U.S., UK and Germany hold more Bitcoin than you may think.
According to the Arkham website, the United States’ government holds some 212,847 BTC making it one of the biggest holders of Bitcoin, while the treasuries of the U.K. and Germany reportedly hold around 61,245 BTC and 49,858 BTC each. (These values alter daily).
In addition to Bitcoin, the U.S. government also holds around $200 million in other cryptocurrencies like Ether (ETH), as well as major stablecoins like USDC.
U.S. Bitcoin holding by current value according to Arkham
Arkham, a crypto intelligence platform focused on deanonymizing entities on the blockchain network, has introduced a dashboard featuring the governments with the largest crypto holdings.
The U.K. government, reportedly ranked second, holds around $3.5 billion worth of Bitcoin at current valuations, according to Arkham’s data. The German government owns roughly $2.5 billion.
UK Bitcoin holding by current value according to Arkham
More than $170 billion has been erased from the cryptocurrency market due to concerns over the Mt. Gox bitcoin payout.
Bitcoin’s price plummeted over 6% in 24 hours, reaching $54,237, marking its lowest point since late February 2024.
The total cryptocurrency market lost over $170 billion in market capitalization within the same timeframe, according to CoinGecko.
The Mt. Gox bankruptcy estate’s trustee announced on Friday that repayments in Bitcoin have commenced for certain creditors via specified cryptocurrency exchanges.
What is, or was, Mt. Gox Bitcoin?
The Mt. Gox Bitcoin payout pertains to the reimbursement process for creditors of the defunct Mt. Gox cryptocurrency exchange. Previously the world’s largest Bitcoin exchange, Mt. Gox fell in 2014 due to a significant hack, leading to the loss of about 740,000 Bitcoins.
Following extensive legal battles and postponements, the exchange is poised to start disbursing roughly $9 billion in Bitcoin and Bitcoin cash to its creditors. This payout is noteworthy as it entails a substantial return of bitcoin to users, which may influence the cryptocurrency market dynamics.
The price of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin was down more than 6% at close to $60,000 on Monday 24th June 2024 – its lowest level in more than a month and about 17% from its March 2024 record.
In the past week, it’s fallen more than 10%.
Crypto investment products reportedly notched a second consecutive week of outflows, according to analysts. Last week, they saw their lowest trading volumes globally since the U.S. Bitcoin ETFs launched in January 2024.
Bitcoin one day chart 24th June 2024 at around $60,000 (CoinMarketCap)
Bitcoin one day chart 24th June 2024 at around $60,000
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) debuted in January 2024, yet their adoption by financial advisors has reportedly been sluggish.
Advisors’ hesitations stem from Bitcoin’s price volatility and its relatively brief history. Bitcoin ETFs serve as a conduit between cryptocurrency and conventional finance. According to a BlackRock spokesperson – financial advisors are cautiously, but progressively, embracing the long-anticipated Bitcoin ETFs since their launch.
Currently, it is estimated that approximately 80% of Bitcoin ETF purchases are being made by self-directed investors who decide their own allocation, frequently via an online brokerage account.
Bitcoin one year chart snapshot 18th June 2024 (am)
Bitcoin one year chart snapshot 18th June 2024 (am)
Bitcoin’s price has experienced a dip, struggling to maintain above the $66,000 mark.
It started the week on a decline after a not-so-good weekend, with its volatility making it challenging to hold its price level. Despite this, Bitcoin recorded a minor gain on Monday 17th June 2024, in early trade, with its price on international exchanges standing at roughly $66,000.
The $66K level is now seen as ‘critical’ for Bitcoin’s future price movements
Bitcoin slips to around $66,000 level but holds at key support
Bitcoin miners have been diversifying operations into artificial intelligence (AI) due to several key factors.
Since Bitcoin halving, miners have been searching for more lucrative income streams as AI and crypto industries collide.
Revenue shift
The revenue from crypto mining, especially Bitcoin, has significantly decreased in recent months. After the ‘Bitcoin halving’ event in April 2024, rewards earned by Bitcoin miners were cut by 50%. As a result, miners have been seeking alternative revenue streams.
AI boom
Following the unveiling of ChatGPT by OpenAI in November 2022, there has been a significant increase in the demand for AI computation and infrastructure. This surge has led to a flurry of investments in AI models and startups, presenting miners with new opportunities to transition into the AI sector.
Energy access
Bitcoin miners are progressively turning to ‘stranded energy site’s – these are locations with surplus or untapped energy for mining operations. At the same time, they are channelling investments into AI at more stable sites. This strategic move enables them to leverage the potentially higher returns from AI.
Core Scientific
Core Scientific, a Bitcoin mining company, has recently entered into a 12-year agreement with cloud provider CoreWeave to supply infrastructure for AI applications. This partnership is anticipated to generate in excess of $3.5 billion in revenue over the duration of the contract. CoreWeave, supported by Nvidia, offers rental of graphics processing units (GPUs) essential for AI model training.
In conclusion, Bitcoin miners are increasingly adopting AI to adjust to the evolving market dynamics and to uncover new revenue streams beyond conventional mining. The merging of AI and the cryptocurrency industry offers promising prospects for both fields.
On Thursday 23rd May 2024, the SEC sanctioned a rule amendment that clears the path for ETFs investing in ether, one of the largest cryptocurrencies globally.
This move occurs less than half a year after the Securities and Exchange Commission greenlit Bitcoin ETFs. These funds have been a significant triumph for the industry, with net inflows reportedly exceeding $12 billion.
May was widely anticipated as a likely verdict time for the ether funds, aligning with the SEC’s deadline to determine the fate of the VanEck Ethereum ETF.
Numerous firms that back Bitcoin ETFs – such as Bitwise, BlackRock and Galaxy Digital – have been reported to have initiated the process to launch their own ether ETF.
Ether’s value saw a modest increase following a 20% climb earlier in the week in anticipation of the SEC’s ruling. However, some investors might be holding back, considering the SEC’s approval of the rule change doesn’t ensure the launch of all proposed funds.
Cryptocurrency Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been issued by three Chinese companies: Bosera Asset Management, China Asset Management and Harvest Global Investments, all on the Hong Kong exchange.
Bitcoin halving is a significant event in the cryptocurrency world
What is Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin halving, which happens roughly every four years, cuts the rate of new Bitcoin creation by half. This event is tied to the method of recording and generating Bitcoins. Transactions are logged on a blockchain, a ledger accessible to all.
Miners compile transactions into blocks and connect them by resolving cryptographic challenges, earning new bitcoins as their reward.
Satoshi Nakamoto, the enigmatic creator of Bitcoin, designed the cryptocurrency to have a maximum circulation of 21 million coins. To ensure this, the Bitcoin protocol halves the reward given to miners every 210,000 blocks, an event that occurs approximately every four years.
The Latest Halving
The latest Bitcoin halving took place in the early hours of Saturday 20th April 2024, reducing the reward for adding a new block of transactions to the blockchain from 6.25 Bitcoins to 3.125. Bitcoin’s halving will persist until the total supply approaches the 21 million cap, anticipated around the year 2140.
Impact on Bitcoin Price
The halving of Bitcoin reduces the number of new coins entering circulation, which, in theory, could drive up the price if demand remains constant.
According to economic principles, a stable demand coupled with a reduced supply should lead to a price increase.
Analysis of the three previous halvings (in 2012, 2016, and 2020) indicates an average price surge of 16% in the 60 days post-halving.
Typically, investors see the highest price increase approximately 500 days following a halving event.
Despite a recent drop from its peak, Bitcoin holds a high-level interest for crypto investors, even with its volatile behaviour. It has posted a 40% increase in 2024 compared to the same period last year.
In summary, the halving of Bitcoin reduces the availability of new coins, which could lead to an increase in value. However, the complete effects may only become apparent gradually over time.
Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), the world’s largest pension fund, is reportedly considering Bitcoin as a potential investment.
With an impressive $1.4 trillion in assets under management, the GPIF’s exploration of Bitcoin represents a notable departure from its conventional investment approach.
This development occurs during a significant increase in Bitcoin’s value, showcasing its potential as a profitable asset, despite its volatility. The GPIF is gathering information on Bitcoin, seeking academic research, analytical tools, and examples of investments. This inquiry demonstrates the GPIF’s willingness to consider innovative financial tools.
It is important to appreciate that although the GPIF is researching Bitcoin, it is not certain that they will invest in it. The decision will likely hinge on various elements, such as risk evaluation, market fluctuations, and regulatory factors.
The GPIF’s actions may influence other institutional investors to contemplate including cryptocurrencies in their portfolios. This event could significantly impact the global financial scene. With the world’s largest pension fund examining Bitcoin, the debate over cryptocurrencies as valid investments continues.
Bitcoin extended its slide on Tuesday 19th March 2024, dropping more than $10,000 from its all-time high last week.
The cryptocurrency went below $63000. Last week it climbed to a record $73679.
The move helped drag other cryptocurrencies lower. Ether lost more than 5% and was recently trading at $3,287.58 after topping $4,000 last week for – a drop some analysts predicted following the network’s *Dencun upgrade. The token tied to Solana fell 8%, Dogecoin lost 7% and XRP slipped 2%.
*Dencun introduces a scaling technology called proto-danksharding. This feature aims to drastically reduce transaction fees on Layer 2 (L2) rollups like Pontem’s SuperLumio, Optimism, and Arbitrum. By efficiently managing large data chunks, *proto-danksharding streamlines transaction processing, particularly for L2 solutions.
*Proto-Danksharding, also known as EIP-4844, is an intermediate step toward achieving a truly scalable Ethereum blockchain. Proto-Danksharding aims to make transactions on Layer 2 as cheap as possible for users and ultimately scale Ethereum to handle over 100,000 transactions per second. It serves as a precursor to full Danksharding.
In summary, Proto-Danksharding paves the way for more efficient and cost-effective Layer 2 solutions, enhancing Ethereum’s scalability and usability.
Bitcoin volatile pullback – profit taking
Bitcoin’s decline started last week when traders began to capitalize on profits following its approximately 70% surge from the beginning of the year to its peak last Wednesday. Data from CryptoQuant indicates a significant increase in investors liquidating their Bitcoin holdings for profit on 12th March 2024.
CoinMarketCap chart demonstrating Bitcoin volatility over 7-day period dropping below $63000
CoinMarketCap chart demonstrating Bitcoin volatility over 7-day perioddropping below $63000
Moreover, the act of securing profits resulted in a surge of long position liquidations for leveraged Bitcoin investments. Centralised exchanges witnessed approximately $122 million in long position liquidations on Monday, as per analysis from Bitcoin exchanges.
The previous week saw nearly $372 million worth of long liquidations over the span of three days.
Bitcoin ETFs
The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. earlier this year has significantly contributed to the rally of Bitcoin. This surge began even before the ETFs were officially launched, spurred by the anticipation of their regulatory approval. Concurrently, growing interest from investors and a higher demand for Bitcoin have led to increased leverage and amplified volatility.
Investors and analysts caution that traders ought to proceed with care in March due to the anticipated volatile price movements and a surge in trading volumes, which could result in a deviation from Bitcoin’s sustained upward trend.
Tread with extreme care – or DON’T TREAD AT ALL! Bitcoin is an extremely volatile asset and too unpredictable to trade for my liking.
Bitcoin has been on a remarkable ascent! It soared past the $72,000 mark on Monday 11th March 2024, setting a new all-time record.
This surge is attributed to a growing demand for new spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have been approved for listing in the U.S. by some of the world’s largest financial firms.
The market for these ETFs is expected to reach $62 billion in the next two or three years. The cryptocurrency keeps surprising everyone with its value, which has grown to an amazing $1.42 trillion and is still rising… again!
Bitcoin moved off its all-time record shortly after achieving it.
The relentless volatile march of Bitcoin continues… again!
Bitcoin jumped gain, edging ever closer to its all-time high after the rally took a breather over the weekend. Last week, Bitcoin surged $10,000 in the space of a couple of days.
It looks very much like the ETFs are kicking in during normal weekly trading moving Bitcoin other than just at weekends. The market also has an eye on the halving event due in April.
Bitcoin 7 day chart showing it above $69000 on 5th March 2024 – CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin 7 day chart showing it above $69000 on 5th March 2024– from CoinMarketCap.
Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs approximately every four years, when the reward for mining Bitcoin transactions is reduced by 50%. This means that the number of new Bitcoins created and entering circulation is also cut in half.
Bitcoin mining
Bitcoin mining is the process of using computers to validate transactions and add them to the blockchain, a distributed ledger that records all Bitcoin activity. Miners compete to solve complex mathematical problems and the first one to find a valid solution gets the block reward, which is currently 6.25 Bitcoins per block.
Bitcoin halving
The Bitcoin halving is coded into the Bitcoin protocol by its perceived creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, as a way to control the total supply of Bitcoin and make it scarcer and more valuable.
There can only be 21 million Bitcoins in existence, and the halving ensures that the last Bitcoin will be mined around the year 2140.
The Bitcoin halving has implications for the Bitcoin network and the price of Bitcoin. On one hand, the halving reduces the inflation rate of Bitcoin and increases its scarcity, which could lead to higher demand and upward pressure on the price.
A brief explanation of Bitcoin halving
On the other hand, the halving also reduces the profitability of mining and could cause some miners to exit the network, which could affect the security and stability of the network.
Important
The Bitcoin halving is an important event for the Bitcoin community and the cryptocurrency industry, as it reflects the unique and innovative nature of Bitcoin as a digital and decentralized form of money.
The value of all the Bitcoin market capitalization, on Wednesday 14th January 2024 climbed above $1 trillion for the first time since late 2021, according to CoinMarketCap data.
Bitcoin also broke through the 51000 level, marking the first time it has hit this value since December 2021.
The price rise continues a rally that began in January 2023. Bitcoin is up more than 21% in 2024 so far.
One year Bitcoin chart
One year Bitcoin chart from March 2023 to February 2024 – CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin climbed to touch $49,000 after the SEC recently gave the go ahead for the Bitcoin ETF. The last time I checked it was at $39,000 (23rd January 2024). Oh, dear me – the dramatic pain of volatility.
Bitcoin volatility has increased after the launch of the first spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rocked wildly, reaching a high of $49,000 and a low of $46,000 in just hours of trading.
Liquidation
This caused liquidations of millions in the Bitcoin market. Some analysts predict that the ETFs will bring more institutional investors and liquidity to the Bitcoin market, while others warn of the risks and challenges of the new investment vehicle.
Bitcoin ETFs are funds that track the price of Bitcoin and trade on stock exchanges, allowing investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without buying or storing it directly.
Bitcoin chart – 3 months 24th January 2024 at 15:26
Bitcoin chart – 3 months 24th January 2024 at 15:26
Bitcoin rose in volatile trading on Thursday 11th January 2024 after the Securities and Exchange Commission gave the green light for the first-ever spot Bitcoin ETFs to trade in the U.S.
Approval
The Bitcoin ETF approval is a massive achievement for the crypto industry as a whole, which first attempted to launch a Bitcoin ETF some 10 years ago.
Grayscale’s big legal win against the SEC in August 2023 over the regulator’s refusal to let it convert its popular Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF breathed fresh optimism into the idea.
Volatile
Following the SEC’s decision, Bitcoin’s value fell then gained some traction, as expected by traders. However, the volume of inflows into the new funds remains to be seen, Bitcoin ETFs are still widely expected to increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive Bitcoin higher.
It would be unwise to make too much of these Bitcoin price moves in the short-term, but the approval is likely going to lead to some longer-term price increases. Now that the bitcoin ETF speculation has come to fruition it looks like traders may rotate to alternative cryptocurrencies such as Ether to prepare for future market developments.
Altcoin ETFs
The SEC is due to give decisions on spot ETH ETF applications beginning in May 2024. BlackRock, Invesco and Ark Invest are among the firms in line for approval, as well as Grayscale.
The opportunity to be in at the beginning will not want to be missed by these companies.
Bitcoin 7-day chart 6th January – 12th January 2024
Bitcoin 7-day chart from 6th January – 12th January 2024
Cathie Wood says $1.5 million Bitcoin bull case is now more likely
Ark’s Invests Cathie Wood said the approval of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETF) in the U.S. convinced her even more that the world’s largest cryptocurrency ‘Bitcoin’ could hit her crazy bullish target of $1.5 million.
For her bull case, the ARK Invest boss sees Bitcoin hitting $1.5 million by 2030. Her base case is in the $600,000 range, she reportedly said.
‘We think the probability of the bull case has increased with this SEC approval. This is a green light.’ ‘It is the first global decentralized digital rules based … monetary system in history.
It is a very big idea.
Win! Win! then…?
Bitcoin 7-day chart from 6th January – 12th January 2024
Bitcoin 7-day chart from 6th January – 12th January 2024
After years of regulatory rejection, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday 10th January 2024 finally approved the Bitcoin EFT.
It has approved what are known as ‘spot’ Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which can be purchased by anyone from pension funds to retail investors. This now means that some of the biggest asset managers in the world, including BlackRock and Fidelity can trade a crypto related ETF.
Now, instead of using a crypto asset exchange such as Binance, Coinbase or Kraken to purchase and hold a token like Bitcoin, traders can now trade a ‘spot’ Bitcoin ETF for direct exposure to the digital asset market.
It may also mean that investors could pay lower fees than they would if they bought the digital currency from a crypto exchange directly.
Basically, it is now cheaper than ever to buy Bitcoin – but is this positive for the long-term?
Crypto fans can now invest in Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) – but what exactly are they?
A Bitcoin ETF allows investors to buy a product that tracks the price of Bitcoin through the same method they already use to buy stocks and other existing products. This also reduces additional worry of managing their crypto related holdings, which typically involves maintaining a cryptocurrency wallet and a safe storage system to safeguard that investment.
But what exactly is an ETF?
ETFs are holdings or portfolios that allow investors to ‘bet’ on multiple assets, without having to buy any themselves. Traded on stock exchanges like shares, their value depends on how the overall portfolio performs in real time.
An ETF could comprise a combination of gold and silver bullion, for example, or a mixture of shares in both big technology and energy companies. Some ETFs already contain Bitcoin indirectly – but a spot Bitcoin ETF will buy the cryptocurrency directly, ‘on the spot’, at its current live price, throughout the trading day.
Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency
Based on an idea by someone called, Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency and remains the most valuable and famous to-date. Its price is often seen as a barometer for the whole industry of thousands of other coins (altcoins), tokens and products built on the same blockchain technology.
Art illustration of Bitcoin blockchain
And with an influx of new money, many expect a surge in interest in cryptocurrency technology in general.
How will the decision affect cryptocurrency adoption and is this decentralisation as originally intended?
Some say this decision shows the existing ‘old financial school’ establishment is finally taking Bitcoin seriously, at least as a speculative asset. For those who consider Bitcoin legitimate ‘digital gold’, what better proof could there be than the biggest wealth-management institutions flocking to buy, and now overseen by regulators?
Others say cryptocurrency is about rejecting traditional financial systems in favour of a decentralised, people-powered alternative. And investment bankers buying Bitcoin just to get rich on U.S. dollars is not what Satoshi Nakamoto had in mind.
But judging from the chatter on social media, the prevailing sentiment is expecting the new cash injection will make existing Bitcoin investors and owners rich.
What are the risks to future investors?
It is possible to lose all of your investment
The price of Bitcoin can change rapidly and often without warning or explanation – it is a volatile asset. So investors will need to be aware when investing in ETFs linked to a digital coin.
Art illustration of Bitcoin trading
But ETFs are often sold as high-risk, high-reward products anyway. It is EXTREMELY high risk – don’t do it if you don’t understand it and even if you do, or think you do – BE CAREFUL! These products can rip the shirt off your back!
Cyber-crime risk
Another potential risk is cyber-crime. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been the subject of huge and costly attacks that have seen crypto companies drained of sometimes hundreds of millions of dollars overnight. And if the likes of Blackrock become major holders of Bitcoin, their cyber-security will be tested in ways never before. Let’s hope their security systems are extremely robust.
Cost of mining coins
Another downside is the heavy cost to the environment is that Bitcoin use a massive number of powerful computers around the world, to process transactions on the blockchain ledger and to create coins – this is known as mining.
Renewable energy use is growing – but it remains to be seen how investment companies will tackle the environmental cost of Bitcoin.
Be careful
ETFs are here now – but BE CAREFUL when entering a Bitcoin related ETF trade or investment, or any type of ETF for that matter. If it goes wrong, you will lose your money, and quickly.
Bitcoin jumped briefly on Tuesday 9th January 2024 after a post on the U.S. markets SEC regulator’s ‘X’ account post said it had approved the Exchange-Traded Funds (ETF’s) in the cryptocurrency.
This was a big news event for the cryptocurrency community and for the wider investment world. Large and small investors have been eagerly awaiting this news for months. When it finally arrived, it turned out to be fake.
U.S. regulators are expected to make an announcement on the new ETF’s this week.
The social media platform ‘X’ refuted the accusation that its systems had been the reason for the ‘compromise’.
Fake post
The fake news post appeared on the SEC’s official X account shortly after 16:00 Washington time (21:00 GMT). It said the regulator ‘grants approval for #Bitcoin ETFs for listing on all registered national securities exchanges.’ The post was immediately on the general social media radar and business news outlets.
SEC’s chair Gary Gensler quickly posted a message correcting the erroneous announcement on his personal ‘X’ account: “The @SECGov twitter account was compromised, and an unauthorized tweet was posted. The SEC has not approved the listing and trading of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products.”
‘The SEC has determined that there was unauthorized access to and activity on the @SECGov x.com account by an unknown party for a brief period of time shortly after 4 pm ET. and that the unauthorized access has been terminated,’ it was reported.
Bitcoin jumped
Bitcoin jumped to touch $48,000 (£37,800) immediately after the erroneous post before falling back to around $45,500
Bitcoin jumped to ouch $48,000 (£37,800) immediately after the erroneous post before falling back to around $45,000
Investors are eagerly anticipating an SEC announcement on the potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which is expected this week.
It would mark a key milestone for the cryptocurrency market in gaining acceptance to mainstream financial markets.
Crypto related stocks climbed Monday 8th January 2024 as the price of Bitcoin increased again to its highest level since April 2022.
Crypto exchange Coinbase rose 3%, while Block and Robinhood, which also offer Bitcoin trading services, added 3% and 5%, respectively. Mining stocks enjoyed gains too: Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms advanced some 8% each. CleanSpark and Iris Energy both added 6%.
ETF decision closer
Bitcoin rallied above $47,000 as BlackRock, Grayscale and other potential Bitcoin ETF issuers submitted final updates to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), that bolstered investors’ confidence that a likely positive decision is due soon.
Bitcoin 24-hour chart Monday 8th – Tuesday 9th January 2024
Bitcoin surged Monday and Tuesday 1st and 2nd January 2024, climbing above $45,000 to hit its highest level in nearly 21 months, as the rally in cryptocurrencies continues. Other cryptocurrencies have joined in the rally, with Ether and Solana both rising.
Traders are anticipating the potential approval of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S., as well as the upcoming Bitcoin ‘halving’ due to happen in May 2024.
For true cryptocurrency bulls, the most lucrative investments in 2023 were in the stock market.
While Bitcoin rallied over 150% for the year, shares of Coinbase, Marathon Digital, MicroStrategy and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which are all tied closely to the digital currency, did substantially better, rising more than 300% in value. Bitcoin miner Marathon Digital soared some 688%.
Outperform
Not only have these stocks outperformed primary cryptocurrency, but they’ve been among the biggest gainers across the whole U.S. stock market. In the universe of publicly traded U.S. businesses with a market value of at least $5 billion, the four Bitcoin-tied stocks were among the eight best performers, according to analysts.
Boom or bust?
The crypto boom represents a major recovery from 2022, when coin prices plummeted, taking related equities down with them. A year highlighted by hedge fund collapses, crypto lender failures and crippling losses at miners was punctuated in November 2022, when crypto exchange FTX spiralled into bankruptcy, leading to the arrest of founder Sam Bankman-Fried on fraud charges.
A jury in New York convicted Bankman-Fried on seven criminal counts
Bankman-Fried conviction
In 2023, a New York jury convicted Bankman-Fried on seven criminal counts, setting the 31-year-old former billionaire up for a possible long-stretch behind bars. Weeks later, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder of crypto exchange Binance, pleaded guilty and stepped down as the company’s CEO as part of a $4.3 billion settlement with the Department of Justice. He faces a possible prison sentence of 18 months or longer.
By the time of Bankman-Fried’s conviction and Zhao’s plea deal, the damage to the broader crypto market had mostly been realised, and investors were looking to the future. One of the biggest drivers for bitcoin this year was an easing of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes, which created a more attractive case for riskier assets, but only marginally.
Bitcoin halving due May 2024 & ETF’s
Prices were also bolstered by the upcoming Bitcoin halving, which takes place every four years and is scheduled for May 2024. In the halving process, the reward for mining is cut in half, capping the supply of bitcoin.
Additional buying was sparked by the potential for a flurry of bitcoin exchange-traded funds popping up in the new year.
Marathon
Among companies closely tied to Bitcoin, the best-performing stock this year was Marathon, a mining firm that just eclipsed that market cap level last week thanks to a 125% surge in December as of Tuesday’s close. On Wednesday, the shares surged another 15%.
Last year at this time, Marathon was hanging on by a thread. The company was in the midst of a quarter that ended with a loss of almost $400 million on sales of just $28.4 million because of tumbling bitcoin prices
Mining
Bitcoin mining is an expensive operation because of the high energy costs required to operate the supercomputers. A drop in bitcoin prices means a sharp reduction in the money producers make selling the coins they mine, even as their energy bills get little relief.
Outside of the mining universe, the best-performing crypto stock in the U.S. this year is Coinbase, which has soared some 386% into 2023 year end.
Coinbase
As the only major publicly traded crypto exchange in the U.S., Coinbase has long been a popular way to buy and trade cryptocurrencies in its home market. But with the struggles at Binance, the largest exchange in the world, Coinbase picked up useful market share during non-U.S. trading hours, according to a report from research firm Kaiko in late November 2023.
Binance is still open for business(Art illustration of a fictitious crypto trading room)
Shortly after Zhao’s plea deal, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reportedly said that the news amounted to ‘a vindication of the long-term strategy that we’ve taken to focus on compliance, make sure we were building a trusted company.’
Coinbase’s revenue and stock price are still way below where they were during the heyday of crypto trading in 2021, when retail investors were jumping into the market to buy all sorts of digital currencies, including gimmicks like Dogecoin.
But the business has stabilized following drastic cost-cutting measures starting last year and extending into early 2023.
Bitcoin fell 7% Monday 11th December 2023 after touching $45,000 demonstrating its aptitude for volatility. A $5000 fall in 24 hours.
The move comes after a 12% tear for Bitcoin in December 2023 as expectations grew that the U.S. could soon approve its first spot bitcoin ETF.
Bitcoin has been on a steady climb in recent weeks, following a long period of market apathy that witnessed the price trade in a narrow range for months.
Bitcoin price as of Tuesday 12th December 2023
Bitcoin is a volatile investment – be VERY careful.
The sudden pullback triggered a spike in liquidations. Bitcoin: $146 million in long liquidations on Monday, and Ether: $100 million.
Other Altcoins such as: ADA, XRP fell in unison.
Bitcoin’s volatility will likely see it climb back to the $45,000 level quite quickly.
NOTE: Bitcoin can damage your wealth. Do your research!
Bitcoin extended its rally overnight, climbing past the $41,000 level for the first time since May 2022.
The price of Bitcoin quickly soared above $41,000 easily taking out $40,000. The cryptocurrency is up around 13% over the past month and up more than 130% year to date. But the price of Bitcoin is down more than 40% from its all-time high in 2021.
In November 2023, analysts reportedly said Bitcoin could soar to as high as $150,000 in 2025, as it rides a new bull cycle. Other altcoins are available, as they too ride the coat tails of Bitcoin’s encouraging move. Be aware though, Bitcoin is a volatile asset and as such is subject to dramatic moves in either direction. BE CAREFUL!
Bitcoin price snapshot 09:35GMT 4th December 2023
Why is Bitcoin on a tear?
Cryptocurrency industry analysts have suggested this bull-run could lead to fresh all-time highs in 2024 above $100,000.
Excitement around a Bitcoin ETF being approved in the U.S. in 2024 as well as the process of Bitcoin halving due in April 2024 is fueling this rally in cryptocurrencies.
Many also say the crypto industry is enjoying a market climb due to the FTX case and the Binance settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) as the two outstanding issues that were holding up the crypto market were resloved.
