Burberry dropped from FTSE 100

Shoppers

The British luxury fashion house Burberry Group was relegated from the U.K.’s FTSE 100 on Wednesday 4th August 2024, amid declining sales and management upheavals, all adding to the challenges of the 168-year-old retailer

This demotion represents a new setback for Burberry, with its share price having plummeted over 53% this year.

Previous CEOs have endeavoured to refine the brand’s aesthetic. With the appointment of Joshua Schulman as the new chief executive in July 2024, a shift in strategy is now indicated.

Burberry is not alone in its waning fortunes. The luxury sector as a whole has suffered from a prolonged downturn in consumer spending amid inflationary pressures and broader economic uncertainty. Chinese luxury consumption has been especially hard hit.

In July, Hugo Boss cut its full-year guidance after reporting a fall in sales, notably in the U.K. and China, while Gucci owner Kering issued a weak forecast recognising a deceleration in China. LVMH revenue also fell in the second quarter on weaker sales.

Burberry’s FTSE relegation confirms a long fall from grace for the luxury fashion icon.

Luxury brand Gucci-owner Kering share price hits a seven-year low after weak forecast

Luxury goods

Kering, the owner of Gucci, experienced a drop in its share value on Thursday 25th July 2024 following the announcement of a significant revenue decrease in the first half of the year, coupled with a subdued outlook for the latter half.

Kering’s shares fell by up to 9% as the markets opened, trading at levels not seen since August 2017.

Kering one year share price chart 24th July 2024 (am)

Kering one year share price chart 24th July 2024 (am)

The luxury group announced late Wednesday 24th July 2024 that its revenue dropped by 11% in the first half of 2024, in comparison to the same period the previous year. The company reportedly attributed the decline to a slowing market in most regions, with the exception of Japan.

Kering are not alone in suffering a drop in share value, as luxury brands including LVMH and Burberry also experienced weaker trade declines noted in recent reports.

A deceleration of luxury purchases in China is cited as one of the major reasons for the declines.

World’s largest luxury group LVMH slumps after Q2 revenue miss

Luxury

Shares in LVMH fell on Wednesday after the luxury group on Tuesday 23rd July 2024 released its earnings for the first half of 2024

Shares in the world’s largest luxury group LVMH pulled-back on Wednesday 24th July 2024 after its second-quarter sales came in below analysts expectations

Other luxury sector stocks, including Gucci-owner Kering which is set to report earnings on Wednesday 24th July, also retreated.

LVMH one year share price chart from July 2023

LVMH one year share price chart from July 2023

What is Quiet Luxury?

Quiet Luxury

Quiet luxury is a fashion trend that emphasizes understated elegance, timeless style, and high-quality materials.

It is the opposite of flashy logos, loud colors, and fast fashion. Quiet luxury is about investing in pieces that are durable, versatile, and refined. 

Some examples of quiet luxury brands are Hermes, Prada-owned Miu Miu, Brunello Cucinelli, Compagnie Financière Richemont and Swatch Group, The Row, Totême, Tove and LVMH. Quiet luxury is also influenced by social changes, popular culture, and economic factors. It reflects a desire for simplicity, sophistication, and sustainability in a seemingly never-ending chaotic world.

Quiet luxury was one of last year’s biggest viral fashion trends, but unlike other short-lived fads on TikTok or Instagram, this one has made its way into investor portfolios and shown lucrative returns.

Luxury stocks have long been regarded by some as an effective hedge against inflation.

LVMH success – one way to invest in luxury

LVMH shares jumped more than 8% on Friday 26th January 2024, after the world’s largest luxury group posted higher-than-expected sales for 2023 and raised its annual dividend.

The owner of Louis Vuitton, Moët & Chandon and Hennessy, as well as brands including Givenchy, Bulgari and Sephora, on Thursday night 25th January 2024 reported sales amounting to 86.15 billion euros ($93.34 billion) for 2023, forecasts. This equated to a 13% growth from the previous year.

The result was boosted in particular by 14% annual growth in the critical fashion and leather goods sector, along with 11% growth in perfumes and cosmetics. Wines and spirits meanwhile posted a 4% decline.

Bernard Arnault is one of the top 10 wealthiest people in the world.

Is there room in your portfolio for a luxury brand?

For most of us eating less and taking moderate exercise will help with our general health and weight loss… and then we have DRUGS!!!

Medical syringe

Fat profits for the pharmaceutical sector again.

The maker of weight-loss drug ‘Wegovy’ has become Europe’s most valuable company, dethroning the French luxury conglomerate LVMH.

Is there an irony here…? Exploitation of the obese, or a genuine attempt to help? It is used in the fight against diabetes too.

It’s a business after all

Wegovy is a brand name for ‘Semaglutide‘, a prescription medicine used for weight loss in obese or overweight adults with other weight-related medical issues. It works by regulating appetite and reducing calorie intake, leading to weight loss and helping with weight management.

Wegovy was launched in the UK on 4th September 2023 and is available on the NHS as an ‘option‘ for weight management in line with NICE guidance, alongside a reduced-calorie diet and increased physical activity. However, only people with the highest medical need may qualify for the drug, as it is in short supply and its use will be restricted – but celebrities have direct access – do they have the ‘highest medical needs’? Of course they do.

Clinical trials

Wegovy has been shown to be effective in clinical trials, achieving up to a 15% reduction in body weight after one year. It has also been found to reduce the risk of a heart attack or stroke in obese people with cardiovascular disease by 20%.

To get Wegovy on the NHS, eligible adults would need a referral to an NHS specialist weight management service, which would usually be made by a GP. Alternatively, Wegovy can be obtained privately, but it may be expensive and not covered by insurance.

Watercolour image of a generic medicine bottle. Wegovy is a brand name for ‘Semaglutide‘, a prescription medicine used for weight loss in obese or overweight adults with other weight-related medical issues.

Shares rose after the Danish pharmaceutical giant, Novo Nordisk, launched the popular drug in the UK.

At the close of trading on Monday, 4th September 2023, the company had a stock market valuation of $428bn (£339bn).

The drug is now available on the National Health Service in the UK and also via private outlets.

Obesity treatment

Wegovy is an obesity treatment that is taken once a week which tricks people into thinking that they are already full, so they end up eating less and losing weight.

Famous personalities such as Elon Musk are among the reported users of the drug, which has gained traction in Hollywood and with the public more widely since it was approved by regulators in the US in 2021.

Wegovy and Ozempic – a diabetes treatment with similar effects – have been described as ‘miracle’ drugs. Would that be a ‘miracle for the user or for the pharmaceutical company – or both perhaps?

Experts warn the drug is not a quick fix nor a ‘substitute for a healthy diet and exercise’.

In trials, users often put weight back on after stopping treatment.

‘Supply restriction as production ramps up’

There has been a global shortage of the drug, so only limited is awailable for the NHS in the UK.

The company said it will continue to restrict global supplies as it works to ramp up manufacturing.

While the findings still have to be fully reviewed, experts agreed the results were potentially significant.

Exercise, eat less and take… Wegovy!!