Debt and trade issues weaken UK growth – so says the OECD

The latest OECD report presents a cautious outlook for the UK economy, predicting slower growth amidst global uncertainties and domestic fiscal challenges. The UK’s GDP is projected to grow by 1.3% in 2025 and 1% in 2026, reflecting a slight downward revision. According to the OECD, trade tensions, particularly U.S. tariffs, are disrupting global supply …

Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating Amid Rising Debt Concerns

Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the United States’ sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns over the country’s growing debt burden and rising interest costs. This marks the first time Moody’s has lowered the U.S. rating, aligning it with previous downgrades by Standard & Poor’s (2011) and Fitch Ratings (2023). The downgrade reflects …

Debt, debt and even more debt – the UK and its borrowing habit

As of September 2024, the UK’s national debt stands at £2,685.6 billion, which is approximately 100% of the country’s GDP. This is the highest level of public sector debt since 1961. UK debt and its borrowing As of 2024, the United Kingdom’s national debt has reached a staggering £2,685.6 billion, an amount equivalent to the …

IMF head warns of worrying high debt and low growth combination

The International Monetary Fund’s leader warned on Thursday 17th October 2024 that the global economy continues to be hindered by high government debt and sluggish growth. MD Kristalina Georgieva praised the efforts of major central banks in controlling inflation but pointed out that such successes were not widespread. Additionally, Georgieva cautioned that international trade is …

UK national debt as a percentage of GDP is now 99.5%

Highest ratio since the 1960’s and even higher than that reached during the Covid pandemic of 2020. The UK’s national debt has reached its highest level since 1962. Official figures from the ONS show that the total government debt amounted to 99.5% of the economy’s value in June 2024, surpassing the peak levels experienced during …

U.S. debt and deficits are generating concerns about potential threats to the economy and financial markets

The federal debt reportedly reached $34.5 trillion, marking an increase of approximately $11 trillion since March 2020. This surge has sparked discussions among government and financial leaders, with a notable Wall Street firm questioning whether the associated costs could threaten the stock market’s upward trend. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the public debt will …

WEF president warns about global debt levels

Borge Brende, the president of the World Economic Forum (WEF), recently issued a stark warning about global debt levels. Speaking at the ‘Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth and Energy for Development‘ in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, (see WEF website), he highlighted that global debt ratios are approaching levels not seen since the 1820s. The WEF president also reportedly emphasized …

China’s debt outlook downgraded by Moody’s as economy slows

A Downgrade Amidst Economic Slowdown In a significant development that has raised concerns among investors and policymakers worldwide, China’s debt outlook has been downgraded as the country grapples with a slowing economy. This move reflects growing apprehensions about the sustainability of China’s economic growth and its ability to manage its burgeoning debt. Moody’s issued the …

America and its $1 trillion credit card debt

U.S. citizens have accumulated a record-breaking $1 trillion in credit card debt. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes through 2023 have caused average interest rates for credit cards to spike to more than 22%. Rates on retail credit cards are even higher, nearing 29% on average. Despite rising costs and higher borrowing rates, a record number of …

Credit card debt in the U.S. reaches new high of $1 trillion

Problem? Americans are using their credit cards more than ever, pushing the total balance to over $1 trillion for the first time in history, according to a report from the New York Federal Reserve. The report, released August 2023, showed that credit card balances rose by $45 billion to $1.03 trillion in the second quarter …

What exactly is Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ that Musk hates so much?

Trump calls it his ‘Big Beautiful Bill’, but Musk calls it a ‘Disgusting Abomination’ – who’s right? Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill is a sweeping tax and spending package aimed at making his 2017 tax cuts permanent while introducing new tax breaks and budget reforms. It eliminates taxes on tips and overtime, raises the State and …

Well – that didn’t last long – is the ‘love in’ over already?

Elon Musk has dramatically distanced himself from Donald Trump’s latest tax-and-spending bill, branding it a ‘disgusting abomination’ in a fiery post on X. The Tesla and SpaceX CEO, once a key financial backer of Trump’s 2024 campaign, has now turned against the administration’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’, warning that it will explode the federal deficit …

Why are investors taking up positions in short term treasury bets?

Investors are increasingly favouring short-term U.S. Treasury securities, with notable figures like Warren Buffett taking sizeable positions. This shift is driven by concerns over economic instability, fluctuating bond yields, and government spending. Short-term Treasuries, such as T-bills with maturities under a year, offer a safer haven compared to longer-term bonds, which are more vulnerable to …

What’s going on in the U.S. bond market?

The U.S. bond market is experiencing some turbulence due to rising Treasury yields and concerns over government debt. Investors are demanding higher yields because they’re worried about the GOP’s tax-cut plans, which could lead to increased borrowing and a larger deficit. Additionally, the recent Trump tax bill has caused Treasury bond yields to surge, as …

UK government borrowing higher than expected in February 2025

In February 2025, UK government borrowing reached £10.7 billion, significantly exceeding the £6.5 billion forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) This marks the fourth-highest borrowing figure for February since records began in 1993. The unexpected rise in borrowing has intensified pressure on Chancellor Rachel Reeves ahead of her upcoming Spring Statement. The increase …

Recent surprise rise in UK borrowing – deals yet another disappointment for the chancellor

The latest UK borrowing figures, reveal a significant increase in public sector net borrowing. In December 2024, the UK government borrowed £17.8 billion, which is the highest figure for the month for four years. This amount was reportedly £10.1 billion higher than the same month last year and exceeded the £14.1 billion forecast by most …

Has ‘Rachel from accounts’ messed up the UK economy?

The pound has continued to fall after UK government borrowing costs rose and concerns grew about public finances Sterling dropped as UK 10-year borrowing costs surged to their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis when bank borrowing virtually ground to a halt. Economists have warned the rising costs could lead to further tax rises …

Fed lowers U.S. interest rate by 0.25% November 2024

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has reduced its benchmark overnight borrowing rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%. This move follows September’s significant 0.5% cut. The overnight borrowing rate, while primarily affecting interbank lending rates, also typically impacts consumer debt products including mortgages, credit cards, auto and other loans.

Elon Musk predicts ‘hardship,’ economic turmoil and a stock market crash if Trump wins

Elon Musk, the billionaire entrepreneur and CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has recently made headlines in the U.S. with his stark predictions about the potential economic fallout if Donald Trump wins the upcoming presidential election. This is unusual, as you are more likely to hear these proposals in a crisis, when desperate times demand desperate …

Big Tech aiming to raise $100 billion for AI data centres

In a substantial effort to strengthen the infrastructure required for artificial intelligence (AI), BlackRock and Microsoft have unveiled a significant fundraising endeavour. The initiative, dubbed the Global AI Infrastructure Investment Partnership (GAIIP), seeks to secure $30 billion in private equity capital, with the possibility of leveraging up to $100 billion including debt financing. The main …