February 2024 - Page 3 of 3

February 5, 2024September 12, 2025

Federal Reserve chair Powell insists ‘probably’ fewer rate cuts in 2024 than the market expects

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a U.S. TV interview on Sunday 4th January 2024 that the central bank will proceed carefully with interest rate cuts this year and likely will move at a considerably slower pace than the market expects.

Election year rate cuts?

In the interview and after last week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting (FOMC), Powell expressed confidence in the economy. However, he promised he wouldn’t be swayed by this year’s presidential election and said the pain he feared from rate hikes never really materialised.

“With the economy strong like that, we feel like we can approach the question of when to begin to reduce interest rates carefully,” he reportedly said.

“We want to see more evidence that inflation is moving sustainably down to 2%,” Powell added. “Our confidence is rising. We just want some more confidence before we take that very important step of beginning to cut interest rates.”

Powell indicated that it was unlikely the FOMC will make that first move in March 2024, which markets have been anticipating.

February 2, 2024September 12, 2025

Happy days on Wall Street for BIG tech companies

It was a good day of earnings for Big Tech companies.

Three of the Magnificent 7 results dominated the headlines: Meta, Amazon and Apple. Nasdaq and S&P 500 gained in ‘after the bell’ trading. This after a punishing day for Alphabet and Microsoft, despite good results.

Nasdaq 100 closed at: 17344 but climbed above 17500 in after-hours trading.

Wall Street seemed impressed with Meta’s results.

Meta platforms Inc. One year chart

The results show Meta’s online ad business continues to recover well from a terrible 2022.
Sales in the Q4 jumped 25% year on year.
Expenses decreased 8% year over year to $23.73 billion.

Amazon

Investors also enjoyed Amazon’s earnings, which easily topped Wall Street’s predictions. The ecommerce giant also provided a strong positive outlook. The stock jumped 7% in extended trading.

Amazon.com Inc. One year chart

Q4 was a record-breaking Holiday shopping season in the U.S. and closed out a robust 2023 for Amazon. Amazon has much planned for 2024.

Apple

But Apple didn’t benefit from the same treatment despite posting strong results.

Apple Inc. One year chart

Apple also exceeded estimates, reporting revenue growth for the first time in a year. But shares slid more than 2% in extending trading after it posted a 13% decline in sales in China.

Apple’s outlook suggesting weak iPhones sales may have also disappointed investors.

February 2, 2024September 12, 2025

AMD enters AI-powered PC race as artificial intelligence demand grows

U.S. microchip giant Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is investing in AI PCs to take on the likes of Nvidia and Intel and Arm as the AI race gains momentum.

As the AI market expands so too will AI powered personal computer (PC). These are personal computers embedded with processors specifically designed to perform AI functions such as real-time language translation. Intel has already announced its AI powered chip for the PC.

Tech research firm Canalys in a December report said the boom in generative AI is expected to boost PC sales as consumers are seeking devices with AI features, predicting that 60% of the PCs shipped in 2027 will be AI-capable.

AI tech interest explodes

An explosion of interest in AI was sparked by the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 as the chatbot went viral for its ability to generate human-like responses to users’ prompts.

Microsoft was quick to adopt the Technolgy and incorporate AI into its Bing search engine. Other companies such as Amazon, Alphabet (Google), Arm, Meta, Tesla and Apple are all heavily involved in AI development too.

February 2, 2024September 12, 2025

Gold demand hit record highs in 2023

Gold demand hit record highs in 2023 on the back of persistent geopolitical tensions and continued weakness in some world economies, particularly China according to the World Gold Council.

Total gold demand stood at 4,899 tons in 2023 compared to 4,741 tons in 2022. Gold purchases from central banks led to last year’s surge, with purchases exceeding 1,000 tons for two consecutive years.

Prices reached an all-time high of around $2,135 an ounce in December 2023 as central banks and retail buyers increased their gold investments.

Carats at Costco

Buyers have many outlets from which to make their gold purchases. Costco recently reported selling over $100 million worth of gold bars in the final quarter of December 2023. Weird to think that we can now buy carats with carrots.

Gold demand in 2024?

According to some analysts’ gold purchases this year are unlikely to meet 2023 levels, but a fall in inflation could prevent a drastic drop in demand.

When inflation drops significantly, consumers will start to feel ‘better-off’, and this could mitigate some of the drop in demand.

Gold carat

A Gold carat is a unit used to measure the purity of gold, with a carat representing 1/24th part of the whole.

Pure gold is 24 carats, meaning that it is 100% gold with no other metals added. However, gold used for jewellery and other applications is rarely pure, and its purity is measured in carats to determine its value.

February 1, 2024September 12, 2025

Bank of England holds interest rate at 5.25%

UK interest rates have been left unchanged at 5.25% by the Bank of England as widely expected by commentators.

It is the fourth time in a row the Bank has held rates at 5.25%.

The Bank of England had previously raised rates 14 times in a row to curb inflation, leading to increases in mortgage rates but also creating better rates for savers.

Interest rate chart from 2007 to January 2024 demonstrates just how low interest were between 2009 and 2022

Attitude shift

There is a noticeable shift in opinion as the committee entertained the possibility of discussing the feasibility of cuts.

There was a three-way split, with two members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voting to increase the bank rate to 5.5%; one to reduce it to 5%; and six were in favour of sticking with 5.25%.

With inflation falling it is very likely the interest rates will be reduced by 0.25% by March 2024. Just take a look at the reduction in savers rates that have already occurred.

The anticipation is for a rate reduction soon.

The clue is that savers rates are being cut.

But

The Bank of England Governor, Andrew Bailey, has made clear that for him the key question is: ‘For how long should we keep rates at the current level?’

There may be disappointment ahead then – but a rate cut is next and I still expect it by Easter.

February 1, 2024September 12, 2025

Not so FINE at HSBC – £57.4m fine for depositor protection system failings

HSBC fined £57.4m by the Bank of England for ‘serious failings’ to protect customer deposits.

The bank failed to accurately identify deposits eligible for the UK’s Financial Services Compensation Scheme, the Bank’s Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) announced.

HSBC was fined by the Bank of England’s Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) for failing to properly implement the depositor protection rules, which are meant to safeguard customer deposits in case of a bank collapse.

Serious concerns

The PRA said the failings were ‘serious‘ and ‘materially undermined the firm’s readiness for resolution’. HSBC reportedly said it was pleased to have resolved the ‘historic matter’ and cooperated with the investigation. The ‘failings’ occurred between 2015 and 2022. The fine is the second highest to date imposed by the regulator.

Protected up to £85,000 per person per institution

Under the scheme, customer deposits are protected up to the value of £85,000.

Under depositor protection rules, banks must have systems and controls in place to make sure that financial information is logged correctly. This information is needed if the FSCS has to make payments to customers upon a bank collapse.

However, the PRA said HSBC Bank incorrectly marked 99% of its eligible beneficiary deposits as ‘ineligible’ for FSCS protection.

Unfortunately this episode doesn’t give me much faith in the banking system that is supposed to protect the ‘saver’. At least the PRA discovered the failings.

February 1, 2024September 12, 2025

U.S. Federal Reserve Bank holds interest rates at 5.25% – 5.50% and indicates reluctance to cut just yet

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held interest rates steady and indicated a willingness stop raising interest rates.

But a cut anytime soon is unlikely until inflation is brought fully under control and nearer to the Fed’s 2% inflation target.

The Federal Reserve sent a signal that it is finished with raising interest rates but made it clear that it is not ready to start cutting, just yet. It also said there are no plans yet to cut rates with inflation still running above the central bank’s target.

Federal Reserve interest targets and increases since 2022 to January 2024

February 1, 2024September 12, 2025

Microsoft and Alphabet report good numbers but Nasdaq slides.

Nasdaq 100 futures declined around 0.75%. S&P 500 futures were also down around 0.4%

In after-hours trading, shares of Alphabet dropped more than 5%, while Microsoft slipped 2% after the tech giants, part of the Magnificent Seven posted quarterly earnings. However, both companies achieved on both top and bottom lines. However, advertising revenue for Alphabet came short of analysts’ expectations.

Tech powerhouse

The tech sector powered the market rally from 2023 into 2024 and is now trading at a relatively high valuation of nearly 29 times its 2024 earnings, according to recent figures. Investors will need to see earnings expansion in order for the tech companies to be able to maintain their elevated levels.

Results were good but not good enough according to Wall Street as stocks were priced for perfection and that wasn’t delivered.

Even though the results were better-than-expected, investors are likely selling because they just want to take some money off the table.

Absolute perfection comes at a price on Wall Street.