“Vote Now! Pay Later. Our Deal. Labour”

UK Election – The Labour Party slogan is ‘CHANGE’ – but ‘CHANGE‘ to what?

I do not support any party. I have no idea what the Labour party stands for anymore. And as for the Conservatives – not a clue either – too many deceits and for far too long!

We have choice – but no choice!

Nvidia to get 20%+ weighting as ETF fund reportedly plans to acquire $10 billion of shares

EFT fund

Nvidia’s swift ascent is poised to prompt a major technology exchange-traded fund to acquire more than $10 billion in shares of the semiconductor maker, consequently reducing its shareholding in Apple.

The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), which will rebalance soon, is guided by an index that will adjust based on the market cap value at Friday’s close. According SPDR Americas Research, the recalibration will reportedly position Microsoft as the leading stock, followed by Nvidia, and then Apple.

Without caps, each of the three stocks would exceed a 20% weight in the index. However, the index’s diversification rules restrict the total weight that stocks constituting at least a 5% share of the fund can hold.

Consequently, it is anticipated that Microsoft and Nvidia will each approach a 21% weight, while Apple’s share is projected to drop to approximately 4.5%.

This news moved markets on 17th June 2024 and pushed the S&P 500 to a new all-time high. The Nasdaq100 index also relished the news reaching: 19902.75

The Nasdaq100 index also relished the news reaching: 19902.75

Nvidia share price 17th June 2024 – one year chart

Nvidia share price 17th June 2024

New all-time highs for S&P 500 & Nasdaq

Record high

The S&P 500 climbed on Monday 17th June 2024, closing at a new record high aided by the substantial weighted rebalancing of an ETF.

The index concluded at 5473, while the Nasdaq Composite soared to 17857. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 188.94 points, finishing at 38778.

These gains occurred after XLK announced it was rebalancing its fund in favour of Nvidia. The major technology exchange-traded fund will get 20% weighting and billions in investor demand it was announced.

S&P 500 500 reaches another all-time high of 5473 on 17th June 2024

Mastercard reportedly to remove manual card number entry for online payments and replace it with a token system in Europe by 2030

Credit card

Beginning in 2030, Mastercard will eliminate the need for Europeans to manually enter their card numbers during online checkout, regardless of the platform or device used.

The familiar 16-digit card number will be substituted with a randomly generated ‘token.’ This change will enable consumers to complete payments with a single click at the checkout page, authenticated by a thumbprint.

Mastercard reported that 100% tokenization across e-commerce sites will reduce fraud rates dramatically.

The way we pay for products and services online will feel very different in the coming years.

Bitcoin slips to around $66,000 level but holds at key support

Bitcon

Bitcoin’s price has experienced a dip, struggling to maintain above the $66,000 mark.

It started the week on a decline after a not-so-good weekend, with its volatility making it challenging to hold its price level. Despite this, Bitcoin recorded a minor gain on Monday 17th June 2024, in early trade, with its price on international exchanges standing at roughly $66,000. 

The $66K level is now seen as ‘critical’ for Bitcoin’s future price movements

Bitcoin slips to around $66,000 level but holds at key support

Bitcoin chart CoinMarketCap

“Time is a created thing. To say, ‘I don’t have time,’ is like saying, ‘I don’t want to.’” – Lao Tzu

Space time

Lao Tzu

Lao Tzu’s philosophy is foundational to Taoism and focuses on living in harmony. His teachings emphasize naturalness, simplicity, and spontaneity. He also introduced the concept of the Three Treasures: compassion, frugality, and humility, as virtues to cultivate for a harmonious life.

The birth date of Lao Tzu is not precisely known and is often debated among scholars. Traditional accounts commonly place his life around the 6th century BCE, making him a contemporary of Confucius.

It is noteworthy that the historical existence of Lao Tzu is debated by some contemporary scholars, who propose that he might be a mythical figure, or a designation applied to several contributors of the Tao Te Ching.

Microsoft will postpone the release of the AI Recall tool amid security worries

Microsoft will not include Recall, the artificial intelligence tool designed to track user activity, in the upcoming release of the Copilot+ PC.

Concerns have been raised by industry experts about the possibility of hackers creating tools to extract user information.

Microsoft has reportedly announced that Recall will transition from a widely accessible tool to a preview feature exclusive to the Windows Insiders Program.

Chinese auto sales overtake U.S. for the first time

EV competition

For the first time, automotive companies in China surpassed their U.S. counterparts in car sales last year, driven by BYD and expansion in emerging markets, according to a data released Thursday 13th July 2024.

Chinese brands such as BYD now at the forefront, reportedly sold 13.4 million new vehicles last year. In comparison, American brands sold approximately 11.9 million units. Japanese brands remained at the top with 23.59 million sales.

China’s sales growth rate surpassed that of the U.S., with a 23% rise from the previous year compared to the U.S.’s 9% increase.

The consistent high pricing by legacy automakers has inadvertently steered consumers towards more affordable Chinese alternatives.

No surprise here then as manufacturers milked profits from legacy lineups!

Tariffs have now been introduced on China to curb their automakers runaway success.

Nasdaq Composite narrowly secured its fifth consecutive record close

Record high

On Friday 14th June 2024, the Nasdaq Composite edged up to close at a record high for the fifth consecutive session.

Nasdaq Comp hits fresh record high for the fifth consecutive session

The tech-centric index rose slightly by 0.12%, finishing at 17688. The S&P 500 dipped slightly to close at 5431 and ending its four-day streak of gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 57.94 points, closing at 38589.

Elon Musk suggests Optimus robots could make Tesla a $25 trillion company – that’s more than half the current value of the S&P 500

Humanoid robot

It has been calculated that the S&P 500’s total value is currently $45.5 trillion. Tesla’s CEO, Elon Musk, claimed on Thursday 13th June 2024 that the company’s Optimus humanoid robots could potentially raise the automaker’s value to over half of that amount.

During the 2024 annual shareholder meeting in Austin, Texas, Musk, who reportedly identifies as ‘pathologically optimistic,’ declared that Tesla is not just entering a ‘new chapter,‘ but is on the brink of beginning an entirely ‘new book,’ with Optimus poised to play a pivotal role.

Tesla initially revealed its intention to develop humanoid robots at the AI Day event in 2021, showcasing a performer in a unitard as a stand-in for a sleek, gender-neutral robot prototype.

Musk’s vision

At the shareholder meeting, Musk was reserved about Optimus’ present capabilities. He suggested that, in the future, these robots could operate in a manner akin to Star Wars’ R2-D2 and C-3PO, undertaking tasks such as cooking, cleaning, factory work, or even teaching children.

In terms of shareholder value, Musk speculated that Optimus might play a key role in boosting Tesla’s market capitalization to $25 trillion eventually. No time scale was put forward.

And, don’t forget about the development of the robot taxi and of the fully autonomous vehicle.

Elon Musk’s bumper $56 billion pay deal to be reinstated as Tesla vote goes in favour

Elon Musk pay day

Tesla shareholders have voted to ratify CEO Elon Musk’s 2018 compensation package, which was previously rescinded by a Delaware judge in January.

During the annual meeting in Austin, Texas, shareholders voted in Musk’s favour.

Following Musk’s announcement that shareholders were likely to approve his pay package and a resolution to relocate the company’s incorporation to Texas, Tesla’s shares increased.

The vote endorsing the compensation plan does not supersede the court’s decision, yet it offers a public relations triumph for Musk and may aid his endeavor to persuade a court to grant him his performance options eventually.

Nice work if you can get it!

S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to push higher after another all-time high record

New records for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each hit yet another all-time high on 13th June 2024. The S&P 500 notching fresh records for the last four consecutive days.

S&P 500 closed at another new all-time high on 13th June 2024

S&P 500 closed at another new all-time high on 13th June 2024

Nasdaq Composite closed at another new all-time high on 13th June 2024

17,667.56 USD – Up 59.12 on the day

Nasdaq Composite closed at another new all-time high on 13th June 2024

Tech led AI frenzy feed the new moves to all-time highs!

Norway and Sweden discover large deposits of important rare Earth metals

Rare Earth Metal deposited by volcanic activity millions of years ago

Significant deposits of rare earth metals have been found in both Norway and Sweden.

Norway

Rare Earths Norway (REN) has announced the discovery of the largest deposit of rare earth elements in Europe at the Fen Carbonatite Complex in southeastern Norway.

The deposit reportedly contains 8.8 million metric tons of total rare earth oxides (TREOs), including an estimated 1.5 million metric tons of magnet-related rare earths, which are vital for technologies like electric vehicles and wind turbines.

This discovery marks a significant advancement in Europe’s efforts to decrease its reliance on imported rare earths, especially from China.

Sweden

The discovery in Arctic Sweden of over one million tonnes of rare earth metals could significantly aid the EU in reducing its reliance on China for these crucial elements, which are essential for a wide range of high-tech applications.

These findings are critical for the green transition and Europe’s goal of increased self-sufficiency in vital raw materials. It is crucial to acknowledge, however, that the extraction process is intricate and necessitates meticulous attention to environmental impacts.

Due to the required permitting processes and environmental assessments, it could take over a decade for the materials from these discoveries to enter the market.

Fen Carbonatite Complex

The Fen Complex, located in Nome, Telemark, Norway, is renowned for its unique assortment of igneous rocks, such as carbonatite. It represents the remnants of a volcanic feeder pipe from a volcano that erupted 580 million years ago, characterised by carbonate-rich magma. The volcanic pipe’s circular formation spans roughly 2 km in diameter.

The EU imposes higher tariffs of up to 38% on Chinese EVs

EU and EV's

In a significant development that may affect the electric vehicle (EV) market, the European Union (EU) has tentatively agreed to levy tariffs on Chinese EV manufacturers.

This decision reportedly follows an inquiry into the surge of inexpensive, government-subsidized Chinese vehicles entering the EU market.

From 4th July 2024, Chinese EV producers who participated in the investigation will incur an average duty of 21%, while those who did not will face a substantial 38.1% tariff. Specific rates will be imposed on firms such as BYD, Geely, and SAIC.

Additionally, non-Chinese automobile companies manufacturing some EVs in China, including those based in the EU like BMW, will also be impacted. Tesla might receive a specially calculated duty rate upon request.

These levies are on top of the current 10% tariff on all electric cars manufactured in China. The EU’s action comes after the United States’ drastic measure last month to increase its tariff on Chinese electric cars from 25% to 100%.

Some critics view this anti-subsidy probe as protectionist, potentially harming China-EU economic relations and the worldwide automotive production and supply chain. The German Transport Minister has reportedly cautioned about the possibility of a trade conflict with Beijing.

Although the tariffs are intended to shield the EU’s own industry, they highlight the challenges of maintaining a balance between free trade and competitiveness in the swiftly changing EV sector.

Unless a qualified majority of EU nations opposes it, the tariffs will become permanent in November 2024. The European car industry stresses the need for free and fair trade but recognizes that promoting the adoption of electric cars requires a diverse strategy.

As the dispute over tariffs persists, the repercussions for the EV market are yet to be determined.

One thing is for sure, the consumer will suffer through these tariffs and also through extra road tax levies yet to be introduced, especially in the UK.

UK GDP flatlines – not so helpful for Sunak and his election campaign

UK GDP slows

In April 2024, the U.K.’s economic growth came to a standstill, figures released on Wednesday 12th June 2024 indicated, putting a pause on the subdued recovery from the previous year’s recession just weeks before the UK election.

Analysts had anticipated growth a levelling off following a 0.4% expansion in March 2024.

Over a longer period however, the outlook was slightly more positive, with a 0.7% increase in gross domestic product (GDP) in the three months leading up to April 2024.

The construction sector saw a 1.4% decrease, marking its third consecutive decline, and production output fell by 0.9%. However, the U.K.’s dominant service sector witnessed growth, with a 0.2% increase.

The UK had managed modest growth each month in the first quarter of the 2024 as the country emerged from a mild short technical recession.

Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit new all-time highs as Fed feeds scraps to the AI frenzy!

Record high!

The S&P 500 soared to a new high, surpassing 5400 for the first time on Wednesday 12 June 2024, following the Federal Reserve’s latest policy statement and the May 2024 inflation report, which suggested a softening of inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 index rose by 0.85%, closing at around 5421 while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.53%, finishing at 17608.

Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached unprecedented levels and set closing records on Wednesday 12th June 2024. Conversely, the Dow Jones Industrial Average marginally declined by 0.09%, or around 35 points, to settle at 38712.

S&P 500 at new all-time high 12th June 2024

S&P 500 at new all-time high 12th June 2024

Nasdaq Composite at new all-time high 12th June 2024

Nasdaq Composite at new all-time high 12th June 2024

The Federal Reserve maintained the interest rates, aligning with widespread expectations. The Fed also acknowledged some progress on inflation. Modest further progress has been made toward the Committee’s 2% inflation goal and this was more than enough coupled with the recent jobs report to push U.S. markets even higher.

A tiny glimpse of the ‘2% inflation future’ was all it took to send markets on an AI led feeding frenzy to push the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new all-time highs.

One caveat though, the Fed’s recent forecasts predict only one rate reduction this year, a decrease from the three rate cuts anticipated earlier in 2024.

It was enough to propel markets to fresh all-time highs!

Apple’s stock reaches a record high following the unveiling of its AI software

Apple Intelligence

Apple’s shares reached a new record high of approximately $207 per share on Tuesday 11th June 2024, surpassing the previous record set in December.

At its annual developer conference on Monday 10th June 2024, the company launched its highly anticipated venture into AI. Apple is playing catch-up in the AI race and this announcement cheered its loyal followers.

Analysts predict that the introduction of new AI features will prompt consumers to update their devices, as these features are exclusive to the latest models.

This is the perfect business model – new products driven by new features, this time it’s ‘AI’ for Apple Intelligence. I wish I thought of it – ‘A‘ for Apple and ‘I‘ or Intelligence. Not just any intelligence, this is Apple intelligence.

So, now we have Apple AI – let’s see what Apple’s version of AI really is.

Apple share price one year chart hitting $207 on 11th June 2024

Apple share price one year chart hitting $207 on 11th June 2024

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at new all-time highs again

S&P 500 and Nasdaq all at new highs!

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reached new closing highs on Tuesday 11th June 2024, propelled by Apple as the tech giant’s stock hit a record itself.

The S&P 500 index climbed to a new high to close at 5375, while the Nasdaq Composite finished the day at 17343. Both indices also hit new intraday highs. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by around 120 points to close at 38747.

S&P 500 reaches new all-time high on 11th June 2024

S&P 500 reaches new all-time high on 11th June 2024

Nasdaq Composite hits new all-time high on 11th June 2024

Investors seemed to be cashing in on Nvidia, a leader in artificial intelligence, and shifting focus to Apple, which recently introduced new features likely to drive a surge in iPhone upgrades.

Apple’s stock reached a new high during the trading session, its first since December 2023, with around a 7% increase. Nvidia’s stock declined by 0.7% as some profit taking ensued.

Apple finally now has AI and it’s called: Apple Intelligence (AI)

AI

Apple has entered the artificial intelligence race with the announcement of its version of AI – Apple Intelligence on Monday 10th June 2024, in its attempt to catch up in the AI race.

Reportedly to use it on your phone, you’ll need at least the high-end iPhone 15 Pro from this year’s lineup.

According to Apple’s website, Apple Intelligence will also be compatible with devices equipped with the M1 chip, including the iPad Air, iPad Pro, and Macs.

Apple Intelligence, set to launch in beta this autumn, will offer a variety of features. It will be able to proofread and rewrite your text in different tones, create personalized emojis known as ‘Genmoji,‘ and search for specific messages on your iPhone.

Additionally, it will summarize and transcribe phone calls, manage priority notifications, and integrate OpenAI’s ChatGPT for enhanced Siri responses.

Nothing new here then, just AI features already available elsewhere. Hopefully it will have a decent Apple AI make-over when it finally and fully arrives across all Apple products and platforms.

Apple isn’t leading in AI… yet – it’s just following for now!

Raspberry Pi tech IPO to raise £166 million in London listing debut

Raspberry Pi

The British computing startup Raspberry Pi is aiming to raise £166 million ($211.2 million) from its initial public offering in London on Tuesday 11th June 2024.

The company, known for its compact single-board computers, has set its share price at 280 pence each. Conditional dealing of Raspberry Pi shares will commence on Tuesday, allowing specific investors, such as institutional buyers, to begin trading.

Based on the pricing of its shares, the company is valued at around £542 million.

This is a rare win for London’s stock exchange which has struggled to attract technology listings in recent time, losing out to the U.S.

In early morning trading Tuesday 11th June 2024 – Raspberry Pi shares climbed over 30%

Gold: a precious dilemma as it becomes scarce

Gold

The shimmering appeal of gold has enchanted humans for ages, yet beneath its radiant exterior, miners face escalating challenges.

According to the World Gold Council, the gold mining sector is finding it increasingly difficult to maintain production growth as the reserves of this precious metal become scarcer.

Depletion

Discovering new gold deposits is becoming increasingly challenging as many potential areas have already been scouted, leaving limited unexplored territories. Large-scale gold mining requires extensive exploration and development, often spanning 10 to 20 years before a mine becomes operational.

Exploration

Approximately 10% of global gold discoveries produce enough metal for mining operations. The success rates for exploration are quite low, and the chances of a discovery advancing to the stage of mine development are minimal.

Production

Despite record first-quarter mine production in 2024, the overall trend is concerning. Since around 2016-2018, global gold production has plateaued, with no sustained growth.

In 2023, mine production increased by a mere 0.5% compared to the previous year. The growth rates have steadily declined over the past decade.

Reserves

Globally, around 187,000 metric tons of gold have been extracted. China, South Africa, and Australia are at the forefront of production. The United States Geological Survey estimates that there are approximately 57,000 tonnes of minable gold reserves remaining.

Regulation

The process of obtaining government permits has grown increasingly difficult, with bureaucratic procedures causing delays in mining operations. Additionally, remote mining projects necessitate infrastructure such as roads, power, and water, which adds to the costs and complexity.

In summary, the glittering seams of gold are thinning. Miners grapple with scarcity, regulatory hurdles, and the diminishing promise of new discoveries. 

As we dig deeper, the quest for gold becomes a delicate balance between ambition and reality.

Gold chart over one year

Gold chart over one year

Countries holding largest gold stockpiles of gold

Countries holding largest gold stockpiles of gold