Tag: NASDAQ

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DOW does it – hits history high of 40000!

Dow Jones index up

The Dow Jones Industrial Average marked a historic achievement by closing above 40,000 points for the first time. On Friday 17th May 2024, the index increased by 134.21 points to settle at 40,003.59.

Concurrently, the S&P 500 saw a modest rise, while the Nasdaq Composite closed lower. The rise this week has shifted the three major stock indexes into the green for the second quarter, following a challenging start.

Despite some investors’ concerns about the sustainability of the rally, the mix of economic expansion and slowing inflation continues to act as a positive driver.

It’s an optimistic setup for the near future in 2024

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Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all hit new highs as favourable data allows potential rate cuts to get ever closer – September 2024 looks likely

All three major indices closed at records on 15th May 2024

The Dow climbed 0.88%, while the S&P 500 gained 1.17%, ending the session above 5,300 for the first time. The tech-related Nasdaq Composite closed higher by 1.40%.

Dow closed at a new high of: 39908

S&P 500 closed at a new high of: 5308

Nasdaq Composite closed at a new high of: 39908

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S&P 500 hit new all-time high and Nasdaq closing in on record

S&P 500 new high

The S&P 500 surged to a new all-time high on Thursday 22nd February 2024

Microchip maker Nvidia reported much stronger-than-expected quarterly results, lifting tech sector and markets higher.

S&P 500

The S&P 500 gained just over 2% to close at 5087, notching its best day since January 2023. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 2.96% for its best day since February 2023, closing at 16041 and ever closer to its all-time high.

Nasdaq

The tech-heavy index is very close now to its all-time closing high of 16,057.44.

Dow

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 456 points to surpass 39000 for the first time ever and close at a new high of 39069.

Other tech names were also higher. Meta and Amazon gained about 3.9% and 3.5%. Microsoft and Netflix each advanced more than 2%.

Nvidia driving tech gains

Shares of Nvidia climbed around 16% to an all-time high after the company said total revenue rose a massive 265% from a year ago.

Nvidia, which has become one of the largest U.S. companies by market capitalization, also forecast another stellar revenue gain for the current quarter.

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All hail the rally?

U.S. stocks rally

U.S. stocks have had a good year in 2023, and a great start to 2024 with new record highs being set.

Many major indices have recorded double-digit gains. However, some analysts have warned that the rally may not last, as it has been driven by a few large-cap technology and growth stocks, while many other sectors and regions have lagged behind. 

A stock market rally is a broad and rapid rise in share prices, often defined as a 20% increase from a recent low. 

This could indicate a lack of breadth and sustainability in the rally, and potentially signal a market pullback, correction or even a crash in the future.

Bull bear, bull?

Chartists with their technical analysis might see a pattern that points to a substantial upside, but they should not get too carried away with their own observations, right now would be a sensible time for markets to find level ground, if only temporarily. 

The bullish view is that the ‘laggards’ should catch up the ‘mega cap’ stalwarts once again. The bearish view is that the ‘mega cap’ stocks’ will realise they’ve gone too far and need to ride back to the rest of the market. Too few stocks in the same sector hold the balance of power – go check out the Magnificent 7 or even the old FANG stocks.

Catch-up

Either way, there ought to be an opportunity for underrepresented sectors and industries to gain lost ground.

The question is, will there be a pause to allow laggards to catch-up, or will the mega caps simply continue on their march?

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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Dow all hit new highs!

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Dow all up at new highs!

The S&P 500 climbed again Wednesday 7th February 2024 and edged ever closer to the 5,000 level.

S&P 500 hit a new high of 4995

S&P 500 hit a new high of 4995 on 7th February 2024

The index, which first breached the 4,000 level in April 2021, added around 0.82% to close at 4,995.06. During session highs, the S&P hit 4,999.89. Quarterly results signalled a thriving U.S. economy.

The Nasdaq 100 jumped to a new high of 15,755

The Nasdaq 100 jumped to a new high of 15,755 on 7th February 2024

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 156 points to close at 38,677 and an all-time high

DJIA closes at new high of 38677 on 7th February 2024

Euphoric

Are investors getting swept away with the latest wave of AI related tech results? Quite possibly, as some of what we’re seeing could be based on FOMO (fear of missing out) as traders/investors don’t want to be left behind like they were last year.

However, one undeniable fact is that the U.S. economy isn’t facing as recession any time soon as predicted by many.

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Microsoft and Alphabet report good numbers but Nasdaq slides.

Stocks

Nasdaq 100 futures declined around 0.75%. S&P 500 futures were also down around 0.4%

In after-hours trading, shares of Alphabet dropped more than 5%, while Microsoft slipped 2% after the tech giants, part of the Magnificent Seven posted quarterly earnings. However, both companies achieved on both top and bottom lines. However, advertising revenue for Alphabet came short of analysts’ expectations. 

Tech powerhouse

The tech sector powered the market rally from 2023 into 2024 and is now trading at a relatively high valuation of nearly 29 times its 2024 earnings, according to recent figures. Investors will need to see earnings expansion in order for the tech companies to be able to maintain their elevated levels.

Results were good but not good enough according to Wall Street as stocks were priced for perfection and that wasn’t delivered.

Even though the results were better-than-expected, investors are likely selling because they just want to take some money off the table.

Absolute perfection comes at a price on Wall Street.

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Nasdaq 100 hits new record high 19th January 2024

Chart up

The Nasdaq 100 climbed to a new high of: 17314 on 19th January 2024

Nasdaq 100 hits new record high 19th January 2024

The NASDAQ 100 Index is a widely used benchmark for the performance of the technology sector in the U.S. market. 

It consists of 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Some of the top components of the index are Apple Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Amazon.com Inc., Alphabet Inc., and Meta Inc.

Some analysts however are warning that the Nasdaq is due a correction.  

It is up around 20% from a low point in late October 2023 and some analysts warn that the tech sector is overvalued and may face a correction.

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December 2023 U.S. inflation data came in higher-than-expected

U.S. December inflation

Stocks moved lower Thursday 11th January 2024, reflecting the higher-than-expected December 2023 inflation data.

The S&P 500 in early trade edged lower by around 0.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped nearly 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.6%. The S&P 500 briefly touched 4800 after climbing above its record high of 4,796.

Higher than expected

December’s consumer price index figure came out slightly higher-than-expected, reflecting a 0.3% increase in consumer prices for the month, pushing the annual rate to 3.4%.

Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, came out in line with expectations, however, pointing to persistent, but easing inflation pressures. The new inflation data figures suggests that future interest rate cuts may be slower to come.

This move up in CPI is an absolute reminder of the unpredictable nature of economic recovery.

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Sudden sell-off confounds analysts – is it profit taking or economic woe?

Wall Street

The Nasdaq and Dow hit new all-time highs in recent days and the S&P 500 is hot on their heels.

After nine straight days of gains, Wall Street suddenly reversed an hour and a half before the closing bell on Wednesday 20th December 2023.

The sell-off expanded into Asia overnight, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 leading losses, before stocks across Europe also slid into the red on the Thursday morning, 21st December 2023.

Some indicated Wednesday’s sell-off was as simple as investors taking profits after a nine-day mini bull run, in the absence of any obvious catalyst and with U.S. stocks widely seen as overbought.

Other market analysts pointed to a high volume of zero-day options trading as the death knell for the winning streak.

Time left for a Santa rally?

Markets have been on a tear in recent eeks and months, maybe it’s time for a breather. But some suggest U.S. equities are overbought in general – so, is this something more discerning?

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Nasdaq hits new all-time intra-day high!

Nasdaq

The Nasdaq Composite index reached a new all-time intra-day of 16,764 points on Monday 18th December 2023. 

This was a remarkable achievement for the index, as it surpassed its previous record of 16,729 points. The Nasdaq Composite index has been on a strong uptrend since March 2020, when it bottomed out at 3,193 points amid the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Nasdaq 100 index chart -18th December 2023

Nasdaq chart

Since then, the index has recovered thanks to the rapid development and adoption of vaccines, economic stimulus measures, digital transformation trends, consumer demand for online services and products and through the arrival of AI.

The Nasdaq is one of the most popular and widely followed indexes in the world, as it tracks the performance of over 3,000 companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange.

The Nasdaq is known for its high concentration of technology and innovation stocks, such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Facebook, Tesla, and many others.

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Latest U.S. job data indicates that job growth accelerated by 199,000

Work

The latest U.S. job data indicates that job growth accelerated in November 2023, with seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls increasing by 199,000. 

The unemployment rate has dropped to 3.7%, even as more workers entered the labour market. This points to underlying strength in the labour market and is a positive sign for the U.S. economy. 

U.S. job creation chart January 2022 – November 2023

U.S. job creation chart January 2022 – November 2023

Stocks had risen as investors awaited these latest employment figures, which are closely watched as an indicator of potential moves by the central bank on interest rates.

Mixed reaction

Markets showed a mixed reaction to the report, with stock market futures modestly negative while Treasury yields surged. Job creation showed little signs of slowing as payrolls grew even faster than expected and the unemployment rate fell despite signs of a weakening economy.

Good news for the U.S. economy but Treasury yields are on the up again.

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Nasdaq stumbles, descending further into correction

Nasdaq

The Nasdaq is a stock market index that tracks the performance of over 3,000 companies, mostly in the technology sector.

Correction

A correction is a term used to describe a decline of 10% or more from a recent peak in the price of an asset. The Nasdaq entered correction territory on Wednesday 25th October 2023, as it closed at 12,922, which was 10% lower than its previous high of 14,358 on 19th July 2023.

The main reason for the Nasdaq’s correction is believed to be the rise in long-term Treasury yields, which increased the borrowing costs for companies and reduced the attractiveness of growth stocks. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.95% on Wednesday 25th October 2023, the highest level since June 2021. Higher interest rates also make future earnings for tech companies much more difficult.

Disappointing Q3 results

Another factor that contributed to the Nasdaq’s correction was the disappointing third-quarter earnings reports from some of the biggest tech companies, such as Alphabet (Google), Amazon, and Meta (Facebook fame). 

These companies reported lower-than-expected revenue growth, profit margins, and cloud computing performance, which weighed on their stock prices and dragged down the Nasdaq. Investors expect more, especially with AI – now the new kid-on-the-block.

Concerns

The Nasdaq’s correction has raised concerns among investors about the outlook for the tech sector and the broader stock market. However, some analysts have argued that the correction could be a healthy and temporary adjustment that creates buying opportunities for long-term investors. 

They have pointed out that the Nasdaq is still up 22.5% year-to-date as of Wednesday 25th October 2023, and that the fundamentals of the tech industry remain strong despite the challenges posed by inflation, regulation, yields and competition.

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Dow up 300 points Friday, 6th October 2023 as stocks reverse sharp losses

Nasdaq

Stocks rallied Friday 6th October 2023 even after the release of stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data and an increase in Treasury yields.

The U.S. economy added 336,000 jobs in September 2023, the Labour Department said. Economists expected 170,000 jobs. 

Confused?

Stocks posted a surprise turnaround on Friday, 6th October 2023 after initially falling on a hotter-than-expected jobs report. At its session low, the Dow had fallen some 270 points, then surged by more than 400 points at in intraday trading. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 also lost ground too only but then quickly recovered the losses.

Unclear

Traders were unclear as to the reason for the intraday reversal. Some noted it could be the softer wage number in the jobs report that made investors rethink their earlier bearish stance. Others noted the pullback in yields from the day’s highs.

Rally

The rally may just be because the market had been extremely oversold with the S&P 500 at one point in the week down more than 8% from its high earlier this year.

Yields initially surged after the report, with the 10-year Treasury rate trading near its highest level in 16 years. The benchmark rate later eased from those levels, but was still up around 6 basis points at 4.78%.

Extreme market movements maybe here for a while yet.

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Dow drops to 33000!

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) performance on 3rd October 2023.

The Dow fell more than 400 points, turning negative for the year. The main reason for the drop was the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, which reached their highest levels in 16 years.

Higher yields mean higher borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could hurt the economic recovery and the housing market.

S&P 500 on 3rd October 2023

Nasdaq on 3rd October 2023

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained a 0.7% on October 3rd, 2023, as some investors saw an opportunity to buy some of the high-growth stocks that had been under pressure recently.

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U.S. stock market volatility continues

Yields

The stock market has been experiencing some volatility and uncertainty in September and October 2023, as investors fret about inflation, interest rates, and the possibility of a U.S. recession.

Main facts affecting the current stock market

The month of October has produced some severe stock market crashes over the past century, such as the Bank Panic of 1907, the Wall Street Crash of 1929, and Black Monday 1987.

October has also marked the start of several major long-term stock market rallies, such as Black Monday itself and the 2002 nadir of the Nasdaq-100 after the bursting of the dot-com bubble.

The S&P 500 dropped 4.5% in September 2023 and finished the third quarter in the red.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been inverted for months – which is a historically strong recession indicator.

The Fed maintained interest rates at the current target range of between 5.25% and 5.5% in September 2023, but signalled that it may need to raise rates again to combat inflation.

The consumer price index gained 3.7% year-over-year in August 2023, down from peak inflation levels of 9.1% in June 2022 but still well above the Fed’s 2% long-term target.

The bond market is currently pricing in an 81.7% chance the Fed will choose not to raise rates again on 1st November 2023.

Wall Street closed down on 3rd October 2023 as the yield on the U.S. 10-year treasury rose to 4.80%, reaching its highest level since 2007.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down at 33002, Tuesday 3rd October 2023.

Stocks fell as investors pulled money from equities and moved it to the hot bond market.

International markets also faced significant turmoil, sending mini shockwaves through global financial centres, which reverberated in equities.

The dollar rose to the highest since December and is heading towards the twelfth positive week in a row.

Uncertainty

Uncertainty in the U.S. political system is having a major affect too. Especially with the ousting of the speaker and the real fear of a government shutdown looming large.

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Apple $200 billion loss in just a few days – NASDAQ falls

Apple

50 million iPhones sold in China every year

Apple sells around 50 million iPhones in China annually. A sweeping ban is what investors fear and that spells trouble for Apple.

Apple stock drops after The Wall Street Journal reported a day earlier that Chinese authorities have curbed the use of the iPhone. Apple’s flagship product will no longer be legal to use by some central government officials.

The potential crackdown threatens to dissrupt Apple’s sales as China accounts for about 20% of Apple’s total revenue. Uncertainties about the news prompted investors to retreat from Apple postions, leading to a 6% drop in Apple shares in two days. More than $200bn of market cap was wiped out.

$200 market cap drop

Apple shares fall $200 billion in just days September 2023

The iPhone commeth

Adding to the concern, Apple is just days away from its key event. On the 12th september 2023, the company is expected to officially announce the launch of its newest smartphone – the iPhone 15.

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An August U.S. stock market stumble, or more?

Eurozone interest rates

August typically a rocky month

The U.S. stock market has experienced a 5.6% slide for the S&P 500 index over 15 trading sessions through 17th August 2023 and levelling off in the last trading day of that week. 

This is about as bad as August typically gets, as August is a rocky month with low volume and high volatility. Some of the reasons for the pullback include the rise in the 10-year Treasury yield, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and the signs of a slowing Chinese economy.

Pullback temporary for August?

However, some analysts argue that the pullback will likely prove to be temporary and not turn into a serious market rout. It has been suggested that the bull run isn’t quite over just yet, and that a 10% ‘pullback’ was on the cards.

Analysts also suggest that the rise in yields would need to threaten a serious shift or there would need to be an additional shock to cause a larger selloff. 

NASDAQ

NASDAQ drops some 7% in one month from 19th July – 18th August 2023

However, some suggest that the market is showing signs of stability, as the speed of the surge in the 10-year yield often occurs near the end of a selling cycle for equities. Investors should watch for indicators such as oil prices, wage pressures, and inflation expectations to gauge the market sentiment.

The S&P 500 and the Dow levelled off the week at the close of trading Friday 18th August 2023.

The NASDAQ did score its best first half of the trading year since 1983 January to June 2023 so a pullback was likely to happen.