Tax cuts are coming, it must be election time again

Tax man

Spinning the benefits of a tax cut scenario as Chancellor Jeremy Hunt hints at further tax cuts

The Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, has given strong hints that he wants to cut taxes in the spring Budget.

Mr Hunt reportedly said that countries with lower taxes have more ‘dynamic, faster growing economies.‘ Didn’t Liz Truss say something like that too? But of course, she didn’t ‘cost it out’ in her mini budget apparently – but she also wanted lower taxes for growth none-the-less.

Autumn statement

In the Autumn Statement, the chancellor reduced national insurance for workers by 2% and announced tax relief for businesses. If inflation falls, followed by lower interest rates, Mr Hunt may consider he has scope for further tax cuts.

At the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland – he was also reported to have said that the: ‘direction of travel’ indicates that economies growing faster than the UK, in North America and Asia tend to have lower taxes. ‘I believe fundamentally that low-tax economies are more dynamic, more competitive and generate more money for public services like the NHS,’ he reportedly said.

It is widely expected that the chancellor will focus on income tax in the upcoming Budget due on 6th March 2024

Lower than expected government borrowing last month has increased the possibility of tax cuts in the Budget, analysts say.

UK Borrowing fell to £7.8bn in December 2023, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) indicated. Interest payments dropped sharply due to a faster than expected decline in inflation. Analysts said the latest figures could give the chancellor more wiggle room for tax cuts.

December’s borrowing figure was £8.4bn less than a year earlier, and the lowest figure for the month since 2019.

Interest payments on government debt fell to £4bn, down by £14.1bn from December 2022.

Tax man
‘I hope you have some juicy tax cuts for me?’

Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) says UK has highest tax burden since Second World War

UK taxes high!

It has been suggested Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson have overseen biggest tax rises since the Second World War

‘Fiscal responsibility’ – code words for ‘cock-up!’

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Prime Minister Rishi Sunak have stressed the need for ‘fiscal responsibility’ amid still-high inflation and rising debt costs.

According to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), by the time of the next general election, taxes will likely have risen to around 37% of national income, which is the highest level since comparable records began in the 1950’s. 

The IFS said that this is equivalent to around £3,500 more per household, but it will not be shared equally across income group.

Health and Welfare massive tax burden

The IFS also said that this is not a direct consequence of the pandemic, but rather a result of decisions to increase government spending on health and welfare, and some unwinding of austerity. They predicted that this parliament would mark a decisive and permanent shift to a higher-tax economy.

Other think tanks, such as the Nuffield Foundation, have echoed this view and said that there will be strong pressure in future parliaments to raise taxes further to meet growing demand for public services.

Dissatisfied

Some Conservative MPs have expressed their dissatisfaction with the lack of tax cuts from the government, as they believe that reducing taxes is a key part of the party’s philosophy. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Prime Minister Rishi Sunak have stressed the need for fiscal responsibility amid still-high inflation and rising debt costs.

Lurching from one problem to the next

We saw this type of response under George Osborne during the ‘austerity’ period after the financial crisis of 2008. And now again, after Brexit and the pandemic. They were all Conservative governments.

Hunt has reportedly said it would be virtually impossible to cut taxes at the moment – no surprise there then!

Labour has criticised the government for clobbering the general public with tax rises and failing to deliver growth and wages.