China’s EV Price War: BYD falters as the Chinese EV machine reshapes the global car market

EV global price war

China’s electric vehicle (EV) powerhouse is rewriting the global automotive playbook—but not without homegrown company damage.

BYD, now the world’s largest EV manufacturer by volume, has been caught in the crossfire of a domestic price war.

Damaging price war

The price war is damaging margins. It is unnerving investors and revealing the perils of hyper-competition in the world’s most aggressive car market.

In Q2 2025, BYD posted a 30% drop in net profit to 6.4 billion yuan (£700 million), its first earnings decline in over three years.

Despite a 145% surge in overseas sales, the company’s sweeping discounts across 22 models have eroded profitability at home.

Gross margins slipped to around 16%, and its Hong Kong-listed shares tumbled 8% to a five-month low.

Analysts reportedly now question whether BYD can hit its ambitious 5.5-million-unit sales target, having reached only 45% by July 2025.

The price war, ignited by BYD’s aggressive cuts in May 2025, has forced rivals like Geely, Chery, and SAIC-GM to follow suit. Entry-level EVs now start below (£6,500), with features like driver assistance and smart infotainment once reserved for premium models.

But the race to the bottom has drawn concern from regulators and industry leaders. The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) warned of “disorderly competition”, while executives fear quality compromises and supplier strain.

Yet even as BYD stumbles, the broader Chinese EV machine is gaining global momentum. In Europe, BYD overtook Tesla in July sales, capturing 1.1% market share versus Tesla’s 0.7%.

Chinese EV car brands account for around 10% of new UK car sales

Chinese brands now account for around 10% of new car sales in the UK. There are over 30 affordable EV models priced under £30,000.

Their edge lies in battery supply chains, manufacturing efficiency, and software integration. Transforming cars into ‘smartphones on wheels’ tailored to digitally connected consumers.

China’s EV revolution is no longer just a domestic shake-up—it’s a global reordering. Legacy automakers are retreating from the budget segment. But Chinese firms flooding international markets with sleek, connected, and competitively priced vehicles.

BYD’s profit dip may be a temporary wobble. The long-term trajectory is clear: China isn’t just building cars—it’s building the future of mobility.

For global rivals, the message is unmistakable: adapt, or be outpaced by the dragon’s electric roar.

Infographic: China’s BYD and other EVs

Summary

BYD’s Q2 2025 net profit drop of 30% to 6.4 billion yuan: This figure aligns with recent earnings reports and analyst commentary. The drop is consistent with margin pressure from domestic price cuts.

Gross margin falling to 16.3%: Matches industry estimates for BYD’s automotive segment, which has seen compression due to aggressive discounting.

Overseas sales up 145% YoY: BYD’s international expansion—especially in Europe, Southeast Asia, and Latin America—has been rapid. This growth rate is plausible and supported by export data.

BYD reaching only 45% of its 5.5 million unit sales target by July: This tracks with cumulative delivery figures through mid-year, suggesting a potential shortfall unless H2 volumes accelerate.

Price war triggered by BYD’s cuts across 22 models in May: Confirmed by industry reports and BYD’s own promotional campaigns. Other automakers like Geely and Chery have responded with similar discounts.

CAAM warning of “disorderly competition”: This quote has appeared in official statements and media coverage, reflecting regulatory concern over unsustainable pricing.

Chinese EVs gaining market share in Europe and UK: BYD overtaking Tesla in July 2025 sales in Europe is supported by registration data. Chinese brands now account for ~10% of UK new car sales, with many models priced under £30,000.

Elon Musk wants to make Tesla a $25 trillion company by 2040

Autonomous vehicle

Elon Musk’s Vision for Tesla’s Trillion Dollar Future

Elon Musk, the visionary CEO of Tesla, has consistently set ambitious goals for the company. Among his most audacious claims is that Tesla could potentially become a multi trillion-dollar company and even reach a valuation of $25 trillion, largely driven by the deployment of robotaxis.

Robotaxi vision

Tesla’s robotaxi concept is centred around autonomous vehicles that can operate as self-driving taxis. These vehicles are equipped with Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which Musk believes will revolutionize transportation. By transforming Tesla cars into autonomous ride-sharing vehicles, the company could generate significant revenue without increasing the number of cars sold.

Projections

Musk’s financial projections are based on the immense potential of the robotaxi market

  1. Revenue Generation: Each Tesla vehicle could earn substantial income as a robotaxi. If Tesla owners opt into the robotaxi network, Tesla could take a share of the revenue generated from these rides.
  2. Cost Efficiency: Autonomous driving reduces the need for human drivers, leading to lower operational costs. This efficiency could make robotaxis more affordable for users and highly profitable for Tesla.
  3. Reduced pollution: will help meet green energy goals.
  4. Market Penetration: As autonomous technology matures, the adoption of robotaxis could grow rapidly, capturing a significant share of the global transportation market.

Market potential

The global ride-hailing market is already valued at hundreds of billions of dollars, and with the introduction of autonomous vehicles, this market is expected to expand further. Tesla’s early entry and continuous advancements in FSD technology position it to be a dominant player in this space.

Challenges

While the potential is enormous, there are several challenges and scepticism surrounding Musk’s projections

  1. Regulatory Hurdles: Autonomous vehicles must navigate a complex regulatory landscape. Approval processes and safety standards vary by region, which could delay widespread adoption.
  2. Technical Milestones: Achieving full autonomy is a significant technical challenge. Tesla’s FSD technology is still in development, and perfecting it for widespread use requires overcoming numerous technical obstacles.
  3. Market Competition: Tesla is not the only player in the autonomous vehicle market. Competitors like Waymo, Cruise, and traditional automakers are also investing heavily in autonomous technology.

Conclusion

Elon Musk’s vision of making Tesla a trillion-dollar and eventually a $25 trillion company through robotaxis is both bold and captivating. The success of this vision hinges on the successful deployment and adoption of autonomous driving technology. While there are significant challenges to overcome, Musk’s track record of defying odds and achieving groundbreaking innovations keeps the possibility within the realm of achievable dreams.

The future of transportation, as envisioned by Musk, could fundamentally reshape how we move and how Tesla thrives as a pioneer in autonomous mobility.

Tesla’s future does seem promising with the introduction of Optimus, their humanoid robot, as well as their advancements in solar energy and battery technology.

The future looks very bright for Tesla.

Tesla shares dropped 9% on Friday 11th October 2024 after Cybercab Robotaxi event disappointed investors

Elon Musk's Sci-Fi vision

Tesla’s stock declined on Friday 11th October 2024 following the electric vehicle maker’s highly anticipated robotaxi event, which left investors unimpressed

£60 billion was wiped off Tesla market cap

CEO Elon Musk showcased the Cybercab concept vehicle, announcing that it would be available for purchase at a price below $30,000.

Analysts reportedly commented that the event did not emphasise any immediate opportunities for Tesla, focusing instead on Musk’s long-term vision for fully autonomous driving.

At the ‘We, Robot’ event on Thursday 10th October 2024, CEO Elon Musk presented the Cybercab, a sleek, silver two-seater without steering wheels or pedals, underscoring his company’s goal to develop a fleet of self-driving vehicles and robots.

Musk expressed his hope for Tesla to start producing the Cybercab by 2027, though he did not specify the manufacturing locations. He reiterated that the Tesla Cybercab would be sold for less than $30,000.

Furthermore, he anticipated that Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles would feature ‘unsupervised FSD’ operational in Texas and California by next year. FSD, standing for Full Self-Driving, is Tesla’s advanced driver assistance system, currently available in a supervised format.

Investors and analysts were underwhelmed by the event. Tesla shares fell.

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Tesla one year chart as of 11th October 2024

Elon Musk’s wealth

Elon Musk is projected to become the world’s first trillionaire by 2027, as per a recent report by Informa Connect Academy. Among global billionaires, Musk is nearest to reaching the 13-figure threshold, with his wealth continuing to increase.

Bloomberg Billionaire Index

Are new electric car sales stalling in the UK?

Electric car sales to private buyers are 6.3% lower so far in 2024 despite £2 billion of manufacturers discounts

Electric car sales in the UK are facing challenges despite the growth in the number of electric vehicles (EVs) on the roads. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) has indicated that the proportion of EV sales has not surpassed 18%, with the market mainly propelled by fleet operators, not private consumers.

It has been suggested that the industry will struggle to meet the government target of 22% of new car sale in 2024 being ‘zero-emission vehicles’.

Contributing factors to this slowdown include the high costs, a limited public charging infrastructure, and range anxiety.

Nonetheless, September 2024 saw a record number of new electric car registrations, exceeding 56,000. Yet, the long-term viability of these figures is uncertain, as they were bolstered by substantial discounts.

And yet the electric car still remains an equally expensive option by direct comparison.

European Union vote to slap tariff charge on Chinese EV imports

EU EV Charge

On Friday 4th October 2024, the European Union voted to implement definitive tariffs on battery electric vehicles (BEVs) made in China

‘The European Commission’s proposal to levy definitive countervailing duties on imports of Chinese battery electric vehicles has garnered the requisite support from EU Member States to proceed with the imposition of tariffs,‘ stated the EU.

Initially, the EU announced in June its intention to impose higher tariffs on imports of Chinese electric vehicles, citing substantial unfair subsidies that threaten economic harm to European electric vehicle manufacturers.

The EU disclosed specific duties for companies based on their level of cooperation and the information provided during the bloc’s investigation into China’s EV production, which commenced last year. Provisional duties have been in effect since early July.

Following the receipt of ‘substantiated comments on the provisional measures‘ from stakeholders, the European Commission updated its tariff strategy in September 2024.

A spokesperson from China’s Ministry of Commerce indicated that Beijing maintains its stance that the EU’s investigation into China’s electric vehicle industry subsidies has led to predetermined outcomes – suggesting that the EU is fostering unfair competition.

China responded by vowing a suitable response.

BYD sales hit record high in August 2024

BYD EV

In August 2024, Chinese electric car behemoth BYD set a new sales record for passenger vehicles, with hybrid models outpacing battery-only vehicles in growth.

Zeekr, supported by Geely, experienced a rise in deliveries to 18,015 for August, although this was a decrease from the 20206 deliveries reported in June 2024.

Li Auto, renowned for its range-extender vehicles, saw a decrease in deliveries to 48,122 in August, a drop from the July record of 51,000.

Over half of new cars sold in China are electric or hybrid

Electric, hydrogen, gas and petrol hybrid vehicles

China has seen new energy vehicles surpass traditional fuel-powered cars in monthly sales for the first time.

(Data as per the China Passenger Car Association’s July 2024).

New energy vehicles, comprising solely battery-operated and hybrid-powered cars, represented 51% of China’s new passenger car sales as registered in July 2024 as reported by China Passenger Car Association.

This marks an increase from a 36% market share the same time in 2023, and a rebound from just under one-third in January 2024.

Report accuracy

The accuracy of the association’s data has previously faced scrutiny. July’s report revealed that battery-only vehicles had higher sales than hybrids, achieving a 28% market share.

But sales and delivery reports from companies like BYD suggest a growing consumer preference for hybrid vehicles in China which sits in line with the China Passenger Car Association data.

As the largest global automobile market, China has experienced a slowdown in overall economic growth, leading to strong competition and a price war within the new energy vehicle sector.

Policy

For over ten years, the Chinese government has ‘supported’ the local new energy vehicle industry with subsidies and beneficial policies. The most recent trade-in initiative aimed at stimulating consumption has particularly encouraged the purchase of new energy vehicles.

Tesla shares recover 2024 losses with a 27% rally in one week

EV

Following a dismal beginning to 2024, Tesla’s stock has experienced a sharp rally, erasing its losses for 2023.

Tesla’s shares ended on Friday at $251.55, marking a 27% increase for the week.

The automaker announced on Tuesday 2nd July 2024 that its second-quarter vehicle deliveries surpassed forecasts.

Tesla 5-day chart – share price closed at 251.55

Tesla 5-day chart – share price closed at 251.55

The EU imposes higher tariffs of up to 38% on Chinese EVs

EU and EV's

In a significant development that may affect the electric vehicle (EV) market, the European Union (EU) has tentatively agreed to levy tariffs on Chinese EV manufacturers.

This decision reportedly follows an inquiry into the surge of inexpensive, government-subsidized Chinese vehicles entering the EU market.

From 4th July 2024, Chinese EV producers who participated in the investigation will incur an average duty of 21%, while those who did not will face a substantial 38.1% tariff. Specific rates will be imposed on firms such as BYD, Geely, and SAIC.

Additionally, non-Chinese automobile companies manufacturing some EVs in China, including those based in the EU like BMW, will also be impacted. Tesla might receive a specially calculated duty rate upon request.

These levies are on top of the current 10% tariff on all electric cars manufactured in China. The EU’s action comes after the United States’ drastic measure last month to increase its tariff on Chinese electric cars from 25% to 100%.

Some critics view this anti-subsidy probe as protectionist, potentially harming China-EU economic relations and the worldwide automotive production and supply chain. The German Transport Minister has reportedly cautioned about the possibility of a trade conflict with Beijing.

Although the tariffs are intended to shield the EU’s own industry, they highlight the challenges of maintaining a balance between free trade and competitiveness in the swiftly changing EV sector.

Unless a qualified majority of EU nations opposes it, the tariffs will become permanent in November 2024. The European car industry stresses the need for free and fair trade but recognizes that promoting the adoption of electric cars requires a diverse strategy.

As the dispute over tariffs persists, the repercussions for the EV market are yet to be determined.

One thing is for sure, the consumer will suffer through these tariffs and also through extra road tax levies yet to be introduced, especially in the UK.

Chinese EV makers continue their BIG push into European markets

EV

This expansion occurs as the European Union investigates subsidies provided to Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers, a situation that may lead to the imposition of tariffs.

In May 2024 Nio opened a new EV showroom in Amsterdam, while Xpeng introduced its G9 and G6 sports utility vehicles in France.

Over the years, China’s electric vehicle industry has flourished due to the government’s incentives and support, raising concerns among politicians in Europe and the U.S.

Public marketing campaigns are unfolding against the backdrop of a European Commission investigation into subsidies provided to Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers. The outcome of this inquiry may result in EU tariffs being imposed on Chinese EV imports.

The United States has preempted such measures, with the Biden administration enacting a 100% tariff on Chinese EV imports.

Meanwhile, Chinese EV producers are intensifying their international expansion efforts, aiming to compete with Elon Musk’s Tesla on a global scale and secure an early advantage over traditional car manufacturers.

BYD profits and sales fall

Electric vehicle

Chinese automotive giant BYD has experienced a decline in profits amid a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) demand and a price war in the largest car market globally.

The company reported earnings of $630 million (£502 million) for the first quarter, a drop of over 47% from the previous quarter.

Competing with Elon Musk’s Tesla for the title of the world’s top EV seller, BYD recently fell behind as Tesla regained the lead earlier this month.

In the first quarter, BYD’s sales of battery-only vehicles fell to just over 300,000, a decrease from the last quarter of 2023’s record high of 526,000 units.

Tesla to lay off over 10% of global workforce

Tesla charge EV point

The company intends to reduce its global workforce by over 10%, amounting to roughly 14,000 employees

As of December, Tesla had a total of 140,473 employees worldwide.

This decision is believed to be a response to the obstacles Tesla is encountering with slowing growth and operational effectiveness and cheaper competition.

In an internal memo, billionaire owner Elon Musk addressed the layoffs, acknowledging that it was a difficult decision but necessary for the company’s future. He emphasized the need to streamline operations and prepare for the next phase of growth. 

The layoffs have already begun and also include some key executives. 

Why?

Analysts offer diverse interpretations of the layoffs. Some perceive them as indicative of cost pressures stemming from Tesla’s investments in new models and artificial intelligence (AI).

The company’s delay in updating its aging vehicle lineup, coupled with high interest rates, has weakened consumer demand. Moreover, the influx of affordable electric vehicles, especially from China, such as BYD, has intensified the competition.

Efficiency drive?

While the layoffs indicate challenges, they also highlight Tesla’s dedication to adaptability and efficiency. As the electric vehicle (EV) industry progresses, Tesla strives to stay lean, innovative, and strategically positioned for ongoing growth. The company is scheduled to announce its quarterly earnings later this month, which analysts will scrutinize in the context of the recent workforce reductions.

In summary, Tesla’s layoffs are indicative of the intricate dynamics within the automotive sector, where innovation, cost control, and market forces converge.

The company’s capacity to steer through these complexities will determine its future prosperity.

Tesla share price year-to-date (April 2024)

Tesla share price year-to-date (April 2024)

Tesla’s robot-taxi is coming!

Robot Taxi

The CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk recently made an announcement regarding the company’s robotaxi.

According to his social media post on X, Tesla will unveil its robotaxi product on 8th August 2024. This project has been a topic of discussion for several years and could potentially represent a significant new business venture for Tesla. 

The robotaxi initiative aims to allow Tesla vehicles to use self-driving technology for autonomous ride-hailing services, picking up passengers without human intervention.

Previous predictions

Elon Musk has made bold predictions regarding the timeline for robotaxis. In 2019, he anticipated having over a million robotaxis in operation by 2020. Currently, Tesla’s advanced driver-assistance systems, such as Autopilot and the premium Full Self-Driving option, still necessitate human oversight.

Nonetheless, amidst the competitive landscape of autonomous vehicles, Tesla remains steadfast in its pursuit of a fully autonomous future.

Tesla One year Chart

Tesla one year chart

Mass production?

Musk stated that a robotaxi model lacking a steering wheel or pedals is expected to enter mass production by 2024. The aim is to make the cost of a journey in the Tesla robotaxi lower than that of a public bus or underground train ticket.

Tyre companies love electric vehicles

EV tyres

The tyre industry is marked by fierce competition, static growth, and slim profit margins. But that is about to change.

In recent years, the total market value has consistently hovered around $50 billion, with an annual growth rate of approximately 2%, according to research. However, the advent of electric vehicles (EVs) is creating new possibilities.

Due to their substantial weight and rapid acceleration, EVs typically wear out tires around 20% quicker than vehicles with internal combustion engines, research suggests. Additionally, the cost of these tyres is roughly 50% higher.

Additional technical challenges encompass mitigating tyre noise, which becomes significantly more discernible inside of an otherwise quiet electric vehicle (EV) and enhancing an EV’s driving range. Research conducted by Michelin reportedly indicates that tyre selection can influence an EV’s range by 10% to 15%.

Summary Electric Vehicle (EV) Tyre Wear

Weight and Acceleration: EVs are heavier due to their batteries, and they often have quick acceleration.

Wear Rate: On average, EV tyres tend to wear down about 20% faster than internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle tyres.

Cost: EV-specific tyres can be more expensive, costing approximately 50% more than regular tyres.

EV tyres are more expensive, and you get less use from them – remember to factor this into your purchasing decision.