Bitcoin hits $1 trillion market cap again

Bitcoin

The value of all the Bitcoin market capitalization, on Wednesday 14th January 2024 climbed above $1 trillion for the first time since late 2021, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Bitcoin also broke through the 51000 level, marking the first time it has hit this value since December 2021.

The price rise continues a rally that began in January 2023. Bitcoin is up more than 21% in 2024 so far.

One year Bitcoin chart

One year Bitcoin chart from March 2023 to February 2024 – CoinMarketCap

Arm taking its place in the AI race

AI chip stock up

Arm’s strong growth forecast has led investors to declare it an AI darling

Arm shares soared 29% on Monday, extending last week’s rally as investors continue to applaud the chipmaker’s better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and its position in the artificial intelligence boom.

Up 93% since 8th February 2024

Arm is now up 93% since it reported quarterly figures on 8th February 2024. There is no obvious reason for the 29% climb on Monday. The fear of missing out (FOMO) could be playing a part in the meteoric share price move.

The stock has almost tripled since Arm’s initial public offering in September 2023, closing at $148.97 and is now worth almost $153 billion, that’s a little more than $30 billion below Intel’s market cap.

Arm 1 year chart showing huge gain in February 2024

Arm 1 year chart showing huge gain in February 2024

AI demand fuels Arm’s success

Last week, Arm said it could double the price for its latest instruction set, which accounts for 15% of the company’s royalties, suggesting it can expand its margin and make more money off new chips. It also said it was breaking into new markets, such as cloud servers and automotive, due to AI demand.

Its royalty strength combined with Arm’s optimistic growth forecast has made the company the latest AI darling among investors, despite a higher earnings multiple than Nvidia or AMD.

Facebook turns 20 years old

Facebook at 20

Facebook, the social media giant that connects billions of people around the world, celebrated its 20th anniversary on February 4, 2024.

Founded by Mark Zuckerberg and his fellow Harvard students in 2004, Facebook has grown from a college network to a global phenomenon, with over 3 billion monthly users and counting.

Facebook has also changed the way we communicate, share, and connect with each other online, enabling us to keep in touch with friends and family, discover new content and communities, and express ourselves freely.

Controversy

However, Facebook has also faced many controversies and challenges over the years, such as privacy issues, misinformation, child safety, and political scrutiny. Facebook has been accused of violating user data, spreading fake news and hate speech, enabling cyberbullying and online abuse, and influencing elections and public opinion.

How ‘the’ facebook looked 20 years ago

Facebook has also faced competition from other platforms, such as TikTok, Snapchat, and X, as well as regulatory pressure from governments and activists.

Evolving

As Facebook turns 20, it is still evolving and expanding under its parent company Meta, which also owns Instagram and WhatsApp. Meta’s vision is to create a metaverse, a virtual reality where people can interact and experience immersive digital worlds. Meta also aims to invest in artificial intelligence, blockchain, and cloud computing, as well as social good initiatives, such as connectivity, education, and health.

Facebook’s future is uncertain, but it is undeniable that it has shaped the history and culture of the internet and the world, for good and bad.

See BIG tech results here as Meta share price gains 20% after positive earnings impress Wall Street.

Mark Zuckerberg is currently the third richest person in the work coming with a wealth of $161 billion. Not a bad income for 20 years’ work.

Whatever happened to myspace?

Meta recent share price 1 year chart

Meta recent share price 1 year chart

Are NFT’s still a thing?

a NFT

What is an NFT?

A NFT is a non-fungible token, which means it is a unique digital identifier that cannot be copied, substituted, or subdivided.

It is recorded on a blockchain, which is a type of digital ledger that stores information in a secure and decentralised way.

A NFT is used to certify authenticity and ownership of a specific digital asset and specific rights relating to it, such as an artwork, music, a game, or a sports event.

A NFT can be bought and sold on digital markets and may also contain smart contracts that give the creator a share of any future sale of the token. NFTs are different from cryptocurrencies, which are fungible, meaning they can be exchanged for other units of the same value.

NFTs are also different from regular digital files, which can be easily and endlessly duplicated. NFTs are one-of-a-kind assets in the digital world that have value based on their scarcity, uniqueness, and verifiability. 

Are NFTs still a thing in 2023?

According to Statista, the annual market cap of NFT transactions worldwide reached 30.7 billion U.S. dollars in 2021, but lost value from this high as the market drifted.

NFTs are also expanding into various segments and industries, such as art, music, gaming, sports, real estate, and more. Some of the top NFT trends to watch in the future may include artificial intelligence, fractional NFTs, music NFTs and NFT ticketing token. NFTs are also facing some challenges, such as regulation, legal battles, environmental impact, and market volatility. NFTs are a new way of creating, owning, and exchanging digital assets. But will it last?

Here to stay?

People may have different opinions on the future of NFTs. Some people may think that NFTs are here to stay, as they offer a new way of creating, owning, and exchanging digital assets that are unique, scarce, and verifiable. They may also see NFTs as a way of supporting artists, creators, and innovators, as well as a way of expressing themselves and their values. Some people may also believe that NFTs have a lot of potential to transform various industries and sectors, such as art, music, gaming, sports, real estate, and more.

A NFT is a non-fungible token, which means it is a unique digital identifier that cannot be copied, substituted, or subdivided.

However, some people may think that NFTs are not here to stay, as they face many challenges and risks, such as regulation, legal battles, environmental impact, and market volatility. They may also see NFTs as a hype, a bubble, or a scam, that are driven by speculation, greed, and FOMO (fear of missing out). Some people may also question the value and utility of NFTs, as they do not confer any ownership rights, benefits, or guarantees to the buyers. These same people likely thought cryptocurrency such a Bitcoin was also a fad.

Ultimately, the future of NFTs may depend on how they evolve, adapt, and innovate, as well as how they are perceived, accepted, and regulated by the society.

NFTs may be here to stay, or they may fade away, but they have certainly made an impact on the digital world.

Happy days on Wall Street for BIG tech companies

Tech

It was a good day of earnings for Big Tech companies. 

Three of the Magnificent 7 results dominated the headlines: Meta, Amazon and Apple. Nasdaq and S&P 500 gained in ‘after the bell’ trading. This after a punishing day for Alphabet and Microsoft, despite good results.

Nasdaq 100 closed at: 17344 but climbed above 17500 in after-hours trading.

Wall Street seemed impressed with Meta’s results.

Meta

Shares of Meta surged 15% after the social-media giant defied analysts’ estimates. It posted earnings of $5.33 per share on revenue of $40.11 billion. The company also declared its first-ever dividend payment. Share buy-back was also announced.

Meta platforms Inc. One year chart

Meta platforms Inc. One year chart
  • The results show Meta’s online ad business continues to recover well from a terrible 2022.
  • Sales in the Q4 jumped 25% year on year.
  • Expenses decreased 8% year over year to $23.73 billion.

Amazon

Investors also enjoyed Amazon’s earnings, which easily topped Wall Street’s predictions. The ecommerce giant also provided a strong positive outlook. The stock jumped 7% in extended trading.

Amazon.com Inc. One year chart

Amazon.com Inc. One year chart

Q4 was a record-breaking Holiday shopping season in the U.S. and closed out a robust 2023 for Amazon. Amazon has much planned for 2024.

Apple

But Apple didn’t benefit from the same treatment despite posting strong results.

Apple Inc. One year chart

Apple Inc. One year chart

Apple also exceeded estimates, reporting revenue growth for the first time in a year. But shares slid more than 2% in extending trading after it posted a 13% decline in sales in China.

Apple’s outlook suggesting weak iPhones sales may have also disappointed investors.

AMD enters AI-powered PC race as artificial intelligence demand grows

AI power

U.S. microchip giant Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is investing in AI PCs to take on the likes of Nvidia and Intel and Arm as the AI race gains momentum.

As the AI market expands so too will AI powered personal computer (PC). These are personal computers embedded with processors specifically designed to perform AI functions such as real-time language translation. Intel has already announced its AI powered chip for the PC.

Tech research firm Canalys in a December report said the boom in generative AI is expected to boost PC sales as consumers are seeking devices with AI features, predicting that 60% of the PCs shipped in 2027 will be AI-capable.

AI tech interest explodes

An explosion of interest in AI was sparked by the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 as the chatbot went viral for its ability to generate human-like responses to users’ prompts.

Microsoft was quick to adopt the Technolgy and incorporate AI into its Bing search engine. Other companies such as Amazon, Alphabet (Google), Arm, Meta, Tesla and Apple are all heavily involved in AI development too.

Microsoft and Alphabet report good numbers but Nasdaq slides.

Stocks

Nasdaq 100 futures declined around 0.75%. S&P 500 futures were also down around 0.4%

In after-hours trading, shares of Alphabet dropped more than 5%, while Microsoft slipped 2% after the tech giants, part of the Magnificent Seven posted quarterly earnings. However, both companies achieved on both top and bottom lines. However, advertising revenue for Alphabet came short of analysts’ expectations. 

Tech powerhouse

The tech sector powered the market rally from 2023 into 2024 and is now trading at a relatively high valuation of nearly 29 times its 2024 earnings, according to recent figures. Investors will need to see earnings expansion in order for the tech companies to be able to maintain their elevated levels.

Results were good but not good enough according to Wall Street as stocks were priced for perfection and that wasn’t delivered.

Even though the results were better-than-expected, investors are likely selling because they just want to take some money off the table.

Absolute perfection comes at a price on Wall Street.

Neuralink implants brain tech device in human for the first time

Brain tech implant

Elon Musk’s neurotech startup Neuralink implanted its device in a human for the first time on Sunday 28th January 2024, and the patient is ‘recovering well,‘ the entrepreneur said in a post on X, on Monday 29th January 2024.

The company is developing a brain implant that aims to help patients with severe paralysis control external technologies using only neural signals.

Neuralink began recruiting patients for its first in-human clinical trial in the autumn after it received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to conduct the study back in May 2023, according to a blog post.

Musk, in an X post on Monday 29th January 2024 said that Neuralink’s first product is called Telepathy.

If the technology functions well, patients with severe degenerative diseases such as motor neurone disease could someday use the implant to communicate or access social media by moving cursors and typing with their minds.

Samsung joins forces with Baidu’s Earnie AI chatbot

Baidu Ernie Chatbot

Chinese tech giant Baidu will partner Samsung to integrate its Ernie chatbot capabilities into Galaxy S24 smartphones.

The collaboration with Baidu will facilitate Samsung’s latest Galaxy S24 smartphone series with advanced features such as advanced typesetting, real-time call translation and intelligent summarization.

Samsung recently revealed its latest Galaxy S24 lineup with AI-powered features as it attempts to overtake the Apple iPhone.

Apple takes top spot in China’s smartphone market

Apple iphone

In 2023 Apple became the biggest smartphone vendor by shipments in China for the first time.

Last year, Honor, a spin-off from Chinese company Huawei, held the second spot with almost a 17% market share, followed by Vivo, Huawei and then Oppo.

One of the biggest changes in 2023 was Huawei’s return to the top five in China in the Q4. The iphone has been one of the world’s best-selling selling products of all time.

Since the introduction of the Apple iphone in 2007 by Steve Jobs, its inventor and company joint founder, it has gone on to sell 2.3 billion and has over 1.5 billion ‘active’ users. Not bad for a product that investors initially called ‘dead on arrival’ due to lack of interest and sales.

Nokia 3310

In 2007 the Nokia 3310 was the clear market leader and easily king of the mobile phone market. Nokia sold 7.4 million units in 2007 – Apple sold just 1.4 million. Nokia was the ‘go to product’. But not for long.

Oh my, how things have changed. Apple is the now the world’s best-selling product (not just the world’s best-selling phone) – with Nokia and many others left trailing in the dust.

Apple app store

It was the apps that done it; having a product that could be any number of different ‘products’ in one and held in your hand was a game changer – and that changed the world.

The rest is history.

Apple share price chart from 1984 (the year the Apple Macintosh was introduced)

Apple share price chart from 1984 (the year the Apple mac was introduced)

Microsoft hits $3 trillion market cap in intraday trading

Microsoft market cap of $3 trillion

Microsoft’s market cap surpassed $3 trillion in intraday trading Wednesday after the stock climbed more than 1% and hit around $404 per share. The stock lost some ground throughout the day to close at: $402 per share.

The achievement comes nearly two weeks after Microsoft eclipsed Apple as the world’s most valuable public company on 12th January 2024. However, Apple has reclaimed top spot – its market cap closed at around $3.01 trillion on Wednesday 24th January 2024.

Microsoft share price 24th January 2024 – $402.00, 1year chart

Microsoft share price 24th January 2024 – $402.00, 1 year chart

Microsoft shares are up more than 7% year to date as investors remain bullish about the company’s investments in artificial intelligence.

It is strongly expected that Microsoft will deliver good results in the Q2 earnings report, because of its leadership position gained in generative AI.

Microsoft due to announce Q2 figures on 30th January 2024

Microsoft due to announce Q2 figures on 30th January 2024

Stephen Hawking organised a time travel party in 2009

Time travel

A time travel party organised by Stephen Hawking in 2009.

This was an experiment that Hawking conducted to test the possibility of backward time travel. He invited people from the future to attend a reception at his university, but he did not send out the invitations until after the party. He hoped that someone from the future would find the invitation and use a wormhole time machine to come back and prove that time travel is possible.

However, no one showed up at his party. He said that he liked simple experiments and champagne. He also said that he had experimental evidence that time travel is not possible. He explained that warping space and time could trigger a bolt of radiation that would destroy the spaceship and maybe the space-time itself.

Is time travel to the future possible?

Based on the current scientific understanding, time travel to the past seems to be very unlikely, if not impossible. There are many paradoxes and inconsistencies that arise from the idea of changing the past.

Time travel
Stephen Hawking organised a time travel party in 2009

Time travel to the future, however, may be possible, but only in a limited sense. According to the theory of relativity, time passes at different rates depending on the speed and gravity of the observer. This means that someone who travels very fast or near a massive object could experience less time than someone who stays still or far away from the mass.

Time dilation

This is called time dilation, and it has been experimentally confirmed. However, this does not allow the traveller to return to their original time, as they would have aged less than the rest of the world.

So, in summary, time travel is unlikely, but it is acknowledged that there are some intriguing possibilities and mysteries that remain to be explored.

Never say never!

A new powerful AI is coming but the techies have no clue as to what it will look like

AGI

That’s reassuring then, and they are creating it

Leaders at some of the world’s leading artificial intelligence (AI) companies are expecting a form of AI on a par with, or even exceeding human intelligence to arrive sometime in the near future. But what it will eventually look like and how it will be applied are unknown.

Artificial General Intelligence or AGI is coming soon

Leaders from OpenAI, Microsoft and Google’s DeepMind, and many other major tech companies debated the risks and opportunities presented by AI at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland in January 2024.

AI has become the talk of ‘town’ around the world through 2023, mainly due to the success of ChatGPT, OpenAI’s popular generative AI chatbot, brought to us by Microsoft. Generative AI tools, like ChatGPT, are powered large language models, algorithms trained on vast quantities of data, but are not AGI.

Executives at some of the world’s leading artificial intelligence companies see ‘artificial general intelligence,’ or AGI, a hypothesized form of AI with intelligence on a par or better than humans. This prospect is both exciting and worrying.

Concern

AI and AGI have created concern among governments, corporations and public consultation groups worldwide, owing to the risks around the lack of transparency of AI systems; social manipulation through computer algorithms; job losses due to increased automation; surveillance; and data privacy and worse… the lack of human control!

Extinction event possible

Many industry leaders in technology have warned that AI could lead to an ‘extinction-level’ event where machines become so powerful they get out of control and wipe out humanity.

A new powerful AI is coming but the techies have no clue as to what it will look like

Several prominent technology leaders, including Elon Musk and Steve Wozniak for example, have called for a pause in AI development, stating that a moratorium would be beneficial in allowing society to catch up.

Turing test

AI chatbots like ChatGPT have passed the Turing test, a test called the ‘imitation game,’ which was developed by British computer scientist Alan Turing to determine whether someone is communicating with a machine and a human. The one big area where AI is lacking is common sense.

It has been reported on many occasions, that the tech world is taking steps to ensure that the AI race doesn’t lead to a ‘Hiroshima moment.

Will AGI be created in the image of humans?

Let’s hope not.

A billion is a big number – but just how big is it?

A billion

1000,000,000 (1 billion)

or

109 10 to the power of 9 (1 billion)

In the short scale system, which is commonly used in the UK, United States and most English-speaking countries, 1 billion is written as 1,000,000,000 or 109. This means that 1 billion is equal to 1 thousand million.

In the long scale system, which is commonly used in continental Europe and some other parts of the world, 1 billion is written as 1,000,000,000,000 or 1012. This means that 1 billion is equal to 1 million million.

Fun facts

If you tried to count to 1 million at an approximate rate of 1 number per second, it would take around 11 days. And that would be without sleeping or taking a rest in between the marathon quest. But if you were to count to 1 billion it would take you… wait for it… a cool 32 years!

But just imagine this, if you attempted to count to 1 trillion (1000,000,000,000) or 1012 at the same rate of 1 number per second and without sleep, rest or mistakes – it would take you about… 31,710 years! Give or take a year.

A little bit more

A million and 1 billion sound like BIG numbers, they are. But just how big…

Imagine this: 1 million seconds is roughly equal to 1 week. But, 1 billion seconds equates to about 33 years!

1 billion is a BIG number!

Crypto firms introduce risk assessments and finance tests in response to strict new rules in UK

Cryptocurrency

New rules and risk assessments for UK Crypto traders

Coinbase and Gemini, for example, are among cryptocurrency exchanges that now require U.K. users to fill out risk assessments. These questionnaires are designed to test their financial knowledge.

The measures are a response to new rules in the UK. The rules require crypto companies to clearly inform users of the risks involved in trading cryptocurrencies. If a customer fails to successfully complete the requests, they will be prevented from trading with their crypto account.

Risk warning

Crypto.com, Coinbase, Gemini and other cryptocurrency exchanges are warning UK users that they’ll need to complete investment questionnaires. Thes are aimed at testing their financial knowledge before being allowed to trade.

The companies have told UK users they are required to complete a declaration about what type of investor they are. Traders are required to respond to a set of questions on financial services to permit use of their platforms.

Clients’ declaration

In the client’s declaration section, users are asked to select their investor profile. A trader is directed to inform the company of their financial status.

Questions such as: are you a high-net-worth customer earning above £100,000 per annum or with a net worth of more than £250,000? Or, are you a ‘restricted investor’ who won’t invest more than 10% of their assets. If clients do not complete the requests, they are prevented from trading crypto related products.

The financial questionnaires, require users to respond to numerous questions about the range of products available. They want the client to fully understand the potential volatility of crypto assets.

Strict rules to protect the retail trader

Since the UK passed the Financial Services and Markets Act, companies that offer crypto assets and certain types of digital currency, known as stablecoins, are now covered by UK law.

These are the same rules as those that govern traditional financial services and are aimed at protecting the retail trader.

Bitcoin jumps above $49000 only to fizzle out

Bitcoin ETF

Bitcoin rose in volatile trading on Thursday 11th January 2024 after the Securities and Exchange Commission gave the green light for the first-ever spot Bitcoin ETFs to trade in the U.S.

Approval

The Bitcoin ETF approval is a massive achievement for the crypto industry as a whole, which first attempted to launch a Bitcoin ETF some 10 years ago.

Grayscale’s big legal win against the SEC in August 2023 over the regulator’s refusal to let it convert its popular Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF breathed fresh optimism into the idea.

Volatile

Following the SEC’s decision, Bitcoin’s value fell then gained some traction, as expected by traders. However, the volume of inflows into the new funds remains to be seen, Bitcoin ETFs are still widely expected to increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive Bitcoin higher.

It would be unwise to make too much of these Bitcoin price moves in the short-term, but the approval is likely going to lead to some longer-term price increases. Now that the bitcoin ETF speculation has come to fruition it looks like traders may rotate to alternative cryptocurrencies such as Ether to prepare for future market developments.

Altcoin ETFs

The SEC is due to give decisions on spot ETH ETF applications beginning in May 2024. BlackRockInvesco and Ark Invest are among the firms in line for approval, as well as Grayscale.

The opportunity to be in at the beginning will not want to be missed by these companies.

Bitcoin 7-day chart 6th January – 12th January 2024

Bitcoin 7-day chart from 6th January – 12th January 2024

SEC finally approves Bitcoin ETF

Bitcoin ETF approval

After years of regulatory rejection, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday 10th January 2024 finally approved the Bitcoin EFT.

It has approved what are known as ‘spot’ Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which can be purchased by anyone from pension funds to retail investors. This now means that some of the biggest asset managers in the world, including BlackRock and Fidelity can trade a crypto related ETF.

Now, instead of using a crypto asset exchange such as Binance, Coinbase or Kraken to purchase and hold a token like Bitcoin, traders can now trade a ‘spot’ Bitcoin ETF for direct exposure to the digital asset market.

It may also mean that investors could pay lower fees than they would if they bought the digital currency from a crypto exchange directly.

Basically, it is now cheaper than ever to buy Bitcoin – but is this positive for the long-term?

Crypto fans can now invest in Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) – but what exactly are they?

A Bitcoin ETF allows investors to buy a product that tracks the price of Bitcoin through the same method they already use to buy stocks and other existing products. This also reduces additional worry of managing their crypto related holdings, which typically involves maintaining a cryptocurrency wallet and a safe storage system to safeguard that investment.

But what exactly is an ETF?

ETFs are holdings or portfolios that allow investors to ‘bet’ on multiple assets, without having to buy any themselves. Traded on stock exchanges like shares, their value depends on how the overall portfolio performs in real time.

An ETF could comprise a combination of gold and silver bullion, for example, or a mixture of shares in both big technology and energy companies. Some ETFs already contain Bitcoin indirectly – but a spot Bitcoin ETF will buy the cryptocurrency directly, ‘on the spot’, at its current live price, throughout the trading day.

Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency

Based on an idea by someone called, Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency and remains the most valuable and famous to-date. Its price is often seen as a barometer for the whole industry of thousands of other coins (altcoins), tokens and products built on the same blockchain technology.

Art illustration of Bitcoin blockchain

And with an influx of new money, many expect a surge in interest in cryptocurrency technology in general.

How will the decision affect cryptocurrency adoption and is this decentralisation as originally intended?

Some say this decision shows the existing ‘old financial school’ establishment is finally taking Bitcoin seriously, at least as a speculative asset. For those who consider Bitcoin legitimate ‘digital gold’, what better proof could there be than the biggest wealth-management institutions flocking to buy, and now overseen by regulators?

Others say cryptocurrency is about rejecting traditional financial systems in favour of a decentralised, people-powered alternative. And investment bankers buying Bitcoin just to get rich on U.S. dollars is not what Satoshi Nakamoto had in mind.

But judging from the chatter on social media, the prevailing sentiment is expecting the new cash injection will make existing Bitcoin investors and owners rich.

What are the risks to future investors?

It is possible to lose all of your investment

The price of Bitcoin can change rapidly and often without warning or explanation – it is a volatile asset. So investors will need to be aware when investing in ETFs linked to a digital coin.

Art illustration of Bitcoin trading

But ETFs are often sold as high-risk, high-reward products anyway. It is EXTREMELY high risk – don’t do it if you don’t understand it and even if you do, or think you do – BE CAREFUL! These products can rip the shirt off your back!

Cyber-crime risk

Another potential risk is cyber-crime. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been the subject of huge and costly attacks that have seen crypto companies drained of sometimes hundreds of millions of dollars overnight. And if the likes of Blackrock become major holders of Bitcoin, their cyber-security will be tested in ways never before. Let’s hope their security systems are extremely robust.

Cost of mining coins

Another downside is the heavy cost to the environment is that Bitcoin use a massive number of powerful computers around the world, to process transactions on the blockchain ledger and to create coins – this is known as mining.

Renewable energy use is growing – but it remains to be seen how investment companies will tackle the environmental cost of Bitcoin.

Be careful

ETFs are here now – but BE CAREFUL when entering a Bitcoin related ETF trade or investment, or any type of ETF for that matter. If it goes wrong, you will lose your money, and quickly.

Your money is at HIGH risk!

Bitcoin chart as at 12pm January 11th 2024

Bitcoin chart as at 12pm January 11th 2024

The Magnificent Seven

Magnificent Seven

The Magnificent Seven is a term coined to describe the seven most valuable and popularly owned tech companies in the U.S. stock market.

It was also a 1960’s movie…

The Seven

Apple (AAPL)

The world’s largest software company, known for its iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, AirPods, and other devices, as well as its services such as iCloud, Apple Music, Apple TV+, and App Store.

Microsoft (MSFT)

The world’s largest software company, known for its Windows operating system, Azure cloud services, LinkedIn social media platform, Office professional software suite, and Xbox gaming brand.

Alphabet (GOOGL)

The parent company of Google, the world’s leading search engine, as well as other businesses such as YouTube, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Ads, and Waymo.

Amazon (AMZN)

The world’s largest online retailer, as well as a leading provider of cloud computing services through Amazon Web Services (AWS), and a major player in digital entertainment through Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, and Kindle.

Meta Platforms (META)

The former Facebook, the world’s largest social media network, as well as the owner of other popular platforms such as Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, and Oculus.

Nvidia (NVDA)

The world’s leading manufacturer of graphics processing units (GPUs), which are used for gaming, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and cryptocurrency mining, as well as other products such as Nvidia Shield, GeForce Now, and Omniverse.

Tesla (TSLA)

The world’s most valuable automaker, known for its electric vehicles, battery products, solar panels, and self-driving technology, as well as its visionary founder and CEO, Elon Musk.

Market dominance

These seven companies are not only dominant in their respective fields, but also at the forefront of innovation and growth in the tech sector. They collectively make up some 30% of the S&P 500 index and more than half of the Nasdaq 100 index. 

They have also delivered impressive returns for investors over the past five years, with Nvidia and Tesla leading the pack with more than 800% gains. The Magnificent Seven are often compared to the FAANG stocks, which include four of the seven companies, but exclude Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla, and include Netflix instead. 

Magnificent 7 tech stocks

Some analysts suggest that the Magnificent Seven capture the current state and future potential of the tech industry. But is it now time to rotate out of tech into other areas that have been neglected. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the bull market charge on but with other ‘less’ loved companies leading the way.

It has been calculated that the combined market cap value of these seven companies is some $9 trillion.

Bitcoin ETF announcement by SEC was FAKE news via an erroneous post on ‘X’

Bitcoin ETF

Bitcoin jumped briefly on Tuesday 9th January 2024 after a post on the U.S. markets SEC regulator’s ‘X’ account post said it had approved the Exchange-Traded Funds (ETF’s) in the cryptocurrency.

This was a big news event for the cryptocurrency community and for the wider investment world. Large and small investors have been eagerly awaiting this news for months. When it finally arrived, it turned out to be fake.

U.S. regulators are expected to make an announcement on the new ETF’s this week.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) later deleted the erroneous post and said its account had been ‘compromised’.

The social media platform ‘X’ refuted the accusation that its systems had been the reason for the ‘compromise’.

Fake post

The fake news post appeared on the SEC’s official X account shortly after 16:00 Washington time (21:00 GMT). It said the regulator ‘grants approval for #Bitcoin ETFs for listing on all registered national securities exchanges.’ The post was immediately on the general social media radar and business news outlets.

SEC’s chair Gary Gensler quickly posted a message correcting the erroneous announcement on his personal ‘X’ account: “The @SECGov twitter account was compromised, and an unauthorized tweet was posted. The SEC has not approved the listing and trading of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products.”

The SEC has determined that there was unauthorized access to and activity on the @SECGov x.com account by an unknown party for a brief period of time shortly after 4 pm ET. and that the unauthorized access has been terminated,’ it was reported.

Bitcoin jumped

Bitcoin jumped to touch $48,000 (£37,800) immediately after the erroneous post before falling back to around $45,500

Bitcoin jumped to ouch $48,000 (£37,800) immediately after the erroneous post before falling back to around $45,000

Investors are eagerly anticipating an SEC announcement on the potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which is expected this week.

It would mark a key milestone for the cryptocurrency market in gaining acceptance to mainstream financial markets.

Crypto stocks up as Bitcoin climbs again

Bitcoin

Crypto related stocks climbed Monday 8th January 2024 as the price of Bitcoin increased again to its highest level since April 2022.

Crypto exchange Coinbase rose 3%, while Block and Robinhood, which also offer Bitcoin trading services, added 3% and 5%, respectively. Mining stocks enjoyed gains too: Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms advanced some 8% each. CleanSpark and Iris Energy both added 6%.

ETF decision closer

Bitcoin rallied above $47,000 as BlackRock, Grayscale and other potential Bitcoin ETF issuers submitted final updates to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), that bolstered investors’ confidence that a likely positive decision is due soon.

Bitcoin 24-hour chart Monday 8th – Tuesday 9th January 2024

Is the Metaverse still a thing?

Metaverse

The metaverse is a hypothetical concept that has not yet been fully realized, but many experts and companies are working on developing it. Mark Zuckerberg is one of these ‘believers’.

Future challenge

The metaverse is quite likely to happen in the future, as technology advances and demand for immersive and interactive online experiences grows. Ai will help develop the metaverse at a greater speed.

However, there are also many challenges and uncertainties that could affect the development and adoption of the metaverse, such as interoperability, privacy, regulation, social issues, and user safety. Therefore, it is hard to predict when and how the metaverse will become a mainstream platform. Some estimates suggest that it could take another 10 to 15 years for the metaverse to reach its full potential.

What does Meta have to say about the Metaverse?

Meta and Mark Zuckerberg think that the metaverse is the next evolution of social technology and the successor to the mobile internet. They believe that the metaverse will enable people to feel present and connected with others in immersive and interactive digital spaces, where they can socialize, learn, work, play, and create. They also think that the metaverse will be a collaborative and open platform, where different companies and creators can build and interoperate with each other.

Product investment

Meta is investing heavily in developing the technologies and tools that will power the metaverse, such as virtual and augmented reality devices, software, and content. 

Some of their products and initiatives include Meta Quest, Ray-Ban Stories, Horizon, Presence Platform, and Spark AR. Meta is also creating thousands of new jobs, supporting creators and developers, and building responsibly with privacy and safety in mind.

Vision

Mark Zuckerberg has shared his vision and enthusiasm for the metaverse in various interviews and events, such as the Protocol interview, Connect 2021 keynote and the Lex Fridman podcast.

He has also demonstrated some of the impressive features and capabilities of the metaverse, such as photorealistic avatars, mixed reality experiences, and NFTs. He has said that he wants Meta to be a social technology company that helps bring the metaverse to life together with the community.

Time will tell if the Metaverse really is the future. So far it has failed to fully establish the following as Facebook enjoyed in its early days.

Mark Zuckerberg and Meta will not give up and will likely make his version of the Metaverse a success, one way or another.

Metaverse
‘Jimi, don’t forget to take the headset off if you go out again!’

Mark Zuckerberg sold nearly half a billion of Meta stock in November and December 2023

Social Media

Mark Zuckerberg, the CEO and cofounder of Meta Platforms Inc., sold some $190 million worth of Meta shares in November 2023, and another $238 million in December 2023. 

These were his first stock sales since 2021, when he sold $2.9 billion worth of shares. 

Meta Platforms is one of the leading social media and technology companies in the world with its flagship platform Facebook.

Its stock price has surged by 166% in 2023, making it one of the best-performing stocks among the so-called ‘Magnificent Seven’ group of tech giants. Meta has also rebranded itself as a metaverse company, aiming to create a virtual reality platform that connects people across its various apps and devices.

Philanthropic – The Giving Pledge

Zuckerberg and his wife, Priscilla Chan, have pledged to donate 99% of their Meta shares to charitable causes during their lifetimes, as part of the Giving Pledge initiative started by Warren Buffett and Bill Gates. 

They have also established the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative, a philanthropic organization that focuses on education, health, science, and justice.

Bitcoin smashes through $45,000 as crypto rally continues into 2024

Bitcoin

Bitcoin surged Monday and Tuesday 1st and 2nd January 2024, climbing above $45,000 to hit its highest level in nearly 21 months, as the rally in cryptocurrencies continues. Other cryptocurrencies have joined in the rally, with Ether and Solana both rising.

Traders are anticipating the potential approval of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S., as well as the upcoming Bitcoin ‘halving’ due to happen in May 2024.

Bitcoin 3 year chart

Bitcoin 3 year chart

Some of the stock market’s biggest gains in 2023 came not from crypto but from crypto related businesses

Cryptocurrency

For true cryptocurrency bulls, the most lucrative investments in 2023 were in the stock market.

While Bitcoin rallied over 150% for the year, shares of Coinbase, Marathon Digital, MicroStrategy and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which are all tied closely to the digital currency, did substantially better, rising more than 300% in value. Bitcoin miner Marathon Digital soared some 688%.

Outperform

Not only have these stocks outperformed primary cryptocurrency, but they’ve been among the biggest gainers across the whole U.S. stock market. In the universe of publicly traded U.S. businesses with a market value of at least $5 billion, the four Bitcoin-tied stocks were among the eight best performers, according to analysts.

Boom or bust?

The crypto boom represents a major recovery from 2022, when coin prices plummeted, taking related equities down with them. A year highlighted by hedge fund collapses, crypto lender failures and crippling losses at miners was punctuated in November 2022, when crypto exchange FTX spiralled into bankruptcy, leading to the arrest of founder Sam Bankman-Fried on fraud charges.

Guilty of fraud
A jury in New York convicted Bankman-Fried on seven criminal counts

Bankman-Fried conviction

In 2023, a New York jury convicted Bankman-Fried on seven criminal counts, setting the 31-year-old former billionaire up for a possible long-stretch behind bars. Weeks later, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder of crypto exchange Binance, pleaded guilty and stepped down as the company’s CEO as part of a $4.3 billion settlement with the Department of Justice. He faces a possible prison sentence of 18 months or longer.

By the time of Bankman-Fried’s conviction and Zhao’s plea deal, the damage to the broader crypto market had mostly been realised, and investors were looking to the future. One of the biggest drivers for bitcoin this year was an easing of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes, which created a more attractive case for riskier assets, but only marginally.

Bitcoin halving due May 2024 & ETF’s

Prices were also bolstered by the upcoming Bitcoin halving, which takes place every four years and is scheduled for May 2024. In the halving process, the reward for mining is cut in half, capping the supply of bitcoin.

Additional buying was sparked by the potential for a flurry of bitcoin exchange-traded funds popping up in the new year.

Marathon

Among companies closely tied to Bitcoin, the best-performing stock this year was Marathon, a mining firm that just eclipsed that market cap level last week thanks to a 125% surge in December as of Tuesday’s close. On Wednesday, the shares surged another 15%.

Last year at this time, Marathon was hanging on by a thread. The company was in the midst of a quarter that ended with a loss of almost $400 million on sales of just $28.4 million because of tumbling bitcoin prices

Mining

Bitcoin mining is an expensive operation because of the high energy costs required to operate the supercomputers. A drop in bitcoin prices means a sharp reduction in the money producers make selling the coins they mine, even as their energy bills get little relief.

Outside of the mining universe, the best-performing crypto stock in the U.S. this year is Coinbase, which has soared some 386% into 2023 year end.

Coinbase

As the only major publicly traded crypto exchange in the U.S., Coinbase has long been a popular way to buy and trade cryptocurrencies in its home market. But with the struggles at Binance, the largest exchange in the world, Coinbase picked up useful market share during non-U.S. trading hours, according to a report from research firm Kaiko in late November 2023.

Crypto
Binance is still open for business (Art illustration of a fictitious crypto trading room)

Shortly after Zhao’s plea deal, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reportedly said that the news amounted to ‘a vindication of the long-term strategy that we’ve taken to focus on compliance, make sure we were building a trusted company.’

Coinbase’s revenue and stock price are still way below where they were during the heyday of crypto trading in 2021, when retail investors were jumping into the market to buy all sorts of digital currencies, including gimmicks like Dogecoin.

But the business has stabilized following drastic cost-cutting measures starting last year and extending into early 2023.

Will 2024 be an outstanding year for crypto?

AI cannot patent UK inventions

Patent

The UK Supreme Court has upheld earlier decisions to reject a bid to allow an artificial intelligence to be named as an inventor in a patent application.

Dr Stephen Thaler (an ‘inventor’), had sought to have his AI, called Dabus, recognised as the inventor of a food container and a flashing light beacon. But in 2019, the Intellectual Property Office (IPO) rejected this, saying only a person could be named as an inventor. The decision was then backed by both the High Court and Court of Appeal. The IPO argued, and courts have supported the view, that only ‘persons’ can have patent rights, not Artificial Intelligence.

Now five Supreme Court judges have dismissed a bid to reverse those decisions, concluding that ‘an inventor must be a person’, and that an AI cannot be named as an inventor to secure patent rights.

The judgement does not deal with the issue of whether Dabus did in fact invent the food container and light.

This issue will likely be debated for some time yet – maybe an AI court of the future could decide?