Singapore among world’s first to agree stablecoin crypto regulation – the race is on…

Stablecoins

Big news for the crypto industry

Singapore’s financial regulator has reportedly said it had finalised rules for a type of digital currency called ‘stablecoin’, placing it among some of first the regulators worldwide to do so.

Stablecoins are a type of digital currency designed to hold a constant value against a fiat currency. Many claim to be backed by a reserve of real-world assets, such as cash or government bonds.

Reserves that back stabelcoins must be held in low-risk and highly-liquid assets. They must equal or exceed the value of the stablecoin in circulation at all times, the rules say. The stablecoin market is valued at around $125 billion, with two tokens – Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC – dominating roughly 90% of the market cap value. Stablecoins are broadly unregulated around the world.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) framework requirement

  • Reserves that back stabelcoins must be held in low-risk and highly-liquid assets. They must equal or exceed the value of the stablecoin in circulation at all times
  • Stablecoin issuers must return the par value of the digital currency to holders within five business days of a redemption request.
  • Issuers must also provide ‘appropriate disclosures‘ to users, including the audit results of reserves.

These rules will apply to stablecoins that are issued in Singapore and mimic the value of the Singapore dollar, or of any G10 currencies, such as the U.S. dollar.

Stablecoin regulation
‘Shackles being removed from crypto regulation paving way for stablecoin adoption’

Last year, the collapse of a so-called algorithmic stablecoin named UST put this type of stablecoin in the crosshairs of regulators. Unlike USDT and USDC, UST was governed by an algorithm and did not have real-world assets like bonds in its reserves.

Singapore’s stablecoin framework puts it among one of the first jurisdictions to have such rules. In June, the U.K. passed a law that gives regulators the ability to oversee stablecoins, though there are no concrete rules yet. Hong Kong is meanwhile undergoing a public consultation on stablecoins and seeks to introduce regulation next year.

What is a stablecoin

A stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency that tries to maintain a stable value by being pegged to another asset, such as a fiat currency, a commodity, or another cryptocurrency. Stablecoins aim to offer the benefits of cryptocurrencies, such as decentralisation, security, and transparency, without the drawbacks of high volatility and price fluctuations.

Stablecoins can be used for payments, remittances, trading, and storing value. However, stablecoins also face some challenges and risks, such as regulatory uncertainty, technical issues, and trust issues.

There are different ways to create and manage stablecoins, depending on the mechanism used to stabilize their value.

Main types of stablecoins

  • Fiat-backed: These stablecoins are backed by a reserve of fiat currency, such as the US dollar or the euro, held by a third-party entity. The stablecoin issuer promises to redeem the stablecoin for the fiat currency at a fixed ratio. Examples of fiat-backed stablecoins are Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), and TrueUSD (TUSD).
  • Commodity-backed: These stablecoins are backed by a reserve of physical commodities, such as gold, silver, or oil, held by a third-party entity. The stablecoin issuer promises to redeem the stablecoin for the commodity at a fixed ratio. Examples of commodity-backed stablecoins are Paxos Gold (PAXG), Tether Gold (XAUT), and Digix Gold (DGX).
  • Crypto-backed: These stablecoins are backed by a reserve of other cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, held in a smart contract. The stablecoin issuer uses over-collateralization or algorithmic adjustments to maintain the stability of the stablecoin. Examples of crypto-backed stablecoins are Dai (DAI), sUSD (SUSD), and BitUSD (BITUSD).
  • Algorithmic: These stablecoins are not backed by any reserve, but instead use an algorithm to control the supply and demand of the stablecoin. The algorithm adjusts the supply of the stablecoin according to the market conditions and the target price. Examples of algorithmic stablecoins are Basis Cash (BAC), Empty Set Dollar (ESD), and TerraUSD (UST).

What is ‘crypto’

Crypto has attracted a lot of attention in recent years. Crypto is short for cryptocurrency, which is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography to secure and verify transactions. Crypto can also refer to the underlying technology that powers cryptocurrencies, such as blockchain.

Some examples of popular cryptocurrencies are Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple ( XRP)and Cardano (ADA).

Cryptoman superhero

Cryptocurrencies have many advantages over traditional currencies, such as decentralisation, transparency, anonymity, and lower fees. However, they also face some challenges, such as volatility, regulation, security, and scalability. Crypto enthusiasts believe that cryptocurrencies have the potential to revolutionise the world of finance and beyond.

Some examples of popular stablecoins are Tether, USD Coin and Binance USD.

Asia promotes Crypto clarity as U.S. muddles through with uncertainty

Asia embracing crypto

Clear crypto rules

Asia is promoting clear crypto rules at a time when large businesses are facing regulatory uncertainty in the U.S. 

Some Asian countries that have taken the lead in crypto regulation include Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan, and South Korea. They have proposed or implemented frameworks that protect investors, prevent money laundering, and encourage innovation in the crypto industry.

Lack of clarity in U.S.

In contrast, the U.S. has been singled out for its lack of clarity and consistency in crypto regulation. The SEC for instance and other agencies have different views on how to classify and regulate crypto assets – take alook at the case with XRP and ripple of recent years.

Some industry leaders have threatened to leave the U.S. or sued the regulators over their actions. There is also a debate in Congress that could level crypto transactions with a tax.

Attractive

As a result, some analysts have suggested that Asia could become more attractive to investors and innovators in the crypto industry, as it offers more certainty and stability in the regulatory environment. 

However, there are also challenges and risks involved in crypto regulation, such as balancing security and innovation, ensuring compliance and enforcement, and dealing with cross-border issue.

Welcome to the birth of digtal currency.

‘Money can’t buy friends, but you can get a better class of enemy.’

Spike Milligan

Spike Milligan 1918 – 2002

Spike Milligan was a famous Irish comedian, writer, musician, poet, playwright and actor famously known for writing the hit radio programme, ‘The Goon Show’.

‘I told you I was ill’.

The inscription ‘I told you I was ill’ is the famous epitaph of Spike Milligan.

He died in 2002 at the age of 83. He had once joked that he wanted this phrase to be on his headstone, but the local diocese did not approve of it in English. So he had to write it in Gaelic, which is ‘Duirt me leat go raibh me breoite’.

Bank error in your favour…?

Bank error

A technical issue that affected the Bank of Ireland’s online banking services allowed some customers to withdraw or transfer more money than they had in their accounts.

The glitch reportedly also added €1,000 to some accounts without explanation. This led to large crowds forming at ATMs across the country, hoping to take advantage of the error.

Some reports suggest that the police were called to calm some situations as some ATMs ran out of cash. The bank has since fixed the problem and warned customers that any excess money they withdrew or transferred will be debited from their accounts.

The bank also apologized for the disruption and urged customers who may face financial difficulties due to overdrawing on their accounts to contact them.

Questions remain – how or even why did this happen?

Bank error
‘Bank error allowed people to withdraw money from their accounts they didn’t have’.

UK inflation lower at 6.8% in July 2023 as energy costs fall

According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) – Inflation fell to 6.8% in the year to July 2023, down from 7.9% in June. A reduction was anticipated by analysts, and there are signs the cost of living could be easing finally, after figures on Tuesday revealed wages rose 7.8% annually between April and June 2023. But inflation and therefore prices remain high, placing pressure on household finances.

When the rate of inflation falls, it does not always mean that prices are coming down, but that they are likely to rise less quickly. A fall in gas and electricity prices last month helped drive inflation lower. The cost of some food food items, such as milk, bread and cereals had come down, but that food prices are still some 15% higher than they were in July 2022.

Core inflation

However, according to the ONS figures core inflation a figure which strips out the price of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, remained unchanged in July at 6.9%. With inflation still more than three times the Bank of England’s 2% target, many ‘experts’ expect the UK’s central bank to raise interest rates again in September 2023.

The Bank has steadily hiked interest rates to 5.25%, the highest level in 15 years, meaning mortgage costs have jumped dramatically, but on the flipside savings rates have increased too for the first time since the financial crisis of 2008.

Working?

The Chancellor said July’s figures on the cost of living showed the action the government had taken ‘is working’.

Comment

Well… it’s ‘working‘ in the sense it is having the desired affect to reduce inflation – (that both the government and the Bank of England were way behind on) – but it isn’t helping the economy, as interest rates climb making it more expensive for businesses and consumers to function.

But, at least wages are going up now thanks to all the strikes! This will ultimately add more inflationary pressure in the short term.

Let the tinkering continue!

UK strike action and wage growth – repeats

Strike action

Wages grew at a record annual pace between April and June 2023, according to new figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Regular pay grew by 7.8%, the highest annual growth rate since comparable records began in 2001.Inflation, which measures the pace at which prices are rising, has eased but remains relatively high at 7.9%. Thhe ONS suggested these latest figures demonstrates ‘people’s real pay is recovering‘ and that basic pay is growing at its fastest since current records began’.

However, wage growth is still not quite outstripping the pace of price rises and inflation is still high. Figures suggest that, taking into account the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) measure of inflation, average regular pay fell by 0.6%.

There are signs in the ONS’s data that the UK employment market is easing. The jobless rate rose from 4% to 4.2%, while the number of people in employment ticked lower.

Backward stats..?

The fall in employment in the three months to June and the further rise in the unemployment rate will be welcomed by the Bank of England as a sign labour market conditions are cooling. These comments from an analyst were presented as welcome news – but they are odd really when an economy needs good levels of employment (not unemployment). We live in weird times! Good news! Bad news!

The Bank of England is still generally expected by many pundits to increase its key interest rate again to 5.5% before ending the current run of rate rises.

The number of vacancies in the UK jobs market fell again, down 66,000 between May and July 2023. However, there are still more than one million vacancies.

Strike action adds to inflationary pressure

List of workers striking for higher pay

  • Teachers
  • Tube staff
  • Railway workers
  • Doctors
  • Nurses
  • NHS staff
  • Ambulance workers
  • Passport Office workers
  • Border control staff
  • Airport workers
  • Civil servants
  • University staff
  • Barristers

This is by no means an exhaustive list – just a sample of the demands placed on resources through strike action that impacts inflation through a period of fast wage growth.

Japan outperforms as GDP up 6% August 2023

Japan GDP up 6%

Japan’s economy beats expectations with 6% annualised growth in Q2

Japan’s economy posted its third straight quarterly expansion, latest government data showed 15th August 2023, as robust export growth contributed to an annualised 6% expansion in the second quarter, easily beating market expectations.

Economists had reportedly expected the world’s third-largest economy to produce a 3.1% growth in the April-June quarter. The GDP data translated to a more modest quarterly expansion of 1.5%, topping expectations for 0.8% growth.

The strong performance was mainly driven by a surge in exports, especially in the auto sector, as global demand recovered from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Japan also benefited from an increase in inbound tourism, as travel restrictions eased and the Tokyo Olympics boosted visitor arrivals.

Outlook

However, the outlook for the Japanese economy remains uncertain, as the country faces a resurgence of COVID-19 cases and a sluggish consumer recovery. The government has extended a state of emergency in several regions, including Tokyo and Osaka, until the end of August, which could dampen domestic spending and business activity.

Quarterly expansion came in at a more modest 1.5%, versus expectations for 0.8% growth.

Optimism was tempered by muted domestic demand, given a surprise drop in private consumption expenditure despite the first employee compensation sequential increase in seven quarters.

Historically low interest rates

The Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-easy monetary policy stance, keeping its key interest rate at -0.1% and pledging to support the economy with massive asset purchases. 

The central bank has also introduced a new lending scheme to encourage green and digital investment for the future.

Russia surprises with massive interest rate hike hit of 3.5%

Russia Interest rate increase

Interest rate pushed to 12%

Russia’s central bank has announced a surprise hike in its key lending rate by 3.5%, from 8.5% to 12%, as the country’s economic recovery loses steam amid a resurgence of COVID-19 cases and weak domestic demand.

The decision was announced after an emergency meeting of the bank’s board of directors was called a day earlier as the ruble declined. The fall comes as Moscow increases military spending and Western sanctions weigh on its energy exports.

The Russian currency passed 101 roubles to the dollar on Monday, losing more than a third of its value since the beginning of the year and hitting the lowest level in almost 17 months. It had recovered slightly after the central bank announced the meeting.

The central bank blamed the weak ruble on ‘loose monetary policy‘, suggesting that bank has ‘all the tools necessary‘ to stabilize the situation.

More imports, less exports

By raising borrowing costs, the central bank is trying to fight price spikes as Russia imports more and exports less, especially oil and natural gas, with defense spending going up and sanctions taking a toll. Importing more and exporting less means a smaller trade surplus, which typically weighs on a country’s currency.

The bank also made a big rate hike of 1% last month, saying inflation is expected to keep rising and the fall in the ruble is adding to the risk.

After Western countries imposed sanctions on Russia over the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the ruble plunged to a low of 130 to the dollar, but the central bank enacted capital controls that stabilized its value.

China cuts interest rates to boost economic recovery

China interest rate

Surprise cut

China’s central bank has announced a surprise cut in its key lending rates as the country’s economic recovery loses steam amid as domestic demand remains weak.

The PBOC trimmed the interest rate on 401 billion yuan ($55.25 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans from 2.65% to 2.50%.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said on Monday 14th August 2023 that it would lower the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) by 10 basis points from 3.55% to 3.45%, and the five-year LPR by 10 basis points from 4.2% to 4.1%. The LPRs are benchmark rates that reflect the cost of borrowing for banks and businesses.

Easing domestic contraints

The rate cuts are aimed at easing the financial constraints on households and businesses to boost their financing demand and stimulating economic growth, which slowed to 5.2% year-on-year in the second quarter, down from 6.8% in the first quarter.

Analysts said the rate cuts also indicated a shift in China’s monetary policy stance from neutral to moderately easing, as the PBOC faces increasing pressure to support the economy amid rising deflationary risks, falling producer and consumer prices, and subdued real estate activity.

The PBOC reportedly said it would continue to implement a prudent monetary policy and maintain reasonable and sufficient liquidity in the market.

Britain to unlock £50 billion in pension funding for tech startups

Money in case

UK to unleash £50 billion in pension funding for tech startups

The U.K. government has unveiled a series of reforms that will allow pension funds to invest more in private and high-growth companies, especially in the tech sector. The move is expected to boost economic growth, support innovation and increase returns for future retirees.

The reforms include an agreement with the country’s largest defined contribution pension schemes to allocate 5% of assets in their default funds to unlisted equities by 2030. This could unlock up to £50 billion of investment in high-growth firms if all other defined contribution pension schemes follow suit, according to the government.

AI

The government will also create new investment vehicles that will give pensioners a stake in homegrown private companies, such as fintech and biotech startups, that have increasingly snubbed the London Stock Exchange and turned to foreign investors for cash. The aim is to make the U.K. a more attractive market for technology and a global leader in emerging fields like artificial intelligence.

The Treasury claimed that the reforms would not only help burgeoning industries, but could also result in higher returns for workers’ retirement funds. The government estimates that the average earner’s pension pot could rise up to 12% to as much as £16,000 with defined contribution pension schemes committing to more effective investments.

Unlock

The announcement comes amid criticism that the U.K. is losing its edge in technology and innovation, as evidenced by the recent decision of U.K. chip design giant Arm to list in New York rather than London. The chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, reportedly said that he wanted to make the U.K. ‘the world’s next Silicon Valley and a science superpower’ by unlocking investment from the U.K.’s £2.5 trillion pensions sector.

The reforms were welcomed by industry groups and experts, who said that they would help address the funding gap faced by many U.K. startups and scale-ups, and create more opportunities for long-term growth and value creation.

‘Here’s to the crazy ones. The misfits. The rebels. The troublemakers. The round pegs in the square holes. The ones who see things differently. They’re not fond of rules. And they have no respect for the status quo. You can quote them, disagree with them, glorify or vilify them. About the only thing you can’t do is ignore them. Because they change things. They push the human race forward. And while some may see them as the crazy ones, we see genius. Because the people who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, are the ones who do’.

Steve Jobs

Steve Jobs 1955 – 2011, Inventor and visionary.

Co-founder, chairman, and CEO of Apple.

Steve Jobs was one of the most influential and visionary entrepreneurs of the 21st century. He was the co-founder, chairman, and CEO of Apple Inc., the company that revolutionized personal computing, music, mobile phones, tablets, and digital animation. He was also the founder and CEO of NeXT, a computer and software company that was acquired by Apple in 1997, and the majority shareholder of Pixar, a computer animation studio that was acquired by Disney in 2006.

Steve Jobs was born on February 24, 1955 in San Francisco, California. He was adopted by Paul and Clara Jobs, who raised him in Mountain View, California. Jobs attended Reed College in Portland, Oregon, but dropped out after one semester. He then travelled to India in 1974 to seek spiritual enlightenment and became a follower of Zen Buddhism.

Apple

In 1976, he co-founded Apple Computer with his friend Steve Wozniak in his parents’ garage. They created the Apple I and Apple II, which were among the first successful personal computers. In 1984, they launched the Macintosh, which introduced the graphical user interface and the mouse to the mass market. In 1985, Jobs left Apple after a power struggle with the board of directors.

NeXt

In 1986, he founded NeXT, which developed innovative computers and software for the education and business markets. NeXT also created the NeXTSTEP operating system, which was later used as the basis for Mac OS X and iOS. In 1997, Apple bought NeXT for $429 million and brought Jobs back as an interim CEO.

Watercolour image and likeness of Apple Lisa computer

iMac

In 1998, Jobs led the turnaround of Apple with the launch of the iMac, a sleek and colorful all-in-one computer. He then introduced a series of groundbreaking products that changed the world of technology and entertainment, such as the iPod (2001), iTunes (2003), iPhone (2007), iPad (2010), and iCloud (2011). He also oversaw the development of software platforms such as Mac OS X, iOS, iTunes Store, App Store, and Safari.

Pixar

In 1986, he also acquired Pixar from George Lucas for $10 million. Pixar became one of the most successful animation studios in history, producing hit films such as Toy Story (1995), Finding Nemo (2003), The Incredibles (2004), Ratatouille (2007), WALL-E (2008), Up (2009), and Inside Out (2015). In 2006, Disney bought Pixar for $7.4 billion and made Jobs its largest shareholder.

Stay hungry, stay foolish

Steve Jobs was known for his charisma, creativity, innovation, and perfectionism. He had a vision to make products that were not only functional but also beautiful and intuitive.

His passion to create experiences that enriched people’s lives and inspired them to think differently. He had a motto to ‘stay hungry, stay foolish’.

Steve Jobs died on October 5, 2011 at the age of 56 after a long battle with pancreatic cancer. He left behind a legacy that will continue to shape the world for generations to come.

Amazon – leading or competing?

The power of AI

Amazon is one of the leading companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) and has been developing its own custom chips to power its AI applications and services.

Amazon’s AI chips are designed to perform tasks such as natural language processing, computer vision, speech recognition, and machine learning inference and training.

AI chips created by Amazon

  • AZ2: This is a processor built into the Echo Show 15 smart display and powers artificial intelligence tasks like understanding your voice commands and figuring out who is issuing those commands. The AZ2 chip also enables features such as visual ID, which can recognize faces and display personalized information on the screen.
  • Inferentia: This is a high-performance chip that Amazon launched to deliver low-cost and high-throughput inference for deep learning applications. Inferentia powers Amazon Elastic Compute Cloud (EC2) Inf1 instances, which are optimized for running inference workloads on AWS. Inferentia also powers some of Amazon’s own services, such as Alexa, Rekognition, and SageMaker Neo.
  • Trainium: This is a chip that Amazon designed to provide high-performance and low-cost training for machine learning models. Trainium will power Amazon EC2 Inf2 instances, which are designed to train increasingly complex models, such as large language models and vision transformers. Trainium will also support scale-out distributed training with ultra-high-speed connectivity between accelerators.

Despite advancements is Amazon chasing to keep up?

Amazon is racing to catch up with Microsoft and Google in the field of generative AI, which is a branch of AI that can create new content or data from existing data. Generative AI can be used for applications such as natural language generation, image and video synthesis, text summarization, and personalization.

AI models from Amazon

  • Titan: This is a family of large language models (LLMs). Titan models can generate natural language texts for various domains and tasks, such as conversational agents, document summarization, product reviews, and more. Titan models are trained on a large and diverse corpus of text data from various sources, such as books, news articles, social media posts, and product descriptions.
Power of AI
Powerful chips for artificial intelligence (AI)
  • Bedrock: This is a service that Amazon created to help developers enhance their software using generative AI. Bedrock provides access to pre-trained Titan models and tools to customize them for specific use cases. Bedrock also allows developers to deploy their generative AI applications on AWS using Inferentia or Trainium chips.

Generative AI

Amazon’s CEO, Andy Jassy in the past said he thought of generative AI as having three macro layers: the compute, the models, and the applications. He said that Amazon is investing heavily in all three layers and that its custom chips are a key part of its strategy to provide high-performance and low-cost compute for generative AI. He also said that Amazon is not used to chasing markets but creating them, and that he believes Amazon has the best platform for generative AI in the world.

Inferentia and Trainium, offer AWS customers an alternative to training their large language models on Nvidia GPUs, which have been getting difficult and expensive to procure. 

‘The entire world would like more chips for doing generative AI, whether that’s GPUs or whether that’s Amazon’s own chips that we’re designing’, Amazon Web Services CEO Adam Selipsky is reported to have said. ‘I think that we’re in a better position than anybody else on Earth to supply the capacity that our customers collectively are going to want’.

Fast actors

Yet others have acted faster, and invested more, to capture business from the generative AI boom. When OpenAI launched ChatGPT in November 2022, Microsoft gained widespread attention for hosting the chatbot, and investing a reportedly whopping $13 billion in OpenAI. It was quick to add the generative AI models to its own products, incorporating them into Bing in February 2023. 

That same month, Google launched its own large language model, Bard, followed by a $300 million investment in OpenAI rival Anthropic. 

Chat Bot
AI Chat Bot robot

It wasn’t until April 2023 that Amazon announced its own family of large language models, called Titan, along with a service called Bedrock to help developers enhance software using generative AI.

Amazon is not used to chasing markets. Amazon is used to creating markets. And for the first time for some time, they find themselves on the back foot and working to play catch up.

And Meta?

Meta also recently released its own LLM, Llama 2. The open-source ChatGPT rival is now available for people to test on Microsoft’s Azure public cloud.

The AI battle continues…

Remarkable feat of human ingenuity

Voyager 1

Voyage 2 Spacecraft

The Voyager 2 spacecraft is a remarkable feat of human exploration and discovery. It was launched in 1977, along with its twin Voyager 1, to explore the outer planets of our solar system. It is the only spacecraft to have visited Uranus and Neptune, and it is now the second most distant human-made object in space, after Voyager 1.

Deep space

However, communicating with such a faraway spacecraft is not easy. It requires a powerful radio antenna that can send and receive signals across billions of miles. NASA uses its Deep Space Network (DSN), a network of giant radio dishes around the world, to keep in touch with Voyager 2 and other deep space missions.

Unfortunately, sometimes things can go wrong. On July 21, 2023, NASA accidentally sent a wrong command to Voyager 2 that caused it to tilt its antenna away from Earth. This meant that the spacecraft could not receive any more commands or send back any data. NASA lost contact with Voyager 2 for nearly two weeks.

Keep talking

But NASA did not give up. The engineers tried to send a corrective command to Voyager 2 using the DSN, hoping that the spacecraft would somehow pick it up and respond.

Imaginary watercolour image of Deep Space
Imaginary watercolour image of Deep Space

On August 1, 2023, NASA finally received a signal from Voyager 2. It was a faint ‘heartbeat‘ that confirmed that the spacecraft was still alive and broadcasting. NASA was overjoyed and relieved to hear from its old friend.

On August 4, 2023, NASA announced that it had successfully restored full contact with Voyager 2. The engineers had managed to send an ‘interstellar shout’ to the spacecraft, a powerful command that instructed it to point its antenna back to Earth. It took 37 hours for the command to reach Voyager 2 and another 37 hours for the confirmation to come back. It worked!  Voyager 2 was back online and ready to resume its mission.

Amazing

Voyager 2 is an amazing example of human ingenuity and perseverance. It has been exploring space for nearly half a century, and it is still going strong. It has taught us so much about our solar system and beyond, and it continues to send us valuable data from the interstellar space. We are lucky to have such a faithful companion in our cosmic journey

Voyager 1 is an amazing spacecraft that has been exploring the outer solar system and beyond for over 45 years. It is currently the most distant human-made object from Earth, and it is still sending us valuable data from interstellar space.

According to the latest information from NASA, as of April 7, 2023, Voyager 1 is about 14,803,648,909 miles (23,837,577,852 kilometers) away from Earth.  That is equivalent to 160.154936 astronomical units (AU), which is the average distance between the Earth and the Sun. 

To put that in perspective, it would take light about 22 hours and 4 minutes to travel from Voyager 1 to Earth. That means that we are receiving signals from Voyager 1 that were sent almost a day ago! It takes approximately 8 minutes for light to travel from the Sun to planet Earth

Voyager 1 is also moving away from Earth at a speed of about 38,026.77 miles per hour (or 61,198.15 kilometers per hour) relative to the Sun. That means that it is getting farther and farther away from us every second. At this rate, it will take Voyager 1 about 40,000 years to reach the nearest star system to our Sun, which is Alpha Centauri.

Futuristc Space Travel
A vision of futuristc space travel

Voyager 1 is a testament to human curiosity and ingenuity. It has taught us so much about our solar system and beyond, and it continues to inspire us to explore the unknown.

Nice one Voyager 1

Explore

NASA’s StarChild: This is a website that offers information and activities for children about stars and other astronomical topics.

Stellarium: This is a free software that simulates the sky in 3D and allows you to explore the stars and constellations from any location and time.

StarDate: This is a website that provides daily updates on the sky events, such as star sightings, eclipses, meteor showers, and planetary alignments.

Hackers to compete for $20 million prize

Hackers

The U.S. cyber hacker challenge is a new initiative launched by the Biden administration in August 2023 to use artificial intelligence (AI) to protect critical U.S. infrastructure from cybersecurity risks. 

The challenge will offer $20 million in prize money and includes collaboration from leading AI companies Anthropic, Google, Microsoft and OpenAI, who will make their technology available for the competition. The challenge was announced at the Black Hat USA hacking conference in Las Vegas.

The competition will consist of three stages

  • Qualifying event in the spring of 2024
  • Semifinal at DEF CON 2024
  • Final at DEF CON 2025 

The competitors will be asked to use AI to secure vital software and open source their systems so that their solutions can be used widely (does that create a risk in itsellf)? The top three teams will be eligible for additional prizes, including a top prize of $4 million for the team that best secures vital software.

The challenge aims to explore what’s possible when experts in cybersecurity and AI have access to a suite of cross-company resources. The U.S. government hopes that the promise of AI can help further secure critical U.S. systems and protect Americans from future cyber attacks!

Limitations and risks using AI for security

However, there are flaws and drawbacks of using AI for cybersecurity, both for the attackers and the defenders.

  • Lack of transparency and explainability: AI systems are often complex and opaque, making it difficult to understand how they make decisions or what factors influence their outputs. This can lead to trust issues, ethical dilemmas, and legal liabilities.
  • Overreliance on AI: AI systems are not infallible and may make mistakes or produce false positives or negatives. Relying too much on AI, without human oversight or verification can result in missed threats, erroneous actions, or unintended consequences.
  • Bias and discrimination: AI systems may inherit or amplify human biases or prejudices that are present in the data, algorithms, or design of the systems. This can result in unfair or discriminatory outcomes, such as excluding certain groups of people from access to services or opportunities, or targeting them for malicious attacks.
  • Vulnerability to attacks: AI systems may be susceptible to adversarial attacks, such as data poisoning, model stealing, evasion, or exploitation. These attacks can compromise the integrity, availability, or confidentiality of the systems, or manipulate them to produce malicious outputs.
  • High cost: Developing and maintaining AI systems for cybersecurity requires a lot of resources, such as computing power, memory, data, and skilled personnel. These resources may not be easily accessible or affordable for many organizations or individual.
AI and cybersecurity systems
‘Well, what do you think of AI and cybersecurity sharing resources’? ‘Ha! playing right into our hands’.

These are some of the flaws of using AI for cybersecurity, but they are not insurmountable. With proper research, regulation, education, and collaboration, AI can be a powerful ally in enhancing cybersecurity and protecting against cyber threats – that is until it takes over, but that will never happen… will it?

U.S. to ban some U.S. investments in China tech sector

U.S. AI tech restrictions plan proposed

The U.S. will ban American investment in some areas of China’s high-tech sector, including artificial intelligence, adding to strained relations between the two superpowers.

U.S. firms will also be invited to disclose what investments they make in China in high-tech sectors.The much-anticipated move gives the U.S. government new power to screen foreign dealings by private companies. The U.S. said the measure would be narrowly targeted. However, it is poised to further chill economic relations between the world’s two largest economies. China has reportedly said it was ‘very disappointed‘. The U.S. ‘has continuously escalated suppression and restrictions on China‘. He added that White House claims that the US was not seeking to hurt China’s economy or separate the two countries did not match its actions. ‘We urge the US side to honour its words‘.

Biden order

The order by U.S. President Biden formally kicks off the push to introduce rules to restrict, even prevent American businesses from investing in firms from ‘countries of concern‘ that are active in advanced semiconductors, quantum computing and certain areas of artificial intelligence.

The government will also require U.S. firms to notify the Treasury Department of investments in firms working on a wider range of artificial intelligence and semiconductor technology.

AI tech
U.S. restriction on AI related tech knowledge to China

The rules are not expected to apply to ‘portfolio’ investments, in which firms invest passively in companies via the stock market, but are focused on active investments made by private equity and venture capital businesses. They will now enter a public ‘reflection’ period, which is expected to further clarify what kinds of investments are off-limits. The rules are not expected to go into effect for sometime yet. This new ‘order’ is quite a big deal.

In a briefing with reporters, senior administration officials said the measure was a ‘national security action, not an economic one‘. They said the U.S. remained committed to open investment.

Investment control

Controls on outbound investment are rare among advanced economies, currently present only in Japan and Korea, according to a 2022 report.

In the U.S., prior restrictions on China trade have relied on limiting sales of sensitive technology by U.S. firms and screening Chinese investments in American companies. The Trump administration had also barred investments in firms tied to China’s military.

The latest measure has widespread support in Washington, where it is seen as fixing a regulatory gap concerning financial flows that risks allowing American money and know-how to to flow into China.

International support

The U.S. has been trying to build international support for the investment curbs with some signs of success.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak in May 2023 said the UK government would consider curbs on outbound investment; the European Commission put forward a proposal focused on investments in sensitive technologies earlier this summer. It is not clear how significantly the order would affect flows of investment.

China was the number two destination for foreign investment in 2022, behind the U.S., but many reports suggest money flowing into the country from the U.S. and elsewhere has dropped sharply as geopolitical relations sour. In the UK, a recent survey by the Institute of Directors found that one in five UK importers had already switched investments away from the country due to geopolitical tensions.

China has responded to the curbs with its own rules, including limits on exports of some critical minerals used to make computer chips.

Gallium and Germanium
Gallium and Germanium considered critical elements required in the production of microchips

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who visited China in July 2023 in an attempt to ease tensions, said last month she did not think the coming curbs would have a fundamental impact on the investment climate in the country.

Will these measures likely damage the U.S. in the future by escalating issues and restricting the U.S. from other shared advancements in technology – only time will tell.

Tech’ rivalry

U.S. and China are two of the world’s leading powers in artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductors, which are essential components for many AI applications such as self-driving cars, smart phones, and cloud computing. However, the two countries have also been engaged in a fierce competition and rivalry over these technologies, as they seek to gain an edge in innovation, security, and economic growth. Some of the issues that have caused tensions between U.S. and China include trade disputes, intellectual property theft, cyberattacks, human rights violations, and military expansion.

AI chips

AI semiconductors are designed to perform complex calculations and tasks that require high levels of intelligence, such as natural language processing, computer vision, and machine learning.

These chips can be classified into two types: general-purpose chips that can run various AI algorithms, and specialized chips that are optimized for specific AI functions or domains.

The race is on…

U.S. inflation July 2023 up 0.2% to 3.2%

Inflation catcher

Up slightly for the first time in a year

U.S. consumer prices rose a mild 0.2% in July, but the rate of inflation rose for the first time in more than in a year in a sign it’s going to take a while to get the cost of living fully under control. But a steady slowdown in inflation over the past year could keep the Federal Reserve on the sidelines when officials consider whether to raise interest rates again at their next meeting in September.

The yearly rate of inflation, rose to 3.2% from to 3% in the prior month. It’s the first increase in 13 months, though inflation has eased considerably since hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in 2022. The core rate of inflation, which omits volatile food and energy costs, also rose 0.2% last month.

The increase in core inflation over the past year slowed slightly to 4.7% from 4.8%. That’s the lowest rate in almost two years. The Fed doesn’t ignore food and energy prices, but the central bank views the core rate as a better predictor of inflation trends. Even so, the core rate of inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal.

Rapid rate rise

Over the past year the U.S. central bank has been raising interest rates rapidly to try to slow the economy and dampen inflation, but it’s unclear if the Fed will continue to do so at its next meeting in September 2023. Financial markets put the odds close to zero.

Inflation has slowed sharply in the first half of 2023, but further gains this year are unlikely to come as easy. U.S. gas (petrol) prices are on the rise again. U.S. rent and house prices are still going up. And labour costs are increasing more than 4% a year, making it harder for the Fed to achieve its inflation target.

Robust economy

The U.S. economy, for its part, is still expanding at a surprisingly robust pace. Strong consumer demand could keep prices elevated, especially for popular services such as hotel rentals, dining out and entertainment.

Whether inflation is still rising too fast for the Fed to necessate another rate hike in September remains to be seen, for now.

Hack Attack! UK’s electoral registers stolen

Hacker

The UK’s elections watchdog has revealed it has been the victim of a complex cyber-attack potentially affecting millions of voters.

The Electoral Commission said unspecified ‘hostile actors‘ had managed to gain access to copies of the electoral registers, from August 2021. Note the word ‘unspecified’ is used – do they even know?

Hackers also broke into its emails and “control systems” but the attack was not discovered until October last year. The watchdog has warned people to watch out for unauthorised use of their data.

The commission said hackers accessed copies of the registers it was holding for research purposes, and for conducting checks on political donors. The commission knew which of its systems were accessible to the hackers, but could not ‘conclusively‘ identify which files may have been accessed.

‘Very sophisticated’ attack

The personal data held on the registers – name and address – did not itself present a ‘high risk‘ to individuals, it added, although it is possible it could be combined with other public information to ‘identify and profile individuals’.

It has not said when the hackers’ access to its systems was stopped, but said they were secured as soon as possible after the attack was identified in October 2022. Why was it left so long to be made public and how long did it take to make systems secure again?

Explaining why it had not made the attack public before now, the commission said it first needed to stop the hackers’ access, examine the extent of the incident and put additional security measures in place.Defending the delay, commission chair John Pullinger said: “If you go public on a vulnerability before you have sealed it off, then you are risking more vulnerabilities.” He is reported to have said the ‘very sophisticated attack involved using software to try and get in and evade our systems’. Well, that clearly worked then.

The world of digital data

He reportedly said that the hackers were not able to alter or delete any information on the electoral registers themselves, which are maintained by registration officers around the country. Information about donations and loans to political parties and registered campaigners is held in a system that is not affected by this incident, the notice added. He understood public concern, and would like to apologise to those affected.

Steps

The commission added that it had taken steps to secure its systems against future attacks, including by updating its login requirements, alert system and firewall policies. The Information Commissioner’s Office, which is responsible for data protection in the UK, said it was urgently investigating.

Labour’s deputy leader Angela Rayner reportedly said: ‘This serious incident must be fully and thoroughly investigated so lessons can be learned‘. Why wouldn’t it be investigated? I dislike it immensely when clueless politicians roll out this ‘standard remark’ as an attempt to demonstrate they ‘know what’s going on’.

Then what? It happens again and we have to… learn more lessons…?

Step up the security – we have the ability!

‘Neither a borrower nor money lender be’.

Shakespeare quote

William Shakespeare 1564 – 1616

The phrase, ‘neither a borrower nor money lender be’ is a famous quote from William Shakespeare’s play, Hamlet, spoken by the character Polonius to his son Laertes. Polonius is giving his son some advice before he leaves for Paris, and he tells him not to lend or borrow money from anyone, because it can ruin friendships and lead to financial troubles.

Quote

‘Neither a borrower nor a lender be; For loan oft loses both itself and friend, And borrowing dulls the edge of husbandry’.

The phrase means that we/you should be self-reliant and prudent with your money, and avoid getting into debt or lending money to others. It implies that borrowing and lending can cause resentment, dishonesty, and loss of trust between people. It also suggests that borrowing can make you lazy and wasteful, while lending can make you lose both the money and the friend. Thats’s true!

Relevant

The phrase is still relevant today, as many people face the challenges of managing their finances and dealing with debt. It is often used as a proverb or a piece of wisdom to warn people against the dangers of borrowing and lending money. However, some people may disagree with the phrase, and argue that borrowing and lending can be beneficial in some situations, such as when one needs to invest in education, business, or emergency needs. They may also point out that borrowing and lending can strengthen relationships if done with honesty, generosity, and gratitude.

Credit card debt in the U.S. reaches new high of $1 trillion

Credit cards

Problem?

Americans are using their credit cards more than ever, pushing the total balance to over $1 trillion for the first time in history, according to a report from the New York Federal Reserve.

The report, released August 2023, showed that credit card balances rose by $45 billion to $1.03 trillion in the second quarter of 2023, reflecting robust consumer spending as well as higher prices due to inflation. The increase was the largest quarterly gain since 2008 and surpassed the previous record of $1.02 trillion set in 2019.

The rise in credit card debt also coincided with a higher payment failure rate, which measures the share of borrowers who are at least 30 days behind on their payments. The failure measure climbed to 7.2% in the second quarter, up from 6.5% in the first quarter and the highest level since 2012.

The New York Fed reportedly said that the increase in failure rates may reflect a normalization to pre-pandemic levels, as many lenders offered relief programs and forbearance options to borrowers during the Covid-19 crisis. However, some analysts warned that the high level of credit card debt could pose a risk to the financial stability of households and the economy if interest rates rise or incomes fall.

Expensive debt

Credit card debt is one of the most expensive forms of debt, and it can quickly spiral out of control if not managed. ‘Consumers should aim to pay off their balances in full every month, or at least pay more than the minimum due, to avoid paying unnecessary interest and fees.

The burden of debt is all to consuming!

Interest rates and fees on credit cards are one of the highest payable and if you fall into the debt spiral it can be almost impossible to liberate yourself from that consuming debt.

Younger users

The New York Fed also noted that credit card usage has become more widespread among Americans, especially among younger and lower-income borrowers. The share of adults with at least one credit card increased from 76% in 2019 to 79% in 2021, while the share of those with four or more cards rose from 18% to 21% over the same period.

Tool

The report suggested that credit cards have become an essential tool for many consumers to access credit and smooth purchases over time, especially during periods of economic uncertainty and volatility. However, it also cautioned that credit cards can also lead to overborrowing and financial distress if not used responsibly.

It is one of the most expensive ways to borrow money and far too easy to access.

‘Among any three people walking, I will find something to learn for sure’.

People and a sunset

This proverb is quote by Confucius

This proverb is attributed to Confucius, the founder of Confucianism. It means that we can learn from anyone, even those who are less knowledgeable or experienced than us.

Confucius was a Chinese philosopher who is traditionally considered the ‘most perfect’ of Chinese sages.

Watercolour of three people walking and talking on a beautiful beach

See other quotes

Alarm bells sound for China as data indicates deflationary pressure

Deflation

Deflation or inflation?

China’s consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.3% in August from a year ago, while the producer price index (PPI) fell by 4.4% last month. This is the first time since February 2021 that the CPI has fallen, and the 10th consecutive month that the PPI has contracted. This indicates that China is experiencing deflation pressure as demand in the world’s second-largest economy weakens.

Factors that contribute to the deflation risk

  • A prolonged property market slump, which reduces investment and consumption.
  • A plunging demand for exports, due to the global economic slowdown and trade tensions with the United States.
  • A subdued consumer spending, due to the coronavirus pandemic and rising unemployment.

Deflation can have negative effects on the economy

  • Lowering profits and incomes for businesses and households.
  • Increasing the real value of debt and making it harder to repay.
  • Reducing incentives for investment and innovation.
  • Creating a downward spiral of falling prices and demand.

The Chinese government and the central bank have taken some measures to stimulate the economy and prevent deflation.

  • Cutting interest rates and reserve requirement ratios for banks.
  • Increasing fiscal spending and issuing special bonds for infrastructure projects.
  • Providing tax relief and subsidies for businesses and consumers.

However, these measures have not been enough to offset the deflationary pressure, and some analysts expect more monetary easing and fiscal support in the coming months.

Deflation definition

Deflation is the opposite of inflation. It means that the prices of goods and services are going down over time. This may sound good for consumers, who can buy more with the same amount of money. But deflation can also have negative effects on the economy.

Deflation can be caused by a decrease in the supply of money and credit, a fall in demand, or an increase in productivity. To prevent or reverse deflation, the central bank and the government can use monetary and fiscal policies to stimulate the economy, much the same as we are now seeing to deal with ‘inflation’.

China’s exports take a dive!

China’s exports plunge

According to latest figures the country’s trade fell more sharply than expected in July 2023, as both global and domestic demand receded amid the pandemic and ongoing tensions with the United States.

China’s exports fell by 14.5% in July 2023 from a year ago, the biggest drop since February 2020, while imports dropped by 12.4%, according to Chinese data. This was much worse than the 5% decline in both exports and imports analysts were expecting.

Poor trade performance

Some of the reasons for the poor trade performance are the rising costs of raw materials, the global shortage of semiconductors, the Covid-19 outbreaks in some regions, and the U.S. sanctions on some Chinese companies. 

China’s trade with the U.S., its largest trading partner, fell in the first seven months of the year. The trade slump has added pressure on China to provide more support for the economy, which has lost momentum after a strong recovery in late 2020 and early 2021.

China’s trade drop July 2023 more than expected

China’s trade situation is also closely watched by other countries, as it reflects the health of the global economy and demand for goods. Some analysts have warned that China’s trade slowdown could signal a broader weakening of consumer spending in developed economies, which could lead to recessions later this year.  China’s trade data also has implications for inflation and monetary policy, as lower import prices could ease inflationary pressures and allow central banks to keep interest rates low.

China’s export to the U.S. and EU down

China’s exports to the U.S. plunged by 23.1% year-on-year in July 2023, while those to the European Union fell by 20.6%, CNBC analysis of customs data showed. Exports to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations fell by 21.4%, according to the data. Chinese imports of crude oil dropped by 20.8% in July from a year ago, while imports of integrated circuits fell by nearly 17%.

China’s imports from Russia fell by around 8% in July 2023 from a year ago, the data showed.

A slowdown in U.S. and other major economies’ growth has dragged down Chinese exports this year. Meanwhile, China’s domestic demand has remained subdued.

Growth areas

Among the few higher-value export categories that saw a significant increase in the first seven months of the year were: cars, refined oil, suitcases and bags. And for imports: paper pulp, coal products and edible vegetable oil were among the categories seeing significant growth in the January to July period from a year ago.

Mattel’s Barbie movie and its $1 billion box office take… and counting!

Barbie hype

Pure mechandise

Barbie, the live-action movie based on the popular toy doll, has become a global phenomenon, surpassing $1 billion in cinema sales worldwide. The film, directed by Greta Gerwig and starring Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling, is the first solo female-directed movie to achieve this milestone, breaking the record previously held by Patty Jenkins’ Wonder Woman.

Some have praised the film for its humour, creativity, and feminist message, while others have criticized it for its anti-male sentiment, disjointed plot, and shallow depth. Others even suggest is was muddled, disjointed with a nonsensical plot. The cynical corporate mechandise shadow was everwhere to be seen. Pure hype!

Plastic message?

The film follows Barbie as she leaves her perfect plastic world and embarks on an adventure in the real world, where she discovers new friends, challenges, and possibilities. The film has been praised by some for its humour, and visual effects, as well as its empowering message of self-acceptance and diversity.

It is acceptable to argue that Barbie’s box office success is a nod to Gerwig’s vision and talent. The film has also sparked a cultural phenomenon, with fans creating memes, videos inspired by the movie.

Barbie has also outperformed Christopher Nolan’s Oppenheimer, which was released on the same day three weeks ago. The biopic of the atomic bomb scientist has earned $552 million worldwide, making it the sixth-biggest film of the year and the highest-grossing R-rated film of 2023.

Pink and white

A Barbie doll is a fashion doll that was created by Ruth Handler and launched by Mattel in 1959. The doll is named after the inventors daughter, Barbara. Barbie has become one of the most popular and recognizable toys in the world, with over a billion dolls sold in more than 150 countries. Barbie has also inspired numerous movies, books and games.

Mattel, Inc. is an American multinational toy manufacturing and entertainment company founded in Los Angeles by Harold Matson and the husband-and-wife duo of Ruth and Elliot Handler in January 1945.

Barbie has proven that she is not just a toy, but a timeless icon for the Mattel money making mechandise machine too!

I didn’t see any useful message in the movie – just mechandise, mechandise and more mechandise! oh… and lots of hype!