The FTSE 100 has made history, recording 15 consecutive days of gains—its longest winning streak since its inception in 1984.
The index closed at 8,596.35 points, marking a 1.17% rise on the final day of the streak.
This remarkable run comes amid the potential of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with signs that tariff negotiations may commence.
Investors have responded positively, driving up stock prices across multiple sectors. Financial stocks, including Barclays and HSBC, have surged following strong earnings reports, while industrial and mining stocks – such as Rolls-Royce and Rio Tinto – have rebounded.
Despite the impressive streak, analysts caution that uncertainty remains. The FTSE 100 has yet to reclaim its record high from March 2025, and concerns over global trade policies could limit further gains.
However, the index has still outperformed expectations, rising 4.9% over six months and 5.1% over the past year.
FTSE 100 one-month chart
FTSE 100 one-month chart
As investors celebrate this milestone, the question remains: can the FTSE 100 sustain its momentum, or is a market correction on the horizon?
Either way, this winning streak has cemented its place in financial history.
The stock market is no stranger to volatility, and recent events have left investors grappling with uncertainty.
However, for those who embrace a contrarian mindset, the current wave of pessimism might just be the golden opportunity they’ve been waiting for.
Historically, extreme market pessimism has often preceded significant rebounds. The contrarian philosophy – buying when others are selling – rests on the belief that markets tend to overreact to negative news.
This overreaction creates opportunities for savvy investors to capitalise on undervalued assets.
Recent market turbulence, fueled by concerns over global trade policies and economic slowdowns, has pushed sentiment to new lows. Yet, history suggests that such moments of despair often mark the beginning of recovery.
For instance, during similar periods of heightened pessimism, indices like the S&P 500 have shown remarkable gains in subsequent months.
The last time stock investors were so pessimistic was in October 2023, and then the S&P 500 rose 19% over the next three months
While risks remain, including the potential for prolonged economic challenges, the contrarian approach offers a glimmer of hope. By focusing on long-term fundamentals and resisting the urge to follow the herd, investors may find themselves well-positioned to benefit from the market’s eventual rebound.
In the end, the key lies in patience and perspective. As the saying goes, ‘Fortune favours the bold’ – and in the world of investing, boldness often means going against the grain.
The UK Labour government aimed to attract foreign investment on Monday 14th October by hosting its first International Investment Summit in London
Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Chancellor Rachel Reeves, and Business Minister Jonathan Reynolds headed the one-day event at London’s Guildhall, with an attendance of approximately 200 executives from both the UK and abroad.
Notable attendees were former Google Chairman Eric Schmidt, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, and GSK CEO Emma Walmsley. Poppy Gustafsson, the newly appointed Investment Minister and co-founder of the British cybersecurity company Darktrace, were also present to advocate for the UK as a favourable business environment.
The UK government unveiled a relaxation of regulations and announced investment deals worth billions of pounds in sectors such as artificial intelligence, life sciences, and infrastructure, while Starmer proclaimed it’s ‘a great moment to back Britain.’
‘We will rip out the bureaucracy that blocks investment and we will make sure that every regulator in this country take growth as seriously as this room does,‘ Starmer reportedly told delegates.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on Monday 14th October 2024 vowed to slash regulatory red tape to boost investment in the country.
“We’ve got to look at regulation across the piece, and where it is needlessly holding back investment … mark my words, we will get rid of it,” he reportedly told delegates at the UK’s International Investment Summit.
The government on Sunday 13th October 2024 announced the launch of a new industrial strategy, designed to focus on eight “growth-driving sectors.”
The prime minister reportedly restated that growth was the “No. 1 test of this government,” and reiterated plans for the U.K. to become the fastest-growing G7 economy.“
Starmer also outlined stability, strategy, regulation and improving Britain’s global standing as “four crucial areas” in his pitch for Britain.
“Private sector investment is the way we rebuild our country and pay our way in the world,” Starmer said
In a panel discussion with Starmer, Google’s ex-CEO Eric Schmidt expressed his surprise upon learning that the Labour party had shifted to ‘strongly’ support growth.
Schmidt is eager to see the execution of this approach and encouraged the government to increase investment in artificial intelligence to fulfill broader growth objectives.
The FTSE 100 index comprises the 100 largest companies by market capitalisation. These companies are typically well-established and financially stable, making them reliable dividend payers.
The average dividend yield for the FTSE 100 is around 3.97%.
Here are ten dividend stocks in the FTSE 100
British American Tobacco (BATS) – Known for its high dividend yield, often exceeding 7%. Not an ethical choice.
Rio Tinto (RIO) – A mining giant with a strong dividend history.
Imperial Brands (IMB) – Another tobacco company with a robust dividend yield. Not an ethical choice.
Legal & General Group (LGEN) – A financial services company with a consistent dividend payout.
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) – A pharmaceutical company with a reliable dividend.
Vodafone Group (VOD) – A telecommunications company with a solid dividend yield.
HSBC Holdings (HSBA) – One of the largest banking institutions with a strong dividend.
BP (BP) – An oil and gas company known for its high dividend yield.
Unilever (ULVR) – A consumer goods company with a consistent dividend payout.
National Grid (NG) – An energy company with a reliable dividend history.
FTSE 250 Dividend Stocks
The FTSE 250 index includes the next 250 largest companies after the FTSE 100. These mid-cap companies often offer higher growth potential and, in some cases, higher dividend yields. The average dividend yield for the FTSE 250 is around 3.30%.
Here are ten dividend stocks in the FTSE 250
Harbour Energy (HBR) – An oil and gas company with a yield of 7.24%.
Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) – A real estate investment trust with a yield of 4.76%.
Investec (INVP) – A financial services company with a yield of 6.21%.
Greencoat UK Wind (UKW) – A renewable energy company with a yield of 7.48%.
IG Group Holdings (IGG) – A financial services company with a yield of 5.02%.
ITV (ITV) – A media company with a yield of 6.43%.
Abrdn (ABDN) – An investment company with a yield of 9.45%.
HICL Infrastructure (HICL) – An infrastructure investment company with a yield of 6.37%.
Direct Line Insurance Group (DLG) – An insurance company with a yield of 3.30%.
Drax Group (DRX) – An energy company with a yield of 3.81%.
Passive dividend income
Dividend stocks in the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 – a basic overview
Buying dividend stocks can offer several benefits to investors – key advantages are…
Regular Income
Dividend stocks provide a steady stream of income through regular dividend payments. This can be particularly appealing for retirees or those seeking passive income.
Potential for Capital Appreciation
In addition to dividends, these stocks can also appreciate in value over time, offering the potential for capital gains. This dual benefit can enhance overall returns.
Reinvestment Opportunities
Dividends can be reinvested to purchase more shares, a strategy known as dividend reinvestment. This can compound returns over time, significantly boosting the value of your investment.
Lower Volatility
Dividend-paying stocks tend to be less volatile than non-dividend-paying stocks. Companies that pay dividends are often more established and financially stable, which can provide a cushion during market downturns.
Tax Advantages
In many jurisdictions, dividends are taxed at a lower rate than regular income. This can make dividend stocks a tax-efficient investment option.
Inflation Hedge
Dividend growth can help protect against inflation. Companies that consistently increase their dividends can provide a rising income stream that keeps pace with or exceeds inflation.
Signal of Financial Health
A company that pays regular dividends is often seen as financially healthy and confident in its future earnings. This can be a positive signal to investors about the company’s stability and profitability.
Diversification
Including dividend stocks in your portfolio can add diversification. They often belong to various sectors, providing exposure to different parts of the economy.
Compounding Effect
The combination of regular dividends and potential capital gains can create a powerful compounding effect over time, significantly enhancing long-term returns.
Psychological Benefits
Receiving regular dividends can provide psychological comfort, especially during market volatility. Knowing that you are earning income regardless of market conditions can help maintain a long-term investment perspective.
Investing in dividend stocks can be a strategic way to build wealth and generate income. However, it’s important to research and choose companies with a strong track record of dividend payments and financial stability.
Conclusion
Investing in dividend stocks from the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 can be a strategic way to generate passive income while also benefiting from potential capital gains. These indices offer a diverse range of companies, each with its own strengths and dividend yields, making them attractive options for income-focused investors.
These are NOT recommendations – just observations. Go do your research. Interest rates will/do change quickly – go check. Thanks.
Remember to ALWAYS do your own careful and considered research…
Freetrade acquires Stake’s UK customer base, increasing domestic presence amid intense competition with similar apps such as Robinhood
The British retail investment platform Freetrade is set to acquire the UK customer base of its Australian competitor Stake, highlighting the growing competition in the UK’s digital investment sector. The acquisition, initially reported by CNBC, entails Freetrade assuming responsibility for all of Stake’s UK clients and their assets.
Freetrade currently oversees more than £2 billion in assets for its UK customer base.
Avoiding common investing and trading pitfalls is crucial. Here are some typical investing errors you should try to avoid.
Warren Buffett wisely cautions against investing in businesses that are not well understood. It is crucial to have a deep understanding of the company, its market sector, the broader industry, and its financial stability before committing to an investment.
Understand your investment
Take time to research whether it be a company, fund, unit trust or savings account. Make sure you understand what you are doing. Not understanding the investment is a massive failing.
Love the company, but resist falling in love with it. An emotional attachment to a specific stock can obscure your judgement. Keep in mind that investing should be a process of making rational decisions based on data, not on personal emotions.
Patience
Successful investing demands patience. Don’t anticipate immediate results; give your investments the necessary time to mature. Resist the urge to frequently check the markets and make hasty uninformed decisions.
Investment turnover
Excessive trading, known as churning, can result in significant transaction fees and tax consequences. It is advisable to adopt a long-term investment strategy and minimize superfluous trades.
Attempting to time the market
Consistently timing the market is a difficult task. Instead, the emphasis should be on the duration of market involvement. Steady contributions and maintaining investments yield benefits in the long-term.
Getting even
Clinging to underperforming investments with the hope of just breaking even can be harmful. It’s crucial to assess each investment on its own merits and be prepared to take losses when needed. Run the winners!
Diversify
Investing all your funds in a single stock or asset class heightens the risk. Mitigate this by diversifying your investments across various asset types, industries, sectors and regions.
Cut emotions
Fear and greed often result in unwise decisions. It’s crucial to remain disciplined, adhere to your investment plan, and resist the urge to make hasty decisions driven by emotions.
You
Always maintain honesty with yourself when investing. Do not persuade yourself of anything other than the FACTS regarding your investment choices!
Keep in mind that investing is a journey where learning from mistakes is an integral part of the experience. By steering clear of these common pitfalls, you’ll set yourself up for greater long-term success.
Spread out your investments. Diversify. Aim for the long term. Remove emotion. Let the winners run. And doe your RESEARCH!
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been reaching all-time highs with remarkable frequency, notching nearly thirty record days in 2024, including four in the past week. Despite this stellar performance, a considerable number of investors remain hesitant. Let’s explore the reasons behind this paradox.
Lingering recession fears
The recollection of the 2022 bear market continues to trouble investors. The swift escalation of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve at that time generated widespread uncertainty and apprehension. This has led many investors to maintain a cautious stance, concerned that the past may repeat, even amidst a surging market. Maybe less of us expected the AI driven stock buying frenzy to scale such highs so quickly?
Scepticism
Investors are inherently sceptical. Amidst a relentless market rally, uncertainty emerges. Can this be sustained? Is a correction looming? This scepticism may hinder investors from wholeheartedly participating in a bull market, despite what the statistics indicate.
Emotional baggage
Investment isn’t solely a game of numbers; it’s equally a matter of emotions (although it shouldn’t be). Investors bearing the scars of past losses may find their emotional baggage weighing heavily on their decisions. The fear of experiencing another market crash can cloud rational judgement, leading them to forgo opportunities for potential gains.
The ‘easy money’
The stock market’s significant rise from the lows of 2022 has convinced some that the phase of ‘easy money’ is over. Investors who did not capitalize on the early stages of the rally might think they have missed out, causing hesitation to engage fully. That’s where I am right now – but waiting for a ‘pullback’.
Navigating the dilemma
For individuals caught between caution and the fear of missing out (FOMO), the following strategies could be considered.
Diversification
Distribute your investments among various asset classes. Diversification serves to reduce risk and acts as a safeguard against the unpredictability of the market.
Long-term perspective
Keep in mind that investing is akin to a marathon, not a sprint. It’s important to concentrate on long-term objectives instead of short-term market movements.
Education
Inform yourself about market cycles, historical patterns, and the effects of monetary policy. This should empower more informed decision-making.
Professional advice
Consult a financial advisor who can guide you based on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.
Conclusion
The current stock market rally, though not widely embraced, offers both opportunities and challenges. Investors are tasked with finding the right balance between exercising caution and capitalizing on potential growth. As the market climbs, it’s essential to be aware of our biases and emotions. Only then can we approach the rally with a more informed viewpoint.
Disclaimer: This article provides general insights and should not be considered personalised financial advice. Always consult a professional before making investment decisions.
Remember: Always do your own diligent and careful research.
Warren Buffett, renowned as one of history’s most successful investors, has imparted invaluable insights that can help steer you on your investment path.
Rule No. 1 is never lose money. Rule No. 2 is never forget Rule No. 1
This straightforward statement has significant connotations. Although the aim of investing is to make a profit, it is just as important to avoid losses.
By reducing choices that put your portfolio at risk, you enhance the chance of earning profits. Consider it protecting your capital before pursuing returns. In contrast to those who gamble on the stock market, Buffett prioritizes careful risk management.
It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price
Rather than concentrating only on low-priced stocks, it’s wise to invest in outstanding companies with robust economic foundations and competitive edges. Although top-notch companies seldom seem inexpensive, their enduring profitability may warrant a fair premium. Notable firms that Buffett has backed include Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola.
Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble
Be ready to grasp opportunities as they come. Instead of a small thimble, arm yourself with a bucket to gather the metaphorical riches. That is, capitalize on favorable market conditions and make smart investments when suitable chances emerge.
Invest in yourself
Buffett advocates for self-improvement, highlighting the importance of effective communication, both written and verbal. Developing this skill can greatly enhance your value.
Diversify
Diversify your investments among various assets to mitigate risk. Look into index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) – unit trusts, stocks and shares, gold and hold cash to achieve widespread diversification.
Start early
The effectiveness of compounding is maximized when you start investing early. Being consistently invested over time is more beneficial than attempting to predict market movements.
Automate
Establish automatic contributions to your investment accounts. Regular investments over time can result in significant growth.
The principles that capture the influence of fear and greed on investing were articulated by Warren Buffett.
Buffet advises: ‘Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful.‘
Fear and Greed
Fear
When investors collectively succumb to fear from ongoing stock market declines, they often resort to selling their shares, which in turn exacerbates the fall in prices.
Greed
In bull markets, it’s common for investors to exhibit excessive greed, pursuing rapid wealth and speculative trends.
Buffett’s wisdom
Warren Buffett, often referred to as the ‘Oracle of Omaha’, is known for his disciplined, long-term approach to investing. He specializes in value investing, which involves purchasing companies that seem to be undervalued by the market.
The rule
When others exhibit greed (buying aggressively), it’s prudent to exercise caution. On the flip side, when others are fearful (selling in a panic), it may be an opportune time to be greedy (buying at reduced prices).
Application
Fearful times
In times when fear prevails in the market, prices might plummet as a result of panic selling. Buffett advises exercising caution in these situations.
Greedy times
When others display excessive optimism (greed), it presents an opportunity to acquire undervalued assets.
Successful investing requires maintaining balance, adhering to fundamental principles, and steering clear of emotional extremes.
Investing is a marathon, not a sprint; hence, patience, discipline, and ongoing education are crucial.
Remember… ALWAYS do your own careful research! Or better still, take professional financial advice. Actually – just do both!
RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!
Disclaimer: this article is for informative purposes only! Do not trade nor invest unless you FULLY understand what you are doing – even then it is wise to take qualified financial advice.
Investing in individual stocks can be both thrilling and profitable, yet it carries inherent risks. To make informed decisions, it’s important to adhere to some fundamental steps.
Define Your Goals
Before diving into stock picking, consider your investment goals
Invest for the longer-term, it works!
KIS – Keep It Simple!Keep your investment strategies as simple as possible.
Generate income – For regular payouts, consider focusing on dividend-paying stocks.
Preserve capital – If your primary goal is to keep pace with inflation and safeguard your savings, consider opting for lower-risk investments.
Grow capital – If you’re a young investor aiming for long-term growth, you might consider higher-risk stocks, being cautious with your selections.
Invest for the long-term
Choose your investment strategy
Value Investing – Consider purchasing stocks that are undervalued and have been neglected by the market.
Growth Investing – Invest in companies that exhibit signs of success and have the potential for further advancement.
Momentum Investing – Dispose of underperforming assets and invest in successful ones by following market trends. Be ruthless – there is no room for emotion!
Pound-Cost Averaging – Gradually invest money into the market to reduce the impact of volatility. Look into investing in funds or unit trusts.
Stay informed
Before selecting individual stocks, it’s crucial to stay informed about broader economic trends. Consult financial news websites and specialized magazines to gauge the performance of various industries. For example, economic volatility or significant global incidents, such as the emergence of a new virus variant, can affect the stock market.
Pay close attention to economic announcements from central banks, like interest rate changes. Monitor the newswires regularly and track market trends.
Explore industries you understand
Focus on investing in sectors you understand well. For instance, if your expertise lies in technology, look towards tech companies. If renewable energy is your area of interest, consider stocks in that domain. Knowledge of the industry can lead to more informed evaluations of companies.
Assess company fundamentals
When evaluating a specific stock, consider the following
Financial Health – Examine the company’s balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow. Scrutinize the levels of company debt. Observe the sales and purchases by directors. Determine if they are financially stable.
Earnings Growth – Verify whether the company has demonstrated consistent growth in its earnings over time.
Valuation – Comparing a stock’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio with that of its industry peers is crucial for assessing its market value relative to its earnings.
Competitive Advantage – A company’s competitive edge can stem from a unique product, a strong brand, or other distinctive factors. These elements can set a business apart and enable it to outperform its rivals in the market.
After a general market downturn – there is usually a good opportunity to pick-up good companies at a knock down bargain price.
Diversify your portfolio
It’s wise not to concentrate all your resources in a single area. Diversify your investments across various sectors and asset classes. Look into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds to gain wider market exposure. Consider precious metals such as gold maybe and keep cash on the sidelines for those occasional deals that crop up from time to time.
In summary
Selecting stocks involves thorough research, patience, and a vision for the long-term. Keep in mind that all investments carry some level of risk – past performance is not indicative of future outcomes. It is advisable to seek guidance from a financial advisor prior to making any investment choices.
Remember, investing involves risk, and it’s essential to do thorough research and consider professional advice before making any investment decisions.
Quiet luxury is a fashion trend that emphasizes understated elegance, timeless style, and high-quality materials.
It is the opposite of flashy logos, loud colors, and fast fashion. Quiet luxury is about investing in pieces that are durable, versatile, and refined.
Some examples of quiet luxury brands are Hermes, Prada-owned Miu Miu, Brunello Cucinelli, Compagnie Financière Richemont and Swatch Group, The Row, Totême, Tove and LVMH. Quiet luxury is also influenced by social changes, popular culture, and economic factors. It reflects a desire for simplicity, sophistication, and sustainability in a seemingly never-ending chaotic world.
Quiet luxury was one of last year’s biggest viral fashion trends, but unlike other short-lived fads on TikTok or Instagram, this one has made its way into investor portfolios and shown lucrative returns.
Luxury stocks have long been regarded by some as an effective hedge against inflation.
LVMH success – one way to invest in luxury
LVMH shares jumped more than 8% on Friday 26th January 2024, after the world’s largest luxury group posted higher-than-expected sales for 2023 and raised its annual dividend.
The owner of Louis Vuitton, Moët & Chandon and Hennessy, as well as brands including Givenchy, Bulgari and Sephora, on Thursday night 25th January 2024 reported sales amounting to 86.15 billion euros ($93.34 billion) for 2023, forecasts. This equated to a 13% growth from the previous year.
The result was boosted in particular by 14% annual growth in the critical fashion and leather goods sector, along with 11% growth in perfumes and cosmetics. Wines and spirits meanwhile posted a 4% decline.
Bernard Arnault is one of the top 10 wealthiest people in the world.
Is there room in your portfolio for a luxury brand?
The idea is simple – pick good companies and hold them for the long-term.
Every time you buy shares in a company, you have purchased a piece of that company. And as a share owner, you are entitled to a ‘share’ of the profits.
When it comes to investing, the goal is to find great companies, super companies. Buy shares in these companies at good prices. And then behave like owners of these companies and enjoy all of the successes.
Then… HOLD those shares for as long as possible – as if you own the company.
Ask yourself this question: ‘Would you buy the company?’
If the answer is yes – then go buy the shares.
Holding on as long as possible means that as long as you believe a company is still a great, you are more likely to keep the shares. But if something changes and it’s no longer a good choice, then it may be time to sell up.
The message here is to believe in a long-term investing strategy – because it works!
Short-Term versus Long-Term Investing
What you must not do is gamble on shares or any other high-risk activity or product. Share prices go up and they go down all the time. And in some cases, prices continue to move even after the stock market has closed!
Long term investing is a long-term winner!
Most people aren’t successful trying to ‘bet’ on when a share is going to go up or down especially short-term bets laced over minutes, hours, days or weeks. You can’t build wealth this way. In fact, there are plenty of traders out there with tragic stories to tell of failed ‘dumb money bets’. This is one of the fastest ways to lose your hard-earned cash; just don’t do it!
Platforms
There are many investing platforms available today that offer all sorts of trading solutions, from day trading, CFDs (contract for differences), spread betting, and more recently, cryptocurrencies. These instruments aren’t really designed to assist a long-term strategy but rather a short-term punt or bet. It’s an endless game where someone, somewhere is always left with nothing. These systems will happily take your money.
Please read the small print for these services. Do not be surprised to see disclosures that read something like, ‘75%+ of retail traders lose money’. It’s true, they do, and it could be you! Its far far easier to learn to become financially successful over the long term.
Long-Term Investing
Diversify
A hard truth about investing is that sometimes you’ll get it wrong, we all do.
The term for this is firm-specific risk (sometimes referred to as unsystematic risk). And every company in the world, even industry behemoths like Amazon, Apple or Microsoft get it wrong sometimes too. It’s unavoidable.
Fortunately, such risk can be mitigated through diversification. By owning a number of companies, the returns of one successful investment can easily offset the losses of several losers.
It is wise to aim to build a portfolio over time of around say 10 – 20 quality businesses that you believe in. If you would be prepared to ‘buy’ the company; buying shares in it is the next best option.
Have Patience
In the short term, the movements of the stock market are chaotic, unpredictable or volatile even. But over a longer period of time, a recurring pattern starts to emerge among quality businesses.
Select quality companies and hold them!
Companies can’t magically double their profits overnight. Building a massive multi-billion or even trillion-pound enterprise takes time. But the investors who have the patience and financial prudence to invest in quality businesses with such long-term potential can unlock enormous wealth.
Invest consistently
Getting started with investing is the first major step. The second is to keep investing over time. Little and often. It’s not easy to ‘free up’ cash but the more money you put to work by investing in stocks, the better your portfolio will do overall.
It is easy for me to suggest for you to go invest and spend your money, you most likely need the money spare to be able to go do this in the first place. So, a little invested spread over time will help open that ‘wealth’ door as time trickles by.
However, there is a caveat to this rule. You should only invest money you don’t need to live. Invest only what you have spare or can ‘free up’.
This is the way!
Long-term investing requires holding investments for years or even decades. This strategy works – this is the way! It’s easier said than done, but a little invested now will go a long way later. It’s also a matter of priorities and sacrifice to ‘free up’ some spare cash to invest instead of buying that new must have gadget (that you don’t really need).
Also, the last place you want to find yourself in is where you are forced to sell your investment before it’s had time to ‘climb’ because you’re short on cash. Or even worse, forced to sell your holding during a stock market crash when prices are extremely low. That’s an awful place to be – don’t go there if you can avoid it. However, buying after a crash is a different matter – but again, buy only good quality companies.
Select super good companies and hold them.
In short, invest consistently. But only the money you can afford. Don’t borrow, don’t use credit. Only invest what you can afford. It will work for you over time. But invest wisely in good high quality comapnies,
Don’t panic – volatility happens!
The stock market will crash; this is an inevitable fact of investing. Naive investors, who panic during these volatile times, often end up selling their shares that are either completely unaffected by the catalysts of the crash or perfectly capable of weathering the storm.
Just take a look at what happened with Applein 2008. The tech giant fell by over 50% in the space of 12 months despite having no exposure to the U.S. housing market – even Apple got caught up in the sub-prime lending fiasco. And while the subsequent recession did impact sales, recessions, just like stock market crashes, are temporary. Apple share price recovered, as did many other top-notch companies too.
As horrible a stock market crash is, this is actually one of the best times to buy shares, especially when investing for the long-term. And these opportunities only come around once a decade or so. So, don’t miss out on these incredible opportunities to buy fantastic businesses at major discounts if you have the cash spare.
Let your winners run
Portfolio management is something every investor has to do. Yet a common mistake, is to sell shares in thriving companies too soon. This is usually an error – bear in mind that winners have a tendency to keep winning! But I get that – I understand you may want to sell as you need the money or want some of your investment back. Try and hold if you can – but not at any odds. Keep a close eye on the market – sentiment will change and that will alter the markets direction.
Let the winners run!
Having said that, there is an exception. It’s perfectly possible for a company that was just 2% of your portfolio to grow to 20% or even higher. In these scenarios, it can be wise to sell a few shares to reduce the risk of being over-exposed to a single investment.
But otherwise, let your winners win. LET THE WINNERS RUN!
You can do it!
There is no such thing as risk-free investing, even with a long-term approach. But many of these risk factors can be mitigated through strategies like diversification. Try and manage your portfolio, add stop losses and follow your investments through the newswires.
Remember to always do your research! No short cuts!
Warren Buffet is one of the most successful investors and business owners in the world, and he has shared many of his insights and wisdom on money and investing.
Gold value has been slipping in recent months of 2023 – here are some of the reasons gold prices fluctuate.
Dynamic market
Gold is a precious metal that is often seen as a safe haven investment and a store of value, but it is also subject to the forces of supply and demand, as well as many other factors that affect its price.
The gold market is complex and dynamic, and the price of gold can change quickly and unpredictably. Therefore, it is important to do your own research and analysis before investing in gold or any other asset.
Always do your research! Remember, RESEARCH! RESEARCH! RESEARCH!
Gold price from 2005 – September 2023
The production costs of gold
The cost of mining, refining, and transporting gold can influence the supply and the price of gold. If the production costs are high, the gold miners may reduce their output or increase their selling price, which can affect the market balance and the gold price.
Money supply
The amount of money in circulation can affect the value of the currency and the inflation rate, which in turn can affect the demand and the price of gold. Generally, when the money supply increases, the currency value decreases and the inflation rate increases, which can boost the demand and the price of gold as a hedge.
Geopolitical stability
The political and economic events around the world can affect the market sentiment and the risk appetite of investors, which can influence the demand and the price of gold. Generally, when there is uncertainty, instability, or conflict, investors tend to seek safe-haven assets such as gold, which can increase the demand and the price of gold.
Jewellery and industrial demand
The demand for gold from the jewellery and industrial sectors can affect the market balance and the price of gold. Jewelry is the largest source of gold demand, especially in countries like India and China, where gold is culturally and traditionally valued. Industrial demand for gold comes from its use in various electronic and medical devices, such as smartphones, computers, and dentistry. The changes in the consumer preferences, the income levels, the technological innovations, and the environmental regulations can affect the demand and the price of gold from these sectors.
Gold price 3rd October 2023
Central bank actions
The actions of central banks around the world can affect the supply and the demand of gold, as well as the value of the currency and the interest rates, which can influence the price of gold. Central banks hold gold reserves as part of their foreign exchange assets, and they can buy or sell gold to diversify their portfolios, to manage their liquidity, or to intervene in the currency markets. Central banks can also affect the price of gold indirectly through their monetary policies, such as setting the interest rates, printing money, or buying bonds, which can affect the inflation expectations, the currency value, and the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Strength of the U.S. dollar
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars in most of the major trading exchanges around the world, so when the dollar rises against other currencies, gold becomes more expensive for foreign investors, reducing the demand for it. The U.S. dollar has been strengthening since, partly due to the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening policy that has raised the interest rates and the attractiveness of U.S. Treasury securities.
Rise of global equities
Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and the failure of other financial assets, but when the stock market is performing well, investors tend to shift their money from gold to equities, seeking higher returns and growth potential. The global stock market has been rallying since the bottom of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020, boosted by the roll-out of vaccines, the fiscal stimulus, and the economic recovery.
The Krugerrand
The Krugerrand is a South African coin, first minted on 3rd July 1967
Krugerrand gold coins are a type of bullion coin that were first minted in 1967 by the South African Mint. They are made of 22 karat gold and have a diameter of 32.77 mm and a thickness of 2.84mm. The obverse side features the portrait of Paul Kruger, the former president of the South African Republic, and the reverse side depicts a springbok, the national animal of South Africa. The name ‘krugerrand’ is a combination of ‘Kruger’ and ‘rand’, the currency of South Africa.
Krugerrand gold coins are popular among investors and collectors because they have a high gold content and are easy to trade. They are also legal tender in South Africa, although they do not have a fixed face value.
Decline of inflation expectations
Gold is also seen as a protection against the erosion of purchasing power caused by inflation, but when inflation expectations are low or falling, gold loses some of its appeal as an inflation hedge. The inflation expectations have been declining in recent months, partly due to the easing of supply chain disruptions, the moderation of energy prices, and the fading of the base effects from the previous year.
These are some of the main factors that have been weighing on the gold price lately, but there may be other reasons as well, such as the speculations, the market sentiments, and the geopolitical events that can influence the supply and demand of gold.
A unit trust is a type of investment fund that allows you to pool your money with other investors and invest in a variety of assets, such as shares, bonds, property, or cash.
A unit trust is managed by a professional fund manager who decides what to buy and sell according to the fund’s objectives and strategy. You can buy or sell units in a unit trust at any time, depending on the market price of the units. The price of each unit is calculated by dividing the total value of the fund’s assets by the number of units issued.
The more units you own, the more you benefit from the fund’s performance. A regular monthly purchase is the best way to buy as you evenly spread the cost and smooth out and the ‘up’s and ‘downs’ over time.
Some of the advantages of investing in a unit trust
You can access a diversified portfolio of assets with a relatively small amount of money.
You can benefit from the expertise and research of the fund manager who makes the investment decisions for you.
You can choose from a wide range of unit trusts that suit your risk appetite, investment goals, and preferences.
Some of the disadvantages of investing in a unit trust
The performance of the unit trust depends on the skill and judgment of the fund manager, who may not always make the best choices.
You have to pay fees and charges to the fund manager and other service providers, which can reduce your returns.
You may face market risks and volatility, which can affect the value of your units.
A unit trust is a good way to invest in the markets but beware, like any investment, markets go up and they go down! Be aware and be careful.
The UK superfund plan is a new initiative launched by the Prime Minister and the Technology Secretary on 6 March 2023, with the aim of making the UK a global science and technology superpower by 2030.
The plan outlines key actions that will involve every part of the government
Identifying and pursuing strategic advantage in the technologies that are most critical to achieving UK objectives
Showcasing the UK’s S&T strengths and ambitions at home and abroad to attract talent, investment and boost our global influence
Boosting private and public investment in research and development for economic growth and better productivity
Building on the UK’s already enviable talent and skills base
Financing innovative science and technology start-ups and companies
Capitalising on the UK government’s buying power to boost innovation and growth through public sector procurementSshaping the global science and tech landscape through strategic international engagement, diplomacy and partnerships
Ensuring researchers have access to the best physical and digital infrastructure for R&D that attracts talent, investment and discoveries.
Government funding
The plan is backed by over £370 million in new government funding to support infrastructure, investment and skills for the UK’s most exciting growing technologies, such as quantum and supercomputing, AI, biotechnology, clean energy, space and robotics. The plan is expected to create high-paid jobs of the future, grow the economy in cutting-edge industries, and improve people’s lives from better healthcare to security.
Government funding for Superfund
The funding sources for the UK superfund plan are mainly from the government’s budget allocation for science and technology, which has increased by 50% since 2020 to reach £22 billion per year by 2024/25. The government has also committed to increase public spending on R&D to 2.4% of GDP by 2027, which is expected to leverage additional private sector investment. Moreover, the government has established a new agency called Advanced Research & Invention Agency (ARIA), which will have a budget of £800 million over four years to fund high-risk, high-reward research projects that could lead to breakthroughs in science and technology.
Foreign investment
The UK superfund plan also aims to attract more foreign direct investment (FDI) into the UK’s science and technology sector, by promoting the UK as a leading destination for innovation and showcasing its world-class research facilities, talent pool, regulatory environment and market opportunities. The government has set a target of increasing FDI stock in R&D from £45 billion in 2018 to £67 billion by 2025.
The UK superfund plan is a separate initiative from the superfund consolidators for defined benefit (DB) pensions, which are a new innovation in the UK pension industry. Transferring a DB pension scheme to a superfund can improve the security of members’ benefits by replacing a weak employer covenant with a capital buffer. The Pensions Regulator (TPR) has published guidance for trustees and sponsoring employers of UK DB pension schemes considering transacting with a superfund.
GB Savings One Fund
The GB Savings One Fund is a proposal by the Tony Blair Institute (TBI) to create the country’s first superfund for pensions. According to the TBI, the superfund would be an expansion of the Pension Protection Fund (PPF), which is a statutory fund that provides compensation to members of eligible defined benefit (DB) pension schemes in the UK when their employers become insolvent.
The UK Superfund
The Tony Blair Institute suggests that sponsors of the smallest 4,500 UK DB schemes would be offered the voluntary option of transferring to the PPF on a benefit preserving basis, which would improve the security and efficiency of their pensions.
The institute also proposes that the PPF model should be replicated and rolled out throughout the UK in a series of regional, not-for-profit entities that sit within a master governance structure under the existing fund or participate in consolidation in parallel with and modelled on the original GB Savings.
The TBI argues that this approach would result in a modernised pension system that would generate better returns for pensioners, attract more investment and talent, and strengthen pensions for the entire generation stuck with inadequate provision since the closure of the DB funds over the past two decades.
GB Bank
The GB Savings One Fund is not related to GB Bank, which is a bank that offers competitive savings accounts that support residential and commercial developments in communities that need them most. GB Bank has a full UK banking licence and offers the same level of protection as the traditional high street banks.
When you save with GB Bank, your money is protected up to £85,000 by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS).
At 4.33%, the 10-year Treasury yield in the U.S. is at its highest in 16 years. That represents a risk-free, long-duration asset with relatively high returns and this is challenging the stock market.
Why should traders invest in stocks that may not return as much, or just slightly more and take unecessary risks, when there is an asset class that guarantees around 4% return or slighlty more?
Cash is king?
Cash is now yielding 5% in the U.S., short term bonds are yielding 5% plus, so equities for the first time in a long time, have actually got some competition.
Typically stocks if they do well, are likely to return more than a risk-free asset, precisely because it isn’t certain stocks will rise. That’s called the equity risk premium, a return that’s supposed to compensate stock investors for the chance that they might lose money. But, as the premium is below 1% now. Historically, it’s been between 2% and 4% – meaning stocks are looking much less attractive than Treasuries.
Harder job for the Fed?
Another potential issue that could crop up with high Treasury yields is that it could make the Federal Reserve’s job tougher. During the recent Jackson Hole gathering, the Fed head has indicated that more interest rate hikes are still high possibility.
But don’t panic just yet… this is likely a pullback phase of a bull market analysts suggest. That is, it’s still too early to be bearish on stocks.
Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni is reported to have said that the market is ‘going to hang in there’ and ‘a year-end rally will bring the S&P 500 back to something like 4,600‘.
That implied an increase of almost 5% in stocks – while not certain – would give Treasuries a run for their money again.
UK to unleash £50 billion in pension funding for tech startups
The U.K. government has unveiled a series of reforms that will allow pension funds to invest more in private and high-growth companies, especially in the tech sector. The move is expected to boost economic growth, support innovation and increase returns for future retirees.
The reforms include an agreement with the country’s largest defined contribution pension schemes to allocate 5% of assets in their default funds to unlisted equities by 2030. This could unlock up to £50 billion of investment in high-growth firms if all other defined contribution pension schemes follow suit, according to the government.
AI
The government will also create new investment vehicles that will give pensioners a stake in homegrown private companies, such as fintech and biotech startups, that have increasingly snubbed the London Stock Exchange and turned to foreign investors for cash. The aim is to make the U.K. a more attractive market for technology and a global leader in emerging fields like artificial intelligence.
The Treasury claimed that the reforms would not only help burgeoning industries, but could also result in higher returns for workers’ retirement funds. The government estimates that the average earner’s pension pot could rise up to 12% to as much as £16,000 with defined contribution pension schemes committing to more effective investments.
Unlock
The announcement comes amid criticism that the U.K. is losing its edge in technology and innovation, as evidenced by the recent decision of U.K. chip design giant Arm to list in New York rather than London. The chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, reportedly said that he wanted to make the U.K. ‘the world’s next Silicon Valley and a science superpower’ by unlocking investment from the U.K.’s £2.5 trillion pensions sector.
The reforms were welcomed by industry groups and experts, who said that they would help address the funding gap faced by many U.K. startups and scale-ups, and create more opportunities for long-term growth and value creation.
