Microsoft and Meta both indicate future AI spending will cut into next quarter profits

Microsoft and AI

Microsoft’s significant investment in OpenAI is impacting its earnings – 30th October 2024

The company reportedly indicated, following the quarterly earnings report, that Microsoft anticipates a $1.5 billion reduction in income for the current period, primarily due to projected losses from OpenAI.

Microsoft’s nearly $14 billion investment in OpenAI, the creator of the widely popular ChatGPT assistant, has catalysed the emergence of the generative artificial intelligence industry, leading to billions in new revenue for Microsoft.

Despite this, OpenAI is experiencing substantial financial losses. It is projected to incur $5 billion in losses this year, excluding stock-based compensation, against $4 billion in revenue, according to reports from earlier this month.

Microsoft’s stock declined following weaker-than-expected revenue guidance, despite exceeding earnings expectations.

The company’s revenue reportedly increased by 16% in the fiscal first quarter, outpacing analyst predictions.

Earnings from Azure and other cloud services reportedly rose by 33%, exceeding forecasts.

Nevertheless, the projected revenue growth did not meet analyst expectations.

Meta

Meta’s third-quarter earnings report, released on Wednesday 30th October 2024, disclosed user numbers that fell short of expectations.

The company reported $3.29 billion daily active users for the quarter, marking a 5% increase from the previous year but still below the anticipated $3.31 billion by analysts.

Meta also projected a substantial increase in capital expenditures for 2025.

Additionally, Meta indicated a significant rise in AI spending for 2025.

Apple smartphones return to top 5 rank in China following iPhone 16 release

Apple smartphones

Apple has returned to the top five smartphone vendors in China’s market during the third quarter, lifted by the release of the iPhone 16, according to data.

Apple’s shipment growth remained steady year-on-year in the Q2, securing the company a second-place rank by market share in Q3.

Following Apple, Huawei held the third position with a 15.3% market share, as per reported data. Despite this, Huawei’s smartphone shipments in China saw a significant increase of 42% year-on-year.

Nasdaq hits new all-time high – Tesla enjoys another great day

Nasdaq index at new high!

The Nasdaq Composite climbed to an all-time high on Friday 25th October 2024, boosted by BIG tech stocks.

The tech-heavy index rose 0.56% to 18,518.61

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index rose 0.56% to 18,518.61

Tech stocks boosted the market ahead of their upcoming earnings. Nvidia added 0.8%, and shares of Meta Platforms, Amazon and Microsoft were also higher.

Some analysts are suggesting it may be time to short Amazon and Apple as they head into earnings season? Let’s see.

Tesla helped boost the Nasdaq as its stock climbed to close at a 13-month high, sustaining its rally post-earnings.

Tesla enjoyed its best market day since 2013, the stock rose more than 3% on Friday 25th October 2024, closing at its highest since September 2023.

Tesla 5-day stock chart as of 25th October 2024

Tesla 5-day stock chart as of 25th October 2024

Tesla beats earnings forecast in third quarter 2024

Tesla


Tesla shares climbed 12% in extended trading after the company’s third-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates, following a long slump.

However, Tesla’s revenue for that period, up 8% year on year, marginally missed expectations. “Vehicle growth” will hit up to 20%-30% next year, said CEO Elon Musk, thanks to “lower cost vehicles” and the “advent of autonomy.” Apparently, this was presented as a ‘best guess’.

Profit margins reportedly received a boost from $739 million in automotive regulatory credit revenue during the quarter. Automakers must acquire a certain number of regulatory credits annually. Those unable to meet the requirement can buy credits from companies like Tesla, which has a surplus due to its exclusive production of electric vehicles.

Automotive revenue reportedly rose 2% to $20 billion, up from $19.63 billion in the same quarter the previous year, and has remained roughly stable since late 2022. Energy generation and storage revenue reportedly surged 52% to $2.38 billion, while services and other revenue, which includes income from non-warranty Tesla vehicle repairs, increased by 29% to $2.79 billion.

Tesla quarterly revenues by business section

Tesla quarterly revenues by business section

Tesla share price and close and ‘after hours’ trading 23rd October 2024 (09:15 BST)

Tesla share price and close and ‘after hours’ trading 23rd October 2024 (09:15 BST)

Amazon goes nuclear, to invest more than $500 million to develop small modular reactors (SMR)

AWS nuclear power

Amazon Web Services (AWS) has announced the signing of an agreement with Dominion Energy, the utility company of Virginia U.S., to explore the development of a small modular nuclear reactor near Dominion’s existing North Anna nuclear power station.

As Amazon’s cloud computing subsidiary, AWS has an ever-growing demand for clean energy, particularly as it expands into generative AI. This agreement aligns with Amazon’s journey towards net-zero carbon emissions.

Amazon joins other major tech companies like Google and Microsoft in turning to nuclear power to meet the increasing energy needs of data centres.

Big tech companies are increasingly adopting nuclear power to meet the high energy demands of their AI data centres

Data centre powered by nuclear reactors

Why?

Elevated Energy Needs

AI systems, particularly generative AI, necessitate substantial computational power, leading to significant energy use. Conventional energy sources might not meet these growing demands.

Environmental Commitments

Numerous tech firms have pledged to lower their carbon emissions. Nuclear power, a low-emission energy source, supports these environmental commitments.

Dependability

Nuclear energy offers a consistent and uninterrupted power supply, essential for data centres that operate around the clock.

Technological Advancements

Progress in nuclear technologies, such as small modular reactors (SMRs), has enhanced the feasibility and appeal of nuclear power for extensive use.

For example, Google has entered into an agreement with Kairos Power for electricity from small modular reactors to bolster its AI operations. In a similar vein, Microsoft has collaborated with Constellation to refurbish an inactive reactor at the Three Mile Island nuclear facility.

These collaborations mark a notable transition in the energy strategies of the tech sector, as they pursue dependable, eco-friendly, and robust power solutions to support their AI initiatives.

Nvidia hits new record high with new $3.4 trillion market cap

AI chips

Nvidia’s shares have reached a record peak as the company continues to benefit from the surging demand for its AI chips

Tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon are acquiring Nvidia’s GPUs in large volumes to create extensive AI computing clusters.

Nvidia, with a market capitalisation of around $3.4 trillion, ranks as the second most valuable publicly traded company in the U.S., trailing behind Apple, which has a market cap of approximately $3.55 trillion.

And to think… just 6 weeks ago Nvidia hit the news with this headline: Nvidia $279 billion market cap wipeout — the biggest in U.S. history for just ONE company.

Oh, the volatility of tech stocks, don’t you just love it?

The company’s stock rose by 2.4% to close at $138.07, exceeding the previous high of $135.58 set on 18th June 2023. The shares have increased by nearly 180% this year and have experienced a more than ninefold increase since early 2023.

Regarded as the leading supplier in the AI revolution, Nvidia has gained significantly from the generative AI surge initiated by OpenAI’s ChatGPT release in November 2022. Nvidia’s GPUs are instrumental in developing and running sophisticated AI models, including those that operate ChatGPT and related platforms.

You can’t go far wrong when big players such as Microsoft, Meta, Google and Amazon are buying your stuff.

Tesla shares dropped 9% on Friday 11th October 2024 after Cybercab Robotaxi event disappointed investors

Elon Musk's Sci-Fi vision

Tesla’s stock declined on Friday 11th October 2024 following the electric vehicle maker’s highly anticipated robotaxi event, which left investors unimpressed

£60 billion was wiped off Tesla market cap

CEO Elon Musk showcased the Cybercab concept vehicle, announcing that it would be available for purchase at a price below $30,000.

Analysts reportedly commented that the event did not emphasise any immediate opportunities for Tesla, focusing instead on Musk’s long-term vision for fully autonomous driving.

At the ‘We, Robot’ event on Thursday 10th October 2024, CEO Elon Musk presented the Cybercab, a sleek, silver two-seater without steering wheels or pedals, underscoring his company’s goal to develop a fleet of self-driving vehicles and robots.

Musk expressed his hope for Tesla to start producing the Cybercab by 2027, though he did not specify the manufacturing locations. He reiterated that the Tesla Cybercab would be sold for less than $30,000.

Furthermore, he anticipated that Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles would feature ‘unsupervised FSD’ operational in Texas and California by next year. FSD, standing for Full Self-Driving, is Tesla’s advanced driver assistance system, currently available in a supervised format.

Investors and analysts were underwhelmed by the event. Tesla shares fell.

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Elon Musk’s wealth

Elon Musk is projected to become the world’s first trillionaire by 2027, as per a recent report by Informa Connect Academy. Among global billionaires, Musk is nearest to reaching the 13-figure threshold, with his wealth continuing to increase.

Bloomberg Billionaire Index

Ripple diversifies to launch crypto storage service for banks

XRP Ripple system

Ripple has announced the launch of a range of features designed to assist banks and fintech’s with the storage of digital tokens, marking a significant expansion into the realm of crypto custody.

Crypto custody services, which support clients in managing their crypto assets, represent a new venture for Ripple, now unified under the brand Ripple Custody.

The company is best known for its XRP cryptocurrency and RippleNet, a distributed ledger platform facilitating fast interbank payments.

U.S. DOJ indicates it is contemplating Google break-up following monopoly ruling

Potential legal Google break-up

On Tuesday, October 8, 2024, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) indicated that it might consider the break-up of Google as an antitrust action.

The DOJ is considering both behavioural and structural options to prevent Google from using products like Chrome, Play, and Android to favour Google Search.

The decision regarding the remedies is still outstanding, and it is anticipated that Google will appeal, potentially extending the process for years.

See details of recent ruling here

Failed crypto firm FTX set to pay customer refunds

Crypto exchange desk workser

Creditors of the disgraced cryptocurrency exchange FTX are set to receive up to $16.5 billion (£12.6 billion) following a bankruptcy plan sanctioned in the U.S. on Monday

This settlement concludes a tumultuous period that began with the company’s bankruptcy in November 2022, which left millions of customers without access to their funds.

Last year, the exchange’s former chief, Sam Bankman-Fried, was found guilty of misappropriating customer funds before the collapse and was subsequently sentenced to 25 years in prison.

Under the terms of the agreement, former clients will be able to reclaim approximately 119% of the value held in their accounts at the time of the bankruptcy, as per FTX’s statement.

Creditors expect to receive their compensation within 60 days after the plan becomes operative, although the exact date remains to be determined.

European Union vote to slap tariff charge on Chinese EV imports

EU EV Charge

On Friday 4th October 2024, the European Union voted to implement definitive tariffs on battery electric vehicles (BEVs) made in China

‘The European Commission’s proposal to levy definitive countervailing duties on imports of Chinese battery electric vehicles has garnered the requisite support from EU Member States to proceed with the imposition of tariffs,‘ stated the EU.

Initially, the EU announced in June its intention to impose higher tariffs on imports of Chinese electric vehicles, citing substantial unfair subsidies that threaten economic harm to European electric vehicle manufacturers.

The EU disclosed specific duties for companies based on their level of cooperation and the information provided during the bloc’s investigation into China’s EV production, which commenced last year. Provisional duties have been in effect since early July.

Following the receipt of ‘substantiated comments on the provisional measures‘ from stakeholders, the European Commission updated its tariff strategy in September 2024.

A spokesperson from China’s Ministry of Commerce indicated that Beijing maintains its stance that the EU’s investigation into China’s electric vehicle industry subsidies has led to predetermined outcomes – suggesting that the EU is fostering unfair competition.

China responded by vowing a suitable response.

Bitwise files for first-ever spot XRP ETF

XRP ETF

Bitwise Asset Management, a prominent player in the cryptocurrency investment space, has recently made headlines with its filing for a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

This move marks a significant milestone as it is the first attempt to create an ETF specifically for XRP, the native token of the XRP Ledger.

The proposed Bitwise XRP ETF aims to provide investors with direct exposure to XRP through traditional brokerage accounts. This will make it easier for both institutional and retail investors to gain access to this digital asset. Bitwise’s decision to pursue an XRP ETF underscores the growing recognition of XRP’s potential and its established presence in the cryptocurrency market.

Bitwise is no stranger to the ETF landscape, having successfully launched Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in the past. The company’s experience and reputation in managing crypto assets lend credibility to this new venture. However, the approval process for the XRP ETF is expected to be rigorous, given the SEC’s cautious approach to cryptocurrency-related financial products.

The filing comes at a time when the cryptocurrency market is experiencing increased interest from mainstream investors. XRP, known for its fast transaction speeds and low fees, has been a popular choice for cross-border payments and remittances. If approved, the Bitwise XRP ETF could attract a new wave of investors looking to diversify their portfolios with digital assets.

While the SEC’s decision is still pending, the filing itself is a testament to the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investments. There is a growing acceptance of digital assets in traditional financial markets. Investors and crypto enthusiasts alike will be watching closely as this development unfolds.

Others will likely follow suit.

XRP 7-day chart from CoinMarketCap

Note the timing of the ETF announcement and the subsequent drop in XRP price.

XRP 7-day chart from CoinMarketCap. Note the timing of the ETF announcement and the subsequent drop in XRP price.

Note: article written by AI

Meta reportedly to use the voice of Dame Judi Dench for its celebrity AI Chatbot

Chatbot with celebrity voices

Meta, the parent company of Instagram, has announced that voices of Dame Judi Dench and John Cena will be available as options for its AI chatbot.

Moreover, users can access information through AI representations of celebrities such as Awkwafina, Keegan-Michael Key, and Kristen Bell. Meta is hopeful that this new endeavour with celebrity chatbots will surpass the success of its previous attempts. In September 2023, Meta introduced AI chatbots featuring the ‘personalities’ of celebrities including Kendall Jenner and Snoop Dogg, but the project was terminated within a year.

At Meta’s annual Connect conference, CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced the new celebrity chatbot project, remarking, ‘Interacting with AI through voice will be more intuitive than through text.‘ The enhanced ChatGPT-style chatbot will also be capable of recognizing objects in images and providing relevant details. Additionally, a novel image editing tool will allow users to alter photos by simply directing the Meta AI with their requests.

Meta has disclosed that its AI now reaches over 400 million people monthly, with 185 million engaging weekly.

Meta one-year chart as of 2nd October 2024

Meta one-year chart as of 2nd October 2024

Tesla misses delivery estimates – stock drops

Tesla EV

Tesla posted its third-quarter vehicle production and deliveries report on Wednesday 2nd October 2024 – the stock fell 3.7%.

Total deliveries Q3 2024: 462,890 – Total production Q3 2024: 469,796

Analysts had projected Tesla would deliver 463,310 vehicles by the end of September 2024. However, other sources indicated a larger shortfall; the average analyst predictions were at 469,828 vehicles, while an independent researcher known as ‘Troy Teslike,‘ popular among Tesla enthusiasts, estimated 472,000 deliveries for the quarter.

Comparatively, Tesla reported 435,059 deliveries and 430,488 EVs produced in the same period last year. In the previous quarter, the company achieved 443,956 deliveries and produced 410,831 vehicles.

In the U.S., competitors such as Rivian are advancing, and traditional automakers like Ford and General Motors are increasing their electric vehicle sales, albeit scaling back earlier electrification targets.

Ford announced a 12% increase in EV sales for the third quarter, totaling 23,509 vehicles on Wednesday 2nd October 2024.

General Motors reported a 60% rise in EV sales for the same quarter compared to the previous year, with 32,100 units sold, which represents 4.9% of its total sales volume.

Tesla’s reputation in the U.S. has faced challenges, partly due to CEO Elon Musk’s controversial actions, including endorsing former President Donald Trump and disseminating what has reportedly been described by the White House as ‘racist hate“, along with alleged misinformation about immigration and election fraud on X, his social media platform.

Despite these issues, Tesla remains the leading seller of battery electric vehicles in the U.S., with Hyundai trailing significantly behind.

Tesla -year chart as of 2nd October 2024

Tesla -year chart as of 2nd October 2024

What is China’s equivalent to Nvidia?

AI microchips

Chinese firms are reportedly intensifying their efforts to develop a competitive alternative to Nvidia’s AI chips, as part of Beijing’s ongoing initiative to reduce its reliance on U.S. technology.

China faces several challenges that are impeding its technological progress, including U.S. export restrictions that limit domestic semiconductor production. The lack of technical expertise is also reported to be a problem.

Analysts have identified companies including Huawei as the principal competitors to Nvidia in China

China’s counterparts to Nvidia, such as Huawei, Alibaba, and Baidu, are actively developing AI chips to compete in the same market. Huawei’s HiSilicon division is known for its Ascend series of data centre processors.

Huawei’s HiSilicon division is known for its Ascend series of data centre processors, and Alibaba’s T-Head has produced the Hanguang 800 AI inference chip. Other significant players include Biren Technology and Cambricon Technologies.

Alibaba’s T-Head has developed the Hanguang 800 AI inference chip. Other significant players include Biren Technology and Cambricon Technologies.

These Chinese firms are intensifying their efforts to create alternatives to Nvidia’s AI-powering chips. This is a big part of Beijing’s broader initiative to reduce its reliance on U.S. technology.

Nvidia’s surge in growth is attributed to the demand from major cloud computing companies for its server products, which incorporate graphics processing units, or GPUs.

These GPUs are crucial for entities like OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, which requires substantial computational power to train extensive AI models on large datasets.

AI models are crucial for chatbots and other AI applications

Since 2022, the U.S. has limited the export of Nvidia’s top-tier chips to China, with further restrictions imposed last year.

The U.S. sanctions and Nvidia’s market dominance pose significant obstacles to China’s ambitions, particularly in the short term, according to analysts. The U.S. has curbed the export of Nvidia’s most sophisticated chips to China since 2022, with increased restrictions implemented last year.

China’s GPU designers rely on external manufacturers for chip production. Traditionally, this role was filled by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC). However, due to U.S. restrictions, many Chinese firms are now unable to procure chips from TSMC.

As a result, they have shifted to using SMIC, China’s largest chipmaker, which is technologically several generations behind TSMC. This gap is partly due to Washington’s limitations on SMIC’s access to essential machinery from the Dutch company ASML, necessary for producing the most advanced chips.

Huawei is driving the development of more sophisticated chips for its smartphones and AI, which occupies a significant portion of SMIC’s capacity.

Nvidia has achieved success not only through its advanced semiconductors but also via its CUDA software platform. The system enables developers to build applications for Nvidia’s hardware. This has fostered an ecosystem around Nvidia’s designs, which will be challenging for competitors to emulate.

Huawei leading the pack for China

Huawei is at the forefront as a leading force in China for its Ascend series of data centre processors. The current generation, named Ascend 910B, is soon to be succeeded by the Ascend 910C. This new chip may come to rival Nvidia’s H100.

Bitcoin tumbles back to the $60000 level after mini rally

Crypto

Cryptocurrencies fell on Tuesday evening 1st October 2024, with Bitcoin retreating to the $60,000 level following an unstable beginning to what is typically one of its best performing months.

Shares associated with digital currencies also fell in after-hours trading. Crypto exchange Coinbase saw a decline of about 1%, and MicroStrategy experienced a 2% drop, following a decrease of 7.4% and 3.5% at the close.

Escalating conflicts in the Middle East have curbed investors’ appetite for risk as the new trading month and quarter got underway. On Tuesday 1st October 2024, Iran executed a ballistic missile strike on Israel in response to the recent assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and an Iranian commander in Lebanon.

The growing turmoil in the Middle East has driven oil prices higher and bolstered the U.S. dollar, casting a shadow over Bitcoin and other speculative assets.

Bitcoin 7-day chart from CoinMarketCap

Bitcoin 7-day chart from CoinMarketCap

Ireland’s 13-billion-euro Apple windfall

Apple

Ireland stands to gain a substantial financial boost following a pivotal ruling by the European Union’s highest court, which requires Apple to pay €13 billion (around $14 billion) in back taxes. Initially resisted by Dublin, this windfall is now seen as a transformative chance for the nation.

The settlement’s roots trace back to 2016 when the European Commission deemed that Apple had received illegal state aid via favorable tax deals with Ireland. After prolonged legal disputes, the EU court’s verdict has concluded the issue, mandating Apple to settle the substantial amount.

The Irish government has devised a strategic plan to capitalise on this unforeseen fiscal advantage. The funds are designated for various key sectors to promote sustained economic growth and societal welfare. A considerable portion is allocated for infrastructure enhancements, including transport network upgrades and sustainable energy initiatives, in line with Ireland’s green economy transition goals.

The windfall will also bolster progress in healthcare and education. Plans are in place to improve healthcare facilities and services, enhancing access and care quality for residents. In education, investments will focus on updating educational institutions, fostering research and innovation, and preparing the workforce with future-oriented skills.

The financial influx also presents a chance to tackle housing deficits, with investments directed towards boosting affordable housing availability and ameliorating living standards nationwide. This comprehensive strategy aims to forge a more equitable and thriving society.

In essence, Ireland’s $14 billion windfall from Apple offers an exceptional opportunity to effectuate considerable improvements across diverse sectors, potentially reshaping the country’s economic and social fabric for generations.

It’s quite remarkable how a fortune from just ONE company can be utterly transformational for an entire country.

As of September 2024, Apple’s market cap sat at around $3.4 trillion. This makes Apple the most valuable company in the world by market cap.

As of September 2024, Apple’s market cap sat at around $3.4 trillion. This makes Apple the most valuable company in the world by market cap.

Just so you know, 14 billion of 3.4 trillion equals about 0.41%. A small drop in a massive financial ocean.

Robinhood launches crypto transfers in Europe directly through its app

Crypto exchange

The retail investment platform Robinhood has announced the introduction of cryptocurrency transfers in and out of its app for European customers

As part of its international expansion efforts, the company aims to enhance its product offerings in the region.

According to a blog post-dated Tuesday 1st October 2024, Robinhood will enable customers within the European Union to deposit and withdraw over 20 different digital currencies via its platform, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and USD Coin.

This development grants Robinhood’s European clientele the option of “self-custody” of assets, allowing them to personally hold their cryptocurrencies in a privately-owned wallet, rather than relying on a third-party service to manage their funds.

Big Tech aiming to raise $100 billion for AI data centres

Fund creation for AI

In a substantial effort to strengthen the infrastructure required for artificial intelligence (AI), BlackRock and Microsoft have unveiled a significant fundraising endeavour.

The initiative, dubbed the Global AI Infrastructure Investment Partnership (GAIIP), seeks to secure $30 billion in private equity capital, with the possibility of leveraging up to $100 billion including debt financing.

The main objective of this initiative is to establish new and larger data centers to accommodate the escalating demand for computing power spurred by advancements in AI. These data centres are vital for meeting the growing computational requirements of AI applications, which necessitate substantial processing power and storage capacity. Additionally, the partnership will focus on investing in the energy infrastructure required to operate these data centres in an environmentally sustainable manner.

BlackRock, the global investment management corporation, contributes its vast network of corporate relationships and private equity expertise. Microsoft, a pioneer in technology and AI, offers the necessary technological expertise and industry leadership. Together, their goal is to establish a strong infrastructure that will bolster AI innovation and contribute to economic expansion.

The investment will be primarily directed towards the United States, with a portion also being allocated to partner countries. This strategic emphasis aims to boost American AI competitiveness and encourage worldwide cooperation. The partnership is designed to support an open architecture and a wide-ranging ecosystem, enabling a variety of partners and companies to leverage the infrastructure.

NVIDIA, a leading force in AI technology, will contribute to GAIIP by providing its expertise in AI data centres and manufacturing facilities. This partnership is anticipated to improve AI supply chains and energy procurement, offering advantages to both consumers and the broader industry.

This collaboration marks a substantial move towards establishing the infrastructure of tomorrow and powering it in an eco-friendly manner.

UK says data centres are critical infrastructure and are designated as important as the power grid and the NHS

Critical data centres UK

UK data centres are set to be classified as critical national infrastructure (CNI), aligning them with sectors such as emergency services, finance, healthcare, and utilities

This classification will ensure they receive additional government support during major incidents like cyber-attacks, IT outages, or severe weather, to reduce disruption.

Data centres, large warehouses filled with extensive computer banks, are the backbone of services like AI applications, data processing, and streaming. Despite facing criticism for their energy and water usage, the new Labour government supports the industry, with Technology Secretary Peter Kyle referring to data centres as ‘the engines of modern life.’

Currently, the UK recognises 13 sectors as critical national infrastructure, a list last revised nine years ago with the addition of space and defence.

The 13 Critical National Infrastructure Sectors

  1. Chemicals
  2. Civil Nuclear
  3. Communications
  4. Defence
  5. Emergency Services
  6. Energy
  7. Finance
  8. Food
  9. Government
  10. Health
  11. Space
  12. Transport
  13. Water

British Technology Minister Peter Kyle announced on Thursday 12th September 2024 that UK data centres will be designated as ‘Critical National Infrastructure’ (CNI). This status, typically reserved for essential national sectors like nuclear power, provides data centre operators with a direct communication channel to the government for threat preparation and response.

Furthermore, the government has expressed support for a proposed £3.75 billion data centre by UK company DC01UK in Hertfordshire, England, which is projected to be the largest in Europe upon completion.

The AI Race between China and the U.S.

AI development in China and U.S.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become a pivotal battleground in the technological race between China and the United States.

“AI is expected to become a crucial component of economic and military power in the near future,” Stanford University’s Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2023 stated.

Both countries are significantly investing in AI research and development, striving to achieve a leading role in this revolutionary sector. This post looks at the major figures in China’s AI scene, their progress, and their comparison with their American counterparts.

China’s AI Landscape

China’s AI aspirations are propelled by a number of significant technology firms, each forging their own AI models and applications.

Baidu: Often referred to as the ‘Google of China,’ Baidu leads in AI development. Its premier AI model, ERNIE (Enhanced Representation through Knowledge Integration), fuels the Ernie Bot, a chatbot aimed to compete with OpenAI’s ChatGPT. Baidu asserts that ERNIE 4.0 matches GPT-4’s capabilities, demonstrating sophisticated understanding and reasoning abilities.

Alibaba: Alibaba’s AI model, Tongyi Qianwen (commonly known as Qwen), is a comprehensive set of foundational models adept at a range of tasks, from generating content to solving mathematical problems. Select versions of Qwen are open-source, enabling developers to utilize and modify them for various uses. Alibaba has announced that Qwen models are in use by over 90,000 enterprise clients.

Tencent: The Hunyuan model from Tencent is a prominent component of China’s AI landscape. Offered through Tencent’s cloud computing division, Hunyuan is tailored to facilitate a broad spectrum of applications, encompassing natural language processing and computer vision.

Huawei: In spite of considerable obstacles stemming from U.S. sanctions, Huawei persists in AI innovation. The firm has created its own AI processors, like the Kunlun series, to diminish dependence on international technology. Huawei’s AI features are incorporated into a diverse array of products, including smartphones and cloud solutions.

Comparison to the U.S.

The U.S. continues to be a dominant force in AI, with leading companies such as OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, Anthropic and Meta spearheading advancements.

Generative AI: U.S. firms have advanced significantly in generative AI, with OpenAI’s GPT-4 and Google’s Gemini at the forefront. These models excel in creating text, images, and videos from user inputs. Although Chinese models like ERNIE and Qwen are strong contenders, the U.S. maintains a slight lead in capabilities and market penetration.

Semiconductor Design: The U.S. leads the semiconductor design industry, vital for AI progress. U.S. companies command an 85% global market share in chip design, crucial for AI model training and system operation. China’s dependence on imported semiconductors is a notable obstacle, but there are ongoing efforts to create homegrown solutions.

Research and Innovation: Both nations boast strong AI research sectors, yet the U.S. edges out slightly in generating state-of-the-art AI products. U.S. tech giants frequently introduce AI breakthroughs to the market, with Chinese firms quickly gaining ground.

Government Support: The Chinese government ardently backs AI advancement, enacting strategies to spur innovation and lessen foreign tech reliance. Such support has spurred China’s AI industry’s rapid expansion, positioning it as a strong rival to the U.S.

Conclusion

The competition in AI development between China and the U.S. is escalating, as both countries achieve significant breakthroughs. Although the U.S. maintains a marginal lead in some respects, China’s swift advancement and state backing indicate that the disparity might keep closing. The quest for AI dominance by these nations is set to influence the worldwide technological and innovative landscape profoundly.

As of September 2024, it is estimated that China’s AI development is approximately nine months behind that of the U.S.

Google’s advertising business goes on trial

Google

The U.S. government is targeting the heart of Google’s vast wealth – its highly profitable monopolising advertising technology business

A trial scheduled to begin on Monday 9th September 2024 will scrutinise the Department of Justice’s (DoJ) claims that Alphabet, the parent company of Google, is unlawfully sustaining a monopoly in the marketplace.

In the previous year, the firm amassed over $200 billion (£152 billion) through the placement and sale of online advertisements.

Alphabet attributes its success to the ‘effectiveness’ of its business. Conversely, prosecutors contend that the company has leveraged its market control to stifle competition.

The legal action, launched by the Department of Justice (DoJ) and several states in 2023, charges Google with dominating the digital advertising market and employing its influence to obstruct innovation and competition.

Google asserts that it is simply one of numerous companies that arrange digital advertisement placements for consumers.

The corporation argues that the digital advertising industry is increasingly competitive, citing the growing advertising revenues of entities like Apple, Amazon, and TikTok as proof, as mentioned in a blog post responding to the DoJ’s lawsuit in 2023.

The contentions will be laid out before the U.S. District Judge who is expected to deliver a verdict.

This trial comes on the heels of a notable decision in a separate antitrust lawsuit against Google by the Justice Department last month. Judge Amit Mehta ruled that Google had illegally stifled competition in its online search services.

He reportedly stated that, “Google is a monopolist and has acted as such to maintain its monopoly.”

Alphabet one year chart

Alphabet one year chart

U.S. introduces new microchip-related export controls

U.S. chip rules

The Biden administration is reportedly implementing new export controls on essential technologies, such as quantum computing and semiconductor materials, in response to China’s progress in the global chip market

These controls encompass quantum computers and their components, sophisticated chipmaking tools, semiconductor technologies, certain metal and metal alloy components and software, and high-bandwidth chips, which are vital for AI applications.

While the U.S. intensifies its measures to curb China’s expansion, there is noticeable hesitancy within the global industry.

The U.S. Department of Commerce issued new regulations on Friday, 6th September 2024, encompassing quantum computers and their components, sophisticated chipmaking tools, certain metal and metal alloy components and software, as well as high-bandwidth chips, which are vital for AI applications.

See report details here

Qualcomm intensifies competition with Intel and AMD and others as the company introduces its newest AI PC chip

New AI chip from Qualcomm

Qualcomm has introduced the Snapdragon X Plus 8-core processor, intensifying its venture into the AI PC market and challenging competitors like Intel and AMD

The U.S. semiconductor powerhouse announced that the Snapdragon X Plus 8-core targets PCs priced from $700, aiming to broaden its chip reach to additional devices.

Moreover, Qualcomm has enjoyed backing from Microsoft, which is incorporating Snapdragon processors in its Copilot+ PCs.

Qualcomm says the company is also working on mixed reality smart glasses with Samsung and Google.

Biggest one-day market capitalisation drop for a U.S. stock in history, and guess what… it was Nvidia

Nvidia

Nvidia $279 billion market cap wipeout — the biggest in U.S. history for just ONE company

On Tuesday 3rd September 2024, around $279 billion of value was wiped off of Nvidia. That was the biggest one-day market capitalisation drop for a U.S. stock in HISTORY!

Nvidia one-day chart closed 108 on 3rd September 2024

Nvidia one-day chart closed 108 on 3rd September 2024

Nvidia shares continued sliding in post-market trading Tuesday, falling 2%, after Bloomberg reported that the company received a subpoena from the Department of Justice as part of an antitrust investigation.

Global semiconductor stocks and related sectors subsequently experienced a decline on Wednesday 4th September 2024, after Nvidia’s share price in the U.S. saw a significant plunge overnight.

Update: in a subsequent statement Nvidia reportedly said it didn’t receive antitrust subpoena from DOJ. This according to a report on CNBC.