Are we looking at an AI house of cards? Bubble worries emerge after Oracle blowout figures

AI Bubble?

There’s growing concern that parts of the AI boom—especially the infrastructure and monetisation frenzy—might be built on shaky foundations.

The term ‘AI house of cards’ is being used to describe deals like Oracle’s multiyear agreement with OpenAI, which has committed to buying $300 billion in computing power over five years starting in 2027.

That’s on top of OpenAI’s existing $100 billion in commitments, despite having only about $12 billion in annual recurring revenue. Analysts are questioning whether the math adds up, and whether Oracle’s backlog—up 359% year-over-year—is too dependent on a single customer.

Oracle’s stock surged 36%, then dropped 5% Friday as investors took profits and reassessed the risks.

Some analysts remain neutral, citing murky contract details and the possibility that OpenAI’s nonprofit status could limit its ability to absorb the $40 billion it raised earlier this year.

The broader picture? AI infrastructure spending is ballooning into the trillions, echoing the dot-com era’s early adoption frenzy. If demand doesn’t materialise fast enough, we could see a correction.

But others argue this is just the messy middle of a long-term transformation—where data centres become the new utilities

The AI infrastructure boom—especially the Oracle–OpenAI deal—is raising eyebrows because the financial and operational foundations look more speculative than solid.

Here’s why some analysts are calling it a potential house of cards

⚠️ 1. Mismatch Between Revenue and Commitments

  • OpenAI’s annual revenue is reportedly around $10–12 billion, but it’s committed to $300 billion in cloud spending with Oracle over five years.
  • That’s $60 billion per year, meaning OpenAI would need to grow revenue 5–6x just to break even on compute costs.
  • CEO Sam Altman projects $44 billion in losses before profitability in 2029.

🔌 2. Massive Energy Demands

  • The infrastructure needed to fulfill this contract requires electricity equivalent to two Hoover Dams.
  • That’s not just expensive—it’s logistically daunting. Data centres are planned across five U.S. states, but power sourcing and environmental impact remain unclear.
AI House of Cards Infographic

💸 3. Oracle’s Risk Exposure

  • Oracle’s debt-to-equity ratio is already 10x higher than Microsoft’s, and it may need to borrow more to meet OpenAI’s demands.
  • The deal accounts for most of Oracle’s $317 billion backlog, tying its future growth to a single customer.

🔄 4. Shifting Alliances and Uncertain Lock-In

  • OpenAI recently ended its exclusive cloud deal with Microsoft, freeing it to sign with Oracle—but also introducing risk if future models are restricted by AGI clauses.
  • Microsoft is now integrating Anthropic’s Claude into Office 365, signalling a diversification away from OpenAI.

🧮 5. Speculative Scaling Assumptions

  • The entire bet hinges on continued global adoption of OpenAI’s tech and exponential demand for inference at scale.
  • If adoption plateaus or competitors leapfrog, the infrastructure could become overbuilt—echoing the dot-com frenzy of the early 2000s.

Is this a moment for the AI frenzy to take a breather?

Databases to Dominance: Oracle’s AI Boom and Ellison’s Billionaire Ascent

Oracle

Oracle Corporation has just staged one of the most dramatic rallies in tech history—catapulting itself into the elite club of near-trillion-dollar companies and reshaping the billionaire leaderboard in the process.

Founded in 1977 by Larry Ellison, Oracle began as a modest database software firm. Its first major boom came in the late 1990s, riding the dot-com wave as enterprise software demand exploded.

By 2000, Oracle’s market cap had surged past $160 billion, making it one of the most valuable tech firms of the era.

A second wave of growth followed in the mid-2000s, fuelled by aggressive acquisitions like PeopleSoft and Sun Microsystems, which expanded Oracle’s footprint into enterprise applications and hardware.

Boom

But its most recent boom—triggered in 2025—is unlike anything before. Oracle’s pivot to cloud infrastructure and artificial intelligence has paid off spectacularly. In its fiscal Q1 2026 report, Oracle revealed $455 billion in remaining performance obligations (RPO), a staggering 359% increase year-over-year.

This backlog, driven by multi-billion-dollar contracts with AI giants like OpenAI, Meta, Nvidia, and xAI, sent shockwaves through Wall Street.

Despite missing revenue and earnings expectations slightly—$14.93 billion in revenue vs. $15.04 billion expected, and $1.47 EPS vs. $1.48 forecasted—the market responded with euphoria.

Oracle’s stock soared nearly 36% in a single day, adding $244 billion to its market cap and pushing it to approximately $922 billion. Analysts called it ‘absolutely staggering’ and ‘truly awesome’, with Deutsche Bank reportedly raising its price target to $335.

Oracle Infographic September 2025

This meteoric rise had personal consequences too. Larry Ellison, Oracle’s co-founder and current CTO, saw his net worth jump by over $100 billion in one day, briefly surpassing Elon Musk to become the world’s richest person.

His fortune reportedly peaked at around $397 billion, largely tied to his 41% stake in Oracle. Ellison’s journey—from college dropout to tech titan—is now punctuated by the largest single-day wealth gain ever recorded.

CEO Safra Catz also benefited, with her net worth rising by $412 million in just six hours of trading, bringing her total to $3.4 billion. Under her leadership, Oracle’s stock has risen over 800% since she became sole CEO in 2019.

Oracle’s forecast for its cloud infrastructure business is equally jaw-dropping: $18 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026, growing to $144 billion by 2030. If these projections hold, Oracle could soon join the trillion-dollar club alongside Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia.

From database pioneer to AI infrastructure powerhouse, Oracle’s evolution is a masterclass in strategic reinvention.

Oracle one-year chart 10th September 2025

Oracle one-year chart 10th September 2025

And with Ellison now at the summit of global wealth, the company’s narrative is no longer just about software—it’s about legacy, dominance, and the future of intelligent computing.

The bubble that thinks: Sam Altman’s AI paradox

AI Bubble?

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has never been shy about bold predictions. But his latest remarks strike a curious chord reportedly saying: ‘Yes, we’re in an AI bubble’.

‘And yes, AI is the most important thing to happen in a very long time’. It’s a paradox that feels almost ‘Altmanesque’—equal parts caution and conviction, like a person warning of a storm while building a lighthouse.

Altman’s reported bubble talk isn’t just market-speak. It’s a philosophical hedge against the frothy exuberance that’s gripped Silicon Valley and Wall Street alike.

With AI valuations soaring past dot-com levels, and retail investors piling into AI-branded crypto tokens and meme stocks, the signs of speculative mania are hard to ignore.

Even ChatGPT, OpenAI’s flagship product, boasts 1.5 billion monthly users—but fewer than 1% pay for it. That’s not a business model—it’s a popularity contest.

Yet Altman isn’t calling for a crash. He’s calling for clarity. His point is that bubbles form around kernels of truth—and AI’s kernel is enormous.

From autonomous agents to enterprise integration in law, medicine, and finance, the technology is reshaping workflows faster than regulators can blink.

Microsoft and Nvidia are pouring billions into infrastructure, not because they’re chasing hype, but because they see utility. Real utility.

Still, Altman’s warning is timely. The AI gold rush has spawned a legion of startups with dazzling demos and dismal revenue. This is likely the Dotcom ‘Esque’ reality – many will fail.

Many are burning cash at unsustainable rates, betting on future breakthroughs that may never materialise. Investors, Altman suggests, need to recalibrate—not abandon ship, but stop treating every chatbot as the next Google.

What makes Altman’s stance compelling is its duality. He’s not a doomsayer, nor a blind optimist. He’s a realist who understands that transformative tech often arrives wrapped in irrational exuberance. The internet had its crash before it changed the world. AI may follow suit.

So, is this a bubble? Yes. But it’s a bubble with brains. And if Altman’s lighthouse holds, it might just guide us through the fog—not to safety, but to something truly revolutionary.

In the meantime, investors would do well to remember hype inflates, but only utility sustains.

And Altman, ever the ‘paradoxical prophet’, seems to be betting on both.

China’s new AI model GLM-4.5 threatens DeepSeek – will it also threaten OpenAI?

China's AI

In a bold move reshaping the global AI landscape, Chinese startup Z.ai has launched GLM-4.5, an open-source model touted as cheaper, smaller, and more efficient than rivals like DeepSeek.

The announcement, made at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai, has sent ripples across the tech sector.

What sets GLM-4.5 apart is its lean architecture. Requiring just eight Nvidia H20 chips—custom-built to comply with U.S. export restrictions—it slashes operating costs dramatically.

By comparison, DeepSeek’s model demands nearly double the compute power, making GLM-4.5 a tantalising alternative for cost-conscious developers and enterprises.

But the savings don’t stop there. Z.ai revealed that it will charge just $0.11 per million input tokens and $0.28 per million output tokens. In contrast, DeepSeek R1 costs $0.14 for input and a hefty $2.19 for output, putting Z.ai firmly in the affordability lead.

Functionally, GLM-4.5 leverages ‘agentic’ AI—meaning it can deconstruct tasks into subtasks autonomously, delivering more accurate results with minimal human intervention.

This approach marks a shift from traditional logic-based models and promises smarter integration into coding, design, and editorial workflows.

Z.ai, formerly known as Zhipu, boasts an impressive funding roster including Alibaba, Tencent, and state-backed municipal tech funds.

With IPO ambitions on the horizon, its momentum mirrors China’s broader push to dominate the next wave of AI innovation.

While the U.S. has placed Z.ai on its entity list, stifling some Western partnerships, the firm insists it has adequate computing resources to scale.

As AI becomes a battleground for technological and geopolitical influence, GLM-4.5 may prove to be a powerful competitor.

But it has some way yet to go.

Microsoft joins Nvidia in the $4 trillion Market Cap club

Microdift and Nvidia only two companies in exclusive $4 trillion market cap club

In a landmark moment for the tech industry, Microsoft has officially joined Nvidia in the exclusive $4 trillion market capitalisation club, following a surge in its share price after stellar Q4 earnings.

This accolade achieved on 31st July 2025 marks a dramatic shift in the hierarchy of global tech giants, with Microsoft briefly overtaking Nvidia to become the world’s most valuable company. But for how long?

The rally was fuelled by Microsoft’s aggressive investment in artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure. Azure, its cloud platform, posted a 39% year-on-year revenue increase, surpassing $75 billion in annual sales.

The company’s Copilot AI tools, now boasting over 100 million monthly active users, have become central to its strategy, embedding generative AI across productivity software, development platforms, and enterprise services.

Microsoft’s transformation from a traditional software provider to an AI-first powerhouse has been swift and strategic. Its partnerships with OpenAI, Meta, and xAI, combined with over $100 billion in planned capital expenditure, signal a long-term commitment to shaping the future of AI utility.

While Nvidia dominates the hardware side of the AI revolution, Microsoft is staking its claim as the platform through which AI is experienced.

This milestone not only redefines Microsoft’s legacy—it redraws the map of pure tech power and reach the company has around the world.

This has been earned over decades of business commitment.

Wall Street surges: S&P 500 breaks 6300 as tech optimism outpaces tariff tensions

Record highs!

The S&P 500 closed above 6,300 for the first time in history on Monday 21st July 2025, while the Nasdaq Composite notched yet another record, finishing at 20,974.17.

Investor enthusiasm for upcoming tech earnings has eclipsed broader concerns over looming global tariffs, fuelling a rally in major indexes.

Despite marginal losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.38% while the S&P 500 climbed 0.14%, buoyed by gains in heavyweights like Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Amazon.

With over 60 S&P 500 companies having reported so far this earnings season, more than 85% have exceeded expectations, according to FactSet.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Comp at new record highs 21st July 2025

redo the charts side by side and correct the S&P 500 value
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Comp at new record highs 21st July 2025

Alphabet shares advanced over 2% ahead of Wednesday’s results, and Tesla headlines the ‘Magnificent Seven’ group expected to drive the bulk of earnings growth this quarter. And not necessarily for the right reason.

Analysts reportedly expect the group to deliver 14% growth year-on-year, far outpacing the remaining S&P constituents’ average of 3.4%.

S&P 500

Despite tariff tensions simmering — with the U.S. setting a 1st August deadline for levy enforcement — investor sentiment remains bullish.

Bank of America estimates Q2 earnings are tracking a 5% annual increase, suggesting resilience amid geopolitical headwinds.

Strategists warn of potential volatility, as earnings surprises or policy shifts could spark swift market reactions.

Still, some analysts see space for further upside, projecting a potential S&P climb to 6,600 before any meaningful pullback.

As the tech titans prepare to report, all eyes are on whether optimism can keep the rally alive — or if tariffs will return to centre stage.

From FANG stocks, MAG 7 stocks to AI – the tech titans just keep giving.

But when will it overload?

AMD Unveils Instinct MI400: is it time for AMD to challenge NVIDIA dominance?

AMD & NVIDIA chip go head-to-head

AMD has officially lifted the curtain on its next-generation AI chip, the Instinct MI400, marking a significant escalation in the battle for data centre dominance.

Set to launch in 2026, the MI400 is designed to power hyperscale AI workloads with unprecedented efficiency and performance.

Sam Altman and OpenAI have played a surprisingly hands-on role in AMD’s development of the Instinct MI400 series.

Altman appeared on stage with AMD CEO Lisa Su at the company’s ‘Advancing AI’ event, where he revealed that OpenAI had provided direct feedback during the chip’s design process.

Altman described his initial reaction to the MI400 specs as ‘totally crazy’ but expressed excitement at how close AMD has come to delivering on its ambitious goals.

He praised the MI400’s architecture – particularly its memory design – as being well-suited for both inference and training tasks.

OpenAI has already been using AMD’s MI300X chips for some workloads and is expected to adopt the MI400 series when it launches in 2026.

This collaboration is part of a broader trend: OpenAI, traditionally reliant on Nvidia GPUs via Microsoft Azure, is now diversifying its compute stack.

AMD’s open standards and cost-effective performance are clearly appealing, especially as OpenAI also explores its own chip development efforts with Broadcom.

AMD’s one-year chart snap-shot

One-year AMD chart snap-shot

So, while OpenAI isn’t ditching Nvidia entirely, its involvement with AMD signals a strategic shift—and a vote of confidence in AMD’s growing role in the AI hardware ecosystem.

At the heart of AMD’s strategy is the Helios rack-scale system, a unified architecture that allows thousands of MI400 chips to function as a single, massive compute engine.

This approach is tailored for the growing demands of large language models and generative AI, where inference speed and energy efficiency are paramount.

AMD technical power

The MI400 boasts a staggering 432GB of next-generation HBM4 memory and a bandwidth of 19.6TB/sec—more than double that of its predecessor.

With up to four Accelerated Compute Dies (XCDs) and enhanced interconnects, the chip delivers 40 PFLOPs of FP4 performance, positioning it as a formidable rival to Nvidia’s Rubin R100 GPU.

AMD’s open-source networking technology, UALink, replaces Nvidia’s proprietary NVLink, reinforcing the company’s commitment to open standards. This, combined with aggressive pricing and lower power consumption, gives AMD a compelling value proposition.

The company claims its chips can deliver 40% more AI tokens per dollar than Nvidia’s offerings.

Big tech follows AMD

OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle are among the major players already integrating AMD’s Instinct chips into their infrastructure. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, speaking at the launch event reportedly praised the MI400’s capabilities, calling it ‘an amazing thing‘.

With the AI chip market projected to exceed $500 billion by 2028, AMD’s MI400 is more than just a product—it’s a statement of intent. As the race for AI supremacy intensifies, AMD is betting big on performance, openness, and affordability to carve out a larger share of the future.

It certainly looks like AMD is positioning the Instinct MI400 as a serious contender in the AI accelerator space – and Nvidia will be watching closely.

The MI400 doesn’t just aim to catch up; it’s designed to challenge Nvidia head-on with bold architectural shifts and aggressive performance-per-dollar metrics.

Nvidia has long held the upper hand with its CUDA software ecosystem and dominant market share, especially with the popularity of its H100 and the upcoming Rubin GPU. But AMD is playing the long game.

Nvidia 0ne-year chart snapshot

Nvidia 0ne-year chart snapshot

By offering open standards like UALink and boasting impressive specs like 432GB of HBM4 memory and 40 PFLOPs of FP4 performance, the MI400 is pushing into territory that was once Nvidia’s alone.

Whether it truly rivals Nvidia will depend on a few key factors: industry adoption, software compatibility, real-world performance under AI workloads, and AMD’s ability to scale production and support.

But with major players like OpenAI, Microsoft, and Meta already lining up to adopt the MI400.

Is now a good time to invest in AMD?

Saudi Arabia to acquire 18000 Nvidia AI chips with more to follow

Nvidia AI

Saudi Arabia is making bold moves in artificial intelligence with a major acquisition from Nvidia.

The tech giant will be sending more than 18,000 of its latest GB300 Blackwell AI chips to Saudi-based company Humain, in a deal that marks a significant step toward the nation’s ambitions to become a global AI powerhouse.

The announcement was made by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang during the Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh, as part of a White House-led trip that included President Donald Trump and other top CEOs.

Humain, backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, aims to develop AI models and build data center infrastructure, with plans to eventually deploy several hundred thousand Nvidia GPUs

Humain, backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, plans to use the chips to develop large-scale AI models and establish cutting-edge data centers.

The chips will be deployed in a 500-megawatt facility, making it one of the largest AI computing projects in the region. Nvidia’s Blackwell AI chips are among the most advanced in the industry, used in training sophisticated AI models and powering data-intensive applications.

Saudi Arabia’s investment in AI technology aligns with its long-term vision of transforming its economy beyond traditional industries. With plans to expand its data infrastructure and deploy several hundred thousand Nvidia GPUs in the future, the country is positioning itself as a major AI hub in the Middle East.

As AI continues to shape global industries, Saudi Arabia’s investment signals a broader shift in how nations are competing for dominance in the AI revolution.

Nvidia’s involvement underscores the strategic importance of AI chips, not just in business, but in international relations as well.

OpenAI closes largest private tech deal on record

Tech deal

OpenAI on Monday 31st March 2025 announced it had closed its $40 billion funding round, the most ever raised by a private tech company.

The deal values OpenAI at $300 billion, including the new capital.

The round includes $30 billion from SoftBank and $10 billion from a syndicate of investors.

OpenAI is now more valuable than Chevron.

The generative AI market is projected to exceed $1 trillion in revenue within the next decade. Companies such as Google, Amazon, Anthropic, and Perplexity are rapidly unveiling new products and features as competition to develop ‘AI agents’ intensifies.

The future is AI!

U.S. tech giants are betting big on humanoid robots

Humanoid robots

U.S. tech giants are making bold strides in the development of humanoid robots, signalling a transformative shift in the robotics industry

Companies like Tesla, Google, Microsoft, and Nvidia are investing heavily in this cutting-edge technology, aiming to create machines that mimic human movement and behaviour.

These humanoid robots are envisioned to revolutionise industries ranging from manufacturing to healthcare, offering solutions to labor shortages and enhancing productivity.

Tesla’s Optimus project is a prime example of this ambition. CEO Elon Musk has announced plans to produce thousands of these robots, designed to perform repetitive and physically demanding tasks.

Optimus robots are expected to integrate seamlessly into factory settings, reducing the need for human intervention in hazardous environments.

Similarly, Boston Dynamics, known for its agile robots, continues to push the boundaries of what humanoid machines can achieve, focusing on tasks that require precision and adaptability.

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) is a driving force behind these advancements. AI enables robots to learn from their environments, adapt to new tasks, and interact with humans in more intuitive ways.

Companies like Nvidia are leveraging their expertise in AI and machine learning are helping to develop robots capable of complex decision-making and problem-solving.

However, challenges remain. High production costs, limited battery life, and safety concerns are significant hurdles that need to be addressed before humanoid robots can achieve widespread adoption.

Despite these obstacles, the potential benefits are immense. From assisting the elderly to performing intricate surgeries, humanoid robots could redefine the boundaries of human capability.

As U.S. tech giants continue to innovate, the race to dominate the humanoid robotics market intensifies.

Tesla Optimus Gen 2

With China and other nations also making significant investments, the competition is fierce. Analysts warn that U.S. firms could lose out to China, which aims to replicate its success with electric vehicles in the robotics space race.

The future of humanoid robots promises to be a fascinating blend of technology, creativity, and global collaboration

U.S. companies that may benefit from this AI humanoid tech advancement

Tesla: Known for its Optimus humanoid robot project, Tesla is pushing boundaries in robotics and AI.

Google (Alphabet): A leader in AI and robotics research, with projects aimed at enhancing humanoid capabilities.

Microsoft: Investing in AI technologies that support robotics and automation.

Nvidia: Provides advanced AI chips and systems crucial for humanoid robot development.

Boston Dynamics: Famous for its agile robots like Atlas, focusing on precision and adaptability.

Agility Robotics: Creator of Digit, a humanoid robot designed for logistics and manufacturing.

Meta (Facebook): Exploring humanoid robots for social and interactive applications.

Apple: Investing in robotics and AI for potential humanoid advancements.

Amazon: Developing robots like Astro for home monitoring and other tasks.

Figure AI: Innovating humanoid robots like Figure 02 for various industries.

Bill Gates on AI

Bill Gates has shared some fascinating insights about AI recently. He reportedly believes that within the next decade, AI will transform many industries, making specialised knowledge widely accessible.

For example, he predicts that AI could provide high-quality medical advice and tutoring, addressing global shortages of doctors and educators.

Gates has also described this shift as the ‘age of free intelligence,’ where AI becomes a commonplace tool integrated into everyday life. While he acknowledges the immense potential of AI to solve global challenges – like developing breakthrough treatments for diseases and innovative solutions for climate change – he also recognises the disruptive impact it could have on jobs and the workforce.

Despite these concerns, Gates remains optimistic about AI’s ability to drive innovation and improve lives.

He has emphasised that certain human activities, like playing sports or hosting talk shows, will likely remain uniquely human.

However, despite all these predictions from powerful tech leaders – it does beg the question, do these ultra rich CEOs predict the future, or simply make it?

What if Quantum Physics coincides and collides with the ‘full’ arrival of AI and humanoid robots

Quantum computing could enhance the capabilities of AI-powered robots by solving complex optimisation problems, improving machine learning algorithms, and enabling real-time decision-making.

For instance, robots equipped with quantum sensors could navigate intricate environments, detect subtle changes in their surroundings, and interact with humans in more intuitive ways.

This fusion could revolutionise industries such as healthcare, manufacturing, and space exploration. Imagine humanoid robots performing intricate surgeries with precision, managing large-scale logistics, or exploring distant planets with advanced problem-solving abilities.

However, this convergence also raises ethical and societal questions. The potential for such powerful technologies to disrupt industries, impact employment, and challenge privacy norms must be carefully managed.

Collaboration between scientists, policymakers, and ethicists will be crucial to ensure these advancements benefit humanity as a whole.

The intersection of quantum physics, AI, and humanoid robotics is not just a technological milestone – it’s a glimpse into a future where the boundaries of human capability and machine intelligence blur.

It’s an exciting, albeit complex future humans are creating.

But will AI surpass human intelligence – and if it does what then for the human civilisation?

Access videos of Tesla robots here

China’s position on open-source artificial intelligence (AI) is upending the global AI race

AI

China’s embrace of open-source artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionising the global AI landscape, challenging traditional notions of innovation and competitiveness in this rapidly evolving field.

Traditionally, the AI sector has been dominated by proprietary models and closed-source systems, particularly in the U.S.

However, China has made a strategic pivot towards open-source initiatives, driven by trailblazers like the AI startup DeepSeek.

DeepSeek’s R1 model, released earlier this year, has become a symbol of China’s open-source movement. Distributed under the permissive MIT licence, the R1 model allows unrestricted use, modification and distribution.

This approach has disrupted traditional business models by democratising access to cutting-edge AI tools. Companies from tech giants like Baidu and Tencent to emerging players like ManusAI have followed suit, releasing their own open-source models and fostering a collaborative environment for AI innovation.

This shift is seen by some as China’s ‘Android moment’ in AI – a reference to the impact of Google’s open-source Android operating system on the mobile app ecosystem.

The move towards open-source has enabled rapid cost reductions, increased accessibility, and accelerated product development. Chinese firms have leveraged these advantages to narrow the perceived technological gap with the U.S., with some analysts suggesting that the disparity has shrunk from years to mere months.

Despite these advancements, the open-source approach also raises questions about intellectual property, security, and sustainable business models.

While it has catalysed innovation, it remains to be seen whether open-source strategies can sustain long-term competitiveness against well-funded proprietary systems.

China’s open-source embrace exemplifies a bold shift in AI strategy, emphasizing collaboration and accessibility over exclusivity.

This paradigm shift could redefine global dynamics in artificial intelligence, fostering a more inclusive and innovative future for the industry.

China’s AI vs U.S. AI – competition heats up – and that’s good for business – isn’t it?

DeepSeek AI

The escalating AI competition between the U.S. and China has taken a new turn with the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that has introduced a low-cost AI model capable of rivaling the performance of OpenAI’s models.

This development has significant implications for data centres and the broader technology sector.

The rise of DeepSeek

DeepSeek’s recent breakthrough involves the development of two AI models, V3 and R1, which have been created at a fraction of the cost compared to their Western counterparts.

The total training cost for these models is estimated at around $6 million, significantly lower than the billions spent by major U.S. tech firms. This has challenged the prevailing assumption that developing large AI models requires massive financial investments and access to cutting-edge hardware.

Impact on data centres

The introduction of cost-effective AI models like those developed by DeepSeek could lead to a shift in how data centers operate.

Traditional AI models require substantial computational power and energy, leading to high operational costs for data centers. DeepSeek’s models, which are less energy-intensive, could reduce these costs and make AI technology more accessible to a wider range of businesses and organizations.

Technological advancements

DeepSeek’s success also highlights the potential for innovation in AI without relying on the most advanced hardware.

This could encourage other companies to explore alternative approaches to AI development, fostering a more diverse and competitive landscape. Additionally, the open-source nature of DeepSeek’s models promotes collaborative innovation, allowing developers worldwide to customise and improve upon these models2.

Competitive dynamics

The competition between DeepSeek and OpenAI underscores the broader U.S.-China rivalry in the AI space. While DeepSeek’s models pose a limited immediate threat to well-funded U.S. AI labs, they demonstrate China’s growing capabilities in AI innovation.

This competition could drive both countries to invest more in AI research and development, leading to faster technological advancements and more robust AI applications.

Broader implications

The rise of DeepSeek and similar Chinese and other AI startups could have far-reaching implications for the global technology sector.

As AI becomes increasingly integrated into various industries, the ability to develop and deploy AI models efficiently will be crucial.

Data centres will need to adapt to these changes, potentially investing in more energy-efficient infrastructure and exploring new ways to support AI workloads.

Where from here?

DeepSeek’s emergence as a significant player in the AI race highlights the dynamic nature of technological competition between the U.S. and China.

While the immediate impact on data centres and technology may be limited, the long-term implications could be profound.

As AI continues to evolve, the ability to innovate cost-effectively and collaborate across borders will be key to driving progress and maintaining competitiveness in the global technology landscape.

Musk’s xAI releases new Grok 3 AI

xAI Grok AI

Elon Musk’s AI company, xAI, has recently released its latest AI model, Grok 3.

This new AI model is designed to be significantly more powerful and capable than its predecessor, Grok 2.
  • Enhanced Capabilities: Grok 3 boasts 10 times more computing power than Grok 2 and has been trained on an expanded dataset, including court case filings.
  • Reasoning Models: Grok 3 includes reasoning models that can carefully analyze and fact-check information before providing responses. This helps in avoiding common pitfalls of AI models.
  • Benchmark Performance: Grok 3 has outperformed other leading AI models, including OpenAI’s GPT-4o and DeepSeek’s R1, on various benchmarks such as AIME (math questions) and GPQA (physics, biology, chemistry problems).
  • New Features: The Grok app now includes a ‘DeepSearch’ feature that scans the internet and xAI’s social network, X, to provide summarised responses to user queries.
  • Subscription Plans: xAI has introduced a new subscription plan called SuperGrok, which offers additional reasoning capabilities and unlimited image generation.

Grok 3 is being hailed as the ‘smartest AI on Earth’ by Musk, and it’s expected to have a significant impact on various industries.

Definition

Grok is a neologism (a newly coined word or expression), referenced by Robert A. Heinlein for his 1961 science fiction novel Stranger in a Strange Land. It means to understand something so deeply that you become one with it.

Grok is a term used in computer programming to mean to ‘profoundly understand something‘, such as a system, a language, or an algorithm.

Less woke

Grok, the company previously reportedly said, is modelled on ‘The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy’. 

It is supposed to have ‘a bit of wit, a rebellious streak’ and it should answer the ‘spicy questions’ that other AI might dodge, according to a statement from xAI.

I wonder if it has been modelled on Elon Musk?

Chinese tech giant Baidu to release next-generation AI model soon as DeepSeek leads Chinese AI tech

AI

China’s Baidu reportedly plans to release the next generation of its artificial intelligence model in the second half of this year, according to information recently reported.

The planned update comes as Chinese companies race to develop innovative AI models to compete with OpenAI and other U.S. based companies.

Baidu was the first major Chinese tech company to roll out a ChatGPT-like chatbot called Ernie in March 2023.

However, despite initial momentum, the product has since been eclipsed by other Chinese chatbots from large tech companies such as Alibaba and ByteDance, as well as startups.

BYD shares hit record as the EV maker rolls out advanced driver tech with DeepSeek’s AI assistance

BYD with DeepSeek AI (fictitious image)

Shares of BYD, the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) giant, surged to a record high on Tuesday 11th February 2025, following the announcement of its new driver assistance technology.

The company revealed its latest ‘DiPilot’ assisted driving system, which integrates artificial intelligence (AI) from Chinese startup DeepSeek.

This move is expected to significantly enhance the driving experience and safety features of BYD’s vehicles.

BYD’s founder and chairman, Wang Chuanfu, announced the launch of the DiPilot system at a livestreamed event, emphasizing that advanced smart driving will become a standard safety feature, akin to seatbelts and airbags (time will tell on that statement).

The system includes features such as remote parking and autonomous highway navigation. These features reportedly are being integrated into over 20 models. Budget-friendly options priced below 70,000 yuan ($9,555) will also have the system.

DeepSeek AI integration

The integration of DeepSeek’s AI technology is a game-changer for BYD. DeepSeek, known for its innovative chatbot that rivals U.S. competitors such as OpenAI and others brings high-quality AI capabilities to BYD’s autonomous driving systems.

This partnership allows BYD to offer advanced intelligent features at a competitive price, putting it ahead of its rivals in the fiercely competitive Chinese EV market.

Analysts have praised BYD’s strategic shift from price-cutting to upgrading vehicle functions and have noted that BYD is now dictating the pace of technological features in the market.

The company’s stock rose by 4.5% to a record high in Hong Kong, reflecting investor optimism about the new technology.

BYD’s move to integrate advanced driver assistance systems into budget models is expected to intensify the EV price war. The company’s aggressive pricing strategy, combined with cutting-edge technology, positions it well to capture a larger market share.

With more than 20 models featuring the new driver assistance tech, BYD is set to lead the way in smart vehicle innovation.

As BYD continues to expand its presence globally, the integration of DeepSeek’s AI technology marks a significant milestone in the company’s journey towards becoming a leader in the EV industry.

The future looks promising for BYD as it continues to innovate and push the boundaries of automotive technology.

One Year BYD charts as of 11th February 2025

One Year BYD charts as of 11th February 2025

Is Nvidia share price at risk as DeepSeek creates an alternative lower cost AI direction?

China and U.S. AI

Nvidia’s share price has been on a rollercoaster ride recently. After experiencing a significant drop due to concerns over the Chinese startup DeepSeek’s AI models, Nvidia’s stock saw a sharp recovery.

On Tuesday 28th January 2025 Nvidia shares ended 8.82% higher at $128.86 on Nasdaq, following a 17% drop the previous day.

However, there are mixed opinions about the potential for more downside. Some analysts believe that Nvidia’s stock still looks weak on the technical charts and may face further declines.

Some analysts suggest that Nvidia shares may trade in the range of $105 to $135 and recommend a ‘sell on rise’ strategy. Some also pointed out signs of technical deterioration, suggesting that Nvidia’s stock may be entering an intermediate-term corrective phase.

On the other hand, some investors are optimistic about Nvidia’s long-term growth prospects, especially with its strong fundamentals and continued advancements in AI technology.

The market remains dynamic, and the stock’s performance will likely depend on various factors, including broader market trends and developments in the AI industry.

Nvidia meteoric will likely change dramatically when face with an alternative AI chip manufacturer.

Doubt cast

DeepSeek, has made significant advancements in AI technology. There are claims and speculations that DeepSeek may have used some U.S. technology to enhance its capabilities.

For instance, it was reported that DeepSeek acquired a substantial number of Nvidia’s high-performance A100 graphics processor chips before the U.S. imposed restrictions on their sales to China. Additionally, there have been allegations that DeepSeek copied some technology developed by U.S. rival OpenAI.

However, these are unfounded claims and it’s important to point out that DeepSeek has also been praised for its innovation and efficiency, developing AI models at a fraction of the cost compared to leading U.S. tech companies.

This may even aid Nvidia as it could drive the cost of AI down bringing it to a wider audience more quickly thus enhancing Nvidia’s future sales.

The aftermath from the arrival of Deepseek

Deepseek AI

Nvidia, the renowned American technology company, recently experienced the largest one-day loss in U.S. history. On January 27, 2025, Nvidia’s stock plummeted by 17%, resulting in a staggering market cap loss of nearly $600 billion.

This unprecedented drop was primarily triggered by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup that has been making waves in the tech industry.

DeepSeek, founded in 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, has developed open-source large language models that rival some of the best AI models in the world. The company’s latest model, DeepSeek-V3, has demonstrated impressive performance at a fraction of the cost of its competitors.

This has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of Nvidia’s dominance in the AI chip market.

The release of DeepSeek’s latest technology has caused significant anxiety among U.S. tech giants, leading to a massive sell-off in the stock market. Companies that rely heavily on Nvidia’s GPUs, such as Dell, Oracle, and Super Micro Computer, also saw their stock prices plummet.

The ripple effect of Nvidia’s loss was felt across the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which dropped by 3.1% on the same day.

Nvidia one-month chart 27th January 2025

In response to this market upheaval, former President Donald Trump commented on the situation, stating that DeepSeek’s emergence should serve as a ‘wake-up call’ for American companies.

Trump emphasised the need for U.S. industries to remain competitive and innovative in the face of rising competition from Chinese tech firms. He acknowledged the impressive advancements made by DeepSeek and suggested that American companies could benefit from adopting more cost-effective methods in their AI development.

Trump’s remarks highlight the growing concern among U.S. policymakers and industry leaders about the rapid advancements in AI technology coming from China.

The success of DeepSeek has demonstrated that significant breakthroughs can be achieved with relatively modest investments, challenging the notion that massive capital expenditure is necessary for top-tier AI performance.

As the AI race continues to heat up, it is clear that companies like Nvidia will need to adapt and innovate to maintain their competitive edge. The emergence of DeepSeek has not only disrupted the market but also underscored the importance of staying ahead in the rapidly evolving field of artificial intelligence.

For American tech giants, this wake-up call serves as a reminder that the global AI landscape is becoming increasingly competitive, and complacency is not an option.

Has the U.S. spent wisely on AI development?

The emergence of DeepSeek has indeed raised questions about the spending strategies of U.S. tech companies on AI development. DeepSeek’s ability to develop high-performing AI models at a fraction of the cost has led to concerns about the necessity of the massive capital expenditures by large U.S. tech firms.

For instance, companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon have collectively spent over $1 trillion on AI investments in recent years. This significant spending has been driven by the belief that larger models and more computing power would lead to better performance.

However, DeepSeek’s success with more cost-effective methods challenges this notion and suggests that efficient innovation might be more important than sheer scale.

The impressive performance and lower costs of DeepSeek’s models have prompted some analysts to question whether the billions of dollars spent by U.S. tech companies on AI development are justified. This has led to a re-evaluation of AI spending strategies and a push for more efficient and innovative approaches to AI development.

In summary, while U.S. tech companies have invested heavily in AI, the success of DeepSeek highlights the potential for achieving cutting-edge results with fewer resources. This has sparked a broader discussion about the most effective and efficient ways to advance AI technology.

Asking ChatGPT – ‘Do you see Deepseek as a competitor or a threat?’

The reply:

As an AI, I don’t have personal opinions or feelings. However, I can share that DeepSeek’s rapid rise and impressive performance in the AI field are noteworthy. Their ability to develop high-performing models at a lower cost is a significant achievement and has certainly shaken up the industry. It’s a reminder of the dynamic and competitive nature of the AI landscape, where innovation can come from unexpected places.

Asking ChatGPT – ‘What do you think of Deepseek?’

The reply:

DeepSeek is a fascinating and disruptive player in the AI landscape. Founded in 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, this Chinese startup has quickly gained attention for its open-source large language models, which rival some of the best AI models in the world at a fraction of the cost. Their latest models, DeepSeek-V3 and DeepSeek-R1, have demonstrated impressive performance and efficiency, challenging the dominance of established tech giants2.

DeepSeek’s emergence has caused significant market upheaval, leading to substantial drops in the stock prices of major AI-related firms, including Nvidia. The company’s success highlights the potential for innovation and cost-effectiveness in AI development, which has prompted industry leaders and policymakers to re-evaluate their strategies.

Overall, DeepSeek’s rapid rise and impact on the AI industry underscore the importance of staying competitive and innovative in this fast-evolving field. It’s a reminder that breakthroughs can come from unexpected places and that the AI landscape is becoming increasingly dynamic and competitive.

It would not be drawn on these questions but, one thing is for sure the U.S. has spent billions developing their systems and charge fortunes for using it.

This is about to change.

And further…

The Deepseek website reportedly crashed on 27th January 2025 due to heavy global demand. There were also reports of unrelenting cyberattacks on its systems…?

Curious. From minnow to centre stage in just one day!

China’s DeepSeek low-cost challenger to AI rattles tech U.S. markets

China Deepseek AI

U.S. technology stocks plunged as Chinese startup DeepSeek sparked concerns over competitiveness in AI and America’s lead in the sector, triggering a global sell-off

DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large-language model in late December 2024, claiming it was developed in just two months at a cost of under $6 million.

The developments have stoked concerns about the large amounts of money big tech companies have been investing in AI models and data centres.

DeepSeek is a Chinese artificial intelligence startup that has recently gained significant attention in the AI world. Founded in 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, DeepSeek develops open-source large language models. The company is funded by High-Flyer, a hedge fund also founded by Wenfeng.

The AI models from DeepSeek have demonstrated impressive performance, rivaling some of the best chatbots in the world at a fraction of the cost. This has caused quite a stir in the tech industry, leading to significant drops in the stock prices of major AI-related firms.

The company’s latest model, DeepSeek-V3, is known for its efficiency and high performance across various benchmarks.

DeepSeek’s emergence challenges the notion that massive capital expenditure is necessary to achieve top-tier AI performance.

The company’s success has led to a re-evaluation of the AI market and has put pressure on other tech giants to innovate and reduce costs.

Trump announces massive U.S. AI investment backed by Oracle, OpenAI and Softbank

U.S. AI investment

President Donald Trump announced a joint venture with OpenAI, Oracle and Softbank to invest billions of dollars in artificial intelligence infrastructure in the U.S.

The project, dubbed Stargate, was unveiled at the White House by Trump, Softbank CEO Masayoshi Son, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison.

The executives committed to invest an initial $100 billion and up to $500 billion over the next four years in the project, which will be set up as a separate company.

Softbank’s Son had reportedly already promised a four-year, $100-billion investment when he recently visited then-President-elect Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort.

And this new AI investment is over and above the investments from the likes of Microsoft, Google, Apple, Anthropic and many others already in progress.

The UK is planning to build a homegrown artificial intelligence rival to OpenAI

UK AI

In a bold move to establish as a global leader in artificial intelligence, the United Kingdom is undertaking an ambitious initiative to develop a homegrown competitor to OpenAI.

This initiative is part of a broader strategy to enhance the nation’s computing infrastructure and foster innovation in AI technology.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s administration has committed to increasing the UK’s ‘sovereign’ computing capacity by twentyfold by 2030. This significant investment aims to support the development of powerful AI models that rely on high-performance computing equipment.

The government plans to expand data centre capacity across the country, providing the necessary infrastructure for AI developers to train and run their systems effectively.

AI Opportunities Action Plan

Central to this initiative is the AI Opportunities Action Plan, spearheaded by tech investor Matt Clifford. The plan outlines a comprehensive approach to harnessing the potential of AI, including the establishment of AI growth zones where planning permission rules will be relaxed to facilitate the creation of new data centers.

These zones are expected to become hubs of innovation, attracting both domestic and international talent to the UK.

The government is also set to launch the AI Research Resource, an initiative aimed at bolstering the UK’s computing infrastructure. This resource will provide access to high-performance computing facilities, enabling researchers and developers to work on cutting-edge AI projects.

Additionally, the establishment of a National Data Library will connect public institutions, such as universities, to enhance the country’s ability to create sovereign AI models.

Funding challenge

One of the key challenges facing the UK in its bid to rival OpenAI is funding. While the government has pledged substantial investments, many entrepreneurs and venture capitalists in the country have highlighted the difficulties in raising the kind of capital available to AI startups in the U.S. To address this, the government has secured commitments from leading tech firms, which have pledged £14 billion towards various AI projects.

This includes significant investments in data centers and the creation of thousands of AI-related jobs across the country.

UK AI sovereignty

The UK’s focus on AI sovereignty is driven by the belief that technologies critical to economic growth and national security should be developed within the country. This approach aims to reduce reliance on foreign tech giants and ensure that AI advancements align with national interests and ethical standards.

The government is also exploring the role of renewable and low-carbon energy sources, such as nuclear, to power the data centers that will support AI development.

Despite the ambitious plans, the UK faces several hurdles in its quest to become a global AI leader. The country’s risk-averse investment culture and the competitive landscape of AI development pose significant challenges.

However, the government’s proactive approach and the support of industry leaders provide a strong foundation for success.

Initiative and challenge

The UK’s initiative to build a homegrown rival to OpenAI represents a significant step towards establishing itself as a global leader in artificial intelligence.

By investing in computing infrastructure, fostering innovation, and securing industry support, the UK aims to create a thriving AI ecosystem that can compete on the world stage. While challenges remain, the commitment to AI sovereignty and the strategic vision outlined in the AI Opportunities Action Plan offer a promising path forward for the nation’s AI ambitions.

Sold – the UK needs to protect its future and not sell the silver… again

Over the years, the UK has seen several of its tech companies sold off to foreign investors.

  1. ARM Holdings: Perhaps the most famous example, ARM Holdings, a leading semiconductor and software design company, was acquired by Japan’s SoftBank Group in 2016 for £24.3 billion. ARM’s technology is used in the majority of smartphones worldwide.
  2. DeepMind: In 2014, Google acquired DeepMind, a UK-based AI company known for its advancements in machine learning and neural networks, for around £400 million. DeepMind has since become a key part of Google’s AI research efforts.
  3. Imagination Technologies: This British GPU and AI processing company was sold to Canyon Bridge Capital Partners, a private equity fund backed by Chinese state-owned China Reform Fund Management, in 2017 for £550 million. Recently, Imagination Technologies has been put up for sale again.
  4. Autonomy Corporation: Acquired by Hewlett-Packard (HP) in 2011 for $11.7 billion. The deal later became controversial due to allegations of financial mismanagement
  5. Powa Technologies: This mobile payments company faced financial difficulties and was sold off in parts after going into administration in 2016. PowaTag was sold to a consortium led by businessman Ben White, while Powa Web was sold in a management buyout backed by Greenlight Digital.

One to keep

Raspberry Pi Holdings plc, the parent company behind the iconic Raspberry Pi computer series, is a British technology business focused on designing and manufacturing single-board computers and modules. The company was founded by Eben Upton and is headquartered in Cambridge, England1.

As of the latest information, the largest shareholder of Raspberry Pi Holdings is the Raspberry Pi Foundation, which holds around 49% of the company. Other notable shareholders include Arm Holdings plc, Lansdowne Partners (UK) LLP, and the Raspberry Pi Employee Benefit Trust. The company went public on the London Stock Exchange in June 2024.

Raspberry Pi Holdings continues to innovate and expand its product offerings, maintaining its mission to make computing accessible and affordable for everyone.

These sales reflect the global interest in UK tech companies and the challenges they face in securing domestic investment to remain independent. The UK’s tech sector continues to be a hotbed of innovation, attracting significant attention from international investors.

The UK needs to nurture and keep its upcoming new tech discoveries, AI or otherwise – to protect the future of Britain.

We have the knowhow – we just need to keep it!

UK wants to control its own AI direction – suggesting a divergence from the EU and U.S.

UK tech

The UK is charting its own course when it comes to regulating artificial intelligence, signaling a potential divergence from the approaches taken by the United States and the European Union. This move is part of a broader strategy to establish the UK as a global leader in AI technology.

UK AI framework

Britain’s minister for AI and digital government, Feryal Clark, emphasised the importance of the UK developing its own regulatory framework for AI.

She highlighted the government’s strong relationships with AI companies like OpenAI and Google DeepMind, which have voluntarily opened their models for safety testing. Prime Minister Keir Starmer echoed these sentiments, stating that the UK now has the freedom to regulate AI in a way that best suits its national interests following Brexit.

Unlike the EU, which has introduced comprehensive, pan-European legislation aimed at harmonising

AI rules across the bloc, the UK has so far refrained from enacting formal laws to regulate AI.

Instead, it has deferred to individual regulatory bodies to enforce existing rules on businesses developing and using AI. This approach contrasts with the EU’s risk-based regulation and the U.S.’s patchwork of state and local frameworks.

Labour Party Plan

During the Labour Party’s election campaign, there was a commitment to introducing regulations focusing on ‘frontier’ AI models, such as large language models like OpenAI’s GPT. However, the UK government has yet to confirm the details of proposed AI safety legislation, opting instead to consult with the industry before formalising any rules.

The UK’s AI Opportunities Action Plan, endorsed by tech entrepreneur Matt Clifford, outlines a comprehensive strategy to harness AI for economic growth.

The plan includes recommendations for scaling up AI capabilities, establishing AI growth zones, and creating a National Data Library to support AI research and innovation. The government has committed to implementing these recommendations, aiming to build a robust AI infrastructure and foster a pro-innovation regulatory environment.

Despite the ambitious plans, some industry leaders have expressed concerns about the lack of clear rules. Sachin Dev Duggal, CEO of AI startup Builder.ai, reportedly warned that proceeding without clear regulations could be ‘borderline reckless’.

He reportedly highlighted the need for the UK to leverage its data to build sovereign AI capabilities and create British success stories.

The UK’s decision to ‘do its own thing’ on AI regulation reflects its desire to tailor its approach to national interests and foster innovation.

While this strategy offers flexibility, it also presents challenges in terms of providing clear guidance and ensuring regulatory certainty for businesses. As the UK continues to develop its AI regulatory framework, it will be crucial to balance innovation with safety and public trust

Google releases the first of its Gemini 2.0 AI models

Google AI

Google released the first version of its Gemini 2.0 family of artificial intelligence models in December 2024

Gemini 2.0 Flash, as the model is named is available in a chat version for users worldwide, while experimental multimodal version of the model, with text-to-speech image generation capabilities, available to developers.

‘If Gemini 1.0 was about organising and understanding information, Gemini 2.0 is about making it much more useful,’ Google CEO Sundar Pichai reportedly said in a statement.

Google’s latest large language model surpasses its predecessors in most user request areas, including code generation and the ability to provide factually accurate responses. However, it falls short compared to Gemini1.5 Pro when it comes evaluating longer contexts.

To access the chat-optimized version of the experimental Flash 2.0, Gemini users can select from the drop-down menu on both desktop and mobile web platforms. According to the company it will soon be available on the Gemini mobile app.

The multimodal version of Gemini Flash .0 will be accessible through Google’s AI Studio and Vertex AI developer platforms.

The general availability of Gemini 2.0 Flash’s multimodal version is scheduled for January, along with additional Gemini 2.0 model sizes, Google announced. The company also plans to expand Gemini 20 to more Google products in early 2025.

Gemini 2.0 signifies Google’s latest efforts in the increasingly competitive AI industry. Google is competing with major tech rivals such as Microsoft and Meta, as well as startups like OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Anthropic, which developed Claude.

In addition to new Flash, other research prototypes are aimed at developing more ‘agentic’ AI models and experiences. According to the company, agentic models ‘can understand more about the world around you, think multiple steps ahead, and take action on your behalf, with your supervision’.

Apple launches its Apple Intelligence – ChatGPT integration with Siri

Apple Intelligence

Apple has finally rolled out updates for iPhone on Wednesday 11th December 2024, iPad, and Mac software, featuring the highly anticipated ChatGPT integration with Siri.

The integration is activated when Siri is posed with complex questions. If a question is deemed more suitable for ChatGPT by Apple’s software, Siri will request user consent to utilise the OpenAI service. Apple has incorporated privacy safeguards into this feature, ensuring that OpenAI does not retain any requests. This integration employs the GPT-4o model from OpenAI.

No OpenAI account is necessary for Apple users to engage with the ChatGPT feature, although Apple offers paid upgrades for ChatGPT. Additionally, ChatGPT can be accessed via certain text menus.

The launch of iOS 18.2 marks a pivotal point for Apple, which is banking on Apple Intelligence to spearhead the marketing for its iPhone 16 series. Apple Intelligence encompasses a range of artificial intelligence capabilities. The ChatGPT integration was initially revealed in June 2024.

The inaugural segment of Apple Intelligence was introduced in October 2024, including text editing tools capable of proofreading or rephrasing, a revamped Siri interface that illuminates the entire phone screen, and a summary of notifications.

Next year, Apple plans to introduce a further update to Apple Intelligence, promising substantial enhancements to Siri that will enable it to perform tasks within apps.

Many investors are of the opinion that the addition of features to Apple Intelligence will enhance iPhone sales, initiate an upgrade cycle, and possibly establish Apple as a frontrunner in consumer AI.

This integration marks a significant triumph for OpenAI by showcasing its flagship product to millions of iPhone users. The financial details of the partnership between Apple and OpenAI remain undisclosed.

To install and utilise Apple Intelligence, users must have an iPhone 15, iPhone 15 Pro, or any iPhone 16 model, despite the fact that ChatGPT integration mainly operates on cloud servers – iPhone owners can enable software updates in the General tab of the Settings app.

Upon updating to the newest Apple software, users will be prompted to configure Apple Intelligence. Their devices will have to download substantial files, including Apple’s AI models, which are necessary for the service’s functionality.

The updates also bring Apple’s image creation app, named Playground, which generates images from people’s descriptions or prompts, and Image Wand, a tool that lets users edit out objects or imperfections from photos.

Apple finally issue a version of AI – not just any AI but Apple Intelligence, whatever that really means.

Nvidia beats on Q3 earnings but shares still slide

Next generation AI chips

Is Nvidia competing with itself now?

Nvidia third-quarter earnings beat expectations, but shares dropped 2.5% in extended trading.

The company’s revenue surged 94% year on year to $35.08 billion in the quarter ended 27th October 2024.

Net income climbed 109% from a year ago to $19.3 billion. Sales of Nvidia’s next-generation chip Blackwell, will be limited by supply, not demand, the company reportedly said.

Nvidia didn’t disappoint in terms of third-quarter revenue and net income, but it wasn’t enough for Wall Street. The forecast for the fourth quarter indicates a year-over-year growth of approximately 70%, marking a deceleration from the 265% growth experienced in the corresponding period the previous year.

Nvidia has emerged as the main beneficiary of the current artificial intelligence surge. Its shares have almost tripled in 2024, positioning it as the most valuable publicly traded company.

Numerous end-customers of Nvidia, including Microsoft, Oracle, and OpenAI, have begun receiving the company’s latest AI chip, known as Blackwell.

Nvidia one-year share price chart as of 20th November 2024

Nvidia one-year share price chart

The share price decline appears to be due to reserved guidance for Q4, with Nvidia’s management anticipating supply challenges for its next-generation Blackwell GPU. Investors were hoping for a more optimistic forecast, but the cautious outlook was disappointing.

It’s interesting to see how even strong earnings can sometimes lead to a drop in share prices if the future outlook doesn’t meet investor expectations.

Why has Sumsung fallen behind in the AI boom?

A Cartoon AI chip

Samsung’s struggle in the AI race

Samsung, previously a powerhouse in the semiconductor industry, has encountered significant hurdles in the AI competition, leading to a notable decline in market value. The company’s faltering stance can be attributed to a variety of factors, such as strategic errors, fierce competition, and swift technological progress in the AI field.

Missteps

A key factor in Samsung’s downturn in the AI sector is its insufficient investment in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) technology, which is vital for AI applications due to its ability to expedite data processing and enhance performance.

Although Samsung was once at the forefront of memory technology, it did not leverage the increasing demand for HBM, thus ceding ground to competitors such as SK Hynix. SK Hynix made significant investments in HBM and forged a robust partnership with Nvidia, an influential entity in the AI domain.

Competition

The AI sector is fiercely competitive, featuring key companies such as Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft, which are making substantial advancements in AI technology. Nvidia has notably become a frontrunner with its GPUs, crucial for AI training. Samsung’s struggle to match these developments has resulted in a decline in both market share and revenue.

Rapid technological advancements

The swift advancement of technology in the AI sector has presented challenges for Samsung. The company’s emphasis on conventional memory technology did not fully prepare it for the transition to AI-centric applications. With the rise of AI applications such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT, the need for sophisticated memory solutions surged, highlighting Samsung’s insufficient investment in High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) as a notable shortcoming.

Financial implications

Samsung’s difficulties in the AI sector have significantly affected its finances. The company has seen a reported loss of around $122 billion in market value since July 2024, marking the most substantial drop among global chipmakers. This decline is largely due to Samsung’s challenges in adapting to the evolving AI industry and competing with its rivals.

Prospects

Despite facing challenges, Samsung is actively striving to advance in the AI domain. The company has recently introduced its next-generation Bixby AI, which utilizes large language model technology, positioning it to better contend with competitors such as ChatGPT and Google Gemini.

Additionally, Samsung is cultivating its proprietary AI model, named Samsung Gauss, with the goal of augmenting device functionality and elevating the consumer experience.

Samsung’s lag in the AI sector is due to strategic errors, fierce competition, and swift technological progress. Despite considerable financial setbacks, the company is vigorously pursuing new AI initiatives and investments to recover its standing in the industry.

The path forward is fraught with challenges, yet Samsung’s commitment to innovation and adaptation could enable it to regain its status as a frontrunner in the AI domain.

Microsoft and Meta both indicate future AI spending will cut into next quarter profits

Microsoft and AI

Microsoft’s significant investment in OpenAI is impacting its earnings – 30th October 2024

The company reportedly indicated, following the quarterly earnings report, that Microsoft anticipates a $1.5 billion reduction in income for the current period, primarily due to projected losses from OpenAI.

Microsoft’s nearly $14 billion investment in OpenAI, the creator of the widely popular ChatGPT assistant, has catalysed the emergence of the generative artificial intelligence industry, leading to billions in new revenue for Microsoft.

Despite this, OpenAI is experiencing substantial financial losses. It is projected to incur $5 billion in losses this year, excluding stock-based compensation, against $4 billion in revenue, according to reports from earlier this month.

Microsoft’s stock declined following weaker-than-expected revenue guidance, despite exceeding earnings expectations.

The company’s revenue reportedly increased by 16% in the fiscal first quarter, outpacing analyst predictions.

Earnings from Azure and other cloud services reportedly rose by 33%, exceeding forecasts.

Nevertheless, the projected revenue growth did not meet analyst expectations.

Meta

Meta’s third-quarter earnings report, released on Wednesday 30th October 2024, disclosed user numbers that fell short of expectations.

The company reported $3.29 billion daily active users for the quarter, marking a 5% increase from the previous year but still below the anticipated $3.31 billion by analysts.

Meta also projected a substantial increase in capital expenditures for 2025.

Additionally, Meta indicated a significant rise in AI spending for 2025.