China’s exports miss forecasts as U.S. tariffs bite -imports record sharp decline

China exports drop

China’s exports in the January 2025 to February 2025 period rose 2.3% in U.S. dollar terms from a year earlier, significantly undershooting expectations of a 5% increase

That marked the slowest growth since April 2024 last year when exports increased by just 1.5% on the year, according to recently released data.

Imports surprised markets by declining 8.4% year-on-year in the first two months of 2025, the sharpest fall since July 2023.

Trump’s first round of 10% tariff hikes on Chinese goods took effect on 4th February 2025, followed by another 10% tariff increase just one month later, taking the cumulative levies to 20%.

China retaliated in kind.

Data from the customs authority

EU cuts interest rates again down to 2.5%

ECB interest rate cut

The European Central Bank (ECB) on 6th March 2025 reduced its interest rates to 2.5%, marking the sixth reduction since June 2024

The bank stuck to its plan in the face of economic challenges, including threats of U.S. tariffs and plans to boost European military spending.

This move reflects a shift in focus from combating inflation to supporting economic growth in the Eurozone.

Inflation has eased to 2.4% in February, and the ECB expects it to stabilise around its 2% target.

Economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered to 0.9% and 1.2%, respectively.

Trump’s U.S. Bitcoin reserve plan falls short of expectations

National U.S. crypto reserve

The cryptocurrency market faced a significant downturn following the announcement of President Donald Trump’s U.S. Bitcoin reserve plan

The initiative aimed to position the United States as a global digital asset leader fell short of market expectations, triggering a wave of selloffs.

Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, experienced a 3% drop, trading at $87,586.86 before dipping further to $84,688.13. Other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, XRP, and Solana, also saw declines, with Cardano’s ADA token suffering a sharp 13% drop.

The market’s reaction underscores the gap between investor hopes and the plan’s immediate implications.

The executive order established a strategic bitcoin reserve funded exclusively by assets seized in criminal and civil proceedings. While this approach ensures no taxpayer burden, it disappointed investors who anticipated direct government purchases to bolster Bitcoin’s value.

White House Crypto and AI Czar David Sacks emphasised the reserve’s role as a ‘digital Fort Knox’, but the lack of immediate buy pressure dampened market sentiment.

The broader economic context also played a role. Weakness in equities and ongoing tariff concerns added to the uncertainty, compounding the market’s reaction.

Analysts noted that while the reserve plan is a step toward legitimising cryptocurrencies, its short-term impact on prices was underwhelming.

Despite the initial disappointment, the strategic reserve could have long-term benefits. By centralising and securing digital assets, the U.S. government aims to strengthen its position in the global financial system.

However, for now, the market remains volatile, reflecting the challenges of balancing innovation with investor expectations.

As the crypto landscape evolves, the success of such initiatives will depend on their ability to deliver tangible value to both the market and the broader economy.

Will the U.S. government create a strategic crypto reserve by directly buying the digital asset and holding it as a national reserve?

At this moment in time, only Trump has that ‘key’.