Global markets slide into chaos as Trump pushes his ‘America First Agenda’

U.S. tariffs

Global markets have been thrown into turmoil following the announcement of sweeping tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump

U.S. tariffs, which include a 25% levy on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% increase on Chinese goods, have sparked fears of a global trade war. Retaliatory measures from Canada and China have only added to the uncertainty, sending shockwaves through financial markets worldwide.

The FTSE 100, London’s blue-chip index, fell by 1.3%, marking its steepest decline since October last year. Across the Atlantic, Wall Street saw significant losses, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 1.7%. European markets were not spared, as Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 plunged by 3.5% and 2.1%.

Investors are increasingly concerned about the long-term implications of these tariffs. The measures threaten to disrupt global supply chains, inflate costs, and dampen economic growth. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could push the global economy closer to a recession.

The tariffs have also had a notable impact on currency markets. The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies, with the pound rising to a six-week high of $1.27. Meanwhile, safe-haven assets like gold saw a surge in demand, with prices climbing above $2,900 per ounce.

Oil markets were not immune to the fallout, as Brent crude futures dropped to a three-month low of $70.65 per barrel. The decline reflects growing concerns over reduced demand amid escalating trade tensions.

As the world braces for further economic uncertainty, the focus now shifts to how global leaders will navigate these turbulent waters.

The stakes are high, and the path forward remains uncertain.

Pound hits highest level versus dollar for a year

Pound Sterling

The pound reached its highest level against the dollar in a year on Wednesday 17th July 2024, as investors wagered that UK interest rates would remain elevated for longer.

New data released on Wednesday 17th July 2024 indicated that inflation was more persistent than some analysts had anticipated, leading traders to reduce their expectations of a rate decrease in August 2024, propelling the pound above $1.30 for the first time since the previous July.

Additionally, the pound’s strength has been supported by market optimism that the newly elected Labour government will provide economic stability.

Britcoin the new UK digital pound planned

Digital pound

Britcoin is a potential British digital currency that would be issued by the Bank of England and backed by the Government.

It would be tied to the pound and have a stable value, unlike cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It would be accessible through digital wallets and interchangeable with cash and bank deposits. The Treasury and the Bank of England are consulting on its launch, which could take place by 2030.

Britcoin could be used for everyday transactions, both in-store and online, and could make payments more efficient and enable innovation. However, some MPs have warned that Britcoin could cause severe financial damage and undermine the role of banks.

Some MPs have warned that Britcoin could cause severe financial damage and undermine the role of banks for several reasons.

Concerns about introducing a digital pound

  • Britcoin could increase the chance of bank runs, if customers were able to quickly and easily switch their bank deposits into digital pounds, especially during times of financial stress or panic. This could reduce the liquidity and solvency of banks and make them more vulnerable to failure.
  • Britcoin could also raise the cost of borrowing for banks and consumers, as banks would need to replace the funding that they would lose from deposits with more expensive sources. The Bank of England estimated that if 20% of bank deposits turned digital, it could result in a rise in interest rates on commercial loans.
  • Britcoin could pose risks to data privacy and security, as the government or third parties could potentially access, track, or control how users spend their digital funds. This could raise ethical and legal issues and require robust regulation and protection.
  • Britcoin could also have unintended consequences on the wider economy and society, such as affecting monetary policy, financial inclusion, innovation, and competition. The MPs said that the benefits and costs of Britcoin should be clearly evidenced before any decision is taken to introduce it.
Digital £ pound
Art illustration: Digital £ pound proposal – Britcoin

The development of a state-backed ‘digital pound’ should proceed with caution, MPs have warned.

The benefits of the currency are still unclear and there must be systems in place to protect cash access and privacy, the Treasury Committee said in a report.

The Bank of England (BoE) and the Treasury have been consulting on the idea since February 2023. They are currently designing what such a system could look like. The CBDC would be directly issued by the Bank of England (BoE), just like banknotes.

This means people would have all the same safety and security that they have with their cash currently, which is different to cryptocurrencies that fluctuate in value and are generally run by private companies.

UK pound closes in on a six month low

GB Pound Sterling


According to the latest data, 1.00 GBP is equal to 1.22 USD

This means that one British pound can buy 1.22 U.S. dollars at the current market rate. The exchange rate fluctuates depending on various factors such as supply and demand, interest rates, inflation, trade balance, and political stability.

Weak against U.S. dollar

The British pound has been weakening against the U.S. dollar since the Brexit referendum in 2016, when the UK voted to leave the European Union. The uncertainty and instability caused by the Brexit process have reduced the confidence and attractiveness of the British currency in the global market. The U.S. dollar, on the other hand, has been strengthening due to its status as a safe haven and a reserve currency in times of crisis.

In September 2022 the pound fell to its lowest level against the U.S. dollar

  • Excessive government spending and tax cuts that undermined confidence in the UK economy.
  • Price caps and record high inflation that eroded the purchasing power of the pound.
  • The strength of the dollar as a safe haven currency amid global uncertainty.
  • The prospect of a new Scottish independence referendum that increased political risk.
  • The impact of the Covid pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict on supply chains and trade.

Artwork of GBP

GB Pound £
UK pound closes in on a six month low

September 2022

The pound reached $1.0327 at one point in late September 2022, its lowest since Britain went decimal in 1971. It also fell more than 1% against the euro to about 86.80p, its lowest level since May 2020.

Today, 22nd Septmber 2023

The current exchange rate of 1.22 USD per GBP is near the lowest point in the last 30 and 90 days, which was 1.2383 USD per GBP

The highest point in the same period was 1.3128 USD per GBP. The average exchange rate in the last 30 days was 1.2563 USD per GBP, and in the last 90 days was 1.2721 USD per GB pound.

Pound Sterling from 2012 – 2023