Japan outperforms as GDP up 6% August 2023

Japan GDP up 6%

Japan’s economy beats expectations with 6% annualised growth in Q2

Japan’s economy posted its third straight quarterly expansion, latest government data showed 15th August 2023, as robust export growth contributed to an annualised 6% expansion in the second quarter, easily beating market expectations.

Economists had reportedly expected the world’s third-largest economy to produce a 3.1% growth in the April-June quarter. The GDP data translated to a more modest quarterly expansion of 1.5%, topping expectations for 0.8% growth.

The strong performance was mainly driven by a surge in exports, especially in the auto sector, as global demand recovered from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Japan also benefited from an increase in inbound tourism, as travel restrictions eased and the Tokyo Olympics boosted visitor arrivals.

Outlook

However, the outlook for the Japanese economy remains uncertain, as the country faces a resurgence of COVID-19 cases and a sluggish consumer recovery. The government has extended a state of emergency in several regions, including Tokyo and Osaka, until the end of August, which could dampen domestic spending and business activity.

Quarterly expansion came in at a more modest 1.5%, versus expectations for 0.8% growth.

Optimism was tempered by muted domestic demand, given a surprise drop in private consumption expenditure despite the first employee compensation sequential increase in seven quarters.

Historically low interest rates

The Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-easy monetary policy stance, keeping its key interest rate at -0.1% and pledging to support the economy with massive asset purchases. 

The central bank has also introduced a new lending scheme to encourage green and digital investment for the future.

UK economy grows June 2023

UK GDP up April - June 2023

U.K. economy beat expectations with 0.2% growth in the second quarter, boosted by household consumption and manufacturing output, the Office for National Statistics said Friday.

Economists had expected U.K. GDP to level off in the second quarter, after a surprise increase of 0.1% in the first quarter, as the Bank of England’s monetary policy tightening took effect and as persistent inflation began to slow consumer demand.

The economy expanded by 0.5% in June 2023, beating a forecast of 0.2% growth. It follows monthly GDP growth of 0.1% in May and 0.2% in April. However, the strength of the June rise was partially attributed to warm weather, as well as the additional public holiday in May to celebrate the coronation of King Charles III.

Better than expected

GDP was lifted by 1.6% growth in manufacturing and 0.7% in production in the second quarter, while services grew by 0.1%.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) noted strong growth in household and government consumption in terms of expenditure. Both faced price pressures in the quarter, though this moderated from the previous three-month period.

UK GDP up in June 2023
Growth in June 2023 was stronger than expected at 0.5%

Growth in June 2023 was stronger than expected at 0.5%, showing a recovery when the economy lost one working day due to the national holiday in May. June’s warm weather also benefited the construction industry as well as pubs and restaurants. But the economy was impacted by strike action by NHS workers, doctors, railway unions and teachers. However, the figures for the three months and June in particular were better-than-expected.

What does it mean?

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the most important tools for looking at the health of the economy, and is watched closely by the government and businesses. If the figure is increasing, that means the economy is growing and people are doing more work and getting a little bit richer, on average.

But if GDP is falling, then the economy is shrinking which can be bad news for businesses. If GDP falls for two quarters in a row, it is typically defined as a recession.

Euro Zone GDP & Inflation Improves in July 2023

Cash

EU Inflation 5.3% July 2023

Euro zone inflation fell in July, and new growth figures showed economic activity picking up in the second quarter of this year, but economists still fear a recession.

Headline inflation in the EU was 5.3% in July, according to preliminary data released end of July 2023, lower than the 5.5% registered in June. However, it still remains substantially above the European Central Bank’s 2% target.

EU GDP

GDP growth accelerated in the second quarter, expanding by 0.3%, higher than the 0.2% expected by analysts.