Category: Investopia

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BYD profits and sales fall

Electric vehicle

Chinese automotive giant BYD has experienced a decline in profits amid a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) demand and a price war in the largest car market globally.

The company reported earnings of $630 million (£502 million) for the first quarter, a drop of over 47% from the previous quarter.

Competing with Elon Musk’s Tesla for the title of the world’s top EV seller, BYD recently fell behind as Tesla regained the lead earlier this month.

In the first quarter, BYD’s sales of battery-only vehicles fell to just over 300,000, a decrease from the last quarter of 2023’s record high of 526,000 units.

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Intel shares fall after company provides weak forecast

Microchip stock chart

Intel shares fall after company provides weak forecast for earnings, but disappoints with sales.

The stock fell 8% in extended trading.

Monthly stock price chart for Intel Corp. March to April 2024

Monthly stock price chart for Intel Corp. March to April 2024

Intel actual versus consensus expectations for the quarter ended in March 2024:

Earnings per share: 18 cents vs. 14 cents expected

Revenue: $12.72 billion vs. $12.78 billion expected

For the second quarter, Intel anticipates earnings of 10 cents per share with a projected revenue of $13 billion. This projection is in contrast to analysts’ expectations, which predict earnings of 25 cents per share on sales amounting to $13.57 billion.

In the first quarter, Intel disclosed a net loss of $400 million, equivalent to 9 cents per share, as opposed to the previous year’s net loss of $2.8 billion, 66 cents per share.

Revenue was $12.7 billion versus $11.7 billion a year ago, a 9% year-over-year increase.

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Darktrace has been sold to a private equity firm

Deal

Private equity firm Thoma Bravo has agreed to acquire Darktrace in a $5.32 billion (£4.25 billion) cash acquisition.

This translates to roughly $7.75 (£6.20) per share, which is a 44% premium over the company’s average share price as calculated over the last three months.

Darktrace, headquartered in Cambridge, focuses on cybersecurity, employing self-learning AI to counteract and automate reactions to cyber threats via its Darktrace ActiveAI Security Platform. The company caters to approximately 9,400 clients globally.

Thoma Bravo’s acquisition of Darktrace adds to its cybersecurity portfolio, which is currently estimated at around $45 billion in value. 

The loss of Darktrace from the London Stock Exchange (LSE) was described as ‘disappointing news.’ There have been calls for greater pro-business reforms to help maintain London’s attractiveness for technology companies.

Darktrace was established in 2013 by Invoke Capital, an investment firm led by Autonomy’s founder Mike Lynch. He now holds a 3.9% stake in Darktrace, positioning him to gain just over $200 million from its sale. His wife holds an additional 2.9%.

Concurrently, Lynch is entangled in a fraud trial in San Francisco. He is reportedly facing accusations of being the ‘driving force’ behind significant fraud at Autonomy.

Autonomy was the software company he co-founded and eventually sold to Hewlett-Packard for $11 billion (£8.6bn) in 2011.

The acquisition represents a significant development in the cybersecurity industry.

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Microsoft cloud growth accelerates thanks to AI

Microsoft AI

Microsoft’s Q3 results surpassed estimates for both revenue and earnings.

But the revenue forecast for Q4 was less than anticipated, with the company reportedly projecting $64 billion, which is below the consensus of $64.5 billion – (only just).

Revenue: $61.86 vs. $60.80 billion expected

Earnings per share: $2.94 vs. $2.82 expected

Additionally, Microsoft is reportedly boosting its capital expenditures to acquire Nvidia graphics processing units, which are essential for training and operating artificial intelligence (AI) models.

Microsoft one month share price chart 2024

Microsoft one month share price chart 2024
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Alphabet shares climbed 15% after issuing first-ever dividend

Alphabet

Alphabet announced on Thursday 25th April 2024 that it is issuing its first-ever dividend of 20 cents per share and that its board has authorised a stock repurchase of up to $70 billion.

This announcement follows Meta’s board authorising its own inaugural dividend in February. As of 31st March 2024, Alphabet, the parent company of Google, had $108 billion in cash and marketable securities.

After the announcement, which coincided with the release of first-quarter earnings that surpassed expectations, shares surged by 15% in after-hours trading.

Alphabet trading chart 25th April 2024

Alphabet trading chart 25th April 2024
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Synthesia creates AI avatars that can convey human emotions

Avatar

AI startup Synthesia on Thursday 25th April 2024 announced its ‘Expressive Avatars’. These are AI-generated digital avatars that can express human emotions including happiness, sadness, and frustration.

Synthesia, supported by the tech giant Nvidia, reportedly secured an investment of $90 million in 2023, reaching a valuation close to $1 billion.

This video was created using the Synthesia platform, it took just two minutes to create.

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Meta loses $200 billion in value despite good profits shown in latest figures

Stock down

Meta Platforms Inc. suffered a serious loss, witnessing its market value plummet by $200 billion.

The decline happened following the company’s first-quarter earnings call, during which CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted the company’s substantial investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the Metaverse, instead of concentrating on immediate revenue streams.

Despite a 27% increase in revenue to $36.46 billion and a net income that more than doubled to a $12.37 billion (rounded), investors were unsettled by the company’s projections for future expenses.

Shares dropped by 15.5% as Zuckerberg outlined expensive future projects, including the expansion of business messaging and the integration of ads into AI interactions.

Meta’s stock took a 15% hit in extended trading, bringing its market capitalization down to around $1.2 trillion, still a high valuation. This highlights the unpredictable nature of tech stocks, especially during significant, unmonetized product development stages.

Meta 1 day chart 24th April 2024

Meta 1 day chart 24th April 2024

Zuckerberg’s prioritization of long-term growth over immediate profits is a gamble, placing a bet on AI and the Metaverse to transform digital interactions.

This strategy carries considerable financial risks, as the recent market reaction has shown. Meta’s future now depends on the successful deployment and monetization of these cutting-edge technologies.

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Tesla shares jump after affordable model announcement despite revenue drop shown in latest accounts

Electric vehicle

Tesla’s profits have significantly decreased so far in 2024, prompting the company to accelerate the introduction of new models.

The company is also reducing its workforce by thousands in an effort to improve its financial outlook. The electric vehicle manufacturer reported earnings of $1.13 billion for the first quarter, a sharp decline from $2.51 billion in the previous year.

Job losses

Owned by billionaire Elon Musk, Tesla plans to lay-off over 6,000 workers across its Texas and California locations. The firm has been challenged by reduced demand and increased competition from more affordable Chinese imports, resulting in a 43% drop in its stock value throughout 2024.

This month, Tesla announced a 10% cut in its global workforce. Revenue figures for the first quarter of 2024 showed a total of $21.3 billion, falling short of the anticipated $22 billion.

However, Tesla’s shares saw a nearly 12.5% increase in after-hours trading following the announcement that the launch of new models would be moved up from the latter half of 2025. The company has yet to disclose the pricing for these upcoming vehicles.

On other Tesla matters…

Mr. Musk’s ‘compensation package’, previously valued at $56 billion, was rejected by a Delaware judge. The judge reportedly determined that Tesla’s directors failed to fulfill their duties to the company when they awarded Mr. Musk the payout.

With the decline in Tesla’s stock value, the compensation package is now estimated to be about $10 billion less, yet it remains larger than the GDP of many small countries.

Musk also appears to have his sights set on creating a Tesla manufacturing hub in India.

Tesla’s Cybertruck was reportedly recalled recently with a suspected accelerator pedal issue.

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Will Bitcoin experience another growth spurt after the latest halving event?

Bitcoin halving is a significant event in the cryptocurrency world

What is Bitcoin Halving?

Bitcoin halving, which happens roughly every four years, cuts the rate of new Bitcoin creation by half. This event is tied to the method of recording and generating Bitcoins. Transactions are logged on a blockchain, a ledger accessible to all.

Miners compile transactions into blocks and connect them by resolving cryptographic challenges, earning new bitcoins as their reward.

Satoshi Nakamoto, the enigmatic creator of Bitcoin, designed the cryptocurrency to have a maximum circulation of 21 million coins. To ensure this, the Bitcoin protocol halves the reward given to miners every 210,000 blocks, an event that occurs approximately every four years.

The Latest Halving

The latest Bitcoin halving took place in the early hours of Saturday 20th April 2024, reducing the reward for adding a new block of transactions to the blockchain from 6.25 Bitcoins to 3.125. Bitcoin’s halving will persist until the total supply approaches the 21 million cap, anticipated around the year 2140.

Impact on Bitcoin Price

The halving of Bitcoin reduces the number of new coins entering circulation, which, in theory, could drive up the price if demand remains constant.

According to economic principles, a stable demand coupled with a reduced supply should lead to a price increase.

Analysis of the three previous halvings (in 2012, 2016, and 2020) indicates an average price surge of 16% in the 60 days post-halving.

Typically, investors see the highest price increase approximately 500 days following a halving event.

Despite a recent drop from its peak, Bitcoin holds a high-level interest for crypto investors, even with its volatile behaviour. It has posted a 40% increase in 2024 compared to the same period last year.

In summary, the halving of Bitcoin reduces the availability of new coins, which could lead to an increase in value. However, the complete effects may only become apparent gradually over time.

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Meta’s new AI Chatbot has arrived

Meta announces new Chatbot assistant

Meta’s complimentary artificial intelligence (AI) assistant, known as Meta AI, is being introduced across its social media platforms, including WhatsApp, Instagram, Facebook, and Messenger.

The assistant is reportedly designed to respond to queries, craft animations, and produce ‘high-quality’ images, according to Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg in a recent video posting.

Zuckerberg also noted that the company has integrated ‘real-time knowledge’ from Google and Microsoft’s Bing to enhance the assistant’s responses.

The development of Meta AI is based on the company’s most advanced large language model, Meta Llama 3, which was unveiled on the same day – Thursday 18th April 2024.

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Surging tech stocks allow world’s largest sovereign wealth fund to post $110 billion profit in Q1

Wealth fund

Norway’s massive sovereign wealth fund reported a first-quarter profit of 1.21 trillion kroner ($109.9 billion) – bolstered by strong returns from its technology stock investments it was announced on Thursday 18th April 2024.

Established in the 1990s, Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the largest in the world, invests the surplus revenue from the nation’s oil and gas sector. The fund has invested in over 8,800 companies across more than 70 countries to date.

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Crypto trading ‘concentration’ apparently raises alarm for EU watchdog

Crypto

Digital assets have soared recently to unprecedented heights and then plummet just as quickly. It’s an extremely volatile financial environment.

Amid this volatility, the European Union’s securities watchdog, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), has sounded a cautionary note.

The Concentration Conundrum

ESMA’s latest report highlights a considerable concern: the high level of concentration in crypto trading. A handful of exchanges, led by Binance, dominate the market. In fact, Binance alone accounts for more than half of all crypto trading activity. While this concentration might seem advantageous from an efficiency standpoint—thanks to economies of scale—it raises significant questions.

The Ripple Effect

Imagine a scenario: Binance, Coinbase or any crypto platform for that matter experiences a catastrophic failure or malfunction. The repercussions would reverberate far beyond its platform.

The entire crypto ecosystem would feel the impact. Investors, traders, and enthusiasts would face disruptions, financial losses, and uncertainty. The interconnectedness of the crypto world amplifies the stakes.

Risk and Resilience

ESMA’s concerns centre on systemic risk. When a single entity dominates a market, vulnerabilities emerge. What if Binance falters due to technical glitches, cyberattacks, or regulatory crackdowns? The fallout could destabilise other exchanges, trigger panic selling, and erode investor confidence. The crypto market, already prone to wild swings, would face heightened turbulence.

Mitigating Measures

ESMA’s report underscores the need for vigilance. Regulatory bodies must strike a delicate balance: promoting innovation while safeguarding stability. Diversification across exchanges, robust risk management practices, and stress testing are essential. Additionally, fostering competition and encouraging new players can dilute concentration risk.

The Way Forward

Crypto enthusiasts should heed ESMA’s warning. While the allure of rapid gains remains strong, prudent risk assessment is crucial. Investors must diversify their holdings, stay informed, and choose exchanges wisely. As the crypto landscape evolves, collaboration between regulators, industry players, and investors will shape its future.

In this high-stakes game, the EU watchdog’s message is clear: Tread carefully as you navigate the digital frontier.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult professionals before making investment decisions

Remember to always do your own careful research or employ regulated financial advice.

Research! Research! Research!

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AI chip demand helps TSMC beat Q1 revenue and profit forecast

AI chips pushing up stock market

TSMC stands as the world’s foremost producer of sophisticated processors, boasting clientele that includes industry giants like Nvidia and Apple

Unprecedented demand for AI chips is being led by the proliferation of large language models such as ChatGPT and Chinese equivalents.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) on Thursday 17th April 2024 beat revenue and profit expectations in the Q1. Strong demand for advanced microchips, especially those used in AI tech.

TSMC’s first-quarter results

  • Net revenue: 592.64 billion New Taiwan dollars ($18.87 billion), vs. NT$582.94 billion
  • Net income: NT$225.49 billion, vs. NT$213.59 billion

TSMC announced that its net revenue has increased by 16.5% from the previous year to NT$592.64 billion, and its net income has risen by 8.9% to NT$225.49 billion. The company has forecasted its revenue for the first quarter to be in the range of $18 billion to $18.8 billion.

As the world’s largest producer of advanced processors, TSMC serves high-profile clients including Nvidia and Apple.

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Tesla to lay off over 10% of global workforce

Tesla charge EV point

The company intends to reduce its global workforce by over 10%, amounting to roughly 14,000 employees

As of December, Tesla had a total of 140,473 employees worldwide.

This decision is believed to be a response to the obstacles Tesla is encountering with slowing growth and operational effectiveness and cheaper competition.

In an internal memo, billionaire owner Elon Musk addressed the layoffs, acknowledging that it was a difficult decision but necessary for the company’s future. He emphasized the need to streamline operations and prepare for the next phase of growth. 

The layoffs have already begun and also include some key executives. 

Why?

Analysts offer diverse interpretations of the layoffs. Some perceive them as indicative of cost pressures stemming from Tesla’s investments in new models and artificial intelligence (AI).

The company’s delay in updating its aging vehicle lineup, coupled with high interest rates, has weakened consumer demand. Moreover, the influx of affordable electric vehicles, especially from China, such as BYD, has intensified the competition.

Efficiency drive?

While the layoffs indicate challenges, they also highlight Tesla’s dedication to adaptability and efficiency. As the electric vehicle (EV) industry progresses, Tesla strives to stay lean, innovative, and strategically positioned for ongoing growth. The company is scheduled to announce its quarterly earnings later this month, which analysts will scrutinize in the context of the recent workforce reductions.

In summary, Tesla’s layoffs are indicative of the intricate dynamics within the automotive sector, where innovation, cost control, and market forces converge.

The company’s capacity to steer through these complexities will determine its future prosperity.

Tesla share price year-to-date (April 2024)

Tesla share price year-to-date (April 2024)
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Gold is at an all-time high and recently crossed $2400 – is it now vulnerable to a pullback?

Gold all-time high!

Gold at all-time high above $2,400

Technical analysis indicates that the risk trends towards the upside, with indicators showing overbought conditions and prices rising above moving averages.

However, it’s crucial to remember that markets are subject to change and can be affected by various factors, including geopolitical risks and economic data.

Recent figures indicate that the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) increased less than anticipated, which may influence monetary policy decisions and, as a result, the price of gold. Furthermore, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) choice to keep its monetary policy unchanged could lead to a rate reduction next summer, potentially affecting gold prices as well.

Although the present technical perspective suggests a possible continued rise, market fluctuations can occur due to unexpected events or changes in investor sentiment. Consequently, while gold may not face an immediate decline, it is advisable for investors to remain informed and take into account both technical and fundamental aspects when evaluating market trends.

Gold price one month chart

Gold price one month chart
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Nvidia enters correction territory as stock falls from all-time high

AI

Nvidia, manufacturer of one of the most advanced graphics processing units (GPUs), has significantly benefited from the artificial intelligence (AI) surge due to the high demand for its microchips.

The company’s shares have fallen 10% from their recent all-time high, which was over $950. On Tuesday, 9th April 2024, the stock closed at $853.54, but it saw a slight recovery on Wednesday 10th April 2024, to $870.39.

Nvidia Corporation share price off recent all time high

Nvidia Corporation share price off recent all time high

On Tuesday, 9th April 2024, Intel, a competitor in the chipmaking industry, introduced a new AI chip named Gaudi 3. This chip is designed to drive large language models and stands as a contender against Nvidia’s most sophisticated chips.

U.S. inflation data coming in higher than expected along with a climb in treasuries has led to doubts of a Fed rate cut anytime soon.

These concerns combined together, pushed Nvidia and some other tech stocks lower.

The Nasdaq Composite drifted lower on the day

The Nasdaq Composite drifted lower
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Is there an AI bubble in the stock market and if so – will it burst any time soon?

AI bubble about to burst?

The recent surge of interest in artificial intelligence (AI) has ignited a significant rally in technology stocks.

Firms engaged in AI development, such as semiconductor producers crucial to AI technology and cloud service providers offering the necessary computing infrastructure, have experienced significant returns.

The stock market is abuzz with excitement over artificial intelligence (AI). With technology stocks on the rise, some investors are questioning whether this signifies an AI bubble that could eventually pop.

The AI Rally Early Winners

In recent months, a select group of large U.S. companies has spearheaded advancements. These pioneers include semiconductor manufacturers critical for AI technology and cloud service providers equipped to commercialise it. The financial returns have been remarkable.

Not Your Typical Bubble 

Despite the rally, experts argue that we’re not in a traditional bubble.

  • Market Concentration: The market rally has shown a high level of concentration. A mere 15 companies have contributed to more than 90% of the returns in the S&P 500 Index from January to June. Given that these frontrunners are predominantly large corporations, the equity market has experienced an exceptional concentration of returns.
  • Valuations and Balance Sheets: Contrary to previous bubbles, such as the internet bubble of 2000, the valuations of today’s leading technology stocks are not overly inflated. These firms have strong balance sheets and deliver significant returns on investment. It’s probable that we are still in the initial phases of a new technological cycle, which may result in continued superior performance.
  • U.S. vs European Tech: Valuations in the U.S. technology sector have garnered an unusual premium compared to European tech companies. This highlights the significance of the AI narrative, considering that the majority of leading AI companies are based in the U.S.
  • Future Growth Assumptions: Investors seem to expect much higher future growth for these tech giants, despite rising rates.

The AI Bubble Debate 

Although tech stock valuations are high compared to historical standards, this doesn’t automatically indicate a bubble. The present price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the U.S. tech sector is indeed high, but context is key. The top seven US companies at the forefront of the generative AI industry have an average P/E ratio of 25.

Conclusion

The AI market has not reached bubble status as of now, but careful monitoring is essential. Staying vigilant about valuations, market dominance, and growth projections is important as we venture through this dynamic technological terrain, distinguishing genuine potential from mere speculation.

AI is here to stay, and this is just the beginning of a new ever powerful revolution.

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GEN AI – The AI ‘generation’

AI Generation

The Generation AI: How the next wave of young innovators will shape the future

Artificial intelligence (AI) is not only a technology that is transforming the world, but also a culture that is inspiring the next generation of young innovators.

The Generation AI is a term that refers to the children and teenagers who are growing up with AI as a natural part of their lives, and who are using it to express their creativity, solve problems, and pursue their passions. 

Generation AI is different from the previous generations in many ways. They are more diverse, more connected, more curious, and more entrepreneurial. GEN AI are also more aware of the social and ethical implications of AI, and more eager to use it for good. They are not just passive consumers of AI, but active creators and collaborators. 

The Generation AI is already making an impact in a variety of domains and industries.

Education

Generation AI is learning with and from AI, using it to enhance their learning experiences, personalise their curricula, and access global resources. They are also teaching AI, using it to share their knowledge, mentor their peers, and build their portfolios. For example, CodeGPT is a platform that allows students to learn coding with AI, and to create their own AI projects. 

Healthcare

The Generation AI is improving their health and well-being with AI, using it to monitor their fitness, nutrition, and mental health, and to access reliable and personalized health information and services. They are also contributing to the health of others, using AI to support health research, diagnosis, and treatment. For example, Cureskin is an app that uses AI to detect and treat skin conditions. 

Entertainment

The Generation AI is enjoying and creating entertainment with AI, using it to discover and consume content that suits their tastes, preferences, and moods, and to generate their own content, such as music, art, games, and stories. They are also engaging and interacting with AI, using it to play, chat, and socialise with others.

For example, OpenART, Microsoft Copilot, Stable Diffusion or PopAI and OpenAI’s ChatGPT are just a small selection of generative AI systems that can create realistic and diverse images from text descriptions.  The Generation AI is not only the future of AI, but also the future of humanity.

They are the ones who will shape the direction and impact of AI, and who will benefit from its opportunities and challenges. They are the ones who will unleash the full potential of AI, and who will make the world a better place a discerned use of AI.

Note: apps mentioned in this article are not recommendations. They are just for reference only.

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Ripple CEO predicts crypto market will reach $5 trillion in 2024

Ripple

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse anticipates the total value of the cryptocurrency market will double this year.

He references the launch of the first U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) and the forthcoming Bitcoin halving event as key factors.

“The overall market capitalization of the cryptocurrency industry is expected to double by the end of this year, influenced by a range of macroeconomic factors,” Garlinghouse reportedly said.

He also considers the potential for favorable regulatory changes in the United States as another catalyst for the market’s growth.

SNAPSHOT: Cryptocurrency market value as of 8th April 2024

Let’s check in on the prediction at the end of the year and see where the crypto market is.

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Tech giant Samsung expects profits to jump by more than 900%

Semiconductor

Samsung Electronics anticipates its profits for the first quarter of 2024 to surge more than tenfold compared to the previous year.

This projection is due to the recovery in chip prices following a post-pandemic decline and a surge in demand for artificial intelligence (AI) related products.

As the world’s leading manufacturer of memory microchips, smartphones, and televisions, the South Korea-based Samsung reportedly plans to publish a comprehensive financial report on 30th April 2024.

Projected profit

The tech giant has projected that its operating profit for the January-March 2024 quarter soared to 6.6 trillion won ($4.9bn; £3.9bn), marking a 931% increase from the same period in 2023, surpassing analysts’ forecasts of approximately 5.7 trillion won.

Rebound in microchip prices

A rebound in global semiconductor prices, following a significant downturn the previous year, is expected to bolster its earnings. Over the past year, global memory microchip prices have reportedly increased by about 20%. The semiconductor division of Samsung typically generates the most revenue for the company.

The demand for semiconductors is projected to stay robust throughout the year, fueled by the expansion in AI technologies. Furthermore, the earthquake that struck Taiwan on 3rd April 2024 could potentially constrict the worldwide chip supply, possibly enabling Samsung to further elevate its prices.

Taiwan a key player

Taiwan houses several key chipmakers, including TSMC, which supplies Apple and Nvidia. Despite TSMC reporting minimal impact on its production from the earthquake, it did experience some operational disruptions.

Additionally, Samsung is poised to benefit from the sales of its newly launched flagship Galaxy S24 smartphones, introduced in January.

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Tesla losing market share to Chinese EV makers

EV

Chinese EV manufacturers such as BYD and smartphone maker Xiaomi are starting to inflict some damage to Tesla’s EV market.

Xiaomi has launched its first electric vehicle (EV) and started taking orders.

The company reportedly announced that the standard SU7 model would be priced at 215,900 yuan ($29,872; £23,663), while the Max version would be available for 299,900 yuan.

Xiaomi boasted over 50,000 orders within the first 27 minutes of sales.

Xiaomi’s foray into the electric vehicle market occurs amid a global slowdown in sales growth, sparking a pricing war.

This strategy positions the tech company against EV competitors such as Tesla and BYD. In China, the entry-level price for Tesla’s Model 3 stands at 245,900 yuan.

It was reported that the SU7 would have a minimum range of 700km (435 miles), beating the Tesla Model 3’s 567km.

The company is optimistic that the SU7’s unified operating system, which is compatible with its phones, laptops, and other devices, will attract current customers.

Xiaomi ranks as the world’s third-largest smartphone seller, holding approximately a 12% market share.

Numerous global EV manufacturers, including BMW, Audi, Nissan, and Hyundai, are encroaching on Tesla’s market share. Additionally, Chinese EV producers are entering the market with increasingly affordable alternatives.

How will Tesla respond?

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Gold goes higher again as it breaks through $2,300

Gold bars

The precious metal has reached consecutive record highs this year, including a peak on Thursday 4th April 2024.

The gold price surpassed $2,300 before slightly retracting. By early Friday, it was trading at approximately $2,278 per ounce.

According to some analysts, geopolitical and structural factors are setting gold on a trajectory to reach $2,600 per ounce within the next year.

The catalysts for its ascent and the potential for further increases in the near to medium term are widely debated among investors, particularly as the stock market continues to post strong gains.

Gold price over three months 2024

Gold price over three months 2024

The anticipation of interest rate reductions and central bank acquisitions has been instrumental in propelling the rally in recent months.

If the Fed were to indicate higher interest rates in its latest FOMC meeting, then gold and other assets will likely fall.

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Intel shares fall after $7 billion operating loss revealed in foundry business

Microchip manufacture

Intel’s stock dropped by 4% during extended trading on Tuesday 2nd April 2024, following the disclosure of long-anticipated financial details for its semiconductor manufacturing division, often referred to as the foundry business, in a filing with the SEC.

The company reportedly disclosed that its foundry business incurred an operating loss of $7 billion in 2023, against sales of $18.9 billion. This represents a greater loss compared to the $5.2 billion operating loss reported by Intel for its foundry business in 2022, which had sales of $27.5 billion.

This is the first time that Intel has disclosed revenue totals for its foundry business separately. Historically, Intel has both designed its own chips as well as its own manufacturing and reported microchip sales to investors.

Other American semiconductor companies such as Nvidia and AMD design their microchips but send them off to Asian factories such as Taiwan’s TSMC for manufacturing.

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The unexpected global gas glut

Gas

The world’s energy landscape is experiencing an unexpected twist: an oversupply of natural gas.

As economies grapple with the aftermath of the pandemic, the gas market finds itself in a paradoxical situation.

The Glut Unveiled

  • Abundant Supply: The global gas glut stems from a surge in production. Countries like the United States, Russia, and Qatar have ramped up their natural gas output, flooding the market.
  • LNG Boom: Liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects have proliferated, adding to the surplus. New terminals and pipelines facilitate the movement of LNG across continents.

Demand Dilemma

  • Warmer Winters: Milder winters in key consuming regions such as Europe, the U.S., and Asia, have suppressed demand for heating. Gas storage facilities are brimming, leaving suppliers with excess inventory.
  • Geopolitical Tensions: Europe’s reliance on Russian gas has prompted diversification efforts. LNG imports from the United States, Australia, and other sources provide an alternative. However, the North Sea’s production limitations persist.

Price Plunge

  • Price Disparities: While wholesale gas prices in Europe and Asia have tumbled, mainland Europe still faces higher prices due to supply constraints. The U.S. market, despite its glut, operates differently.
  • Investment Paradox: Ironically, this glut coincides with record investments in LNG infrastructure. The mismatch between supply growth and demand dynamics baffles analysts.

Environmental Implications

  • Balancing Act: As gas prices dip, affordability improves for consumers. However, environmental concerns remain. Natural gas, though cleaner than coal, still contributes to greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Policy Challenges: Policymakers must navigate this delicate balance—ensuring energy security while transitioning to cleaner alternatives.

Conclusion

The global gas glut is a paradox: abundant supply alongside record investments. As we navigate this downward super cycle, energy markets remain unpredictable and interconnected globally.

Remember, while gas prices dip, the implications for our planet and energy policies are far-reaching. It’s a delicate balance between affordability and sustainability.

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Gold prices hit another record high!

Gold price hits new record

U.S. gold futures rose more than 2% to trade at around $2,285

Gold prices continued their ascent, reaching a new record high on Monday 1st April 2024, driven by expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and the metal’s status as a safe-haven asset.

Gold typically has an inverse relationship with interest rates. When interest rates decrease, gold becomes more attractive relative to fixed-income assets like bonds, which tend to offer lower returns in a low-interest-rate environment.

Gold hits new high of 2285

Gold hits new high of 2285
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Cocoa prices have soared to record levels

Cocoa prices at extreme highs!

The cocoa futures price for May 2024 delivery surged to an all-time intraday high of $10,080 per metric tonne Tuesday 26th March 2024

Cocoa prices have soared, hitting unprecedented highs. This dramatic increase has profound consequences for both consumers and the chocolate industry.

Chocolate enthusiasts might have to prepare for increased prices or changes in product sizes (or both), due to the persistent challenges in the cocoa market.

Historic Supply Deficit

The world is experiencing the most significant cocoa supply shortfall in over six decades. In West Africa, a key region for cocoa production, farmers are struggling with adverse weather conditions, diseases, and aging trees. These persistent problems have resulted in a critical reduction of cocoa supplies, and there appear to be no simple resolutions on the horizon.

Price Volatility

Recently, cocoa futures contracts for May 2024 delivery reached a record intraday peak of $10,080 per metric tonne. In the past year, cocoa prices have more than tripled, with a 129% surge in 2024 alone. Major chocolate producers have implemented hedging strategies to cope with price volatility and prevent the direct transfer of increased costs to consumers.

Impact on Consumers

Large chocolate companies, well-hedged last year, are reaching the limit of cost absorption. As cocoa prices rise, consumers might begin to feel the impact. The National Confectioners Association is collaborating with retailers to reduce costs and maintain chocolate affordability. Nonetheless, there’s a finite extent to which the impact of escalating cocoa prices can be lessened.

Future Outlook

The International Cocoa Organization predicts a supply shortfall of 374,000 tonnes for the 2023/2024 season, marking a substantial rise from the previous season’s 74,000-ton deficit. Experts caution that ‘the worst is yet to come,’ suggesting that cocoa prices may stay high due to persistent market challenges lacking swift solutions.

Possible Consumer Impact

With the ongoing surge in cocoa prices, consumers may encounter higher costs or “shrinkflation,” resulting in smaller chocolate bars. Manufacturers might alter their recipes to include less cocoa. Dark chocolate, known for its high cocoa content, could be most affected.

In summary, a mix of supply shortages, fluctuating prices, and industry limitations is pushing cocoa prices to record levels.