Trump’s 100% microchip tariff – A high-stakes gamble on U.S. manufacturing

U.S. 100% tariff threat on chips

President Donald Trump has announced a sweeping 100% tariff on imported semiconductors and microchips—unless companies are actively manufacturing in the United States.

The move, unveiled during an Oval Office event with Apple CEO Tim Cook, is aimed at turbocharging domestic production in a sector critical to everything from smartphones to defence systems.

Trump’s vow comes on the heels of Apple’s pledge to invest an additional $100 billion in U.S. operations over the next four years.

While the tariff exemption criteria remain vague, Trump emphasised that firms ‘committed to build in the United States’ would be spared the levy.

The announcement adds pressure to global chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Nvidia, and GlobalFoundries, many of which have already initiated U.S. manufacturing projects.

According to the Semiconductor Industry Association, over 130 U.S.-based initiatives totalling $600 billion have been announced since 2020.

Critics warn the tariffs could disrupt global supply chains and raise costs for consumers, while supporters argue it’s a bold step toward tech sovereignty.

With AI, automotive, and defence sectors increasingly reliant on chips, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

Whether this tariff threat becomes a turning point or a trade war flashpoint remains to be seen.

Trump has a habit of unravelling as much as he ‘ravels’ – time will tell with this tariff too.

Echoes of Dot-Com? Is AI tech leading us into another crash?

Is Wall Street AI tech in a bubble?

Wall Street is soaring on artificial intelligence optimism—but underneath the record-breaking highs lies a growing sense of déjà vu.

From stretched valuations and speculative fervour to market concentration reminiscent of the dot-com era, financial analysts and institutional veterans are asking: are we already inside a tech bubble?

Valuations Defying Gravity

At the heart of the rally are the so-called ‘Magnificent Seven’—mega-cap tech firms like Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple and Alphabet—whose forward price-to-earnings ratios have now surpassed even the frothiest moments of the 1999–2001 bubble.

Apollo Global strategist Torsten Slok has reportedly warned that current AI-driven valuations are more ‘stretched’ than ever, citing metrics that exceed dot-com records in both scale and speed.

Nvidia and Microsoft now sit atop the S&P 500 with a combined market cap north of $8 trillion. Yet much of this valuation is being driven by expected future profits—not current ones.

Bulls argue the fundamentals are stronger this time, but even they admit this rally is fragile and increasingly top-heavy.

A Narrow Rally, Broad Exposure

While the S&P 500 has reached historic highs, the gains are increasingly concentrated among just 10 companies—accounting for nearly 40% of the index’s value.

The remaining 490 firms are moving sideways, or not at all. Bank of America’s Michael Hartnett calls it the ‘biggest retail-led rally in history’, pointing to looser trading rules and margin exposure pulling everyday investors into risky tech plays.

In policy circles, reforms allowing private equity in retirement accounts and easing restrictions on day trading are amplifying volatility.

The Trump administration’s push to deregulate retail trading could worsen systemic fragility if investor sentiment turns.

Signs of Speculation

Meme stocks and penny shares are surging again. Cryptocurrency-adjacent firms are issuing AI-branded tokens.

Goldman Sachs indicators show speculative trading activity at levels only previously seen in 2000 and 2021. Yet merger activity remains robust, and consumer spending is strong—two counterweights that bulls cite as proof the rally may be sustained.

The Core Debate: Hype vs. Reality

Is AI the new internet—or just another tech bubble? It does seem to carry more utility than the early days of the internet did?

  • The Bubble View: Today’s valuations are divorced from earnings reality, driven by retail exuberance and algorithmic momentum rather than solid fundamentals.
  • The Bullish Case: Unlike the dot-com era, many of today’s tech firms are cash-rich, profitable, and genuinely transforming industry workflows.

Wells Fargo’s Chris Harvey reportedly believes the S&P 500 could hit 7,007 by year-end—driven by strong margins in tech and corporate earnings resilience.

But even he acknowledges risks if the AI hype fails to materialise into sustainable profit flows.

Bottom Line

Wall Street may be on the brink of another rebalancing moment. Whether this rally evolves into a crash, correction, pullback or a paradigm shift could depend on investor patience, regulatory restraint—and whether tech firms can actually deliver the future they’re pricing in.

That is the real question!

China reportedly concerned about security of Nvidia AI chips

U.S. and China AI chips concern

China has reportedly voiced concerns about the security implications of Nvidia’s cutting-edge artificial intelligence chips, deepening the tech cold war between Beijing and Washington.

The caution follows increasing scrutiny of semiconductors used in defence, infrastructure, and digital surveillance systems—sectors where AI accelerators play an outsized role.

While no official ban has been announced, sources suggest that Chinese regulators are examining how Nvidia’s chips—known for powering generative AI and large language models—might pose risks to national data security.

At the core of the issue is a growing unease about foreign-designed hardware transmitting or processing sensitive domestic information, potentially exposing it to surveillance or manipulation.

Nvidia, whose H100 and A800 series dominate the high-performance AI landscape, has already faced restrictions from the U.S. government on exports to China.

In response, Chinese tech firms have been developing domestic alternatives, including chips from Huawei and Alibaba, though few match Nvidia’s sophistication or efficiency.

The situation highlights China’s larger strategy to reduce reliance on American technology, especially as AI becomes more integral to industrial automation, cyber defence, and public services.

It also underscores the dual-use dilemma of AI—where innovation in consumer tech can quickly scale into military applications.

While diplomatic channels remain frosty, the market implications are heating up. Nvidia’s shares dipped slightly on the news, and analysts predict renewed interest in sovereign chip initiatives across Asia.

For all the lofty aspirations of AI making the world smarter, it seems that suspicion—not cooperation—is the current driving force behind chip geopolitics.

As one observer quipped, ‘We built machines to think for us—now we’re worried they’re thinking too much, in all the wrong places’.

Nvidia reportedly denies there are any security concerns.

U.S. interest rates held steady at 4.25% to 4.50%

U.S. Federal Reserve

On 30th July 2025, the Federal Reserve opted to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, defying mounting pressure from President Trump to initiate cuts.

The decision, reached by a 9–2 vote, marked the first time since 1993 that two governors—Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller—formally dissented, advocating for a quarter-point reduction.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “moderated” economic growth and “somewhat elevated” inflation as reasons for maintaining the current stance.

Despite a robust Q2 GDP reading of 3%, Powell emphasised the need for caution, particularly amid uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies.

Markets reacted with disappointment, as hopes for a dovish pivot were dashed. Powell remained non-committal about September’s outlook, reportedly stating, ‘We have made no decisions about September’.

With inflation still above target and political tensions rising, the Fed’s wait-and-see approach underscores its commitment to data-driven policy.

Are investors saying it’s time to move on from tariffs and if so to what effect on the markets?

Tariffs and the Markets

It looks like investor sentiment is shifting away from obsessing over tariffs—though not because they’ve disappeared.

Instead, there’s a growing sense that tariffs may be settling into a predictable range, especially in the U.S., where President Trump signalled a blanket rate of 15–20% for countries lacking specific trade agreements.

Here’s how that’s playing out

🌐 Why Investors Are Moving On

  • Predictability over Panic: With clearer expectations around tariff levels, markets may no longer treat them as wildcards.
  • Muted Market Reaction: The recent U.S.-EU trade deal barely nudged the S&P 500 or European indexes after moving the futures initially, signalling tariffs aren’t the hot trigger they once were.
  • Economists Cooling Expectations: Revisions to tariff impact estimates suggest future trade deals might not generate outsized optimism on Wall Street.

📈 Effects on the Markets

  • Focus Shift: Investors are turning to earnings—particularly from the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech giants—and macroeconomic data for momentum.
  • Cautious Optimism: While stocks haven’t rallied hard, they’re not dropping either. Traders seem to be waiting for a new catalyst, like U.S. consumer strength or signs of a bull phase in certain indexes.
  • Geopolitical Undercurrents: A new deadline for Russia to reach a peace deal and threats of ‘secondary tariffs’ could still stir volatility, depending on how global partners react.

So, in short tariffs aren’t gone, but they’ve become background noise. Investors are tuning in to the next big signals.

If you’re keeping an eye on retail, tech earnings, or commodity flows, this shift could have ripple effects worth dissecting.

Market moving events, other than tariffs

DateEvent/CatalystMarket Impact Potential
July 30Meta earnings + possible stock split📈 High (tech sentiment)
July 31Fed meeting📈📉 High (rate guidance)
Aug 1U.S.–EU tariff milestone, not flashpoint📉 Moderate (sector recalibration)
July 22U.S. AI Action Plan (released)📈 Unclear (dependent on execution

Markets rally as EU–U.S. trade deal eases some tariff tension

U.S. EU tariff trade deal

European and American financial markets rallied following the announcement of a new trade pact between the EU and the U.S on Sunday 27th July 2025., easing months of escalating tensions.

The deal introduces a 15% tariff on most EU exports to the United States—well below the previously threatened 30% rate—providing greater predictability across key sectors.

Global markets surged on Monday following the announcement of a landmark trade agreement between the European Union and the United States, announced by President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at Trump’s Turnberry golf resort in Scotland.

The deal imposes a 15% tariff on most EU exports to the U.S., significantly lower than the previously threatened 30% rate.

It would appear that Trump’s global tariff rate will end up between 15% – 20%

While still a sharp increase from pre-2025 levels—when many goods faced tariffs under 3%—the agreement has been hailed as a pragmatic compromise that averts a full-blown transatlantic trade war.

In exchange, the EU has reportedly committed to $750 billion in U.S. energy purchases and $600 billion in investment into the American economy, with further spending on military equipment also expected.

European negotiators secured zero tariffs on strategic goods such as aircraft components, select chemicals, and semiconductor equipment

Strategic exemptions for aircraft components, semiconductors and select chemicals help preserve supply chain efficiency, while agricultural and consumer goods will adapt to the new rate over time.

In return, the EU has reportedly committed to over $1.3 trillion in investments focused on U.S. infrastructure, renewable energy and defence technologies.

Investors responded positively to the agreement as futures surged

  • The FTSE 100 futures hit 9,172 overnight
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose 1.3%.
  • DAX hit overnight futures high of: 24,550
  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq Tech 100 hit overnight futures highs of: 6,422 and 23,440
  • Wall Street’s major indices extended futures gains, boosted by trade optimism and tech strength.

However, European stocks trimmed back ‘futures’ gains after the opening bell.

While some concerns remain over unresolved steel and pharmaceutical tariffs, analysts view the pact as a turning point that restores confidence.

The deal sets the stage for further cooperation on digital standards, regulation and intellectual property later in 2025.

This step toward economic stability is expected to foster stronger ties and benefit export-driven industries across both regions.

Trump is getting his deals, but how good are they really?

Trump’s self-imposed August tariff deadline looms

U.S. Tariffs

Since a little after Donald Trump’s declaration of ‘Liberation Day’ and renewed tariff threats, global markets have shown a remarkable degree of indifference.

While equities dipped briefly in April, investors appear increasingly unshaken by the looming 1st August deadline.

Several factors underpin this resilience. First, market participants have grown accustomed to political brinkmanship.

Traders now view tariff announcements as bargaining tools rather than certainties, adopting a wait-and-see approach before pricing in long-term consequences.

The episodic nature of past trade spats has dulled their impact, especially without immediate legislative backing and with Trump often pulling back last minute or extending deadlines.

The media have labelled this … TACO!

TACOTrump Always Chickens Out: Definition – A satirical acronym coined by financial commentators to describe Donald Trump’s predictable pattern of announcing aggressive tariffs, then softening or delaying them under market pressure.

Second, economic fundamentals remain firm. Corporate earnings continue to surpass expectations, and key indicators—such as job growth and consumer spending—suggest sustained momentum in major economies.

As a result, the tariff narrative has taken a back seat to earnings reports and central bank manoeuvres.

Third, diversification strategies have matured since the 2018–2020 trade wars. Many multinationals have already restructured supply chains, buffered risk through regional trade agreements, and hedged exposure to volatile sectors.

This strategic evolution makes markets less sensitive to unilateral tariff threats, especially if they lack multilateral support.

Analysts note that Trump’s rhetoric still carries weight politically, but the financial world operates on evidence, not headlines. As one strategist quipped, ‘Markets don’t trade on bluster; they trade on impact’.

That’s all very well – but markets can be fickle and reflect sentiment too.

With investors focused on earnings and monetary policy, tariff drama may remain background noise—unless policy becomes policy.

Until then, the markets seem content to roll with it!

UK economy contracts in May 2025 amid global tariff trade turmoil

UK GDP squeezed

Britain’s economy shrank by 0.1% in May 2025, marking its second consecutive monthly decline and casting fresh doubt over the strength of the post-pandemic recovery.

The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics defied analyst expectations of modest growth, underlining deepening concerns within the Treasury and among business groups.

The drop was largely driven by a sharp 0.9% fall in production output, particularly in oil and car manufacturing, alongside a 0.6% decline in construction activity.

These weaknesses come despite a slight uptick in services, which rose by 0.1%, buoyed by gains in legal services and software development.

Summary

🏭 Production output fell by 0.9%, led by declines inl oil and gas extraction and car manufacturing.

🏗️ Construction dropped 0.6%, reversing April’s gains.

🛍️ Services eked out a 0.1% rise, with legal services and computer programming offsetting a sharp fall in retail.

Finance Minister Rachel Reeves faces increasing pressure as her economic reboot agenda collides with rising domestic costs and global headwinds.

April’s national insurance hikes and Trump’s aggressive tariff policy have created economic drag, despite the UK having brokered a swift bilateral trade agreement with the U.S.

The three-month growth rate stands at 0.5%, but economists now predict a meagre 0.1% expansion for the second quarter.

With inflation edging back above 3% and interest rate cuts looming, the government must navigate a delicate balance between stimulus and stability.

The first official Q2 GDP estimate will be released on 14th August 2025, with markets braced for further volatility.

UK GDP figures February through May 2025

Month% Change in GDPKey Drivers/Comments
February+0.5%Strong services and frontloaded activity pre-tariffs
March+0.2%Moderate growth, tax rise concerns begin
April–0.3%Domestic tax hikes, Trump tariff shock
May–0.1%Production –0.9%, construction –0.6%; weak manufacturing
UK GDP figures February through May 2025

Elon Musk launches ‘America Party’ amid ongoing feud with Trump

America Party

In a dramatic twist to the U.S. political landscape, Elon Musk has announced the formation of a new political party, the America Party, following a bitter fallout with President Donald Trump over his controversial tax and spending legislation – the ‘Big Beautiful Bill‘.

Musk, once a key ally of Trump and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), broke ranks after the passage of the so-called ‘Big Beautiful Bill‘, which Musk labelled a “disgusting abomination” that would balloon the national debt by trillions.

On U.S. Independence Day, Musk polled his followers on X, asking whether a new party should be formed. With a 2-to-1 majority voting ‘yes’, Musk declared, ‘Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom’.

The party aims to challenge the entrenched two-party system by targeting a handful of swing Senate and House seats, potentially becoming a decisive force in future legislation.

Musk has pledged to support primary challengers against Republicans who backed the bill, accusing them of betraying fiscal responsibility.

Trump, clearly irked, dismissed Musk’s move as ‘ridiculous’, reportedly stating, ‘It’s always been a two-party system… third parties have never worked’.

He added on Truth Social, ‘Elon Musk has gone completely off the rails… becoming a train wreck over the past five weeks’.

The feud has escalated rapidly, with Trump threatening to revoke federal subsidies for Musk’s companies and even suggesting deportation, despite Musk’s U.S. citizenship.

While Musk’s America Party faces steep legal and logistical hurdles, his immense wealth and online influence could make it a disruptive force.

Whether it gains traction or fizzles out remains to be seen but it’s clear the ‘love’ between Musk and Trump is officially over.

U.S. debt surges close to $37 trillion after ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ -Elon Musk sounds alarm

High U.S. debt levels

Following the passage of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tax and spending legislation, dubbed the One Big Beautiful Bill, the U.S. national debt has officially soared to nearly $37 trillion, with projections suggesting it could hit $40 trillion by year’s end.

The bill, which extends 2017 tax cuts and introduces expansive spending on defence, border security, and domestic manufacturing, has sparked fierce debate across Washington and Wall Street.

Critics argue the legislation lacks meaningful offsets, with no new taxes or spending cuts to balance its provisions.

Interest payments alone reached $1.1 trillion in 2024, surpassing the defence budget. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill could add $3.3 trillion to the deficit over the next decade.

Among the most vocal opponents is tech billionaire Elon Musk, who previously served as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

Musk has labelled the bill a ‘disgusting abominatio’ and warned it undermines fiscal responsibility.

He has reportedly pledged to fund primary challengers against Republicans who supported the measure, accusing them of betraying their promises to reduce spending.

Musk’s concerns go beyond economics. He argues the bill reflects a broken political system dominated by self-interest, calling for the creation of a new political movement, the America Party, to restore accountability.

While the White House insists the bill will spur economic growth and eventually reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio, sceptics remain unconvinced.

With the debt ceiling raised by a record $5 trillion, the long-term implications for America’s financial stability are now front and centre.

As the dust settles, the clash between Trump’s fiscal vision and Musk’s warnings sets the stage for a turbulent political and economic period ahead.

Trump shifts tariff ‘goal posts’ again and targets BRICS with extra 10% levy

Goal posts moved

In a fresh escalation of trade tensions, President Donald Trump has once again moved the goalposts on tariff policy, pushing the deadline for new trade deals to 1st August 2025.

This marks the second extension since the original April 2025 ‘Liberation Day’ announcement, which had already stirred global markets.

The latest twist includes a new 10% tariff targeting countries aligned with the BRICS bloc—Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa – along with newer members such as Iran and the UAE.

Trump declared on Truth Social that ‘any country aligning themselves with the Anti-American policies of BRICS will be charged an ADDITIONAL 10% tariff. There will be no exceptions’.

The move has drawn sharp criticism from BRICS leaders, who condemned the tariffs as ‘indiscriminate’ and warned of rising protectionism. Industrial metals, including copper and aluminium, saw immediate price drops amid fears of disrupted supply chains.

While the White House insists the new deadline allows more time for negotiation, analysts warn the uncertainty could dampen global trade and investor confidence.

With letters outlining tariff terms expected to be sent this week, investors and market makers watch closely as Trump’s trade strategy continues to evolve or unravel.

China’s restriction of rare earth materials hurts

Chinas rare earth material dominance

China’s recent export restrictions on rare earth elements are sending shockwaves through multiple industries worldwide.

As the curbs continue to take effect, sectors reliant on these critical minerals—including automotive, defence, and clean energy—are beginning to feel the strain.

China controls about 60–70% of global rare earth production and nearly 90% of the refining capacity.

Even when rare earths are mined elsewhere, they’re often sent to China for processing, since few countries have the infrastructure or environmental tolerance to handle the complex and polluting refining process.

In April 2025, China introduced export controls on seven key rare earth elements and permanent magnets, citing national interests and responding to rising trade tensions—particularly with the U.S.

Automotive industry in crisis

The auto sector is among the hardest hit. Rare earth elements are essential for both combustion engines and electric vehicles, particularly in the production of magnets used in motors and batteries.

European auto suppliers have already reported production shutdowns due to dwindling inventories.

Germany’s car industry, a global powerhouse, has reportedly warned that further disruptions could bring manufacturing to a standstill.

Japan’s Nissan and Suzuki have also expressed concerns, with Suzuki reportedly halting production of its Swift model due to shortages.

Defence and technology sectors at risk

China’s dominance in rare earth refining, controlling nearly 90% of global capacity, poses a strategic challenge for defense industries.

The U.S. military relies heavily on these materials for missile guidance systems, radar technology, and advanced electronics.

With nearly 78% of defence platforms dependent on Chinese-processed rare earths, the restrictions expose vulnerabilities in national security.

Clean energy ambitions under threat

The clean energy transition depends on rare earths for wind turbines, solar panels, and electric vehicle batteries.

China’s curbs threaten global efforts to reduce carbon emissions, forcing countries to scramble for alternative sources. India’s electric vehicle sector, for instance, faces potential setbacks as manufacturers struggle to secure supplies.

As industries grapple with these disruptions, governments and corporations are urgently seeking solutions. Whether through diplomatic negotiations or investment in domestic rare earth production, the race is on to mitigate the fallout from China’s tightening grip on these critical resources.

Several countries have significant rare earth reserves and can supply these materials in high quantities.

Top rare earth materials suppliers

China – The dominant player, with 44 million metric tons of reserves.

Brazil – Holds 21 million metric tons of rare earth reserves.

Vietnam – Has 22 million metric tons, making it a rising supplier.

India – Contains 6.9 million metric tons.

Australia – A key producer with 5.7 million metric tons.

Russia – Holds 10 million metric tons.

United States – While not a leading producer, it has 1.8 million metric tons.

Greenland – An emerging supplier with 1.5 million metric tons.

China remains the largest supplier, but countries like Brazil, Vietnam, and Australia are working to expand their production to reduce reliance on Chinese exports.

Ukraine?

Ukraine reportedly has significant reserves of rare earth elements, including titanium, lithium, graphite, and uranium. These minerals are crucial for industries such as defence, aerospace, and green energy.

However, the ongoing conflict with Russia has disrupted access to many of these deposits, with some now under Russian control.

Despite these challenges, Ukraine is being considered for strategic raw material projects by the European Union, aiming to strengthen supply chains and reduce reliance on China. The country’s mineral wealth could play a key role in post-war recovery and global supply diversification

Greenland?

Greenland is emerging as a key player in the global rare earth supply chain. The European Union has recently selected Greenland for new raw material projects aimed at securing critical minerals.

The island holds significant deposits of rare earth elements, including graphite, which is essential for battery production.

However, Greenland faces challenges in developing its rare earth industry, including harsh terrain, environmental concerns, and geopolitical tensions.

The U.S. and EU are keen to reduce reliance on China, which dominates rare earth processing, and Greenland’s resources could play a crucial role in this effort.

Greenland has indicated it has little desire to be transformed into a mining territory. It could have little choice.

Canada?

Canada is emerging as a significant player in the rare earth supply chain. The country has over 15.2 million tonnes of rare earth oxide reserves, making it one of the largest known sources globally.

Recently, Canada opened its first commercial rare earth elements refinery, marking a major step toward reducing reliance on Chinese processing.

The facility, located in Saskatchewan, aims to produce 400 tonnes of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) metals per year, enough for 500,000 electric vehicles annually.

Additionally, Canada is investing in critical minerals infrastructure to unlock rare earth development in Northern Quebec and Labrador.

The government has allocated $10 million to support mining projects, including the Strange Lake Rare Earth Project, which contains globally significant quantities of dysprosium, neodymium, praseodymium, and terbium.

Rare earth materials are a necessity for our modern technological lives – big tech tells us this. The hunger for these products needs to be fed, and China, right now, does the feeding.

And the beast needs to be fed.

From Missiles to Tariffs: A desensitised stock market faces Trump’s new world

Markets desensitised to U.S. policy making

In years past, the mere hint of U.S. airstrikes or heightened geopolitical tension would send global stock markets into panic mode.

Yet, following President Trump’s re-election and his increasingly aggressive foreign policy stance, investor reactions have become notably muted.

From missile strikes on Iranian nuclear sites to an orchestrated ceasefire between Iran and Israel, markets have barely flinched. The question arises: are investors becoming desensitised to Trump’s geopolitical theatre?

Take the latest skirmish between Iran and Israel. After nearly two weeks of missile exchanges, Trump’s announcement of a ‘complete and total ceasefire’ barely nudged the S&P 500.

That calm came despite the U.S. launching pre-emptive strikes on Iranian facilities and absorbing retaliatory attacks on its military base in Qatar.

In another era, or under a different administration even, such developments might have triggered a broad risk-off sentiment. Instead, Wall Street just shrugged.

One reason may be fatigue. Trump’s approach – rife with tariffs, sanctions, and sudden reversals – has bred a kind of market immunity.

Investors, well-versed in the rhythm of Trump’s provocations, have begun treating them as background noise. His revived tariff agenda, particularly the threats aimed once again at China and EU auto imports, has likewise failed to prompt major selloffs.

Similarly, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, once a source of intense volatility, now registers as a strategic stalemate in the market’s eyes.

While Trump’s rhetoric surrounding Ukraine has shifted unpredictably, investors appear more focused on earnings, inflation data, and central bank signals than on diplomatic fallout and war!

This is not to suggest markets are indifferent to geopolitical risk, but rather that they’ve adapted. Algorithmic trading models may be increasingly geared to discount Trump’s headline-grabbing tactics, while institutional investors hedge through gold, volatility indices, or energy plays without dumping equities outright.

Critics argue this detachment is dangerous. Should a flashpoint spiral out of control, be it over Hormuz, Ukraine, or Taiwan, the slow-boiling complacency could leave portfolios badly exposed.

Still, for now, Trump’s policies are being priced in not with panic, but with complacency maybe.

The real story may not be what Trump does next, but how long the markets can continue to look away.

Trump announces he had brokered ceasefire between Israel and Iran?

Tensions between Israel and Iran reached a boiling point after 12 days of cross-border missile and drone strikes.

The situation escalated further when U.S. forces under President Trump launched targeted airstrikes on key Iranian nuclear sites, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, prompting a direct Iranian missile response on a U.S. base in Qatar.

In a dramatic turn, President Trump announced what he called a ‘Complete and Total CEASEFIRE‘ – announced on Truth Social. According to Trump’s plan, Iran would begin the ceasefire immediately, with Israel to follow 12 hours later.

The truce would reportedly be considered complete after 24 hours if all attacks stopped.

While Trump touted the ceasefire as a triumph of ‘peace through strength’, analysts questioned the ceasefire’s enforceability – especially since missile exchanges reportedly continued despite the announcement.

Nonetheless, Trump claimed credit for halting the region’s slide into all-out war without committing to prolonged U.S. military involvement.

Critics argue Trump’s strategy relies more on military pressure and media theatrics than diplomatic engagement.

Supporters counter that his boldness forced both sides to the table. Either way, the world is watching to see whether this fragile peace endures – or erupts again in fire.

If this turns out to be a masterstroke in political brinkmanship – hats off to Trump, I guess. Whichever way you look at it, the precision U.S. strike on Iran was exactly that – precision. And, you have to take note.

Iran has been weakened, and this may even influence Russia’s war on Ukraine. Hopefully Israel with Palestine too – regardless of stock market reaction.

And that has to be a good thing!

But has Israel finished their war?

Despite all the noise regarding stock market reaction, one thing is for certain – the anxiety and worry for the people of the Middle East is unquestionable.

It’s not a happy time.

Asia’s shift away from the U.S. Dollar gains momentum

De-dollar

The global financial landscape is undergoing a significant transformation as Asian economies accelerate their move away from the U.S. dollar.

This trend, known as de-dollarisation, is driven by a combination of geopolitical uncertainties, monetary policy shifts, and efforts to reduce reliance on the greenback in trade and investment.

The forces behind de-dollarisation

For decades, the U.S. dollar has dominated global trade and foreign exchange reserves. However, its share in global reserves has steadily declined from over 70% in 2000 to 57.8% in 2024.

This shift is particularly pronounced in Asia, where nations are actively promoting the use of local currencies to mitigate exchange rate risks and strengthen regional financial stability.

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has committed to increasing local currency settlements in trade and investment as part of its Economic Community Strategic Plan for 2026-2030.

Additionally, major economies like China and India are developing alternative payment systems to bypass traditional dollar-based transactions, further reducing dependency on the greenback.

Implications for the U.S. Dollar

The dollar has faced increased volatility, with a sharp 8% decline in the dollar index since the start of 2025. Investors and policymakers are recognising that the dollar can be leveraged in trade negotiations, prompting a reassessment of portfolios overweight in U.S. assets.

While the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency, its dominance is being challenged. Asian economies, particularly Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and China, hold substantial foreign assets, giving them the ability to repatriate earnings into local currencies.

The shift away from the dollar is a slow but steady process, signalling a broader transition towards a multipolar financial system.

Crypto and DeFi are playing a growing role in de-dollarisation.

Many nations, particularly within BRICS, are turning to digital assets to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in global trade.

How crypto supports de-dollarisation

Alternative Payment Systems – Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum allow countries under U.S. sanctions to bypass traditional dollar-based financial systems.

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) – Over 130 countries are exploring CBDCs to strengthen local currency transactions and reduce dependence on the dollar.

Stablecoins & Cross-Border Trade – Stablecoins such as USDT and USDC facilitate international payments, with daily transaction volumes exceeding $150 billion.

The bigger picture

The shift away from the dollar is not just about crypto – it’s part of a broader movement toward a multipolar financial system.

While digital assets provide alternatives, traditional financial institutions are also adapting by promoting local currency settlements

What exactly is Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ that Musk hates so much?

Big Beautiful Bill

Trump calls it his ‘Big Beautiful Bill’, but Musk calls it a ‘Disgusting Abomination’ – who’s right?

Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill is a sweeping tax and spending package aimed at making his 2017 tax cuts permanent while introducing new tax breaks and budget reforms.

It eliminates taxes on tips and overtime, raises the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap, and creates government-funded savings accounts for newborns.

The bill also imposes stricter Medicaid work requirements, cuts funding for green energy incentives, and repeals taxes on gun silencers and indoor tanning.

Critics, including Elon Musk, argue it will increase the budget deficit by $2.5 trillion, burdening future generations with unsustainable U.S. debt.

Musk’s opposition to the Bill

Elon Musk has fiercely opposed Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill, calling it a “disgusting abomination”.

His main concerns include:

Massive Spending & Deficit Growth: Musk argues the bill adds $2.5 trillion to the federal deficit, saddling future generations with unsustainable debt.

Pork-Filled Legislation: He claims the bill is packed with wasteful spending that benefits political allies rather than the American people.

Cuts to EV & Solar Incentives: The bill removes tax credits for electric vehicles and solar energy, which directly impacts Tesla and Musk’s clean energy initiatives.

Unfair Favouritism: Musk believes the bill protects oil & gas subsidies while cutting incentives for renewable energy.

Lack of Transparency: He insists the bill was rushed through Congress without proper review, saying even lawmakers barely had time to read it.

Trump, on the other hand, has dismissed Musk’s criticism, saying he’s “very disappointed” and believes Musk is upset mainly because of the EV tax credit removal.

The feud continues to escalate, with Musk urging lawmakers to “kill the bill.”

Who does the Bill really benefit?

Trump and Musk feud – love to hate in 137 days – a billionaire brawl

Trump Musk Argue

It’s a worry – arguably the most powerful man in the world and the richest man in the world in a highly visible fallout.

Unrest and distrust at the top of U.S. government and the and in the corporate world – so what’s new?

Donald Trump and Elon Musk, once allies, have engaged in a heated public feud over a tax and spending bill. The conflict began when Musk criticised Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill,” calling it a “disgusting abomination” and warning it would increase the budget deficit. Trump retaliated on Truth Social, calling Musk “CRAZY” and threatening to terminate billions of dollars in government contracts for his companies.

Musk fired back on X, claiming Trump would have lost the election without his support and accusing him of being named in the unreleased Epstein files.

The spat has had financial repercussions, with Tesla’s stock plummeting over 14%, wiping out $152 billion in market value. Investors fear the fallout could impact Tesla’s regulatory environment under Trump’s administration.

Tesla 5-day chart

Tesla 5-day chart – 14% fall

Political figures have weighed in, with billionaire Bill Ackman urging the two to reconcile, while Steve Bannon suggested Trump should seize SpaceX under the Defence Production Act. Musk also polled followers on whether to create a new political party, gaining support from Mark Cuban and Andrew Yang.

It got worse

Elon Musk escalated his feud with Donald Trump by making explosive claims that Trump appears in the Epstein files, suggesting that this is why they have not been made public. Musk posted on X, “Time to drop the really big bomb: Donald Trump is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public.

“Have a nice day, DJT!”. He later doubled down, telling followers to “mark this post for the future” and insisting that “the truth will come out”.

Trump has denied any wrongdoing and dismissed Musk’s claims as retaliation for his tax bill. The White House press secretary called Musk’s comments “an unfortunate episode” and insisted that Trump is focused on passing his legislation.

Musk also endorsed a call for Trump’s impeachment, agreeing with a post that suggested Vice President JD Vance should replace Trump. This marks a dramatic shift, as Musk was previously a close ally of Trump and even held a government advisory role.

The feud continues to escalate, with Musk calling for the bill’s rejection and Trump defending it as a historic tax cut.

The position and authority of U.S. President Trump have been challenged. How will tariff trade negotiations and his standing with other world leaders progress from here?

I do have a couple of questions: why did Musk back Trump in the first place and, at what point in the 137 ‘love in’ days did he know about the Epstein link (if indeed there is one)?

Or did he know before?

Who to trust?

Well – that didn’t last long – is the ‘love in’ over already?

Elon Musk and Trump

Elon Musk has dramatically distanced himself from Donald Trump’s latest tax-and-spending bill, branding it a ‘disgusting abomination’ in a fiery post on X.

The Tesla and SpaceX CEO, once a key financial backer of Trump’s 2024 campaign, has now turned against the administration’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’, warning that it will explode the federal deficit and burden American taxpayers with unsustainable U.S. debt.

Musk’s frustration boiled over as he accused lawmakers of reckless spending, calling out those who voted for the bill: ‘Shame on you. You know you did wrong’.

His criticism comes just days after leaving his role as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), where he had pushed for aggressive cost-cutting measures.

The White House, however, remains unmoved. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt dismissed Musk’s remarks, insisting that Trump is ‘sticking to it’ and that the bill will drive economic growth.

With Republican deficit hawks rallying behind Musk’s concerns, the billionaire’s influence in Washington is far from over.

His next move? Firing back at politicians who, in his words, ‘betrayed the American people.

Elon Musk’s fiery critique of Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ has raised concerns for the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), an initiative he once led.

His departure from DOGE signals instability (much of which he created) within the agency, which had been pushing for aggressive cost-cutting measures and anti-waste policies.

Without Musk’s influence, DOGE could lose traction, allowing excessive spending to go unchecked. Additionally, Musk’s fallout with Trump might weaken DOGE’s ability to implement reforms, as its credibility is tied to his vision.

The question now is whether DOGE can remain a force for fiscal responsibility, or whether it will become just another bureaucratic arm.

Mid-terms are coming!

Trump’s tariffs challenged in court and deemed to be illegal

U.S. tariff court ruling

A U.S. federal court has ruled that former President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs were imposed illegally, dealing a significant blow to his economic policies.

The Court of International Trade determined that Trump exceeded his authority by invoking emergency powers to justify tariffs on nearly every country.

The ruling states that the U.S. Constitution grants Congress exclusive power to regulate commerce, meaning the president cannot unilaterally impose such broad trade restrictions.

The decision immediately halted the 10% tariffs Trump had imposed on most U.S. trading partners, as well as additional levies on China, Mexico, and Canada.

The court found that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), which Trump cited as justification, does not grant him the authority to implement such sweeping trade measures.

The White House swiftly filed an appeal, arguing that the tariffs were necessary to address trade imbalances and safeguard American industries.

However, businesses and state governments that challenged the tariffs welcomed the ruling, citing concerns over inflation and economic harm.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures 28th & 29th May 2025 after the court ruling

Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures 28th & 29th May 2025 after the court ruling

Markets responded positively to the decision, with stock futures rising and the U.S. dollar strengthening. If the ruling stands, businesses that paid the tariffs may be eligible for refunds, marking a potential shift in U.S. trade policy.

The U.S. President is expected to find a workaround after suffering a major blow to a core part of his economic agenda.

Tesla’s European market meltdown – sales plunge 49% amid brand damage and fierce competition

Tesla's European sales fall!

Tesla’s vehicle sales in Europe plummeted by 49% in April 2025, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline.

Despite an overall 27.8% rise in battery-electric vehicle sales, Tesla struggled to maintain its foothold in the region.

The drop in sales has been attributed to increasing competition from Chinese automakers, a shift in consumer preferences towards hybrid vehicles, and growing backlash against CEO Elon Musk’s political affiliations.

Tesla’s market share in Europe nearly halved, falling from 1.3% to 0.7%. The company’s aging lineup, particularly the Model Y, has failed to attract new buyers, while rivals such as BYD have overtaken Tesla in European EV sales for the first time.

Additionally, European carmakers are cutting costs and adapting to U.S. tariffs on auto imports, further intensifying competition. Chinese EV manufacturers are also cutting EV prices.

While Tesla faces challenges in Europe, the broader EV market continues to expand, driven by government incentives and stricter emission targets.

However, unless Tesla refreshes its lineup and rebuilds consumer trust, its dominance in the European market may continue to erode.

The company’s future remains uncertain as it navigates political controversies and shifting market dynamics

Saudi Arabia to acquire 18000 Nvidia AI chips with more to follow

Nvidia AI

Saudi Arabia is making bold moves in artificial intelligence with a major acquisition from Nvidia.

The tech giant will be sending more than 18,000 of its latest GB300 Blackwell AI chips to Saudi-based company Humain, in a deal that marks a significant step toward the nation’s ambitions to become a global AI powerhouse.

The announcement was made by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang during the Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh, as part of a White House-led trip that included President Donald Trump and other top CEOs.

Humain, backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, aims to develop AI models and build data center infrastructure, with plans to eventually deploy several hundred thousand Nvidia GPUs

Humain, backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, plans to use the chips to develop large-scale AI models and establish cutting-edge data centers.

The chips will be deployed in a 500-megawatt facility, making it one of the largest AI computing projects in the region. Nvidia’s Blackwell AI chips are among the most advanced in the industry, used in training sophisticated AI models and powering data-intensive applications.

Saudi Arabia’s investment in AI technology aligns with its long-term vision of transforming its economy beyond traditional industries. With plans to expand its data infrastructure and deploy several hundred thousand Nvidia GPUs in the future, the country is positioning itself as a major AI hub in the Middle East.

As AI continues to shape global industries, Saudi Arabia’s investment signals a broader shift in how nations are competing for dominance in the AI revolution.

Nvidia’s involvement underscores the strategic importance of AI chips, not just in business, but in international relations as well.

Trump’s Boeing 747 Gift from Qatar – a diplomatic gesture or controversial play?

It's just a gift!

It’s just a gift?

Former U.S. President Donald Trump is set to receive a luxury Boeing 747-8 from the Qatari royal family, a move that has sparked debate over its implications.

The aircraft, valued at $400 million, is expected to serve as a temporary Air Force One until the U.S. government receives its long-delayed replacements.

Trump has been vocal about his frustration with Boeing’s delays in delivering the new presidential aircraft, originally scheduled for 2022 but now pushed to 2027.

The Qatari government’s offer provides an interim solution, allowing Trump to use the jet for official travel.

However, critics argue that accepting such a gift raises ethical and legal concerns, particularly regarding the U.S. Constitution’s emoluments clause, which restricts officials from receiving gifts from foreign states without congressional approval3.

The White House insists the arrangement is legal, stating that the aircraft will be transferred to the U.S. Air Force rather than Trump personally.

Upon completion of his term, the plane will reportedly be donated to his presidential library.

As Trump prepares for a Middle East visit, the controversy surrounding the aircraft continues to unfold.

Will this be seen as a practical solution or a diplomatic misstep?

And anyway, why can’t the U.S. provide its own presidential plane?

Trump tariff roll-back – a win for China? U.S. markets rejoice the ‘deal’

U.S. markets gain on U.S China tariff roll-back announcement

The U.S. stock market surged as investors cheered a breakthrough in trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing.

The rollback of tariffs, announced as part of a new trade agreement, sent the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite soaring.

The deal, which slashes ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on both sides, is seen as a major de-escalation in the ongoing trade war that has rattled global markets for years.

Wall Street’s Reaction

Markets responded with enthusiasm as the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped over 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 climbed more than 2.5%, and the Nasdaq surged by nearly 3%.

Investors had been wary of prolonged trade tensions, which had weighed heavily on corporate earnings and economic growth.

The tariff rollback signals a potential thaw in relations, boosting confidence across sectors, particularly in technology, retail, and manufacturing.

Tariff rollback

Under the agreement, U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports will be reduced from 145% to 30%, while China’s tariffs on American goods will drop from 125% to 10%. The reductions will be in effect for 90 days, allowing both nations to continue negotiations on a broader trade framework.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasised that neither side wants a complete decoupling, and the rollback is intended to restore trade flows disrupted by years of economic brinkmanship.

China’s perspective: A strategic victory?

While the U.S. markets celebrated, China views the deal as a significant win. Beijing has sought relief from the steep tariffs imposed by Washington, which had strained its export-driven economy.

The agreement not only reduces financial pressure on Chinese manufacturers but also positions China as a key player in shaping future trade policies.

Some analysts argue that Beijing successfully leveraged its economic resilience to push Washington toward concessions, reinforcing its global influence.

Looking ahead

Despite the optimism, uncertainties remain. The 90-day window for negotiations suggests that further trade disputes could arise if talks stall. But will the U.S. allow that after the stock market turmoil Trump’s tariffs originally created?

Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cautioned that while sentiment has improved, the economic impact of previous tariffs has yet to fully materialise. Investors will be watching closely for signs of sustained progress, as any setbacks could trigger renewed volatility.

For now, Wall Street is basking in the relief of a tariff truce, with hopes that this momentum will lead to a more stable and predictable trade environment.

Whether this marks the beginning of a lasting resolution or just a temporary reprieve remains to be seen.

It is most likely now a platform for the U.S. to benefit from generally lower tariffs in the future.

There will again be cheap goods on U.S. shelves in time for Christmas.

Shock but no ‘awe’ in Trump’s first 100 days in office

Sledgehammer policies

U.S. President Donald Trump has definitely brought a lot of shock in the first 100 days of his presidency, smashing trade links, alliances, and even his own government, but it can hardly be said to have left anybody truly in ‘awe’.

Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office during his second term have been a whirlwind of activity, marked by bold moves and significant controversy.

His poll rating is the lowest of any President of recent times for the first 100 days. It currently sits at around 41% (a CNN poll result suggests).

How does it compare?

Harry S. Truman, hit a rock-bottom approval rating of 22% in 1952. Other presidents like Richard Nixon and George W. Bush also dipped below 25%. But these were during their terms and not in the first 100 days.

His administration has focused heavily on reshaping trade policies, imposing tariffs that have disrupted global markets and strained relationships with long-standing allies.

Despite his claims of progress, no major trade deals have been finalised, leaving many questioning the effectiveness of his approach.

Legal challenges

Domestically, Trump’s policies have faced significant legal challenges, with numerous lawsuits filed against his administration. His stance on immigration and energy has sparked heated debates, reflecting the polarising nature of his decisions.

Trump’s ‘drill-baby-drill’ mantra has not had the desire reaction – oil prices has fallen with U.S. oil below $65 a barrel.

The automotive industry, for instance, has grappled with regulatory uncertainty and additional costs due to his tariffs, prompting him to soften some measures in response to industry concerns.

Internationally, Trump’s actions have raised concerns about U.S. credibility and stability. His hostile stance toward traditional allies, such as Canada, the EU and NATO, has left multi-decade relationships in tatters.

Meanwhile, his administration’s handling of the ongoing war in Ukraine and trade negotiations with China has drawn criticism for its lack of tangible results.

Despite these challenges, Trump remains confident in his vision for America. He has claimed progress in tariff negotiations with India, suggesting that a trade deal may be on the horizon.

No deals… yet

There has not been a single trade deal concluded with Trump’s administration – despite him reportedly claiming to have done ‘200 deals’ with only 195 countries in the world.

China is still striking a defiant tone on trade, and the war in Ukraine rages on. The president has also been forced to walk back on his “reciprocal tariffs.” 

However, his administration’s approach has left many wondering whether his first 100 days will be remembered for their impact or their controversy.

As the dust settles, the world watches closely to see how Trump’s policies will shape the future of the United States and its role on the global stage.

Trump may have wanted his first 100 days to be historic, and they were – but for all the wrong reasons.  

U.S. stocks slide again as Trump publicly criticises Fed Chair Powell

Jerome Powell criticised

President Donald Trump’s recent criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has sent shockwaves through the financial markets, reigniting concerns about the central bank’s independence.

On Monday 21st April 2025, Trump took to social media to publicly call Powell a ‘major loser’ and demanded immediate interest rate cuts, warning of an economic slowdown if his demands were not met.

This public rebuke, coupled with Trump’s earlier threats to terminate Powell, has unsettled investors and triggered another sharp sell-off in U.S. stocks.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged nearly 1,000 points, or 2.48%, closing at 38170. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also suffered significant losses, falling 2.36% and 2.55%.

Dow Jones one-year chart

Dow Jones one-year chart

Trump continues to create uncertainty

Analysts attribute this market turmoil to fears that Trump’s rhetoric could undermine the Federal Reserve’s ability to operate independently, a cornerstone of its credibility.

‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies dragged the major indexes lower, with Tesla and Nvidia respectively losing 5.8% and more than 4%. Amazon shed 3%, and Meta Platforms suffered losses too.

Tesla one-year chart

Tesla one-year chart

Adding to the uncertainty, Trump’s tariff policies have already strained investor confidence. The combination of trade tensions and doubts about the Fed’s autonomy has led to a flight from U.S. assets.

The dollar hit a three-year low, while gold prices soared to record highs above $3,400 per ounce as investors sought safe-haven assets.

Market experts warn that prolonged uncertainty could have far-reaching implications. ‘The market is okay with rates coming down,’ reportedly said Thierry Wizman, a global currency strategist. ‘What the market is not okay with is having the president or politicians tell the Fed that the rates need to come down’.

As Trump’s public rebuttal of Powell continues, investors observe the potential implications. The stakes are high, not just for the U.S. economy but for global markets that rely on the stability of American financial institutions.

Investors are left grappling with a volatile landscape, where political pressures and economic policies collide.

The Trump ‘turmoil’ continues.

Tech stocks propel market rally amid Trump’s tariff pause

Stocks move back up

On Monday 14th April 2025, the stock market experienced a notable mini rally, driven by the tech sector’s resurgence following a weekend announcement of a temporary tariff pause.

President Trump’s decision to exempt smartphones, computers, and other electronics from steep tariffs provided a much-needed reprieve for the industry, sparking optimism among investors.

Major tech companies like Apple, Nvidia, and Amazon saw significant gains, with Apple shares surging by 7.5%. The Nasdaq Composite, heavily weighted with tech stocks, climbed 1.9%, while the S&P 500 rose 1.5%.

This rally marked a stark contrast to the volatility of the previous week, where tariff uncertainties had sent shockwaves through the market.

The tariff pause, although temporary and restricted to 20%, helped to alleviate immediate concerns about rising costs for consumers and businesses.

Importers were spared from choosing between absorbing higher expenses or passing them on to customers. This relief was particularly impactful for companies reliant on Chinese manufacturing, as the exemptions covered a wide range of tech products.

Market analysts noted that the rally was not just a reaction to the tariff news but also a reflection of the tech sector’s resilience.

Despite facing challenges earlier in the year, tech companies have continued to innovate and adapt, maintaining their position as a driving force in the U.S. and world economies.

However, the rally’s sustainability remains uncertain. The administration’s mixed messages about future tariffs have left investors cautious.

While Monday’s gains were encouraging, the broader market continues to grapple with the unpredictability of trade policies.

Trump takes wrecking ball to global trade – sets stock markets on fire and plays golf – all in one week

Reckless tariffs

Is this a fair ‘take’ on the last weeks tariff turmoil?

President Trump’s tariffs have left a significant mark on global trade and financial markets, creating waves that continue to shape global economic dynamics.

The tariffs, initially aimed at reducing the U.S. trade deficit and protecting domestic industries, triggered a rollercoaster ride for stock markets and strained international relations.

Highs to lows

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 experienced sharp declines following the announcement of sweeping tariffs. At their lowest points, the Dow fell to 37226, the Nasdaq dropped to 15266, and the S&P 500 sank to 4956.

These figures marked significant losses, with trillions of dollars wiped off the market in just a few days.

The volatility was exacerbated by fears of a global trade war and the uncertainty surrounding the tariffs’ implementation.

Tariff turmoil and 90 day pause

In response to the market turmoil, President Trump announced a 90-day pause on most tariffs, providing temporary relief to investors and businesses. This decision led to a rebound in stock markets, with indices recovering some of their losses.

However, the relief was short-lived, as tensions with China escalated. While tariffs on many trading partners were paused, China’s tariff rate was increased to a staggering 125%.

This move further strained U.S.-China relations and added pressure on industries reliant on Chinese imports.

Tech garners favour

The tech sector, heavily dependent on global supply chains, was among the hardest hit. Tariffs on components like microchips and finished products such as smartphones and computers disrupted production and increased costs.

Companies faced challenges in maintaining profitability and passing on the increased costs to consumers. The eventual reduction and cancellation of some tariffs provided a lifeline to the tech industry, allowing businesses to stabilize operations and reduce prices.

However, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies continued to pose challenges for the sector.

Market turmoil?

Was this the ultimate in market ‘management’ as President Trump posted on his social media platform, Truth Social, that it was a ‘great time to buy’ just hours before announcing the 90-day tariff pause.?

This statement, made at 9:37 am., came shortly before the announcement, which caused stock markets to surge significantly. The timing of his post raised eyebrows and sparked discussions about potential insider trading concerns

China retaliates

China’s response to the tariffs was swift and retaliatory. Beijing imposed its own tariffs on U.S. imports, raising rates to 125%. This retaliation targeted key U.S. industries, including agriculture and technology, further escalating the trade conflict.

The Chinese yuan also hit its lowest level against the dollar since the global financial crisis. These measures highlighted the deepening economic rift between the world’s two largest economies.

The effects of President Trump’s tariffs underscore the complexities of modern trade policies. While intended to protect domestic industries, the tariffs created significant economic disruptions, both domestically and globally.

The stock market volatility, strained international relations, and challenges faced by industries like technology illustrate the far-reaching consequences of such policies.

As the world continues to navigate the aftermath of these tariffs, the importance of balanced and strategic trade policies becomes increasingly evident.

Markets moved up, unsurprisingly, after Trump announced the tech tariff adjustment

Over the weekend, President Trump reportedly made several statements about tariffs on tech products, creating some confusion.

Initially, it was announced that smartphones, computers, and other electronics would be temporarily excluded from the steep tariffs.

However, Trump later clarified that these products were not entirely exempt but had been moved to a different ‘tariff bucket.’ He reportedly stated that they would still face a 20% tariff as part of broader measures targeting Chinese goods.

Trump also hinted at upcoming tariffs on semiconductors and the entire electronics supply chain, emphasising the need for the U.S. to produce more of these components domestically.

President Trump reportedly described this as part of a ‘National Security Tariff Investigation’. These announcements have left tech companies and investors uncertain about the long-term implications for the industry.

Tariffs are like a spider’s web cast over the world with the spider, crawling around collecting from its prey.

Trump’s tariffs continue to ‘infect’ world trade, and they will be here for a while yet.