Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated on Wednesday 3rd April 2024 that policymakers will need time to assess the current inflation situation, leaving the schedule for potential interest rate reductions unclear.
Referring to the stronger-than-anticipated price pressures at the year’s onset, Powell reportedly stated that he and his colleagues are not in a hurry to relax monetary policy.
Market expectations are leaning towards the FOMC initiating policy easing this year, although adjustments to the anticipated timing and scale of reductions have been necessary due to persistently high inflation.
Meanwhile, other economic indicators, especially in the U.S. labour market and consumer spending sectors, remain robust, affording the Fed the opportunity to evaluate the prevailing situation prior to taking action.
Intel’s stock dropped by 4% during extended trading on Tuesday 2nd April 2024, following the disclosure of long-anticipated financial details for its semiconductor manufacturing division, often referred to as the foundry business, in a filing with the SEC.
The company reportedly disclosed that its foundry business incurred an operating loss of $7 billion in 2023, against sales of $18.9 billion. This represents a greater loss compared to the $5.2 billion operating loss reported by Intel for its foundry business in 2022, which had sales of $27.5 billion.
This is the first time that Intel has disclosed revenue totals for its foundry business separately. Historically, Intel has both designed its own chips as well as its own manufacturing and reported microchip sales to investors.
Other American semiconductor companies such as Nvidia and AMD design their microchips but send them off to Asian factories such as Taiwan’s TSMC for manufacturing.
Mumbai, India’s bustling financial hub, has achieved a remarkable milestone: it now reigns as Asia’s billionaire capital, surpassing Beijing for the first time
According to the Hurun Research Institute’s global rich list, Mumbai boasts 92 billionaires with a combined wealth of $445 billion. This historic feat marks the first time that India’s most populous city has claimed the top spot in Asia.
While New York (with 119 billionaires) and London (with 97 billionaires) lead the global rich list for cities, Mumbai’s ascent is a testament to its thriving energy and pharmaceutical sectors. The city’s entrepreneurial spirit and economic dynamism have propelled it to the forefront of wealth creation in the region.
Beijing, which previously held this distinction, now trails closely behind with 91 billionaires, followed by Shanghai with 87 billionaires. The competition among these financial powerhouses reflects the shifting landscape of global wealth distribution.
Globally, there are currently 3,279 billionaires, representing a 5% increase from 2023. China remains at the helm with 814 billionaires, despite a loss of 155 billionaires over the past year. The United States follows closely with 800 billionaires, while India claims the third spot with 271 billionaires.
Mumbai’s skyline, ever-changing, now reflects its title as Asia’s billionaire capital, highlighting the city’s resilience, innovation, and steadfast quest for prosperity.
The world’s energy landscape is experiencing an unexpected twist: an oversupply of natural gas.
As economies grapple with the aftermath of the pandemic, the gas market finds itself in a paradoxical situation.
The Glut Unveiled
Abundant Supply: The global gas glut stems from a surge in production. Countries like the United States, Russia, and Qatar have ramped up their natural gas output, flooding the market.
LNG Boom: Liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects have proliferated, adding to the surplus. New terminals and pipelines facilitate the movement of LNG across continents.
Demand Dilemma
Warmer Winters: Milder winters in key consuming regions such as Europe, the U.S., and Asia, have suppressed demand for heating. Gas storage facilities are brimming, leaving suppliers with excess inventory.
Geopolitical Tensions: Europe’s reliance on Russian gas has prompted diversification efforts. LNG imports from the United States, Australia, and other sources provide an alternative. However, the North Sea’s production limitations persist.
Price Plunge
Price Disparities: While wholesale gas prices in Europe and Asia have tumbled, mainland Europe still faces higher prices due to supply constraints. The U.S. market, despite its glut, operates differently.
Investment Paradox: Ironically, this glut coincides with record investments in LNG infrastructure. The mismatch between supply growth and demand dynamics baffles analysts.
Environmental Implications
Balancing Act: As gas prices dip, affordability improves for consumers. However, environmental concerns remain. Natural gas, though cleaner than coal, still contributes to greenhouse gas emissions.
Policy Challenges: Policymakers must navigate this delicate balance—ensuring energy security while transitioning to cleaner alternatives.
Conclusion
The global gas glut is a paradox: abundant supply alongside record investments. As we navigate this downward super cycle, energy markets remain unpredictable and interconnected globally.
Remember, while gas prices dip, the implications for our planet and energy policies are far-reaching. It’s a delicate balance between affordability and sustainability.
U.S. gold futures rose more than 2% to trade at around $2,285
Gold prices continued their ascent, reaching a new record high on Monday 1st April 2024, driven by expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and the metal’s status as a safe-haven asset.
Gold typically has an inverse relationship with interest rates. When interest rates decrease, gold becomes more attractive relative to fixed-income assets like bonds, which tend to offer lower returns in a low-interest-rate environment.
The natural hydrogen gold rush is captivating attention worldwide as a potential game-changer in the quest for cost-effective, low-carbon energy sources.
Countries such as the U.S., Canada, Australia, France, Spain, Colombia, and South Korea are actively engaged in exploratory efforts for geological hydrogen.
What Is Natural Hydrogen?
Natural hydrogen, also referred to as white or gold hydrogen, is hydrogen gas that occurs naturally beneath the Earth’s surface. It is thought to form from high-temperature reactions between water and minerals rich in iron.
Unlike current hydrogen production, which is mainly produced using fossil fuel, natural hydrogen holds promise as a cleaner option.
Why the Hype?
Hydrogen is often reported as a potential energy source for transitioning away from fossil fuels. Yet, the methods used to produce it frequently result in substantial greenhouse gas emissions.
Green hydrogen, produced by splitting water into hydrogen and oxygen using renewable electricity, is an exception. Unfortunately, its development has been hindered by high costs and economic challenges.
Geologic hydrogen is a ‘natural’ hydrogen. Companies are now actively exploring this untapped resource. Countries like Australia, France, Spain, U.S., Canada, Colombia, and South Korea.
Research by Rystad Energy reportedly suggests that forty companies were actively searching for geologic hydrogen deposits by the end 2023. That’s up from just 10 in 2020. The term ‘white gold rush’ has emerged from this surge in interest.
Potential Impact
Advocates hope that natural hydrogen could be a gamechanger in the clean energy transition.
Although it’s not an entirely novel concept, interest in geologic hydrogen is gaining traction. Both researchers and corporations are eager to explore its possibilities.
As the exploration unfolds, the world looks on with eager anticipation. Hopefully natural hydrogen will play a significant role in shaping a more sustainable energy future.
The natural hydrogen will have to be mined and that in itself may bring environmental issues. Remember the concerns fracking created?
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has released updated UK GDP figures, confirming that the UK entered a technical recession in the last six months of the previous year.
The new data shows the economy contracted by 0.1% in the three months from June to August 2023, with a further decline of 0.3% in the subsequent financial quarter from September to December 2023. The overall economy grew by 0.1% throughout 2023.
However, early signs suggest that the UK began to recover in January 2024, with initial data indicating some growth, and surveys suggesting this trend may have gained momentum into February and March 2024.
The Fed in March 2024, indicated for the markets to expect three interest rate cuts by the end of 2024 – but what if this didn’t happen?
The Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates in 2024 could have significant implications for the U.S. economy.
Fed cred –credibility would be the first to go!
The cost of borrowing would remain unchanged. This could discourage businesses from taking out loans for expansion or investment, potentially slowing economic growth. Consumers may also be less inclined to take on debt for major purchases, such as homes or cars, which could impact sectors reliant on consumer spending.
Value of the U.S. dollar could strengthen relative to other currencies. A higher interest rate typically attracts foreign investors seeking better returns, increasing demand for the dollar. While a strong dollar can benefit consumers by making imports cheaper, it can hurt exporters whose goods become more expensive for foreign buyers.
The decision could signal the Fed’s confidence in the economy’s health. By not lowering rates, the Fed may be indicating that it believes the economy can withstand higher borrowing costs without slipping into recession. This could boost investor confidence and potentially lead to increased market activity.
However, the decision could also exacerbate wealth inequality. Those with investments tend to benefit from higher interest rates, as they can earn more from savings and bonds. Conversely, those living paycheck to paycheck may not see any immediate benefit and could face higher costs if they need to borrow.
In conclusion, should the Federal Reserve decide to maintain interest rates in 2024 this could have a mixed impact on the U.S. economy.
The effects would likely be felt across various sectors, influencing everything from business investment and consumer spending, credit to the strength of the dollar and wealth inequality. As always, the actual outcome would depend on a multitude of factors, including the overall health of the global economy and domestic fiscal policy decisions.
The cocoa futures price for May 2024 delivery surged to an all-time intraday high of $10,080 per metric tonne Tuesday 26th March 2024
Cocoa prices have soared, hitting unprecedented highs. This dramatic increase has profound consequences for both consumers and the chocolate industry.
Chocolate enthusiasts might have to prepare for increased prices or changes in product sizes (or both), due to the persistent challenges in the cocoa market.
Historic Supply Deficit
The world is experiencing the most significant cocoa supply shortfall in over six decades. In West Africa, a key region for cocoa production, farmers are struggling with adverse weather conditions, diseases, and aging trees. These persistent problems have resulted in a critical reduction of cocoa supplies, and there appear to be no simple resolutions on the horizon.
Price Volatility
Recently, cocoa futures contracts for May 2024 delivery reached a record intraday peak of $10,080 per metric tonne. In the past year, cocoa prices have more than tripled, with a 129% surge in 2024 alone. Major chocolate producers have implemented hedging strategies to cope with price volatility and prevent the direct transfer of increased costs to consumers.
Impact on Consumers
Large chocolate companies, well-hedged last year, are reaching the limit of cost absorption. As cocoa prices rise, consumers might begin to feel the impact. The National Confectioners Association is collaborating with retailers to reduce costs and maintain chocolate affordability. Nonetheless, there’s a finite extent to which the impact of escalating cocoa prices can be lessened.
Future Outlook
The International Cocoa Organization predicts a supply shortfall of 374,000 tonnes for the 2023/2024 season, marking a substantial rise from the previous season’s 74,000-ton deficit. Experts caution that ‘the worst is yet to come,’ suggesting that cocoa prices may stay high due to persistent market challenges lacking swift solutions.
Possible Consumer Impact
With the ongoing surge in cocoa prices, consumers may encounter higher costs or “shrinkflation,” resulting in smaller chocolate bars. Manufacturers might alter their recipes to include less cocoa. Dark chocolate, known for its high cocoa content, could be most affected.
In summary, a mix of supply shortages, fluctuating prices, and industry limitations is pushing cocoa prices to record levels.
NVIDIA reportedly introduced about twenty or so new AI-driven tools tailored for healthcare at its 2024 GTC AI conference, securing partnerships with Johnson & Johnson and GE Healthcare for surgical and medical imaging applications.
For the AI chip pioneer, venturing into healthcare represents a decade-long development effort with substantial revenue possibilities.
The adoption of AI in drug discovery and research, a process that traditionally takes up to 12 years and costs billions, is accelerating rapidly.
The opportunities will be far reaching.
Nvidia one year chart
Dramatic price movement for Nvidia over a one-year period
The EV named ‘Seagull’ sub $10,000 price tag. This vehicle will likely take-off!
Global automakers are becoming increasingly concerned that Chinese competitors, such as the Warren Buffett-endorsed BYD, might saturate their EV market with cheaper EVs, potentially undermining local production and reducing vehicle prices.
Concerns have been raised that this could damage national automotive industries, and balance sheets. However, it would undoubtedly benefit consumers by providing more affordable entry-level electric vehicles.
The BYD Seagull, an all-electric hatchback manufactured in China, is priced at only 69800 yuan (under $10,000) and is said to be profitable for the rapidly growing Chinese automaker.
There’s fear among global automakers that BYD and other Chinese rivals could flood their markets, undercutting domestic production and vehicle prices.
The Chinese are coming to a town near you – it’s just business.
Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), the world’s largest pension fund, is reportedly considering Bitcoin as a potential investment.
With an impressive $1.4 trillion in assets under management, the GPIF’s exploration of Bitcoin represents a notable departure from its conventional investment approach.
This development occurs during a significant increase in Bitcoin’s value, showcasing its potential as a profitable asset, despite its volatility. The GPIF is gathering information on Bitcoin, seeking academic research, analytical tools, and examples of investments. This inquiry demonstrates the GPIF’s willingness to consider innovative financial tools.
It is important to appreciate that although the GPIF is researching Bitcoin, it is not certain that they will invest in it. The decision will likely hinge on various elements, such as risk evaluation, market fluctuations, and regulatory factors.
The GPIF’s actions may influence other institutional investors to contemplate including cryptocurrencies in their portfolios. This event could significantly impact the global financial scene. With the world’s largest pension fund examining Bitcoin, the debate over cryptocurrencies as valid investments continues.
On Monday, 25th March 2024, the European Union initiated its first investigation under the new Digital Markets Act, targeting Apple, Alphabet, and Meta for potential tech legislation breaches.
Statement
“Today, the Commission has opened non-compliance investigations under the Digital Markets Act (DMA) into Alphabet’s rules on steering in Google Play and self-preferencing on Google Search, Apple’s rules on steering in the App Store and the choice screen for Safari and Meta’s ‘pay or consent model” – the Commission said in a statement.
China has reportedly prohibited the use of U.S. processors from both AMD and Intel in government computers and servers. The directive is designed to encourage the use of domestic alternatives.
Chinese government agencies are now required to choose ‘safe and reliable’ domestic alternatives for these chips. The sanctioned list features processors from Huawei and the state supported firm Phytium, both of which face bans in the U.S.
In addition to processors, China is now also restricting Microsoft Windows on government devices, opting instead for domestically produced operating systems.
These guidelines are part of a broader tech trade battles between China and the U.S. While the impact on Intel and AMD remains to be seen, it’s clear that China is taking aggressive steps to reduce reliance on U.S. built technology.
The global tech landscape continues to evolve, and these decisions have far-reaching implications for both countries and the industry as a whole.
U.S. and China trade tensions are unlikely to recede anytime soon.
This quote is about what you are made of – it’s about what is on the ‘inside’ and not the visible circumstances that surround you or your life on the ‘outside’.
Cold welding is a fascinating phenomenon that allows metals to bond in space
Cold Welding: In the vacuum of space, two metal pieces can fuse without heat or flame when they come into contact. This occurs because:
Metallic Bonds: Metals consist of positively charged ions immersed in a sea of free-moving electrons, which are essential for bonding atoms within the metal.
Oxide Layer: On Earth, metals typically develop an oxide layer on their surfaces due to exposure to air, preventing them from bonding directly.
In Space: Without oxygen in space to create an oxide layer, touching metal pieces can merge through their metallic bonds, forming one solid piece.
Practical Implications
In practice, such occurrences are rare on Earth due to irregularities and the presence of a protective oxide layer.
Even in space, this oxide layer persists unless it is intentionally removed. If it were to be polished away, the metals could indeed weld together.
Designers of satellites and spacecraft must take this into account when selecting metal components for space missions.
Designers of satellites and spacecraft must consider this when selecting metal parts for space missions.
Although it’s not as straightforward as magnets sticking together, cold welding in space is truly possible!
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index briefly surpassed 41000, reaching a new all-time high on Friday 22nd March 2024, as the nation’s inflation rate reportedly accelerated in February 2024. Other Asia-Pacific markets experienced declines.
The headline inflation rate in Japan for February 2024 was reported at 2.8%, an increase from the 2.2% recorded in January 2024. The core inflation rate, which excludes the cost of fresh food, also rose to 2.8% from the 2% reported the previous month.
In its monetary policy statement, the Bank of Japan (BoJ)stated that it aims to achieve the price stability target of 2% in a sustainable and stable manner.
The Nikkei retreated to close just below 41000, ending up at 40888
The Nikkei retreated to close just below 41000, ending up at 40888
A serious problem or a technical glitch? I call it the donut theory – where everything is perceived as good until… but it isn’t – when you can’t even buy a donut!
Recent issues highlight a growing problem
Due to a payment acceptance issue, the bakery chain Greggs has closed some of its outlets. Patrons encountered certain branches that were either shut or only accepted cash.
This incident comes after card payment systems failed at Sainsbury’s and Tesco on Saturday 16th March 2024, and at McDonald’s on Friday 15th March 2024, and at many other outlets over recent months. Instore shopping and home deliveries were all affected.
Failures
The recent system failures experienced by major UK retailers like Sainsbury’s, Tesco, and even McDonald’s have indeed raised concerns. While these incidents may seem isolated, they highlight broader issues related to technology infrastructure, reliance on digital systems, and the impact of such failures on businesses and consumers.
Potential implications and issues with system failures. We are so dependent on the ‘system’.
Dependency on Technology
Modern businesses heavily rely on technology for operations, from inventory management to payment processing. When systems fail, it disrupts daily operations, affecting customer satisfaction and revenue.
The recent incidents underscore the need for robust backup systems, redundancy, and thorough testing of software updates.
Customer Experience and Trust
System outages can frustrate customers who rely on these services. Delays in grocery deliveries or inability to pay via contactless methods can lead to dissatisfaction.
Trust in a brand can erode if such incidents occur frequently. Customers may seek alternatives or lose confidence in the retailer’s ability to provide reliable services.
Financial Impact
System failures can result in financial losses due to missed sales, refunds, and operational disruptions.
Companies invest significant resources in maintaining and upgrading their technology infrastructure. Failures can be costly both in terms of immediate losses and long-term reputation damage.
Cybersecurity Concerns
System glitches may raise questions about cybersecurity. While not all incidents are related to security breaches, any disruption can make consumers wary.
Retailers must continuously assess and enhance their security measures to protect customer data and prevent unauthorized access.
Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Supermarkets are part of complex supply chains. System failures can impact suppliers, logistics, and distribution networks.
Ensuring resilience across the entire supply chain is crucial to prevent cascading effects.
Regulatory Compliance
Retailers must comply with regulations related to data protection, payment processing, and consumer rights. System failures could lead to legal and regulatory challenges.
Recent Cyberattacks and System Failures in the UK
Cyberattacks will all have malicious intent, such as accessing, changing, or destroying sensitive information; extorting money from users via ransomware; or interrupting normal business processes.
The digital age has brought unprecedented convenience and efficiency to our lives. However, it has also introduced new challenges, particularly in the realm of cybersecurity and system reliability. In the UK, several high-profile incidents have underscored these challenges. Here are ten recent serious cyberattacks and system failures that have occurred since 2022.
System Failures
NHS IT Failures: In December 2023, the Health Services Safety Investigations Body (HSSIB) reported that IT failures in the NHS have resulted in patient harm and even deaths. Urgent action is needed to address these issues.
Failing IT Infrastructure in the NHS: A report highlighted that the failing IT infrastructure is undermining safe healthcare in the NHS.
Failed Government IT Project: A failed government IT project to upgrade NHS computer systems in England ended up becoming one of the ‘worst and most expensive contracting fiascos’ in public sector history.
Abandoned NHS Patient Record System: In September 2013, an NHS patient record system, which would have been the world’s largest non-military IT system, was abandoned. The failed centralised e-record system cost the taxpayer over £10 billion.
Cyberattacks
Ransomware Attack on NHS: A ransomware attack on a software supplier hit the NHS across the UK, and there were fears that patient data may have been the target.
Ransomware Attack on Greater Manchester Police: The Greater Manchester police force fell victim to a ransomware hack, exposing details of officers’ name badges such as ranks, photos, and serial numbers.
Ransomware Attack on Royal Mail: The Royal Mail was affected by a ransomware attack.
Ransomware Attack on Capita: Outsourcing firm Capita was hit by a ransomware attack.
Ransomware Attack on Barts Health NHS Trust: The Barts Health NHS trust was affected by a ransomware attack.
Ransomware Attack on Redcar and Cleveland Council: In 2020, Redcar and Cleveland council fell victim to a ransomware attack and was locked out of its systems for almost three weeks.
Cyber-Attack on UK VoIP Providers: An ‘unprecedented’ and coordinated cyber-attack struck multiple UK-based providers of voice over internet protocol (VoIP) services.
Hackney Borough Council Cyber-Attack: Hackney Borough Council was hit by a cyber-attack which led to significant disruption to services and IT systems.
Exchange Email Hack: In March 2021, hundreds of UK companies were compromised as part of a global campaign linked to Chinese hackers.
Hacking of 23andMe Profiles: In December 2023, there was a hack of 6.9 million profiles at genetic test firm 23andMe.
Booking.com Customer Hacking: In November 2023, hackers increased attacks on Booking.com customers
And there have been many more. Whatever the reason; system failures or cyberattacks – the UK needs to seriously update and improve its resources and defences or suffer the serious consequences.
These incidents serve as a stark reminder of the importance of robust cybersecurity measures and reliable IT systems. As we continue to rely more heavily on digital systems, it is crucial that we learn from these incidents and take the necessary steps to prevent similar occurrences in the future.
Conclusion
In summary, while individual incidents may not indicate a systemic crisis, they serve as reminders for businesses and local authorities to invest in robust technology, disaster recovery plans, and proactive risk management. As technology continues to evolve, addressing these challenges becomes even more critical.
The U.S. has reportedly initiated a significant lawsuit against Apple, alleging that the technology giant has monopolised the smartphone market and stifled competition.
The Justice Department claims that Apple has misused its dominance over the iPhone App Store to ‘lock in’ customers and developers. The company is also accused of taking unlawful measures to obstruct applications perceived as competitive threats and to degrade the appeal of competing products.
Apple has pledged to ‘vigorously’ contest the lawsuit and refutes the allegations.
A slowdown in iPhone sales in China, the reported dumping of an EV project, no iPhone AI interface to speak of and now a U.S. lawsuit to defend. Is Apple’s ‘crown of dominance‘ slipping ever-so-slightly?
The surge in gold prices continues, reaching a new peak on Thursday 21st March 2024, with predictions of further increases as central banks around the world persist in acquiring significant amounts of bullion.
Some analysts believe the gold price could climb as high as $2300 per ounce in the latter half of 2024, particularly if the U.S. Federal Reserve lowers interest rates as anticipated. Currently, gold reached around $2209 on Thursday morning 21st March 2024.
Gold price movement over 1 month
Gold price movement over 1 month
Typically, gold prices have an inverse correlation with interest rates. When interest rates fall, gold becomes more attractive than fixed-income investments like bonds, which offer lower returns when rates are low.
On Wednesday, 20th March 2024, the three major U.S. indices soared to record all-time closing highs after the Federal Reserve decided to maintain rates and kept its ‘expectations’ for three rate cuts by the end of 2024.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 401.37 points to close at 39,512. The S&P 500 finished at 5224, breaching the 5200 level for the first time. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.25% to end at 16369.
Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve kept rates steady but announced plans for three reductions before the year’s end, echoing its previous projection from December 2023. However, the central bank noted that it requires more substantial evidence of inflation subsiding before commencing any interest rate cuts.
Futures continued their historic ascent into Thursday21st March 2024.
The tyre industry is marked by fierce competition, static growth, and slim profit margins. But that is about to change.
In recent years, the total market value has consistently hovered around $50 billion, with an annual growth rate of approximately 2%, according to research. However, the advent of electric vehicles (EVs) is creating new possibilities.
Due to their substantial weight and rapid acceleration, EVs typically wear out tires around 20% quicker than vehicles with internal combustion engines, research suggests. Additionally, the cost of these tyres is roughly 50% higher.
Additional technical challenges encompass mitigating tyre noise, which becomes significantly more discernible inside of an otherwise quiet electric vehicle (EV) and enhancing an EV’s driving range. Research conducted by Michelin reportedly indicates that tyre selection can influence an EV’s range by 10% to 15%.
Summary Electric Vehicle (EV) Tyre Wear
Weight and Acceleration: EVs are heavier due to their batteries, and they often have quick acceleration.
Wear Rate: On average, EV tyres tend to wear down about 20% faster than internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle tyres.
Cost: EV-specific tyres can be more expensive, costing approximately 50% more than regular tyres.
EV tyres are more expensive, and you get less use from them – remember to factor this into your purchasing decision.
In February 2024, inflation decreased to 3.4%, a decline from January’s 4%, moving closer to the Bank of England’s self-imposed target of 2%
This reduction signifies that the cost of living is increasing at its least rapid rate since September 2021, when it was recorded at 3.1%.
Since reaching a peak of 11.1% in October 2022, the highest in 40 years, inflation has been on a steady decline. In the big inflation picture, that’s a pretty good result.
It has only taken around 16 months to move the rate from 11.1% (a 40-year high) down to just 1.4% above the BoE’s target of 2%.
The primary factor contributing to this decrease, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), is the deceleration of food price inflation.
Bitcoin extended its slide on Tuesday 19th March 2024, dropping more than $10,000 from its all-time high last week.
The cryptocurrency went below $63000. Last week it climbed to a record $73679.
The move helped drag other cryptocurrencies lower. Ether lost more than 5% and was recently trading at $3,287.58 after topping $4,000 last week for – a drop some analysts predicted following the network’s *Dencun upgrade. The token tied to Solana fell 8%, Dogecoin lost 7% and XRP slipped 2%.
*Dencun introduces a scaling technology called proto-danksharding. This feature aims to drastically reduce transaction fees on Layer 2 (L2) rollups like Pontem’s SuperLumio, Optimism, and Arbitrum. By efficiently managing large data chunks, *proto-danksharding streamlines transaction processing, particularly for L2 solutions.
*Proto-Danksharding, also known as EIP-4844, is an intermediate step toward achieving a truly scalable Ethereum blockchain. Proto-Danksharding aims to make transactions on Layer 2 as cheap as possible for users and ultimately scale Ethereum to handle over 100,000 transactions per second. It serves as a precursor to full Danksharding.
In summary, Proto-Danksharding paves the way for more efficient and cost-effective Layer 2 solutions, enhancing Ethereum’s scalability and usability.
Bitcoin volatile pullback – profit taking
Bitcoin’s decline started last week when traders began to capitalize on profits following its approximately 70% surge from the beginning of the year to its peak last Wednesday. Data from CryptoQuant indicates a significant increase in investors liquidating their Bitcoin holdings for profit on 12th March 2024.
CoinMarketCap chart demonstrating Bitcoin volatility over 7-day period dropping below $63000
CoinMarketCap chart demonstrating Bitcoin volatility over 7-day perioddropping below $63000
Moreover, the act of securing profits resulted in a surge of long position liquidations for leveraged Bitcoin investments. Centralised exchanges witnessed approximately $122 million in long position liquidations on Monday, as per analysis from Bitcoin exchanges.
The previous week saw nearly $372 million worth of long liquidations over the span of three days.
Bitcoin ETFs
The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. earlier this year has significantly contributed to the rally of Bitcoin. This surge began even before the ETFs were officially launched, spurred by the anticipation of their regulatory approval. Concurrently, growing interest from investors and a higher demand for Bitcoin have led to increased leverage and amplified volatility.
Investors and analysts caution that traders ought to proceed with care in March due to the anticipated volatile price movements and a surge in trading volumes, which could result in a deviation from Bitcoin’s sustained upward trend.
Tread with extreme care – or DON’T TREAD AT ALL! Bitcoin is an extremely volatile asset and too unpredictable to trade for my liking.
In a move that reverberated across global financial markets, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently bid farewell to its negative interest rate policy – the last of its kind in the world. This decision marks a pivotal moment in the realm of central banking and has far-reaching implications for economies and investors worldwide.
The Negative Interest Rate Saga
To understand the significance of this shift, let’s rewind the clock. Japan, grappling with deflation for years, embarked on an ambitious economic experiment known as ‘Abenomics’ in 2013. The strategy combined massive government spending with unconventional monetary measures. The BOJ, under the leadership of then-Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, injected liquidity into the system by purchasing bonds and other assets. The goal? Achieve a 2% inflation target and kickstart growth.
Among these measures was the adoption of negative interest rates. The idea was simple: discourage banks from hoarding excess reserves and encourage lending. However, the path to higher inflation proved elusive, and the BOJ found itself navigating uncharted waters.
The Change
Fast forward to 2024. Japan’s economy has experienced a moderate recovery, prompting policymakers to reassess their strategic options. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has elevated its short-term interest rate from minus 0.1% to a range between zero and 0.1%. This adjustment marks the first increase in rates since 2007, representing a significant, even a ‘seismic’ policy shift.
The Effect
Policy Pivot: The BOJ acknowledges that negative rates have played their part. With improving wages and corporate profits, the time is ripe for a change. The new rate range signals a departure from the era of ultra-accommodative policies.
Global Implications: Japan now stands as the last central bank to exit negative rates. For years, central bankers worldwide wielded cheap money and unconventional tools. Now, the tide turns. The era of negative rates draws to a close, and other central banks take note.
Market Response: Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index responded positively, gaining 0.7%. The Japanese yen weakened against the dollar. Investors recalibrate their strategies, adjusting to a world where negative rates are no longer the norm. The Nikkei is sitting close to or at its all-time high!
Nikkei 225 3 month chart at: 40003 – close to its recent new all-time high of 40109
Nikkei 225 3 month chart at: 40003 – close to its recent new all-time high of 40109
The future?
As the BOJ takes its first step toward policy normalization, questions abound. Will further rate adjustments follow? How will markets adapt? And what does this mean for global liquidity?
One thing is certain: The decision of the Bank of Japan resonates beyond the confines of the nation. It heralds the beginning of a new era in which central banks adjust their strategies, economies establish stability, and investors once more chart a course through unfamiliar territory.
Within the chronicles of monetary history, the cessation of negative rates at the Bank of Japan will be marked as a pivotal moment. As the final details of this policy transition are solidified, the global community observes, prepared for the forthcoming developments.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article do not constitute financial advice. Readers are encouraged to consult professional advisors before making any investment decisions.
Nvidia have announced a new generation of artificial intelligence chips and software for running AI models. It’s called: The Blackwell B200 GPU
Blackwell B200 GPU
The Blackwell B200 is the successor to Nvidia’s Hopper H100 and H200 GPUs.
It represents a massive generational leap in computational power.
AI Performance: The B200 GPU delivers 4 times the AI training performance and 30 times the inference performance compared to its predecessor.
Transistor Count: It packs an impressive 208 billion transistors, more than doubling the transistor count of the existing H100.
Memory: The B200 features 192GB of HBM3e memory with an impressive bandwidth of 8 TB/s.
Architecture: The Blackwell architecture takes over from H100/H200.
*Dual-Die Configuration: The B200 is not a single GPU in the traditional sense. Instead, it consists of two tightly coupled die, functioning as one unified CUDA GPU. These chips are linked via a 10 TB/s NV-HBI connection to ensure coherent operation.
*Dual-die packaging technology is used to pack two integrated circuit chips in one single package module. It doubles functionality levels.
Process Node: The B200 utilizes TSMC’s 4NP process node, a refined version of the 4N process used by Hopper H100 and Ada Lovelace architecture GPUs.
The Blackwell B200 is designed for data centres and AI workloads but will likely be available to expect consumer in the future, although these may differ significantly from the data centre model.
Grace Blackwell GB200 Superchip:
Nvidia’s GB200 Grace Blackwell Superchip, with two B200 graphics processors and one Arm-based central processor
This superchip pairs the Grace CPU architecture with the updated Blackwell GPU.
It’s another addition to Nvidia’s lineup, combining CPU and GPU power for advanced computing tasks.
Nvidia continues to push the boundaries of accelerated computing, and these new GPUs promise remarkable performance improvements for AI and other workloads.
Onwards and upwards for Nvidia and the advancement of AI.
