnerable to failure.
Britcoin could also raise the cost of borrowing for banks and consumers, as banks would need to replace the funding that they would lose from deposits with more expensive sources. The Bank of England estimated that if 20% of bank deposits turned digital, it could result in a rise in interest rates on commercial loans.
Britcoin could pose risks to data privacy and security, as the government or third parties could potentially access, track, or control how users spend their digital funds. This could raise ethical and legal issues and require robust regulation and protection.
Britcoin could also have unintended consequences on the wider economy and society, such as affecting monetary policy, financial inclusion, innovation, and competition. The MPs said that the benefits and costs of Britcoin should be clearly evidenced before any decision is taken to introduce it.
Art illustration: Digital £ pound proposal – Britcoin
The development of a state-backed ‘digital pound’ should proceed with caution, MPs have warned.
The benefits of the currency are still unclear and there must be systems in place to protect cash access and privacy, the Treasury Committee said in a report.
The Bank of England (BoE) and the Treasury have been consulting on the idea since February 2023. They are currently designing what such a system could look like. The CBDC would be directly issued by the Bank of England (BoE), just like banknotes.
This means people would have all the same safety and security that they have with their cash currently, which is different to cryptocurrencies that fluctuate in value and are generally run by private companies.
Margaret Hilda Thatcher, Baroness Thatcher was a British stateswoman and Conservative politician who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 1979 to 1990 and Leader of the Conservative Party from 1975 to 1990.
A report published Tuesday by the Kick Big Polluters Out coalition found that at least 2,456 fossil fuel lobbyists registered to attend the two-week long summit. That’s more than almost every other country delegation, except for Brazil (3,081) and COP28 host the United Arab Emirates (4,409), the report said.
Supporters say the number of fossil fuel lobbyists attending the talks is ‘beyond justification’ and demonstrates that polluting industries are seeking to advance a fossil fuel agenda.
Others however say that Big Oil’s participation at COP28 should be welcomed.
Unabated
There’s also a debate about whether an agreement should centre on abated fossil fuels, which are trapped and stocked with carbon capture and storage technologies. Unabatedfossil fuels are largely understood to be produced and used without substantial reductions in the amount of emitted greenhouse gases.
Delegates at the beginning of COP28 sealed a landmark deal to help the world’s most vulnerable countries pay for the impacts of climate disasters. To me, that suggests it is okay to carry on with business as usual because the industry can throw money at the poorer people suffering at the brunt end of climate effects.
Announcements at COP28 have sought to help decarbonize the energy sector, with nearly 120 governments pledging to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030, recent news reports show.
Whichever way we care to spin this, we are nowhere near ready to switch to renewables.
Rockstar Games publishes Grand Theft Auto trailer early after it was leaked on X
Take-Two Interactive Software shares fell some 4% in extended trading on Monday 4th December 2023 after the company released its trailer for the next version of the Grand Theft Auto game.
GTA is due for release in 2025. The company had originally planned to market the trailer hours later, at 6 a.m. ET. on Tuesday 5th December 2023 but a leak caused Take Two to post it earlier.
After the leak, Rockstar Games, a subsidiary of Take-Two, published the trailer on YouTube. And X suspended the account that posted the leaked video.
Grand Theft Auto VI due for release 2025
Record seller
Grand Theft Auto VI is likely to impact Take Two’s revenue growth following its release. Grand Theft Auto V debuted in 2013, and it’s now the second best-selling video game of all-time, having sold more than 190 million copies. Microsoft-owned Minecraft, is still the top selling game of which over 300 million copies have been sold.
Theodor Seuss Geisel was an American children’s author and cartoonist. He is known for his work writing and illustrating more than 60 books under the pen name Dr. Seuss. He wrote the Children’s Christmas story: ‘How the Grinch Stole Christmas!‘
‘Christmas will always be as long as we stand heart to heart and hand in hand.’
Music streaming service Spotify is laying off some 17% of its workforce, in a dramatic move aimed at reducing its costs and adjusting for a slowdown in growth, CEO Daniel Ek said Monday 4th December 2023.
It is reported Ek said Spotify invested too much in 2020 and 2021 and had to ‘rightsize’ its costs for a new economic reality.
Spotify reported a 65 million euros ($70.7 million) profit in the third quarter, citing lower spend on marketing and personnel.
The latest round of cuts is reported to equate to roughly 1,500 jobs – but this has not been confirmed by Spotify.
Bitcoin extended its rally overnight, climbing past the $41,000 level for the first time since May 2022.
The price of Bitcoin quickly soared above $41,000 easily taking out $40,000. The cryptocurrency is up around 13% over the past month and up more than 130% year to date. But the price of Bitcoin is down more than 40% from its all-time high in 2021.
In November 2023, analysts reportedly said Bitcoin could soar to as high as $150,000 in 2025, as it rides a new bull cycle. Other altcoins are available, as they too ride the coat tails of Bitcoin’s encouraging move. Be aware though, Bitcoin is a volatile asset and as such is subject to dramatic moves in either direction. BE CAREFUL!
Bitcoin price snapshot 09:35GMT 4th December 2023
Why is Bitcoin on a tear?
Cryptocurrency industry analysts have suggested this bull-run could lead to fresh all-time highs in 2024 above $100,000.
Excitement around a Bitcoin ETF being approved in the U.S. in 2024 as well as the process of Bitcoin halving due in April 2024 is fueling this rally in cryptocurrencies.
Many also say the crypto industry is enjoying a market climb due to the FTX case and the Binance settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) as the two outstanding issues that were holding up the crypto market were resloved.
Gold was on a tear overnight 3rd December 2023 ripping to a new all-time intra-day high of 2135.
Gold prices are on course to hit fresh highs in 2024 and could remain above $2,000 levels, analysts predict. Geopolitical uncertainty, a likely weaker U.S. dollar and possible interest rate cuts are cited as the drivers.
Prices of the precious metal have risen for two consecutive months. Gold tends to perform well during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty due to its status as a reliable store of value.
Gold price 5 day 2023
Gold soars to a new record December 2023
Gold price 1 month 2023
Gold soars to a new record December 2023
Gold at $2500?
It has been estimated that gold prices could reach up to $2,200 by the end of 2024. Some have even suggested it could go as high as $2,500.
This was the highest level ever recorded since the gold price began to be tracked in 1970.
The UK economy will grow much more slowly than expected in the next two years as inflation takes longer to fall, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) says.
Are we locked in a never-ending austerity cycle?
Living standards are also not expected to return to pre-pandemic levels until 2027-28, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said. It comes as the chancellor announced tax cuts and a rise in benefits in his 2023 Autumn Statement.
The OBR publishes two sets of economic forecasts a year, which are used to independently predict or guess what may happen to government finances. These are based on its best guess calculations about and are subject to ‘change’.
It’s just a forecast – so should we take any notice?
According to the OBR, the UK will grow by 0.6% in 2023 – much better than previous predications last autumn, when it calculated the economy would fall into recession and shrink.
However, it slashed its growth outlook to 0.7% in 2024 and 1.4% in 2025 – down from a previous forecast of 1.8% and 2.5%.
The OBR warned that inflation – currently 4.6% – will only fall to 2.8% by the end of 2024, before reaching the Bank of England’s 2% target in 2025. Previously it forecast inflation would easily beat the target next year.
OBR & ONS data set
These gloomy predictions put the Government on a collision course with the Bank of England and Britain’s budget watchdog as they clash over whether or not the UK economy is on the up.
