Databases to Dominance: Oracle’s AI Boom and Ellison’s Billionaire Ascent

Oracle

Oracle Corporation has just staged one of the most dramatic rallies in tech history—catapulting itself into the elite club of near-trillion-dollar companies and reshaping the billionaire leaderboard in the process.

Founded in 1977 by Larry Ellison, Oracle began as a modest database software firm. Its first major boom came in the late 1990s, riding the dot-com wave as enterprise software demand exploded.

By 2000, Oracle’s market cap had surged past $160 billion, making it one of the most valuable tech firms of the era.

A second wave of growth followed in the mid-2000s, fuelled by aggressive acquisitions like PeopleSoft and Sun Microsystems, which expanded Oracle’s footprint into enterprise applications and hardware.

Boom

But its most recent boom—triggered in 2025—is unlike anything before. Oracle’s pivot to cloud infrastructure and artificial intelligence has paid off spectacularly. In its fiscal Q1 2026 report, Oracle revealed $455 billion in remaining performance obligations (RPO), a staggering 359% increase year-over-year.

This backlog, driven by multi-billion-dollar contracts with AI giants like OpenAI, Meta, Nvidia, and xAI, sent shockwaves through Wall Street.

Despite missing revenue and earnings expectations slightly—$14.93 billion in revenue vs. $15.04 billion expected, and $1.47 EPS vs. $1.48 forecasted—the market responded with euphoria.

Oracle’s stock soared nearly 36% in a single day, adding $244 billion to its market cap and pushing it to approximately $922 billion. Analysts called it ‘absolutely staggering’ and ‘truly awesome’, with Deutsche Bank reportedly raising its price target to $335.

Oracle Infographic September 2025

This meteoric rise had personal consequences too. Larry Ellison, Oracle’s co-founder and current CTO, saw his net worth jump by over $100 billion in one day, briefly surpassing Elon Musk to become the world’s richest person.

His fortune reportedly peaked at around $397 billion, largely tied to his 41% stake in Oracle. Ellison’s journey—from college dropout to tech titan—is now punctuated by the largest single-day wealth gain ever recorded.

CEO Safra Catz also benefited, with her net worth rising by $412 million in just six hours of trading, bringing her total to $3.4 billion. Under her leadership, Oracle’s stock has risen over 800% since she became sole CEO in 2019.

Oracle’s forecast for its cloud infrastructure business is equally jaw-dropping: $18 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026, growing to $144 billion by 2030. If these projections hold, Oracle could soon join the trillion-dollar club alongside Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia.

From database pioneer to AI infrastructure powerhouse, Oracle’s evolution is a masterclass in strategic reinvention.

Oracle one-year chart 10th September 2025

Oracle one-year chart 10th September 2025

And with Ellison now at the summit of global wealth, the company’s narrative is no longer just about software—it’s about legacy, dominance, and the future of intelligent computing.

U.S. zombie companies on the rise!

BIG tech creating Zombie companies

As BIG tech poaches top AI talent, these companies are stripped to the bone as the tech talent is being hollowed out!

In the race to dominate artificial intelligence, America’s tech giants are vacuuming up talent at an unprecedented pace.

But behind the headlines of billion-dollar acquisitions and flashy AI demos lies a quieter crisis. The creation of ‘zombie companies’ — startups left staggering and soulless after their brightest minds are poached by Big Tech.

These zombie firms aren’t dead, but they’re no longer truly alive either. They continue to operate, maintain websites, and pitch to investors, yet their core innovation engine has stalled. The problem isn’t just brain drain — it’s brain decapitation.

When a startup loses its founding engineers, lead researchers, or visionary product designers to the likes of Google, Meta, or Microsoft, what remains is often a shell with no clear path forward.

The allure is understandable. Big Tech offers salaries that dwarf startup equity, access to massive compute resources, and the prestige of working on frontier models. But the downstream effect is corrosive.

Startups, once the lifeblood of AI experimentation, are now struggling to retain talent long enough to reach product maturity. Some pivot to consultancy, others limp along with outsourced development, and many quietly fold — their IP absorbed, their vision diluted.

This phenomenon is particularly acute in the U.S., where venture capital encourages rapid scaling but rarely protects against talent attrition. The result is a growing class of companies that exist more for optics than output — kept alive by inertia, legacy funding, or the hope of acquisition.

They clutter the innovation landscape, making it harder for truly disruptive ideas to gain traction.

Ironically, Big Tech’s hunger for talent may be undermining the very ecosystem it depends on. By stripping startups of their creative lifeblood, it risks turning the AI sector into a monoculture. This culture is then dominated by a few players, with fewer voices and less diversity of thought.

The solution isn’t simple. It may require new funding models, stronger incentives for retention, or even regulatory scrutiny of talent acquisition practices.

But one thing is clear: if the U.S. wants to remain the global leader in AI, it must find a way to nurture its startups — not just harvest them.

Otherwise, the future of innovation may be haunted by the walking dead.

Meta’s AI power play: can it outmanoeuvre Apple and Google in the device race?

META device race

Meta is making a serious play to become the dominant force in AI-powered consumer devices, and it’s not just hype—it’s backed by aggressive strategy, talent acquisition, and a unique distribution advantage.

🧠 Meta’s Strategic Edge in AI Devices

1. Massive User Base

  • Meta has direct access to 3.48 billion daily active users across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger.
  • This gives it an unparalleled distribution channel for deploying AI features instantly across billions of devices.

2. Platform-Agnostic Approach

  • Unlike Apple and Google, which tightly integrate AI into their operating systems, Meta is bypassing OS gatekeepers by embedding AI into apps and wearables.
  • It’s partnering with chipmakers like Qualcomm and MediaTek to optimize AI performance on mobile hardware.

3. Talent Acquisition Blitz

  • Meta poached Ruoming Pang, Apple’s head of AI models, and Alexandr Wang, co-founder of ScaleAI, to lead its Superintelligence group.
  • This group aims to build AI that’s smarter than humans—an ambitious goal that’s drawing top-tier talent from rivals.

4. Proprietary Data Advantage

  • Meta’s access to real-time, personal communication and social media data is considered one of the most valuable datasets for training consumer-facing AI.
  • This gives it a leg up in personalization and contextual understanding.

🍏 Apple and Google: Still Strong, But Vulnerable

Apple

  • Struggled with its in-house AI models, reportedly considering outsourcing to OpenAI or Anthropic for Siri upgrades.
  • Losing this battle could signal deeper issues in Apple’s AI roadmap.

Google

  • Has robust AI infrastructure and Gemini models, but faces competition from Meta’s nimble, app-based deployment strategy.

🔮 Could Meta Win?

Meta’s approach is disruptive: it’s not trying to own the OS—it’s trying to own the AI interface. If it continues to scale its AI across apps, smart glasses (like Ray-Ban Meta), and future AR devices, it could redefine how users interact with AI daily.

That said, Apple and Google still control the hardware and OS ecosystems, which gives them deep integration advantages. Meta’s success will depend on whether users prefer AI embedded in apps and wearables over OS-level assistants.

1. AI Device Leadership Comparison

CompanyAI StrategyDistributionHardware Integration
MetaApp-first, wearable AI3.48B usersLimited (Ray-Ban)
AppleOS-integrated SiriiOS ecosystemFull control
GoogleGemini in AndroidAndroid ecosystemFull control

2. Timeline: Meta’s AI Milestones

  • 2023: Launch of Ray-Ban Meta glasses
  • 2024: Formation of Superintelligence team
  • 2025: AI embedded across Meta apps

Remember, Meta has direct access to nearly 3.50 billion users on a daily basis across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger.

Bit of a worry, isn’t it?

But good for investors and traders.

Global stocks indices flying high as new records broken – 12th August 2025

New records for global indices led by U.S. tech

In a sweeping rally that spanned continents and sectors, major global indices surged to fresh record highs yesterday, buoyed by cooling inflation data, renewed hopes of U.S. central bank rate cuts, and easing trade tensions.

U.S. inflation figures released 12th August 2025 for July came in at: 2.7% – helping to lift markets to new record highs!

U.S. Consumer Price Index — July 2025

MetricValue
Monthly CPI (seasonally adjusted)+0.2%
Annual CPI (headline)+2.7%
Core CPI (excl. food & energy)+0.3% monthly, +3.1% annual

Despite concerns over Trump’s sweeping tariffs, the U.S. July 2025 CPI came in slightly below expectations (forecast was 2.8% annual).

Economists noted that while tariffs are beginning to show up in certain categories, their broader inflationary impact remains modest — for now.

Global Indices Surged to Record Highs Amid Rate Cut Optimism and Tariff Relief

Tuesday, 12 August 2025 — Taking Stock

📈 S&P 500: Breaks Above 6,400 for First Time

  • Closing Level: 6,427.02
  • Gain: +1.1%
  • Catalyst: Softer-than-expected U.S. CPI data (+2.7% YoY) boosted bets on a September rate cut, with 94% of traders now expecting easing.
  • Sector Drivers: Large-cap tech stocks led the charge, with Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia all contributing to the rally.

💻 Nasdaq Composite & Nasdaq 100: Tech Titans Lead the Way

  • Nasdaq Composite: Closed at a record 21,457.48 (+1.55%)
  • Nasdaq 100: Hit a new intraday high of 23,849.50, closing at 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
  • Highlights:
    • Apple surged 4.2% after announcing a $600 billion U.S. investment plan.
    • AI optimism continues to fuel gains across the Magnificent Seven stocks.

Nasdaq 100 chart 12th August 2025

Nasdaq 100 chart 12th August 2025

🧠 Tech 100 (US Tech Index): Momentum Builds

  • Latest High: 23,849.50
  • Weekly Gain: Nearly +3.7%
  • Outlook: Traders eye a breakout above 24,000, with institutional buying accelerating. Analysts note a 112% surge in net long positions since late June.

🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: Japan Joins the Record Club

  • Closing Level: 42,718.17 (+2.2%)
  • Intraday High: 43,309.62
  • Drivers:
    • Relief over U.S. tariff revisions and a 90-day pause on Chinese levies.
    • Strong earnings from chipmakers like Kioxia and Micron.
    • Speculation of expanded fiscal stimulus following Japan’s recent election results.

🧮 Market Sentiment Snapshot

IndexRecord Level Reached% Gain YesterdayKey Driver
S&P 5006,427.02+1.1%CPI data, rate cut bets
Nasdaq Comp.21,457.48+1.55%AI optimism, Apple surge
Nasdaq 10023,849.50+1.33%Tech earnings, institutional buying
Tech 10023,849.50+1.06%Momentum, bullish sentiment
Nikkei 22543,309.62+2.2%Tariff relief, chip rally

📊 Editorial Note: While the rally reflects strong investor confidence, analysts caution that several indices are approaching technical overbought levels.

The Nikkei’s RSI, for instance, has breached 75, often a precursor to short-term pullbacks.

Wall Street surges: S&P 500 breaks 6300 as tech optimism outpaces tariff tensions

Record highs!

The S&P 500 closed above 6,300 for the first time in history on Monday 21st July 2025, while the Nasdaq Composite notched yet another record, finishing at 20,974.17.

Investor enthusiasm for upcoming tech earnings has eclipsed broader concerns over looming global tariffs, fuelling a rally in major indexes.

Despite marginal losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.38% while the S&P 500 climbed 0.14%, buoyed by gains in heavyweights like Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Amazon.

With over 60 S&P 500 companies having reported so far this earnings season, more than 85% have exceeded expectations, according to FactSet.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Comp at new record highs 21st July 2025

redo the charts side by side and correct the S&P 500 value
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Comp at new record highs 21st July 2025

Alphabet shares advanced over 2% ahead of Wednesday’s results, and Tesla headlines the ‘Magnificent Seven’ group expected to drive the bulk of earnings growth this quarter. And not necessarily for the right reason.

Analysts reportedly expect the group to deliver 14% growth year-on-year, far outpacing the remaining S&P constituents’ average of 3.4%.

S&P 500

Despite tariff tensions simmering — with the U.S. setting a 1st August deadline for levy enforcement — investor sentiment remains bullish.

Bank of America estimates Q2 earnings are tracking a 5% annual increase, suggesting resilience amid geopolitical headwinds.

Strategists warn of potential volatility, as earnings surprises or policy shifts could spark swift market reactions.

Still, some analysts see space for further upside, projecting a potential S&P climb to 6,600 before any meaningful pullback.

As the tech titans prepare to report, all eyes are on whether optimism can keep the rally alive — or if tariffs will return to centre stage.

From FANG stocks, MAG 7 stocks to AI – the tech titans just keep giving.

But when will it overload?

Dow closed 700 points lower Friday 28th March 2025 as inflation and tariff fears worsen

Dow down

Stocks sold off sharply on Friday 28th March 2025, pressured by growing uncertainty on U.S. trade policy as well as a grim outlook on inflation

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 715 points at 41,583. The S&P 500 lost 1.97% to close 5,580 ending the week down for the fifth time in the last six weeks. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.7% to 17,322.

Shares of several technology giants also fell putting pressure on the broader market. Google-parent Alphabet lost 4.9%, while Meta and Amazon each shed 4.3%.

This week, the S&P 500 lost 1.53%, while the 30-stock Dow shed 0.96%. The Nasdaq declined by 2.59%. With this latest losing week, Nasdaq is now on pace for a more than 8% monthly decline, which would be its worst monthly performance since December 2022.

Dow Jones one-day chart (28th March 2025)

Dow Jones one-day chart (28th March 2025)

Stocks took a leg lower on Friday after the University of Michigan’s final read on consumer sentiment for March 2025 reflected the highest long-term inflation expectation since 1993.

Friday’s core personal consumption expenditures price index also came in hotter-than-expected, rising 2.8% in February and reflecting a 0.4% increase for the month, stoking concerns about persistent inflation.

Economists had reportedly been looking for respective numbers of 2.7% and 0.3%. Consumer spending accelerated 0.4% for the month, below the 0.5% forecast, according to fresh data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The market is getting squeezed by both sides. There is uncertainty about reciprocal tariffs hitting the major exporting sectors like tech alongside concerns about a weakening consumer facing higher prices

Trump’s tariffs push will hit the U.S. harder than Europe in the short term, it has been reported.

Japan’s Nikkei enters correction as Trump’s tariff assault drives sell-off in Asia markets

Meta boss bows to Trump re-aligning with their ‘free speech’ mandate

AI

Mark Zuckerberg’s recent actions seem to be driven by a mix of strategic business decisions and political pragmatism.

As Trump prepares to retake the White House, Zuckerberg has made several changes at Meta, including scaling back content moderation and fact-checking, and moving safety teams to Texas. These moves appear to align with Trump’s stance on free expression and reducing censorship.

Additionally, Zuckerberg and other tech leaders are likely seeking to build a favorable relationship with the incoming administration to navigate potential regulatory challenges and maintain their business interests. It’s a complex dance of power and influence, with both sides looking to benefit from the alliance.

Recalibrating for Trump

Zuckerberg, who has been summoned to Washington eight times to testify before congressional committees during the last two administrations, wants to be perceived as someone who can work with Trump and the Republican Party, it would appear.

Though Meta’s content-policy updates caught many of its employees and fact-checking partners off-guard, a small group of executives were formulating the plans in the aftermath of the U.S. election results. By the New Year – managers had reportedly begun planning the public announcements of its policy change.

It has been noted that Meta typically undergoes major ‘recalibrations’ after power changes hand. Meta adjusts its policies to best suit its business model and reputational needs based on the political landscape.

Does the company remain true to its original founding principles, whatever they are – or does it ‘cozy up’ with power to re-position itself to benefit politically? Let’s put some more money in the Trump inauguration pot.

Nothing new here then – but go watch the video of Zuckerberg’s announcement.

Does it may you cringe – or is it just me?

Microsoft and Meta both indicate future AI spending will cut into next quarter profits

Microsoft and AI

Microsoft’s significant investment in OpenAI is impacting its earnings – 30th October 2024

The company reportedly indicated, following the quarterly earnings report, that Microsoft anticipates a $1.5 billion reduction in income for the current period, primarily due to projected losses from OpenAI.

Microsoft’s nearly $14 billion investment in OpenAI, the creator of the widely popular ChatGPT assistant, has catalysed the emergence of the generative artificial intelligence industry, leading to billions in new revenue for Microsoft.

Despite this, OpenAI is experiencing substantial financial losses. It is projected to incur $5 billion in losses this year, excluding stock-based compensation, against $4 billion in revenue, according to reports from earlier this month.

Microsoft’s stock declined following weaker-than-expected revenue guidance, despite exceeding earnings expectations.

The company’s revenue reportedly increased by 16% in the fiscal first quarter, outpacing analyst predictions.

Earnings from Azure and other cloud services reportedly rose by 33%, exceeding forecasts.

Nevertheless, the projected revenue growth did not meet analyst expectations.

Meta

Meta’s third-quarter earnings report, released on Wednesday 30th October 2024, disclosed user numbers that fell short of expectations.

The company reported $3.29 billion daily active users for the quarter, marking a 5% increase from the previous year but still below the anticipated $3.31 billion by analysts.

Meta also projected a substantial increase in capital expenditures for 2025.

Additionally, Meta indicated a significant rise in AI spending for 2025.

Nasdaq hits new all-time high – Tesla enjoys another great day

Nasdaq index at new high!

The Nasdaq Composite climbed to an all-time high on Friday 25th October 2024, boosted by BIG tech stocks.

The tech-heavy index rose 0.56% to 18,518.61

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index rose 0.56% to 18,518.61

Tech stocks boosted the market ahead of their upcoming earnings. Nvidia added 0.8%, and shares of Meta Platforms, Amazon and Microsoft were also higher.

Some analysts are suggesting it may be time to short Amazon and Apple as they head into earnings season? Let’s see.

Tesla helped boost the Nasdaq as its stock climbed to close at a 13-month high, sustaining its rally post-earnings.

Tesla enjoyed its best market day since 2013, the stock rose more than 3% on Friday 25th October 2024, closing at its highest since September 2023.

Tesla 5-day stock chart as of 25th October 2024

Tesla 5-day stock chart as of 25th October 2024

Nvidia hits new record high with new $3.4 trillion market cap

AI chips

Nvidia’s shares have reached a record peak as the company continues to benefit from the surging demand for its AI chips

Tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon are acquiring Nvidia’s GPUs in large volumes to create extensive AI computing clusters.

Nvidia, with a market capitalisation of around $3.4 trillion, ranks as the second most valuable publicly traded company in the U.S., trailing behind Apple, which has a market cap of approximately $3.55 trillion.

And to think… just 6 weeks ago Nvidia hit the news with this headline: Nvidia $279 billion market cap wipeout — the biggest in U.S. history for just ONE company.

Oh, the volatility of tech stocks, don’t you just love it?

The company’s stock rose by 2.4% to close at $138.07, exceeding the previous high of $135.58 set on 18th June 2023. The shares have increased by nearly 180% this year and have experienced a more than ninefold increase since early 2023.

Regarded as the leading supplier in the AI revolution, Nvidia has gained significantly from the generative AI surge initiated by OpenAI’s ChatGPT release in November 2022. Nvidia’s GPUs are instrumental in developing and running sophisticated AI models, including those that operate ChatGPT and related platforms.

You can’t go far wrong when big players such as Microsoft, Meta, Google and Amazon are buying your stuff.

If I were a rich man

Super rich

According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has overtaken Jeff Bezos as the world’s second-richest person

Zuckerberg’s wealth surged by $78 billion in 2024, a rise unmatched by any other member of the index’s 500 richest individuals, thanks to his 13% stake in Meta.

Throughout the year, Wall Street has applauded Meta as the company’s quarterly earnings have consistently exceeded analysts’ expectations.

On Thursday 3rd October 2024, Zuckerberg’s net worth hit $206.2 billion, as per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, surpassing the $205.1 billion fortune of the ex-Amazon CEO and president. The co-founder of Facebook is now approximately $50 billion behind Tesla’s Elon Musk, according to the index.

Bloomberg Billionaires Index as of 3rd October 2024

Bloomberg Billionaires Index as of 3rd October 2024

Fact: Apparently Mark Zuckerberg says he plans to give away 99% of his Facebook shares.

Meta reportedly to use the voice of Dame Judi Dench for its celebrity AI Chatbot

Chatbot with celebrity voices

Meta, the parent company of Instagram, has announced that voices of Dame Judi Dench and John Cena will be available as options for its AI chatbot.

Moreover, users can access information through AI representations of celebrities such as Awkwafina, Keegan-Michael Key, and Kristen Bell. Meta is hopeful that this new endeavour with celebrity chatbots will surpass the success of its previous attempts. In September 2023, Meta introduced AI chatbots featuring the ‘personalities’ of celebrities including Kendall Jenner and Snoop Dogg, but the project was terminated within a year.

At Meta’s annual Connect conference, CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced the new celebrity chatbot project, remarking, ‘Interacting with AI through voice will be more intuitive than through text.‘ The enhanced ChatGPT-style chatbot will also be capable of recognizing objects in images and providing relevant details. Additionally, a novel image editing tool will allow users to alter photos by simply directing the Meta AI with their requests.

Meta has disclosed that its AI now reaches over 400 million people monthly, with 185 million engaging weekly.

Meta one-year chart as of 2nd October 2024

Meta one-year chart as of 2nd October 2024

The AI Race between China and the U.S.

AI development in China and U.S.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become a pivotal battleground in the technological race between China and the United States.

“AI is expected to become a crucial component of economic and military power in the near future,” Stanford University’s Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2023 stated.

Both countries are significantly investing in AI research and development, striving to achieve a leading role in this revolutionary sector. This post looks at the major figures in China’s AI scene, their progress, and their comparison with their American counterparts.

China’s AI Landscape

China’s AI aspirations are propelled by a number of significant technology firms, each forging their own AI models and applications.

Baidu: Often referred to as the ‘Google of China,’ Baidu leads in AI development. Its premier AI model, ERNIE (Enhanced Representation through Knowledge Integration), fuels the Ernie Bot, a chatbot aimed to compete with OpenAI’s ChatGPT. Baidu asserts that ERNIE 4.0 matches GPT-4’s capabilities, demonstrating sophisticated understanding and reasoning abilities.

Alibaba: Alibaba’s AI model, Tongyi Qianwen (commonly known as Qwen), is a comprehensive set of foundational models adept at a range of tasks, from generating content to solving mathematical problems. Select versions of Qwen are open-source, enabling developers to utilize and modify them for various uses. Alibaba has announced that Qwen models are in use by over 90,000 enterprise clients.

Tencent: The Hunyuan model from Tencent is a prominent component of China’s AI landscape. Offered through Tencent’s cloud computing division, Hunyuan is tailored to facilitate a broad spectrum of applications, encompassing natural language processing and computer vision.

Huawei: In spite of considerable obstacles stemming from U.S. sanctions, Huawei persists in AI innovation. The firm has created its own AI processors, like the Kunlun series, to diminish dependence on international technology. Huawei’s AI features are incorporated into a diverse array of products, including smartphones and cloud solutions.

Comparison to the U.S.

The U.S. continues to be a dominant force in AI, with leading companies such as OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, Anthropic and Meta spearheading advancements.

Generative AI: U.S. firms have advanced significantly in generative AI, with OpenAI’s GPT-4 and Google’s Gemini at the forefront. These models excel in creating text, images, and videos from user inputs. Although Chinese models like ERNIE and Qwen are strong contenders, the U.S. maintains a slight lead in capabilities and market penetration.

Semiconductor Design: The U.S. leads the semiconductor design industry, vital for AI progress. U.S. companies command an 85% global market share in chip design, crucial for AI model training and system operation. China’s dependence on imported semiconductors is a notable obstacle, but there are ongoing efforts to create homegrown solutions.

Research and Innovation: Both nations boast strong AI research sectors, yet the U.S. edges out slightly in generating state-of-the-art AI products. U.S. tech giants frequently introduce AI breakthroughs to the market, with Chinese firms quickly gaining ground.

Government Support: The Chinese government ardently backs AI advancement, enacting strategies to spur innovation and lessen foreign tech reliance. Such support has spurred China’s AI industry’s rapid expansion, positioning it as a strong rival to the U.S.

Conclusion

The competition in AI development between China and the U.S. is escalating, as both countries achieve significant breakthroughs. Although the U.S. maintains a marginal lead in some respects, China’s swift advancement and state backing indicate that the disparity might keep closing. The quest for AI dominance by these nations is set to influence the worldwide technological and innovative landscape profoundly.

As of September 2024, it is estimated that China’s AI development is approximately nine months behind that of the U.S.

Company says it can cut data centre energy use by 50% as AI boom places increased strain on power grids

Power hungry data centre

Major technology corporations such as Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta are channelling billions into data centre infrastructures to bolster generative AI, which is causing a spike in energy demand.

Sustainable Metal Cloud has announced that its immersion cooling technology is 28% less expensive to install compared to other liquid-based cooling methods and can cut energy use by up to 50%.

The surge in artificial intelligence has increased the need for more robust processors and the energy to cool data centres.

This presents an opportunity for Sustainable Metal Cloud, which runs ‘sustainable AI factories’ consisting of HyperCubes located in Singapore and Australia.

These HyperCubes house servers equipped with Nvidia processors immersed in a synthetic oil known as polyalphaolefin, which is more effective at dissipating heat than air. The company claims this technology can reduce energy consumption by as much as 50% when compared to the conventional air-cooling systems found in most data centres.

Additionally, the Singapore-based company states that its immersion cooling technology is more cost-effective to install by 28% than other liquid cooling options. The HyperCubes are modular and can be integrated into any data centre, utilising spaces that are currently unoccupied within existing facilities.

What is a Hypercube?

  • Structure: A hypercube topology connects nodes in a way that each node is connected to others in a manner similar to the geometric hypercube. For example, in a 3-dimensional hypercube (a cube), each node is connected to three other nodes.
  • Scalability: This structure allows for efficient scaling. As the number of dimensions increases, the number of nodes that can be connected grows exponentially.
  • Fault Tolerance: Hypercube networks are known for their robustness. If one connection fails, there are multiple alternative paths for data to travel, ensuring reliability.

Benefits in data centres

  • High Performance: The multiple pathways in a hypercube network reduce latency and increase data transfer speeds, which is crucial for big tech companies handling vast amounts of data.
  • Efficient Resource Utilisation: The topology allows for better load balancing and resource allocation, optimising the performance of data centres.
  • Flexibility: Hypercube networks can easily adapt to changes in the network, such as adding or removing nodes, without significant reconfiguration.
  • Big Tech Companies: Companies like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft likely use hypercube topologies in their data centres to ensure high performance and reliability.
  • High-Performance Computing (HPC): Hypercube networks are also used in supercomputers and other HPC environments where efficient data transfer is critical.

U.S. stocks recovery attempt fizzles out

Fizzle

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday 7th August 2024, failing to fully recover from Monday’s sell-off.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 234 points to 38763.45. The S&P 500 fell to 5199.50, while the Nasdaq Composite closed at 16195.81.

During the day, the Dow had surged around 480 points, the S&P 500 had climbed 1.73%, and the Nasdaq had risen over 2%.

Dow Jones one day chart 7th August 2024

Dow Jones one day chart 7th August 2024

S&P 500 one day chart 7th August 2024

S&P 500 one day chart 7th August 2024

Nasdaq Composite one day chart 7th August 2024

Nasdaq Composite one day chart 7th August 2024

However, a downturn in Nvidia and other major tech stocks, after an initial rise, led to a significant drop in the afternoon. Nvidia retracted by 5.1%, Super Micro Computer plummeted 20.1% following its fiscal Q4 earnings missing analyst predictions, Tesla fell 4.4%, and Meta Platforms decreased by 1%.

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

One month chart Super Micro Computer 7th August 2024

One month chart Super Micro Computer 7th August 2024

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

Nvidia one day chart 7th August 2024

The U.S.10-year Treasury yield continued to rise, increasing by about six basis points to 3.95%, returning to its level before the disappointing job figures last Friday, which had sparked concerns of an economic slowdown.

The Volatility Index (CBOE), the so called ‘fear gauge‘ was trading at around 29, having dropped to as low as 22 earlier in the day. This sharp decrease from Monday 5th August 2024 suggests that investor fears are subsiding, however, they remain higher than at the beginning of the month.

The Volatility Index (CBOE) on 7th August 2024

The Volatility Index (CBOE) on 7th August 2024

Judge ruling says Google’s monopoly of online searches is illegal

Judge

Too much monopolistic power held by too few

A U.S. judge has ruled that Google illegally maintained a monopoly in online searches and related advertising. The lawsuit, brought by the Department of Justice, charged Google with controlling around 90% of the online search market.

It was reportedly noted by the judge that Google’s billions of dollars in investments to become the default search engine on smartphones and browsers could be anticompetitive.

The decision, issued on Monday 5th August 2024, could potentially change how tech giants operate.

It was reported that in his extensive 277-page decision, Judge Mehta remarked, Google has acted as a monopolist and engaged in anticompetitive practices to maintain its monopoly.”

This represents a significant victory for federal antitrust enforcers who have pursued similar cases against other leading technology companies for illegal monopolistic behaviours.

Companies like Meta Platforms, which operate Facebook and WhatsApp, as well as companies like Amazon and Apple., have also faced lawsuits from federal regulators.

The judgment comes after a 10-week trial where it was argued that Google’s substantial payments to remain the primary search engine have impeded the competition’s ability to challenge effectively.

This is a seismic shift in the way search engines and advertising may operate in the future. Already with the advent of AI, search engines look and feel different.

Recently, OpenAI launched ‘SearchGPT’ – and Microsoft have named it a competitor in the world of search engines.

Times are changing.

$1 trillion rout as Markets punishes tech stocks

Stocks drop

The seven most valuable U.S. tech companies experienced a combined loss of $1 trillion in market value at the start of Monday’s trading session – 5th August 2024

The Nasdaq declined over 3% following its sharpest three-week drop in two years.

Nvidia’s shares fell approximately 6%, while Apple’s dropped more than 4%.

On Monday, as the U.S. markets commenced trading, the market capitalization of the largest tech companies plummeted by about $1 trillion, exacerbating a decline that pushed the Nasdaq into correction territory the previous week.

Markets go up and markets go down

In early trade Nvidia’s market cap decreased by over $300 billion, but it swiftly regained about half of that loss. The chipmaker’s shares ultimately closed down 6.4%, equating to a $168 billion loss. Apple and Amazon saw their valuations fall by $224 billion and $109 billion at market open. Apple’s market cap finished 4.8% lower, a $162 billion decrease. Amazon’s valuation fell by 4.1% at closing, a $72 billion reduction.

Including significant drops in Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Tesla, the top seven tech giants saw a $995 billion loss in market value in the initial moments of trading, although they did recover somewhat as the day went on.

Amazon, Intel, Meta, Nintendo, Apple, Snap, Qualcomm and others report – here’s a brief round-up

Reports summary 31st July 2024 -1st August 2024

Amazon offers weak guidance citing Olympics and the Trump assassination attempt as cause (consumers are distracted). However, Amazon’s cloud unit reports 19% revenue growth, topping estimates and a 20% increase in business in Q2. Amazon stocks pull back after guidance update.

Intel endures a 22% share plunge dragging down other global microchip stocks from TSMC, ASML to Samsung. Company to cut 15% of workforce, reports quarterly guidance miss.

Meta shares climb 6% on positive earnings data and good revenue forecast. Zuckerberg enthused over AI and how it’s helping create profits suggesting ‘Meta’s advertising growth is proof that BIG AI spending is already paying off.’ However, Meta’s Reality Labs posts $4.5 billion loss in second quarter.

Nintendo profit falls 55% as sales of its ageing Switch console plunge. Nintendo revenue and profit plunged in Q1 as sales of its ageing Switch console decline. Nintendo sold 2.1 million units of its Switch consoles, down 46% on the year. Investors are seeking news surrounding a successor to the Nintendo Switch console.

Apple sales climbed 5%, topping estimates as iPad and services revenue lift despite ongoing issues with iPhone sales slipping in China. Apple is spending more on AI but remains way behind its peers.

Snap shares plunge more than 20% on weak guidance.

Qualcomm beats estimates as phone microchip sales up 12%.

Samsung Q2 revenue and profit comes in above estimates amid strong AI demand.

AMD jumps 5% as global microchip stocks rally. Data centre sales doubled.

Nvidia rebounds after half a trillion market cap slump

Hot AI

To put this figure into some perspective, the loss is comparable to the GDP output of a small country, such as Norway, Singapore, or the UAE, for example.

Global semiconductor stocks experienced volatility on Tuesday following a decline in Nvidia’s shares from the previous trading sessions.

Shares of chip firms in Europe and Asia fell in early trade as investors reacted to Nvidia losing more than $500 billion in market capitalization over three trading days. Some of the stocks recouped losses, however, as shares in the U.S. chipmaking giant recovered around 6 – 6.5% as of Tuesday 25th June 2024.

This follows a significant drop in Nvidia’s share value, which fell 13% over three consecutive sessions from the record highs achieved on Thursday 20th June 2024.

On Monday 24th June 2024, Nvidia’s stock closed down 6.7%, marking its second-largest decline of the year, yet the shares began to recover in early trading on Tuesday 25th June 2024.

Last week, the company surpassed Apple and Microsoft to become the most valuable U.S. company, achieving a market capitalization of over $3.4 trillion. However, by the end of Monday, Nvidia’s market value had declined by more than $540 billion from its intraday record on Thursday 20th June 2024.

Nvidia reported that the demand for its highly sought-after artificial intelligence graphics processing units (GPUs) continues to be strong.

Companies such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta are investing billions of dollars in these chips to enhance their data centres and cloud services.

Nvidia passes Microsoft in market cap – should investors be concerned about the meteoric rise?

GPU power for AI

Nvidia, traditionally recognised within the gaming community for its graphics chips, has become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company.

On Tuesday 18th June 2024, Nvidia’s shares rose by 3.6%, increasing its market cap to $3.34 trillion and overtaking Microsoft, now valued at $3.32 trillion. Earlier in the month, Nvidia’s valuation reached $3 trillion for the first time, surpassing Apple.

Nvidia $3.34 trillion market cap

Nvidia $3.34 trillion market cap

So far this year, Nvidia’s shares have surged over 170% and saw further gains after announcing first-quarter earnings in May 2024. Since the close of 2022, the stock has increased more than ninefold, paralleling the rise of generative artificial intelligence.

Apple’s shares dropped by 1.1% on Tuesday, resulting in a market value of $3.29 trillion for the tech giant.

Nvidia commands roughly 80% of the market share for AI chips in data centres, a sector that has expanded rapidly as companies like OpenAI, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta have competed to acquire the necessary processors for constructing AI models and managing growing workloads.

In the latest quarter, Nvidia’s data centre business saw a 427% increase in revenue from the previous year, reaching $22.6 billion and comprising approximately 86% of the company’s total sales.

Established in 1991, Nvidia initially focused on hardware, selling gaming chips for running 3D games. The company has also ventured into cryptocurrency mining chips and cloud gaming services.

However, in the last two years, Nvidia’s stock has soared as investors recognised its pivotal role in the AI boom, a trend that continues to accelerate. This surge has increased the net worth of co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang to an estimated $117 billion, ranking him as the 11th richest individual globally, according to Forbes.

But is the rise too fast and is it time for a share price valuation adjustment in its meteoric rise, to bring it back down to Earth?

Nvidia share price one year chart 18th June 2024

Nvidia share price one year chart 18th June 2024

Intel unveils new AI chips as it seeks to reclaim market share

Ai microchip

Intel announced its new Xeon 6 processors at the Computex tech conference in Taiwan on Tuesday 4th June 2024.

This announcement coincides with the recent launches of new artificial intelligence chips by rivals Nvidia and AMD on Sunday and Monday 2nd and 3rd June 2024 – as they compete for dominance in the rapidly growing industry.

Intel is making efforts to catch up with Nvidia and AMD, having been relatively absent from the AI surge that led tech giants such as Meta, Microsoft, and Google to purchase a significant number of Nvidia chips.

This comes half a year after Intel’s release of its 5th Gen Intel Xeon processors for data centre workloads and a couple of months following the announcement of the Gaudi 3 processor for AI model training and deployment.

Intel also disclosed that the Gaudi 2 and Gaudi 3 AI accelerators are priced lower than those of its competitors.

Furthermore, Intel shared architectural details of its forthcoming Lunar Lake processors, aimed at expanding the AI PC category. These processors, slated for release in the third quarter, are set to rival Nvidia’s and AMD’s offerings tailored for AI PCs.

While Nvidia and AMD focus on chip design, Intel stands out by both designing and manufacturing its chips. Nevertheless, Intel’s foundry business has faced challenges, with its operating loss widening to $7 billion in 2023 compared to the previous year.

AMD announces new chips amid intensifying AI competition

Artificial Intelligence chips

AMD announced new artificial intelligence chips on Monday 3rd June 2024, aiming to position itself as a leader in the market alongside competitors such as Nvidia and Intel.

“AI is our number one priority and we’re at the beginning of an incredibly exciting time for the industry as AI transforms virtually every business, improves our quality of life, and reshapes every part of the computing market,” chair and CEO Lisa Su reportedly commented during the Computex tech conference.

The company unveiled the Ryzen AI 300 series for next-generation AI laptops. The line is anticipated to compete directly with Intel’s upcoming Lunar Lake and Qualcomm’s Snapdragon X. And in partnership with Microsoft, these new AI chips will power laptops equipped with the tech giant’s AI chatbot Copilot.

AMD has unveiled the new Ryzen 9000 series for desktops, inferred as ‘the world’s fastest consumer PC processors’ for gaming and content creation.

The series is due for release in July 2024, following closely on the heels of AMD’s April announcement of new processors capable of running AI workloads – the Ryzen Pro 8040 for laptops and the Ryzen Pro 8000 for desktops.

AMD one year chart

AMD one year chart

Meta loses $200 billion in value despite good profits shown in latest figures

Stock down

Meta Platforms Inc. suffered a serious loss, witnessing its market value plummet by $200 billion.

The decline happened following the company’s first-quarter earnings call, during which CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted the company’s substantial investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the Metaverse, instead of concentrating on immediate revenue streams.

Despite a 27% increase in revenue to $36.46 billion and a net income that more than doubled to a $12.37 billion (rounded), investors were unsettled by the company’s projections for future expenses.

Shares dropped by 15.5% as Zuckerberg outlined expensive future projects, including the expansion of business messaging and the integration of ads into AI interactions.

Meta’s stock took a 15% hit in extended trading, bringing its market capitalization down to around $1.2 trillion, still a high valuation. This highlights the unpredictable nature of tech stocks, especially during significant, unmonetized product development stages.

Meta 1 day chart 24th April 2024

Meta 1 day chart 24th April 2024

Zuckerberg’s prioritization of long-term growth over immediate profits is a gamble, placing a bet on AI and the Metaverse to transform digital interactions.

This strategy carries considerable financial risks, as the recent market reaction has shown. Meta’s future now depends on the successful deployment and monetization of these cutting-edge technologies.

Meta’s new AI Chatbot has arrived

Meta announces new Chatbot assistant

Meta’s complimentary artificial intelligence (AI) assistant, known as Meta AI, is being introduced across its social media platforms, including WhatsApp, Instagram, Facebook, and Messenger.

The assistant is reportedly designed to respond to queries, craft animations, and produce ‘high-quality’ images, according to Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg in a recent video posting.

Zuckerberg also noted that the company has integrated ‘real-time knowledge’ from Google and Microsoft’s Bing to enhance the assistant’s responses.

The development of Meta AI is based on the company’s most advanced large language model, Meta Llama 3, which was unveiled on the same day – Thursday 18th April 2024.

EU launches probe into Meta, Apple and Alphabet

EU flag

On Monday, 25th March 2024, the European Union initiated its first investigation under the new Digital Markets Act, targeting Apple, Alphabet, and Meta for potential tech legislation breaches.

Statement

“Today, the Commission has opened non-compliance investigations under the Digital Markets Act (DMA) into Alphabet’s rules on steering in Google Play and self-preferencing on Google Search, Apple’s rules on steering in the App Store and the choice screen for Safari and Meta’s ‘pay or consent model” – the Commission said in a statement.

Magnificent 7 company profits now exceed almost every country in the world

Magnificent Seven market cap at $15 trillion

The Magnificent Seven, or MAMA ANT, is a term coined by Bank of America to describe the seven most dominant tech companies in the world

The Seven are: Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, and Alphabet. These companies have not only led the tech sector in terms of innovation, growth, and profitability, but have also become some of the most valuable entities in the world by market capitalization.

Valuation at $15 trillion

Market capitalization, or market cap, is the total value of all the shares of a company that are traded on the stock market. It reflects the market’s perception of the company’s future prospects and earnings potential. 

As of January 2023, the Magnificent Seven had a combined market cap of about $15 trillion, which was more than the gross domestic product (GDP) of almost every country in the world, except for the United States, China and Japan (just).

Magnificent Seven

The Magnificent Seven have achieved such a remarkable feat by leveraging their core competencies in various fields of technology, such as artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, social media, e-commerce, gaming, electric vehicles, and online advertising. They have also diversified their revenue streams by acquiring or developing new products and services, such as Activision Blizzard, AWS, Oculus, iPhone, GeForce, SpaceX, and YouTube. They have also benefited from the increased demand for digital solutions amid the Covid-19 pandemic, which accelerated the adoption of online platforms, remote work, and entertainment.

Challenges

However, the Magnificent Seven also face some challenges and risks that could threaten their dominance and valuation. These include increasing competition from other tech companies, especially from China, such as Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu, and Huawei.

They also face regulatory scrutiny and pressure from governments and consumers over issues such as antitrust, privacy, taxation, content moderation, and environmental impact. Furthermore, they may encounter technical difficulties, security breaches, or ethical dilemmas that could damage their reputation and customer trust.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Magnificent Seven are the most powerful and influential tech companies in the world, and their market cap surpasses that of almost every country in the world.

List of 10 countries by stock market capitalization

List of 10 countries by stock market capitalisation

The meteoric rise in the profits and market capitalisations of the Magnificent 7 U.S. tech giants: Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla – outstrip those of all listed companies in almost every G20 country. Of the non-U.S. G20 countries, only China and Japan (and the latter, only just) have greater profits when their listed companies are combined.

They have achieved this by exploiting their competitive advantages in various domains of technology and expanding their offerings and markets. However, they also need to overcome some challenges and risks that could hamper their growth and value in the future.

A forced size reduction to stop the monopolising of market share could help tame these beasts too and open up fairer competition.

Should we worry?

Basically, yes, we should be concerned about the size and dominance of these companies.

This level of wealth and power concentrated in just a handful of companies has led some analysts to voice concerns over related risks in the U.S. and global stock markets.

Economists and stock market analysts have cautioned that the U.S. stock market is rivalling 2000 and 1929 in terms of being at its most concentrated in history.

The rest is history…