Nvidia beats on Q3 earnings but shares still slide

Next generation AI chips

Is Nvidia competing with itself now?

Nvidia third-quarter earnings beat expectations, but shares dropped 2.5% in extended trading.

The company’s revenue surged 94% year on year to $35.08 billion in the quarter ended 27th October 2024.

Net income climbed 109% from a year ago to $19.3 billion. Sales of Nvidia’s next-generation chip Blackwell, will be limited by supply, not demand, the company reportedly said.

Nvidia didn’t disappoint in terms of third-quarter revenue and net income, but it wasn’t enough for Wall Street. The forecast for the fourth quarter indicates a year-over-year growth of approximately 70%, marking a deceleration from the 265% growth experienced in the corresponding period the previous year.

Nvidia has emerged as the main beneficiary of the current artificial intelligence surge. Its shares have almost tripled in 2024, positioning it as the most valuable publicly traded company.

Numerous end-customers of Nvidia, including Microsoft, Oracle, and OpenAI, have begun receiving the company’s latest AI chip, known as Blackwell.

Nvidia one-year share price chart as of 20th November 2024

Nvidia one-year share price chart

The share price decline appears to be due to reserved guidance for Q4, with Nvidia’s management anticipating supply challenges for its next-generation Blackwell GPU. Investors were hoping for a more optimistic forecast, but the cautious outlook was disappointing.

It’s interesting to see how even strong earnings can sometimes lead to a drop in share prices if the future outlook doesn’t meet investor expectations.

Nvidia announces new AI chips

AI

Nvidia has revealed its latest generation of AI chips, coming just months after the release of its preceding model.

This rapid succession underscores the intense competition within the AI chip market and Nvidia’s relentless effort to maintain its leading position.

CEO Jensen Huang has now committed to unveiling new AI chip technology annually, accelerating the company’s prior biannual pace. The latest AI chip architecture, named ‘Rubin,’ is set to follow the ‘Blackwell’ model announced in March 2024, which is currently in production and anticipated to be delivered to customers the latter part of 2024.

Huang’s unveiling of the Rubin has seemingly hastened Nvidia’s already rapid AI chip development.

Nvidia has committed to launching new AI chip designs annually, a cadence Huang reportedly referred to as a ‘one-year rhythm‘ during his Sunday 2nd June 2024 announcement. Previously, the company was committed to updating its chips every two years. But such is the speed and fierce competition of AI development, that original decision has become quickly out-dated.

The swift transition from Blackwell to Rubin, taking less than three months, highlights the intense competition in the AI chip market and Nvidia’s race to maintain its leading position.

AMD and Intel are two major competitors playing catch-up in the AI race.

Nvidia one year share chart

Nvidia one year share chart