The U.S. Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 0.25%, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%

This marks the second consecutive cut in 2025 amid economic uncertainty and a government data blackout. In a move aimed at supporting growth, the Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% following its October policy meeting. The decision, reportedly backed by a 10–2 vote from the Federal Open Market Committee, reflects growing concern …

U.S. Inflation Slows Slightly in September, Easing Pressure on Fed

The latest U.S. inflation figures show a modest increase in consumer prices. The annual rate rose to 3.0% in September 2025, up from 2.9% in August. 2025. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.3% month-on-month, slightly below economists’ expectations. Core inflation—which excludes volatile food and energy …

Concerns about credit contagion are back as troubles in U.S. regional banks shake global markets

On Friday 17th October 2025, a fresh wave of credit concerns erupted across financial markets, triggered by troubling disclosures from U.S. regional lenders Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance. Both banks revealed significant exposure to deteriorating commercial real estate loans, reigniting fears of systemic fragility just months after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature …

Why the U.S. Has Bailed Out Argentina: A $20 Billion Gamble with Global Implications

In a move that has stunned economists and ignited political debate, the United States has extended a $20 billion bailout to Argentina—a country long plagued by inflation, debt crises, and political volatility. The lifeline, structured as a currency swap between the U.S. Treasury and Argentina’s central bank, aims to stabilise the peso and prevent a …

Is the resilient stock market keeping the U.S. economy out of a recession and if so – is that a bad thing?

The Resilient Stock Market: A Double-Edged Shield Against Recession In a year marked by political volatility, Trumps tariff war, soft labour data, and persistent inflation anxieties, one pillar of the economy has stood tall: the stock market. Defying expectations, major indices like the Nasdaq, Dow Jones and S&P 500 have surged, buoyed by AI-driven optimism …

Bleak news from U.S. doesn’t seem that bad for stocks – what’s going on?

It’s one of those classic Wall Street paradoxes—where bad news somehow fuels bullish momentum. What’s going on? News round-up S&P 500 closes above 6,700 after rising 0.34%. Samsung and SK Hynix join OpenAI’s Stargate. Taiwan rejects U.S. proposal to split chip production. Trump-linked crypto firm plans expansion. Some stocks that doubled in the third quarter. …

U.S. Government Shutdown: A Familiar Crisis Returns

The United States government has once again entered a shutdown, marking the first lapse in federal funding in nearly seven years. As of 12:01 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday 1st October 2025, Congress failed to pass a spending bill, triggering the closure of non-essential government services and furloughing hundreds of thousands of federal workers. This …

U.S. indices hit fresh record closing highs 9th September 2025

S&P 500 rose 0.3% to finish at 6,512.61, surpassing its previous record from last week. Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.4% to 45,711.34, beating its August 28 high. Nasdaq Composite added 0.4%, closing at 21,879.49, marking its second consecutive record high. The rally was fueled by strong performances in tech—especially chipmakers and AI infrastructure players …

China-U.S. trade slump deepens as exports plunge 33%

China’s exports to the United States fell sharply in August 2025, marking a six-month low and underscoring the growing strain in global trade dynamics. According to recent data, shipments from China to the U.S. dropped by 33% year-on-year, reflecting both weakening demand and the ongoing effects of geopolitical tensions. This decline is part of a …

U.S. inflation holds steady in July 2025 but Core Inflation edges higher

The latest inflation data for the month of July 2025 shows a mixed picture for the U.S. economy, as price pressures remain persistent despite signs of cooling in some sectors. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the headline Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 2.6% year-over-year, unchanged from June, while the core PCE …

Technical Signals: Cracks beneath the surface – are U.S. stocks beginning to stumble?

There are increasingly credible signs that U.S. stocks may be heading into a deeper adjustment phase. Here’s a breakdown of the key indicators and risks that suggest the current stumble could be more than a seasonal wobble. It’s just a hypothesis, but… 🧠 Sentiment & Positioning: Optimism with Defensive Undercurrents 🌍 Macroeconomic Risks: Tariffs, Fed …

Trump’s 100% microchip tariff – A high-stakes gamble on U.S. manufacturing

President Donald Trump has announced a sweeping 100% tariff on imported semiconductors and microchips—unless companies are actively manufacturing in the United States. The move, unveiled during an Oval Office event with Apple CEO Tim Cook, is aimed at turbocharging domestic production in a sector critical to everything from smartphones to defence systems. Trump’s vow comes …

U.S. interest rates held steady at 4.25% to 4.50%

On 30th July 2025, the Federal Reserve opted to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, defying mounting pressure from President Trump to initiate cuts. The decision, reached by a 9–2 vote, marked the first time since 1993 that two governors—Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller—formally dissented, advocating for a quarter-point reduction. Fed Chair Jerome …

U.S. GDP surges 3.0% in Q2 — but what’s driving the rebound?

After a lacklustre start to 2025, the U.S. economy posted a surprising comeback in the second quarter, with GDP rising at an annualised rate of 3.0%, according to data released today. The sharp upswing follows a 0.5% contraction in Q1, catching analysts off-guard and fuelling speculation about the durability of the recovery. 📈 A Rebound …

Markets rally as EU–U.S. trade deal eases some tariff tension

European and American financial markets rallied following the announcement of a new trade pact between the EU and the U.S on Sunday 27th July 2025., easing months of escalating tensions. The deal introduces a 15% tariff on most EU exports to the United States—well below the previously threatened 30% rate—providing greater predictability across key sectors. …

U.S. debt surges close to $37 trillion after ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ -Elon Musk sounds alarm

Following the passage of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tax and spending legislation, dubbed the One Big Beautiful Bill, the U.S. national debt has officially soared to nearly $37 trillion, with projections suggesting it could hit $40 trillion by year’s end. The bill, which extends 2017 tax cuts and introduces expansive spending on defence, border security, …

RSI signals flash: U.S. stocks enter overbought territory

As U.S. equity markets continue their relentless climb, a growing number of stocks are flashing warning signs through one of the most widely followed technical indicators: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Designed to measure momentum, RSI values above 70 typically indicate that a stock is overbought and may be due for a pullback. As of …

U.S. markets surge as S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs

In a remarkable show of investor confidence, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both reached new all-time highs on 30th June 2025. The markets were buoyed by optimism around easing inflation, resilient corporate earnings, and renewed enthusiasm for the tech sector, especially AI. The S&P 500 climbed to a record close of 6205, while the …

U.S. holds interest rates steady – Trump isn’t happy!

U.S. Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25% to 4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting. This decision reflects a cautious stance amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding President Trump’s tariff policies and their potential impact on inflation and economic growth. The Fed still anticipates two rate cuts later in 2025, but officials are …

U.S. inflation up 0.1% in May – but less than expected

In May 2025, U.S. inflation rose by 0.1% from the previous month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.4%, slightly below economists’ predictions of 2.5%. Core U.S. inflation, which excludes food and energy, increased by 0.1% month-on-month, with a year-on-year rate of 2.8%. The modest rise was largely offset by falling energy prices, particularly a …

Asia’s shift away from the U.S. Dollar gains momentum

The global financial landscape is undergoing a significant transformation as Asian economies accelerate their move away from the U.S. dollar. This trend, known as de-dollarisation, is driven by a combination of geopolitical uncertainties, monetary policy shifts, and efforts to reduce reliance on the greenback in trade and investment. The forces behind de-dollarisation For decades, the …

China suffers U.S. tariff driven falls in exports and increased deflation concerns

China’s economic landscape is facing mounting challenges as exports to the United States plummet and consumer prices decline, sparking fears of deflation. The latest trade data reveals that Chinese exports to the U.S. fell by 34.5% in May 2025, marking the sharpest drop in over five years. This decline comes despite a temporary trade truce …

OECD cuts U.S. growth forecast amid Trump’s tariff chaos

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has sharply downgraded its U.S. growth forecast, citing economic uncertainty and the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. The OECD now expects the U.S. economy to expand by just 1.6% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, a significant cut from its previous estimate of 2.2% for …

What’s going on in the U.S. bond market?

The U.S. bond market is experiencing some turbulence due to rising Treasury yields and concerns over government debt. Investors are demanding higher yields because they’re worried about the GOP’s tax-cut plans, which could lead to increased borrowing and a larger deficit. Additionally, the recent Trump tax bill has caused Treasury bond yields to surge, as …